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Environmental Change Institute

Personal carbon allowances: a radical
idea for reducing carbon emissions
Tina Fawcett
Outline of talk
Carbon emissions, Global and UK
Description of personal carbon trading
Research evidence
Its rise and fall in politics
The future of PCT
This idea used to be the future once....
Global carbon emissions rapidly increasing

Fossil fuel
CO2
emissions,
PgC/yr

Source: Peters, G. P et al, 2011, Rapid growth in CO2 emissions after the 2008–2009 global financial crisis, Nature Climate Change,
Published online 04 December 2011
UK carbon emissions, 1990-2010

Source: DECC 2011, Statistical release: UK climate change sustainable development indicator: 2010 greenhouse gas
emissions, provisional figures and 2009 greenhouse gas emissions, final figures by fuel type and end-user
Personal carbon trading
Idea developed in the UK in late 1990s, separately by
two independent researchers, Mayer Hillman and
David Fleming.

Changing terminology: Carbon rations  personal carbon allowances 
personal carbon trading (aka individual carbon allowances / trading, carbon
credit cards...)
Domestic tradeable quotas (DTQs)  tradeable energy quotas (TEQs)
PCT overview
Personal carbon trading is a umbrella term which covers
a number of specific policy proposals.
Personal carbon allowances


Equal rations for all individuals



Tradable allowances



Energy used in the household and for personal
transport are both included



Year-on-year reduction of the annual allowance,
signalled well in advance



Mandatory
Why is trading necessary?
Annual personal
carbon emissions
Tonnes CO2e

25
20

Retired woman in 2 person household. Average
household emissions. No car. Flights include Brazil,
Sri Lanka and Malaysia. 26.2t
Man in 3 person household. Works largely from home –
high emissions. Twice national average car travel.
Flights to Spain and South Africa 13.3t

15
Working woman, lives with partner. High household
emissions. More than double av. car mileage. No flights. 5.7t

UK average
5.4t

10
5

0

Working woman, lives alone. Electricity as
heating fuel. No car. One EU flight. 3.4t
Retired man, lives with partner. Electricity is main heating
fuel. No car, extensive travel by bus & coach. No flights. 2.1t
Routes to deliver emissions reductions

Economic
motivations

PCA
PCA

Psychological
intrinsic
motivations

Social
motivations

Economic behaviour
Carbon price signal from
higher energy prices;
financial incentives to
reduce energy demand

Carbon perception
Awareness of personal
carbon footprint from the
allocation, budgeting
process and raised
visibility

Social norms
New definitions of a fair
share of personal
emissions and acceptable
& unacceptable levels of
personal emissions

Energy
demand
reduction

Carbon
Carbon
emissions
emissions
reduction
reduction

Source: Yael Parag
Research evidence on social acceptability
Researcher(s)

Method

Number of
participants

Policy context

Low, 2005

Focus groups

30-40

PCT compared with increased carbon taxation

Howell, 2007
Von Knobelsdorff,
2008
Harwatt, 2008

30-40
300+

Bristow et al, 2008

Focus groups
Questionnaires by post
and email
Interviews, using
questionnaires and
unstructured replies
Questionnaires

IPPR, 2008

Opinion poll, online

1000+

Owen et al, 2008

Focus groups

80-90

PCT compared with increased carbon taxation
PCT in isolation, no comparison with other
policy
PCT for transport only, compared with
increased fuel taxation, with personalised
information on extra costs
PCT compared with increased taxation and
revenue recycling, with personalised
information on extra costs
PCT compared with carbon taxation and
upstream cap and trade
PCT compared with carbon taxation and
upstream cap and trade

Wallace et al, 2010

Questionnaires and semi- 330
structured interview
(questionnaire)
21 (interview)
Questionnaire
940

Jagers et al, 2010

60+

300

PCT in isolation, no comparison with other
policy
PCT compared with existing carbon tax
(Sweden)

Source: Fawcett, T. 2010 Personal carbon trading: A policy ahead of its time? Energy
Policy 38 (2010) 6868-6876
PCT and the policy process
2000-

PCT being researched by small number of people

2006-07 Profile raised by David Miliband, then Secretary of State for
Environment
2007-08 Programme of ‘pre-feasibility’ research work commissioned by
Defra. Conclusions raised issues of cost and public acceptability
as
major barriers, PCT ‘ahead of its time’
2008

Environmental Audit Committee, House of Commons published
results of its enquiry, ‘regretted’ Defra’s decision to wind-down
further research work
2009

Sustainable Development Commission named PCT as one of the
‘Breakthrough ideas for the 21st century. (2011 SDC abolished)

2009-11 Little political or policy making attention paid to this idea
Rise and fall of newspaper reporting
Increasing academic interest
Current status of PCT (1)
Research
Very little funded research underway at present (but continuing
interest by post-grad students)
‘Trial’ underway in Norfolk Island, Australia
Related research: two studies underway on distribution of carbon
footprints
Commercial sector
WSP runs a scheme based on PCT called PACT, now
operational in 8 countries with 1,600 members
Politics
Green Party policy
Group of MPs sponsored publication of booklet on DTQs (2011)
Current status of PCT (2)
Community action
CRAGs network – Carbon Reduction Action Groups – still in
existence, though less active than formerly
500 – 600 grass roots organisations in UK working on carbon
reduction
Support from environmental NGOs and prominent
environmentalists
No statements of support from Greenpeace / FoE
Supported by Jonathon Porritt (in 2008)
Briefly supported by Mark Lynas and George Monbiot
Snapshot of 2006/7 and 2011
 

2006-7

2011

UK political interest

Secretary of State for Environment
promoting the idea, government
commissions research

No interest by major political
parties, but is Green Party policy
(Green Party have one MP).

UK community 
involvement

Growing CRAGs network

Smaller and less active CRAGs
network. 500-600 climate change
and low carbon futures groups.

Private sector

None

WSP PACT scheme
Potential private sector involvement
in NICHE project

Environmental NGOs

Little support or interest

Little support or interest

Research in UK

Research underway in a small
number of universities and think
tanks.

No significant UK research funding.

Research outside UK

Very little, if any

NICHE pilot study in Australia

Knowledge base
CO2 concentration 
level in atmosphere 
(ppm) (Tans 2011)

3 journal articles
381.9 (2006)

35 journal articles
389.8 (2010)
What is needed for PCT to be
reconsidered as a policy option?
•
•
•
•
•

Failure to meet the UK carbon reduction targets
Political leaders needing new ideas
Influential NGO takes up the idea
Idea tried out in another country and shown to succeed
Positive, good quality evidence on efficacy / efficiency /
cost / acceptability
• Green Party in government!
• Needs to be re-invented in a country more sympathetic to
collective social change?
• Re-branded and re-launched
Why I still think it’s a good idea
•Potentially it offers a route to effective and equitable
carbon savings
•Research so far hasn’t shown any insurmountable
obstacles (although a lot is still unknown)
•It raises a lot of important questions
•It’s a challenging and radical policy idea of the sort
which will be needed if we’re to meet UK and global
carbon reductions targets

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Radical Carbon Policy

  • 1. Environmental Change Institute Personal carbon allowances: a radical idea for reducing carbon emissions Tina Fawcett
  • 2. Outline of talk Carbon emissions, Global and UK Description of personal carbon trading Research evidence Its rise and fall in politics The future of PCT
  • 3. This idea used to be the future once....
  • 4. Global carbon emissions rapidly increasing Fossil fuel CO2 emissions, PgC/yr Source: Peters, G. P et al, 2011, Rapid growth in CO2 emissions after the 2008–2009 global financial crisis, Nature Climate Change, Published online 04 December 2011
  • 5. UK carbon emissions, 1990-2010 Source: DECC 2011, Statistical release: UK climate change sustainable development indicator: 2010 greenhouse gas emissions, provisional figures and 2009 greenhouse gas emissions, final figures by fuel type and end-user
  • 6. Personal carbon trading Idea developed in the UK in late 1990s, separately by two independent researchers, Mayer Hillman and David Fleming. Changing terminology: Carbon rations  personal carbon allowances  personal carbon trading (aka individual carbon allowances / trading, carbon credit cards...) Domestic tradeable quotas (DTQs)  tradeable energy quotas (TEQs)
  • 7. PCT overview Personal carbon trading is a umbrella term which covers a number of specific policy proposals. Personal carbon allowances  Equal rations for all individuals  Tradable allowances  Energy used in the household and for personal transport are both included  Year-on-year reduction of the annual allowance, signalled well in advance  Mandatory
  • 8. Why is trading necessary? Annual personal carbon emissions Tonnes CO2e 25 20 Retired woman in 2 person household. Average household emissions. No car. Flights include Brazil, Sri Lanka and Malaysia. 26.2t Man in 3 person household. Works largely from home – high emissions. Twice national average car travel. Flights to Spain and South Africa 13.3t 15 Working woman, lives with partner. High household emissions. More than double av. car mileage. No flights. 5.7t UK average 5.4t 10 5 0 Working woman, lives alone. Electricity as heating fuel. No car. One EU flight. 3.4t Retired man, lives with partner. Electricity is main heating fuel. No car, extensive travel by bus & coach. No flights. 2.1t
  • 9. Routes to deliver emissions reductions Economic motivations PCA PCA Psychological intrinsic motivations Social motivations Economic behaviour Carbon price signal from higher energy prices; financial incentives to reduce energy demand Carbon perception Awareness of personal carbon footprint from the allocation, budgeting process and raised visibility Social norms New definitions of a fair share of personal emissions and acceptable & unacceptable levels of personal emissions Energy demand reduction Carbon Carbon emissions emissions reduction reduction Source: Yael Parag
  • 10. Research evidence on social acceptability Researcher(s) Method Number of participants Policy context Low, 2005 Focus groups 30-40 PCT compared with increased carbon taxation Howell, 2007 Von Knobelsdorff, 2008 Harwatt, 2008 30-40 300+ Bristow et al, 2008 Focus groups Questionnaires by post and email Interviews, using questionnaires and unstructured replies Questionnaires IPPR, 2008 Opinion poll, online 1000+ Owen et al, 2008 Focus groups 80-90 PCT compared with increased carbon taxation PCT in isolation, no comparison with other policy PCT for transport only, compared with increased fuel taxation, with personalised information on extra costs PCT compared with increased taxation and revenue recycling, with personalised information on extra costs PCT compared with carbon taxation and upstream cap and trade PCT compared with carbon taxation and upstream cap and trade Wallace et al, 2010 Questionnaires and semi- 330 structured interview (questionnaire) 21 (interview) Questionnaire 940 Jagers et al, 2010 60+ 300 PCT in isolation, no comparison with other policy PCT compared with existing carbon tax (Sweden) Source: Fawcett, T. 2010 Personal carbon trading: A policy ahead of its time? Energy Policy 38 (2010) 6868-6876
  • 11. PCT and the policy process 2000- PCT being researched by small number of people 2006-07 Profile raised by David Miliband, then Secretary of State for Environment 2007-08 Programme of ‘pre-feasibility’ research work commissioned by Defra. Conclusions raised issues of cost and public acceptability as major barriers, PCT ‘ahead of its time’ 2008 Environmental Audit Committee, House of Commons published results of its enquiry, ‘regretted’ Defra’s decision to wind-down further research work 2009 Sustainable Development Commission named PCT as one of the ‘Breakthrough ideas for the 21st century. (2011 SDC abolished) 2009-11 Little political or policy making attention paid to this idea
  • 12. Rise and fall of newspaper reporting
  • 14. Current status of PCT (1) Research Very little funded research underway at present (but continuing interest by post-grad students) ‘Trial’ underway in Norfolk Island, Australia Related research: two studies underway on distribution of carbon footprints Commercial sector WSP runs a scheme based on PCT called PACT, now operational in 8 countries with 1,600 members Politics Green Party policy Group of MPs sponsored publication of booklet on DTQs (2011)
  • 15. Current status of PCT (2) Community action CRAGs network – Carbon Reduction Action Groups – still in existence, though less active than formerly 500 – 600 grass roots organisations in UK working on carbon reduction Support from environmental NGOs and prominent environmentalists No statements of support from Greenpeace / FoE Supported by Jonathon Porritt (in 2008) Briefly supported by Mark Lynas and George Monbiot
  • 16. Snapshot of 2006/7 and 2011   2006-7 2011 UK political interest Secretary of State for Environment promoting the idea, government commissions research No interest by major political parties, but is Green Party policy (Green Party have one MP). UK community  involvement Growing CRAGs network Smaller and less active CRAGs network. 500-600 climate change and low carbon futures groups. Private sector None WSP PACT scheme Potential private sector involvement in NICHE project Environmental NGOs Little support or interest Little support or interest Research in UK Research underway in a small number of universities and think tanks. No significant UK research funding. Research outside UK Very little, if any NICHE pilot study in Australia Knowledge base CO2 concentration  level in atmosphere  (ppm) (Tans 2011) 3 journal articles 381.9 (2006) 35 journal articles 389.8 (2010)
  • 17. What is needed for PCT to be reconsidered as a policy option? • • • • • Failure to meet the UK carbon reduction targets Political leaders needing new ideas Influential NGO takes up the idea Idea tried out in another country and shown to succeed Positive, good quality evidence on efficacy / efficiency / cost / acceptability • Green Party in government! • Needs to be re-invented in a country more sympathetic to collective social change? • Re-branded and re-launched
  • 18. Why I still think it’s a good idea •Potentially it offers a route to effective and equitable carbon savings •Research so far hasn’t shown any insurmountable obstacles (although a lot is still unknown) •It raises a lot of important questions •It’s a challenging and radical policy idea of the sort which will be needed if we’re to meet UK and global carbon reductions targets