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A N N U A L C E O S U M M I T 2 0 1 7
Deep Tech Gets Delicious
London, 4th April 2017
t: @richardmuirhead
#OOS17
t: @openoceanvc
The world is dangerous, volatile & polarised
“Success in creating
AI would be the biggest
event in human history.
Unfortunately, it might
also be the last.”
– Stephen Hawking, 2014
“Millennials ... first to
earn less than previous
generation”
– The Guardian, 2016
“Apocalypse is 30
seconds closer, say
Doomsday Clock
scientists”
– The BBC, 2017
“Indeed, in an
increasingly unstable
world … we face the
same global threats from
terrorism & extremism”
– Theresa May, UK PM, 2017
In 200 yrs, humanity has tamed ‘famine, plague and war’
Extreme Poverty
Basic Education
Literacy
Democracy
Vaccination
Child Mortality
6% not living in
extreme poverty
94% living in
extreme poverty
83% have not attained
any education
17% have basic
education or more
88% are not able
to read
12% are able
to read
90% not living in
extreme poverty
10% living in
extreme poverty
14% have not
attained any
education
86% have basic
education or more
15% are not able
to read
85% are able
to read
against diphtheria, pertussis (whopping cough), and tetanus
99% not living
in a democracy
1% living
in a democracy
0 vaccinated
57% survive the first
5 years of life
43% die before they
are 5 years old
44% not living
in a democracy
56% living
in a democracy
86% vaccinated
96% survive the first
5 years of life
4% die before they
are 5 years old
14% not vaccinated
1820 1840 1860 1880 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 20002015
1820 1840 1860 1880 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 20002015
1820 1840 1860 1880 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 20002015
1820 1840 1860 1880 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 20002014
1820 1840 1860 1880 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 20002015
1820 1840 1860 1880 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 20002015
Note: With credit to Yuval Harari, Homo Deus and GlobebyNumbers 2015
Data drives deployment phase of the knowledge age
The scarce resource began with
Food, to Land, Oil, Capital and now
to Attention
“Innovation is the central issue
in economic prosperity”,
Michael Porter, Harvard Business
School
Innovation
1770 1820 1870 19701920 2020
The Industrial
Revolution
Age of Steam and
Railways
Age of Steel and
Heavy Engineering
Age of Oil, Autos and
Mass Production
The ICT Revolution
Recessions
Canal Mania Great British Leap
Railway
Mania
The Victorian
Boom
Global market
infra. build-up
Belle Epoque
Progressive Era
The Roaring
Twenties
Post-war
Golden Age
Dotcom and
Internet Mania
The Knowledge Age
Note: With credit to Carlotta Perez
Deep tech reinforces society’s move into knowledge era
The New Interface
Mobile, Multi Device, Multi Platform –
The world is being wired, mostly wirelessly
Cloud Computing
Infinite cheap storage, CPU, GPU,
communications. The API economy,
IaaS, Multiplicity of PaaS platforms.
Genomics
The Intersection of digital software and
biological software
Data Management
Decentralization, Data Security, Data-bases:
From Navigational to Relational to Distributed to Decentralized.
Data Analytics, ML & AI
From data visualisation to prediction
algorithms to deep learning to AI
4th Industrial Revolution
IoT, Robotics, Manufacturing
Note: OpenOcean Analysis
The ‘Technaissance’ of the EU City State
Deepmind
King
Rightmove
Fleetmatics
Shazam
Transferwise
Funding Circle
Deliveroo
MicroMuse
Cambridge
Oxford
Imperial
Skyscanner
Zendesk
Adyen
MySQL, Supercell, Spotify, Truecaller
Skype
e-Residency
Zalando
HelloFresh
Soundcloud
Auto1
TU Munich
KIT
RWTH
Avast
Mindmaze
ETH Zurich
EPF Lausanne
This is the Post Silicon Valley Era! 6
Blablacar
Criteo
Business Objects
Polytechnique
ENS
52
43
31
20
16
11
5
2211100000
20142013 20162015200520042003200220012000 2012200820072006 20112009 2010
EU tech results are starting to roll in
European Billion dollar
companies are valued
at 18x revenue
compared to 46x in
the US (GP
Bullhound, 2016)
# of European $B + companies founded since 2000, by year first surpassed $B + milestone
Note: OpenOcean Analysis. Several companies that were formerly valued above $B+ have since seen their valuations officially fall below that level, incl. e.g., Home24, Monitise and Powa Source: GP Bullhound & Atomico research
From ‘time to download’ to ‘time-to-love’
Top 20 US Unicorns, First Equity Financing to $1B+Valuation
Valuation(M)
$1,000
$900
$800
$700
$600
$500
$400
$300
$200
$100
$0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Years from first Equity Financing
: ‘delicious’
Assembling the ingredients
Killer
Team
Massive
Market
‘Delicious
Product’
Growth Hacking
Purpose & Play [CEO]
Attract & Retain [CEO]
Architect & Innovate [Engineering & Product]
Package & Promote [Product & Marketing]TIDE
Teach & Close [Sales & Marketing]
Measure & Manage [Management]OKR
'Deep
Tech'
& ‘scale-hacking’
Deployment: entire industries are being re-imagined
Healthtech Industry
The software in our bodies is
beginning to be re-programmed but
the software in our computers
Financial Services
The battle for the customer and the
unbundling of the bank
The Workplace
Enabling small businesses to out
race large corporations
Mobility & Transport
The dawn of autonomous vehicles
will fundamentally restructure
modern cities
Media & Entertainment
Hyper-personalisation and the
loss of privacy
The IT Industry itself
The time has come to please the
developers: They are the new
Kingmakers
40%
30%
20%
10%
60%
50%
The oil barons give way to the data kids of Silicon Valley
The largest companies by market cap. The oil barons have been replaced by whiz kids of Silicon Valley
Top 10 publicly traded companies (by Market cap) Tech Other
S&P 500 Sector Weightings – IT
0%
1991 1692 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 2000 01 02 03 04 1514131211100908070605 403938373635343332313029282726252423222120191817
Note: OpenOcean & McKinsey Analysis 2017
Bottom 50% of income earners
Top 1% of income earners
Dangerous inequality from tech-amplified capitalism
Inequality, share of U.S. pre-tax income for 50 percent and top one percent of earners, 1962-2014
Sources: Thomas Piketty, Emmanuel Saez and Gabriel Zucman, 'Distributional National Accounts: Methods and Estimates for the Unites States,' 2016, Cambridge, MA: National Bureau of Economic Research
Note: The unit is the individual adult and incomes within married couples are split equally.
10
12
14
16
18
20
%
1962 1971 1980 1989 1998 2007 2016
That’s why we need your attention today please!
Workplace
Purpose + Play (workshop)
Sales (workshop)
Machine Learning
Databases
Attention + Privacy
User Growth (workshop)
Deep Tech
Industries
Scale Hacking
Data meets designDelicious
Wrap up
A N N U A L C E O S U M M I T 2 0 1 7
#OOS17
t: @openoceanvc
Deep Tech Gets Delicious
London, 4th April 2017
t: @richardmuirhead

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Deep Tech Gets Delicious at CEO Summit 2017

  • 1. A N N U A L C E O S U M M I T 2 0 1 7 Deep Tech Gets Delicious London, 4th April 2017 t: @richardmuirhead #OOS17 t: @openoceanvc
  • 2. The world is dangerous, volatile & polarised “Success in creating AI would be the biggest event in human history. Unfortunately, it might also be the last.” – Stephen Hawking, 2014 “Millennials ... first to earn less than previous generation” – The Guardian, 2016 “Apocalypse is 30 seconds closer, say Doomsday Clock scientists” – The BBC, 2017 “Indeed, in an increasingly unstable world … we face the same global threats from terrorism & extremism” – Theresa May, UK PM, 2017
  • 3. In 200 yrs, humanity has tamed ‘famine, plague and war’ Extreme Poverty Basic Education Literacy Democracy Vaccination Child Mortality 6% not living in extreme poverty 94% living in extreme poverty 83% have not attained any education 17% have basic education or more 88% are not able to read 12% are able to read 90% not living in extreme poverty 10% living in extreme poverty 14% have not attained any education 86% have basic education or more 15% are not able to read 85% are able to read against diphtheria, pertussis (whopping cough), and tetanus 99% not living in a democracy 1% living in a democracy 0 vaccinated 57% survive the first 5 years of life 43% die before they are 5 years old 44% not living in a democracy 56% living in a democracy 86% vaccinated 96% survive the first 5 years of life 4% die before they are 5 years old 14% not vaccinated 1820 1840 1860 1880 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 20002015 1820 1840 1860 1880 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 20002015 1820 1840 1860 1880 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 20002015 1820 1840 1860 1880 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 20002014 1820 1840 1860 1880 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 20002015 1820 1840 1860 1880 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 20002015 Note: With credit to Yuval Harari, Homo Deus and GlobebyNumbers 2015
  • 4. Data drives deployment phase of the knowledge age The scarce resource began with Food, to Land, Oil, Capital and now to Attention “Innovation is the central issue in economic prosperity”, Michael Porter, Harvard Business School Innovation 1770 1820 1870 19701920 2020 The Industrial Revolution Age of Steam and Railways Age of Steel and Heavy Engineering Age of Oil, Autos and Mass Production The ICT Revolution Recessions Canal Mania Great British Leap Railway Mania The Victorian Boom Global market infra. build-up Belle Epoque Progressive Era The Roaring Twenties Post-war Golden Age Dotcom and Internet Mania The Knowledge Age Note: With credit to Carlotta Perez
  • 5. Deep tech reinforces society’s move into knowledge era The New Interface Mobile, Multi Device, Multi Platform – The world is being wired, mostly wirelessly Cloud Computing Infinite cheap storage, CPU, GPU, communications. The API economy, IaaS, Multiplicity of PaaS platforms. Genomics The Intersection of digital software and biological software Data Management Decentralization, Data Security, Data-bases: From Navigational to Relational to Distributed to Decentralized. Data Analytics, ML & AI From data visualisation to prediction algorithms to deep learning to AI 4th Industrial Revolution IoT, Robotics, Manufacturing Note: OpenOcean Analysis
  • 6. The ‘Technaissance’ of the EU City State Deepmind King Rightmove Fleetmatics Shazam Transferwise Funding Circle Deliveroo MicroMuse Cambridge Oxford Imperial Skyscanner Zendesk Adyen MySQL, Supercell, Spotify, Truecaller Skype e-Residency Zalando HelloFresh Soundcloud Auto1 TU Munich KIT RWTH Avast Mindmaze ETH Zurich EPF Lausanne This is the Post Silicon Valley Era! 6 Blablacar Criteo Business Objects Polytechnique ENS
  • 7. 52 43 31 20 16 11 5 2211100000 20142013 20162015200520042003200220012000 2012200820072006 20112009 2010 EU tech results are starting to roll in European Billion dollar companies are valued at 18x revenue compared to 46x in the US (GP Bullhound, 2016) # of European $B + companies founded since 2000, by year first surpassed $B + milestone Note: OpenOcean Analysis. Several companies that were formerly valued above $B+ have since seen their valuations officially fall below that level, incl. e.g., Home24, Monitise and Powa Source: GP Bullhound & Atomico research
  • 8. From ‘time to download’ to ‘time-to-love’ Top 20 US Unicorns, First Equity Financing to $1B+Valuation Valuation(M) $1,000 $900 $800 $700 $600 $500 $400 $300 $200 $100 $0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Years from first Equity Financing : ‘delicious’
  • 9. Assembling the ingredients Killer Team Massive Market ‘Delicious Product’ Growth Hacking Purpose & Play [CEO] Attract & Retain [CEO] Architect & Innovate [Engineering & Product] Package & Promote [Product & Marketing]TIDE Teach & Close [Sales & Marketing] Measure & Manage [Management]OKR 'Deep Tech' & ‘scale-hacking’
  • 10. Deployment: entire industries are being re-imagined Healthtech Industry The software in our bodies is beginning to be re-programmed but the software in our computers Financial Services The battle for the customer and the unbundling of the bank The Workplace Enabling small businesses to out race large corporations Mobility & Transport The dawn of autonomous vehicles will fundamentally restructure modern cities Media & Entertainment Hyper-personalisation and the loss of privacy The IT Industry itself The time has come to please the developers: They are the new Kingmakers
  • 11. 40% 30% 20% 10% 60% 50% The oil barons give way to the data kids of Silicon Valley The largest companies by market cap. The oil barons have been replaced by whiz kids of Silicon Valley Top 10 publicly traded companies (by Market cap) Tech Other S&P 500 Sector Weightings – IT 0% 1991 1692 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 2000 01 02 03 04 1514131211100908070605 403938373635343332313029282726252423222120191817 Note: OpenOcean & McKinsey Analysis 2017
  • 12. Bottom 50% of income earners Top 1% of income earners Dangerous inequality from tech-amplified capitalism Inequality, share of U.S. pre-tax income for 50 percent and top one percent of earners, 1962-2014 Sources: Thomas Piketty, Emmanuel Saez and Gabriel Zucman, 'Distributional National Accounts: Methods and Estimates for the Unites States,' 2016, Cambridge, MA: National Bureau of Economic Research Note: The unit is the individual adult and incomes within married couples are split equally. 10 12 14 16 18 20 % 1962 1971 1980 1989 1998 2007 2016
  • 13. That’s why we need your attention today please! Workplace Purpose + Play (workshop) Sales (workshop) Machine Learning Databases Attention + Privacy User Growth (workshop) Deep Tech Industries Scale Hacking Data meets designDelicious Wrap up
  • 14. A N N U A L C E O S U M M I T 2 0 1 7 #OOS17 t: @openoceanvc Deep Tech Gets Delicious London, 4th April 2017 t: @richardmuirhead

Editor's Notes

  1. http://voxeu.org/article/economic-growth-us-tale-two-countries https://i2.wp.com/reactionwheel.net/wp-content/uploads/2015/09/The-Deployment-Age.001.png Unexpected Benefits Impact of Space Program Advances of DARPA Boundaries unleashed by F1 Transfer learning applying to multiple fields Symbiosis of data applications on low cost of distribution networks Inequalities, Retraining, Jobs lost to machines
  2. Mention logistical notes, fire escape, timing etc...