We create predictive models to forecast team's performance. Then we deliver recipes with presription models. Models help you to effectively manage your budget and inrease revenues.

1. MONEYBALL INMONEYBALL IN
FOOTBALLFOOTBALL
PREDICTING FUTURPREDICTING FUTUR
RECIPES FOR BETTERRECIPES FOR BETTER
RESULTSRESULTS
Cem Şengezer

2. MONEYBALL APPROACHMONEYBALL APPROACH
 Conceptual Model:
 Model for finding opportunities & risks
 Model for recipes:
 avoid from risks,
 monetize opportunities
 Realize your biases
 Narrow down your goals
 Specific actionable data to achieve those goals

3. Modeling for predictionModeling for prediction
 GOAL: How data can help you to predict ?
 Every club use data but the trick is in modeling
 You can do predictions if you have good models
 Data modeling can help you to win even if you
have limited resources.
 Constantly reinvent
 It is not a competitive advantage when everyone
does it
 You need to create «unique advantage» with
modeling

4. Team examplesTeam examples
 We developed our models for predictions
 You will see real examples of predictions

5. LEICESTER CITYLEICESTER CITY
 Bar graphic: Team’s monthly performance
 Every team has limit: horizontal lines
 Performance downturn when bars are highly over horizontal lines
 Performance upturn when bars are highly under horizontal lines

6. If you predict turning pointsIf you predict turning points
 We developed predictive models to forecast
turning points:
 If you can forecast turning points you can manage
more effectively your team (playing 11).
 Effective management => more winning results
=>more revenues
 Sponsorship
 Partnership
 Broadcasting
 Player selling

7. We have recipes for yourWe have recipes for your
problemsproblems
 Feel free to contact with me about recipes
 For your players
 For your team
 Answer examples for your questions
 Team will be in downturn in 2-4 matches
 You should replace your A, B players with C, D players to slow
/stop this downturn
 Team will be in upturn in 3-5 matches
 You should replace your A, B players with C, D players to
accelerate /fast this upturn
 Your team is @risky region: very volatile results because of
D,E players
 You should replace them with…..

8. CONTACTCONTACT
 cem@momentumdanismanlik.com