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Near-Term Trajectories in Agri-Food: Implications for Business Strategy
Crop v. Livestock Productivity
The U.S. is not the only country experiencing these rapid shifts We have been doing it longer But China’s agric productivity growth rate has surpassed that of the U.S. in relative terms As have Brazil’s, and even India’s
All Agriculture Productivity Index Source: FAOStats.org
Consider the case of China . . .  Per capita meat consumption in China was 20 kg in 1985  By 2000, it had increased to 50 kg It is projected to reach 85 kg/person by 2030  And the population of China is growing at about 0.5% per annum
But it is not just about food It is more about energy Transportation  Electricity China is projected to overtake the U.S. in oil consumption And with uncertainty about supply, concerns begin to accentuate
Let history guide us in our assessment of the near-future trajectories that face us Agriculture has grown principally through technology and knowledge And there is no reason to believe that will not continue However, it is going to follow a different path Different from the monolith we have seen in the last seven decades And the emergence of multiple strategies to meet specific customer needs
Developed Country Markets Developing Country  & Urban Production
Thank You Conversations

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Near-Term Trajectories in Agri-Food

  • 1. Near-Term Trajectories in Agri-Food: Implications for Business Strategy
  • 2.
  • 3.
  • 4.
  • 5.
  • 6. Crop v. Livestock Productivity
  • 7. The U.S. is not the only country experiencing these rapid shifts We have been doing it longer But China’s agric productivity growth rate has surpassed that of the U.S. in relative terms As have Brazil’s, and even India’s
  • 8. All Agriculture Productivity Index Source: FAOStats.org
  • 9.
  • 10.
  • 11.
  • 12.
  • 13. Consider the case of China . . . Per capita meat consumption in China was 20 kg in 1985 By 2000, it had increased to 50 kg It is projected to reach 85 kg/person by 2030 And the population of China is growing at about 0.5% per annum
  • 14. But it is not just about food It is more about energy Transportation Electricity China is projected to overtake the U.S. in oil consumption And with uncertainty about supply, concerns begin to accentuate
  • 15.
  • 16. Let history guide us in our assessment of the near-future trajectories that face us Agriculture has grown principally through technology and knowledge And there is no reason to believe that will not continue However, it is going to follow a different path Different from the monolith we have seen in the last seven decades And the emergence of multiple strategies to meet specific customer needs
  • 17.
  • 18. Developed Country Markets Developing Country & Urban Production
  • 19.
  • 20.
  • 21.
  • 22.
  • 23.
  • 24.
  • 25.