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ISSN 2534-9228 (2022) VUZF Review, 7(3)
Main trends and development forecast of bread and bakery
products market
Bartosz Mickiewicz* А
; Igor Britchenko B
A
West Pomeranian University of Technology, 17, Piastow str., Szczecin, 2009, Poland
B University of Security Management in Košice, 2373/1 Kostova str., Kosice, 04001, Bulgaria
Received: September 06, 2022 | Revised: September 13, 2022 | Accepted: September 27, 2022
JEL Classification: Q17, Q18.
DOI: 10.38188/2534-9228.22.3.11
Abstract
Bakery products are very important in human nutrition and are the basis of any daily diet. Their
social significance is determined by the traditions and habits of the population of the countries,
accessibility for all groups of the population, diverse assortment, including bakery products for
functional and specialized purposes. The up-to-date trend is to expand the assortment of
functional bakery products, the use of which will provide the body’s need for the necessary
macro- and micronutrients for an active and healthy lifestyle. In the bread and bakery products
market, consumer preferences are constantly changing. Consumers prefer products that contain
less fat and sugar. The market is in demand for bakery products that are healthy, while taste
remains an important success factor. Manufacturers include popular healthy additives (grains,
seeds and legumes) in their products. Particularly popular at present are ingredients from
Eastern Europe and Asia: yuzu, sesame, matcha, shiso. Tropical fruits (passion fruit, mango,
bergamot) and fragrances (dried hibiscus, lavender and rose) are predicted to become popular.
This causes the complexity of demand segmentation, features of merchandising and pricing
policy, features of consumer behavior and consumption psychology, etc. An assessment is given
of the dynamics of production and consumption of bread and exports of products, and a forecast
is made for the development of the world market for bread and bakery products. The results of
the analysis are necessary to assess the level of food safety and to develop a strategy that takes
into account the current trends in the global bread and bakery products market. Prospective
trends for sustainable production of frozen bakery products have been developed.
Keywords: bakery products, bread, world market, food safety, sustainable production, strategy,
demand, consumption.
Introduction
Bread is an essential product that contains
almost all the components necessary to
maintain human life and health: proteins,
complex carbohydrates, calcium, iron,
phosphorus, B vitamins, including thiamine,
niacin and riboflavin, with a small amount of fat.
In addition, bread is a convenient product for
enrichment with vitamins, micronutrients and
other healthy substances, which makes it
possible to create an assortment that takes into
* Corresponding author:
A Doctor of Economics, Professor, West Pomeranian University of Technology, e-mail: bmickiewicz@zut.edu.pl, ORCID: 0000-0002-4787-2477
B
Dr. of Sciences, Professor, University of Security Management in Košice, e-mail: ibritchenko@gmail.com, ORCID: 0000-0002-9196-8740
account the needs of people suffering from
diseases, living in ecologically unfavorable
regions, of different ages and national taste
preferences. Therefore, the guaranteed
provision of all categories of the population with
high-quality bread and bakery products is the
main factor in the social stability of various
countries (more than 140 million tons of bakery
products are bought in the world) ( Samuilenko,
Т.D., Akulich, А.V., 2021; Samuilenko, T. D.,
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ISSN 2534-9228 (2022) VUZF Review, 7(3)
Gurinova, T.A., Akulich, A.V., Tomashov, V.A.,
2021; Shakhrai, T.A., Vorobieva, O.V., Viktorova,
E.P., 2021).
There is competition in the market of bread
and bakery products, a modern bakery plant,
small and medium-sized bakeries need high-
quality raw materials and a new, in-demand
product assortment, which requires
manufacturers to have a flexible and thoughtful
strategy, the development of which requires
constant monitoring of the market situation and
comprehensive analysis. Therefore, for
successful competition in this market, it is
necessary to constantly pay attention to the
study of global trends and take them into
account when developing business plans,
investment, innovative projects, as well as when
building relationships with the state, consumers,
scientific and educational organizations.
The COVID-19 pandemic has forced bakery
production and sales practices to adapt to social
distancing and increased sanitary standards
(demand for flour confectionery and other
consumer products has been on the rise).
Bakeries with their own production remain
leaders in sales, despite the availability and low
prices of chain stores. Private bakeries use high
quality ingredients and offer fresh baked goods
every day, which attracts customers. Cafes,
cafeterias, bakery shops are a modern European
trend.
The objective is to study the main trends in
the dynamic development and forecast of the
world market of bakery products, following the
promising trends of its development, including
the market of frozen bakery products.
Material and methods
Currently, bread and bakery products sector
needs to expand the assortment, revise the
pricing policy and improve the quality.
Consumer preferences in products are
important for each segment. One segment of
the market requires bread made following the
traditional recipes, another segment requires a
new product in a convenient package made
using antibacterial materials. The use of
innovations in production and logistics allows to
increase the share of this market and profit. In a
competitive environment, a modern bakery
plant, small and medium-sized bakeries need
high-quality raw materials and a new, in-
demand assortment of products. Companies are
changing ingredients, using specific unique
components, modern technologies and
equipment that will ultimately change the way
of baking, freezing, refrigeration, and packaging
of bread and bakery products. The social status
of bread is determined by the fact that it is
included in the daily diet of every person and is
able to satisfy up to 30% of a person’s need for
calories, serves as a source of proteins, vitamins,
dietary fiber and minerals.
Bakery products are classified as specific
consumer goods (FMCG – fast moving consumer
goods), which determines their distribution of
goods: high frequency of purchases and
turnover, building optimal logistics systems. At
the same time, bread is a product of daily
demand, which is consumed by the majority of
the population and makes up a significant part
of the energy value of food, as it contains
sufficient amounts of essential macronutrients –
proteins, fats and carbohydrates, as well as the
main micronutrients – vitamins, minerals and
other substances.
Currently, bread and bakery products sector
needs to expand the assortment, revise the
pricing policy and improve the quality.
Consumer preferences in products are
important for each segment. One segment of
the market requires bread made following the
traditional recipes, another segment requires a
new product in a convenient package made
using antibacterial materials. The use of
innovations in production and logistics allows to
increase the share of this market and profit. In a
competitive environment, a modern bakery
plant, small and medium-sized bakeries need
high-quality raw materials and a new, in-
demand assortment of products. Companies are
changing ingredients, using specific unique
components, modern technologies and
equipment that will ultimately change the way
114
ISSN 2534-9228 (2022) VUZF Review, 7(3)
of baking, freezing, refrigeration, and packaging
of bread and bakery products. The social status
of bread is determined by the fact that it is
included in the daily diet of every person and is
able to satisfy up to 30% of a person’s need for
calories, serves as a source of proteins, vitamins,
dietary fiber and minerals.
Within the study, general scientific methods
of analysis and synthesis, generalization,
comparison, abstract-logical analysis, etc. were
used.
Results and discussion
The global market for functional food
products is about 40 billion US dollars, and the
range of products is about 300,000. Functional
foods include fortified foods, natural functional
foods, and probiotic foods. They are intended
for systematic use, reduce the risk of diseases
associated with nutrition, compensate for the
deficiency of nutrients due to the presence of
food ingredients in their composition (these are
soluble and insoluble dietary fibers, vitamins,
minerals, fructoligosaccharides, inulin, lactose,
flavonoids, carotenoids, lipids containing
polyunsaturated fatty acids, phospholipids,
beta-sitosterols). Thus, functional foods are a
group of products used to improve the
functioning of body systems and maintain
human health, which are not medicines
(Yefimenko, A.G., Mitskevich, B., 2022).
The structure of the functional foods global
production volume by country is shown in Figure 1.
Figure 1. Countries represented on the global FPP market
Source: suggested by the author
The data shown in Figure 1 show that the
share of Japan is 40% of the world market of
functional foods, the USA – 30%, Europe – 28%.
Among European countries, in terms of
production of functional food products, the
largest share belongs to Germany – 7%, Great
Britain – 7%, France – 6%, Italy – 5%.
The consumer market is formed by the
following groups of functional foods: dairy
products, grain-based products, beverages, fat-
and-oil and fruit and vegetable products, meat
and fish-based products, condiments. Dairy and
grain-based products, including flour
confectionery and bakery products (iodized,
high in dietary fiber, fortified with vitamins and
minerals) dominate this market.
Considering global development trends and
medical recommendations for healthy eating, it
is necessary to inform consumers about the
beneficial properties of functional bakery
products, to form an understanding that bakery
products are the most affordable healthy and
nutritious food product. It is necessary to ensure
the expansion of the consumption of bakery
Japan; 40%
USA 30%
Germany 7%
Great Britain 7%
France 6% Italy 5%
Spain 3%
Other 2%
Japan USA Germany Great Britain France Italy Spain Other
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ISSN 2534-9228 (2022) VUZF Review, 7(3)
products varieties using rye flour, including
through functional products (Saiganov, A.S.,
Panteleyeva, I.I., 2019).
A prospective trend in the development of an
assortment of functional bakery products of
increased nutritional and biological value for
dietary purposes is the use of natural food
fortifiers (based on sprouted dispersed grains of
rye or wheat), characterized by the presence of
vitamins, minerals in a biodigestible form,
essential amino acids, etc.
The largest international companies such as
Grupo Bimbo, Gruppo Barilla, Lantmannen
Unibake, Fazer Group, the Krispy Kreme bakery
cafe chain and other franchisees are present in
this market.
Let’s make a forecast for the global market of
bakery products for the period up to 2025. Let’s
set up a trend equation; for this purpose we
chose a linear growth curve, since it more
accurately repeats the dynamics of the original
time series (Figure 2).
Figure 2. Forecast of the global market for bakery products USD million
Source: suggested by the author
Let us calculate the predicted value using the equation obtained on the diagram (Table 1).
Table 1. Forecast of the bakery products world market, million USD
Description 2021г. 2022г. 2023г. 2024г. 2025г. Growth rate,
2025/2021,
%
Bakery products production 437.247 468.53 496.788 525.039 553.29 126.5
Source: build by the author
The data given in Table 1 showed that the
growth rate of world production of bakery
products by 2025 will increase by 26.5%
compared to 2021, which reflects the positive
dynamics of the studied indicator.
It should be noted that the volume of
bread consumption per capita can be used to
assess the standard of living in different
countries or regions. There is a certain
dependence in the consumption of bread: the
higher the standard of living, the less bread
people consume, and vice versa. As a rule, as
the income grows, people consume less
bread (or buy more expensive bread).
The level of bread and bakery products
consumption per person in different
countries is shown in Figure 3.
315,218
326,077
339,527
351,605
448,266437,247
y = 28,251x + 270,78
R² = 0,8292
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
USD
million
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ISSN 2534-9228 (2022) VUZF Review, 7(3)
Figure 3. Level of bread and bakery products consumption
per person in different countries, kg per year
Source: suggested by the author
The data shown in Figure 3 show that high
consumption of bakery products per person is
observed in Turkey (124 kg per year), Bulgaria
(96 kg per year), Cyprus (74 kg per year), Greece
(65 kg per year), Poland (56.4 kg per year). The
most popular bread in Bulgaria is pitka (an
analogue of the Russian loaf (karavay)), which
for many centuries has been and remains one of
the main food products. In 2000 France
consumed 153 kilograms of bread per year,
today – 54, that is, almost 100 kilograms less
than 20 years ago. The Scandinavian countries
are distinguished by a low level of bread
consumption (32-45 kg per year).
In addition to the amount of bread
consumed, bakery traditions have developed in
different countries. For example, small bakery
prevails in Turkey, Greece (96.5%), Italy – 85%,
France – 65%, Spain – 60%. A large proportion of
industrial bakery is typical for Austria, Germany,
Great Britain, the Netherlands and Belgium:
approximately 60-85% of bread is baked at
industrial enterprises. At the same time, there is
a trend towards a decrease in the share of small
bakeries and an increase in the share of large
industrial bakery plants.
The saturation of the bakery market with new
types of bakery products in Europe is
determined by various types of bread, for
example, Greek sweet bread Tsoureki, Ciabatta
Coppia Ferrarese, Turkish flatbread, etc.
Another promising trend is the production of
bakery products with a high content of omega-3
fatty acids.
Another trend in this market are
preservative-free, cholesterol-free, soy-free,
non-GMO, nut-free, low-sodium products (the
last trend is suitable for diabetics, consumers
with food allergies and gluten intolerance). The
method of gluten-free bread production makes
it possible to increase the nutritional value of
bread while providing organoleptic and physico-
chemical quality indicators, to ensure the
preventive orientation of products that exclude
allergic reactions caused by wheat protein, and
also to expand the assortment of gluten-free
products. The technical result consists in
increasing the nutritional value of gluten-free
bread in comparison with the prototype due to
its enrichment with gluten-free protein,
vitamins – E, B1, B2, PP; minerals – K, Ca, Mg, P,
Fe; dietary fiber; ensuring the preventive focus
of products. Gluten is important in the baking
industry, determining dough characteristics
such as elasticity and resilience when mixed
with water, and serves as one of the criteria for
determining the quality of flour. Partial list of
foods high in gluten: wheat (up to 80%),
124
96
74
65
60 58 56,7 54 54 52
TURKEY BULGARIA CYPRUS GREECE BELGIUM NETHERLANDS POLAND FRANCE GERMANY ITALY
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ISSN 2534-9228 (2022) VUZF Review, 7(3)
semolina (50%), barley/pearl barley (23%), oats
(21%), rye (16%), rolled oats (12%), pasta (11%)
and traditional bakery products (from 7 to 80%).
There is a demand for gluten-free products due
to the rise in celiac disease (intolerance to foods
containing gluten). Gluten-free bakery products
are widely represented at the world market and
their assortment is constantly expanding [2].
Let’s make a forecast of the bakery products
consumption for the period up to 2025. Let’s set
up a trend equation; for this purpose we chose
a polynomial growth curve of the second
degree, since it more accurately repeats the
dynamics of the original time series (Figure 4).
- bakery products
- bun goods
Figure 4. Forecast of the bakery products global consumption per person, kg per year
Source: suggested by the author
Using the equations obtained on the graphs, we calculate the predicted value (Table 2).
Table 2. Forecast of the bakery products global consumption
Description 2021г. 2022г. 2023г. 2024г. 2025г. Growth rate,
2025/2021,
%
Bakery products, kg per person 89.6 98.3 109.1 115.2 125.8 140.4
Bun products, kg per person 60 67 70.5 74.6 79.4 132.3
Source: build by the author
The data given in Table 2 showed that the
growth rate of bakery products consumption by
2025 compared to 2021 will increase by 40.4%,
bun goods – by 32.3%.
The market size for frozen bakery products is
approximately 15 billion USD with an annual
growth rate of about 8% and by 2025 will reach
25 billion USD. The market for frozen bakery
products includes the following assortment:
bread, rolls, pastries, cakes, pizza crusts (the
share is approximately 30%), baked goods,
donuts, etc. These products are in demand due
to the long shelf life (six months), availability,
high degree of readiness and quality,
environmentally friendly production process
and prices. Frozen pizza, for example, is
considered a daily meal option in many
countries: France, Spain, Germany, Mexico,
USA, Russia, Italy. Frozen food manufacturers
are introducing and developing new types of
products in demand for the healthy lifestyle
category, which include gluten-free and organic
83 79,9 81 81,7
92,2 89,6
60 58 59 59,8 64,2 63
y = 0,7161x2 - 2,9954x + 84,19
R² = 0,7016
y = 0,3143x2 - 1,2171x + 60,16
R² = 0,7098
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
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ISSN 2534-9228 (2022) VUZF Review, 7(3)
varieties. It is predicted that Europe (Germany,
UK, France) due to the growing catering
industry, including fast food restaurants, and
tourism will provide the greatest growth in this
production.
For the production of bread and bakery
products, basic and additional raw materials are
used. Basic raw materials include: flour, cereal
products, baker’s yeast (or chemical baking
powder), salt and water. Additional raw materials
are used to provide specific organoleptic and
physico-chemical properties of bread and bakery
products(sugar,fat,eggproducts,milk,nuts,etc.).
More than 600 million tons of wheat, corn flour
are processed annually in the world and
consumed in the form of noodles, bread, pasta
and other flour products.
The structure of world flour exports by
continents is shown in Figure 5.
Figure 5. Structure of world flour exports by
continents, %
Source: suggested by the author
The data in Figure 5 show that Asia (42.6%),
Europe (36%) and North America (10.1%) have
the largest share in the structure of world flour
exports in 2019. Latin America and the
Caribbean accounted for 7.7% of flour exports,
Africa – 2.9%, Oceania – 0.7%.
China is the world leader in flour production
in 2019, the production volume is estimated at
about 72 million tons (31% of the total flour
production). Flour in China is used to a greater
extent in the production of noodles, including
instant noodles, which are then also exported.
The United States is the second largest flour
producer in the world: the production volume is
19.2 million tons (8.3%). However, in recent
years, the production of flour in the United
States has been declining, due to a change in
consumer preferences in favor of dietary food
and the refusal to consume high-calorie flour
products. The dominant positions in the global
production of flour also belong to Brazil, Russia
and Turkey. Theworld leader in flour exports is
Turkey which delivers flour to 110 countries of
the world. The industry is developing due to the
fact that many mill complexes have been built
on the coast, which import duty-free grain by
sea, with minimal transport costs. At the same
time, the state subsidizes the production of a
flour ton in the amount of 35 USD per ton (this
is the cost of its processing).
The bakery industry is one of the developing
branches of the food industry in the Republic of
Belarus. Bread and bakery products are everyday
demand products that play an important role in
ensuring the food independence and security of
the country. The main task of the baking industry
is to provide the country’s population with bakery
and confectionery products in the right
assortment, quantity and quality that would meet
their daily needs.
In recent years, there has been a steady
trend of changing the structure of the bakery
market. Since 2000, in the production of bakery
products in Belarus, as in other countries, there
has been a trend towards decrease in
production volumes. The dynamics of the
production volume of bread and bakery
products is shown in Figure 6.
Figure 6. Dynamics of bread and bakery
products production in the Republic of Belarus,
thousand tons
Source: suggested by the author
42,6%
10,1%
2,9%
36%
7,7%
0,7%
Asia
North America
Africa
EU
Latin America
Oceania
486,9 480,4
462,7
440,4
417,8
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
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ISSN 2534-9228 (2022) VUZF Review, 7(3)
The performed analysis showed that the
volume of production of bakery products in the
Republic of Belarus for 2016–2020. decreased
by 14.2%.
The companies introduced new technologies
for processing raw materials, applied modern
types of packaging, expanded the assortment of
bakery products: toast breads, flatbreads,
shaped buns, ciabatta, buns with vegetable
fillings, with canned seaweed and other salad
fillings, fruit and berry cheesecakes, buns with
hard cheese, donuts for broth and other original
products with non-traditional types of raw
materials for baking. The production volumes of
small-piece rich dough products, pies and
patties, puff products, including frozen ones,
crackers and bagels are increasing. There is a
demand for pastries made from wheat flour, a
mixture of wheat and rye flour, as well as using
flour from other cereals, grain additives, and
composite mixtures.
One of the new directions is the production
of frozen semi-finished bakery products – dough
pieces of a high degree of readiness, the
production of extrusion products – cereals from
exploded cereals, wide assortment of extruded
crisp breads. The priority is given to the
production and expansion of the products
assortment for medical and preventive purposes
(bakery products produced on the basis of or
using sprouted dispersed grains and whole
grains with a high content of dietary fiber).
It has been established that consumption of
bread and bakery products depends on a
number of factors: traditions and habits of
consumers, prices, the level of monetary income
of the population, correlation with the
consumption of other food products.
In recent years, there has been a decrease in
the bread and bakery products consumption,
which to a greater extent affects the special
attention of consumers to a healthy lifestyle,
which cannot be maintained without
appropriate nutrition. The popularity of
“regular” wheat and rye bread among the
population is declining, while the consumption
of low-calorie enriched bread, dietary and
diabetic bread is increasing.
The structure of the market for bread and
bakery products by type in 2020 (in physical
terms) is shown in Figure 7.
Figure 7. Structure of the market for bread and bakery products by type in 2020 (in physical terms), %
Source: suggested by the author
The data given in Figure 7 show thatthe
goods structure is as follows: 51% – rye-wheat
bread, 16% – muffin and 11% – bun goods. At
the same time, 5% belongs to healthy nutrition,
dietary and enriched bakery products.
The size of bakery products is an important
selection factor for consumers who want to
enjoy while staying healthy and is on the rise.
For example, mini muffins, cinnamon rolls and
other products are becoming more popular
2% 7%
51%
11%
3%
2%
16%
2%
1%
2%
1%
1%
1%
Bread made from rye flour
Bread made from wheat flour
Bread made from a mixture of rye and
wheat flour
Bakery products
Diet bakery products
Enriched bakery products
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ISSN 2534-9228 (2022) VUZF Review, 7(3)
among consumers, which allows to control the
size of the portion consumed and calories.
In the Republic of Belarus, among consumers
and producers, a special place is occupied by the
assortment and traditional technology of
brewed bread varieties using liquid rye brews.
There is a high demand abroad for the types of
bread made from rye flour and a mixture of rye
and wheat flour, as evidenced by the constant
increase in their exports in fresh and frozen form
to Jordan, Israel, the countries of the European
Union, the USA, Canada, etc.
Let’s make a forecast of the bakery products
export by the Republic of Belarus for the period
up to 2025. Let’s set up a trend equation; for this
purpose we chose a polynomial growth curve of
the second degree, since it more accurately
repeats the dynamics of the original time series
(Figure 8).
Figure 8. Forecast of the bakery products export of the Republic of Belarus, tons
Source: suggested by the author
Using the equation obtained on the graph, we calculate the predicted value (Table 3).
Table 3. Forecast of bakery products export, tons
Description 2021г. 2022г. 2023г. 2024г. 2025г. Growth rate,
2025/2021,
%
Bakery products export 27199 29206 32025 35507 39651 145.8
Source: build by the author
The data given in Table 3 shows that the
growth rate of bakery products export of by the
Republic of Belarus by 2025 compared to 2021
will increase by 45.8%.
At this stage of the economic development of
various countries, business digitalization is a
megatrend, the successful adaptation of which
impacts the sustainable development of the
food market, including bread and bakery
products. A feature of the current stage of
business digitalization is the expansion of the
information field, when consumers make a
choice based on data presented on the Internet
(or communities in social networks), which
generally contributes to the expansion of the
assortment, opens up additional opportunities
for its development by creating new contacts
with an unlimited number of potential
consumers, suppliers of raw materials and
services. In this regard, the implementation of
the innovation development strategy involves
the development and implementation of
progressive business models using modern
information and communication technologies.
24956 24704 24879 25208
27199
y = 331,43x2 - 1489,6x + 26212
R² = 0,9532
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
35000
40000
45000
TONS
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ISSN 2534-9228 (2022) VUZF Review, 7(3)
Conclusions
The global market for bread and bakery
products is constantly evolving, offering the
consumer traditional, original products, and is
very stable. However, in the last decade there
have been significant changes in this market.
First, the average daily consumption of bakery
products per capita, as statistics show, is
constantly declining in the world. This trend is
mainly due to change in the diet of the
population, as a result of the saturation of the
market with a wider and more diverse
assortment of food products of different price
categories, as well as the correlation between
the consumption of these products and the level
of income of the population in the analyzed
period of time.
An important role is played by increased
competition and an increase in the share of low-
capacity bakeries, mini-bakeries, retail chains
with bakery shops. This all led to a steady
decrease in the production volumes of larger
manufacturers and a change in the structure of
their production. The main indicator by which it
is possible to assess the impact of institutional
changes in the bread and bakery products
market is the dynamics of its assortment
structure. Demand for bakery products is
constantly changing due to changing dietary
patterns, demographic structure and
population, income levels and public awareness
of the properties of products and their
availability at the market.
Consumption of frozen bakery products is
common in Europe (in 2020, the market share
was 56.5%), and will also increase in other
countries and regions due to the new
technologies in production, long shelf life, high
degree of readiness and increased investment in
studies of this industry. Refrigerated storage
and transport and distribution channels are a
prerequisite for the efficient operation of the
supply chain in this market.
The market for bread and bakery products in
Belarus is currently quite stable, although there
is a decline in production. Despite the current
situation, bakery products positioned as healthy
(dietary and enriched), in particular, with the
addition of grain products and a high content of
dietary fiber, remain in demand; small-piece
snack-type products intended for a snack during
the day, food on the go, which include, in
particular, crackers, croutons, crispbread,
biscuits, crackers, as well as pies, patties and
doughnuts. Discrete technologies are being
actively introduced using dry and liquid semi-
finished products, frozen semi-finished
products, etc. Companies must intensify
activities to expand the assortment, develop
import substitution, create related industries,
diversify product markets, including export
products.
References
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Economic assessment and forecast of the
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teachers (Krasnodar, December 09–10, 2021)
/ comp. by Yu.I. Sigidov, N.S. Vlasova. –
Krasnodar: Kuban state agricultural
university, pp. 175–184.
Saiganov, A.S., Panteleyeva, I.I. (2019). Theory
and methodology for improving the
economic mechanism for the innovative
development of processing companies in the
agro-industrial complex: monograph.
Smolensk: Magenta, p. 256.
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(2021).Technologies of fermented brewing in
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Samuilenko, T. D., Gurinova, T.A., Akulich, A.V.,
Tomashov, V.A. (2021). Comprehensive
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Shakhrai, T.A., Vorobieva, O.V., Viktorova, E.P.
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of the market for functional bakery products
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123

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Trends in the global bread and bakery products market

  • 1. ISSN 2534-9228 (2022) VUZF Review, 7(3) Main trends and development forecast of bread and bakery products market Bartosz Mickiewicz* А ; Igor Britchenko B A West Pomeranian University of Technology, 17, Piastow str., Szczecin, 2009, Poland B University of Security Management in Košice, 2373/1 Kostova str., Kosice, 04001, Bulgaria Received: September 06, 2022 | Revised: September 13, 2022 | Accepted: September 27, 2022 JEL Classification: Q17, Q18. DOI: 10.38188/2534-9228.22.3.11 Abstract Bakery products are very important in human nutrition and are the basis of any daily diet. Their social significance is determined by the traditions and habits of the population of the countries, accessibility for all groups of the population, diverse assortment, including bakery products for functional and specialized purposes. The up-to-date trend is to expand the assortment of functional bakery products, the use of which will provide the body’s need for the necessary macro- and micronutrients for an active and healthy lifestyle. In the bread and bakery products market, consumer preferences are constantly changing. Consumers prefer products that contain less fat and sugar. The market is in demand for bakery products that are healthy, while taste remains an important success factor. Manufacturers include popular healthy additives (grains, seeds and legumes) in their products. Particularly popular at present are ingredients from Eastern Europe and Asia: yuzu, sesame, matcha, shiso. Tropical fruits (passion fruit, mango, bergamot) and fragrances (dried hibiscus, lavender and rose) are predicted to become popular. This causes the complexity of demand segmentation, features of merchandising and pricing policy, features of consumer behavior and consumption psychology, etc. An assessment is given of the dynamics of production and consumption of bread and exports of products, and a forecast is made for the development of the world market for bread and bakery products. The results of the analysis are necessary to assess the level of food safety and to develop a strategy that takes into account the current trends in the global bread and bakery products market. Prospective trends for sustainable production of frozen bakery products have been developed. Keywords: bakery products, bread, world market, food safety, sustainable production, strategy, demand, consumption. Introduction Bread is an essential product that contains almost all the components necessary to maintain human life and health: proteins, complex carbohydrates, calcium, iron, phosphorus, B vitamins, including thiamine, niacin and riboflavin, with a small amount of fat. In addition, bread is a convenient product for enrichment with vitamins, micronutrients and other healthy substances, which makes it possible to create an assortment that takes into * Corresponding author: A Doctor of Economics, Professor, West Pomeranian University of Technology, e-mail: bmickiewicz@zut.edu.pl, ORCID: 0000-0002-4787-2477 B Dr. of Sciences, Professor, University of Security Management in Košice, e-mail: ibritchenko@gmail.com, ORCID: 0000-0002-9196-8740 account the needs of people suffering from diseases, living in ecologically unfavorable regions, of different ages and national taste preferences. Therefore, the guaranteed provision of all categories of the population with high-quality bread and bakery products is the main factor in the social stability of various countries (more than 140 million tons of bakery products are bought in the world) ( Samuilenko, Т.D., Akulich, А.V., 2021; Samuilenko, T. D., 113
  • 2. ISSN 2534-9228 (2022) VUZF Review, 7(3) Gurinova, T.A., Akulich, A.V., Tomashov, V.A., 2021; Shakhrai, T.A., Vorobieva, O.V., Viktorova, E.P., 2021). There is competition in the market of bread and bakery products, a modern bakery plant, small and medium-sized bakeries need high- quality raw materials and a new, in-demand product assortment, which requires manufacturers to have a flexible and thoughtful strategy, the development of which requires constant monitoring of the market situation and comprehensive analysis. Therefore, for successful competition in this market, it is necessary to constantly pay attention to the study of global trends and take them into account when developing business plans, investment, innovative projects, as well as when building relationships with the state, consumers, scientific and educational organizations. The COVID-19 pandemic has forced bakery production and sales practices to adapt to social distancing and increased sanitary standards (demand for flour confectionery and other consumer products has been on the rise). Bakeries with their own production remain leaders in sales, despite the availability and low prices of chain stores. Private bakeries use high quality ingredients and offer fresh baked goods every day, which attracts customers. Cafes, cafeterias, bakery shops are a modern European trend. The objective is to study the main trends in the dynamic development and forecast of the world market of bakery products, following the promising trends of its development, including the market of frozen bakery products. Material and methods Currently, bread and bakery products sector needs to expand the assortment, revise the pricing policy and improve the quality. Consumer preferences in products are important for each segment. One segment of the market requires bread made following the traditional recipes, another segment requires a new product in a convenient package made using antibacterial materials. The use of innovations in production and logistics allows to increase the share of this market and profit. In a competitive environment, a modern bakery plant, small and medium-sized bakeries need high-quality raw materials and a new, in- demand assortment of products. Companies are changing ingredients, using specific unique components, modern technologies and equipment that will ultimately change the way of baking, freezing, refrigeration, and packaging of bread and bakery products. The social status of bread is determined by the fact that it is included in the daily diet of every person and is able to satisfy up to 30% of a person’s need for calories, serves as a source of proteins, vitamins, dietary fiber and minerals. Bakery products are classified as specific consumer goods (FMCG – fast moving consumer goods), which determines their distribution of goods: high frequency of purchases and turnover, building optimal logistics systems. At the same time, bread is a product of daily demand, which is consumed by the majority of the population and makes up a significant part of the energy value of food, as it contains sufficient amounts of essential macronutrients – proteins, fats and carbohydrates, as well as the main micronutrients – vitamins, minerals and other substances. Currently, bread and bakery products sector needs to expand the assortment, revise the pricing policy and improve the quality. Consumer preferences in products are important for each segment. One segment of the market requires bread made following the traditional recipes, another segment requires a new product in a convenient package made using antibacterial materials. The use of innovations in production and logistics allows to increase the share of this market and profit. In a competitive environment, a modern bakery plant, small and medium-sized bakeries need high-quality raw materials and a new, in- demand assortment of products. Companies are changing ingredients, using specific unique components, modern technologies and equipment that will ultimately change the way 114
  • 3. ISSN 2534-9228 (2022) VUZF Review, 7(3) of baking, freezing, refrigeration, and packaging of bread and bakery products. The social status of bread is determined by the fact that it is included in the daily diet of every person and is able to satisfy up to 30% of a person’s need for calories, serves as a source of proteins, vitamins, dietary fiber and minerals. Within the study, general scientific methods of analysis and synthesis, generalization, comparison, abstract-logical analysis, etc. were used. Results and discussion The global market for functional food products is about 40 billion US dollars, and the range of products is about 300,000. Functional foods include fortified foods, natural functional foods, and probiotic foods. They are intended for systematic use, reduce the risk of diseases associated with nutrition, compensate for the deficiency of nutrients due to the presence of food ingredients in their composition (these are soluble and insoluble dietary fibers, vitamins, minerals, fructoligosaccharides, inulin, lactose, flavonoids, carotenoids, lipids containing polyunsaturated fatty acids, phospholipids, beta-sitosterols). Thus, functional foods are a group of products used to improve the functioning of body systems and maintain human health, which are not medicines (Yefimenko, A.G., Mitskevich, B., 2022). The structure of the functional foods global production volume by country is shown in Figure 1. Figure 1. Countries represented on the global FPP market Source: suggested by the author The data shown in Figure 1 show that the share of Japan is 40% of the world market of functional foods, the USA – 30%, Europe – 28%. Among European countries, in terms of production of functional food products, the largest share belongs to Germany – 7%, Great Britain – 7%, France – 6%, Italy – 5%. The consumer market is formed by the following groups of functional foods: dairy products, grain-based products, beverages, fat- and-oil and fruit and vegetable products, meat and fish-based products, condiments. Dairy and grain-based products, including flour confectionery and bakery products (iodized, high in dietary fiber, fortified with vitamins and minerals) dominate this market. Considering global development trends and medical recommendations for healthy eating, it is necessary to inform consumers about the beneficial properties of functional bakery products, to form an understanding that bakery products are the most affordable healthy and nutritious food product. It is necessary to ensure the expansion of the consumption of bakery Japan; 40% USA 30% Germany 7% Great Britain 7% France 6% Italy 5% Spain 3% Other 2% Japan USA Germany Great Britain France Italy Spain Other 115
  • 4. ISSN 2534-9228 (2022) VUZF Review, 7(3) products varieties using rye flour, including through functional products (Saiganov, A.S., Panteleyeva, I.I., 2019). A prospective trend in the development of an assortment of functional bakery products of increased nutritional and biological value for dietary purposes is the use of natural food fortifiers (based on sprouted dispersed grains of rye or wheat), characterized by the presence of vitamins, minerals in a biodigestible form, essential amino acids, etc. The largest international companies such as Grupo Bimbo, Gruppo Barilla, Lantmannen Unibake, Fazer Group, the Krispy Kreme bakery cafe chain and other franchisees are present in this market. Let’s make a forecast for the global market of bakery products for the period up to 2025. Let’s set up a trend equation; for this purpose we chose a linear growth curve, since it more accurately repeats the dynamics of the original time series (Figure 2). Figure 2. Forecast of the global market for bakery products USD million Source: suggested by the author Let us calculate the predicted value using the equation obtained on the diagram (Table 1). Table 1. Forecast of the bakery products world market, million USD Description 2021г. 2022г. 2023г. 2024г. 2025г. Growth rate, 2025/2021, % Bakery products production 437.247 468.53 496.788 525.039 553.29 126.5 Source: build by the author The data given in Table 1 showed that the growth rate of world production of bakery products by 2025 will increase by 26.5% compared to 2021, which reflects the positive dynamics of the studied indicator. It should be noted that the volume of bread consumption per capita can be used to assess the standard of living in different countries or regions. There is a certain dependence in the consumption of bread: the higher the standard of living, the less bread people consume, and vice versa. As a rule, as the income grows, people consume less bread (or buy more expensive bread). The level of bread and bakery products consumption per person in different countries is shown in Figure 3. 315,218 326,077 339,527 351,605 448,266437,247 y = 28,251x + 270,78 R² = 0,8292 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 USD million 116
  • 5. ISSN 2534-9228 (2022) VUZF Review, 7(3) Figure 3. Level of bread and bakery products consumption per person in different countries, kg per year Source: suggested by the author The data shown in Figure 3 show that high consumption of bakery products per person is observed in Turkey (124 kg per year), Bulgaria (96 kg per year), Cyprus (74 kg per year), Greece (65 kg per year), Poland (56.4 kg per year). The most popular bread in Bulgaria is pitka (an analogue of the Russian loaf (karavay)), which for many centuries has been and remains one of the main food products. In 2000 France consumed 153 kilograms of bread per year, today – 54, that is, almost 100 kilograms less than 20 years ago. The Scandinavian countries are distinguished by a low level of bread consumption (32-45 kg per year). In addition to the amount of bread consumed, bakery traditions have developed in different countries. For example, small bakery prevails in Turkey, Greece (96.5%), Italy – 85%, France – 65%, Spain – 60%. A large proportion of industrial bakery is typical for Austria, Germany, Great Britain, the Netherlands and Belgium: approximately 60-85% of bread is baked at industrial enterprises. At the same time, there is a trend towards a decrease in the share of small bakeries and an increase in the share of large industrial bakery plants. The saturation of the bakery market with new types of bakery products in Europe is determined by various types of bread, for example, Greek sweet bread Tsoureki, Ciabatta Coppia Ferrarese, Turkish flatbread, etc. Another promising trend is the production of bakery products with a high content of omega-3 fatty acids. Another trend in this market are preservative-free, cholesterol-free, soy-free, non-GMO, nut-free, low-sodium products (the last trend is suitable for diabetics, consumers with food allergies and gluten intolerance). The method of gluten-free bread production makes it possible to increase the nutritional value of bread while providing organoleptic and physico- chemical quality indicators, to ensure the preventive orientation of products that exclude allergic reactions caused by wheat protein, and also to expand the assortment of gluten-free products. The technical result consists in increasing the nutritional value of gluten-free bread in comparison with the prototype due to its enrichment with gluten-free protein, vitamins – E, B1, B2, PP; minerals – K, Ca, Mg, P, Fe; dietary fiber; ensuring the preventive focus of products. Gluten is important in the baking industry, determining dough characteristics such as elasticity and resilience when mixed with water, and serves as one of the criteria for determining the quality of flour. Partial list of foods high in gluten: wheat (up to 80%), 124 96 74 65 60 58 56,7 54 54 52 TURKEY BULGARIA CYPRUS GREECE BELGIUM NETHERLANDS POLAND FRANCE GERMANY ITALY 117
  • 6. ISSN 2534-9228 (2022) VUZF Review, 7(3) semolina (50%), barley/pearl barley (23%), oats (21%), rye (16%), rolled oats (12%), pasta (11%) and traditional bakery products (from 7 to 80%). There is a demand for gluten-free products due to the rise in celiac disease (intolerance to foods containing gluten). Gluten-free bakery products are widely represented at the world market and their assortment is constantly expanding [2]. Let’s make a forecast of the bakery products consumption for the period up to 2025. Let’s set up a trend equation; for this purpose we chose a polynomial growth curve of the second degree, since it more accurately repeats the dynamics of the original time series (Figure 4). - bakery products - bun goods Figure 4. Forecast of the bakery products global consumption per person, kg per year Source: suggested by the author Using the equations obtained on the graphs, we calculate the predicted value (Table 2). Table 2. Forecast of the bakery products global consumption Description 2021г. 2022г. 2023г. 2024г. 2025г. Growth rate, 2025/2021, % Bakery products, kg per person 89.6 98.3 109.1 115.2 125.8 140.4 Bun products, kg per person 60 67 70.5 74.6 79.4 132.3 Source: build by the author The data given in Table 2 showed that the growth rate of bakery products consumption by 2025 compared to 2021 will increase by 40.4%, bun goods – by 32.3%. The market size for frozen bakery products is approximately 15 billion USD with an annual growth rate of about 8% and by 2025 will reach 25 billion USD. The market for frozen bakery products includes the following assortment: bread, rolls, pastries, cakes, pizza crusts (the share is approximately 30%), baked goods, donuts, etc. These products are in demand due to the long shelf life (six months), availability, high degree of readiness and quality, environmentally friendly production process and prices. Frozen pizza, for example, is considered a daily meal option in many countries: France, Spain, Germany, Mexico, USA, Russia, Italy. Frozen food manufacturers are introducing and developing new types of products in demand for the healthy lifestyle category, which include gluten-free and organic 83 79,9 81 81,7 92,2 89,6 60 58 59 59,8 64,2 63 y = 0,7161x2 - 2,9954x + 84,19 R² = 0,7016 y = 0,3143x2 - 1,2171x + 60,16 R² = 0,7098 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 118
  • 7. ISSN 2534-9228 (2022) VUZF Review, 7(3) varieties. It is predicted that Europe (Germany, UK, France) due to the growing catering industry, including fast food restaurants, and tourism will provide the greatest growth in this production. For the production of bread and bakery products, basic and additional raw materials are used. Basic raw materials include: flour, cereal products, baker’s yeast (or chemical baking powder), salt and water. Additional raw materials are used to provide specific organoleptic and physico-chemical properties of bread and bakery products(sugar,fat,eggproducts,milk,nuts,etc.). More than 600 million tons of wheat, corn flour are processed annually in the world and consumed in the form of noodles, bread, pasta and other flour products. The structure of world flour exports by continents is shown in Figure 5. Figure 5. Structure of world flour exports by continents, % Source: suggested by the author The data in Figure 5 show that Asia (42.6%), Europe (36%) and North America (10.1%) have the largest share in the structure of world flour exports in 2019. Latin America and the Caribbean accounted for 7.7% of flour exports, Africa – 2.9%, Oceania – 0.7%. China is the world leader in flour production in 2019, the production volume is estimated at about 72 million tons (31% of the total flour production). Flour in China is used to a greater extent in the production of noodles, including instant noodles, which are then also exported. The United States is the second largest flour producer in the world: the production volume is 19.2 million tons (8.3%). However, in recent years, the production of flour in the United States has been declining, due to a change in consumer preferences in favor of dietary food and the refusal to consume high-calorie flour products. The dominant positions in the global production of flour also belong to Brazil, Russia and Turkey. Theworld leader in flour exports is Turkey which delivers flour to 110 countries of the world. The industry is developing due to the fact that many mill complexes have been built on the coast, which import duty-free grain by sea, with minimal transport costs. At the same time, the state subsidizes the production of a flour ton in the amount of 35 USD per ton (this is the cost of its processing). The bakery industry is one of the developing branches of the food industry in the Republic of Belarus. Bread and bakery products are everyday demand products that play an important role in ensuring the food independence and security of the country. The main task of the baking industry is to provide the country’s population with bakery and confectionery products in the right assortment, quantity and quality that would meet their daily needs. In recent years, there has been a steady trend of changing the structure of the bakery market. Since 2000, in the production of bakery products in Belarus, as in other countries, there has been a trend towards decrease in production volumes. The dynamics of the production volume of bread and bakery products is shown in Figure 6. Figure 6. Dynamics of bread and bakery products production in the Republic of Belarus, thousand tons Source: suggested by the author 42,6% 10,1% 2,9% 36% 7,7% 0,7% Asia North America Africa EU Latin America Oceania 486,9 480,4 462,7 440,4 417,8 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 119
  • 8. ISSN 2534-9228 (2022) VUZF Review, 7(3) The performed analysis showed that the volume of production of bakery products in the Republic of Belarus for 2016–2020. decreased by 14.2%. The companies introduced new technologies for processing raw materials, applied modern types of packaging, expanded the assortment of bakery products: toast breads, flatbreads, shaped buns, ciabatta, buns with vegetable fillings, with canned seaweed and other salad fillings, fruit and berry cheesecakes, buns with hard cheese, donuts for broth and other original products with non-traditional types of raw materials for baking. The production volumes of small-piece rich dough products, pies and patties, puff products, including frozen ones, crackers and bagels are increasing. There is a demand for pastries made from wheat flour, a mixture of wheat and rye flour, as well as using flour from other cereals, grain additives, and composite mixtures. One of the new directions is the production of frozen semi-finished bakery products – dough pieces of a high degree of readiness, the production of extrusion products – cereals from exploded cereals, wide assortment of extruded crisp breads. The priority is given to the production and expansion of the products assortment for medical and preventive purposes (bakery products produced on the basis of or using sprouted dispersed grains and whole grains with a high content of dietary fiber). It has been established that consumption of bread and bakery products depends on a number of factors: traditions and habits of consumers, prices, the level of monetary income of the population, correlation with the consumption of other food products. In recent years, there has been a decrease in the bread and bakery products consumption, which to a greater extent affects the special attention of consumers to a healthy lifestyle, which cannot be maintained without appropriate nutrition. The popularity of “regular” wheat and rye bread among the population is declining, while the consumption of low-calorie enriched bread, dietary and diabetic bread is increasing. The structure of the market for bread and bakery products by type in 2020 (in physical terms) is shown in Figure 7. Figure 7. Structure of the market for bread and bakery products by type in 2020 (in physical terms), % Source: suggested by the author The data given in Figure 7 show thatthe goods structure is as follows: 51% – rye-wheat bread, 16% – muffin and 11% – bun goods. At the same time, 5% belongs to healthy nutrition, dietary and enriched bakery products. The size of bakery products is an important selection factor for consumers who want to enjoy while staying healthy and is on the rise. For example, mini muffins, cinnamon rolls and other products are becoming more popular 2% 7% 51% 11% 3% 2% 16% 2% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% Bread made from rye flour Bread made from wheat flour Bread made from a mixture of rye and wheat flour Bakery products Diet bakery products Enriched bakery products 120
  • 9. ISSN 2534-9228 (2022) VUZF Review, 7(3) among consumers, which allows to control the size of the portion consumed and calories. In the Republic of Belarus, among consumers and producers, a special place is occupied by the assortment and traditional technology of brewed bread varieties using liquid rye brews. There is a high demand abroad for the types of bread made from rye flour and a mixture of rye and wheat flour, as evidenced by the constant increase in their exports in fresh and frozen form to Jordan, Israel, the countries of the European Union, the USA, Canada, etc. Let’s make a forecast of the bakery products export by the Republic of Belarus for the period up to 2025. Let’s set up a trend equation; for this purpose we chose a polynomial growth curve of the second degree, since it more accurately repeats the dynamics of the original time series (Figure 8). Figure 8. Forecast of the bakery products export of the Republic of Belarus, tons Source: suggested by the author Using the equation obtained on the graph, we calculate the predicted value (Table 3). Table 3. Forecast of bakery products export, tons Description 2021г. 2022г. 2023г. 2024г. 2025г. Growth rate, 2025/2021, % Bakery products export 27199 29206 32025 35507 39651 145.8 Source: build by the author The data given in Table 3 shows that the growth rate of bakery products export of by the Republic of Belarus by 2025 compared to 2021 will increase by 45.8%. At this stage of the economic development of various countries, business digitalization is a megatrend, the successful adaptation of which impacts the sustainable development of the food market, including bread and bakery products. A feature of the current stage of business digitalization is the expansion of the information field, when consumers make a choice based on data presented on the Internet (or communities in social networks), which generally contributes to the expansion of the assortment, opens up additional opportunities for its development by creating new contacts with an unlimited number of potential consumers, suppliers of raw materials and services. In this regard, the implementation of the innovation development strategy involves the development and implementation of progressive business models using modern information and communication technologies. 24956 24704 24879 25208 27199 y = 331,43x2 - 1489,6x + 26212 R² = 0,9532 0 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 30000 35000 40000 45000 TONS 121
  • 10. ISSN 2534-9228 (2022) VUZF Review, 7(3) Conclusions The global market for bread and bakery products is constantly evolving, offering the consumer traditional, original products, and is very stable. However, in the last decade there have been significant changes in this market. First, the average daily consumption of bakery products per capita, as statistics show, is constantly declining in the world. This trend is mainly due to change in the diet of the population, as a result of the saturation of the market with a wider and more diverse assortment of food products of different price categories, as well as the correlation between the consumption of these products and the level of income of the population in the analyzed period of time. An important role is played by increased competition and an increase in the share of low- capacity bakeries, mini-bakeries, retail chains with bakery shops. This all led to a steady decrease in the production volumes of larger manufacturers and a change in the structure of their production. The main indicator by which it is possible to assess the impact of institutional changes in the bread and bakery products market is the dynamics of its assortment structure. Demand for bakery products is constantly changing due to changing dietary patterns, demographic structure and population, income levels and public awareness of the properties of products and their availability at the market. Consumption of frozen bakery products is common in Europe (in 2020, the market share was 56.5%), and will also increase in other countries and regions due to the new technologies in production, long shelf life, high degree of readiness and increased investment in studies of this industry. Refrigerated storage and transport and distribution channels are a prerequisite for the efficient operation of the supply chain in this market. The market for bread and bakery products in Belarus is currently quite stable, although there is a decline in production. Despite the current situation, bakery products positioned as healthy (dietary and enriched), in particular, with the addition of grain products and a high content of dietary fiber, remain in demand; small-piece snack-type products intended for a snack during the day, food on the go, which include, in particular, crackers, croutons, crispbread, biscuits, crackers, as well as pies, patties and doughnuts. Discrete technologies are being actively introduced using dry and liquid semi- finished products, frozen semi-finished products, etc. Companies must intensify activities to expand the assortment, develop import substitution, create related industries, diversify product markets, including export products. References Yefimenko, A.G., Mitskevich, B. (2022). Economic assessment and forecast of the efficiency of food production // Strategic priorities for the development of the economy and its information support: materials of the International scientific conference of young scientists and university teachers (Krasnodar, December 09–10, 2021) / comp. by Yu.I. Sigidov, N.S. Vlasova. – Krasnodar: Kuban state agricultural university, pp. 175–184. Saiganov, A.S., Panteleyeva, I.I. (2019). Theory and methodology for improving the economic mechanism for the innovative development of processing companies in the agro-industrial complex: monograph. Smolensk: Magenta, p. 256. Samuilenko, Т.D., Akulich, А.V. (2021).Technologies of fermented brewing in a discrete mode of the brewed bread varieties production: monograph. – Mogilev: Belarusian State University of Food and Chemical Technologies, p. 260. Samuilenko, T. D., Gurinova, T.A., Akulich, A.V., Tomashov, V.A. (2021). Comprehensive assessment of the quality of unsweetened 122
  • 11. ISSN 2534-9228 (2022) VUZF Review, 7(3) flour snacks of the “Natural product” category // Bulletin of the Belarusian State University of Food and Chemical Technologie,. No.2, pp. 40–48. Shakhrai, T.A., Vorobieva, O.V., Viktorova, E.P. (2021). The main trends in the development of the market for functional bakery products // New technologies, V.17, No.3, pp. 51–58. 123