SlideShare a Scribd company logo
1 of 20
The
one
number
you need to
know
in the social Age
ARF Audience Measurment
June 2013
2
Companies have growing measurement challenges.
Metric proliferation
Measurement is not insight
Some metrics are estimated
No framework to provide context
3
Companies have growing measurement challenges.
Metric proliferation Simplify
Measurement is not insight Learn
Some metrics are estimated Know the detail
No framework to provide context Organize
4
Sentiment has been one of the most-discussed social
metrics for years.
NET POSITIVE SENTIMENT
NET NEGATIVE SENTIMENT
Bacon
Hybrid Cars
Cell Carriers
Financial Services
Neutral
Airlines
Video Game Consoles
10%
20%
Gas Companies
Insurance
5
Emotions help us better understand what makes
people tick, but don’t predict behavior.
0%
5%
10%
Love
Excited
Inspired
Fear
Frustrated
Angry
Hate
Sadness
Worried
Relaxed
Hope
Happy
avg
hybrid cars
Mobile Technologies
Mortgages
Hybrid Cars
Financial Services
Cellular
MeatMeat
Hybrid Cars
Financial
Services
Cell Carriers
6
Is there a metric that predicts how people will
behave?
7
• Measures the number of
people, not conversations.
• Developed with
Northwestern University’s
Kellogg Business School.
• When individuals mention
multiple brands over time
(even when not in the
same conversation), the
Advocacy algorithm
determines while brand
they speak most positively
about and considers them
advocates of that brand
only.
Advocacy (recommendation of brand, product, or
behavior) predicts changes in sales or share.
Change in advocates (prior month) vs. Change in Sales
8
Note: This is not actual representation of data, but
rather an illustration of the efficiency concept.
Advocacy allows for competitive comparison.
9
So you can map your brand’s performance for
context and perspective..
Brand B
Brand C
Brand D
Brand E
Brand F
800
600
200
0
400
2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000
PARTICIPANTS
ADVOCATES
Brand A
10
Most important, advocates aren’t just a metric;
they’re a great opportunity to learn and act.
Sales
Features Passion Motivations
Value Trust Archetypes
Service Engagement Movements
Marketing
Problems Advocates
Rational Emotional Social
11
Covert Campaign -
Mailing
Mini Takes the States
Motorby- Ads
AdvocacyIndex
The earliest advocate insights helped drive MINI’s
campaign development to activate their community.
12
Feb-06
Mar-06
Apr-06
May-06
Jun-06
Jul-06
Aug-06
Sep-06
Oct-06
Nov-06
Dec-06
Jan-07
Feb-07
Mar-07
Apr-07
May-07
Change in Sales vs. Change in Advocates
MINI’s advocates were a leading (and statistically
significant) indicator of sales in 12 of the first 16
months of testing.
       

   
1
2
3
13
Each incremental bacon advocate predicts sales of
5,000 pounds of bacon.
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
Share of Advocacy
Share of Category (pounds)
Y=0.8769X+0.138
R2=0.3014
P=0.028
Advocacy
Share of category
(pounds)
14
Advocates may be influencers, but they are also
canaries in the coal mine, indicating powerful trends
and messages.
Advocates serve as both a
direct influencer to sales
through their relationships in
communities, as well as an
indicator of the offline or
other unmeasured
conversations
15
Because advocacy is a high bar, it may even move
in the opposite direction as sentiment.
0
000
000
000
000
000
000
NETFLIX
ADVOCATES
16
Advocates tend to analyze, vs. react. Even in the
midst of brand meltdown, advocates were able (and
willing) to explain Netflix’s true value.
“I couldn’t say with confidence that
we’d recover. We were in a place
that was quite risky. We didn’t have
the reserves to make a second
stumble.”
-- Reed Hastings, CEO Netflix
17
Advocacy provides context to other metrics, that
allows you to further evaluate where your advocacy is
coming from.
Brand advocates
Unprompted brand mentions
Content creation (YT videos)
Responses to brand Facebook posts
Sentiment of engagement metrics
Facebook likes on brand posts
Re-tweets of brand mentions
Comments on YT videos
Sentiment of participation metrics
Brand Facebook page likes
Brand Twitter handle followers
Subscribers to brand YouTube channel
LowtoHighEffort
Advocacy
Brand/ Product Advocate
Engagement
More effort to interact
Participation
Minimal effort to interact
Awareness
Passive contact with brand mentions
or messages
18
Leveraging the metrics that drive advocacy can help
you more effectively understand your Earned Media
success and how well your “Paid” and “Owned” is
working.
Paid Earned Owned
19
Advocate behavior predicts sales or share in many
other categories.
CLIENTS ARE USING THE ADVOCACY METRIC AS:
Corporate KPI
Marketing Mix Model input
Complement to brand health trackers
Ongoing source of insights and understanding
20
One Number
ADVOCACY

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Motivequest the one social number you need to know

  • 1. The one number you need to know in the social Age ARF Audience Measurment June 2013
  • 2. 2 Companies have growing measurement challenges. Metric proliferation Measurement is not insight Some metrics are estimated No framework to provide context
  • 3. 3 Companies have growing measurement challenges. Metric proliferation Simplify Measurement is not insight Learn Some metrics are estimated Know the detail No framework to provide context Organize
  • 4. 4 Sentiment has been one of the most-discussed social metrics for years. NET POSITIVE SENTIMENT NET NEGATIVE SENTIMENT Bacon Hybrid Cars Cell Carriers Financial Services Neutral Airlines Video Game Consoles 10% 20% Gas Companies Insurance
  • 5. 5 Emotions help us better understand what makes people tick, but don’t predict behavior. 0% 5% 10% Love Excited Inspired Fear Frustrated Angry Hate Sadness Worried Relaxed Hope Happy avg hybrid cars Mobile Technologies Mortgages Hybrid Cars Financial Services Cellular MeatMeat Hybrid Cars Financial Services Cell Carriers
  • 6. 6 Is there a metric that predicts how people will behave?
  • 7. 7 • Measures the number of people, not conversations. • Developed with Northwestern University’s Kellogg Business School. • When individuals mention multiple brands over time (even when not in the same conversation), the Advocacy algorithm determines while brand they speak most positively about and considers them advocates of that brand only. Advocacy (recommendation of brand, product, or behavior) predicts changes in sales or share. Change in advocates (prior month) vs. Change in Sales
  • 8. 8 Note: This is not actual representation of data, but rather an illustration of the efficiency concept. Advocacy allows for competitive comparison.
  • 9. 9 So you can map your brand’s performance for context and perspective.. Brand B Brand C Brand D Brand E Brand F 800 600 200 0 400 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 PARTICIPANTS ADVOCATES Brand A
  • 10. 10 Most important, advocates aren’t just a metric; they’re a great opportunity to learn and act. Sales Features Passion Motivations Value Trust Archetypes Service Engagement Movements Marketing Problems Advocates Rational Emotional Social
  • 11. 11 Covert Campaign - Mailing Mini Takes the States Motorby- Ads AdvocacyIndex The earliest advocate insights helped drive MINI’s campaign development to activate their community.
  • 12. 12 Feb-06 Mar-06 Apr-06 May-06 Jun-06 Jul-06 Aug-06 Sep-06 Oct-06 Nov-06 Dec-06 Jan-07 Feb-07 Mar-07 Apr-07 May-07 Change in Sales vs. Change in Advocates MINI’s advocates were a leading (and statistically significant) indicator of sales in 12 of the first 16 months of testing.              1 2 3
  • 13. 13 Each incremental bacon advocate predicts sales of 5,000 pounds of bacon. 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% Share of Advocacy Share of Category (pounds) Y=0.8769X+0.138 R2=0.3014 P=0.028 Advocacy Share of category (pounds)
  • 14. 14 Advocates may be influencers, but they are also canaries in the coal mine, indicating powerful trends and messages. Advocates serve as both a direct influencer to sales through their relationships in communities, as well as an indicator of the offline or other unmeasured conversations
  • 15. 15 Because advocacy is a high bar, it may even move in the opposite direction as sentiment. 0 000 000 000 000 000 000 NETFLIX ADVOCATES
  • 16. 16 Advocates tend to analyze, vs. react. Even in the midst of brand meltdown, advocates were able (and willing) to explain Netflix’s true value. “I couldn’t say with confidence that we’d recover. We were in a place that was quite risky. We didn’t have the reserves to make a second stumble.” -- Reed Hastings, CEO Netflix
  • 17. 17 Advocacy provides context to other metrics, that allows you to further evaluate where your advocacy is coming from. Brand advocates Unprompted brand mentions Content creation (YT videos) Responses to brand Facebook posts Sentiment of engagement metrics Facebook likes on brand posts Re-tweets of brand mentions Comments on YT videos Sentiment of participation metrics Brand Facebook page likes Brand Twitter handle followers Subscribers to brand YouTube channel LowtoHighEffort Advocacy Brand/ Product Advocate Engagement More effort to interact Participation Minimal effort to interact Awareness Passive contact with brand mentions or messages
  • 18. 18 Leveraging the metrics that drive advocacy can help you more effectively understand your Earned Media success and how well your “Paid” and “Owned” is working. Paid Earned Owned
  • 19. 19 Advocate behavior predicts sales or share in many other categories. CLIENTS ARE USING THE ADVOCACY METRIC AS: Corporate KPI Marketing Mix Model input Complement to brand health trackers Ongoing source of insights and understanding

Editor's Notes

  1. Hi, My name is David and I am a Big data-a-holic.I have been in the big data business for ten yearsUntil 5 years ago I was drowning in the stuff. Has anybody else here felt that way?Well Finally I hit rock bottom and had an epiphany.