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1
President
Trump’s “Border
Wall” Cost
Dispute Analysis
March 2017
Homeland Security Research Corp. –
your strategic partner for expert insights
into business opportunities in Homeland
Security and Public Safety
Report Table of Contents
2
1 Executive Summary 5
2 The U.S.-Mexico Border Wall Cost Calculation 8
2.1 Facts & Figures 8
2.2 Assumptions 9
2.3 U.S.-Mexico Border Wall Cost Estimation 11
2.3.1 Option A 11
2.3.2 Option B 13
2.3.3 Option C 15
2.3.4 Option D 17
2.3.5 Options Cost* Comparison 18
3 Appendix A: President Trump's Executive Order on Border Security and Immigration
Enforcement Improvement 19
4 Appendix B: Trump’s Mexico Wall Project Geopolitical Analysis 25
5 Appendix C: 2005-2016 Southern Border Security Issues 29
6 Disclaimer & Copyright 35
Report List of Tables
3
Table 1 - Border Security Elements [$K] Cost per Kilometer 10
Table 2 - Option A: Multilayered Security 3140 km 40 ft Wall Cost 11
Table 3 - Option B: Multilayered-Security 640 km 40 ft Wall + 800 km Fence + 160 km
Rough-Terrain Fence Cost 13
Table 4 - Option C: Multilayered Security 640 km 20 ft Wall + 800 km Fence + 160 km
Rough-Terrain Fence Cost 15
Table 5 - Option D: Multilayered-Security 40 km 40 ft Wall + 1400 km Fence + 160 km
Rough-Terrain Fence Cost 17
Report List of Figures
4
Figure 1 - U.S.-Mexico Border Fences and Other Structures - January 2017 5
Figure 2 - Cost* of 4 Southern Borders - HSRC’s Design Alternatives 6
Figure 3 - Breakdown [%] of Option A by Engineering Elements 12
Figure 4 - Breakdown [%] of Option B by Engineering Elements 14
Figure 5 - Breakdown [%] of Option C by Engineering Elements 16
Figure 6 - Breakdown [%] of Option D by Engineering Elements 18
Figure 7 - Multilayered Electronic Security Wall Cost* [$M] Options 18
Figure 8 - One in Four U.S. Foreign-Born Immigrants are Unauthorized 25
Figure 9 - U.S.-Mexico Border – January 2017 Status 27
Figure 10 - Pedestrian Fence 30
Figure 11 - Vehicle Fence 30
President Trump’s “Border Wall” Cost Dispute Analysis
The purpose of this analysis is to make the public aware of the conflicting
cost estimates, by using the expertise of Homeland Security Research Corp.
(HSRC) engineers gained from past border wall-fence consulting projects.
➢ A careful analysis of the Executive Order Section 3 Clause (e)
definition of a “Wall” reveals that it allows the use of any “similarly
secure, contiguous, and impassable physical barrier,” which would
cost about 10% of the value of a concrete wall.
➢ The Executive Order wording allows the administration to limit the
length of the new wall-barrier to 1,610 km. Furthermore, the order
does not specify the electronic sensors and other security
infrastructure to be installed along the new “wall.”
As the cost of the Wall “is in the details” (e.g., design specifications), HSRC
engineers analyzed 4 wall-barrier design alternatives, ranging between:
➢ A maximum-cost concrete wall with multilayered security, 3,145km-
long and 40ft-high, from the Pacific Ocean to the Gulf of Mexico, at a
cost of $34.2 billion*.
➢ A minimum cost “photo op wall”: a multilayered electronic security
barrier, consisting of a 40km-long and 40ft-high concrete wall, as well
as a 1,560km-long and 24ft-high fence, at a total cost of $6.2 billion.
5
U.S.-Mexico Border Fences & Other Structures (as of Jan. 2017)
U.S. – Mexico Border Wall Cost Estimation
Demonstrates our cost estimate for a multilayered-security, 3,145km-long 40ft-high wall
constructed from the Pacific Ocean to the Gulf of Mexico. The cost of option A is $34.2 billion.
6
Option A
Demonstrates our cost estimate for a multilayered-security, 640km-long, 40ft-high wall + 800km-
long fence + 160km-long rough terrain fence. The cost of option B is $10.6 billion*.
Option B
Demonstrates our cost estimate for a multilayered electronic security barrier consisting of a 640km-
long and 20ft-high wall + 800km-long smart fence + 160km-long rough terrain smart fence. The
cost of option C is $9.3 billion*.
Option C
Demonstrates our cost estimate for a multilayered electronic security barrier consisting of a 40km-
long, 40ft-high wall + 1400 km fence + 160 km rough-terrain fence. The cost of option D is $6.2
billion*.
Option D
➢ As long as no design details are set by the administration, any cost* estimate from $40 billion to less than $8 billion can
be considered as valid
➢ The Trump administration can construct an effective southern border “photo op wall” at a cost* of $10 billion, as long as
the physical concrete wall length is less than 200 km long
➢ No “wall technology” in sight can stop sophisticated contraband smugglers
Cost* of 4 Southern Borders – HSRC’s Design Alternatives (B$)
7
(*) The cost does not include expenses related to new roadways, compensation to private landowners, and new power lines.
The full free 35-page in-depth report analyzing
four border wall construction options, along
with extensive technical and financial
specifications, can be found at:
http://homelandsecurityresearch.com/president-trumps-proposed-
border-wall-cost-dispute-analysis
2017
©All Rights Reserved
9
HSRC supports Homeland Security & Public
Safety communities in
strategic decision-making
with up-to-date premium sources, analysis and
insights
Supporting Strategic Decision Making
10
Market Analysis
• Market Size
• Forecast and Trends
• Drivers and Inhibitors
Marketing & Sales
▪ Decision makers profiles
▪ RFIs / RFPs / contract notice
▪ Market price index
Country Analysis
▪ Regulation
▪ Main players
▪ Opportunities
Technology Analysis
▪ Forecast
▪ Best practices
▪ Benchmark
Company Analysis
▪ Competitors
▪ Customers
▪ Partners
11
Why HSRC
A multidisciplinary team of Homeland Security
and Public Safety industry experts with 30+
years of experience in product innovations,
technology and market analysis, R&D,
commercialization, counter-terror & counter-
crime field operations and consulting across the
HLS & Public Safety industry.
HSRC earned the reputation as the
industry’s Gold Standard for Homeland
Security and Public Safety market
reports. We provide our customers in
depth analysis and insights which can
quickly and easily be transformed into
actionable business opportunities.
Our customers include major Homeland Security
and Public Safety Government agencies in
leading countries as well as over 950 global
private sector clients (72% repeat customers)
including major defense and security vendors
and Fortune 2000 companies.
Multidisciplinary Team
Strong Client Base
Solid Reputation
We handle a wide scope of languages
and unique sources, including our own
network or industry experts and former
intelligence professional. Languages
include Chinese, French, Portuguese,
German, Russian, Spanish and more.
Unique Sources
Off The Shelf Reports
HSRC publishes premium reports about the industry,
markets and available emerging technologies:
• By Geography
• By Market
• By Vertical
• By Technology
• By Product
• By Revenue Stream
Premium Market Reports
12
HSRC provides premium market reports in the Homeland Security and Public Safety domain on
present and emerging technologies and industry expertise,
enabling global clients to gain time-critical insight into business opportunities
Customized Reports and Industry Insights
Tailor-Made Reports
Personalized reports according to customer’s
needs, focusing on specific information gaps:
• Market & Eco-System Research
• Competitor Analysis (company/person)
• Professional Interviews
• B2B Surveys
• Technology/Regulatory Benchmarking
• Interactive Databases
13
HSRC provides custom-made reports in the Homeland Security, Public Safety and
Intelligence domain, focusing on specific information gaps,
supporting your operations throughout the entire business cycle
R&D and product launch
Market penetration
challenges and
opportunities
Market size
evaluation and
trends
Geographical expansion
On-going
tracking
Brand
recognition
Select Customers
Homeland
Security
Border
Security
Video
Analytics
Detection and
Screening
Safe & Smart
City
14
The product provides a thorough and even
discussion…above and beyond our expectations…”
U.S. Congress GAO
Contact your direct account
manager to jumpstart your
decision-making today
Homeland Security Research Corporation
601 Pennsylvania Avenue, NW
Washington DC, 20004
Tel: +1-(202)-455-0966
Fax: +1-(877)-353-7326
Email: info@hsrc.biz
Website: http://homelandsecurityresearch.com/
2017
©All Rights Reserved

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President Trump's Border Wall Could Cost as much as $40b

  • 1. 1 President Trump’s “Border Wall” Cost Dispute Analysis March 2017 Homeland Security Research Corp. – your strategic partner for expert insights into business opportunities in Homeland Security and Public Safety
  • 2. Report Table of Contents 2 1 Executive Summary 5 2 The U.S.-Mexico Border Wall Cost Calculation 8 2.1 Facts & Figures 8 2.2 Assumptions 9 2.3 U.S.-Mexico Border Wall Cost Estimation 11 2.3.1 Option A 11 2.3.2 Option B 13 2.3.3 Option C 15 2.3.4 Option D 17 2.3.5 Options Cost* Comparison 18 3 Appendix A: President Trump's Executive Order on Border Security and Immigration Enforcement Improvement 19 4 Appendix B: Trump’s Mexico Wall Project Geopolitical Analysis 25 5 Appendix C: 2005-2016 Southern Border Security Issues 29 6 Disclaimer & Copyright 35
  • 3. Report List of Tables 3 Table 1 - Border Security Elements [$K] Cost per Kilometer 10 Table 2 - Option A: Multilayered Security 3140 km 40 ft Wall Cost 11 Table 3 - Option B: Multilayered-Security 640 km 40 ft Wall + 800 km Fence + 160 km Rough-Terrain Fence Cost 13 Table 4 - Option C: Multilayered Security 640 km 20 ft Wall + 800 km Fence + 160 km Rough-Terrain Fence Cost 15 Table 5 - Option D: Multilayered-Security 40 km 40 ft Wall + 1400 km Fence + 160 km Rough-Terrain Fence Cost 17
  • 4. Report List of Figures 4 Figure 1 - U.S.-Mexico Border Fences and Other Structures - January 2017 5 Figure 2 - Cost* of 4 Southern Borders - HSRC’s Design Alternatives 6 Figure 3 - Breakdown [%] of Option A by Engineering Elements 12 Figure 4 - Breakdown [%] of Option B by Engineering Elements 14 Figure 5 - Breakdown [%] of Option C by Engineering Elements 16 Figure 6 - Breakdown [%] of Option D by Engineering Elements 18 Figure 7 - Multilayered Electronic Security Wall Cost* [$M] Options 18 Figure 8 - One in Four U.S. Foreign-Born Immigrants are Unauthorized 25 Figure 9 - U.S.-Mexico Border – January 2017 Status 27 Figure 10 - Pedestrian Fence 30 Figure 11 - Vehicle Fence 30
  • 5. President Trump’s “Border Wall” Cost Dispute Analysis The purpose of this analysis is to make the public aware of the conflicting cost estimates, by using the expertise of Homeland Security Research Corp. (HSRC) engineers gained from past border wall-fence consulting projects. ➢ A careful analysis of the Executive Order Section 3 Clause (e) definition of a “Wall” reveals that it allows the use of any “similarly secure, contiguous, and impassable physical barrier,” which would cost about 10% of the value of a concrete wall. ➢ The Executive Order wording allows the administration to limit the length of the new wall-barrier to 1,610 km. Furthermore, the order does not specify the electronic sensors and other security infrastructure to be installed along the new “wall.” As the cost of the Wall “is in the details” (e.g., design specifications), HSRC engineers analyzed 4 wall-barrier design alternatives, ranging between: ➢ A maximum-cost concrete wall with multilayered security, 3,145km- long and 40ft-high, from the Pacific Ocean to the Gulf of Mexico, at a cost of $34.2 billion*. ➢ A minimum cost “photo op wall”: a multilayered electronic security barrier, consisting of a 40km-long and 40ft-high concrete wall, as well as a 1,560km-long and 24ft-high fence, at a total cost of $6.2 billion. 5 U.S.-Mexico Border Fences & Other Structures (as of Jan. 2017)
  • 6. U.S. – Mexico Border Wall Cost Estimation Demonstrates our cost estimate for a multilayered-security, 3,145km-long 40ft-high wall constructed from the Pacific Ocean to the Gulf of Mexico. The cost of option A is $34.2 billion. 6 Option A Demonstrates our cost estimate for a multilayered-security, 640km-long, 40ft-high wall + 800km- long fence + 160km-long rough terrain fence. The cost of option B is $10.6 billion*. Option B Demonstrates our cost estimate for a multilayered electronic security barrier consisting of a 640km- long and 20ft-high wall + 800km-long smart fence + 160km-long rough terrain smart fence. The cost of option C is $9.3 billion*. Option C Demonstrates our cost estimate for a multilayered electronic security barrier consisting of a 40km- long, 40ft-high wall + 1400 km fence + 160 km rough-terrain fence. The cost of option D is $6.2 billion*. Option D ➢ As long as no design details are set by the administration, any cost* estimate from $40 billion to less than $8 billion can be considered as valid ➢ The Trump administration can construct an effective southern border “photo op wall” at a cost* of $10 billion, as long as the physical concrete wall length is less than 200 km long ➢ No “wall technology” in sight can stop sophisticated contraband smugglers
  • 7. Cost* of 4 Southern Borders – HSRC’s Design Alternatives (B$) 7 (*) The cost does not include expenses related to new roadways, compensation to private landowners, and new power lines.
  • 8. The full free 35-page in-depth report analyzing four border wall construction options, along with extensive technical and financial specifications, can be found at: http://homelandsecurityresearch.com/president-trumps-proposed- border-wall-cost-dispute-analysis 2017 ©All Rights Reserved
  • 9. 9 HSRC supports Homeland Security & Public Safety communities in strategic decision-making with up-to-date premium sources, analysis and insights
  • 10. Supporting Strategic Decision Making 10 Market Analysis • Market Size • Forecast and Trends • Drivers and Inhibitors Marketing & Sales ▪ Decision makers profiles ▪ RFIs / RFPs / contract notice ▪ Market price index Country Analysis ▪ Regulation ▪ Main players ▪ Opportunities Technology Analysis ▪ Forecast ▪ Best practices ▪ Benchmark Company Analysis ▪ Competitors ▪ Customers ▪ Partners
  • 11. 11 Why HSRC A multidisciplinary team of Homeland Security and Public Safety industry experts with 30+ years of experience in product innovations, technology and market analysis, R&D, commercialization, counter-terror & counter- crime field operations and consulting across the HLS & Public Safety industry. HSRC earned the reputation as the industry’s Gold Standard for Homeland Security and Public Safety market reports. We provide our customers in depth analysis and insights which can quickly and easily be transformed into actionable business opportunities. Our customers include major Homeland Security and Public Safety Government agencies in leading countries as well as over 950 global private sector clients (72% repeat customers) including major defense and security vendors and Fortune 2000 companies. Multidisciplinary Team Strong Client Base Solid Reputation We handle a wide scope of languages and unique sources, including our own network or industry experts and former intelligence professional. Languages include Chinese, French, Portuguese, German, Russian, Spanish and more. Unique Sources
  • 12. Off The Shelf Reports HSRC publishes premium reports about the industry, markets and available emerging technologies: • By Geography • By Market • By Vertical • By Technology • By Product • By Revenue Stream Premium Market Reports 12 HSRC provides premium market reports in the Homeland Security and Public Safety domain on present and emerging technologies and industry expertise, enabling global clients to gain time-critical insight into business opportunities
  • 13. Customized Reports and Industry Insights Tailor-Made Reports Personalized reports according to customer’s needs, focusing on specific information gaps: • Market & Eco-System Research • Competitor Analysis (company/person) • Professional Interviews • B2B Surveys • Technology/Regulatory Benchmarking • Interactive Databases 13 HSRC provides custom-made reports in the Homeland Security, Public Safety and Intelligence domain, focusing on specific information gaps, supporting your operations throughout the entire business cycle R&D and product launch Market penetration challenges and opportunities Market size evaluation and trends Geographical expansion On-going tracking Brand recognition
  • 14. Select Customers Homeland Security Border Security Video Analytics Detection and Screening Safe & Smart City 14 The product provides a thorough and even discussion…above and beyond our expectations…” U.S. Congress GAO
  • 15. Contact your direct account manager to jumpstart your decision-making today Homeland Security Research Corporation 601 Pennsylvania Avenue, NW Washington DC, 20004 Tel: +1-(202)-455-0966 Fax: +1-(877)-353-7326 Email: info@hsrc.biz Website: http://homelandsecurityresearch.com/ 2017 ©All Rights Reserved