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PROBABILITY
PROBABILITY
Probability of an
event is a value
that tell us how
likely that event
is to happen
Probabilty of
any event
# of outcomes
that satisfy requirements
Total #
of possible outcomes
Probability Line
1
2
1
0
Impossible Certain
A probability of 0 means that an event cannot happen,
its impossible and probability of 1 means that an event is
definitely going to happen, its certain that’s why probability
line only goes from 0 to 1, and an event can’t be less likely
than impossible and it can’t be more likely than certain.
Probability Line
1
2
1
0
as likely
as not
unlikely likely
A probability less than one-half means that an
event is unlikely and a probability greater than
one-half means that an event is likely.
Probability Line
1
2
1
0
0.0 1.0
0.5
or 0%
or 50%
or 100%
A probability of 0 is the same as a 0% chance of something
happening.
A probability of one-half is the same as a 50% chance of
something happening.
And a probability of 1 is the same as probability of 100% is
the same.
TRIAL
It is a process that
has a random outcome
If we has a coin, what is the probability
of flipping heads and tails ?
Probability of
flipping heads
Probability of
flipping tails
1
2
1
2
about half flips will be
heads
about half flips will be
tails
0.5or 50% 0.5or 50%
If we has a dice with six standard sides,
what is the probability of rolling any
side?
just as likely
A dice have 6 possibilities
A standard dice has 6 sides, numbered 1 to 6, when you roll
it, any of those sides, it is just as likely to come up as the
others.
only One side can face upwards
Divide by 6
1
6
1
6
1
6
1
6
1
6
1
6
It’s certain that one of six sides will land facing upwards
which is a probability of 1 or 100%.
But since only one side can face upwards for a given roll,
have need to divide the probability up by evenly between 6
possibilities.
Difference
between coin
toss and
rolling dice
Divide by 6
1
6
1
6
1
6
1
6
1
6
1
6
Divide by 2
1
2
1
2
dice have 6
possibilities
coin have 2
possibilities
50% 50%
16.7% 16.7% 16.7% 16.7% 16.7%
16.7%
1
2
1
2
2
2
1 or 100%
6
6
1 or 100%
1
6
1
6
1
6
1
6
1
6
1
6
If we has a spinner with just ten
equally sized sectors, what is the
probability of spinning a 8?
10 equally sized
sectors
1
10
1
10
1
10
1
10
1
10
1
10
1
10
1
10
1
10
1
10
10
10
1 or 100%
We had to split up the 1 or 100% between all ten possibilities.
??
Probability of spinning a 8 is
1
10
Or about 10%
??
Suppose we have a bag of marbles, there are
3 green marbles, 7 yellow marbles and 1 blue
marble. If we mix them up and pull out a
marble at random. What’s the probability of
it being green?
Random
Marble
Possibility of
green marble ??
after
mixing
Probabilty of
green marble
3
11
The top number of our probability fraction will be
3, because there are 3 green marbles. So there’s 3
outcomes that get us, what we want and the
bottom number will be 11, because there’s a total
of 11 possible marbles that could pull out. So the
probability of pulling out a green marble is 3/11.
0.27
after mixing
3
11
27%
Probability of
green marble
or
or
3
11
Thanks!
Any questions?
You can find me at
saniakanwal875@gmail.com

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Probability and Examples