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Mahmoud Mohieldin
Senior Vice President
Partnerships for the
2030 Agenda:
Role of
Science, Technology, and
Innovation
United Nations University
October 18, 2018
Tokyo, Japan
@wbg2030
worldbank.org/sdgs0
Global Megatrends
1
Global Megatrends
Fragility and violence
Demographic transitions and Urbanization
Renewed debate about globalization
Technological changes
Market volatility and commodity cycles
Climate change
Shifts in the global economy
2
Demographic Transitions and
Urbanization
Global Working Age Population and Urbanization are
Increasing
Source: World Development Indicators, World Bank
55
60
65
70
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
World Advanced Economies Emerging Market and Developing Economies
Percent of total population that is working age
55.0
60.0
65.0
70.0
75.0
80.0
1968
1973
1978
1983
1988
1993
1998
2003
2008
2013
Life Expectancy in
Asia and the World
East Asia & Pacific World
Source: GlobalPost, 2014
Source: World Bank Global Economic Prospects, 2018 3
Fragility and Violence
Source: World Bank 2017
Number of people killed by violent conflictNumber of conflicts, by type
Violent conflict is increasing and becoming more complex
The global forcibly displaced population
The crisis primarily affects the developing world
4
Source: Building Resilience report, World Bank, 2014
Climate change and resources
Percentage point increase in poverty rate
Climate change could
raise extreme poverty
rates substantially by
2030
Development progress
needs to integrate
resilience to avoid
undoing hard fought
development gains
5
Commodity price indexes, annual
Market Volatility and Commodity Cycles
Source: Commodity Markets Outlook, World Bank, 2018
6
6
According to
Oxford
University
47% of jobs in
the US will
disappear in the
next 25 years
Source: GSMA Intelligence (2017), World Bank – World Development Indicator (2017)
See Annex, pp20-24 for additional data on the emerging digital divide and trends in the digital sector
The Impact of Technology
Changing Demand for Changing Skills
Source:21 Jobs of the Future, A Guide to Getting – and Staying – Employed Over the Next 10 Years, Center for the Future of Work, 2017
Source: Presentation by Ben Pring, The Future of Labor & Work in
a Post Bretton Woods World, September 2018
7
Impact of Technology
Growth of the Global Labor Force
Industrial Jobs are Falling in the West and Rising in the East
Source: World Bank World Development Report 2019: Changing Nature of Work 8
Impact of Technology
Boundaries of Firms Are Changing Rapidly
Source: World Bank World Development Report 2019: Changing Nature of Work 9
Reflections on Multipolarity
Channels of growth spillovers from a growth pole
Source: Multipolarity: The New Global Economy, World Bank, 2011 10
Renewed Debate about
GlobalizationGlobal Gross Financial Flows, 1990-2016 (percent of
world GDP)
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
Merchandise Trade % of GDP
FDI Flows % of Investment
Trade and FDI depth through 2016
Source: Braga, 2017
Source: Ghemawat, 2017
11
A Framework
Technology Drives the Pace and Scope of Change
• Taking advantage of
the opportunities and
mitigating the risks of
global megatrends
will require an
enabling policy
framework
• Harnessing the
impact of
technological changes
requires a
comprehensive policy
framework
Invest in
infrastructure
Invest in human
capital
Enablers
Achieving the SDGs
Data Finance STI
Invest in resilience,
incl social protection
Source: Adapted from World Bank World Development Report 2019: Changing Nature of Work 12
Meeting the SDGs:
Human Capital, Resilience,
Infrastructure,
and Technology
13
Source: New Growth Models, World Economic Forum, 2014
Inclusive Growth for Sustainable
Development
14
Investing in Human Capital
Launched in October during World
Bank Group Annual Meetings
Building blocks of the human capital:
• Survival – Will kids born today
survive to school age?
• School – How much school will
they complete and how much will
they learn?
• Health – Will kids leave school in
good health and be ready for
further learning and/or work?
15
15
Source: Human Capital: A Project for the World, World Bank , 2018
Ratings in First Human Capital Index
Social protection
and labor
regulation can
help manage
labor market
challenges
Investing in Resilience
16
Source: World Bank World Development Report 2019: Changing Nature of Work 16
Source: SDG Atlas, World Bank, 2018
17
Investing in Resilience
17
18
Investing in Infrastructure
1E+11
1.5E+11
2E+11
2.5E+11
3E+11
3.5E+11
4E+11
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
Infrastructure Outlook: Africa
Current trends
Investment need
Investment need inc. SDGs
1.3E+12
1.5E+12
1.7E+12
1.9E+12
2.1E+12
2.3E+12
Infrastructure Outlook: Asia
Current trends
Investment need
Investment need inc. SDGs
Source: Global Infrastructure Hub, 2018 18
World Bank Group’s Technology Vision
Supporting Clients to Maximize Technology Benefits
19
Data is a Problem, even in Canada
Source: Who and what gets left behind? Assessing Canada’s domestic status on the sustainable development goals, Brookings, 2017
0
5
10
15
20
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Seventy-eight of 169 SDG targets
describe potentially assessable
outcomes for Canada
Not able to assess
Proxy target
Canadian national target
Quantified SDG target
20
SDG Interlinkages and Data Visualization
The case of Japan
Japan’s goals interlinked to SDG 1
21
A LARGE POOL OF
PRIVATE CAPITAL
IS YET TO BE
CATALIZED
WITH JUDICIOUS USE OF
SCARCE PUBLIC
AND CONCESSIONAL
RESOURCES
Finance for the SDGs will need to come
from multiple sources
22
Financing sustainable development:
“Digitization” is disrupting every part of financial services
23
Source: World Bank Group, 2017 23
Develop Robust Financial and Data
Infrastructure to Sustain Fintech Benefits
Ensure Stability of
Domestic Monetary and
Financial Systems
Maximizing Fintech’s Potential
Opportunities, Challenges, Risks
Enable New
Technologies to
Enhance
Financial Service
Provision
Adapt Regulatory Framework and Supervisory
Practices for Orderly Development and Stability
of the Financial System
Modernize Legal Frameworks
to Provide an Enabling Legal
Landscape Enhance Collective Surveillance
of the International Monetary and
Financial System
Monitor Developments Closely to
Deepen Understanding of Evolving
Financial Systems
Reinforce Competition and
Commitment to Open, Free and
Contestable Markets
Safeguard the
Integrity of
Financial
Systems
Encourage
International
Cooperation and
Information
Sharing
Foster Fintech to Promote
Financial Inclusion and Develop
Financial Markets
Embrace
the
Promise
of Fintech
Source: The Bali Fintech Agenda, World Bank, 2018
24
STI for Implementation
Digital education creates
classrooms at scale and
connects world-class
teachers to students who
need them most
E-health can serve some
of the neediest patients
in the world’s hardest to
reach places
Digital financial services
provide new
opportunities for SME
savings, credit, and
insurance thereby
spurring expansion
Digital payments and
monitoring enable off-
grid, renewable energy
sources to be deployed
years in advance of
traditional approaches
Source: Presentation to the UAEU, Mohieldin, 2017 25
Japan’s Commitment to
Sustainable Development Goals
26
WBG Partnership with Japan
Strong and Steadfast Development Partnership over 55
years
Current priority topics
include Health, disaster
risk management, and
infrastructure and urban
development
Opened WB
Tokyo
Development
Learning
Center in
2004
Japan is the second largest
share-holder (7.2% in IBRD)
Japan borrowed total USD 863 million
for 31 projects in 1950s and 60s.
Repayment completed in 1990
Japan joined the World Bank in 1952
27
28
Source: 2030 Agenda, MoFA 28
Japan’s Voluntary National Review
Five Ps: People; Prosperity; Planet; Peace; Partnership
29
30
Development of Rapid Diagnostics and the
Establishment of an Alert System for
Outbreaks of Yellow Fever and Rift Valley
Fever in Kenya (2011-2016)
 Diagnostic technology developed in Nagasaki
University to produce affordable and rapid
diagnostic kits that facilitate early
identification of disease outbreaks.
 An outbreak early warning system through the
use of mobile phones (mSOS) was established
to effectively and rapidly relay information
from peripheral areas to the central
government in collaboration with WHO and
other international partners.
Japanese Support to SDGs
Newest Innovations to Support Most Difficult Problems
Source: Book of Japan's Practices for SDGs - Creating Shared Value by STI, Business and Social Innovation, 2017.
30
31
SDGs Japan
Japan Civil Society Network on SDGs (SDGs Japan) is a
non-government organization supporting the efforts to
accelerate the implementation of the SDGs in Japan.
31
Partnerships with Japanese Academic
Institutions
32
KEIDANREN’S VISION OF “SOCIETY 5.0 FOR
SDGS”
33
 Achieving SDGs will demand that private companies exercise their powers of
creativity and innovation.
 If a diverse mix of stakeholders comes together in forging organic links among
these innovative offerings and other revolutionary technologies, products, and
services, Keidanren’s vision of “Society 5.0 for SDGs” will come to fruition.
Source: Keidanren 33
From Industry 4.0 to “Society 5.0”
Source: Keidanren
Evolution of Societies up to Society 5.0
Society 5.0: A Super Smart Society where social challenges can be resolved by
incorporating the revolutions of the Fourth Industrial Revolution (IoT; Big Data; Artificial
Intelligence; Robotics) into every industry and social life
34
STI for Implementation
35
Mahmoud Mohieldin
Senior VP
Thank You
worldbankgroup.org/sdgs
Follow us on twitter @WBG2030
Mahmoud-Mohieldin on
@wbg2030
worldbank.org/sdgs
3
6

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Partnerships for the 2030 Agenda: Role of Science, Technology, and Innovation

  • 1. Mahmoud Mohieldin Senior Vice President Partnerships for the 2030 Agenda: Role of Science, Technology, and Innovation United Nations University October 18, 2018 Tokyo, Japan @wbg2030 worldbank.org/sdgs0
  • 3. Global Megatrends Fragility and violence Demographic transitions and Urbanization Renewed debate about globalization Technological changes Market volatility and commodity cycles Climate change Shifts in the global economy 2
  • 4. Demographic Transitions and Urbanization Global Working Age Population and Urbanization are Increasing Source: World Development Indicators, World Bank 55 60 65 70 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 World Advanced Economies Emerging Market and Developing Economies Percent of total population that is working age 55.0 60.0 65.0 70.0 75.0 80.0 1968 1973 1978 1983 1988 1993 1998 2003 2008 2013 Life Expectancy in Asia and the World East Asia & Pacific World Source: GlobalPost, 2014 Source: World Bank Global Economic Prospects, 2018 3
  • 5. Fragility and Violence Source: World Bank 2017 Number of people killed by violent conflictNumber of conflicts, by type Violent conflict is increasing and becoming more complex The global forcibly displaced population The crisis primarily affects the developing world 4
  • 6. Source: Building Resilience report, World Bank, 2014 Climate change and resources Percentage point increase in poverty rate Climate change could raise extreme poverty rates substantially by 2030 Development progress needs to integrate resilience to avoid undoing hard fought development gains 5
  • 7. Commodity price indexes, annual Market Volatility and Commodity Cycles Source: Commodity Markets Outlook, World Bank, 2018 6 6
  • 8. According to Oxford University 47% of jobs in the US will disappear in the next 25 years Source: GSMA Intelligence (2017), World Bank – World Development Indicator (2017) See Annex, pp20-24 for additional data on the emerging digital divide and trends in the digital sector The Impact of Technology Changing Demand for Changing Skills Source:21 Jobs of the Future, A Guide to Getting – and Staying – Employed Over the Next 10 Years, Center for the Future of Work, 2017 Source: Presentation by Ben Pring, The Future of Labor & Work in a Post Bretton Woods World, September 2018 7
  • 9. Impact of Technology Growth of the Global Labor Force Industrial Jobs are Falling in the West and Rising in the East Source: World Bank World Development Report 2019: Changing Nature of Work 8
  • 10. Impact of Technology Boundaries of Firms Are Changing Rapidly Source: World Bank World Development Report 2019: Changing Nature of Work 9
  • 11. Reflections on Multipolarity Channels of growth spillovers from a growth pole Source: Multipolarity: The New Global Economy, World Bank, 2011 10
  • 12. Renewed Debate about GlobalizationGlobal Gross Financial Flows, 1990-2016 (percent of world GDP) 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% Merchandise Trade % of GDP FDI Flows % of Investment Trade and FDI depth through 2016 Source: Braga, 2017 Source: Ghemawat, 2017 11
  • 13. A Framework Technology Drives the Pace and Scope of Change • Taking advantage of the opportunities and mitigating the risks of global megatrends will require an enabling policy framework • Harnessing the impact of technological changes requires a comprehensive policy framework Invest in infrastructure Invest in human capital Enablers Achieving the SDGs Data Finance STI Invest in resilience, incl social protection Source: Adapted from World Bank World Development Report 2019: Changing Nature of Work 12
  • 14. Meeting the SDGs: Human Capital, Resilience, Infrastructure, and Technology 13
  • 15. Source: New Growth Models, World Economic Forum, 2014 Inclusive Growth for Sustainable Development 14
  • 16. Investing in Human Capital Launched in October during World Bank Group Annual Meetings Building blocks of the human capital: • Survival – Will kids born today survive to school age? • School – How much school will they complete and how much will they learn? • Health – Will kids leave school in good health and be ready for further learning and/or work? 15 15 Source: Human Capital: A Project for the World, World Bank , 2018 Ratings in First Human Capital Index
  • 17. Social protection and labor regulation can help manage labor market challenges Investing in Resilience 16 Source: World Bank World Development Report 2019: Changing Nature of Work 16
  • 18. Source: SDG Atlas, World Bank, 2018 17 Investing in Resilience 17
  • 19. 18 Investing in Infrastructure 1E+11 1.5E+11 2E+11 2.5E+11 3E+11 3.5E+11 4E+11 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 Infrastructure Outlook: Africa Current trends Investment need Investment need inc. SDGs 1.3E+12 1.5E+12 1.7E+12 1.9E+12 2.1E+12 2.3E+12 Infrastructure Outlook: Asia Current trends Investment need Investment need inc. SDGs Source: Global Infrastructure Hub, 2018 18
  • 20. World Bank Group’s Technology Vision Supporting Clients to Maximize Technology Benefits 19
  • 21. Data is a Problem, even in Canada Source: Who and what gets left behind? Assessing Canada’s domestic status on the sustainable development goals, Brookings, 2017 0 5 10 15 20 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 Seventy-eight of 169 SDG targets describe potentially assessable outcomes for Canada Not able to assess Proxy target Canadian national target Quantified SDG target 20
  • 22. SDG Interlinkages and Data Visualization The case of Japan Japan’s goals interlinked to SDG 1 21
  • 23. A LARGE POOL OF PRIVATE CAPITAL IS YET TO BE CATALIZED WITH JUDICIOUS USE OF SCARCE PUBLIC AND CONCESSIONAL RESOURCES Finance for the SDGs will need to come from multiple sources 22
  • 24. Financing sustainable development: “Digitization” is disrupting every part of financial services 23 Source: World Bank Group, 2017 23
  • 25. Develop Robust Financial and Data Infrastructure to Sustain Fintech Benefits Ensure Stability of Domestic Monetary and Financial Systems Maximizing Fintech’s Potential Opportunities, Challenges, Risks Enable New Technologies to Enhance Financial Service Provision Adapt Regulatory Framework and Supervisory Practices for Orderly Development and Stability of the Financial System Modernize Legal Frameworks to Provide an Enabling Legal Landscape Enhance Collective Surveillance of the International Monetary and Financial System Monitor Developments Closely to Deepen Understanding of Evolving Financial Systems Reinforce Competition and Commitment to Open, Free and Contestable Markets Safeguard the Integrity of Financial Systems Encourage International Cooperation and Information Sharing Foster Fintech to Promote Financial Inclusion and Develop Financial Markets Embrace the Promise of Fintech Source: The Bali Fintech Agenda, World Bank, 2018 24
  • 26. STI for Implementation Digital education creates classrooms at scale and connects world-class teachers to students who need them most E-health can serve some of the neediest patients in the world’s hardest to reach places Digital financial services provide new opportunities for SME savings, credit, and insurance thereby spurring expansion Digital payments and monitoring enable off- grid, renewable energy sources to be deployed years in advance of traditional approaches Source: Presentation to the UAEU, Mohieldin, 2017 25
  • 27. Japan’s Commitment to Sustainable Development Goals 26
  • 28. WBG Partnership with Japan Strong and Steadfast Development Partnership over 55 years Current priority topics include Health, disaster risk management, and infrastructure and urban development Opened WB Tokyo Development Learning Center in 2004 Japan is the second largest share-holder (7.2% in IBRD) Japan borrowed total USD 863 million for 31 projects in 1950s and 60s. Repayment completed in 1990 Japan joined the World Bank in 1952 27
  • 30. Japan’s Voluntary National Review Five Ps: People; Prosperity; Planet; Peace; Partnership 29
  • 31. 30 Development of Rapid Diagnostics and the Establishment of an Alert System for Outbreaks of Yellow Fever and Rift Valley Fever in Kenya (2011-2016)  Diagnostic technology developed in Nagasaki University to produce affordable and rapid diagnostic kits that facilitate early identification of disease outbreaks.  An outbreak early warning system through the use of mobile phones (mSOS) was established to effectively and rapidly relay information from peripheral areas to the central government in collaboration with WHO and other international partners. Japanese Support to SDGs Newest Innovations to Support Most Difficult Problems Source: Book of Japan's Practices for SDGs - Creating Shared Value by STI, Business and Social Innovation, 2017. 30
  • 32. 31 SDGs Japan Japan Civil Society Network on SDGs (SDGs Japan) is a non-government organization supporting the efforts to accelerate the implementation of the SDGs in Japan. 31
  • 33. Partnerships with Japanese Academic Institutions 32
  • 34. KEIDANREN’S VISION OF “SOCIETY 5.0 FOR SDGS” 33  Achieving SDGs will demand that private companies exercise their powers of creativity and innovation.  If a diverse mix of stakeholders comes together in forging organic links among these innovative offerings and other revolutionary technologies, products, and services, Keidanren’s vision of “Society 5.0 for SDGs” will come to fruition. Source: Keidanren 33
  • 35. From Industry 4.0 to “Society 5.0” Source: Keidanren Evolution of Societies up to Society 5.0 Society 5.0: A Super Smart Society where social challenges can be resolved by incorporating the revolutions of the Fourth Industrial Revolution (IoT; Big Data; Artificial Intelligence; Robotics) into every industry and social life 34
  • 37. Mahmoud Mohieldin Senior VP Thank You worldbankgroup.org/sdgs Follow us on twitter @WBG2030 Mahmoud-Mohieldin on @wbg2030 worldbank.org/sdgs 3 6