Balance of payments review 1955 - Could the Balance of Payments deficit threa...John Ashcroft
The Saturday Economist, Special Report. In 2013, overseas investment income collapsed, the current account deficit slumped to over 4% of GDP. This happened in 1974 and 1989 when base rates were hiked to 12% and 14% to offset the deficit. Could it happen again, here is the report, check out the slides.
The saturday economist uk economic outlook march 2016John Ashcroft
- The document provides an economic outlook and forecast for the UK economy in Q1 2016.
- GDP growth is forecast to be 2.6% in 2016, up from 2.2% in 2015. Growth will be led by the services sector.
- Inflation is expected to average 0.3% over 2016 as commodity and oil prices remain low. Unemployment will continue falling.
The Saturday Economist Brexit Briefing, all the information needed to make an...John Ashcroft
The Saturday Economist on Brexit. All the information you need to make and informed decision. We analyse the arguments in to the business, economic, political and social. The political arguments relate to who governs Britain. The social argument largely dealing with immigration and implications for education, health care and welfare.
The economics case argues against Brexit, largely because of the uncertainty relating to the alternative options. Brexit will damage investment prospects in the short term (uncertainty) and in the long term (strategic). We consider that motor, aerospace and financial services industries are particularly at risk.
As for business ... there is no business case to support the "Brexit" argument. The level of uncertainty is too severe JKA
Modelling Investment - Forecasts for the UK Economy 2016John Ashcroft
Modelling Investment - Forecasts for the UK Economy 2016. Published in association with the December Economic Outlook, we outline our sectoral forecasts of investment in the UK
The Saturday Economist Brexit Briefing, all the information needed to make an...John Ashcroft
The Saturday Economist on Brexit. All the information you need to make and informed decision. We analyse the arguments in to the business, economic, political and social. The political arguments relate to who governs Britain. The social argument largely dealing with immigration and implications for education, health care and welfare.
The economics case argues against Brexit, largely because of the uncertainty relating to the alternative options. Brexit will damage investment prospects in the short term (uncertainty) and in the long term (strategic). We consider that motor, aerospace and financial services industries are particularly at risk.
As for business ... there is no business case to support the "Brexit" argument. The level of uncertainty is too severe JKA
The Saturday Economist, UK Economic Outlook June 2016John Ashcroft
Growth in 2015 was 2.3% down from 2.9% in 2014. We now expect growth of 2.2% in 2016 … following the disappointing performance of manufacturing and construction in the first quarter.
The inflation outlook is still muted, with the fall in world oil, energy, food and commodity prices continuing to dominate headline inflation.
The UK economy grew by 2.0% in the first quarter, revisions to construction and manufacturing growth pulling total output lower. The service sector continues to drive growth.
In this June economics update we forecast world growth of 3.2% in 2016 up from 3.1% in 2015. UK Inflation will average just 0.3%, CPI basis, over the balance of the year 2016. Unemployment will continue to fall, government borrowing will also fall. The service sector will lead the recovery as manufacturing and construction output falls slightly.
We are forecasting a modest fall in manufacturing of around 0.2% in 2016 with a 0.9% fall in construction activity based on the latest data. The trade figures will continue to disappoint, offset by a further £2 billion oil dividend, despite a moderate oil price recovery. The challenge to the current account following the drop in overseas investment income continues and will present a significant problem to the outlook for sterling over the medium term.
Our forecast is based on a "remain" referendum outcome! .
The slides accompany the Yahoo Case Study 2016 and Teaching Notes available from the web site. The Yahoo Case Study Dot com. John Ashcroft Dimensions of Strategy
The SME club marketing plan becomes much tighter following the series of meetings over the past few weeks. Still some debate about the final name for the project. Dateline July 28th 2011. JKA
Balance of payments review 1955 - Could the Balance of Payments deficit threa...John Ashcroft
The Saturday Economist, Special Report. In 2013, overseas investment income collapsed, the current account deficit slumped to over 4% of GDP. This happened in 1974 and 1989 when base rates were hiked to 12% and 14% to offset the deficit. Could it happen again, here is the report, check out the slides.
The saturday economist uk economic outlook march 2016John Ashcroft
- The document provides an economic outlook and forecast for the UK economy in Q1 2016.
- GDP growth is forecast to be 2.6% in 2016, up from 2.2% in 2015. Growth will be led by the services sector.
- Inflation is expected to average 0.3% over 2016 as commodity and oil prices remain low. Unemployment will continue falling.
The Saturday Economist Brexit Briefing, all the information needed to make an...John Ashcroft
The Saturday Economist on Brexit. All the information you need to make and informed decision. We analyse the arguments in to the business, economic, political and social. The political arguments relate to who governs Britain. The social argument largely dealing with immigration and implications for education, health care and welfare.
The economics case argues against Brexit, largely because of the uncertainty relating to the alternative options. Brexit will damage investment prospects in the short term (uncertainty) and in the long term (strategic). We consider that motor, aerospace and financial services industries are particularly at risk.
As for business ... there is no business case to support the "Brexit" argument. The level of uncertainty is too severe JKA
Modelling Investment - Forecasts for the UK Economy 2016John Ashcroft
Modelling Investment - Forecasts for the UK Economy 2016. Published in association with the December Economic Outlook, we outline our sectoral forecasts of investment in the UK
The Saturday Economist Brexit Briefing, all the information needed to make an...John Ashcroft
The Saturday Economist on Brexit. All the information you need to make and informed decision. We analyse the arguments in to the business, economic, political and social. The political arguments relate to who governs Britain. The social argument largely dealing with immigration and implications for education, health care and welfare.
The economics case argues against Brexit, largely because of the uncertainty relating to the alternative options. Brexit will damage investment prospects in the short term (uncertainty) and in the long term (strategic). We consider that motor, aerospace and financial services industries are particularly at risk.
As for business ... there is no business case to support the "Brexit" argument. The level of uncertainty is too severe JKA
The Saturday Economist, UK Economic Outlook June 2016John Ashcroft
Growth in 2015 was 2.3% down from 2.9% in 2014. We now expect growth of 2.2% in 2016 … following the disappointing performance of manufacturing and construction in the first quarter.
The inflation outlook is still muted, with the fall in world oil, energy, food and commodity prices continuing to dominate headline inflation.
The UK economy grew by 2.0% in the first quarter, revisions to construction and manufacturing growth pulling total output lower. The service sector continues to drive growth.
In this June economics update we forecast world growth of 3.2% in 2016 up from 3.1% in 2015. UK Inflation will average just 0.3%, CPI basis, over the balance of the year 2016. Unemployment will continue to fall, government borrowing will also fall. The service sector will lead the recovery as manufacturing and construction output falls slightly.
We are forecasting a modest fall in manufacturing of around 0.2% in 2016 with a 0.9% fall in construction activity based on the latest data. The trade figures will continue to disappoint, offset by a further £2 billion oil dividend, despite a moderate oil price recovery. The challenge to the current account following the drop in overseas investment income continues and will present a significant problem to the outlook for sterling over the medium term.
Our forecast is based on a "remain" referendum outcome! .
The slides accompany the Yahoo Case Study 2016 and Teaching Notes available from the web site. The Yahoo Case Study Dot com. John Ashcroft Dimensions of Strategy
The SME club marketing plan becomes much tighter following the series of meetings over the past few weeks. Still some debate about the final name for the project. Dateline July 28th 2011. JKA
Presentation on Business Angel Networks in Germany and Serbia for the 7th Int. SME Conference of the Serbian Ministry of Economy & Regional Development in Belgrade on October 4th, 2011.
CloudCamp Milan 2009: Univ. Bocconi (EntER)Gabriele Bozzi
The document is an introduction to cloud computing for businesses presented by Francesco M. Sacco. It discusses the estimated $43 billion opportunity presented by cloud computing and some of the biggest trends driving IT spending decisions in 2009-2010, including cloud computing. It also outlines potential customer types for cloud computing, including start-ups, gaming/entertainment companies, small businesses, and enterprises.
The document summarizes Wyeth Pharmaceuticals being awarded PMR2's Executive of the Year award for their progressive Consumer & Market Insights department. Key points:
- Wyeth adopted an "Insight Partner" model with six research specializations reporting to executive directors and overlayed with 11 teams each led by an Insight Partner.
- The Insight Partner acts as a strategic consultant rather than directing research, focusing on identifying issues and opportunities to inform brand strategy.
- This collaborative model breaks down silos, avoids duplication, and generates insights that directly inform brand management versus just fulfilling requests.
- Surveys found the new model increased performance and the C&MI team won several corporate awards,
The document provides an overview of Consort Partners, an international strategic marketing, public relations and social media company founded in 2004. It discusses Consort Partner's entrepreneurial roots in building new and established businesses across technology, media and finance markets in the US, Europe and Asia. Consort employs senior journalists, PR and marketing experts with an international network to leverage on behalf of clients. The second part of the document introduces NOAH Advisors, a European investment banking boutique focused on internet companies, and discusses some of their recent transaction experience.
MSI and Veranno are preparing an investment proposal to launch a mobile virtual network operator (MVNO) business in Latin America. The document outlines the MVNO concept, market opportunities in countries like Brazil and Mexico, a proposed business model with revenue streams, and investment needs totaling over $1 million. It also discusses competitors, the experienced management team, and a multi-year growth strategy focused initially on Brazil and Mexico.
This document provides an overview of the NOAH Conference 2011, which was an annual event focused on the European internet ecosystem. Some key details:
- The 2011 conference was held in London on November 9-10 with over 1,150 attendees from 35 countries, including CEOs, investors, media companies and press.
- There were 90 speakers from 20 countries who presented on keynotes, panels and presentations over the two-day event.
- Feedback was very positive from attendees on Twitter and in the press. The conference also included a party with a live band on the first evening.
This document presents the results of a pilot project testing the relevance of Malaysia's National Corporate Innovation Index (NCII) for small and medium enterprises (SMEs). The NCII was originally developed to measure innovation performance in large Malaysian companies. The pilot project aimed to evaluate how applicable the NCII framework is for SMEs and identify any necessary adjustments. The results suggest that while the NCII captures important aspects of innovation for SMEs, some elements require modification to better reflect the priorities and processes of smaller businesses. The findings aim to help SMEs better measure and communicate their innovation activities.
This document is a resume summarizing an individual's work and education history. It includes the following information:
- Education from 1992-2003 including primary and high school.
- Various marketing and business related courses completed from 2004-2007.
- Work experience from 2006-2007 as a Sales Representative for Engen Petroleum.
- Additional work from 2007-2008 in promotion, advertising and a call center before relocating to London.
- Work as a tutor and administrator in London from 2008-2009 before returning to South Africa.
- Role as Operations Manager for Avantel Pty Ltd from 2009-2010.
- Starting their own cleaning chemical services business called Mz
The document summarizes key M&A trends in 2015, including record-breaking total M&A value of $3.8 trillion driven by megadeals like Pfizer's acquisition of Allergan. It also discusses rising corporate confidence, convergence deals across sectors due to technological changes, and the outlook for continued strong M&A activity in 2016 as companies pursue deals to drive innovation and growth. The special theme of the issue is how digital disruption is transforming M&A through impacts on due diligence, deal structuring, and changes in sectors and business models.
Measuring the Blended Value of Corporate Social Responsibility and Social Ent...Karim Harji
Presentation to the Canadian Evaluation Society Annual Conference, Ottawa, June 2, 2009
Innovative evaluation methods and tools are emerging in the fields of corporate social responsibility (CSR) and social enterprise. The focus of these innovations is the measurement of the “blended value” (financial, social and environmental) that is created by CSR and social enterprise, which is of interest to social investors, “philanthrocapitalists” and governments.
This panel will summarize findings-in-process from ongoing applications in these spheres in Ontario, Ghana and other developing-world settings. There are advantages and challenges in applying “blended value” approaches that the presenters will examine. The panelists will also discuss the implications of these findings for the theory and practice of evaluation.
The document discusses ethics and ethical standards for accounting professionals. It begins by questioning whether ethics should be flexible depending on business needs or cultural norms. It suggests that ethics involve consistent principles of integrity, objectivity and honesty that should not vary depending on situation or location. Upholding high ethical standards is important for maintaining trust in the accounting profession.
This document provides a business plan for an IT firm called "Techno Next IT Ltd". The plan outlines the company's products and services which include software development, IT training, and server/network management. It proposes that the company will have one branch initially with plans to expand nationally. The marketing plan discusses performing SWOT analysis of competitors, setting competitive pricing, and selecting multiple distribution channels. The financial plan estimates startup capital needs and provides projections for costs, revenues, and profitability. Overall, the business plan lays out the vision and strategy for a new IT services firm in Bangladesh.
Imagine a future, in five to ten years time, where organisations have advanced, from today’s handful of AI proof of concepts and pilot projects, to that future where AI is fully embedded throughout the organisation.
What will the new operating models look like? How will humans and machines interact?
How should the COO prepare for this future?
What will be the role of the COO and what skills will be needed?
I offer some potential answers to these questions and propose some practical actions that the COO can take now.
The document proposes establishing an event management company called M.A.D. that will focus on organizing surprise events for individuals. The company aims to target middle to high income individuals by providing high quality, personalized events at an affordable price point. M.A.D. plans to leverage technology and develop long-term customer relationships to establish itself in the growing UK event management industry.
Investor Relations and Shareholder Communication : Linking internal aspiratio...Sanjay Uppal
This document discusses best practices for investor relations and shareholder communication. It emphasizes the importance of board and management commitment to investor relations. An effective investor relations department requires specialization with IR executives, analysts, and administrative support. The role of the IR team is to achieve fair valuation of the company's stock by understanding investors and communicating the company's equity story. Statutory disclosures are a minimum, and honesty and openness are important to maintain investor confidence. Managing expectations and reducing gaps between intrinsic and market value also helps investor relations.
SohoOS is a cloud-based business management platform founded in 2010 with 46 employees in San Francisco and Tel Aviv. It has over 800,000 registered businesses as users, mostly in the US, with over 1,000 new businesses joining daily. SohoOS addresses the need of the 500 million micro-businesses worldwide for a simple, free way to manage their business online. Its user base growth is accelerating as happy users recommend it to friends organically. SohoOS aims to become its users' full business ecosystem over time by helping them capitalize on new practices like lead generation and third party services.
This document provides an overview and introduction to the RBS SE100 Index, which tracks the growth, business activity, and impact of social enterprises in the UK. The key goals of the index are to collect robust data from social enterprises, communicate the results to showcase sector success stories, celebrate high-performing organizations, and campaign on the importance of measuring social impact. It highlights some of the initial findings from the first year of the index, including average growth rates and turnover amounts. It also outlines the partners and supporters involved in the index and awards.
Arrow's Global Components division outlined its strategy to drive accelerated profitable growth through expanding into adjacent markets and value-added services. This includes expanding its addressable market through recent acquisitions, building on core expertise in niche distribution and reverse logistics, and positioning itself as a technology product lifecycle leader. The strategy aims to increase both Arrow's market base and profit margins.
2010-2011 Economic Development Report - City of NoviAra Topouzian
City of Novi, Michigan releases an annual economic development report detailing the accomplishments of the past fiscal year and moving forward with a strategic plan for the coming year. Adopted by the Novi City Council, download the 2010-2011 Economic Development Goals & Objectives Report.
The Saturday Economist Private Client GroupJohn Ashcroft
This is the brochure for The Saturday Economist Private Client Group. We continue to work with a number of clients in addition to the Saturday Economist and The Saturday Economist Live. Join our Private Client group. You will have access to all of the Premium Subscriber content plus our work on scenario modelling, digital accommodation, disruptive innovation and platforms for growth. You will have access to personalized on line updates and our "Lunch at The Lowry" events.
The Saturday Economist Bond Market SentinelJohn Ashcroft
This is the Bond Market Sentinel analysis available
to members of the Saturday Economist Club. We monitor ten year gilt and bond yields in the US and the UK together with a look along the yield curve.
For exchange rates check out our weekly exchange rate updates. For the outlook on copper and metals check out our weekly metals update.
The comments on markets should not be construed as the giving of investment advice. Markets do not always behave according to trend.
Presentation on Business Angel Networks in Germany and Serbia for the 7th Int. SME Conference of the Serbian Ministry of Economy & Regional Development in Belgrade on October 4th, 2011.
CloudCamp Milan 2009: Univ. Bocconi (EntER)Gabriele Bozzi
The document is an introduction to cloud computing for businesses presented by Francesco M. Sacco. It discusses the estimated $43 billion opportunity presented by cloud computing and some of the biggest trends driving IT spending decisions in 2009-2010, including cloud computing. It also outlines potential customer types for cloud computing, including start-ups, gaming/entertainment companies, small businesses, and enterprises.
The document summarizes Wyeth Pharmaceuticals being awarded PMR2's Executive of the Year award for their progressive Consumer & Market Insights department. Key points:
- Wyeth adopted an "Insight Partner" model with six research specializations reporting to executive directors and overlayed with 11 teams each led by an Insight Partner.
- The Insight Partner acts as a strategic consultant rather than directing research, focusing on identifying issues and opportunities to inform brand strategy.
- This collaborative model breaks down silos, avoids duplication, and generates insights that directly inform brand management versus just fulfilling requests.
- Surveys found the new model increased performance and the C&MI team won several corporate awards,
The document provides an overview of Consort Partners, an international strategic marketing, public relations and social media company founded in 2004. It discusses Consort Partner's entrepreneurial roots in building new and established businesses across technology, media and finance markets in the US, Europe and Asia. Consort employs senior journalists, PR and marketing experts with an international network to leverage on behalf of clients. The second part of the document introduces NOAH Advisors, a European investment banking boutique focused on internet companies, and discusses some of their recent transaction experience.
MSI and Veranno are preparing an investment proposal to launch a mobile virtual network operator (MVNO) business in Latin America. The document outlines the MVNO concept, market opportunities in countries like Brazil and Mexico, a proposed business model with revenue streams, and investment needs totaling over $1 million. It also discusses competitors, the experienced management team, and a multi-year growth strategy focused initially on Brazil and Mexico.
This document provides an overview of the NOAH Conference 2011, which was an annual event focused on the European internet ecosystem. Some key details:
- The 2011 conference was held in London on November 9-10 with over 1,150 attendees from 35 countries, including CEOs, investors, media companies and press.
- There were 90 speakers from 20 countries who presented on keynotes, panels and presentations over the two-day event.
- Feedback was very positive from attendees on Twitter and in the press. The conference also included a party with a live band on the first evening.
This document presents the results of a pilot project testing the relevance of Malaysia's National Corporate Innovation Index (NCII) for small and medium enterprises (SMEs). The NCII was originally developed to measure innovation performance in large Malaysian companies. The pilot project aimed to evaluate how applicable the NCII framework is for SMEs and identify any necessary adjustments. The results suggest that while the NCII captures important aspects of innovation for SMEs, some elements require modification to better reflect the priorities and processes of smaller businesses. The findings aim to help SMEs better measure and communicate their innovation activities.
This document is a resume summarizing an individual's work and education history. It includes the following information:
- Education from 1992-2003 including primary and high school.
- Various marketing and business related courses completed from 2004-2007.
- Work experience from 2006-2007 as a Sales Representative for Engen Petroleum.
- Additional work from 2007-2008 in promotion, advertising and a call center before relocating to London.
- Work as a tutor and administrator in London from 2008-2009 before returning to South Africa.
- Role as Operations Manager for Avantel Pty Ltd from 2009-2010.
- Starting their own cleaning chemical services business called Mz
The document summarizes key M&A trends in 2015, including record-breaking total M&A value of $3.8 trillion driven by megadeals like Pfizer's acquisition of Allergan. It also discusses rising corporate confidence, convergence deals across sectors due to technological changes, and the outlook for continued strong M&A activity in 2016 as companies pursue deals to drive innovation and growth. The special theme of the issue is how digital disruption is transforming M&A through impacts on due diligence, deal structuring, and changes in sectors and business models.
Measuring the Blended Value of Corporate Social Responsibility and Social Ent...Karim Harji
Presentation to the Canadian Evaluation Society Annual Conference, Ottawa, June 2, 2009
Innovative evaluation methods and tools are emerging in the fields of corporate social responsibility (CSR) and social enterprise. The focus of these innovations is the measurement of the “blended value” (financial, social and environmental) that is created by CSR and social enterprise, which is of interest to social investors, “philanthrocapitalists” and governments.
This panel will summarize findings-in-process from ongoing applications in these spheres in Ontario, Ghana and other developing-world settings. There are advantages and challenges in applying “blended value” approaches that the presenters will examine. The panelists will also discuss the implications of these findings for the theory and practice of evaluation.
The document discusses ethics and ethical standards for accounting professionals. It begins by questioning whether ethics should be flexible depending on business needs or cultural norms. It suggests that ethics involve consistent principles of integrity, objectivity and honesty that should not vary depending on situation or location. Upholding high ethical standards is important for maintaining trust in the accounting profession.
This document provides a business plan for an IT firm called "Techno Next IT Ltd". The plan outlines the company's products and services which include software development, IT training, and server/network management. It proposes that the company will have one branch initially with plans to expand nationally. The marketing plan discusses performing SWOT analysis of competitors, setting competitive pricing, and selecting multiple distribution channels. The financial plan estimates startup capital needs and provides projections for costs, revenues, and profitability. Overall, the business plan lays out the vision and strategy for a new IT services firm in Bangladesh.
Imagine a future, in five to ten years time, where organisations have advanced, from today’s handful of AI proof of concepts and pilot projects, to that future where AI is fully embedded throughout the organisation.
What will the new operating models look like? How will humans and machines interact?
How should the COO prepare for this future?
What will be the role of the COO and what skills will be needed?
I offer some potential answers to these questions and propose some practical actions that the COO can take now.
The document proposes establishing an event management company called M.A.D. that will focus on organizing surprise events for individuals. The company aims to target middle to high income individuals by providing high quality, personalized events at an affordable price point. M.A.D. plans to leverage technology and develop long-term customer relationships to establish itself in the growing UK event management industry.
Investor Relations and Shareholder Communication : Linking internal aspiratio...Sanjay Uppal
This document discusses best practices for investor relations and shareholder communication. It emphasizes the importance of board and management commitment to investor relations. An effective investor relations department requires specialization with IR executives, analysts, and administrative support. The role of the IR team is to achieve fair valuation of the company's stock by understanding investors and communicating the company's equity story. Statutory disclosures are a minimum, and honesty and openness are important to maintain investor confidence. Managing expectations and reducing gaps between intrinsic and market value also helps investor relations.
SohoOS is a cloud-based business management platform founded in 2010 with 46 employees in San Francisco and Tel Aviv. It has over 800,000 registered businesses as users, mostly in the US, with over 1,000 new businesses joining daily. SohoOS addresses the need of the 500 million micro-businesses worldwide for a simple, free way to manage their business online. Its user base growth is accelerating as happy users recommend it to friends organically. SohoOS aims to become its users' full business ecosystem over time by helping them capitalize on new practices like lead generation and third party services.
This document provides an overview and introduction to the RBS SE100 Index, which tracks the growth, business activity, and impact of social enterprises in the UK. The key goals of the index are to collect robust data from social enterprises, communicate the results to showcase sector success stories, celebrate high-performing organizations, and campaign on the importance of measuring social impact. It highlights some of the initial findings from the first year of the index, including average growth rates and turnover amounts. It also outlines the partners and supporters involved in the index and awards.
Arrow's Global Components division outlined its strategy to drive accelerated profitable growth through expanding into adjacent markets and value-added services. This includes expanding its addressable market through recent acquisitions, building on core expertise in niche distribution and reverse logistics, and positioning itself as a technology product lifecycle leader. The strategy aims to increase both Arrow's market base and profit margins.
2010-2011 Economic Development Report - City of NoviAra Topouzian
City of Novi, Michigan releases an annual economic development report detailing the accomplishments of the past fiscal year and moving forward with a strategic plan for the coming year. Adopted by the Novi City Council, download the 2010-2011 Economic Development Goals & Objectives Report.
The Saturday Economist Private Client GroupJohn Ashcroft
This is the brochure for The Saturday Economist Private Client Group. We continue to work with a number of clients in addition to the Saturday Economist and The Saturday Economist Live. Join our Private Client group. You will have access to all of the Premium Subscriber content plus our work on scenario modelling, digital accommodation, disruptive innovation and platforms for growth. You will have access to personalized on line updates and our "Lunch at The Lowry" events.
The Saturday Economist Bond Market SentinelJohn Ashcroft
This is the Bond Market Sentinel analysis available
to members of the Saturday Economist Club. We monitor ten year gilt and bond yields in the US and the UK together with a look along the yield curve.
For exchange rates check out our weekly exchange rate updates. For the outlook on copper and metals check out our weekly metals update.
The comments on markets should not be construed as the giving of investment advice. Markets do not always behave according to trend.
The Saturday Economist Monday Morning MarketsJohn Ashcroft
This is the Monday Morning Markets analysis available
to members of the Saturday Economist Club. We monitor ten markets across the world together with an update on commodity prices and bond yields.
For exchange rates check out our weekly exchange
rate updates. For the outlook on copper and metals
check out our weekly metals update.
The comments on markets should not be construed as the giving of investment advice. Markets do not always behave according to trend! JKA
This the Crypto Wallet Chart analysis available to members of the Saturday Economist Club. We monitor five cryptos including Bitcoin, Ripple, Ethereum, Litecoin and Dogecoin.
The comments on markets should not be construed as the giving of investment advice. We do not invest nor trade in crypto.
Markets do not always behave according to trend!
Dogecoin and the speculative bubble mapJohn Ashcroft
In May we warned of the comparison between the Dogecoin price chart and the speculative bubble map. This is the update with the July price footnote. Dogecoin is down in price by 70% since we first published the note. JKA
The Saturday Economist Empires of the Cloud Fund TrackerJohn Ashcroft
This is our Empires of the Cloud Fund Tracker. We model the fortunes of Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, Google and Facebook. Together that have a combined market cap of over $9 trillion dollars. $10,000 dollars invested in April 2016 wouuld be worth over $40,000 in 2021.
The Saturday Economist UK Forecast update june 2021John Ashcroft
This is the Saturday Economist Forecast Update for June 2021. Available with Quarterly Updates forr members of The Saturday Economist Club and Premium Subscribers.
The Saturday Economist Live Slide Deck June 2020 ppJohn Ashcroft
The Saturday Economist Live on Zoom. This is the data slide deck from our presentation on the 26th June. Sign up at the Saturday Economist dot com for news of future events.
The Saturday Economist Webinar May Slide SelectionJohn Ashcroft
This pack includes a selection of slides from The Saturday Economist Webinar for May, held on the 29th May 2020.
Videos of the presentation are available on Youtube and LinkedIn
The Saturday Economist Slide Pack April 2020John Ashcroft
The Saturday Economist, Quarterly Economics Presentation with Brabners LLP. The April Webinar was held on the 28th April using GoToWebinar with almost 300 in attendance. Our theme was Animal Crossing. JKA
Several years ago, a good friend of mine made the move to set up his own business. He asked me “What should I do to develop my social media profile?”
The Eight “Letters to a friend on Social Media" followed over the next few weeks and months. The basic guide to creating and nurturing a social media profile.
The themes were developed over many years of experience and at great expense. Here the letters are reproduced as a PDF. The eight letters pulled together in this short guide. Here are the first three!
1. Ten Things you must do now to set up your social media profile!
2. Fingerprints, footprints and photographs...laying a trail
3. Beacons, Cascades and R(0)s...how to improve the performance of your social media messaging...
Our Guide to Digital disruption Update 2019John Ashcroft
This document discusses digital disruption and its causes. It identifies six global forces shaping digital disruption: 1) increasing connectivity through mobile phones and other devices, 2) the growing number of connected devices and emergence of the internet of things, 3) exponential growth in data creation and need for data storage, 4) lower barriers to market participation. These forces are accelerating changes in business models and challenging traditional companies through new entrants like Uber and Airbnb.
The document provides forecasts for UK GDP growth in 2017-2018 from The Saturday Economist. It forecasts growth of 1.5% in 2018 after 1.2% growth in the first quarter. Charts are presented showing historical and forecasted GDP growth for various sectors of the UK economy such as manufacturing, services, construction according to the ONS preliminary estimate for Q1 2018.
John Ashcroft's The Digital Marketing Guide to the Empires of the Cloud John Ashcroft
The Empires of the Cloud have a combined market capitalisation of almost $3 trillion dollars. Facebook has access to FIVE billion points of contact with internet users. Who are they? Check out the latest update from The Dimensions of Strategy Team! Don't Miss Out! JKA
The Saturday Economist UK Economic Outlook December 2015John Ashcroft
The Saturday Economist, UK Economic Outlook December 2015 is out now. We have lowered our forecasts for growth in 2015 and 2016. Check out over twenty pages of analysis
Uk gilt holdings and qe - money for nothing gilts for freeJohn Ashcroft
Since QE began in early 2009, UK gilts in issue have increased from £600 billion to £1.6 trillion. Bank of England holdings have increased from zero to £400 billion accounting for 25% of all gilts in issue. BoE holdings peaked at almost 30% of total holdings in 2012. Overseas holdings of gilts, have doubled from £200 billion to £400 billion. In the most recent period, overseas holdings have fallen to 25% of all gilts in issue, compared to an historical average of 30%. UK institutional holdings of gilts have increased from £400 billion to £800 billion accounting for 50% of all gilts in issue. Holdings of gilts by pension funds and insurance funds have increased from just over £200 billion to almost £500 billion. As a share of total gilts in issue, pension fund and insurance company holdings have been steady at around 28% over the six year period. Other UK financial institutions have seen a fluctuation in holdings with some suggestion of “front running” i.e. buying gilts ahead of the Bank of England purchase programme to benefit from rising prices. in the initial stages. In fact, all major stakeholders in gilts have increased holdings over the five year period. This raises an interesting question about from whom has the Bank of England bought gilts as part of the QE process? Only in the very early stages of QE is there evidence of purchased from the private sector (note 7). In reality it would appear the Bank of England purchases gilts from the Debt Management Office and not from financial institutions. Asset values are guaranteed by Treasury. JKA
Dividends, yields and coupons are also returned to Treasury, which effectively enables the government to finance borrowing with a Dire Straits underpin “Money for nothing - Gilts for Free.”
The saturday economist manufacturing update October 2015John Ashcroft
Overall manufacturing output remains some 7% below the pre recession peak and in line with levels experienced at the end of 1989. We expected too much from manufacturing in the rebalancing agenda. The average rate of growth since 1950 has been just 1.5% hence the share of output decline in an economy growing at 2.5% plus.
Hopes for a manufacturing rally were rhetoric without reason. The prospect of re shoring was illusory as the plans for Jaguar Land Rover to expand output overseas demonstrate. The UK does not have a revealed comparative advantage in manufacturing to stimulate export growth. The balance of payments trade in goods will continue to deteriorate despite some improvement this year from international energy, oil and commodity prices.
The UK does have a varied manufacturing base, with real strengths in transport, food, drink and capital goods. The sector can only achieve so much in international trade and will offer so little to the rebalancing agenda. We should not expect too much from our manufacturers.
The Saturday Economist Manufacturing Update September 2015John Ashcroft
The Saturday Economist, Manufacturing Update September 2015. Based on ONS data from 2000:Q1 to 2015:Q2 this is our working file / graph set we use to analyse manufacturing in the UK. Over 50 slides are available as a FREE download to students and lovers of economics. The trend decline in textiles and tobacco is evident, offset by the evident strength of transport equipment - water, wheels and wings.
The saturday economist uk economic outlook september 2015John Ashcroft
The Saturday Economist, UK Economic Outlook, September 2015. Latest forecasts following ONS Second Estimate of GDP released at the end of August. We still forecast growth of 2.8% this year and into next despite the fears about China and sluggish growth in Europe.
The saturday economist modeling uk investment september 2015John Ashcroft
The Saturday Economist, Modelling Investment, one of the working papers in our Quarterly Economic Outlook. We look a trends in investment by sector, the ratio of investment to GDP, Latest data on capital productivity and our four year capital stock model. Detailed graphs and tables.
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pro.manchester presenter PROMPT
1. .. is the not for profit members organisation representing
the FPS community in Greater Manchester
banking, legal, finance, accountancy, corporate finance, private equity,
venture capital, asset management, insurance, property, strategy,
advertising, marketing, research, PR, HR, architecture, surveying,
civil engineering, recruitment, personnel, head hunting, networking.
Friday, 20 May 2011
2. The Biggest Advisory Group in the North West
in financial and professional services....
1987
banking, legal, finance, accountancy, corporate finance, private equity,
venture capital, asset management, insurance, property, strategy,
advertising, marketing, research, PR, HR, architecture, surveying,
civil engineering, recruitment, personnel, head hunting, networking.
Friday, 20 May 2011
3. The Biggest Advisory Group in the North West
Three hundred member organisations
Four thousand active members
banking, legal, finance, accountancy, corporate finance, private equity,
venture capital, asset management, insurance, property, strategy,
advertising, marketing, research, PR, HR, architecture, surveying,
civil engineering, recruitment, personnel, head hunting, networking.
Friday, 20 May 2011
7. Ten Key Reasons to join pro.manchester
1 Manchester works because it has a unique public, private partnership and pro.manchester is part of the Manchester family
2 Opportunity for member companies to contribute and to be seen to contribute to the City as part of a CSR program
3 pro.manchester has 300 member organisations and over 5,000 members engaged in membership.
4 It is the biggest advisory group in the North West and a look at the big names explains so much.
5 Participation - Eighty member organisations are engaged in the board and the committee structure
6 Gateway group of Senior Partners, Managing Partners and Key executives engaged in the process.
7 pro.manchester has an extensive events and activities agenda, 120 events per annum
8 With a large Business Development and Conference program as part of CORE, the corporate outreach programme
9 Key sectors such as future pro.manchester and skills and education important in the structure
10 pro.manchester Connects a very exciting development for 2011 including CENBAR and the SME club.
Friday, 20 May 2011
8. Ten Key Reasons to join pro.manchester
unity
comm
1 Manchester works because it has a unique public, private partnership and pro.manchester is part of the Manchester family
heste r
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2 Opportunity for member companies to contribute and to be seen to contribute to the City as part of a CSR program
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3 pro.manchester has 300 member organizations and almost 4,000 members engaged in membership.ork
onsin the North to andngage ibig nameseste so much.
4 It is the biggestrea
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Th5ree n- d to b organizations sive pro board and develop
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age a - Gatewaytgroup ofeSeniorePartners, Managingsinesand Key executives engaged in the process.
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Participation Eighty member are engaged in the the committee structure
En6gEngagement m he al bu Partners
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t frohas an extensive eventstand activities agenda
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8 With a large Business Development and Conference program as part of CORE, the corporate outreach programme
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9 Key sectors such as future pro.manchester…skills and education important in the structure
ne m orae … developmentn 2011.
orga for
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10 pro.manchester Connects very exciting
A l f l ea
A gr eat se
Friday, 20 May 2011
9. pro.manchester Innovation and Enterprise Report
for er
rt est
po ch
re an
ig M
B r ti me
te ed on
ea let
Gr p
com
The great enemy of the truth is very often not the lie,
deliberate, contrived, and dishonest, but the myth,
persistent, persuasive, and unrealistic.
John F. Kennedy
JKA January 2011
Friday, 20 May 2011
10. pro.manchester pro.manchester pro.manchester
Economics Quarterly Review Corporate Finance Review Special Report
Grinding out growth Megatrends, the next big thing
Second Quarter 2011 First Quarter 2011 June 2011
UK Macro Economics Quarterly in Corporate Finance Review in S p e c i a l M e g a t re n d s re p o r t i n
association with the Business association with the Corporate Finance association with futurist Mike Ryan
Economists Group Group and Experian
pro.manchester
pro.manchester
Business Conditions Survey
Property Review
Space for expansion Steady as she goes ..
Second Quarter 2011
Second Quarter 2011
pro.manchester property group
property review in association with B u s i n e s s C o n d i t i o n s S u r vey i n
the pro.manchester property and association with the GM Chamber of
property agents group Commerce Quarterly Survey
Tuesday, 17 May 2011
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Friday, 20 May 2011
12. pro.manchester connects is designed to provide high quality assistance to entrepreneurs, early stage
companies and SME’s in the Manchester City region and the North West of England.
Membership provides access to education and business development programmes and access to capital
providers and the service industry. The membership community is designed to accelerate innovation and
enterprise and to stimulate new company formation.
pro.manchester Connect carries out the mission thanks to the generous support of the 400 member
organisations and the 4,000 active members in pro.manchester.
“Accelerating innovation in Greater Manchester”
pro.manchester is able to call on the active support of member
firms from the banking, legal, finance, accountancy, corporate
finance, business angels, venture capital, private equity, asset
management, insurance, property, strategy, advertising,
marketing, research, PR, HR, architecture, surveying, civil
engineering, recruitment, personnel, head hunting, networking
organisations as well as associate members in higher education,
high tech and life sciences.
pro.manchester is working with key corporate organisations
across the region to bring together investors and entrepreneurs to
create a culture of co-operation sharing knowledge and assistance
to accelerate innovation and enterprise. Register here
Our objective is to open access to new sources of capital, assist in increasing the number of new businesses, and provided entrepreneur
education, networking and recognition to continue building our innovation economy. Commercialisation of innovation means helping to source and
expand funding for Greater Manchester’s academic and research community, increasing access to all forms of capital for early-stage companies
including proof of concept and pre revenue funding.
About : Programs : Members : Resources : Courses :
Capital Return
Education Mentoring Coaching Preparation Networking Recognition Reward Access
Wednesday, 28 July 2010
Friday, 20 May 2011
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Friday, 20 May 2011
14. t&
ten
on rs
t c nte
ea se
Gr re Gavin Esler
p Kirsty Wark
Kirsty Wark
Friday, 20 May 2011
15. The Biggest Advisory Group in the North West
Three hundred member organisations
Three and a half thousand active members
banking, legal, finance, accountancy, corporate finance, private equity,
venture capital, asset management, insurance, property, strategy,
advertising, marketing, research, PR, HR, architecture, surveying,
civil engineering, recruitment, personnel, head hunting, networking.
Friday, 20 May 2011
16. OS Map Organisation and Strategy
The OS map is a novel way of explaining complex organisation and strategy overlays. The
pro.manchester agenda is extensive, demanding and inter related with key organisations and
institutions in Greater Manchester.
Step 1 The central lines
The first step in reading the map. The executive team line, the board line and the committee line form
the core of the map placed in the middle of the grid, at the centre of all activities.
Step 2 The five key committees,
In the middle, business development committee, then clockwise, future.pro, membership,
communications committee and skills and education.
Step 3 The “main” lines.
3.1 The membership line, beginning with Gateway Group, bankers, lawyers, accountants, private
equity, wealth and asset management through to consultants, economists and property.
3.2 The business development line.
The key BD initiatives including, Conferences, CRAG, BEG, SPRIG, pro.manchester Creative,
ICE, and SAGE.
Step 4 The branch lines
4.1 CORE : the corporate out reach programme working with the CBI, IOD, The GM CoC etc.
4.2 MPEG : the corporate finance and private equity agenda
4.3 International : The international agenda, India, China, USA etc.
4.4 Conference line : the Business Angels, BVCA, Manchester FPS conference
4.5 Uni Line : the HEI’s with whom we work as part of the Skills and Education Agenda
4.6 Events Line : A selection of event types through the year
4.7 The Family Circle Line : Key organisations with whom we work throughout the year.
Friday, 20 May 2011
17. OS Map Organisation and Strategy
Definitions:
Gateway Group : Senior Partners, Managing Partners Senior Executives of pro.manchester
Glossary :
BBAA : British Business Angels Association
BEG : Business Economists Group
BVCA : British Venture Capital Association
CATS : A membership cluster encompassing Consultants, Training Specialists etc.
CF’s : CorpFins the corporate finance group.
CORE : Corporate Outreach programme
CRAG : Carbon Reduction Action Group
FPS : Financial and Professional Services
ICE : Islamic Banking, Carbon Trading and Ethical Banking
HEI’s : HIgher Education Institutes including the Co-Operative Academy
LP’s : Limited Partners (A BVCA term - potential investment groups into VC, PE)
MPEG : Manchester Private Equity Group
PE : Private Equity
SAGE : Special advisors Group of Entrepreneurs in the City
SBE : Society of Business Economists
SPRIG : Sports Industry Group
VC : Venture Capital
VCT’s : Venture Capital Trusts
WAM : Wealth and Asset Management
Friday, 20 May 2011