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21st 
Century 
Innova0on: 
New 
Opportuni0es 
for 
Leadership 
and 
Leapfrog 
Mel 
Horwitch 
Dean 
and 
University 
Professor 
CEU 
Business 
School 
September 
5, 
2014
The 
Pessimism 
Trap 
(1) 
It’s 
High 
Time 
for 
a 
New 
Public 
Discourse
The 
Pessimism 
Trap 
(2): 
Rankings 
The 
Problem 
With 
Snapshots
Stuck: 
Macro-­‐Reality? 
Source: 
Global 
Innova0on 
Index 
2014
Source: 
Global 
Innova0on 
Index 
2014
How 
We 
Frame 
Our 
World 
Has 
Implica0ons: 
Stages 
of 
Development 
Source: 
Global 
Compe00veness 
Index 
2014-­‐2015
An 
Endless 
Loop 
With 
the 
Same 
Cast 
of 
Characters? 
Source: 
Global 
Innova0on 
Index 
2014
But 
is 
this 
True? 
Are 
there 
just 
winners 
and 
losers 
in 
the 
race 
to 
for 
value 
Crea0on…..and 
is 
the 
gap 
geSng 
larger?
Viewing 
the 
World 
Via 
Global 
Ci0es: 
Does 
that 
Help? 
Source: 
AT 
Kearney 
Global 
Ci0es 
Index 
2014
In 
fact, 
this 
appears 
to 
an 
era 
belonging 
to 
smart 
small 
countries 
and 
smart 
ciKes 
and 
metropols 
• Switzerland 
• Singapore 
• Israel 
• Denmark 
• Taiwan 
• Hong 
Kong 
• Estonia 
• Sweden
“CiKes 
of 
Opportunity” 
Criteria: 
• Intellectual 
capital 
& 
innova0on 
• Technology 
readiness 
• City 
gateway 
• Transporta0on 
& 
infrastructure 
• Health, 
safety 
& 
security 
• Sustainability 
& 
natural 
environment 
• Demographics 
& 
livability 
• Economic 
Clout 
• Ease 
of 
doing 
business 
• Cost 
Source: 
Ci0es 
of 
Opportunity 
6, 
PwC, 
2014
“CiKes 
of 
Opportunity” 
Are 
Everywhere 
Source: 
Ci0es 
of 
Opportunity 
6, 
PwC, 
2014
Some 
Fundamentals-­‐Need 
to 
Move 
to 
a 
Knowledge-­‐Driven 
Economy 
Source: 
OECD 
Science, 
Technology 
and 
Industry 
Scoreboard 
2013
Some 
Fundamentals: 
The 
New 
Geography 
of 
Innova0on 
Source: 
OECD 
Science, 
Technology 
and 
Industry 
Scoreboard 
2013
Some 
Fundamentals: 
Job 
Growth 
Depends 
on 
New 
Firms 
Source: 
OECD 
Science, 
Technology 
and 
Industry 
Scoreboard 
2013
Surprises 
and 
Resiliency: 
Small 
Na0ons 
& 
Ci0es 
(1): 
The 
Saga 
of 
Sea[le
Surprises 
and 
Resiliency: 
Small 
Na0ons 
& 
Ci0es 
(2) 
Lagos, 
Nigeria 
& 
the 
Rise 
of 
Nollywood
Surprises/Resiliency-­‐ 
Small 
Na0ons 
& 
Ci0es 
(3): 
Shenzhen
Strategy’s 
New 
Macro 
Fron0er−Nurturing 
Innova0on 
Ecosystems: 
How 
Societal 
in 
Scope 
Can 
this 
be 
Applied? 
• The 
“Japanese 
Century” 
that 
never 
was. 
During 
the 
1980s 
Japan 
(and 
a 
few 
other 
na0ons) 
a[empted 
to 
apply 
no0ons 
of 
business 
strategy 
to 
the 
na0on 
state, 
especially 
targe0ng 
winners. 
Ul0mately, 
with 
the 
impact 
of 
the 
Internet 
revolu0on, 
this 
a[rac0on 
and 
power 
of 
this 
idea 
diminished 
considerably.
Strategy’s 
New 
Macro 
Fron0er−Nurturing 
Innova0on 
Ecosystems: 
How 
Societal 
in 
Scope 
Can 
• However, 
this 
be 
Applied? 
(Con0nued) 
a 
new 
macro 
strategy 
fron=er 
is 
emerging. 
Na0ons 
may 
be 
able 
to 
learn 
from 
firm-­‐based 
strategy 
today. 
Like 
pacese@ng 
firms, 
socie=es 
should 
explicitly 
encourage 
and 
nurture 
innova=on 
ecosystems, 
where 
the 
emphasis 
is 
on 
community 
building, 
fast 
collabora=on 
and 
opportuni=es 
to 
assemble-­‐disassemble-­‐reassemble− 
locally, 
regionally 
and 
globally. 
Innovation Ecosystems in Smart Grid Strategy, Circa 2010 
GE IBM Cisco 
Source: Ari Ginsberg, Mel Horwitch, Subhendu Mahapatra, Chhavi Singh,“Ecosystem Strategies for Complex Technological 
Innovation: The Case of Smart Grid Development,” PICMET ’10 Conference Proceedings, July 18-22, 2010
A 
Macro-­‐Strategy 
for 
the 
21st 
Century: 
• 
Aim 
for 
the 
Hard-­‐to 
Imitate 
(At 
Least 
for 
a 
While) 
Spaces 
Where 
the 
Mul0pliers 
are 
Greatest 
• 
Cul0vate 
the 
Ul0mate 
Knowledge 
Resources: 
• 
At 
the 
Individual 
(and 
Ins=tu=onal) 
Levels: 
• 
Passion, 
Crea0vity 
and 
Commitment 
But 
Underpinned 
at 
the 
Same 
Time 
by: 
• 
World-­‐Class 
Management, 
Professionalism 
and 
Sophis0ca0on 
• 
At 
the 
Societal 
Level: 
Nurture 
and 
Leverage 
Powerful 
Innova0on 
Ecosystems 
Linked 
with 
Other 
Ecosystems 
Nearby 
and 
Far 
Away
A 
Prac=cal 
Example 
for 
Developing 
Such 
Forward-­‐Thinking 
& 
Ac=ng 
“Dual” 
Individuals 
and 
Thereby 
for 
Nurturing 
a 
Powerful 
Innova=on 
Ecosystem 
in 
Hungary
Global 
Entrepreneurship 
Fellows 
Program 
Budapest-­‐Based, 
Global 
in 
Scope 
gef.ceubusiness.org 
Ø Serves 
a 
key 
gap 
in 
the 
CEE 
entrepreneurship 
ecosystem: 
how 
to 
scale 
and 
go 
global 
Ø Serves 
already 
proven 
entrepreneurs 
Ø Adds 
professional 
global 
management 
to 
the 
required 
repertoire 
of 
of 
the 
21st 
century 
entrepreneur 
Ø And 
all 
this 
can 
be 
taught 
Ø CEU 
Business 
School 
is 
developing 
GEF 
with 
in 
partners 
from 
industry 
Ø Aims 
to 
help 
develop 
CEE's 
finest 
entrepreneurs 
into 
global 
business 
leaders 
as 
well 
Ø Doing 
so 
is 
impera0ve 
for 
CEE 
to 
be 
compe00ve 
in 
the 
21st 
Century
Design 
thinking 
behind 
GEF: 
• Combines 
new 
thinking 
and 
ac0on 
learning 
• Learn 
from 
successful 
global 
entrepreneurs, 
execu0ves 
in 
established 
mul0na0onals, 
relevant 
scholars, 
and 
each 
other! 
gef.ceubusiness.org 
Structure 
of 
GEF: 
Ø Part 
One 
(Oct 
9-­‐ 
Nov 
19): 
Founda=onal 
knowledge 
and 
illustra0ons 
and 
London 
study 
tour 
Ø Part 
Two 
(Nov 
26-­‐ 
Dec 
10): 
Applied 
project 
Part 
Three 
(Dec 
17): 
Jury 
presenta=ons 
and 
assessment 
Ø Part 
Four 
(June, 
2015): 
Update 
presenta=ons 
on 
implementa=on 
results
Some 
Final 
Thoughts 
• New 
and 
Essen0al 
Role 
for 
Business 
Schools 
in 
the 
Twenty-­‐ 
First 
Century 
(Business 
Schools 
Are, 
Almost 
By 
Defini0on, 
Flexible, 
Mul0-­‐Disciplinary, 
Pragma0c, 
Teaching 
as 
Well 
as 
Research-­‐Driven, 
Neutral 
Zones, 
Hubs, 
Magnets, 
and 
They 
Must 
Be 
Adap0ve, 
Market-­‐Driven) 
Statement 
of 
Opinion: 
World-­‐Class 
Business 
Schools 
on 
the 
Ground 
Are 
Essen=al 
for 
World-­‐Class 
Clusters 
of 
Innova=on 
• Who 
Assumes 
the 
Mantle 
of 
Leadership 
in 
this 
New 
World? 
It’s 
Not 
all 
that 
Predetermined 
Anymore. 
Instead, 
it’s 
Up 
for 
Grabs 
• Not 
so 
Silly 
Ques0on: 
Why 
Can’t 
Hungary 
Be 
More 
Like 
a 
“Switzerland”? 
• What 
kind 
of 
Leadership 
is 
required? 
• All 
this 
May 
Represent 
a 
Pathway 
for 
Leapfrog?

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Mel Horwitch: leapfrog leadership

  • 1. 21st Century Innova0on: New Opportuni0es for Leadership and Leapfrog Mel Horwitch Dean and University Professor CEU Business School September 5, 2014
  • 2. The Pessimism Trap (1) It’s High Time for a New Public Discourse
  • 3. The Pessimism Trap (2): Rankings The Problem With Snapshots
  • 4. Stuck: Macro-­‐Reality? Source: Global Innova0on Index 2014
  • 6. How We Frame Our World Has Implica0ons: Stages of Development Source: Global Compe00veness Index 2014-­‐2015
  • 7. An Endless Loop With the Same Cast of Characters? Source: Global Innova0on Index 2014
  • 8. But is this True? Are there just winners and losers in the race to for value Crea0on…..and is the gap geSng larger?
  • 9. Viewing the World Via Global Ci0es: Does that Help? Source: AT Kearney Global Ci0es Index 2014
  • 10. In fact, this appears to an era belonging to smart small countries and smart ciKes and metropols • Switzerland • Singapore • Israel • Denmark • Taiwan • Hong Kong • Estonia • Sweden
  • 11. “CiKes of Opportunity” Criteria: • Intellectual capital & innova0on • Technology readiness • City gateway • Transporta0on & infrastructure • Health, safety & security • Sustainability & natural environment • Demographics & livability • Economic Clout • Ease of doing business • Cost Source: Ci0es of Opportunity 6, PwC, 2014
  • 12. “CiKes of Opportunity” Are Everywhere Source: Ci0es of Opportunity 6, PwC, 2014
  • 13. Some Fundamentals-­‐Need to Move to a Knowledge-­‐Driven Economy Source: OECD Science, Technology and Industry Scoreboard 2013
  • 14. Some Fundamentals: The New Geography of Innova0on Source: OECD Science, Technology and Industry Scoreboard 2013
  • 15. Some Fundamentals: Job Growth Depends on New Firms Source: OECD Science, Technology and Industry Scoreboard 2013
  • 16. Surprises and Resiliency: Small Na0ons & Ci0es (1): The Saga of Sea[le
  • 17. Surprises and Resiliency: Small Na0ons & Ci0es (2) Lagos, Nigeria & the Rise of Nollywood
  • 19. Strategy’s New Macro Fron0er−Nurturing Innova0on Ecosystems: How Societal in Scope Can this be Applied? • The “Japanese Century” that never was. During the 1980s Japan (and a few other na0ons) a[empted to apply no0ons of business strategy to the na0on state, especially targe0ng winners. Ul0mately, with the impact of the Internet revolu0on, this a[rac0on and power of this idea diminished considerably.
  • 20. Strategy’s New Macro Fron0er−Nurturing Innova0on Ecosystems: How Societal in Scope Can • However, this be Applied? (Con0nued) a new macro strategy fron=er is emerging. Na0ons may be able to learn from firm-­‐based strategy today. Like pacese@ng firms, socie=es should explicitly encourage and nurture innova=on ecosystems, where the emphasis is on community building, fast collabora=on and opportuni=es to assemble-­‐disassemble-­‐reassemble− locally, regionally and globally. Innovation Ecosystems in Smart Grid Strategy, Circa 2010 GE IBM Cisco Source: Ari Ginsberg, Mel Horwitch, Subhendu Mahapatra, Chhavi Singh,“Ecosystem Strategies for Complex Technological Innovation: The Case of Smart Grid Development,” PICMET ’10 Conference Proceedings, July 18-22, 2010
  • 21. A Macro-­‐Strategy for the 21st Century: • Aim for the Hard-­‐to Imitate (At Least for a While) Spaces Where the Mul0pliers are Greatest • Cul0vate the Ul0mate Knowledge Resources: • At the Individual (and Ins=tu=onal) Levels: • Passion, Crea0vity and Commitment But Underpinned at the Same Time by: • World-­‐Class Management, Professionalism and Sophis0ca0on • At the Societal Level: Nurture and Leverage Powerful Innova0on Ecosystems Linked with Other Ecosystems Nearby and Far Away
  • 22. A Prac=cal Example for Developing Such Forward-­‐Thinking & Ac=ng “Dual” Individuals and Thereby for Nurturing a Powerful Innova=on Ecosystem in Hungary
  • 23. Global Entrepreneurship Fellows Program Budapest-­‐Based, Global in Scope gef.ceubusiness.org Ø Serves a key gap in the CEE entrepreneurship ecosystem: how to scale and go global Ø Serves already proven entrepreneurs Ø Adds professional global management to the required repertoire of of the 21st century entrepreneur Ø And all this can be taught Ø CEU Business School is developing GEF with in partners from industry Ø Aims to help develop CEE's finest entrepreneurs into global business leaders as well Ø Doing so is impera0ve for CEE to be compe00ve in the 21st Century
  • 24. Design thinking behind GEF: • Combines new thinking and ac0on learning • Learn from successful global entrepreneurs, execu0ves in established mul0na0onals, relevant scholars, and each other! gef.ceubusiness.org Structure of GEF: Ø Part One (Oct 9-­‐ Nov 19): Founda=onal knowledge and illustra0ons and London study tour Ø Part Two (Nov 26-­‐ Dec 10): Applied project Part Three (Dec 17): Jury presenta=ons and assessment Ø Part Four (June, 2015): Update presenta=ons on implementa=on results
  • 25. Some Final Thoughts • New and Essen0al Role for Business Schools in the Twenty-­‐ First Century (Business Schools Are, Almost By Defini0on, Flexible, Mul0-­‐Disciplinary, Pragma0c, Teaching as Well as Research-­‐Driven, Neutral Zones, Hubs, Magnets, and They Must Be Adap0ve, Market-­‐Driven) Statement of Opinion: World-­‐Class Business Schools on the Ground Are Essen=al for World-­‐Class Clusters of Innova=on • Who Assumes the Mantle of Leadership in this New World? It’s Not all that Predetermined Anymore. Instead, it’s Up for Grabs • Not so Silly Ques0on: Why Can’t Hungary Be More Like a “Switzerland”? • What kind of Leadership is required? • All this May Represent a Pathway for Leapfrog?