This document summarizes demographic trends and projections for Waller I.S.D. including: - Student enrollment has grown from 4,750 to 6,250 from 2004 to 2012 and is projected to reach 12,164 by 2024 under a moderate growth scenario. - Major employment centers like Prairie View A&M University and new manufacturing plants will stimulate population growth. - Infrastructure projects like the Grand Parkway and widened highways will improve access and accelerate housing and commercial development. - Over 13,000 new housing units are projected by 2024 with most growth in single family subdivisions. - Under the moderate scenario, student enrollment is projected to increase from 8,323 in 2019 to 12,164 by

1. Waller I.S.D.
Demographic Update
May 7, 2015

2. Population & Survey Analysts
W.I.S.D. Demographic Trends
Employment Trends
Housing Projections
Ratios: Students per Household
Projected Student Enrollment
Long Range Planning

3. 4,750
5,250
5,750
6,250
2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014
3.29%
1.83%
3.06%
0.81%3.5%
1.75%
1.24%0.52%2.35%
5.77%
Past Growth Rates
Enrollment

4. Square Miles
in
Waller I.S.D.

5. Total Enrollment
(Pre-PEIMS)
4th Week Survey,
2010-11
Percent Change
in Student
Enrollment
Fall 2013
to
Fall 2014
(pre-PEIMS enrollment estimates)

6. Total Enrollment
(Pre-PEIMS)
4th Week Survey,
2010-11
Percent Change
in Student
Enrollment
Fall 2009
to
Fall 2014
(pre-PEIMS enrollment estimates)

7. Kindergarten Enrollment
vs. Births

8. Unique Demographic Characteristics
Waller I.S.D.
• Fairly low KN proportion out of total enrollment – 7.8% in Fall,
2014 (was a higher proportion in last two school years)
• Commute time to work: 35.5 minutes for Waller I.S.D. relative to
29.1 for Houston Metro Area – and 31.9 for Cy-Fair I.S.D.
• Economically Disadvantaged population (64.2%) – [relative to
59.8% for State] – W.I.S.D. will change dramatically in 5 years
• High STAAR passage rate (77.8%) --- based on PASA’s
assessment for grades 3-8 Level II & III (Spring 2014) – [relative
to 71.8% for State]
• Education of adults ages 25+ -- 16% have bachelor’s degree
(relative to 31% in Houston Metro Area & 38% in Cy-Fair I.S.D.)
• High median income level ($61,223) – [relative to $57,366 in
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land Metro Area]

9. Private Schools
Current
Enrollment
From WISD
in KN+
Enrollment
in 5 yrs.
From WISD
in KN+
Epiphany Lutheran School toddler-8th 185 0 300 0
My Private School (formerly
Mackel Private School)
PK-3rd 58 0 65 0
Waller Christian Academy PK3-8th 45 26 250 142
Total 26 142
0.45% 2.11%
Current Enrollment
Projected Enrollment
in 5 Years
Grades
% of WISD residents in
private schools:

10. W.I.S.D. Demographic Trends
Employment Trends
Housing Projections
Ratios: Students per Household
Projected Student Enrollment
Long Range Planning
Population & Survey Analysts

11. Top Employers Within
Waller I.S.D.
Prairie View A&M University 1,426
Waller ISD Public Schools 600
Buc-ees Travel Center ~150
Cameron Surface Systems Subsidiary of Cameron 65
Ravago Recycled plastic products 65
Flochem Pipeline additives products 65
Harlan's Grocery Retail grocery 55
Green Span Profiles Insulated roof/wall panels for metal buildings 50
Engines, Compressor, & Accessories Large mounted compressors 45
PetroQuip Machine shop 42
Picco Coatings Manufacturing ~40
RP Tools Machine shop ~40
City of Waller Municipal government 30
Alpha Foods Co Frozen foods processor and packager 30
Premium Coil Oil and gas supplies ~30
Florida Chemicals Blends industrial cleaning supplies 24
Whitestar Chemicals Drilling pumps 14
LQC Pipe Pipe yard ~12
Company Service/Product Employees

12. Annual Employment Trends
December June December 6‐Month Annual
2013 2014 2014 Pct. Change Pct. Change
City of Houston
Employment 991,811 1,008,388 1,027,955 1.94% 3.64%
Unemployment Rate 5.5 5.5 4.1
Harris County
Employment 2,028,591 2,062,498 2,102,517 1.94% 3.64%
Unemployment Rate 5.5 5.4 4.1
Waller County
Employment 19,516 19,842 20,227 1.94% 3.64%
Unemployment Rate 5.1 5.7 3.8

13.  Waller’s biggest employer, Prairie View A&M, has ~1,055 full‐time
equivalent faculty and 371 FTE’s who are instructors/research/staff – and
has added University View Campus apartments plus future retail
 Apart from public sector, major new manufacturing firms, plus existing
firms have additions and renovations underway (the latter totally over
$20,000,000) –
1. Daikin’s new A.C. manufacturing plant with a central structure of 4 million sq.
ft. on 90 ac.
2. Alegacy Development owns 84.8 ac. for a new CNG compressed natural gas
facility ‐‐ and possibly leasing out other spaces – S. on US 290
3. Tractor Supply Co. – turned in plans for new retail center off FM 2920
4. PPI Mechanical Testing Services is adding infrastructure on Stokes Rd.
5. Leasing company has taken over Bettis Park to sublet space – S. of Bus. 290
6. Cameron International is also adding space ‐‐ S. of Bus. 290
7. Picco coatings is also expanding its plant on Stokes Rd.
Waller I.S.D. Employment Trends
Employment Growth and Critical Employment Centers Both Act
as Local Population Growth Stimuli

14. W.I.S.D. Demographic Trends
Employment Trends
Housing Projections
Ratios: Students per Household
Projected Student Enrollment
Long Range Planning
Population & Survey Analysts

15.  Waller I.S.D. has had a challenge in travel times from home to work
(at 35.5 minutes one‐way), but the Grand Parkway and the newly
greatly widened US 290 will allow for quicker access, incl. the
planned Bauer to FM 2920 widening to 6 lanes;
 The Grand Parkway , Sec’s F‐1, F‐2, and G ‐‐ to be completed by early
2017 (and some feeder roads completed earlier) – places W.I.S.D. on
the cusp of accelerated residential and commercial growth
throughout the eastern sector of the District;
 Prairie Parkway – may have the private funding in place but needs
TexDOT funding for studies, etc. – will have north/south orientation
traversing between Penick and Blinka and then northward
overlapping Muse Pkwy and Fluminger and westward to FM 1736
near SH 6
Waller I.S.D. Future Transportation Trends
Transportation and Other Infrastructure Improvements
Act as Local Economic Development Stimuli

16.  Waller I.S.D. has had a challenge in travel times from home to work
(at 35.5 minutes one‐way), but the Grand Parkway and the newly
greatly widened US 290 will allow for quicker access, incl. the
planned Bauer to FM 2920 widening to 6 lanes;
 The Grand Parkway , Sec’s F‐1, F‐2, and G ‐‐ to be completed by early
2017 (and some feeder roads completed earlier) – places W.I.S.D. on
the cusp of accelerated residential and commercial growth
throughout the eastern sector of the District;
 Prairie Parkway – may have the private funding in place but needs
TexDOT funding for studies, etc. – will have north/south orientation
traversing between Penick and Blinka and then northward
overlapping Muse Pkwy and Fluminger and westward to FM 1736
near SH 6
Waller I.S.D. Future Transportation Trends
Transportation and Other Infrastructure Improvements
Act as Local Economic Development Stimuli

17. Municipalities
in Waller
I.S.D.

18. Utility
Districts
in
Waller I.S.D.
(per Waller CAD, Public
Utilities Commission, and
City of Houston)

19. Ownership
Changes
April 2013
through
Oct 2014

20. Parcels
>10 ac.
For Sale
Nov 2014

21. Septic
Permits by
Planning Unit
Jan 2013
though
Dec 2014

22. # %
Apartments 128 146 18 14% 6%
MHP 412 423 13 3% 5%
Subdivisions -
built-out
2,257 2,300 43 2% 15%
Subdivisions -
actively building
1,583 1,797 214 14% 74%
Percent of
Growth
Added Students
2013 to 2014
Resident
Students
in 2014
Resident
Students
in 2013
Student Growth by
Type of Housing

23. Highest Growth Single-Family Developments
16 Bridgeland (excl. mixed use & MF) 134 1,520 1,654
2C Woodhaven Estates - up to 4,000 lots 178 695 873
16 Stone Creek Ranch 373 440 813
15B, 15C JM Texas Land Fund - 1,600 ac. 138 649 787
15B, 15C Lindsey Story parcels 138 658 796
10B Bauer Rd. Tract (KOWA Dev.) 598 ac. 269 20 289
7G Bauer Landing - 900-950 lots-LGI Homes 247 373 620
8B Franz, McAlister, Burmaster tracts 155 384 539
16 Richfield Ranch 20 355 375
6E Delta Troy Interests 13 185 198
2C Mill Creek Ltd. 22 174 196
9 Gulf Coast Land Trust 14 145 159
15C Gold Star Realty 21 113 134
15B
Wallers, Freeman, Hillcroft MediStar
parcels - by Parkway
7 124 131
1,729 5,835 7,564
2,651 8,291 10,942
Planning
Units
Subdivision Names or
Owner(s) Names:
Total Single-Family Housing Projected :
Total (Above-Listed Developments):
2014-
2024
2019-
2024
2014-
2019

24. Highest Growth
Multi-Family Developments
15C Parcels S. Hwy 290 and Betka Rd. 120 240 360
10B Fridkin, Giro, Shamrock Realty parcels 70 200 270
8B Titan Land Dev., Hockley, Martin parcels 20 220 240
2C Woodhaven Estates Parcels 0 340 340
6D Terpstra parcels 70 200 270
7C Hegar parcels 0 240 240
280 1,440 1,720
450 2,090 2,540
Planning
Units
Multi-Family Development Name or
Parcel Name:
Total Multi-Family Housing Projected :
Total (Above-Listed Developments):
2014-
2024
2019-
2024
2014-
2019

25. Projected
New Housing
Occupancies
January 2015
to
October 2019

26. Projected
New Housing
Occupancies
October 2019
to
October 2024

27. Projected
New Housing
Occupancies
2015 –2024
Year Ending in
October:
Single
Family
Multi-
Family
Total New
Housing
Units
2015 251 0 251
2016 343 3 346
2017 474 73 547
2018 632 153 785
2019 951 221 1,172
2020 1,173 350 1,523
2021 1,454 435 1,889
2022 1,747 435 2,182
2023 1,922 435 2,357
2024 1,995 435 2,430
2015-2019 2,651 450 3,101
2019-2024 8,291 2,090 10,381
2015-2024 10,942 2,540 13,482

28. W.I.S.D. Demographic Trends
Employment Trends
Housing Projections
Ratios: Students per Household
Projected Student Enrollment
Long Range Planning
Population & Survey Analysts

29. Ratios of Students
per Household
2013 2014
Single‐Family
Homes
0.49 0.52
Apartments 0.41 0.49

30. W.I.S.D. Demographic Trends
Employment Trends
Housing Projections
Ratios: Students per Household
Projected Student Enrollment
Long Range Planning
Population & Survey Analysts

31. Moderate Growth
Scenario
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Enrollment 6,575 6,919 7,279 7,733 8,323 8,983 9,730 10,507 11,296 12,164
% Growth 5.20 5.23 5.20 6.24 7.63 7.93 8.31 7.99 7.50 7.69
Growth 325 344 360 454 590 660 747 778 788 868
Projected Enrollment at PEIMS Snapshot

32. Three Scenarios of Growth
Enrollment
Moderate
Growth
2019 –8,323
2024 – 12,164
High Growth
2019 – 8,577
2024 – 13,338
Low Growth
2019 – 7,913
2024 – 11,097
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
9,000
10,000
11,000
12,000
13,000
14,000
2010 2014 2019 2024
Students

33. W.I.S.D. Demographic Trends
Employment Trends
Housing Projections
Ratios: Students per Household
Projected Student Enrollment
Long Range Planning
Population & Survey Analysts

34. Current 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Fields Store (Capacity = 700)
Students 725 734 763 793 816 854 903 961 1,027 1,094 1,167
% Utilization 104% 105% 109% 113% 117% 122% 129% 137% 147% 156% 167%
Holleman (Capacity = 766)
Students 667 700 719 729 740 758 780 811 846 889 942
% Utilization 87% 91% 94% 95% 97% 99% 102% 106% 110% 116% 123%
Jones (Capacity = 305)
Students 395 408 401 414 421 431 440 449 460 468 478
% Utilization 130% 134% 131% 136% 138% 141% 144% 147% 151% 153% 157%
Roberts Road (Capacity = 584)
Students 610 656 723 789 836 916 1,014 1,115 1,230 1,354 1,484
% Utilization 104% 112% 124% 135% 143% 157% 174% 191% 211% 232% 254%
Turlington (Capacity = 800)
Students 756 804 844 902 941 996 1,056 1,124 1,197 1,275 1,354
% Utilization 95% 101% 106% 113% 118% 125% 132% 141% 150% 159% 169%
Projected Resident Elementary Students

35. Projected
Resident EE-5th
Grade Students
2014-15
Elementary
Attendance
Zones
(Geo-Coded KN-5th for
Schools S of FM 1960)

36. Projected
Resident EE-5th
Grade Students
Open
Elementary #6
in
2017-18(Geo-
Coded KN-5th for
Schools S of FM 1960)

37. Projected
Resident EE-5th
Grade Students
Open
Elementary #7
in
2020-21(Geo-
Coded KN-5th for
Schools S of FM 1960)

38. Current 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Schultz JH (Capacity = 900)
Students 687 717 760 843 938 1,041 1,130 1,188 1,250 1,334 1,427
% Utilization 76% 80% 84% 94% 104% 116% 126% 132% 139% 148% 159%
Waller JH (Capacity = 900)
Students 698 704 760 835 940 1,047 1,142 1,199 1,271 1,365 1,476
% Utilization 78% 78% 84% 93% 104% 116% 127% 133% 141% 152% 164%
Projected Resident Junior High Students

39. Projected
Resident 6th-8th
Grade Students
2014-15
Junior High
Attendance
Zones K
N-5th for Schools S of
FM 1960)

40. Projected
Resident 6th-8th
Grade Students
Open
Junior High #3
in
2020-21K
N-5th for Schools S of
FM 1960)

41. Current 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Waller High School (Capacity = 2,200)
Students 1,703 1,846 1,944 1,970 2,101 2,284 2,517 2,885 3,225 3,516 3,833
% Utilization 77% 84% 88% 90% 96% 104% 114% 131% 147% 160% 174%
Projected High School Students

42.  3 master‐planned communities will be well underway in 2 years
(Bauer Landing – already underway – and Woodhaven and KOWA
Development;
 3 more MPC’s will be under construction in 6‐7 years – JM Texas
Land Fund’s 1,600 ac. S. of US 290; Bridgeland; and the FM 2920
Hopfe Cypress/Franz tracts N. on the Grand Pkwy.
 Next to job stability and job growth, the second major factor
predicting housing and population acceleration in a school district is
the construction of transportation arterials – such as: US 290’s
widening , & the Grand Parkway (f‐1, F‐2 & G) & the Prairie Parkway;
 The demographic composition of the W.I.S.D. student population
will change if a large no. of new students ‐‐ in new subdivisions ‐‐
become part of the School District; for example, 3 new master‐
planned communities can change the socioeconomic characteristics
of a smaller school district, such as Waller, reducing significantly the
free/reduced lunch student population & other characteristics.
Waller I.S.D. Key Demographic Facts

43. 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Elem #6
Elem #7
JH #3
JonesReplacement?
HS #2
Long Range Facilities
Planning Timeline
Ideally, FOUR elementary sites needed as the first four
critical Master Planned Communities begin construction
and have infrastructure in place.

49. Waller I.S.D.
Demographic Update
May 7, 2015