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Fluids and Kids: What Now?
Kathryn Maitland
Imperial College, London
1998
Fluid bolus therapy –my story
Glucose control
The Silent emergency
Simple treatments: evidence base?
Severe febrile illness: evidence of hypovolaemia?
Feature Valid (%) Fatality rate (%)
Airway and respiration:
Hypoxia (O2 Saturation <90%)
a
86/501 (17.1) 30
Respiratory rate >60
breaths/minute
83/501 (16.6) 20
Deep breathing 104/515 (20.2) 31
Cardiovascular and hydration:
Tachycardia (>160 beats/min) 81/503 (16.1) 17
Bradycardia (<80 beats/min) 5/503 (1) 40
Hypotension (<80mmHg) 66/507 (13) 26
Capillary refill ≥3secs 165/496 (33.3) 15
Sunken eyes 36/514 (7) 28
Decreased skin turgor 29/514 (5.6) 28
Neurological:
Convulsions 303/515 (58.8) 8.3
Prostration 353/514 (68.7) 13
Blantyre Coma Score ≤2 266/509 (52.3) 16
Laboratory:
Severe acidemia (pH <7.2) 96/436 (22) 36
Elevated creatinine (>80 mmols/L) 96/469 (20.4) 26
Hypoglycaemia (<2.5 mmols/L) 58/478 (12.1) 28
Hyperglycaemia (>10 mmols/L) 47/478 (9.8) 19
Hyperkalaemia (>5.5 mmols/L) 61/493 (12.3) 28
Hyponatraemia (<125 mmols/L) 21/493 (4.3) 14
Physiological and dose-finding studies
612121112125 4131516161611 498106106N =
Time(hrs)
4824126-841-20
CVP(cmH2O)
12
10
8
6
4
2
0
-2
CVP low at
admission
B
B=Bolus ~ 20-40mls/kg
Maitland et al Pediatr Crit Care (2005)
Forest Plot
Choice of fluids for resuscitation: a systematic review:
Akech et al BMJ 2010
Perpetual funding crisis….
Major concerns raised in grant reviews:
Shock:
•Provide the evidence (ie relevant physiological
research) from paediatric literature
underpinning shock definition
Management:
• Show us the evidence that on which the fluid
management recommendations are based
Fluid bolus therapy:
The Story from the Rest of the world
(paediatrics)
Paediatric recommendations
Dellinger Surviving Sepsis 2012
Paediatric Recommendations:
Dellinger 2012
‘…… blood pressure alone is not a reliable endpoint
for assessing the adequacy of resuscitation.
However, once hypotension occurs, cardiovascular
collapse may soon follow. Thus, fluid resuscitation is
recommended for both normotensive and
hypotensive children in hypovolemic shock [542–
554]’’.
4 dengue papers, 1 malaria systematic review;
implementation (before after study designs) one
small RCT (India)
International Evidence for Paediatric Fluid
resuscitation guideline
Guidelines FOR THE WHOLE WORLD based on 2 retrospective
analyses from one hospital (Pittsburgh; 3O
referral ICU)
Patient population : survivors to ICU admission: that were ventilated & inotrope
dependant
Endpoint/outcome: Retrospective review of shock reversal and volumes of fluid
required in the first hour on down stream endpoints – need for fluid boluses,
inotropes etc.
First study:
5 year review: 34 children with septic shock ~ 7 children/yr
>=40mls/kg initial fluid resuscitation (9 children) associated with better
outcome (Carcillo et al, JAMA 1991)
Recommmended as the standard of care following publication.
9 children
International Evidence for Paediatric Fluid
resuscitation guideline
Second study:
10 year review of Septic shock (91 children) ~ 9 children/yr
Patient population : SURVIVED to ICU admission: ventilated &
inotrope dependant
Endpoint/outcome: Shock reversal by community physicians:
volumes of fluid required in the first hour
>60mls/kg over 15 mins (34 children): early reversal of shock improves
outcome; (Han Y et all, Pediatrics 2003)
Now recommended as the standard of care
Surviving Sepsis 2012 guideline graded 2C level of evidence
= Weak recommendation based on very poor evidence
2007
The FEAST trial was funded!!!
Pragmatic trial
Severe malarial + acidosis
Undernutrition
Sepsis/shock
Cerebral malariaPneumonia
Meningitis/encephalitis
HIV
Severe malarial anaemia
Controlled trial of fluid resuscitation
(FEAST A)
Follow-up to 4 weeks (24 weeks if developed neurological sequelae by 4 weeks)
Clinical assessments at 1, 4, 8, 24, 48 hours and at 4 weeks
Impaired perfusion
Any one of:
•Cap refill > 2 secs,
•Severe tachycardia,
•temperature gradient
•weak pulse
Excluded: Gastroenteritis Severe malnutrition Non-medical admission (burns,trauma)
Primary endpoint: 48 hour mortality
10.5%
7.3%
Remarkable consistency of adverse outcome of boluses
.
.
.
.
.
.
Malaria:
positive
negative
Subtotal (I-squared = 0.0%, p = 0.691)
Coma:
comatose
not comatose
Subtotal (I-squared = 74.3%, p = 0.049)
Haemoglobin:
< 5 g/dL
>= 5 g/dL
Subtotal (I-squared = 2.9%, p = 0.310)
Base deficit:
>= 8 mmol/L
< 8 mmol/L
Subtotal (I-squared = 14.8%, p = 0.279)
Lactate:
> 5 mmol/L
<= 5 mmol/L
Subtotal (I-squared = 39.2%, p = 0.200)
Period:
before amendment
after amendment
Subtotal (I-squared = 0.0%, p = 0.498)
Subgroup
1.59 (1.10, 2.31)
1.43 (1.01, 2.04)
1.51 (1.17, 1.95)
1.04 (0.73, 1.49)
1.69 (1.21, 2.36)
1.40 (1.10, 1.79)
1.71 (1.16, 2.51)
1.31 (0.93, 1.84)
1.47 (1.14, 1.90)
1.68 (1.18, 2.39)
1.06 (0.50, 2.24)
1.54 (1.12, 2.13)
1.38 (1.05, 1.81)
2.17 (1.14, 4.14)
1.50 (1.17, 1.93)
1.38 (1.05, 1.83)
1.72 (0.98, 3.05)
1.45 (1.13, 1.86)
risk (95% CI)
Relative
110/1202
108/884
218/2086
78/317
143/1777
221/2094
101/655
114/1384
215/2039
128/740
20/659
148/1399
157/764
49/1225
206/1989
172/1691
49/406
221/2097
bolus
Events,
34/591
38/446
72/1037
33/140
43/904
76/1044
30/332
43/683
73/1015
34/330
10/350
44/680
59/395
11/597
70/992
62/844
14/200
76/1044
no bolus
Events,
1.59 (1.10, 2.31)
1.43 (1.01, 2.04)
1.51 (1.17, 1.95)
1.04 (0.73, 1.49)
1.69 (1.21, 2.36)
1.40 (1.10, 1.79)
1.71 (1.16, 2.51)
1.31 (0.93, 1.84)
1.47 (1.14, 1.90)
1.68 (1.18, 2.39)
1.06 (0.50, 2.24)
1.54 (1.12, 2.13)
1.38 (1.05, 1.81)
2.17 (1.14, 4.14)
1.50 (1.17, 1.93)
1.38 (1.05, 1.83)
1.72 (0.98, 3.05)
1.45 (1.13, 1.86)
risk (95% CI)
Relative
110/1202
108/884
218/2086
78/317
143/1777
221/2094
101/655
114/1384
215/2039
128/740
20/659
148/1399
157/764
49/1225
206/1989
172/1691
49/406
221/2097
bolus
Events,
bolus reduces risk bolus increases risk
.
.
.
.
.
.
Malaria:
positive
negative
Subtotal (I-squared = 0.0%, p = 0.691)
Coma:
comatose
not comatose
Subtotal (I-squared = 74.3%, p = 0.049)
Haemoglobin:
< 5 g/dL
>= 5 g/dL
Subtotal (I-squared = 2.9%, p = 0.310)
Base deficit:
>= 8 mmol/L
< 8 mmol/L
Subtotal (I-squared = 14.8%, p = 0.279)
Lactate:
> 5 mmol/L
<= 5 mmol/L
Subtotal (I-squared = 39.2%, p = 0.200)
Period:
before amendment
after amendment
Subtotal (I-squared = 0.0%, p = 0.498)
Subgroup
1.59 (1.10, 2.31)
1.43 (1.01, 2.04)
1.51 (1.17, 1.95)
1.04 (0.73, 1.49)
1.69 (1.21, 2.36)
1.40 (1.10, 1.79)
1.71 (1.16, 2.51)
1.31 (0.93, 1.84)
1.47 (1.14, 1.90)
1.68 (1.18, 2.39)
1.06 (0.50, 2.24)
1.54 (1.12, 2.13)
1.38 (1.05, 1.81)
2.17 (1.14, 4.14)
1.50 (1.17, 1.93)
1.38 (1.05, 1.83)
1.72 (0.98, 3.05)
1.45 (1.13, 1.86)
risk (95% CI)
Relative
110/1202
108/884
218/2086
78/317
143/1777
221/2094
101/655
114/1384
215/2039
128/740
20/659
148/1399
157/764
49/1225
206/1989
172/1691
49/406
221/2097
bolus
Events,
34/591
38/446
72/1037
33/140
43/904
76/1044
30/332
43/683
73/1015
34/330
10/350
44/680
59/395
11/597
70/992
62/844
14/200
76/1044
no bolus
Events,
1.59 (1.10, 2.31)
1.43 (1.01, 2.04)
1.51 (1.17, 1.95)
1.04 (0.73, 1.49)
1.69 (1.21, 2.36)
1.40 (1.10, 1.79)
1.71 (1.16, 2.51)
1.31 (0.93, 1.84)
1.47 (1.14, 1.90)
1.68 (1.18, 2.39)
1.06 (0.50, 2.24)
1.54 (1.12, 2.13)
1.38 (1.05, 1.81)
2.17 (1.14, 4.14)
1.50 (1.17, 1.93)
1.38 (1.05, 1.83)
1.72 (0.98, 3.05)
1.45 (1.13, 1.86)
risk (95% CI)
Relative
110/1202
108/884
218/2086
78/317
143/1777
221/2094
101/655
114/1384
215/2039
128/740
20/659
148/1399
157/764
49/1225
206/1989
172/1691
49/406
221/2097
bolus
Events,
bolus reduces risk bolus increases risk
In every subgroup and at each study site fluid boluses were harmful
Mortality Excess with Boluses by Shock Definition
FEAST ACCM
(cold,
2 signs)
PALS
2010
Comp
WHO/ETAT
Mortality
PALS
2010
With every definition of shock, boluses were
associated with increased mortality
NEJM Oct 2011
WHO/ETAT
Mortality
Bolus= 48%
Control=20%
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
C u t o f f a t 3 g
H b < 3 g / d l
H b > = 3 g / d l
S u b t o t a l ( I- s q u a r e d = 0 . 0 % , p = 0 . 4 5 0 )
C u t o f f a t 4 g
H b < 4 g / d l
H b > = 4 g / d l
S u b t o t a l ( I- s q u a r e d = 0 . 0 % , p = 0 . 3 3 5 )
C u t o f f a t 5 g
H b < 5 g / d l
H b > = 5 g / d l
S u b t o t a l ( I- s q u a r e d = 2 . 9 % , p = 0 . 3 1 0 )
C u t o f f a t 6 g
H b < 6 g / d l
H b > = 6 g / d l
S u b t o t a l ( I- s q u a r e d = 0 . 0 % , p = 0 . 7 7 0 )
C u t o f f a t 7 g
H b < 7 g / d l
H b > = 7 g / d l
S u b t o t a l ( I- s q u a r e d = 0 . 0 % , p = 0 . 6 3 1 )
C u t o f f a t 8 g
H b < 8 g / d l
H b > = 8 g / d l
S u b t o t a l ( I- s q u a r e d = 0 . 0 % , p = 0 . 7 2 2 )
C u t o f f a t 9 g
H b < 9 g / d l
H b > = 9 g / d l
S u b t o t a l ( I- s q u a r e d = 0 . 0 % , p = 0 . 7 9 2 )
C u t o f f a t 1 0
H b < 1 0 g / d l
H b > = 1 0 g /d l
S u b t o t a l ( I- s q u a r e d = 0 . 0 % , p = 0 . 5 4 7 )
C u t o f f a t 1 1
H b < 1 1 g / d l
H b > = 1 1 g / d l
S u b t o t a l ( I- s q u a r e d = 0 . 0 % , p = 0 . 8 0 1 )
S u b g r o u p
1 . 7 4 ( 1 . 0 2 , 2 . 9 9 )
1 . 3 8 ( 1 . 0 3 , 1 . 8 4 )
1 . 4 5 ( 1 . 1 3 , 1 . 8 7 )
1 . 7 4 ( 1 . 1 1 , 2 . 7 3 )
1 . 3 3 ( 0 . 9 8 , 1 . 8 1 )
1 . 4 5 ( 1 . 1 2 , 1 . 8 7 )
1 . 7 1 ( 1 . 1 6 , 2 . 5 1 )
1 . 3 1 ( 0 . 9 3 , 1 . 8 4 )
1 . 4 7 ( 1 . 1 4 , 1 . 9 0 )
1 . 4 1 ( 1 . 0 1 , 1 . 9 9 )
1 . 5 3 ( 1 . 0 4 , 2 . 2 3 )
1 . 4 7 ( 1 . 1 4 , 1 . 8 9 )
1 . 5 3 ( 1 . 1 1 , 2 . 1 3 )
1 . 3 5 ( 0 . 9 0 , 2 . 0 2 )
1 . 4 6 ( 1 . 1 3 , 1 . 8 8 )
1 . 4 3 ( 1 . 0 6 , 1 . 9 2 )
1 . 5 9 ( 0 . 9 7 , 2 . 5 8 )
1 . 4 7 ( 1 . 1 4 , 1 . 9 0 )
1 . 4 3 ( 1 . 0 8 , 1 . 9 0 )
1 . 5 7 ( 0 . 8 7 , 2 . 8 2 )
1 . 4 6 ( 1 . 1 3 , 1 . 8 8 )
1 . 5 0 ( 1 . 1 4 , 1 . 9 7 )
1 . 1 9 ( 0 . 6 0 , 2 . 3 8 )
1 . 4 5 ( 1 . 1 3 , 1 . 8 8 )
1 . 4 8 ( 1 . 1 4 , 1 . 9 3 )
1 . 3 1 ( 0 . 5 2 , 3 . 2 8 )
1 . 4 7 ( 1 . 1 4 , 1 . 8 9 )
r is k ( 9 5 % C I )
R e la t iv e
5 3 / 2 1 7
1 6 2 / 1 8 2 2
2 1 5 / 2 0 3 9
7 9 / 4 5 0
1 3 6 / 1 5 8 9
2 1 5 / 2 0 3 9
1 0 1 / 6 5 5
1 1 4 / 1 3 8 4
2 1 5 / 2 0 3 9
1 1 4 / 8 3 0
1 0 1 / 1 2 0 9
2 1 5 / 2 0 3 9
1 3 1 / 9 8 7
8 4 / 1 1 3 6
2 1 5 / 2 1 2 3
1 5 0 / 1 1 7 8
6 5 / 8 6 1
2 1 5 / 2 0 3 9
1 7 2 / 1 3 6 8
4 3 / 6 7 1
2 1 5 / 2 0 3 9
1 9 0 / 1 5 5 9
2 5 / 4 8 0
2 1 5 / 2 0 3 9
1 9 9 / 1 7 4 8
1 6 / 2 9 1
2 1 5 / 2 0 3 9
b o l u s
E v e n t s ,
1 4 / 1 0 0
5 9 / 9 1 5
7 3 / 1 0 1 5
2 1 / 2 0 8
5 2 / 8 0 7
7 3 / 1 0 1 5
3 0 / 3 3 2
4 3 / 6 8 3
7 3 / 1 0 1 5
4 0 / 4 1 2
3 3 / 6 0 3
7 3 / 1 0 1 5
4 3 / 4 9 7
3 0 / 5 4 8
7 3 / 1 0 4 5
5 3 / 5 9 5
2 0 / 4 2 0
7 3 / 1 0 1 5
5 9 / 6 7 3
1 4 / 3 4 2
7 3 / 1 0 1 5
6 2 / 7 6 3
1 1 / 2 5 2
7 3 / 1 0 1 5
6 7 / 8 7 2
6 / 1 4 3
7 3 / 1 0 1 5
n o _ b o l u s
E v e n t s ,
1 . 7 4 ( 1 . 0 2 , 2 . 9 9 )
1 . 3 8 ( 1 . 0 3 , 1 . 8 4 )
1 . 4 5 ( 1 . 1 3 , 1 . 8 7 )
1 . 7 4 ( 1 . 1 1 , 2 . 7 3 )
1 . 3 3 ( 0 . 9 8 , 1 . 8 1 )
1 . 4 5 ( 1 . 1 2 , 1 . 8 7 )
1 . 7 1 ( 1 . 1 6 , 2 . 5 1 )
1 . 3 1 ( 0 . 9 3 , 1 . 8 4 )
1 . 4 7 ( 1 . 1 4 , 1 . 9 0 )
1 . 4 1 ( 1 . 0 1 , 1 . 9 9 )
1 . 5 3 ( 1 . 0 4 , 2 . 2 3 )
1 . 4 7 ( 1 . 1 4 , 1 . 8 9 )
1 . 5 3 ( 1 . 1 1 , 2 . 1 3 )
1 . 3 5 ( 0 . 9 0 , 2 . 0 2 )
1 . 4 6 ( 1 . 1 3 , 1 . 8 8 )
1 . 4 3 ( 1 . 0 6 , 1 . 9 2 )
1 . 5 9 ( 0 . 9 7 , 2 . 5 8 )
1 . 4 7 ( 1 . 1 4 , 1 . 9 0 )
1 . 4 3 ( 1 . 0 8 , 1 . 9 0 )
1 . 5 7 ( 0 . 8 7 , 2 . 8 2 )
1 . 4 6 ( 1 . 1 3 , 1 . 8 8 )
1 . 5 0 ( 1 . 1 4 , 1 . 9 7 )
1 . 1 9 ( 0 . 6 0 , 2 . 3 8 )
1 . 4 5 ( 1 . 1 3 , 1 . 8 8 )
1 . 4 8 ( 1 . 1 4 , 1 . 9 3 )
1 . 3 1 ( 0 . 5 2 , 3 . 2 8 )
1 . 4 7 ( 1 . 1 4 , 1 . 8 9 )
r is k ( 9 5 % C I )
R e la t iv e
5 3 / 2 1 7
1 6 2 / 1 8 2 2
2 1 5 / 2 0 3 9
7 9 / 4 5 0
1 3 6 / 1 5 8 9
2 1 5 / 2 0 3 9
1 0 1 / 6 5 5
1 1 4 / 1 3 8 4
2 1 5 / 2 0 3 9
1 1 4 / 8 3 0
1 0 1 / 1 2 0 9
2 1 5 / 2 0 3 9
1 3 1 / 9 8 7
8 4 / 1 1 3 6
2 1 5 / 2 1 2 3
1 5 0 / 1 1 7 8
6 5 / 8 6 1
2 1 5 / 2 0 3 9
1 7 2 / 1 3 6 8
4 3 / 6 7 1
2 1 5 / 2 0 3 9
1 9 0 / 1 5 5 9
2 5 / 4 8 0
2 1 5 / 2 0 3 9
1 9 9 / 1 7 4 8
1 6 / 2 9 1
2 1 5 / 2 0 3 9
b o l u s
E v e n t s ,
b o lu s r e d u c e s r is k b o l u s in c r e a s e s r i s k
1. 2 5 . 5 1 2 4
Control betterBolus better
Hb 3 g/dl
Hb 11g/dl
Did anaemia affect outcome?
Each level of Haemoglobin level
Maitland BMC Medicine 2013
Sepsis: Culture +ve or
Goldstein et al definition (& malaria negative)
Maitland Unpublished
Acute Kidney Injury:
Evidence fluid challenge beneficial?
Maitland Unpublished
Period <8 hours 8-<24 hrs 24-<48 hrs 48 hrs – 28 days Total
Distribution of
deaths over time
50 31 12 15 108
% deaths with
BUN≥20 mg/dl
46% 29% 11% 14% 100%
Presenting syndromes
Response to fluid boluses
Shock reversal at one-hour&
:
does not predict benefit
Bolus combined No Bolus Total
¥
Relative risk*
No shock at
one hour 43/876 (5%) 8/323 (2%) 51/1198 (4%)
1.98
(0.94-4.17)
Continued
shock at one
hour 141/1180(12%) 50/701 (7%) 191/1881(10%)
1.67
(1.23-2.28)
&
One-hour time point chosen since no difference in deaths in
bolus vs control arms ie result not influenced by survivorship bias
*p-value for heterogeneity between the two relative risks. = 0.68
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
4.5
5
5.5
6
6.5
7
Cumulativeincidence(%)
0 4 8 12 16 20 24 28 32 36 40 44 48
Hours until death
Cardiogenic (Bolus)
Cardiogenic (No Bolus)
Neurological (Bolus)
Neurological (No Bolus)
Respiratory (Bolus)
Respiratory (No Bolus)
Unknown/Other (Bolus)
Unknown/Other (No Bolus)
Percentage of death in Bolus (B) vs Control (C) with Terminal Clinical Event attributed to:
 Cardiogenic/shock: 4.6%(n=96) B vs 2.6%(n=27) C [Ratio 1.79 (1.17-2.74) p=0.008]
 Neurological: 2.1%(n=44) B vs 1.8%(n=19) C [Ratio 1.15 (0.67-1.98); p=0.6]
 Respiratory: 2.2%(n=47) B vs 1.3%(n=14) C [Ratio 1.68 (0.93-3.06); p=0.09]
‘Terminal Clinical Event’:
Cumulative incidence of mortality for bolus & control arms
Cup half full or half empty?
Dose –response?
.
.
.
Lactate:
> 5 mmol/L
<= 5 mmol/L
Subtotal (I-squared = 39.2%, p = 0.200)
Period:
before amendment
after amendment
Subtotal (I-squared = 0.0%, p = 0.498)
1.38 (1.05, 1.81)
2.17 (1.14, 4.14)
1.50 (1.17, 1.93)
1.38 (1.05, 1.83)
1.72 (0.98, 3.05)
1.45 (1.13, 1.86)
157/764
49/1225
206/1989
172/1691
49/406
221/2097
59/395
11/597
70/992
62/844
14/200
76/1044
1.38 (1.05, 1.81)
2.17 (1.14, 4.14)
1.50 (1.17, 1.93)
1.38 (1.05, 1.83)
1.72 (0.98, 3.05)
1.45 (1.13, 1.86)
157/764
49/1225
206/1989
172/1691
49/406
221/2097
bolus reduces risk bolus increases risk
.
.
.
Lactate:
> 5 mmol/L
<= 5 mmol/L
Subtotal (I-squared = 39.2%, p = 0.200)
Period:
before amendment
after amendment
Subtotal (I-squared = 0.0%, p = 0.498)
1.38 (1.05, 1.81)
2.17 (1.14, 4.14)
1.50 (1.17, 1.93)
1.38 (1.05, 1.83)
1.72 (0.98, 3.05)
1.45 (1.13, 1.86)
157/764
49/1225
206/1989
172/1691
49/406
221/2097
59/395
11/597
70/992
62/844
14/200
76/1044
1.38 (1.05, 1.81)
2.17 (1.14, 4.14)
1.50 (1.17, 1.93)
1.38 (1.05, 1.83)
1.72 (0.98, 3.05)
1.45 (1.13, 1.86)
157/764
49/1225
206/1989
172/1691
49/406
221/2097
bolus reduces risk bolus increases risk
Back to the drawing board…
Fluid is a drug
Fluid resuscitation guidelines
Response to fluid loading in severe
malnutrition(AFRIM)
And MAPS study
Dr Nchafatso Obonyo
• Management of Paediatric Shock
– Observational study in severe malnutrition:
• Myocardial and haemodynamic response to bolus fluid
resuscitation (current WHO treatment guideline)
• Risk factors for myocardial dysfunction
– Non-malnourished children:
• Gastroenteritis and dehydration + hypovolemic shock
• Severe febrile illness and septic shock (FEAST trial criteria)
• One-year Fellowship in Global Health
Other conditions: fluid bolus
Severe Gastroenteritis
Malnutrition
Surgical Burns
Myocardial Function
in severe malnutrition
Bernadette Brent
• Detailed assessment comprising:
– Clinical examination
– ECG (including holter ECGs over 7 days)
– ECHO
• Assessment time points:
– Admission
– Day 7
– Day 28
– Any deterioration
– Any IV fluids
Summary
Shock present?
20 mls/kg 0.9% saline rapidly, repeat x 2
Rehydration: Plan C
<30ml/kg over 1 hr then 70ml/kg over 3
hrs Ringers Lactate (or 5 hrs if <12m)
(no subtraction of bolus volume)
Overall
No shock: 100 mls/kg ~ 3-5 hrs;
If shock present: 120-160mls/kg ~ 4-5 hrs
(approximately 2-3 times a child’s
circulating volume).
6 hours: If still dehydrated: Restart Plan C
FEAST wins Paper of the Year
Research- policy pipeline:
Fluid resuscitation as a supportive therapy
Clinical Investigative Clinical trials New Evidence ? PolicyClinical Investigative Clinical trials New Evidence ? Policy
NEJM paper Acidosis Hypovolaemia Clinical trialsNEJM paper Acidosis Hypovolaemia Clinical trials
1996 1997 2000- 2009 FEAST 2011 Trial stopped
WT project grant
2013
EDITION
GUIDELINESFORTHEMANAGEMENTOF
COMMONCHILDHOODILLNESSES
Second edition
POCKET BOOK
OF
Hospital care
for children
2013: Fluid Boluses continue to be
recommended in WHO guidelines
Annual excess mortality of boluses predicted per 1 million doses
Kiguli et al , BMJ 2014
5, 200- 132, 000 excess deaths/year for 4 million fluid boluses in children
with severe malaria whilst WHO continue to recommend boluses
Time for a bit of knowledge
translation?
Lancet January 2014
Future trials……..
 Fluids
FEAST trial
Glycaemic controlTransfusion:
TRACT trial
Oxygen
COAST trial
The Silent emergency
Simple treatments: evidence base?
Antibiotics
 Antimalarials
AQUAMAT trial
Factorial design: 3950 children
with severe anaemia
•Transfusion strategies
•Long-term management
MalawiUganda
TRansfusion and TReatment of severe Anaemia
in African Children Trial
Children’s Oxygen Administration
Strategies Trial (COAST)
PI: Kath Maitland
!
Uganda
Niger
Innovations: ‘Frugal’ technologies
High Flow (PEP): sustainable resource for
respiratory support
John Fraser
Fisher and Paykel
Brisbane Respiratory Group
Kathy Rowan
POST: First patient enrolled
EIT: lung recruitment of
oxygenation strategies
Clinical trials platform: Added value
Clinical trials facility
GCP compliant trials
East African collaborative
research & capacity buildingLinked sample collection:
basic research

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Maitland - Fluids and Kids: What Now?

  • 1. Fluids and Kids: What Now? Kathryn Maitland Imperial College, London
  • 3.
  • 4. Glucose control The Silent emergency Simple treatments: evidence base?
  • 5. Severe febrile illness: evidence of hypovolaemia? Feature Valid (%) Fatality rate (%) Airway and respiration: Hypoxia (O2 Saturation <90%) a 86/501 (17.1) 30 Respiratory rate >60 breaths/minute 83/501 (16.6) 20 Deep breathing 104/515 (20.2) 31 Cardiovascular and hydration: Tachycardia (>160 beats/min) 81/503 (16.1) 17 Bradycardia (<80 beats/min) 5/503 (1) 40 Hypotension (<80mmHg) 66/507 (13) 26 Capillary refill ≥3secs 165/496 (33.3) 15 Sunken eyes 36/514 (7) 28 Decreased skin turgor 29/514 (5.6) 28 Neurological: Convulsions 303/515 (58.8) 8.3 Prostration 353/514 (68.7) 13 Blantyre Coma Score ≤2 266/509 (52.3) 16 Laboratory: Severe acidemia (pH <7.2) 96/436 (22) 36 Elevated creatinine (>80 mmols/L) 96/469 (20.4) 26 Hypoglycaemia (<2.5 mmols/L) 58/478 (12.1) 28 Hyperglycaemia (>10 mmols/L) 47/478 (9.8) 19 Hyperkalaemia (>5.5 mmols/L) 61/493 (12.3) 28 Hyponatraemia (<125 mmols/L) 21/493 (4.3) 14
  • 6. Physiological and dose-finding studies 612121112125 4131516161611 498106106N = Time(hrs) 4824126-841-20 CVP(cmH2O) 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 -2 CVP low at admission B B=Bolus ~ 20-40mls/kg Maitland et al Pediatr Crit Care (2005)
  • 7.
  • 8. Forest Plot Choice of fluids for resuscitation: a systematic review: Akech et al BMJ 2010
  • 9. Perpetual funding crisis…. Major concerns raised in grant reviews: Shock: •Provide the evidence (ie relevant physiological research) from paediatric literature underpinning shock definition Management: • Show us the evidence that on which the fluid management recommendations are based
  • 10. Fluid bolus therapy: The Story from the Rest of the world (paediatrics)
  • 12. Paediatric Recommendations: Dellinger 2012 ‘…… blood pressure alone is not a reliable endpoint for assessing the adequacy of resuscitation. However, once hypotension occurs, cardiovascular collapse may soon follow. Thus, fluid resuscitation is recommended for both normotensive and hypotensive children in hypovolemic shock [542– 554]’’. 4 dengue papers, 1 malaria systematic review; implementation (before after study designs) one small RCT (India)
  • 13. International Evidence for Paediatric Fluid resuscitation guideline Guidelines FOR THE WHOLE WORLD based on 2 retrospective analyses from one hospital (Pittsburgh; 3O referral ICU) Patient population : survivors to ICU admission: that were ventilated & inotrope dependant Endpoint/outcome: Retrospective review of shock reversal and volumes of fluid required in the first hour on down stream endpoints – need for fluid boluses, inotropes etc. First study: 5 year review: 34 children with septic shock ~ 7 children/yr >=40mls/kg initial fluid resuscitation (9 children) associated with better outcome (Carcillo et al, JAMA 1991) Recommmended as the standard of care following publication.
  • 15. International Evidence for Paediatric Fluid resuscitation guideline Second study: 10 year review of Septic shock (91 children) ~ 9 children/yr Patient population : SURVIVED to ICU admission: ventilated & inotrope dependant Endpoint/outcome: Shock reversal by community physicians: volumes of fluid required in the first hour >60mls/kg over 15 mins (34 children): early reversal of shock improves outcome; (Han Y et all, Pediatrics 2003) Now recommended as the standard of care Surviving Sepsis 2012 guideline graded 2C level of evidence = Weak recommendation based on very poor evidence
  • 16. 2007 The FEAST trial was funded!!!
  • 17. Pragmatic trial Severe malarial + acidosis Undernutrition Sepsis/shock Cerebral malariaPneumonia Meningitis/encephalitis HIV Severe malarial anaemia
  • 18. Controlled trial of fluid resuscitation (FEAST A) Follow-up to 4 weeks (24 weeks if developed neurological sequelae by 4 weeks) Clinical assessments at 1, 4, 8, 24, 48 hours and at 4 weeks Impaired perfusion Any one of: •Cap refill > 2 secs, •Severe tachycardia, •temperature gradient •weak pulse Excluded: Gastroenteritis Severe malnutrition Non-medical admission (burns,trauma)
  • 19.
  • 20. Primary endpoint: 48 hour mortality 10.5% 7.3%
  • 21. Remarkable consistency of adverse outcome of boluses . . . . . . Malaria: positive negative Subtotal (I-squared = 0.0%, p = 0.691) Coma: comatose not comatose Subtotal (I-squared = 74.3%, p = 0.049) Haemoglobin: < 5 g/dL >= 5 g/dL Subtotal (I-squared = 2.9%, p = 0.310) Base deficit: >= 8 mmol/L < 8 mmol/L Subtotal (I-squared = 14.8%, p = 0.279) Lactate: > 5 mmol/L <= 5 mmol/L Subtotal (I-squared = 39.2%, p = 0.200) Period: before amendment after amendment Subtotal (I-squared = 0.0%, p = 0.498) Subgroup 1.59 (1.10, 2.31) 1.43 (1.01, 2.04) 1.51 (1.17, 1.95) 1.04 (0.73, 1.49) 1.69 (1.21, 2.36) 1.40 (1.10, 1.79) 1.71 (1.16, 2.51) 1.31 (0.93, 1.84) 1.47 (1.14, 1.90) 1.68 (1.18, 2.39) 1.06 (0.50, 2.24) 1.54 (1.12, 2.13) 1.38 (1.05, 1.81) 2.17 (1.14, 4.14) 1.50 (1.17, 1.93) 1.38 (1.05, 1.83) 1.72 (0.98, 3.05) 1.45 (1.13, 1.86) risk (95% CI) Relative 110/1202 108/884 218/2086 78/317 143/1777 221/2094 101/655 114/1384 215/2039 128/740 20/659 148/1399 157/764 49/1225 206/1989 172/1691 49/406 221/2097 bolus Events, 34/591 38/446 72/1037 33/140 43/904 76/1044 30/332 43/683 73/1015 34/330 10/350 44/680 59/395 11/597 70/992 62/844 14/200 76/1044 no bolus Events, 1.59 (1.10, 2.31) 1.43 (1.01, 2.04) 1.51 (1.17, 1.95) 1.04 (0.73, 1.49) 1.69 (1.21, 2.36) 1.40 (1.10, 1.79) 1.71 (1.16, 2.51) 1.31 (0.93, 1.84) 1.47 (1.14, 1.90) 1.68 (1.18, 2.39) 1.06 (0.50, 2.24) 1.54 (1.12, 2.13) 1.38 (1.05, 1.81) 2.17 (1.14, 4.14) 1.50 (1.17, 1.93) 1.38 (1.05, 1.83) 1.72 (0.98, 3.05) 1.45 (1.13, 1.86) risk (95% CI) Relative 110/1202 108/884 218/2086 78/317 143/1777 221/2094 101/655 114/1384 215/2039 128/740 20/659 148/1399 157/764 49/1225 206/1989 172/1691 49/406 221/2097 bolus Events, bolus reduces risk bolus increases risk . . . . . . Malaria: positive negative Subtotal (I-squared = 0.0%, p = 0.691) Coma: comatose not comatose Subtotal (I-squared = 74.3%, p = 0.049) Haemoglobin: < 5 g/dL >= 5 g/dL Subtotal (I-squared = 2.9%, p = 0.310) Base deficit: >= 8 mmol/L < 8 mmol/L Subtotal (I-squared = 14.8%, p = 0.279) Lactate: > 5 mmol/L <= 5 mmol/L Subtotal (I-squared = 39.2%, p = 0.200) Period: before amendment after amendment Subtotal (I-squared = 0.0%, p = 0.498) Subgroup 1.59 (1.10, 2.31) 1.43 (1.01, 2.04) 1.51 (1.17, 1.95) 1.04 (0.73, 1.49) 1.69 (1.21, 2.36) 1.40 (1.10, 1.79) 1.71 (1.16, 2.51) 1.31 (0.93, 1.84) 1.47 (1.14, 1.90) 1.68 (1.18, 2.39) 1.06 (0.50, 2.24) 1.54 (1.12, 2.13) 1.38 (1.05, 1.81) 2.17 (1.14, 4.14) 1.50 (1.17, 1.93) 1.38 (1.05, 1.83) 1.72 (0.98, 3.05) 1.45 (1.13, 1.86) risk (95% CI) Relative 110/1202 108/884 218/2086 78/317 143/1777 221/2094 101/655 114/1384 215/2039 128/740 20/659 148/1399 157/764 49/1225 206/1989 172/1691 49/406 221/2097 bolus Events, 34/591 38/446 72/1037 33/140 43/904 76/1044 30/332 43/683 73/1015 34/330 10/350 44/680 59/395 11/597 70/992 62/844 14/200 76/1044 no bolus Events, 1.59 (1.10, 2.31) 1.43 (1.01, 2.04) 1.51 (1.17, 1.95) 1.04 (0.73, 1.49) 1.69 (1.21, 2.36) 1.40 (1.10, 1.79) 1.71 (1.16, 2.51) 1.31 (0.93, 1.84) 1.47 (1.14, 1.90) 1.68 (1.18, 2.39) 1.06 (0.50, 2.24) 1.54 (1.12, 2.13) 1.38 (1.05, 1.81) 2.17 (1.14, 4.14) 1.50 (1.17, 1.93) 1.38 (1.05, 1.83) 1.72 (0.98, 3.05) 1.45 (1.13, 1.86) risk (95% CI) Relative 110/1202 108/884 218/2086 78/317 143/1777 221/2094 101/655 114/1384 215/2039 128/740 20/659 148/1399 157/764 49/1225 206/1989 172/1691 49/406 221/2097 bolus Events, bolus reduces risk bolus increases risk In every subgroup and at each study site fluid boluses were harmful
  • 22. Mortality Excess with Boluses by Shock Definition FEAST ACCM (cold, 2 signs) PALS 2010 Comp WHO/ETAT Mortality PALS 2010 With every definition of shock, boluses were associated with increased mortality NEJM Oct 2011 WHO/ETAT Mortality Bolus= 48% Control=20%
  • 23. . . . . . . . . . C u t o f f a t 3 g H b < 3 g / d l H b > = 3 g / d l S u b t o t a l ( I- s q u a r e d = 0 . 0 % , p = 0 . 4 5 0 ) C u t o f f a t 4 g H b < 4 g / d l H b > = 4 g / d l S u b t o t a l ( I- s q u a r e d = 0 . 0 % , p = 0 . 3 3 5 ) C u t o f f a t 5 g H b < 5 g / d l H b > = 5 g / d l S u b t o t a l ( I- s q u a r e d = 2 . 9 % , p = 0 . 3 1 0 ) C u t o f f a t 6 g H b < 6 g / d l H b > = 6 g / d l S u b t o t a l ( I- s q u a r e d = 0 . 0 % , p = 0 . 7 7 0 ) C u t o f f a t 7 g H b < 7 g / d l H b > = 7 g / d l S u b t o t a l ( I- s q u a r e d = 0 . 0 % , p = 0 . 6 3 1 ) C u t o f f a t 8 g H b < 8 g / d l H b > = 8 g / d l S u b t o t a l ( I- s q u a r e d = 0 . 0 % , p = 0 . 7 2 2 ) C u t o f f a t 9 g H b < 9 g / d l H b > = 9 g / d l S u b t o t a l ( I- s q u a r e d = 0 . 0 % , p = 0 . 7 9 2 ) C u t o f f a t 1 0 H b < 1 0 g / d l H b > = 1 0 g /d l S u b t o t a l ( I- s q u a r e d = 0 . 0 % , p = 0 . 5 4 7 ) C u t o f f a t 1 1 H b < 1 1 g / d l H b > = 1 1 g / d l S u b t o t a l ( I- s q u a r e d = 0 . 0 % , p = 0 . 8 0 1 ) S u b g r o u p 1 . 7 4 ( 1 . 0 2 , 2 . 9 9 ) 1 . 3 8 ( 1 . 0 3 , 1 . 8 4 ) 1 . 4 5 ( 1 . 1 3 , 1 . 8 7 ) 1 . 7 4 ( 1 . 1 1 , 2 . 7 3 ) 1 . 3 3 ( 0 . 9 8 , 1 . 8 1 ) 1 . 4 5 ( 1 . 1 2 , 1 . 8 7 ) 1 . 7 1 ( 1 . 1 6 , 2 . 5 1 ) 1 . 3 1 ( 0 . 9 3 , 1 . 8 4 ) 1 . 4 7 ( 1 . 1 4 , 1 . 9 0 ) 1 . 4 1 ( 1 . 0 1 , 1 . 9 9 ) 1 . 5 3 ( 1 . 0 4 , 2 . 2 3 ) 1 . 4 7 ( 1 . 1 4 , 1 . 8 9 ) 1 . 5 3 ( 1 . 1 1 , 2 . 1 3 ) 1 . 3 5 ( 0 . 9 0 , 2 . 0 2 ) 1 . 4 6 ( 1 . 1 3 , 1 . 8 8 ) 1 . 4 3 ( 1 . 0 6 , 1 . 9 2 ) 1 . 5 9 ( 0 . 9 7 , 2 . 5 8 ) 1 . 4 7 ( 1 . 1 4 , 1 . 9 0 ) 1 . 4 3 ( 1 . 0 8 , 1 . 9 0 ) 1 . 5 7 ( 0 . 8 7 , 2 . 8 2 ) 1 . 4 6 ( 1 . 1 3 , 1 . 8 8 ) 1 . 5 0 ( 1 . 1 4 , 1 . 9 7 ) 1 . 1 9 ( 0 . 6 0 , 2 . 3 8 ) 1 . 4 5 ( 1 . 1 3 , 1 . 8 8 ) 1 . 4 8 ( 1 . 1 4 , 1 . 9 3 ) 1 . 3 1 ( 0 . 5 2 , 3 . 2 8 ) 1 . 4 7 ( 1 . 1 4 , 1 . 8 9 ) r is k ( 9 5 % C I ) R e la t iv e 5 3 / 2 1 7 1 6 2 / 1 8 2 2 2 1 5 / 2 0 3 9 7 9 / 4 5 0 1 3 6 / 1 5 8 9 2 1 5 / 2 0 3 9 1 0 1 / 6 5 5 1 1 4 / 1 3 8 4 2 1 5 / 2 0 3 9 1 1 4 / 8 3 0 1 0 1 / 1 2 0 9 2 1 5 / 2 0 3 9 1 3 1 / 9 8 7 8 4 / 1 1 3 6 2 1 5 / 2 1 2 3 1 5 0 / 1 1 7 8 6 5 / 8 6 1 2 1 5 / 2 0 3 9 1 7 2 / 1 3 6 8 4 3 / 6 7 1 2 1 5 / 2 0 3 9 1 9 0 / 1 5 5 9 2 5 / 4 8 0 2 1 5 / 2 0 3 9 1 9 9 / 1 7 4 8 1 6 / 2 9 1 2 1 5 / 2 0 3 9 b o l u s E v e n t s , 1 4 / 1 0 0 5 9 / 9 1 5 7 3 / 1 0 1 5 2 1 / 2 0 8 5 2 / 8 0 7 7 3 / 1 0 1 5 3 0 / 3 3 2 4 3 / 6 8 3 7 3 / 1 0 1 5 4 0 / 4 1 2 3 3 / 6 0 3 7 3 / 1 0 1 5 4 3 / 4 9 7 3 0 / 5 4 8 7 3 / 1 0 4 5 5 3 / 5 9 5 2 0 / 4 2 0 7 3 / 1 0 1 5 5 9 / 6 7 3 1 4 / 3 4 2 7 3 / 1 0 1 5 6 2 / 7 6 3 1 1 / 2 5 2 7 3 / 1 0 1 5 6 7 / 8 7 2 6 / 1 4 3 7 3 / 1 0 1 5 n o _ b o l u s E v e n t s , 1 . 7 4 ( 1 . 0 2 , 2 . 9 9 ) 1 . 3 8 ( 1 . 0 3 , 1 . 8 4 ) 1 . 4 5 ( 1 . 1 3 , 1 . 8 7 ) 1 . 7 4 ( 1 . 1 1 , 2 . 7 3 ) 1 . 3 3 ( 0 . 9 8 , 1 . 8 1 ) 1 . 4 5 ( 1 . 1 2 , 1 . 8 7 ) 1 . 7 1 ( 1 . 1 6 , 2 . 5 1 ) 1 . 3 1 ( 0 . 9 3 , 1 . 8 4 ) 1 . 4 7 ( 1 . 1 4 , 1 . 9 0 ) 1 . 4 1 ( 1 . 0 1 , 1 . 9 9 ) 1 . 5 3 ( 1 . 0 4 , 2 . 2 3 ) 1 . 4 7 ( 1 . 1 4 , 1 . 8 9 ) 1 . 5 3 ( 1 . 1 1 , 2 . 1 3 ) 1 . 3 5 ( 0 . 9 0 , 2 . 0 2 ) 1 . 4 6 ( 1 . 1 3 , 1 . 8 8 ) 1 . 4 3 ( 1 . 0 6 , 1 . 9 2 ) 1 . 5 9 ( 0 . 9 7 , 2 . 5 8 ) 1 . 4 7 ( 1 . 1 4 , 1 . 9 0 ) 1 . 4 3 ( 1 . 0 8 , 1 . 9 0 ) 1 . 5 7 ( 0 . 8 7 , 2 . 8 2 ) 1 . 4 6 ( 1 . 1 3 , 1 . 8 8 ) 1 . 5 0 ( 1 . 1 4 , 1 . 9 7 ) 1 . 1 9 ( 0 . 6 0 , 2 . 3 8 ) 1 . 4 5 ( 1 . 1 3 , 1 . 8 8 ) 1 . 4 8 ( 1 . 1 4 , 1 . 9 3 ) 1 . 3 1 ( 0 . 5 2 , 3 . 2 8 ) 1 . 4 7 ( 1 . 1 4 , 1 . 8 9 ) r is k ( 9 5 % C I ) R e la t iv e 5 3 / 2 1 7 1 6 2 / 1 8 2 2 2 1 5 / 2 0 3 9 7 9 / 4 5 0 1 3 6 / 1 5 8 9 2 1 5 / 2 0 3 9 1 0 1 / 6 5 5 1 1 4 / 1 3 8 4 2 1 5 / 2 0 3 9 1 1 4 / 8 3 0 1 0 1 / 1 2 0 9 2 1 5 / 2 0 3 9 1 3 1 / 9 8 7 8 4 / 1 1 3 6 2 1 5 / 2 1 2 3 1 5 0 / 1 1 7 8 6 5 / 8 6 1 2 1 5 / 2 0 3 9 1 7 2 / 1 3 6 8 4 3 / 6 7 1 2 1 5 / 2 0 3 9 1 9 0 / 1 5 5 9 2 5 / 4 8 0 2 1 5 / 2 0 3 9 1 9 9 / 1 7 4 8 1 6 / 2 9 1 2 1 5 / 2 0 3 9 b o l u s E v e n t s , b o lu s r e d u c e s r is k b o l u s in c r e a s e s r i s k 1. 2 5 . 5 1 2 4 Control betterBolus better Hb 3 g/dl Hb 11g/dl Did anaemia affect outcome? Each level of Haemoglobin level Maitland BMC Medicine 2013
  • 24. Sepsis: Culture +ve or Goldstein et al definition (& malaria negative) Maitland Unpublished
  • 25. Acute Kidney Injury: Evidence fluid challenge beneficial? Maitland Unpublished Period <8 hours 8-<24 hrs 24-<48 hrs 48 hrs – 28 days Total Distribution of deaths over time 50 31 12 15 108 % deaths with BUN≥20 mg/dl 46% 29% 11% 14% 100%
  • 26.
  • 28. Response to fluid boluses
  • 29. Shock reversal at one-hour& : does not predict benefit Bolus combined No Bolus Total ¥ Relative risk* No shock at one hour 43/876 (5%) 8/323 (2%) 51/1198 (4%) 1.98 (0.94-4.17) Continued shock at one hour 141/1180(12%) 50/701 (7%) 191/1881(10%) 1.67 (1.23-2.28) & One-hour time point chosen since no difference in deaths in bolus vs control arms ie result not influenced by survivorship bias *p-value for heterogeneity between the two relative risks. = 0.68
  • 30. 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5 5 5.5 6 6.5 7 Cumulativeincidence(%) 0 4 8 12 16 20 24 28 32 36 40 44 48 Hours until death Cardiogenic (Bolus) Cardiogenic (No Bolus) Neurological (Bolus) Neurological (No Bolus) Respiratory (Bolus) Respiratory (No Bolus) Unknown/Other (Bolus) Unknown/Other (No Bolus) Percentage of death in Bolus (B) vs Control (C) with Terminal Clinical Event attributed to:  Cardiogenic/shock: 4.6%(n=96) B vs 2.6%(n=27) C [Ratio 1.79 (1.17-2.74) p=0.008]  Neurological: 2.1%(n=44) B vs 1.8%(n=19) C [Ratio 1.15 (0.67-1.98); p=0.6]  Respiratory: 2.2%(n=47) B vs 1.3%(n=14) C [Ratio 1.68 (0.93-3.06); p=0.09] ‘Terminal Clinical Event’: Cumulative incidence of mortality for bolus & control arms
  • 31. Cup half full or half empty?
  • 32. Dose –response? . . . Lactate: > 5 mmol/L <= 5 mmol/L Subtotal (I-squared = 39.2%, p = 0.200) Period: before amendment after amendment Subtotal (I-squared = 0.0%, p = 0.498) 1.38 (1.05, 1.81) 2.17 (1.14, 4.14) 1.50 (1.17, 1.93) 1.38 (1.05, 1.83) 1.72 (0.98, 3.05) 1.45 (1.13, 1.86) 157/764 49/1225 206/1989 172/1691 49/406 221/2097 59/395 11/597 70/992 62/844 14/200 76/1044 1.38 (1.05, 1.81) 2.17 (1.14, 4.14) 1.50 (1.17, 1.93) 1.38 (1.05, 1.83) 1.72 (0.98, 3.05) 1.45 (1.13, 1.86) 157/764 49/1225 206/1989 172/1691 49/406 221/2097 bolus reduces risk bolus increases risk . . . Lactate: > 5 mmol/L <= 5 mmol/L Subtotal (I-squared = 39.2%, p = 0.200) Period: before amendment after amendment Subtotal (I-squared = 0.0%, p = 0.498) 1.38 (1.05, 1.81) 2.17 (1.14, 4.14) 1.50 (1.17, 1.93) 1.38 (1.05, 1.83) 1.72 (0.98, 3.05) 1.45 (1.13, 1.86) 157/764 49/1225 206/1989 172/1691 49/406 221/2097 59/395 11/597 70/992 62/844 14/200 76/1044 1.38 (1.05, 1.81) 2.17 (1.14, 4.14) 1.50 (1.17, 1.93) 1.38 (1.05, 1.83) 1.72 (0.98, 3.05) 1.45 (1.13, 1.86) 157/764 49/1225 206/1989 172/1691 49/406 221/2097 bolus reduces risk bolus increases risk
  • 33. Back to the drawing board…
  • 34. Fluid is a drug
  • 36. Response to fluid loading in severe malnutrition(AFRIM) And MAPS study Dr Nchafatso Obonyo • Management of Paediatric Shock – Observational study in severe malnutrition: • Myocardial and haemodynamic response to bolus fluid resuscitation (current WHO treatment guideline) • Risk factors for myocardial dysfunction – Non-malnourished children: • Gastroenteritis and dehydration + hypovolemic shock • Severe febrile illness and septic shock (FEAST trial criteria) • One-year Fellowship in Global Health
  • 37.
  • 38. Other conditions: fluid bolus Severe Gastroenteritis Malnutrition Surgical Burns
  • 39. Myocardial Function in severe malnutrition Bernadette Brent • Detailed assessment comprising: – Clinical examination – ECG (including holter ECGs over 7 days) – ECHO • Assessment time points: – Admission – Day 7 – Day 28 – Any deterioration – Any IV fluids
  • 40. Summary Shock present? 20 mls/kg 0.9% saline rapidly, repeat x 2 Rehydration: Plan C <30ml/kg over 1 hr then 70ml/kg over 3 hrs Ringers Lactate (or 5 hrs if <12m) (no subtraction of bolus volume) Overall No shock: 100 mls/kg ~ 3-5 hrs; If shock present: 120-160mls/kg ~ 4-5 hrs (approximately 2-3 times a child’s circulating volume). 6 hours: If still dehydrated: Restart Plan C
  • 41. FEAST wins Paper of the Year
  • 42. Research- policy pipeline: Fluid resuscitation as a supportive therapy Clinical Investigative Clinical trials New Evidence ? PolicyClinical Investigative Clinical trials New Evidence ? Policy NEJM paper Acidosis Hypovolaemia Clinical trialsNEJM paper Acidosis Hypovolaemia Clinical trials 1996 1997 2000- 2009 FEAST 2011 Trial stopped WT project grant
  • 43. 2013 EDITION GUIDELINESFORTHEMANAGEMENTOF COMMONCHILDHOODILLNESSES Second edition POCKET BOOK OF Hospital care for children 2013: Fluid Boluses continue to be recommended in WHO guidelines
  • 44. Annual excess mortality of boluses predicted per 1 million doses Kiguli et al , BMJ 2014 5, 200- 132, 000 excess deaths/year for 4 million fluid boluses in children with severe malaria whilst WHO continue to recommend boluses
  • 45. Time for a bit of knowledge translation? Lancet January 2014
  • 46.
  • 48.  Fluids FEAST trial Glycaemic controlTransfusion: TRACT trial Oxygen COAST trial The Silent emergency Simple treatments: evidence base? Antibiotics  Antimalarials AQUAMAT trial
  • 49. Factorial design: 3950 children with severe anaemia •Transfusion strategies •Long-term management MalawiUganda TRansfusion and TReatment of severe Anaemia in African Children Trial
  • 50. Children’s Oxygen Administration Strategies Trial (COAST) PI: Kath Maitland ! Uganda Niger Innovations: ‘Frugal’ technologies High Flow (PEP): sustainable resource for respiratory support John Fraser Fisher and Paykel Brisbane Respiratory Group Kathy Rowan
  • 51. POST: First patient enrolled EIT: lung recruitment of oxygenation strategies
  • 52. Clinical trials platform: Added value Clinical trials facility GCP compliant trials East African collaborative research & capacity buildingLinked sample collection: basic research

Editor's Notes

  1. Most emergency treatments have poor evidence base – however high quality trials produce important results- two of largest trials conducted in Africa in severely ill children – changed guidelines Other components to ABC/Ssurviving sepsis for Africa kids - aspects of care not delinated thought clinical trials…..and the FEAST trial shows why we need to do more trials..
  2. Fluid Resuscitation is the medical practice of intravenously replenishing bodily fluid that has been lost through the disease/infection process. First study was in intensive care but second in 2003 helped push fluid resuscitation to be used more in A&amp;Es.
  3. Fluid Resuscitation is the medical practice of intravenously replenishing bodily fluid that has been lost through the disease/infection process. First study was in intensive care but second in 2003 helped push fluid resuscitation to be used more in A&amp;Es.
  4. These were the common conditions included in the trial Large enough numbers for a definitive answer at the end of the trial
  5. In very single subgroups boluses were harmful
  6. One question was whether the definition of shock used in the trial was different to others. We published this in a letter…with new data In particular using the strict WHO shock definition, which only applied to a small number of children in the trial, there was a significant 28% excess mortality associated with boluses.
  7. We have presented this before…at all levels of haemoglobin, boluses were harmful
  8. Further analyses:
  9. Next looking at bedside observations,….amongst all of them, only impaired perfusion was statistically different at one hour. This is consistent with global experience- children ‘get better’ on boluses! We could only look early on as later, the difference in mortality between the bolus and control arms would result a biased result (survivorship bias).
  10. Finally looking at terminal clinical events classified by ERC chair and member, blind to trial arm…… The biggest difference is with cardiogenic shock…ongoing shock and cardiac collapse was most significantly different between bolus and control
  11. In very single subgroups boluses were harmful
  12. These were the common conditions included in the trial Large enough numbers for a definitive answer at the end of the trial
  13. Most emergency treatments have poor evidence base – however high quality trials produce important results- two of largest trials conducted in Africa in severely ill children – changed guidelines Other components to ABC/Ssurviving sepsis for Africa kids - aspects of care not delinated thought clinical trials…..and the FEAST trial shows why we need to do more trials..
  14. Transfusion strategies in 4000 children with severe anaemia- who to transfuse and how much…. Factorial design transfusion management and long-term management (infection prophylaxis) and micronutrient support: Uganda and Malawi