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DURANGO SCHOOL DISTRICT 9-R Facility Master Plan Elements Overview Presented by Strategic Resources West, Inc. (303) 688-7963 January 27, 2009
Master Plan Study Summary ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Major Employment Sectors: 2007 2007 La Plata County  Employing Sector  Employment  Distribution  Construction  2,983  11.7% Retail & Wholesale Trade  3,928  15.4% Financial Activities & Real Estate  1,397  5.5% Professional & Business Services  2,198  8.6% Educational & Health Services  2,720  10.7% Leisure & Hospitality  3,959  15.5% All Other Private  3,147  12.3% Government  5,201  20.4% Total Employment  25,533  100.0%
Census Population and 2007 est. 1990 and 2000 Census and 2007 Population by Area Change Population 2000 to 2007  . Area April 1990 April 2000 July 2007 Population Percent State of Colorado 3,294,473 4,301,261 4,919,884 618,623 14.4% La Plata County 32,284 43,941 49,758 5,817 13.2% Bayfield 1,090 1,549 1,941 392 25.3% Durango 12,439 13,922 16,169 2,247 16.1% Ignacio 720 669 736 67 10.0% Unincorp. Area 18,035 27,801 30,912 3,111 11.2%
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Population and Age Distributions
Population and Distribution by Age Range and vis-à-vis Total Age Group Population as a Percent of Total Colorado Municipalities - 2000 Munici-pality Median Age  Under 15 Ages  15 to 24  Ages  25 to 44  Ages  45 to 64  Aged 65+ Total Population Colorado 34.30 21.3% 14.3% 32.6% 22.2% 9.7% 4,301,261 Bayfield  34.60 24.5% 14.2% 30.0% 23.8% 7.5% 1,549 Durango  29.20 13.0% 29.7% 27.2% 19.4% 10.7% 13,922 Ignacio  35.70 25.4% 12.6% 29.9% 20.5% 11.7% 669 La Plata Co. 35.60 18.1% 18.4% 29.0% 25.1% 9.4% 43,941
Population Projections Population Projections for 2010, 2020, and 2030 Change 2010 to 2030 Area 2010 2020 2030 Population Percent State of Colorado 5,218,144 6,287,021 7,331,876 2,113,732 40.5% La Plata County 51,517 67,672 81,828 30,311 58.8%
Births
Housing Units Built by Period Units Built Proportion Years SF-d SF-a MultiFam* Mfrd Hsg** Total of Total Prior to 1970 3,516 356 744 146 4,762 36% 1970's 1,249 782 108 270 2,409 18% 1980's 1,275 642 21 240 2,178 16% 1990's 2,006 466 33 462 2,967 22% 2000-2007 2,003 970 64 214 3,251 25% *: excludes 570 units with unknown year of construction. **: excludes units in mobile home parks.
 
Student Generation Student Generation Rates Applied  Housing Types  School level  SF-d  SF-a  MultiFam  Mfd. Hsg  Elem. (K-5)  0.13  0.04  0.05  0.24  Middle (6-8)  0.06  0.02  0.02  0.10  High (9-12)  0.09  0.03  0.04  0.12  Total  0.28  0.09  0.11  0.47
Housing & Enrollment Potential Housing Unit  Elementary Schools  Potential per  by Middle School  TRIP estimates  Future Student Potential  Feeder Area  at Build-out  Elem.  Middle  High  Total K-12  Miller MS Area:  Animas Valley  7,819  680  276  431  1,388  Needham  3,761  563  310  438  1,311  Riverview  5,204  663  273  352  1,288  Total  16,784  1,906  860  1,221  3,987  Escalante MS Area:  Florida Mesa  9,759  1,851  865  1,319  4,035  Ft. Lewis Mesa  4,325  569  290  438  1,297  Park  8,564  936  431  531  1,898  Sunnyside  2,871  424  214  385  1,023  Total  25,518  3,780  1,800  2,673  8,254  District Total  42,303  5,686  2,660  3,894  12,240
Retail Sales La Plata County Retail Sales (in thousands) by Area  Year Durango Bayfield Ignacio Remainder County Total 2000 $  742,073  $  28,350  $  16,484  $  187,887  $  974,795  2001 773,411  26,770  15,671  194,073  1,009,925  2002 805,153  26,323  15,722  187,668  1,034,865  2003 839,582  30,382  16,270  181,837  1,068,070  2004 978,871  40,806  16,970  220,208  1,256,855  2005 982,242  52,153  16,784  270,201  1,321,379  2006 1,102,658  60,937  17,556  296,601  1,477,752  2007 1,154,686  67,627  20,187  374,556  1,617,056  Change:  2000 to 2007 Sales  $  412,613  $  39,277  $  3,703  $  186,669  $  642,261  Percent  55.6% 138.5% 22.5% 99.4% 65.9%
Economic Indicators ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Assessed Value & Bonding Capacity Debt outstanding = $86.63 million Durango S.D. 9-R  Total Taxable  Change from  Bonding  Assessed Value  Prior Year  Capacity  Year  (in thousands)  (thousands)  Percent  (thousands)  1998  $  878,927  $  175,785  1999  950,158  71,232  8.1% 190,032  2000  989,926  39,767  4.2% 197,985  2001  1,382,071  392,145  39.6% 276,414  2002  1,452,122  70,051  5.1% 290,424  2003  1,193,135  (258,987) -17.8% 238,627  2004  1,584,945  391,810  32.8% 316,989  2005  1,832,424  247,479  15.6% 366,485  2006  2,090,148  257,724  14.1% 418,030  2007  1,992,879  (97,268) -4.7% 398,576
Economic Potential ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
 
 
 
 
TABLE  II-2.  ENROLLMENT  PROJECTIONS  SUMMARY  BY  SCENARIO — 2009  to  2014 SCENARIO LOW --  10 Year Cohort Survival MIDDLE -- 5 Year Cohort Survival HIGH -- 5 Year Cohort w/o High & Low Elemen.  Middle  Sr. High  Elemen.  Middle  Sr. High  Elemen.  Middle  Sr. High  YEAR  (K-5)  (6-8)  (9-12)  Total  (K-5)  (6-8)  (9-12)  Total  (K-5)  (6-8)  (9-12)  Total  2008 Actual 2,169  1,056  1,530  4,755  PROJECTED:  2009 2,247  1,046  1,475  4,767  2,254  1,055  1,454  4,763  2,256  1,058  1,464  4,779  2010 2,255  1,046  1,475  4,776  2,321  1,105  1,429  4,855  2,327  1,107  1,451  4,885  2011 2,313  1,096  1,457  4,866  2,439  1,110  1,431  4,980  2,449  1,109  1,477  5,035  2012 2,419  1,100  1,452  4,971  2,528  1,151  1,509  5,188  2,538  1,151  1,579  5,268  2013 2,489  1,142  1,508  5,139  2,614  1,178  1,541  5,333  2,622  1,182  1,612  5,416  2014 2,554  1,160  1,535  5,249  2,705  1,251  1,555  5,510  2,710  1,260  1,624  5,595                           
TABLE  II-3.  ENROLLMENT  PROJECTIONS  SUMMARY  BY  SCHOOL Schools by High  Actual  Enrollment Forecasts  School Feeder Area  2008  2009  2014  Elementary Schools:  Escalante Middle School Area:  Florida Mesa  331  331  372  Fort Lewis Mesa  157  160  157  Park  427  434  474  Sunnyside  121  122  130  Total EMS Elementary  1,036  1,047  1,134  Miller Middle School Area:  Animas Valley  266  275  304  Needham  469  471  494  Needham -- Shared Programs  22  22  22  Riverview  398  406  433  Total MMS Elementary  1,155  1,173  1,254  Elementary Subtotal -- w/o Shared Programs  2,169  2,198  2,365  Elementary -- with Shared Programs  2,191  2,220  2,387
TABLE  II-3.  ENROLLMENT  PROJECTIONS  SUMMARY  BY  SCHOOL Schools by High  Actual  Enrollment Forecasts  School Feeder Area  2008  2009  2014  Middle Schools:  Escalante Middle  510  502  582  Escalante -- Shared Programs  13  13  13  DeNier  1  1  1  Miller Middle  545  550  621  Middle Subtotal -- w/o Shared Programs  1,056  1,052  1,204  Middle -- with Shared Programs  1,069  1,065  1,217  Senior High Schools:  Durango High  1,512  1,465  1,535  Durango High -- Durango Academy  25  25  25  DeNier  18  18  18  Sr. High Subtotal -- w/o Shared Programs  1,530  1,483  1,553  Sr. High Subtotal -- with Shared Programs  1,555  1,508  1,578  District K-12 Total -- w/o Shared Programs  4,755  4,733  5,122  District K-12 Total -- with Shared Programs  4,815  4,793  5,182
Capacity Estimates ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Capacity Estimates by Methodology Student Capacity Estimates  Capacity  Univ. of  Oklahoma  per District  SRW  Castaldi  Wisconsin  Dept. of  Preferred  Suggested  School Level and Schools (Average)  Survey  Education  Program  Capacity  Elementary Schools Animas Valley 437  518  441  400  440  Florida Mesa 568  696  616  440  620  Fort Lewis Mesa 375  453  394  360  390  Needham 604  727  630  490  630  Park 590  706  607  481  600  Riverview 597  715  616  465  610  Sunnyside 396  470  400  308  400  Total Elementary 3,568  4,285  3,704  2,944  3,690
Capacity Estimates by Methodology Student Capacity Estimates  Capacity  Univ. of  Oklahoma  per District  SRW  Castaldi  Wisconsin  Dept. of  Preferred  Suggested  School Level and Schools (Average)  Survey  Education  Program  Capacity  Middle Schools Optimum: Escalante 682  765  632  696  680  Miller 726  824  669  665  720  Total Middle - Opt. 1,408  1,589  1,301  1,361  1,400  Maximum: Escalante 773  867  716  789  770  Miller 823  933  758  754  820  Total Middle - Max 1,596  1,801  1,474  1,543  1,591  Senior High School Optimum: Durango HS 1,598  1,740  1,601  1,529  1,600  Maximum: Durango HS 1,798  1,958  1,801  1,720  1,800               
TABLE  IV-1.  AVAILABLE  CAPACITY  BY  SCHOOL  SRW  Current and  Net Capacity  Suggested  Projected Enrollment  Available (Short)  Schools by Level Capacity*  Fall 2008  Fall 2014  Fall 2008  Fall 2014  Elementary Schools:  Animas Valley 440  266  304  174  136  Florida Mesa 620  331  372  289  247  Fort Lewis Mesa 390  157  157  233  233  Needham 630  469  494  161  136  Park 600  427  474  173  126  Riverview 610  398  433  212  177  Sunnyside 400  121  130  279  270  Total Elementary  3,688  2,169  2,364  1,519  1,324  Middle Schools:  Escalante 680  510  582  170  98  Miller 720  545  621  175  99  Total Middle 1,400  1,055  1,203  345  197  Senior High School:  Durango High 1,600  1,512  1,535  88  65               
Capacity per Grade Balance Student  Capacity  Schools  School Type  Capacity  per Grade  to Fill  Elementary (Florida Mesa)  620  103 Middle (Escalante)  680  227  2.2  Senior High (DHS)  1,600  400  1.8
Site Considerations Elementary  Secondary  School Sites  Acres  Capacity  School Sites  Acres  Capacity  Elementary  Middle  Animas Valley  14.960  440  Escalante  27.441  680  Florida Mesa  14.640  620  Miller  11.618  720  Ft Lewis Mesa  12.930  390  Total  39.059  1,400  Needham  11.600  630  Average  19.530  700  Park  4.140  600  Riverview  21.030  610  Durango HS  19.785  1,600  Sunnyside  10.000  400  Total  89.300  3,688       
Key Observations ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Key Observations – con’t ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Questions? Thank You

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DurangoMasterPlan_01-27-09

  • 1. DURANGO SCHOOL DISTRICT 9-R Facility Master Plan Elements Overview Presented by Strategic Resources West, Inc. (303) 688-7963 January 27, 2009
  • 2.
  • 3. Major Employment Sectors: 2007 2007 La Plata County Employing Sector Employment Distribution Construction 2,983 11.7% Retail & Wholesale Trade 3,928 15.4% Financial Activities & Real Estate 1,397 5.5% Professional & Business Services 2,198 8.6% Educational & Health Services 2,720 10.7% Leisure & Hospitality 3,959 15.5% All Other Private 3,147 12.3% Government 5,201 20.4% Total Employment 25,533 100.0%
  • 4. Census Population and 2007 est. 1990 and 2000 Census and 2007 Population by Area Change Population 2000 to 2007 . Area April 1990 April 2000 July 2007 Population Percent State of Colorado 3,294,473 4,301,261 4,919,884 618,623 14.4% La Plata County 32,284 43,941 49,758 5,817 13.2% Bayfield 1,090 1,549 1,941 392 25.3% Durango 12,439 13,922 16,169 2,247 16.1% Ignacio 720 669 736 67 10.0% Unincorp. Area 18,035 27,801 30,912 3,111 11.2%
  • 5.
  • 6. Population and Distribution by Age Range and vis-à-vis Total Age Group Population as a Percent of Total Colorado Municipalities - 2000 Munici-pality Median Age Under 15 Ages 15 to 24 Ages 25 to 44 Ages 45 to 64 Aged 65+ Total Population Colorado 34.30 21.3% 14.3% 32.6% 22.2% 9.7% 4,301,261 Bayfield 34.60 24.5% 14.2% 30.0% 23.8% 7.5% 1,549 Durango 29.20 13.0% 29.7% 27.2% 19.4% 10.7% 13,922 Ignacio 35.70 25.4% 12.6% 29.9% 20.5% 11.7% 669 La Plata Co. 35.60 18.1% 18.4% 29.0% 25.1% 9.4% 43,941
  • 7. Population Projections Population Projections for 2010, 2020, and 2030 Change 2010 to 2030 Area 2010 2020 2030 Population Percent State of Colorado 5,218,144 6,287,021 7,331,876 2,113,732 40.5% La Plata County 51,517 67,672 81,828 30,311 58.8%
  • 9. Housing Units Built by Period Units Built Proportion Years SF-d SF-a MultiFam* Mfrd Hsg** Total of Total Prior to 1970 3,516 356 744 146 4,762 36% 1970's 1,249 782 108 270 2,409 18% 1980's 1,275 642 21 240 2,178 16% 1990's 2,006 466 33 462 2,967 22% 2000-2007 2,003 970 64 214 3,251 25% *: excludes 570 units with unknown year of construction. **: excludes units in mobile home parks.
  • 10.  
  • 11. Student Generation Student Generation Rates Applied Housing Types School level SF-d SF-a MultiFam Mfd. Hsg Elem. (K-5) 0.13 0.04 0.05 0.24 Middle (6-8) 0.06 0.02 0.02 0.10 High (9-12) 0.09 0.03 0.04 0.12 Total 0.28 0.09 0.11 0.47
  • 12. Housing & Enrollment Potential Housing Unit Elementary Schools Potential per by Middle School TRIP estimates Future Student Potential Feeder Area at Build-out Elem. Middle High Total K-12 Miller MS Area: Animas Valley 7,819 680 276 431 1,388 Needham 3,761 563 310 438 1,311 Riverview 5,204 663 273 352 1,288 Total 16,784 1,906 860 1,221 3,987 Escalante MS Area: Florida Mesa 9,759 1,851 865 1,319 4,035 Ft. Lewis Mesa 4,325 569 290 438 1,297 Park 8,564 936 431 531 1,898 Sunnyside 2,871 424 214 385 1,023 Total 25,518 3,780 1,800 2,673 8,254 District Total 42,303 5,686 2,660 3,894 12,240
  • 13. Retail Sales La Plata County Retail Sales (in thousands) by Area Year Durango Bayfield Ignacio Remainder County Total 2000 $ 742,073 $ 28,350 $ 16,484 $ 187,887 $ 974,795 2001 773,411 26,770 15,671 194,073 1,009,925 2002 805,153 26,323 15,722 187,668 1,034,865 2003 839,582 30,382 16,270 181,837 1,068,070 2004 978,871 40,806 16,970 220,208 1,256,855 2005 982,242 52,153 16,784 270,201 1,321,379 2006 1,102,658 60,937 17,556 296,601 1,477,752 2007 1,154,686 67,627 20,187 374,556 1,617,056 Change: 2000 to 2007 Sales $ 412,613 $ 39,277 $ 3,703 $ 186,669 $ 642,261 Percent 55.6% 138.5% 22.5% 99.4% 65.9%
  • 14.
  • 15. Assessed Value & Bonding Capacity Debt outstanding = $86.63 million Durango S.D. 9-R Total Taxable Change from Bonding Assessed Value Prior Year Capacity Year (in thousands) (thousands) Percent (thousands) 1998 $ 878,927 $ 175,785 1999 950,158 71,232 8.1% 190,032 2000 989,926 39,767 4.2% 197,985 2001 1,382,071 392,145 39.6% 276,414 2002 1,452,122 70,051 5.1% 290,424 2003 1,193,135 (258,987) -17.8% 238,627 2004 1,584,945 391,810 32.8% 316,989 2005 1,832,424 247,479 15.6% 366,485 2006 2,090,148 257,724 14.1% 418,030 2007 1,992,879 (97,268) -4.7% 398,576
  • 16.
  • 17.  
  • 18.  
  • 19.  
  • 20.  
  • 21. TABLE II-2. ENROLLMENT PROJECTIONS SUMMARY BY SCENARIO — 2009 to 2014 SCENARIO LOW -- 10 Year Cohort Survival MIDDLE -- 5 Year Cohort Survival HIGH -- 5 Year Cohort w/o High & Low Elemen. Middle Sr. High Elemen. Middle Sr. High Elemen. Middle Sr. High YEAR (K-5) (6-8) (9-12) Total (K-5) (6-8) (9-12) Total (K-5) (6-8) (9-12) Total 2008 Actual 2,169 1,056 1,530 4,755 PROJECTED: 2009 2,247 1,046 1,475 4,767 2,254 1,055 1,454 4,763 2,256 1,058 1,464 4,779 2010 2,255 1,046 1,475 4,776 2,321 1,105 1,429 4,855 2,327 1,107 1,451 4,885 2011 2,313 1,096 1,457 4,866 2,439 1,110 1,431 4,980 2,449 1,109 1,477 5,035 2012 2,419 1,100 1,452 4,971 2,528 1,151 1,509 5,188 2,538 1,151 1,579 5,268 2013 2,489 1,142 1,508 5,139 2,614 1,178 1,541 5,333 2,622 1,182 1,612 5,416 2014 2,554 1,160 1,535 5,249 2,705 1,251 1,555 5,510 2,710 1,260 1,624 5,595                          
  • 22. TABLE II-3. ENROLLMENT PROJECTIONS SUMMARY BY SCHOOL Schools by High Actual Enrollment Forecasts School Feeder Area 2008 2009 2014 Elementary Schools: Escalante Middle School Area: Florida Mesa 331 331 372 Fort Lewis Mesa 157 160 157 Park 427 434 474 Sunnyside 121 122 130 Total EMS Elementary 1,036 1,047 1,134 Miller Middle School Area: Animas Valley 266 275 304 Needham 469 471 494 Needham -- Shared Programs 22 22 22 Riverview 398 406 433 Total MMS Elementary 1,155 1,173 1,254 Elementary Subtotal -- w/o Shared Programs 2,169 2,198 2,365 Elementary -- with Shared Programs 2,191 2,220 2,387
  • 23. TABLE II-3. ENROLLMENT PROJECTIONS SUMMARY BY SCHOOL Schools by High Actual Enrollment Forecasts School Feeder Area 2008 2009 2014 Middle Schools: Escalante Middle 510 502 582 Escalante -- Shared Programs 13 13 13 DeNier 1 1 1 Miller Middle 545 550 621 Middle Subtotal -- w/o Shared Programs 1,056 1,052 1,204 Middle -- with Shared Programs 1,069 1,065 1,217 Senior High Schools: Durango High 1,512 1,465 1,535 Durango High -- Durango Academy 25 25 25 DeNier 18 18 18 Sr. High Subtotal -- w/o Shared Programs 1,530 1,483 1,553 Sr. High Subtotal -- with Shared Programs 1,555 1,508 1,578 District K-12 Total -- w/o Shared Programs 4,755 4,733 5,122 District K-12 Total -- with Shared Programs 4,815 4,793 5,182
  • 24.
  • 25. Capacity Estimates by Methodology Student Capacity Estimates Capacity Univ. of Oklahoma per District SRW Castaldi Wisconsin Dept. of Preferred Suggested School Level and Schools (Average) Survey Education Program Capacity Elementary Schools Animas Valley 437 518 441 400 440 Florida Mesa 568 696 616 440 620 Fort Lewis Mesa 375 453 394 360 390 Needham 604 727 630 490 630 Park 590 706 607 481 600 Riverview 597 715 616 465 610 Sunnyside 396 470 400 308 400 Total Elementary 3,568 4,285 3,704 2,944 3,690
  • 26. Capacity Estimates by Methodology Student Capacity Estimates Capacity Univ. of Oklahoma per District SRW Castaldi Wisconsin Dept. of Preferred Suggested School Level and Schools (Average) Survey Education Program Capacity Middle Schools Optimum: Escalante 682 765 632 696 680 Miller 726 824 669 665 720 Total Middle - Opt. 1,408 1,589 1,301 1,361 1,400 Maximum: Escalante 773 867 716 789 770 Miller 823 933 758 754 820 Total Middle - Max 1,596 1,801 1,474 1,543 1,591 Senior High School Optimum: Durango HS 1,598 1,740 1,601 1,529 1,600 Maximum: Durango HS 1,798 1,958 1,801 1,720 1,800              
  • 27. TABLE IV-1. AVAILABLE CAPACITY BY SCHOOL SRW Current and Net Capacity Suggested Projected Enrollment Available (Short) Schools by Level Capacity* Fall 2008 Fall 2014 Fall 2008 Fall 2014 Elementary Schools: Animas Valley 440 266 304 174 136 Florida Mesa 620 331 372 289 247 Fort Lewis Mesa 390 157 157 233 233 Needham 630 469 494 161 136 Park 600 427 474 173 126 Riverview 610 398 433 212 177 Sunnyside 400 121 130 279 270 Total Elementary 3,688 2,169 2,364 1,519 1,324 Middle Schools: Escalante 680 510 582 170 98 Miller 720 545 621 175 99 Total Middle 1,400 1,055 1,203 345 197 Senior High School: Durango High 1,600 1,512 1,535 88 65              
  • 28. Capacity per Grade Balance Student Capacity Schools School Type Capacity per Grade to Fill Elementary (Florida Mesa) 620 103 Middle (Escalante) 680 227 2.2 Senior High (DHS) 1,600 400 1.8
  • 29. Site Considerations Elementary Secondary School Sites Acres Capacity School Sites Acres Capacity Elementary Middle Animas Valley 14.960 440 Escalante 27.441 680 Florida Mesa 14.640 620 Miller 11.618 720 Ft Lewis Mesa 12.930 390 Total 39.059 1,400 Needham 11.600 630 Average 19.530 700 Park 4.140 600 Riverview 21.030 610 Durango HS 19.785 1,600 Sunnyside 10.000 400 Total 89.300 3,688      
  • 30.
  • 31.