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Deloitte Fast50 - Nov 2015

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Deloitte Fast50 - Nov 2015

  1. 1. Thinking Outside the Box saul@localglobe.vc Deloitte Fast 50, Nov 2015
  2. 2. Newsflash: the Internet is now enormous
  3. 3. And with mobile, it will connect 5.6bn people within 5 years
  4. 4. Markets we know are only 14% of global audience with moderate upside 84% Internet coverage 85% Internet coverage
  5. 5. China + India = already 32% of global Internet with lots of room to grow 49% Internet coverage 24% Internet coverage
  6. 6. “We” are already less than "the <20%"
  7. 7. UK & France already smaller than Nigeria
  8. 8. Europe will struggle in next 20 years to keep ahead
  9. 9. The stakes are high
  10. 10. So how is European tech doing? Despite appearances, actually pretty well…
  11. 11. It feels like blue skies for startups
  12. 12. But we need way more diversity in Europe
  13. 13. We need to change how we think about labour markets
  14. 14. We know 7% of small companies create >50% of new jobs .
  15. 15. Europe has too many elephants
  16. 16. Cities Companies Universities 1976 1690 1830 3,146 837 Companies >200 yrs old 1821 1885 1096 1088 Athens 1400 BC 1776 Lisbon 1200 BC Malaga 8th Century BC Rome 753 BC Marseille 600 BC London 43 AD
  17. 17. Even Mega-Unicorns are less than 40 years old $650bn $483bn $200bn $422bn $287bn $280bn
  18. 18. These days you can get very big, very fast
  19. 19. Only a few sectors have really been seriously disrupted 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 Forbes 2000 Companies Companies Valued over 1$bn Forbes 2000 list, Cruchbase, Aileen Lee’s list, Fred Wilson’s Hackpad and Index’s own research
  20. 20. Only entrepreneurs are crazy enough to believe in Unicorns Zebras as % of city population
  21. 21. UK is surprisingly well positioned to succeed
  22. 22. Open Data Open Source Open Standards Coding in Schools 25% Govt IT budget for SMEs Govt Digital Services Global thought leader in digital transformation
  23. 23. London is increasingly Sand Hill Rd for EMEA
  24. 24. And it’s just getting started
  25. 25. But until Europe can create $50bn unicorns, it needs to be the best place for Zebras
  26. 26. Our mindset needs to be geared for a new world
  27. 27. What do we really know about India & China?
  28. 28. So let’s not be afraid of the dark
  29. 29. Aim high and shoot for the moon
  30. 30. @cape ♯majorityworld

Editor's Notes

  • Kauffman report, 2012:
     Looking into its portfolio of nearly 100 VC funds, including what it says are some of the most notable and exclusive names (confidentiality agreements barred it from naming them), the foundation found that only 20 of them beat a public-market equivalent by more than 3% annually, and half of those started investing before 1995.

    “There are not enough strong VC investors with above-market returns to absorb even our limited investment capital,” the Kauffman Foundation concludes

    HBS research:
    Research by HBS which look at US venture returns from 2004-2010 says that about 75% of VC firms don’t return investors capital, based on data from 2,000 companies that received venture funding of at least $1m

  • More $bn outcomes in last 15 years (at least 15) than any other cities other places other than Bay Area or China
    We’ve been involved in 10/15 directly or indirectly (w/Index)
  • iPhone
    Self-driving cars
    Health
  • ×