SlideShare a Scribd company logo
Clara Copeland
Multi Touch
Attribution
And LTV
AppsFlyer in Numbers
Scale
2T Monthly
Data Points
9B Devices
75K Marketers & Developers
750+ Employees
15 Global Offices
PRE-INSTALL
INSTALL
POST-INSTALL
Multi Touch Across the User Journey
What is the global share of gaming
installs that occur after more than
1 touchpoint?
14%
Q :
Pre-Install MTA
Making MTA Work for You
PRE-INSTALL
INSTALL
Time From Last Touch to Install
Time From First Assist to Install
The Data You Have
Media Source Installs
First
Contributor
Second
Contributor
Third
Contributor
Applovin 26,905 21,884 5,930 1,149
Liftoff 6,789 4.669 1,292 259
Ironsource 4,332 1,625 519 103
Google 820,629 569,638 5,288 567
Facebook 344,030 129,680 19,748 1,778
Appia 101,832 11,068 1,869 210
Youappi 48.952 1,102 10 0
Collect the Data
Installs
Media Source Installs
First
Contributor
Second
Contributor
Third
Contributor
Applovin 26,905 21,884 5,930 1,149
Liftoff 6,789 4.669 1,292 259
Ironsource 4,332 1,625 519 103
Google 820,629 569,638 5,288 567
Facebook 344,030 129,680 19,748 1,778
Appia 101,832 11,068 1,869 210
Youappi 48.952 1,102 10 0
Last Touch First Touch
U Shape Time Decay
Single
Touchpoint
Multiple
Touchpoints
What is the true impact of each Media Source?
Understand the Impact Ratio
Impact Ratio
distinct(# installs + # assists)
# installs[ ]
Impact Ratio
Results
Media Source Installs Total Installs + Assists Install Impact Ratio
Applovin 26,905 55,828 2.07
Liftoff 6,789 13,009 1.91
Ironsource 4,332 6,579 1.52
Google 820,629 1,396,131 1.7
Facebook 344,030 495,236 1.44
Youappi 48,953 62,100 1.27
Appia 101,832 102,944 1.01
Now, Let’s Talk
Revenue
Media Source
Direct
Revenue
Indirect
Revenue
Applovin $10,467 $16,928
Liftoff $5,293 $2,232
ironsource $1,092 $726
Google $308,113 $207,200
Facebook $78,780 $129,978
Appia $12,899 $8,827
Youappi $98,729 $32,420
● Direct Revenue - Revenue from users where the media source was the last click
● Indirect Revenue - Revenue from users where the media source was one of the contributors
Collect the Data
Revenue
What is the true $$ impact of each Media Source?
Understand the Revenue Impact of
Each Media Source
Impact Ratio
Revenue
Media Source Direct Revenue
Indirect
Revenue Total Revenue
Revenue
Impact Ratio
Applovin $10,467 $16,928 $27,395 2.6
Liftoff $5,293 $2,232 $7,525 1.4
Ironsource $1,092 $726 $1,818 1.7
Google $308,113 $207,200 $515,313 1.7
Appia $12,899 $8,827 $21,726 1.7
Youappi $98,729 $32,420 $131,149 1.3
● Stopping Applovin campaigns might be a worse decision than we thought!
Real-Life Case Study -
How to Increase
My ARPU?
Deepdive - Applovin
Media Source ARPU
Applovin alone $7.65
Applovin with assists $10.15
32.6% lift!
Let’s deep dive into all the cases where Applovin was the last click
Who are the “Top Contributors” to
Applovin?
42%
75%
$7.65
$10.9
$13.4
ARPU Lift
● Credit to ironSource in each multi-touched user: (10.9-7.65) / 10.9 = 29.8% → Applovin: 100%-29.8% = 70.2%
● Credit to Email in each multi-touched user: (13.4-7.65) / 13.4 = 42.9% → Applovin: 100%-42.9% = 57.1%
What Can You Do With Top
Contributor Metric?
After realizing that Email is a top contributor to Applovin, using
raw data, we can create audiences that would target unconverted
Email clicks in Applovin and expect Applovin users to generate
higher LTV
Pre- and Post-Install
MTA
Making MTA Work for You
PRE-INSTALL
INSTALL
POST-INSTALL
Effective analysis = measuring every touchpoint
How does the post-install media source mix
affect ARPU and LTV?
Post Touches Conversion
Post Touches Conversion
Insights
Applovin
$6.2
$7.1
Install
Install
Push
notification
$10.3Applovin
Install
Google
Retargeting
Ad
15%
ARPU Lift
66%
Applovin
Applovin
Push
notification
User
Acquisition
Post Touches
$8.1
Install
31%Applovin
Google
Retargeting
Ad
Push
notification
Multi Touch -
How Much is Too Much?
Touchpoint Saturation
Is more than 1 touchpoint helpful?
68% lift!
#new users with
1 touchpoint
Install to Event
Conversion rate
# new users with
multiple
touchpoints
48k 17% 30k 28%
Install to Event
Conversion rate
Let’s deep dive...
Saturation Point - 3
Conversion
Rate
Number of re-engagement touch points
Touchpoint Saturation
Touchpoint Saturation
Saturation Point - 3
Uninstall
Rate
Conversion
Rate
Number of re-engagement touch points
Key Takeaways
● Always apply caution to the whole user journey
rather than the last click only! It might have an
impact on your LTV
● Use your unconverted clicks data
● Pay a special attention to retargeting - timing,
order and types
Thank you
clara@appsflyer.com

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LTV measurement and multi-touch attribution

  • 2. AppsFlyer in Numbers Scale 2T Monthly Data Points 9B Devices 75K Marketers & Developers 750+ Employees 15 Global Offices
  • 4. What is the global share of gaming installs that occur after more than 1 touchpoint? 14% Q :
  • 6. Making MTA Work for You PRE-INSTALL INSTALL
  • 7. Time From Last Touch to Install
  • 8. Time From First Assist to Install
  • 9. The Data You Have Media Source Installs First Contributor Second Contributor Third Contributor Applovin 26,905 21,884 5,930 1,149 Liftoff 6,789 4.669 1,292 259 Ironsource 4,332 1,625 519 103 Google 820,629 569,638 5,288 567 Facebook 344,030 129,680 19,748 1,778 Appia 101,832 11,068 1,869 210 Youappi 48.952 1,102 10 0
  • 10. Collect the Data Installs Media Source Installs First Contributor Second Contributor Third Contributor Applovin 26,905 21,884 5,930 1,149 Liftoff 6,789 4.669 1,292 259 Ironsource 4,332 1,625 519 103 Google 820,629 569,638 5,288 567 Facebook 344,030 129,680 19,748 1,778 Appia 101,832 11,068 1,869 210 Youappi 48.952 1,102 10 0
  • 11. Last Touch First Touch U Shape Time Decay Single Touchpoint Multiple Touchpoints
  • 12. What is the true impact of each Media Source? Understand the Impact Ratio
  • 13. Impact Ratio distinct(# installs + # assists) # installs[ ]
  • 14. Impact Ratio Results Media Source Installs Total Installs + Assists Install Impact Ratio Applovin 26,905 55,828 2.07 Liftoff 6,789 13,009 1.91 Ironsource 4,332 6,579 1.52 Google 820,629 1,396,131 1.7 Facebook 344,030 495,236 1.44 Youappi 48,953 62,100 1.27 Appia 101,832 102,944 1.01
  • 16. Media Source Direct Revenue Indirect Revenue Applovin $10,467 $16,928 Liftoff $5,293 $2,232 ironsource $1,092 $726 Google $308,113 $207,200 Facebook $78,780 $129,978 Appia $12,899 $8,827 Youappi $98,729 $32,420 ● Direct Revenue - Revenue from users where the media source was the last click ● Indirect Revenue - Revenue from users where the media source was one of the contributors Collect the Data Revenue
  • 17. What is the true $$ impact of each Media Source? Understand the Revenue Impact of Each Media Source
  • 18. Impact Ratio Revenue Media Source Direct Revenue Indirect Revenue Total Revenue Revenue Impact Ratio Applovin $10,467 $16,928 $27,395 2.6 Liftoff $5,293 $2,232 $7,525 1.4 Ironsource $1,092 $726 $1,818 1.7 Google $308,113 $207,200 $515,313 1.7 Appia $12,899 $8,827 $21,726 1.7 Youappi $98,729 $32,420 $131,149 1.3 ● Stopping Applovin campaigns might be a worse decision than we thought!
  • 19. Real-Life Case Study - How to Increase My ARPU?
  • 20. Deepdive - Applovin Media Source ARPU Applovin alone $7.65 Applovin with assists $10.15 32.6% lift! Let’s deep dive into all the cases where Applovin was the last click
  • 21. Who are the “Top Contributors” to Applovin? 42% 75% $7.65 $10.9 $13.4 ARPU Lift ● Credit to ironSource in each multi-touched user: (10.9-7.65) / 10.9 = 29.8% → Applovin: 100%-29.8% = 70.2% ● Credit to Email in each multi-touched user: (13.4-7.65) / 13.4 = 42.9% → Applovin: 100%-42.9% = 57.1%
  • 22. What Can You Do With Top Contributor Metric? After realizing that Email is a top contributor to Applovin, using raw data, we can create audiences that would target unconverted Email clicks in Applovin and expect Applovin users to generate higher LTV
  • 24. Making MTA Work for You PRE-INSTALL INSTALL POST-INSTALL Effective analysis = measuring every touchpoint
  • 25. How does the post-install media source mix affect ARPU and LTV? Post Touches Conversion
  • 26. Post Touches Conversion Insights Applovin $6.2 $7.1 Install Install Push notification $10.3Applovin Install Google Retargeting Ad 15% ARPU Lift 66% Applovin Applovin Push notification User Acquisition Post Touches $8.1 Install 31%Applovin Google Retargeting Ad Push notification
  • 27. Multi Touch - How Much is Too Much?
  • 28. Touchpoint Saturation Is more than 1 touchpoint helpful? 68% lift! #new users with 1 touchpoint Install to Event Conversion rate # new users with multiple touchpoints 48k 17% 30k 28% Install to Event Conversion rate Let’s deep dive...
  • 29. Saturation Point - 3 Conversion Rate Number of re-engagement touch points Touchpoint Saturation
  • 30. Touchpoint Saturation Saturation Point - 3 Uninstall Rate Conversion Rate Number of re-engagement touch points
  • 31. Key Takeaways ● Always apply caution to the whole user journey rather than the last click only! It might have an impact on your LTV ● Use your unconverted clicks data ● Pay a special attention to retargeting - timing, order and types