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AI cases in Industry,
Binding real-time data
and AI/chatbots together
Mika Karaila
Research Director
Valmet
Agenda
Ÿ Principles
Ÿ Tools & languages
Ÿ Use cases
Ÿ Vision for future
21 February, 2017 © Valmet | Mika Karaila / AI & Chatbots in Industry2
Principles
Ÿ Infra-structure and systems providing information:
– Big data: information stored
– Machine learning: creating new value from the existing information
Ÿ Domain knowledge:
– Failure -> cause understanding
Ÿ Dashboards:
– Basic visualization for the key performance indicators (KPI)
– Alarm / failure analysis
Mathematics, programming & knowledge combination
21 February, 2017 © Valmet | Mika Karaila / AI & Chatbots in Industry3
The data science: Hierarchy of needs
https://hackernoon.com/the-ai-hierarchy-of-needs-18f111fcc007
21 February, 2017 © Valmet | Mika Karaila / AI & Chatbots in Industry4
Machine learning & predictive maintenance
Source: Roger Attic: https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/intelligent-things-its-all-machine-learning-roger-attick
21 February, 2017 © Valmet | Mika Karaila / AI & Chatbots in Industry5
Autonomous AI
Assistive AI
Example: drilling engineer
Ÿ Observing the world: In this case, AI can literally look around at years of
operational and geological data related to a company’s wells and drilling
rights, as well as public data such as geophysical data related to the land
Ÿ Reasoning about it to move toward some goal or goals: “Reasoning”
describes how a question of whether to drill an exploratory well on one of
these leases is answered. Assistive AI allows a human to ask literal questions
of a machine in an attempt to derive answers to their problem.
Ÿ Making justified and explainable recommendations to users: AI algorithms
then create models that provide answers to those questions and can help the
drilling engineer recommend whether to drill an exploratory well based on 10
years' worth of data. A human can not in any reasonable time evaluate and
analyze that much data, but AI models provide those recommendations to the
drilling engineer.
https://www.forbes.com/sites/forbestechcouncil/2017/12/21/assistive-ai-not-autonomous-ai-is-the-path-to-improved-operational-efficiencies/#8cfacc41efb1
7 May 2018 © Valmet | Mika Karaila / Future Avenues6
Assistive AI, Not Autonomous AI
=> The Path To Improved Operational Efficiencies
Ÿ Supporting the user to explore hypotheticals: Based on the results
of this exploratory well, the machine can help the engineer look at
what returns a production well might provide on the investment.
Ÿ Recording decisions and actions taken: The AI algorithms record
the decisions and actions taken by the drilling engineer and then the
engineer either accepts the recommendation made by the models or
rejects them and makes his or her own decision.
Ÿ Measuring impacts and outcomes to learn and improve over time:
AI’s greatest value is its learning attribute. It measures the outcome
and KPIs based on the decisions and actions taken by the drilling
engineer and uses that to learn and improve recommendations for
better impact on the KPIs. The reasoning process builds up a bank of
knowledge -- an answer (solution) to a question (problem).
7 May 2018 © Valmet | Mika Karaila / Future Avenues7
https://www.forbes.com/sites/forbestechcouncil/2017/12/21/assistive-ai-not-autonomous-ai-is-the-path-to-improved-operational-efficiencies/#8cfacc41efb1
Assistive AI: How?
What is needed?
Ÿ Models, Not Static IT Applications, Offer Improvements In
Operational Efficiencies
Ÿ Assistive AI Helps Humans Demonstrate Business Value More
Efficiently
7 May 2018 © Valmet | Mika Karaila / Future Avenues8
https://www.forbes.com/sites/forbestechcouncil/2017/12/21/assistive-ai-not-autonomous-ai-is-the-path-to-improved-operational-efficiencies/#8cfacc41efb1
Human-like AI
7 May 2018 © Valmet | Mika Karaila / Future Avenues9
Status of AI: Autonomous Vehicles, AR & VR
7 May 2018 © Valmet | Mika Karaila / Future Avenues10
AI investments – US & China leading
21 February, 2017 © Valmet | Mika Karaila / AI & Chatbots in Industry11
Tools & languages
Selection of the fittest
Ÿ Best tools are in many cases expensive
Ÿ Good for R&D research & finding the solution / model
Ÿ Just to name some:
– SPSS
– Matlab
Ÿ Languages:
– Python (batteries included)
– R (statistical operations)
Selection is in many cases based on available support for the domain problem.
Algorithms, data and similarity to existing solutions in domain.
21 February, 2017 © Valmet | Mika Karaila / AI & Chatbots in Industry13
Use cases
Anomaly detection
Adaptive model
21 February, 2017 © Valmet | Mika Karaila / AI & Chatbots in Industry15
Paper sheet defects – Cluster modeler
Kohonen SOM: Self Organising Map
21 February, 2017 © Valmet | Mika Karaila / AI & Chatbots in Industry16
Paper sheet defects – Cluster modeler
T-SNE: T-distributed Stochastic Neighbor Embedding
21 February, 2017 © Valmet | Mika Karaila / AI & Chatbots in Industry17
Valmet’s predictive roll-cover analysis
21 February, 2017 © Valmet | Mika Karaila / AI & Chatbots in Industry18
• Roll cover lifetime modelled using big
data and predicting future behaviour
• Operational parameters can be
optimized to minimize roll-cover costs
Critical part lifetime (days)
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35
How many running days
remaining?
Can lifetime be extended?
Lifetime with alternative
component?
Critical Vibration Level
10 days
5 days 5 days
Path analysis of paper machine events
21 February, 2017 © Valmet | Mika Karaila / AI & Chatbots in Industry19
Event A, Event B, Event C Event A, Event B, Event C
First time occurrence Second time occurrence
Top 200 “three-event-paths” leading
to unplanned shutdown
And 200
predicting no-shutdown (normal operation)
Problem fingerprint
Using tree-event paths
(sequence of three events)
9:35 AM
Unplanned shut
down
5:35 AM
Guide roll 4 torque
from low to normal
5:35 AM
Guide roll 5 torque
from low to normal
5:40 AM
Nip 2 edge temp DS
from normal to high
”Triplet”
reoccurance
5 times
”Triplet”
reoccurance
15 times
~6:15 AM ~7:00 AM
3 h 20 min
Chatbot - prototypes
Node-red Telegram chatbot
Example of flow based chatbot
21 February, 2017 © Valmet | Mika Karaila / AI & Chatbots in Industry21
Telegram at mobile phone
Screenshot -> live demo!
21 February, 2017 © Valmet | Mika Karaila / AI & Chatbots in Industry22
Alexa – Valmet expert
Bind Valmet DNA real-time values to Alexa
21 February, 2017 © Valmet | Mika Karaila / AI & Chatbots in Industry23
Valmet HoloMill – XR application
Own skins for Avatars: Valmet / customer and own for AÌ
7 May 2018 © Valmet | Mika Karaila / Collaboration with XR24
Avatar movements & actions
Multiple users – all can see each others talking and moving
7 May 2018 © Valmet | Mika Karaila / Collaboration with XR25
Visions for future
Future
Ÿ Technology is maturing
Ÿ Valmet Industrial Internet provides data & models
Ÿ Dashboards for operators
Ÿ Machine Learning on Cloud & Edge
• Real AI in industry: AI Assistant
Thank you!
Questions & discussion
27 21 February, 2017 © Valmet | Mika Karaila / AI & Chatbots in Industry
Mika Karaila - Ai chatbots industry cases

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Mika Karaila - Ai chatbots industry cases

  • 1. AI cases in Industry, Binding real-time data and AI/chatbots together Mika Karaila Research Director Valmet
  • 2. Agenda Ÿ Principles Ÿ Tools & languages Ÿ Use cases Ÿ Vision for future 21 February, 2017 © Valmet | Mika Karaila / AI & Chatbots in Industry2
  • 3. Principles Ÿ Infra-structure and systems providing information: – Big data: information stored – Machine learning: creating new value from the existing information Ÿ Domain knowledge: – Failure -> cause understanding Ÿ Dashboards: – Basic visualization for the key performance indicators (KPI) – Alarm / failure analysis Mathematics, programming & knowledge combination 21 February, 2017 © Valmet | Mika Karaila / AI & Chatbots in Industry3
  • 4. The data science: Hierarchy of needs https://hackernoon.com/the-ai-hierarchy-of-needs-18f111fcc007 21 February, 2017 © Valmet | Mika Karaila / AI & Chatbots in Industry4
  • 5. Machine learning & predictive maintenance Source: Roger Attic: https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/intelligent-things-its-all-machine-learning-roger-attick 21 February, 2017 © Valmet | Mika Karaila / AI & Chatbots in Industry5
  • 6. Autonomous AI Assistive AI Example: drilling engineer Ÿ Observing the world: In this case, AI can literally look around at years of operational and geological data related to a company’s wells and drilling rights, as well as public data such as geophysical data related to the land Ÿ Reasoning about it to move toward some goal or goals: “Reasoning” describes how a question of whether to drill an exploratory well on one of these leases is answered. Assistive AI allows a human to ask literal questions of a machine in an attempt to derive answers to their problem. Ÿ Making justified and explainable recommendations to users: AI algorithms then create models that provide answers to those questions and can help the drilling engineer recommend whether to drill an exploratory well based on 10 years' worth of data. A human can not in any reasonable time evaluate and analyze that much data, but AI models provide those recommendations to the drilling engineer. https://www.forbes.com/sites/forbestechcouncil/2017/12/21/assistive-ai-not-autonomous-ai-is-the-path-to-improved-operational-efficiencies/#8cfacc41efb1 7 May 2018 © Valmet | Mika Karaila / Future Avenues6
  • 7. Assistive AI, Not Autonomous AI => The Path To Improved Operational Efficiencies Ÿ Supporting the user to explore hypotheticals: Based on the results of this exploratory well, the machine can help the engineer look at what returns a production well might provide on the investment. Ÿ Recording decisions and actions taken: The AI algorithms record the decisions and actions taken by the drilling engineer and then the engineer either accepts the recommendation made by the models or rejects them and makes his or her own decision. Ÿ Measuring impacts and outcomes to learn and improve over time: AI’s greatest value is its learning attribute. It measures the outcome and KPIs based on the decisions and actions taken by the drilling engineer and uses that to learn and improve recommendations for better impact on the KPIs. The reasoning process builds up a bank of knowledge -- an answer (solution) to a question (problem). 7 May 2018 © Valmet | Mika Karaila / Future Avenues7 https://www.forbes.com/sites/forbestechcouncil/2017/12/21/assistive-ai-not-autonomous-ai-is-the-path-to-improved-operational-efficiencies/#8cfacc41efb1
  • 8. Assistive AI: How? What is needed? Ÿ Models, Not Static IT Applications, Offer Improvements In Operational Efficiencies Ÿ Assistive AI Helps Humans Demonstrate Business Value More Efficiently 7 May 2018 © Valmet | Mika Karaila / Future Avenues8 https://www.forbes.com/sites/forbestechcouncil/2017/12/21/assistive-ai-not-autonomous-ai-is-the-path-to-improved-operational-efficiencies/#8cfacc41efb1
  • 9. Human-like AI 7 May 2018 © Valmet | Mika Karaila / Future Avenues9
  • 10. Status of AI: Autonomous Vehicles, AR & VR 7 May 2018 © Valmet | Mika Karaila / Future Avenues10
  • 11. AI investments – US & China leading 21 February, 2017 © Valmet | Mika Karaila / AI & Chatbots in Industry11
  • 13. Selection of the fittest Ÿ Best tools are in many cases expensive Ÿ Good for R&D research & finding the solution / model Ÿ Just to name some: – SPSS – Matlab Ÿ Languages: – Python (batteries included) – R (statistical operations) Selection is in many cases based on available support for the domain problem. Algorithms, data and similarity to existing solutions in domain. 21 February, 2017 © Valmet | Mika Karaila / AI & Chatbots in Industry13
  • 15. Anomaly detection Adaptive model 21 February, 2017 © Valmet | Mika Karaila / AI & Chatbots in Industry15
  • 16. Paper sheet defects – Cluster modeler Kohonen SOM: Self Organising Map 21 February, 2017 © Valmet | Mika Karaila / AI & Chatbots in Industry16
  • 17. Paper sheet defects – Cluster modeler T-SNE: T-distributed Stochastic Neighbor Embedding 21 February, 2017 © Valmet | Mika Karaila / AI & Chatbots in Industry17
  • 18. Valmet’s predictive roll-cover analysis 21 February, 2017 © Valmet | Mika Karaila / AI & Chatbots in Industry18 • Roll cover lifetime modelled using big data and predicting future behaviour • Operational parameters can be optimized to minimize roll-cover costs Critical part lifetime (days) 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 How many running days remaining? Can lifetime be extended? Lifetime with alternative component? Critical Vibration Level 10 days 5 days 5 days
  • 19. Path analysis of paper machine events 21 February, 2017 © Valmet | Mika Karaila / AI & Chatbots in Industry19 Event A, Event B, Event C Event A, Event B, Event C First time occurrence Second time occurrence Top 200 “three-event-paths” leading to unplanned shutdown And 200 predicting no-shutdown (normal operation) Problem fingerprint Using tree-event paths (sequence of three events) 9:35 AM Unplanned shut down 5:35 AM Guide roll 4 torque from low to normal 5:35 AM Guide roll 5 torque from low to normal 5:40 AM Nip 2 edge temp DS from normal to high ”Triplet” reoccurance 5 times ”Triplet” reoccurance 15 times ~6:15 AM ~7:00 AM 3 h 20 min
  • 21. Node-red Telegram chatbot Example of flow based chatbot 21 February, 2017 © Valmet | Mika Karaila / AI & Chatbots in Industry21
  • 22. Telegram at mobile phone Screenshot -> live demo! 21 February, 2017 © Valmet | Mika Karaila / AI & Chatbots in Industry22
  • 23. Alexa – Valmet expert Bind Valmet DNA real-time values to Alexa 21 February, 2017 © Valmet | Mika Karaila / AI & Chatbots in Industry23
  • 24. Valmet HoloMill – XR application Own skins for Avatars: Valmet / customer and own for AÌ 7 May 2018 © Valmet | Mika Karaila / Collaboration with XR24
  • 25. Avatar movements & actions Multiple users – all can see each others talking and moving 7 May 2018 © Valmet | Mika Karaila / Collaboration with XR25
  • 27. Future Ÿ Technology is maturing Ÿ Valmet Industrial Internet provides data & models Ÿ Dashboards for operators Ÿ Machine Learning on Cloud & Edge • Real AI in industry: AI Assistant Thank you! Questions & discussion 27 21 February, 2017 © Valmet | Mika Karaila / AI & Chatbots in Industry