PatrickT. Cannon:
Regional Security Officer (RSO) for
Diplomatic Security ServiceTeam (DSS)
 VIP- Secretary of State: John Kerry
 Destination-Tehran: Capital of Iran
 Between June 18th –June 25th 2015, during Ramadan
 Reason- within the last 6 months Iran and the
U.S. have reached out for talks. Activities
planned are as follows:
 Lunch with the President Hassan Rouhani and his
Cabinet.
 Attending Prayer and other Islamic community
activities.
 Private talks on State SponsoringTerrorism and
future alliances.
President of Iran(2013-
Present) :Hassan Rouhani
Former Cleric, Academic,
Lawyer and Diplomat
Supreme Leader (1989-
Present) : Ayatollah Ali
Hosseini Khamenei
Former President of Iran (May
be Present)
1953- Overthrow of Mossadeq
(CIA played a Role in the Coup)
1979- Iranian Revolution
(Ayatollah Returns from Exile)
1979-1981- U.S. Embassy Hostage Crisis
(U.S. Rescue attempts Fails but in 1981 they are set free)
1985-1986- Iran-Contra Scandal
(U.S. ships weapons to Iran for help in freeing American hostages from HAMAS and
Hezbollah)
1988- Iranian Passenger Jet Shot Down
(U.S. mistake passenger jet for fighter jet)
1997-2005- Kahtami Presidency
(Called for Dialogue with U.S.)
2002- Axis of Evil
(U.S. puts Iran on Axis of Evil)
2002-onward- Sanctions of Nuclear Weapon Development
(Increased tensions Between U.S. and Iran)
2005- 2013- Ahmadinejad Presidency
(Anti-U.S., Dismiss Holocaust and 9/11)
2013- Obama and Rohunai Phone call
(Establishes CurrentThreat Assessment)
Political
• IslamicTheocracy; Similar to U.S. government but one supreme leader exerts ideological and
political control.
• Clerics shadow all major functions of government.
• Religious ideology has major influence is abundant in decision making
Security
• Military ; Islamic RevolutionaryGuard Corp (IRGC), Regular Army
• Local Law Enforcement
• Security forces a very authoritative, they will not shy away from quelling uprisings and making
crackdowns where they see fit.The IRGC are the biggest concern.
DSS Response
• DSS teams with Secretary Kerry at all times.
• Establish contact with commanders of:
• IRGC
• Regular Army
• Local Police
Religious
Supervisory
Assembly of
Experts
Expediency Council
Council of
Guardians ( 6
Clerics)
Supreme
Representatives
and Clergy Courts
Republican
Institutions
President (Hassan
Rouhani)
Parliament
Council of
Ministers
Head of Judiciary
Anti-Government
Violence
• High Priority Groups: al-Ahwaz Arab People's Democratic Front (APDF),
• Fedayeen Khalq (People's Commandos).
• These two are the only groups that are active and have complete Anti-Ayatollah
agendas. Other groups are either inactive or have recently emerged.
TerroristAttacks
• Iran's geographical location makes it potent to border crossing from Iraq, Pakistan
and Afghanistan.
• Groups include: Al-Qaeda, Islamic Jihadist, AQIM,Taliban
Anti-American
Violence
• Iran has historically had a hostile view of the United States and its people.
• This recent out-reach for talks and Iran’s internal strife's shows some positive views
but we must remain vigilant for those who still view the U.S. negatively
Tehran, Capital of Iran
Tehran would be
the most likely
area for a coup or
citizen instigated
riot.
The IRGC conducts
operations in the
capital, like the
KGB they are the
governments
“secret police” of
sorts.
Many Pro-
Democratic Iranian
groups who are
against the
government are
based inTehran.
Governmental and Regional Concerns
Pakistan, Iraq and
Afghanistan are
known to harbor or
be home to various
terrorist groups
who have Anti-
American agendas.
Iran’s rumored state
sponsorship of
terrorism is a
concern with the
proximity of these
three countries.
In case of
emergency Ex-
Filtration the only
immediate
countries of safety
are Israel, UAE and
Turkey.
Border CrossingThreatAreas
SafetyAreas
High: Anti-
Government
Violence
Medium:Terrorist
Attack
Low: Anti-
AmericanViolence
• Given theVIP will be inTehran, this is
the most likely threat scenario to occur.
• Security teams must work with Iranian
intelligence to track group movements
pre-deployment.
• Groups may seize the opportunity of a
high valued American target being in
there proximity.
• U.S. Intelligence must keep an ear to the
ground with these groups.
• While this threat should be a higher
concern, given level of security present
and current internal strife's between the
government and Iranian people, any
serious operations conducted with Anti-
American violence seem un -likely, but
should still be monitored.
 Bibliography
 about.com/geography. (2013). Iran. Retrieved October 2013, fromAbout.com :
http://geography.about.com/library/cia/blciran.htm
 Biography.com. (n.d.). Hassan Rouhani . Retrieved October 24 , 2013, fromThe Biography Website
: http://www.biography.com/people/hassan-rouhani-21313175
 Biography.com. (n.d.). John Kerry. Retrieved October 24, 2013, fromThe Biography Website:
http://www.biography.com/people/john-kerry-10673562
 Channel, British Broadcasting. (2013, September 28). U.S. and Iranin Relatons: A Breif Guide.
Retrieved October 24, 2013, from BBC.: http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-middle-east-24316661
 Divison, F. R. (2012). Iran's MinistryOf Intelligence and Security: A Profile . Washington D.C. : Libary
of Congress .
 Hartfeild, E. (2013, September ). Five Hopeful Signs of A Possible Improvement in the U.S.-Iran
Relationship. Retrieved October 34, 2013, fromABCnews.com :
http://abcnews.go.com/blogs/politics/2013/09/five-hopeful-signs-of-a-possible-improvement-in-
the-u-s-iran-relationship/
 Krause, C. (2005). The Sources of Anti-Americnaism in Iran: A Historical and Psychological Analysis .
California : Christopher Krause.
 Public Broadcasting Service . (2013). Power Structure In Iran. Retrieved October 23, 2013, from
PBS.org: http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/pages/frontline/shows/tehran/inside/govt.html
 Soceity, Iran Chamber. (2013). Iran after the victory of 1979's Revolution. Retrieved October 2013,
from
http://www.iranchamber.com/history/islamic_revolution/revolution_and_iran_after1979_1.php
 Unied States Department of State. (n.d.). Diplomatic Security . Retrieved October 24, 2013, from
state.gov : http://www.state.gov/m/ds/protection/index.htm

Protective Intelligence Assessment Presentation

  • 1.
    PatrickT. Cannon: Regional SecurityOfficer (RSO) for Diplomatic Security ServiceTeam (DSS)
  • 2.
     VIP- Secretaryof State: John Kerry  Destination-Tehran: Capital of Iran  Between June 18th –June 25th 2015, during Ramadan  Reason- within the last 6 months Iran and the U.S. have reached out for talks. Activities planned are as follows:  Lunch with the President Hassan Rouhani and his Cabinet.  Attending Prayer and other Islamic community activities.  Private talks on State SponsoringTerrorism and future alliances.
  • 3.
    President of Iran(2013- Present):Hassan Rouhani Former Cleric, Academic, Lawyer and Diplomat Supreme Leader (1989- Present) : Ayatollah Ali Hosseini Khamenei Former President of Iran (May be Present)
  • 4.
    1953- Overthrow ofMossadeq (CIA played a Role in the Coup) 1979- Iranian Revolution (Ayatollah Returns from Exile) 1979-1981- U.S. Embassy Hostage Crisis (U.S. Rescue attempts Fails but in 1981 they are set free) 1985-1986- Iran-Contra Scandal (U.S. ships weapons to Iran for help in freeing American hostages from HAMAS and Hezbollah) 1988- Iranian Passenger Jet Shot Down (U.S. mistake passenger jet for fighter jet) 1997-2005- Kahtami Presidency (Called for Dialogue with U.S.) 2002- Axis of Evil (U.S. puts Iran on Axis of Evil) 2002-onward- Sanctions of Nuclear Weapon Development (Increased tensions Between U.S. and Iran) 2005- 2013- Ahmadinejad Presidency (Anti-U.S., Dismiss Holocaust and 9/11) 2013- Obama and Rohunai Phone call (Establishes CurrentThreat Assessment)
  • 5.
    Political • IslamicTheocracy; Similarto U.S. government but one supreme leader exerts ideological and political control. • Clerics shadow all major functions of government. • Religious ideology has major influence is abundant in decision making Security • Military ; Islamic RevolutionaryGuard Corp (IRGC), Regular Army • Local Law Enforcement • Security forces a very authoritative, they will not shy away from quelling uprisings and making crackdowns where they see fit.The IRGC are the biggest concern. DSS Response • DSS teams with Secretary Kerry at all times. • Establish contact with commanders of: • IRGC • Regular Army • Local Police
  • 6.
    Religious Supervisory Assembly of Experts Expediency Council Councilof Guardians ( 6 Clerics) Supreme Representatives and Clergy Courts Republican Institutions President (Hassan Rouhani) Parliament Council of Ministers Head of Judiciary
  • 7.
    Anti-Government Violence • High PriorityGroups: al-Ahwaz Arab People's Democratic Front (APDF), • Fedayeen Khalq (People's Commandos). • These two are the only groups that are active and have complete Anti-Ayatollah agendas. Other groups are either inactive or have recently emerged. TerroristAttacks • Iran's geographical location makes it potent to border crossing from Iraq, Pakistan and Afghanistan. • Groups include: Al-Qaeda, Islamic Jihadist, AQIM,Taliban Anti-American Violence • Iran has historically had a hostile view of the United States and its people. • This recent out-reach for talks and Iran’s internal strife's shows some positive views but we must remain vigilant for those who still view the U.S. negatively
  • 8.
    Tehran, Capital ofIran Tehran would be the most likely area for a coup or citizen instigated riot. The IRGC conducts operations in the capital, like the KGB they are the governments “secret police” of sorts. Many Pro- Democratic Iranian groups who are against the government are based inTehran.
  • 10.
    Governmental and RegionalConcerns Pakistan, Iraq and Afghanistan are known to harbor or be home to various terrorist groups who have Anti- American agendas. Iran’s rumored state sponsorship of terrorism is a concern with the proximity of these three countries. In case of emergency Ex- Filtration the only immediate countries of safety are Israel, UAE and Turkey.
  • 11.
  • 12.
    High: Anti- Government Violence Medium:Terrorist Attack Low: Anti- AmericanViolence •Given theVIP will be inTehran, this is the most likely threat scenario to occur. • Security teams must work with Iranian intelligence to track group movements pre-deployment. • Groups may seize the opportunity of a high valued American target being in there proximity. • U.S. Intelligence must keep an ear to the ground with these groups. • While this threat should be a higher concern, given level of security present and current internal strife's between the government and Iranian people, any serious operations conducted with Anti- American violence seem un -likely, but should still be monitored.
  • 13.
     Bibliography  about.com/geography.(2013). Iran. Retrieved October 2013, fromAbout.com : http://geography.about.com/library/cia/blciran.htm  Biography.com. (n.d.). Hassan Rouhani . Retrieved October 24 , 2013, fromThe Biography Website : http://www.biography.com/people/hassan-rouhani-21313175  Biography.com. (n.d.). John Kerry. Retrieved October 24, 2013, fromThe Biography Website: http://www.biography.com/people/john-kerry-10673562  Channel, British Broadcasting. (2013, September 28). U.S. and Iranin Relatons: A Breif Guide. Retrieved October 24, 2013, from BBC.: http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-middle-east-24316661  Divison, F. R. (2012). Iran's MinistryOf Intelligence and Security: A Profile . Washington D.C. : Libary of Congress .  Hartfeild, E. (2013, September ). Five Hopeful Signs of A Possible Improvement in the U.S.-Iran Relationship. Retrieved October 34, 2013, fromABCnews.com : http://abcnews.go.com/blogs/politics/2013/09/five-hopeful-signs-of-a-possible-improvement-in- the-u-s-iran-relationship/  Krause, C. (2005). The Sources of Anti-Americnaism in Iran: A Historical and Psychological Analysis . California : Christopher Krause.  Public Broadcasting Service . (2013). Power Structure In Iran. Retrieved October 23, 2013, from PBS.org: http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/pages/frontline/shows/tehran/inside/govt.html  Soceity, Iran Chamber. (2013). Iran after the victory of 1979's Revolution. Retrieved October 2013, from http://www.iranchamber.com/history/islamic_revolution/revolution_and_iran_after1979_1.php  Unied States Department of State. (n.d.). Diplomatic Security . Retrieved October 24, 2013, from state.gov : http://www.state.gov/m/ds/protection/index.htm