Tim Minshall is the Head of the Institute for Manufacturing at the University of Cambridge. The document discusses how the manufacturing context is changing rapidly due to factors like new technologies and policies. It identifies opportunities for manufacturing like new jobs from technologies like robotics and additive manufacturing, but also barriers to adoption like skills shortages and costs. The document emphasizes the need to "join the dots" between different areas like skills, innovation, and policies to help manufacturing adapt to changes and maximize opportunities.
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Manufacturing our Future: Joining the Dots
1. Tim Minshall
Dr John C Taylor Professor of Innovation
Head of the Institute for Manufacturing
Manufacturing our future: Joining the dots
2. Management
Advancing economic opportunity, productivity, competitiveness and
sustainability.
Technology
Developing and integrating enabling, transformational technologies to
produce better products.
Policy
Informing policy development and the shaping of global value chains to
address the challenge of sustainable manufacturing systems.
AIM: Manufacture a Better World
Big M-manufacturing
We address manufacturing in its broadest scope, from understanding markets and technologies through to
product and process design to operations, distribution and related services.
3. Manufacturing our future: Joining the dots
• Changing context
• Opportunities and barriers
• Need to ‘join the dots’
4. Manufacturing our future: Joining the dots
• Changing context
• Opportunities and barriers
• Need to ‘join the dots’
11. Jobs
lost
Jobs
gained
Source: Policy Links – Institute for Manufacturing’s analysis of a selection of international studies.
Studies include: International Federation of Robotics. 2013. Positive Impact of Industrial Robots on employment; Metra Martech. 2013. Positive Impact of Industrial Robots on Employment. IFR; J. Manyika et al. 2015. A labor market that works connecting talent with opportunity in the digital age; M. Arntz, T. Gregory and U. Zierahn. 2016. “The Risk of Automation for Jobs in OECD Countries: A Comparative Analysis”, OECD
Social, Employment and Migration Working Papers, No. 189, OECD Publishing, Paris; J. Chang, G. Rynhart and P. Huynh. 2016. ASEAN in transformation: the future of jobs at risk of automation. ILO; Roland Berger. 2016. The Industrie 4.0 transition quantified; World Economic Forum. 2016. The Future of Jobs Employment, Skills and Workforce Strategy for the Fourth Industrial Revolution; PwC. 2017. Will robots steal our jobs?
The potential impact of automation on the UK and other major economies; Gartner. 2019. Future-Proof Your Talent Strategy. How artificial intelligence is evolving the workforce; World Economic Forum. 2018. The Future of Jobs Report 2018.
The macroeconomic analysis is found in A. Yusuf 2019. The effect of new (disruptive) technology on Indonesian economy: An economy-wide assessment. Background paper to the project “Supporting Technological Transformation in Indonesia”. Forthcoming
Lack of consensus in predictions ..
13. Additive Manufacturing (AM) is multiple different
technologies with multiple application areas
Direct
Manufacturing
Rapid Tooling
Rapid
Prototyping
Wong, K. V. and A. Hernandez (2012). "A Review of Additive Manufacturing." ISRN Mechanical Engineering Article ID 208760.
Deradjat, D. and T. Minshall (2017). "Implementation of Rapid Manufacturing for Mass Customisation." Journal of Manufacturing Technology Management 28(1).
14. Ambidexterity
• process
• repeatability
• efficiency
• flexibility
• risk-taking
• patience
Source: Martinich, 2004; with thanks to Dr M Routley
Exploitation
£
Exploration
15. INDUSTRIAL DIGITALISATION
BARRIERS
Skills shortages
Limited Industry 4.0
Understanding
Limited access to innovation
Poor infrastructure
Perceived cost
Limited empirical evidence
Weak data security
& legislation
Existing Legacy
Survey findings implied 8 key barriers to industrial digitalisation, with cyber security
voted the top barrier.
16. Who needs the skills?
Educational stage
School
~13 years
Further &
Higher
Education
3-7 years
Work / lifelong
learning
40+ years
Sources: Department for Education (2017). “Schools, pupils and their characteristics:January
2017”; http://www.universitiesuk.ac.uk/facts-and-stats/Pages/higher-education-data.aspx;
17. “distributed expertise enacted
through social interactions
between people”
Quote from: Trevelyan, J. P. (2010). "Reconstructing Engineering from Practice." Engineering Studies 2(3): 175-195.
18. Manufacturing our future: Joining the dots
• Changing context
• Opportunities and barriers
• Need to ‘join the dots’
19. What dots need joining?
• “I’ve no idea what you are talking about”
• Support, diffusion, innovation, skills
• Local, national, international, sectors
• Brexit + Digital + Net Zero Carbon
• ..
20. How to join the dots?
• Events like this
• Engagement
• Avoiding ‘echo chamber’
• Mapping
• Showing the linkages
• Targeting efforts
• Responding to changes
…
…
21. Manufacturing our future: Joining the dots
• Changing context
• Opportunities and barriers
• Need to ‘join the dots’
www.ifm.eng.cam.ac.uk
@ifmcambridge
institute-for-manufacturing
Editor's Notes
Opening slide
Big M-manufacturing
We address manufacturing in its broadest scope, from understanding markets and technologies through to product and process design to operations, distribution and related services.
Incremental innovation focus: process, repeatability, efficiency – doesn’t mean no change, but changes are smaller
Radical innovation focus: flexibility, risk-taking, patience
=> Ambidextrous organisation: 2 independent teams with very different characteristics – different types of people?
Need to have balance across both