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TECHNOLOGY
COMMUNICATIONS
JAPAN
Christos Makiyama - OIT Techno-Frontier on Electronics - December 2013
#TECHNOLOGY
Technology
Τεχνολογία

Τέχνη /téxni/ + Λόγος /lóɣos/
人工

言葉、論理、理由
me
wikimedia
Gertrud K. flickr
Angie Nan, flickr
bombeeney, flickr
生 と 死
life

death
生
life

?

?
?

time

?

死
death
不確実性
への挑戦

OUR CHALLENGE TO THE UNCERTAINTY

nicubunu.photo, flickr
Myra Khawar, flickr

belief
MIT Physics Demo, flickr

science
technology

Sandia Labs, flickr
都市文明

帝国時代

産業革命

農業の始まり

石油

石炭
銅
Wikipedia

車 青銅

鉄
Red-Pill Photo Gallery, flickr
#COMMUNICATIONS
1995:Welcome to Cyberspace
Jerry Yang
Yahoo co-founder

Paradigm Shift
New Business Models
New Platforms
New Systems
New Technologies
The Digital Tsunamis
Non-PC
100
PC

Internet
Digital

End to End IP

Managed IP Services
Service Delivery
Network Wave

Broadband
Network Wave

Internet Network
Wave

Digital PSTN
Wave
1980

1990

NOW

2013

2020

Empowering Ideas, Innovation, Internet

NTVPセミナー 2002年7月8日
#internet
2.77
billion
Roberta Morrone, flickr

Internet
Users
in 2013
Source: Wikipedia
Global IP Traffic Forecast 2012-2017
EB per year
1,600"

1,448
1,400"

1,213
1,200"

1,006

1,000"

827
800"

667
600"

471

400"

ZettaByte Era

200"
0"
2012"

2013"
ME"&"Africa"

Source: Cisco Systems

2014"
La6n"America"

2015"
Europe"

North"America"

2016"
Asia"Pacific"

2017"
21B
1ZB=10
213,000,000,000 DVDs

John Ward, flickr
50%
Les Taylor, flickr

Mobile devices
traffic
by 2016
Source: Cisco Systems
50%
Wayan Vota, flickr

non-PC devices
traffic
by 2017
Source: Cisco Systems
$1.3
trillion

World Wide B2C
e-commerce
in 2013
Source: eMarketer
2

billion
Andrew Perry, flickr

users will
watch online
Video
by 2017
Source: Cisco Systems
1.08
million
Full-time-lover, flickr

US households
cancelled
TV subscriptions
in 2012
Source: Statista
23H

Americans’
average time
spent online per
week.
May 2013
Source: eMarketer

Jason A. Howie, flickr
#IoT
50

billion
Jell, flickr

things
connected
by 2020
Source: Cisco Systems
• make better decisions
• manage & control things
交通

Transport
健康

Health
環境

Earth
食料

Food
エネルギー

Energy
Fitness
&
Healthcare
170

million
Tom Wang

wireless
health & fitness
devices
by 2017
Source: ABI research
1.4

billion
Healthgauge

health & fitness
mobile apps
downloads by
2017
Source: ON World
Withings, Smart body analyzer

Jawbone, UP

Nike, Fuelband

iHealth, Wireless Pulse Oximeter

Image: Apple, Sensoria

Wahoo, Heart Rate Strap

94fifty, Smart Basketball

Sensoria, Fitness Socks
Sanofi, Glucose Meter

AliveCor, ECG/EKG Reader

Mobisante, Ultrasonic

Withings,Blood Pressure

血糖値計

超音波

Image: fool.com

心電図

血圧計
Multi Disciplinary ENGINEERING
Design
Software

Components
Sensors, battery etc

APP & Embedded

Cloud
LSI
Low Power,AMS,RF

Image: Fast Company & Inc.
#DevOps
2013 ICT Spending Forecast

US$3,787B
Billion US$
Source: Gartner
2013 ICT Spending Forecast

US$1,206B
Billion US$
Source: Gartner
SaaS
Software as a Service
Legacy

SaaS

users

users users users

application
database

internet

OS
server
network

application

storage

database

customer datacenter

OS
server
network
storage

software publisher

software publisher
IaaS
Infrastructure as a Service
users

users

internet
internet
dashboard

application

http://…….

database
OS

application

app developer

database
VM

server
network
storage

app developer

Controller

OS

VM

VM

Virtualization Layer
server
network
storage

IaaS provider

VM
Proprietary

Open Source
190

million
Google

Server
workloads
by 2017
!
100million in 2013
Source: Cisco Systems
Server
workloads will
run on Cloud
by 2017

63%
Gary Hayes

Source: Cisco Systems
7×
Gary Hayes

Virtualized: 16.7
Non-Virtualized: 2.3
workloads per server
by 2017
Source: Cisco Systems
7.7ZB
Google Datacenter

Data Center
traffic
by 2017
Source: Cisco Systems
80%

Intra
Data Center
traffic

Google

Source: Cisco Systems
138EB

Demand
for storage
capacity by
2017
!

28EB in 2012
Source: IDC

Google
operation
complexity
Google
but, how about
developers?
agile
software
development
Operations

Deve

nt
lopm
e

ity
Qual ce
ran
Assu

DevOps
株式会社あくしゅ
山崎泰宏

株式会社あくしゅ 代表取締役社長
datacenteris
thecomputer
Tom Raftery,flickr
server
virtualization

network
virtualization

storage
virtualization

•data center total virtualization
•data center environment portability
•globe’s data centers as one computer
Software DefineD Data Center
on
#web
SUBSCRIPTIONS PER DEVICE TYPE
HW PLATFORMS DIVERSITY
smartphone

tablet

PC

TV

wearable
in-car
smart home appliance
SW environments DIVERSITY
browser the new
application platform

Marc Andreessen
Andreessen Horowitz General Partner
Netscape Co-Founder
8,000,000 HTML developers
450,000 Android and 100,000 iOS
Source: Firefox

zowchow
javascript workers
audio
video
canvas
web apps
local storage
local SQL

2d/3d graphics
app cache
full CSS3
inline SVG
local file access

semantic elements
Web Real Time Communications
HIGH QUALITY Video CommunicationS
to the Masses
affordable

scalable

API integration

internet
FTTH
3G/4G

Wifi

xDSL

adaptive video resolution
multi-party
Ofer Shapiro
Vidyo CEO & co-founder
Conventional vs Scalable Video Codec
H.264-AVC

H.264-SVC

Enhancement Layer

Base Layer

Source: Vidyo

Scalable Coding
MCU based Architecture
ENCODE
DECODE
COMPOSE
ENCODE

DECODE

ENCODE

MCU Processing
takes 200 - 250 ms

Traditional architecture suffers from latency and jitter
which requires purpose built network and hardware

Source: Vidyo
Vidyo Architecture
High Resolution Layer

Base Layer

Source

2 Mbps

High Resolution High Frame Rate
High Resolution - High Frame Ra

High Resolution Layer

High Resolution Layer

Base Layer
Base Layer

500 Kbps

Medium Resolution - Medium Frame Rate
Medium Resolution - Medium Frame Rate

Base Layer
3G/4G
Low Bandwidth
Low Resolution - Low Frame Rate
Low Resolution - Low Frame Rate

Vidyo’s Adaptive Video LayeringTM does not require network decision

Source: Vidyo
Source: Vidyo
Semantic Web
• Web
• Web
• Web

1.0:Web of documents
2.0:Web of collaboration
3.0:Web of data
Linden Tibbets
IFTTT CEO & Co-founder

Devin Foley

Alex Tibbets
IFTTT Co-founder
#bigdata
8ZB

Created
information
by 2015
!

2.7ZB in 2012
Source: IDC

NASA, flickr
BIG
DATA
IS…
!

OUR MOST
IMPORTANT
CHALLENGE TO THE
UNCERTAINTY
nicubunu.photo, flickr
Panos Papadopoulos

Jon Vlachoyiannis

BugSense CEO & Co-founder

BugSense CTO & Co-founder
Improve Customer Experience
Cross Platform

3rd biggest mobile SDK
Analyze data from -400M devices
Realtime Crash Analytics
120K writes/updates per sec
Custom Big DB (LDB)
+

= IoT
#JAPAN
1989
40000

バブル崩壊

アテネ大学中退&来日

リーマンショック

OIT入学

30000

卒業&入社

起業

20000

10000

誕生
インターネットバブル崩壊
0

1951 1954 1957 1960 1963 1966 1969 1972 1975 1978 1981 1984 1987 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008 2011

Raid_blood, flickr, Wikipedia
Berlin wall, Nov. 9 1989
Gulf war, Aug. 2 1990
産業革命

Industrial Revolution

世界市場
Global Markets
情報革命

Information Revolution

世界民衆主義
Global Democracy

James Welsh, flickr
世界市民

Global Citizen
お客様のイノベーション活動の支援を通じて、
豊かな社会の実現に貢献する
New Ventures

Technology

New Projects

New Markets

Innovators

New !
Products!
or!
Services

Product Development
Marketing & Customer Development
USA・CANADA・JAPAN・ISRAEL・GREECE
Technology has no
borders

端島, 鹿児島県
The World of R&D
IPhone supply chain map

source: sourcemap
JAPAN NEW Business Formation statistics
20%

178,200
172,800
167,400
162,000
156,600
151,200
145,800
140,400
135,000
129,600
124,200
118,800
113,400
108,000
102,600
97,200
91,800
86,400
81,000
75,600
70,200
64,800
59,400
54,000
48,600
43,200
37,800
32,400
27,000
21,600
16,200
10,800
5,400

15%

10%

5%

1955 1958 1961 1964 1967 1970 1973 1976 1979 1982 1985 1988 1991 1994 1997 2000 2003 2006 2009
設立登記件数
平成24年中小企業白書

会社開業率

会社廃業率

0%
倒木更新
nurse log
80 86
男

女

厚生労働省2013
35

年

帝国データバンク, 2013年
18

年

帝国データバンク, 2013年
What
How
Why
•異文化を体験
? 外国語の勉強 ?
•
死
人脈づくり
•
?
?
•熱中することを見つける
•WHYから始めよ
time
experience new cultures

生
life

learn new languages

build connections

death

find your passion

start with why
The best way to predict the future is to
create it
!

未来を予言する一番良い方法は、自分の手で創り出
すことである

Alan Kay
ご清聴をありがとうございました
127

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