SlideShare a Scribd company logo
Savills Studley Report
Los Angeles office sector Q4 2016
Savills Studley Research
Los Angeles
SUMMARY
Market Highlights
LEASING DECLINES
Following two consecutive quarters of more
than 5.0 msf of leasing, activity backed off
a bit in the final quarter, falling to 4.5 msf.
Despite the moderation in this quarter’s
activity, tenants leased 20.4 msf in 2016,
exceeding the long-term average of 15.5
msf.
AVAILABILITY RATES DECLINE
The Class A availability rate fell by 80 basis
points declining to 17.8%. Compared to
year-end 2015, the overall and Class A
availability rates are both down by more
than 100 basis points.
ASKING RENTS FLAT
Average Class A asking rent in the Los
Angeles region was essentially unchanged,
inching 0.9% lower in the quarter to $40.10.
Class A rents rose by 19.2% in the recent
quarter as compared to same time last year.
SALES UP SHARPLY FROM A YEAR AGO
Sales this year have surged compared to
2015, as of November year-to-date office
sales totaled $10.7 billion, a 74.7% spike
from the $6.1 billion in the first 11 months of
2015.
"Despite tight conditions in much of the
market, particularly on the Westside,
tenants can still negotiate favorable lease
terms in this market. Availability remains
elevated in Downtown Los Angeles, the Tri-
Cities and San Fernando Valley. The value
of creditworthy tenants in stabilizing cash
flow will become apparent as this recovery
starts to wind down."
Mark Sullivan, Executive Vice President
02
Savills Studley Report | Los Angeles
Recovery Losing Some Steam
Heading into 2017
It took some time for the recovery to take
hold in Los Angeles, but it has certainly
stuck around longer than many people
expected. Tenants have leased 39.5 msf in
Los Angeles in the last two years; the 20.4
msf leased in 2016 was the strongest year
since 2001. As strong as last year’s tally
was, leasing has remained quite uneven
in the region. Entertainment, software
and social media firms have provided
the strongest impetus for demand in
Los Angeles and these firms continue to
dominate the activity in new development
and conversions, and are leading the way
for build-out trends in the region.
In contrast, traditional space occupiers –
law firms, banks and general professional
business services – continue to proceed
cautiously. Although conditions have
improved in the legal and financial sector,
revenues are still not back to their 2006 and
2007 heyday. This dichotomy continues to
show up as a split between the Westside
where conditions are still very tight, and the
balance of the market (Downtown, Tri-Cities
and the San Fernando Valley) where tenants
have more leverage.
Hypertrophied Leasing Dissipating
Heading into 2017, the region is seeing
a slight moderation in demand with less
hyper-growth in the tech sector. The
competition for talent and aggressive payroll
expansion by these firms has lost a bit of
steam. Office-using employment in the Los
Angeles metro area increased by 1.6% in
the last 12 months, a decline from the 2.1%
jump in the prior 12 months and well below
the 2.6% growth nationally. The moderation
in hiring is starting to impact leasing. The
number of requirements has fallen and more
tenants are taking their time before they
commit to a lease.
Deal volume totaled 4.5 msf in the fourth
quarter, a decline of 20.3% from the prior
quarter. It will take another quarter of two
to see if the recent deceleration is just a
pause or if a more protracted contraction is
beginning. Leases are also taking longer to
complete – often another sign that demand
is cooling. Of note, the largest lease this
quarter, City National Bank’s two-building
lease at 555 S Flower Street and 350 S
Grand, included a major space reduction
as the bank gave back five floors at 555 S
Flower.
Continued consolidation among banks,
law firms and other professional/business
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
-9.0%
-7.0%
-5.0%
-3.0%
-1.0%
1.0%
3.0%
5.0%
0.85
0.90
0.95
1.00
1.05
1.10
Millions
L.A. Office Emp. L.A.(% Ann. Change) U.S.(% Ann. Change)
Office-Using Employment Trends
$40.10
$29.98
$31.37
$24.59
$0
$10
$20
$30
$40
$50
4Q164Q154Q144Q134Q124Q11
($/sf)
Rental Rate Trends
Class A Class B & C
Asking Rent Trends
17.8%
20.6%
18.1%
19.4%
10%
13%
16%
19%
22%
4Q164Q154Q144Q134Q124Q11
(%) Availability Rate Trends
Class A Class B & C
Availability Rate Trends
savills-studley.com/research 03
Q4 2016
Tenant Sq Feet Address Market Area
City National Bank 275,000 555 S Flower St Downtown LA
City National Bank 250,000 350 S Grand Ave Downtown LA
Kite Pharma 159,310 2400 Broadway Santa Monica
Entertainment Partners 150,000 2950 Hollywood Way Burbank
Cast & Crew 90,273 2300 W Empire Ave Burbank
WeWork 74,740 3900 W Alameda Ave Burbank
FAA 73,000 701 S Aviation Blvd South Bay
WeWork 64,000 10250 Constellation Blvd Century City
Critical Content 50,562 2300 Empire Ave Burbank
Cedars-Sinai 46,151 8687 Melrose Ave Beverly Hills/West Hollywood
Sum of Top 10 Leases 1,233,036 Sum of 4th Quarter Leasing Activity 4.5 MSF
services is likely to become more prominent
as tech and creative sectors companies
lease space more cautiously. The pullback
in IPO markets earlier this year took
the wind out of the sails of some area
startups. Private investors are scrutinizing
the financials of larger companies as well
as smaller firms in this environment. The
valuation of these companies has come
back down to earth, forcing some to delay
major expansion plans. Building owners,
much like venture capital investors, are
being a bit more realistic about the durability
of this recovery and sustainability of recent
rent growth. As the tech sector experiences
volatility more landlords have a renewed
appreciation for the familiarity and stability of
corporate business services firms.
Westside Will Remain Challenging
Tenants will once again face the most
challenging conditions on the Westside
in 2017, with little change in the tough
stance adopted by most of landlords.
Owners in Santa Monica, Hollywood and
the Beverly Hills Triangle have achieved
rent levels that are well above their peaks
in 2007. Tenants seeking quality space in
the Westside will have to start their search
early and should consider options in other
submarkets. Creative office buildings in
emerging locations such as Playa Vista
and Downtown’s Arts District are capturing
rents – in the $50.00/sf range - that seemed
unthinkable for these areas a couple of
years ago. That said, tenants requiring
creative office space have options in a wider
geography than they did a couple of years
ago. Conversion projects and a handful
of newly constructed boutique buildings
continue to pop up in emerging locations
such as Downtown’s Arts District.
More Opportunities Downtown and in
Tri-Cities
While landlords on the Westside have reined
in concessions, most owners Downtown,
as well as in the Tri-Cities and the San
Fernando Valley are not in the position to
be as inflexible. Downtown ended 2016
with an availability rate of 21.7%, an
increase of nearly a full percentage point
from year-end 2015. Availability rates in the
Airport submarket and South Bay are also
hovering around 20.0%. Landlords in these
areas have had to extend elevated tenant
improvement allowances and make major
improvements to the amenities and space
layouts in their properties. If not, they face
the loss of tenants. Landlords of some of the
older c 1980 and 1990 buildings Downtown,
and the San Fernando Valley, are dependent
on luring new anchor tenants to fund the
major enhancements needed to make their
buildings competitive.
Sales Well Ahead of Last Year
Investors remained very active in Los
Angeles during 2016. As of November, office
sales totaled $10.7 billion a 75.0% spike
from the same period during 2015. No other
major metro posted as large a jump in sales
during the year. These prices rival what
investors are paying for trophy assets in
Manhattan. Assets in Santa Monica continue
to command very high pricing, including
two complexes that changed hands in
November. Brightstone Capital Partners paid
$403.0 million ($835.45/sf) for the Lantana
Media Campus. The four-building, 482,377-
sf complex was 83% leased at time of sale.
Also in Santa Monica, Oracle acquired 2600-
2800 Colorado Avenue for $367.6 million
($1,165/sf). Pricing above $500/sf and sub-
5.0% cap rates will put even more
pressure on landlords to achieve aggressive
pro forma rent projections.
Looking Forward
Tenants should be able to find opportunities
– even in the tightest submarkets – during
2017. The 10,000 sf to 25,000-sf user, will
obviously have an easier path than larger
tenants who must commence their search
early. Leasing will wind down during 2017
to a pace that is on par with long-term
trends. As landlords feel the pullback in
demand they will become more concerned
about locking in long-term leases. Some
owners will be more proactive than others
as they make an effort to get ahead of the
market. This includes landlords subject to
significant lease rollovers or exposure to
debt mandates in the short term. The value
of larger established corporate tenants
will appreciate in the coming quarters,
particularly in uncertain market conditions.
Availability Rate Comparison Overall Rental Rate Comparison
Major Transactions
$61.96
$57.12
$56.67
$54.06
$51.76
$49.71
$48.60
$47.29
$42.53
$37.60
$37.30
$32.89
$32.83
$32.78
$32.47
$31.96
$31.55
$31.33
$30.29
$29.21
$28.40
$28.33
$27.72
$27.59
$27.34
$26.58
$26.28
$25.28
$0.00
$36.70
$32.42
$0 $10 $20 $30 $40 $50 $60 $70
Santa Monica
Beverly Hills/W.Hollywood
Century City
Westside
Hollywood
Fox Hills/Marina
Westwood/West LA
Miracle Mile
Downtown LA
Los Angeles Region
Burbank
Wilshire District
Tri-Cities
US Index
N.Hwd/St.City/Univ. City
Central San Fernando Valley
Pasadena
Glendale
Park Mile
Santa Clarita Valley
San Fernando Valley
South Bay
South Bay Area
Airport
West San Fernando Valley
Long Beach
San Gabriel Valley
Mid-Wilshire
New
Existing Direct
Sublet
($/sf)
Type
8.8%
12.5%
12.9%
13.0%
13.4%
14.3%
15.0%
15.4%
15.5%
15.9%
16.3%
17.1%
17.5%
17.6%
17.7%
17.7%
17.7%
17.9%
17.9%
18.2%
18.2%
18.9%
19.4%
20.5%
20.6%
21.7%
22.4%
26.8%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%
N.Hwd/St.City/Univ. City
Century City
Long Beach
Central San Fernando Valley
Westwood/West LA
Santa Clarita Valley
Burbank
San Fernando Valley
San Gabriel Valley
Glendale
Tri-Cities
US Index
Pasadena
West San Fernando Valley
Miracle Mile
Santa Monica
Westside
Beverly Hills/W.Hollywood
Los Angeles Region
South Bay
South Bay Area
Wilshire District
Mid-Wilshire
Park Mile
Hollywood
Downtown LA
Airport
Fox Hills/Marina
(%)
Savills Studley Report | Los Angeles
04
Map Submarket Total
SF
(1000's)
Last
12 Months
This
Quarter
%
Change
from
Last Qtr.
Year
Ago
This
Quarter
pp
Change
from
Last Qtr. (1)
Year
Ago
This
Quarter
%
Change
from
Last Qtr.
Year
Ago
Downtown LA 34,487 3,670 7,500 6.2% 7,054 21.7% 0.6% 20.9% $42.53 -0.7% $36.01
Downtown LA - Class A 21,903 2,722 4,166 -2.4% 4,324 19.0% -0.5% 19.6% $43.63 0.0% $36.48
Wilshire District 16,520 907 3,121 -10.5% 3,467 18.9% -2.2% 20.7% $32.89 0.3% $30.99
Wilshire District - Class A 12,359 770 2,415 -12.6% 2,776 19.5% -2.8% 22.0% $33.30 -0.2% $32.12
Hollywood 5,220 771 1,076 5.7% 1,336 20.6% 0.6% 19.2% $51.76 -0.6% $43.91
Hollywood - Class A 3,607 575 895 -1.8% 1,141 24.8% -0.4% 24.3% $53.74 -0.8% $44.85
Westside 56,116 6,675 9,951 -0.5% 9,827 17.7% -0.2% 17.3% $54.06 -1.0% $50.97
Westside - Class A 47,118 5,030 8,830 -1.4% 8,561 18.7% -0.3% 18.3% $54.86 -1.5% $50.82
South Bay Area 34,005 2,824 6,202 -1.1% 7,733 18.2% -0.2% 22.2% $27.72 2.5% $26.73
South Bay Area - Class A 21,722 1,802 3,779 -3.8% 4,796 17.4% -0.7% 21.7% $29.11 3.1% $26.14
San Fernando Valley 29,470 2,730 4,532 -3.0% 5,447 15.4% -0.5% 17.7% $28.40 1.2% $26.64
San Fernando Valley - Class A 19,775 1,925 2,969 -5.7% 3,875 15.0% -0.9% 18.4% $30.23 1.3% $27.58
Tri-Cities 22,735 2,361 3,698 -13.1% 4,201 16.3% -2.5% 18.3% $32.83 0.8% $32.09
Tri-Cities - Class A 16,822 1,886 3,037 -9.9% 3,463 18.1% -2.0% 20.2% $34.51 -0.3% $34.14
Santa Clarita Valley 2,601 133 371 16.0% 359 14.3% 2.0% 14.4% $29.21 -1.2% $26.08
Santa Clarita Valley - Class A 1,800 109 247 14.1% 227 13.7% 1.7% 13.5% $29.92 -1.3% $26.89
San Gabriel Valley 11,449 1,109 1,777 11.1% 2,024 15.5% 1.4% 18.0% $26.28 0.6% $25.87
San Gabriel Valley - Class A 3,137 336 328 30.3% 333 10.5% 2.4% 11.4% $28.85 -1.2% $26.99
Greater Los Angeles Total 207,383 20,409 37,152 -1.4% 40,112 17.9% -0.4% 19.1% $37.60 -0.8% $32.56
Greater Los Angeles Total - Class A 144,636 14,580 25,772 -4.2% 28,355 17.8% -0.8% 19.3% $40.10 -0.9% $33.65
8
9
1-9
2
3
4
5
6
7
Leasing
Activity
Available
SF
Availability
Rate
Asking Rents
Per SF
1
@SavillsStudleywww.savills-studley.com
Please contact us for further information
(1) Percentage point change for availability rates.
Unless otherwise noted, all rents quoted throughout this report are average asking gross (full service) rents psf.
Statistics are calculated using both direct and sublease information.
Short-term sublet spaces (terms under two years) were excluded.
The information in this report is obtained from sources deemed reliable, but no representation
is made as to the accuracy thereof. Statistics compiled with the support of The CoStar Group.
Copyright © 2016 Savills Studley
Savills Studley
Downtown Los Angeles
777 S. Figueroa Street
30th Floor
Los Angeles, CA 90017
(213) 553-3800
Director & Regional Manager
Mark T. Sullivan - EVP
msullivan@savills-studley.com
License 00975518
5
101
60
2
6
3
5
2 1
Santa Clarita Valley
San Fernando Valley Tri-Cities
San Gabriel Valley
South
B
ay
A
rea
Wilshire District
Downtown LA
Hollywood
4
Westside
7
8
9
Savills Studley
West Los Angeles
10960 Wilshire Boulevard
Suite 1700
Los Angeles, CA 90024
(310) 444-1000
Branch Manager
Mike Catalano - EVP
mcatalano@savills-studley.com
License 01759030
Branch Manager
Joshua D. Gorin - SVP
jgorin@savills-studley.com
License 01789664

More Related Content

What's hot

JLL Minneapolis-St. Paul Office Employment Update April 2015
JLL Minneapolis-St. Paul Office Employment Update April 2015JLL Minneapolis-St. Paul Office Employment Update April 2015
JLL Minneapolis-St. Paul Office Employment Update April 2015
JLL_Midwest_Great_Lakes_Research
 
Washington, DC Office Sector Report (Q2 2016)
Washington, DC Office Sector Report (Q2 2016)Washington, DC Office Sector Report (Q2 2016)
Washington, DC Office Sector Report (Q2 2016)
Savills Studley
 
St. Louis Office Outlook Q3 2016
St. Louis Office Outlook Q3 2016St. Louis Office Outlook Q3 2016
St. Louis Office Outlook Q3 2016
Blaise Tomazic
 
7-Eleven Single Tenant Net Lease Property For Sale
7-Eleven Single Tenant Net Lease Property For Sale7-Eleven Single Tenant Net Lease Property For Sale
7-Eleven Single Tenant Net Lease Property For Sale
The Boulder Group
 
JLL Akron Office Outlook: Spring 2018
JLL Akron Office Outlook: Spring 2018JLL Akron Office Outlook: Spring 2018
JLL Akron Office Outlook: Spring 2018
Andrew Batson
 
Pittsburgh Office Insight & Stats Q1 2022
Pittsburgh Office Insight & Stats Q1 2022Pittsburgh Office Insight & Stats Q1 2022
Pittsburgh Office Insight & Stats Q1 2022
Tobiah Bilski
 
JLL Cleveland Office Outlook: Q2 2018
JLL Cleveland Office Outlook: Q2 2018JLL Cleveland Office Outlook: Q2 2018
JLL Cleveland Office Outlook: Q2 2018
Andrew Batson
 
Net Lease Big Box Research Report | The Boulder Group
Net Lease Big Box Research Report | The Boulder GroupNet Lease Big Box Research Report | The Boulder Group
Net Lease Big Box Research Report | The Boulder Group
The Boulder Group
 
Coldwell Banker Real Estate
Coldwell Banker Real EstateColdwell Banker Real Estate
Coldwell Banker Real Estate
FRANKLIN KNOTTS
 
Net Lease Best Buy For Sale
Net Lease Best Buy For SaleNet Lease Best Buy For Sale
Net Lease Best Buy For Sale
The Boulder Group
 
JLL Akron Office Outlook - Winter 2019
JLL Akron Office Outlook - Winter 2019JLL Akron Office Outlook - Winter 2019
JLL Akron Office Outlook - Winter 2019
Andrew Batson
 

What's hot (11)

JLL Minneapolis-St. Paul Office Employment Update April 2015
JLL Minneapolis-St. Paul Office Employment Update April 2015JLL Minneapolis-St. Paul Office Employment Update April 2015
JLL Minneapolis-St. Paul Office Employment Update April 2015
 
Washington, DC Office Sector Report (Q2 2016)
Washington, DC Office Sector Report (Q2 2016)Washington, DC Office Sector Report (Q2 2016)
Washington, DC Office Sector Report (Q2 2016)
 
St. Louis Office Outlook Q3 2016
St. Louis Office Outlook Q3 2016St. Louis Office Outlook Q3 2016
St. Louis Office Outlook Q3 2016
 
7-Eleven Single Tenant Net Lease Property For Sale
7-Eleven Single Tenant Net Lease Property For Sale7-Eleven Single Tenant Net Lease Property For Sale
7-Eleven Single Tenant Net Lease Property For Sale
 
JLL Akron Office Outlook: Spring 2018
JLL Akron Office Outlook: Spring 2018JLL Akron Office Outlook: Spring 2018
JLL Akron Office Outlook: Spring 2018
 
Pittsburgh Office Insight & Stats Q1 2022
Pittsburgh Office Insight & Stats Q1 2022Pittsburgh Office Insight & Stats Q1 2022
Pittsburgh Office Insight & Stats Q1 2022
 
JLL Cleveland Office Outlook: Q2 2018
JLL Cleveland Office Outlook: Q2 2018JLL Cleveland Office Outlook: Q2 2018
JLL Cleveland Office Outlook: Q2 2018
 
Net Lease Big Box Research Report | The Boulder Group
Net Lease Big Box Research Report | The Boulder GroupNet Lease Big Box Research Report | The Boulder Group
Net Lease Big Box Research Report | The Boulder Group
 
Coldwell Banker Real Estate
Coldwell Banker Real EstateColdwell Banker Real Estate
Coldwell Banker Real Estate
 
Net Lease Best Buy For Sale
Net Lease Best Buy For SaleNet Lease Best Buy For Sale
Net Lease Best Buy For Sale
 
JLL Akron Office Outlook - Winter 2019
JLL Akron Office Outlook - Winter 2019JLL Akron Office Outlook - Winter 2019
JLL Akron Office Outlook - Winter 2019
 

Viewers also liked

Conselhos para guardar enquanto você viver
Conselhos para guardar enquanto você viverConselhos para guardar enquanto você viver
Conselhos para guardar enquanto você viver
Juarez Oliveira
 
Organizaciones actuales y tradicionales.
Organizaciones actuales y tradicionales.Organizaciones actuales y tradicionales.
Organizaciones actuales y tradicionales.
María Angélica Sarmiento Vargas
 
Harvey Primary Resume
Harvey Primary ResumeHarvey Primary Resume
Harvey Primary Resume
Harvey Mollon
 
Ingenieria de Sistemas
Ingenieria de Sistemas Ingenieria de Sistemas
Ingenieria de Sistemas
Viviana Castillo
 
Physical education project file
Physical education project filePhysical education project file
Physical education project file
NIKHIL DWIVEDI
 
SharePoint Evolutions Roadshow - Disruptive Governance Thinking for the masses
SharePoint Evolutions Roadshow - Disruptive Governance Thinking for the massesSharePoint Evolutions Roadshow - Disruptive Governance Thinking for the masses
SharePoint Evolutions Roadshow - Disruptive Governance Thinking for the masses
Antony Clay
 
Didáctica magna caps.1- 5
Didáctica magna caps.1- 5Didáctica magna caps.1- 5
Didáctica magna caps.1- 5
Areli Valencia
 
Academy2
Academy2Academy2
Academy2
John Oakley
 
Achieving an integrated global web presence following a merger
Achieving an integrated global web presence following a mergerAchieving an integrated global web presence following a merger
Achieving an integrated global web presence following a merger
Jerome Colombe
 
Kap. 4 Den Femte Grunnleggende Ferdighet
Kap. 4 Den Femte Grunnleggende FerdighetKap. 4 Den Femte Grunnleggende Ferdighet
Kap. 4 Den Femte Grunnleggende FerdighetJeanette Tranberg
 
Boatdance 07-08 Prep
Boatdance 07-08 PrepBoatdance 07-08 Prep
Boatdance 07-08 Prep
jeway
 
How to implement effective governance without killing a forest
How to implement effective governance without killing a forestHow to implement effective governance without killing a forest
How to implement effective governance without killing a forest
Antony Clay
 
Design thinking and public health
Design thinking and public healthDesign thinking and public health
Design thinking and public health
craig lefebvre
 
Social Marketing in a Public Health Context
Social Marketing in a Public Health ContextSocial Marketing in a Public Health Context
Social Marketing in a Public Health Context
craig lefebvre
 
Update of Social Marketing Organization
Update of Social Marketing OrganizationUpdate of Social Marketing Organization
Update of Social Marketing Organization
craig lefebvre
 
Connect Composition Student Registration Information
Connect Composition Student Registration InformationConnect Composition Student Registration Information
Connect Composition Student Registration Information
Alisa Cooper
 

Viewers also liked (17)

Conselhos para guardar enquanto você viver
Conselhos para guardar enquanto você viverConselhos para guardar enquanto você viver
Conselhos para guardar enquanto você viver
 
Organizaciones actuales y tradicionales.
Organizaciones actuales y tradicionales.Organizaciones actuales y tradicionales.
Organizaciones actuales y tradicionales.
 
Harvey Primary Resume
Harvey Primary ResumeHarvey Primary Resume
Harvey Primary Resume
 
Ingenieria de Sistemas
Ingenieria de Sistemas Ingenieria de Sistemas
Ingenieria de Sistemas
 
Physical education project file
Physical education project filePhysical education project file
Physical education project file
 
SharePoint Evolutions Roadshow - Disruptive Governance Thinking for the masses
SharePoint Evolutions Roadshow - Disruptive Governance Thinking for the massesSharePoint Evolutions Roadshow - Disruptive Governance Thinking for the masses
SharePoint Evolutions Roadshow - Disruptive Governance Thinking for the masses
 
Didáctica magna caps.1- 5
Didáctica magna caps.1- 5Didáctica magna caps.1- 5
Didáctica magna caps.1- 5
 
Academy2
Academy2Academy2
Academy2
 
Achieving an integrated global web presence following a merger
Achieving an integrated global web presence following a mergerAchieving an integrated global web presence following a merger
Achieving an integrated global web presence following a merger
 
Kap. 4 Den Femte Grunnleggende Ferdighet
Kap. 4 Den Femte Grunnleggende FerdighetKap. 4 Den Femte Grunnleggende Ferdighet
Kap. 4 Den Femte Grunnleggende Ferdighet
 
Boatdance 07-08 Prep
Boatdance 07-08 PrepBoatdance 07-08 Prep
Boatdance 07-08 Prep
 
How to implement effective governance without killing a forest
How to implement effective governance without killing a forestHow to implement effective governance without killing a forest
How to implement effective governance without killing a forest
 
Design thinking and public health
Design thinking and public healthDesign thinking and public health
Design thinking and public health
 
Social Marketing in a Public Health Context
Social Marketing in a Public Health ContextSocial Marketing in a Public Health Context
Social Marketing in a Public Health Context
 
Update of Social Marketing Organization
Update of Social Marketing OrganizationUpdate of Social Marketing Organization
Update of Social Marketing Organization
 
Connect Composition Student Registration Information
Connect Composition Student Registration InformationConnect Composition Student Registration Information
Connect Composition Student Registration Information
 
Spraakets
SpraaketsSpraakets
Spraakets
 

Similar to Los_Angeles_4Q16

New York City Office Sector Report (Q3 2015)
New York City Office Sector Report (Q3 2015)New York City Office Sector Report (Q3 2015)
New York City Office Sector Report (Q3 2015)
Savills Studley
 
Q3 2015 Industrial Brief
Q3 2015 Industrial BriefQ3 2015 Industrial Brief
Q3 2015 Industrial Brief
Ryan Searle
 
Q3 office
Q3 officeQ3 office
Q3 office
Jolanta Campion
 
Q2 2016 industrial brief 7 29-16 final
Q2 2016 industrial brief 7 29-16 finalQ2 2016 industrial brief 7 29-16 final
Q2 2016 industrial brief 7 29-16 final
Justin B. Smith
 
Colliers DC YE Report 2014 V11
Colliers DC YE Report 2014 V11Colliers DC YE Report 2014 V11
Colliers DC YE Report 2014 V11
William E. Kaye
 
Q4 2016 industrial brief
Q4 2016 industrial briefQ4 2016 industrial brief
Q4 2016 industrial brief
Justin B. Smith
 
Washington, DC Office Sector Report (Q3 2016)
Washington, DC Office Sector Report (Q3 2016)Washington, DC Office Sector Report (Q3 2016)
Washington, DC Office Sector Report (Q3 2016)
Savills Studley
 
Houston Sublease
Houston SubleaseHouston Sublease
Houston Sublease
David Wegman, CFA
 
Office Insight Q1 2016 Downtown Calgary
Office Insight Q1 2016 Downtown CalgaryOffice Insight Q1 2016 Downtown Calgary
Office Insight Q1 2016 Downtown Calgary
Trent Peterson
 
Jll commercial real estate market report toronto 2014
Jll   commercial real estate market report toronto 2014Jll   commercial real estate market report toronto 2014
Jll commercial real estate market report toronto 2014
Chris Fyvie
 
Office Insight Q3 2015-Grand Rapids
Office Insight Q3 2015-Grand RapidsOffice Insight Q3 2015-Grand Rapids
Office Insight Q3 2015-Grand Rapids
JLL_Midwest_Great_Lakes_Research
 
Chicago Suburbs Office Insight - Q2 2016
Chicago Suburbs Office Insight - Q2 2016Chicago Suburbs Office Insight - Q2 2016
Chicago Suburbs Office Insight - Q2 2016
Hailey Harrington
 
2017 Law Firm office market overview
2017 Law Firm office market overview2017 Law Firm office market overview
2017 Law Firm office market overview
JLL
 
Q1 2015 U.S. office market statistics, trends and outlook
Q1 2015 U.S. office market statistics, trends and outlookQ1 2015 U.S. office market statistics, trends and outlook
Q1 2015 U.S. office market statistics, trends and outlook
JLL
 
JLL’s Mid-Year Skyline Update: A Closer Look at OH, MI & PA
JLL’s Mid-Year Skyline Update: A Closer Look at OH, MI & PAJLL’s Mid-Year Skyline Update: A Closer Look at OH, MI & PA
JLL’s Mid-Year Skyline Update: A Closer Look at OH, MI & PA
JLL
 
Colliers International: U.S. Flexible Workspace Outlook Report
Colliers International: U.S. Flexible Workspace Outlook ReportColliers International: U.S. Flexible Workspace Outlook Report
Colliers International: U.S. Flexible Workspace Outlook Report
Darren Shaw, SIOR
 
Commercial Real Estate Market Trends - 2016
Commercial Real Estate Market Trends - 2016Commercial Real Estate Market Trends - 2016
Commercial Real Estate Market Trends - 2016
cutmytaxes
 
Washington DC Q4 2016 Office Market Report
Washington DC Q4 2016 Office Market ReportWashington DC Q4 2016 Office Market Report
Washington DC Q4 2016 Office Market Report
Savills Studley
 
Q3 SV Office
Q3 SV OfficeQ3 SV Office
Q3 SV Office
Carrick Young
 
National 1Q15
National 1Q15National 1Q15
National 1Q15
Josh Gorin
 

Similar to Los_Angeles_4Q16 (20)

New York City Office Sector Report (Q3 2015)
New York City Office Sector Report (Q3 2015)New York City Office Sector Report (Q3 2015)
New York City Office Sector Report (Q3 2015)
 
Q3 2015 Industrial Brief
Q3 2015 Industrial BriefQ3 2015 Industrial Brief
Q3 2015 Industrial Brief
 
Q3 office
Q3 officeQ3 office
Q3 office
 
Q2 2016 industrial brief 7 29-16 final
Q2 2016 industrial brief 7 29-16 finalQ2 2016 industrial brief 7 29-16 final
Q2 2016 industrial brief 7 29-16 final
 
Colliers DC YE Report 2014 V11
Colliers DC YE Report 2014 V11Colliers DC YE Report 2014 V11
Colliers DC YE Report 2014 V11
 
Q4 2016 industrial brief
Q4 2016 industrial briefQ4 2016 industrial brief
Q4 2016 industrial brief
 
Washington, DC Office Sector Report (Q3 2016)
Washington, DC Office Sector Report (Q3 2016)Washington, DC Office Sector Report (Q3 2016)
Washington, DC Office Sector Report (Q3 2016)
 
Houston Sublease
Houston SubleaseHouston Sublease
Houston Sublease
 
Office Insight Q1 2016 Downtown Calgary
Office Insight Q1 2016 Downtown CalgaryOffice Insight Q1 2016 Downtown Calgary
Office Insight Q1 2016 Downtown Calgary
 
Jll commercial real estate market report toronto 2014
Jll   commercial real estate market report toronto 2014Jll   commercial real estate market report toronto 2014
Jll commercial real estate market report toronto 2014
 
Office Insight Q3 2015-Grand Rapids
Office Insight Q3 2015-Grand RapidsOffice Insight Q3 2015-Grand Rapids
Office Insight Q3 2015-Grand Rapids
 
Chicago Suburbs Office Insight - Q2 2016
Chicago Suburbs Office Insight - Q2 2016Chicago Suburbs Office Insight - Q2 2016
Chicago Suburbs Office Insight - Q2 2016
 
2017 Law Firm office market overview
2017 Law Firm office market overview2017 Law Firm office market overview
2017 Law Firm office market overview
 
Q1 2015 U.S. office market statistics, trends and outlook
Q1 2015 U.S. office market statistics, trends and outlookQ1 2015 U.S. office market statistics, trends and outlook
Q1 2015 U.S. office market statistics, trends and outlook
 
JLL’s Mid-Year Skyline Update: A Closer Look at OH, MI & PA
JLL’s Mid-Year Skyline Update: A Closer Look at OH, MI & PAJLL’s Mid-Year Skyline Update: A Closer Look at OH, MI & PA
JLL’s Mid-Year Skyline Update: A Closer Look at OH, MI & PA
 
Colliers International: U.S. Flexible Workspace Outlook Report
Colliers International: U.S. Flexible Workspace Outlook ReportColliers International: U.S. Flexible Workspace Outlook Report
Colliers International: U.S. Flexible Workspace Outlook Report
 
Commercial Real Estate Market Trends - 2016
Commercial Real Estate Market Trends - 2016Commercial Real Estate Market Trends - 2016
Commercial Real Estate Market Trends - 2016
 
Washington DC Q4 2016 Office Market Report
Washington DC Q4 2016 Office Market ReportWashington DC Q4 2016 Office Market Report
Washington DC Q4 2016 Office Market Report
 
Q3 SV Office
Q3 SV OfficeQ3 SV Office
Q3 SV Office
 
National 1Q15
National 1Q15National 1Q15
National 1Q15
 

Los_Angeles_4Q16

  • 1. Savills Studley Report Los Angeles office sector Q4 2016 Savills Studley Research Los Angeles SUMMARY Market Highlights LEASING DECLINES Following two consecutive quarters of more than 5.0 msf of leasing, activity backed off a bit in the final quarter, falling to 4.5 msf. Despite the moderation in this quarter’s activity, tenants leased 20.4 msf in 2016, exceeding the long-term average of 15.5 msf. AVAILABILITY RATES DECLINE The Class A availability rate fell by 80 basis points declining to 17.8%. Compared to year-end 2015, the overall and Class A availability rates are both down by more than 100 basis points. ASKING RENTS FLAT Average Class A asking rent in the Los Angeles region was essentially unchanged, inching 0.9% lower in the quarter to $40.10. Class A rents rose by 19.2% in the recent quarter as compared to same time last year. SALES UP SHARPLY FROM A YEAR AGO Sales this year have surged compared to 2015, as of November year-to-date office sales totaled $10.7 billion, a 74.7% spike from the $6.1 billion in the first 11 months of 2015. "Despite tight conditions in much of the market, particularly on the Westside, tenants can still negotiate favorable lease terms in this market. Availability remains elevated in Downtown Los Angeles, the Tri- Cities and San Fernando Valley. The value of creditworthy tenants in stabilizing cash flow will become apparent as this recovery starts to wind down." Mark Sullivan, Executive Vice President
  • 2. 02 Savills Studley Report | Los Angeles Recovery Losing Some Steam Heading into 2017 It took some time for the recovery to take hold in Los Angeles, but it has certainly stuck around longer than many people expected. Tenants have leased 39.5 msf in Los Angeles in the last two years; the 20.4 msf leased in 2016 was the strongest year since 2001. As strong as last year’s tally was, leasing has remained quite uneven in the region. Entertainment, software and social media firms have provided the strongest impetus for demand in Los Angeles and these firms continue to dominate the activity in new development and conversions, and are leading the way for build-out trends in the region. In contrast, traditional space occupiers – law firms, banks and general professional business services – continue to proceed cautiously. Although conditions have improved in the legal and financial sector, revenues are still not back to their 2006 and 2007 heyday. This dichotomy continues to show up as a split between the Westside where conditions are still very tight, and the balance of the market (Downtown, Tri-Cities and the San Fernando Valley) where tenants have more leverage. Hypertrophied Leasing Dissipating Heading into 2017, the region is seeing a slight moderation in demand with less hyper-growth in the tech sector. The competition for talent and aggressive payroll expansion by these firms has lost a bit of steam. Office-using employment in the Los Angeles metro area increased by 1.6% in the last 12 months, a decline from the 2.1% jump in the prior 12 months and well below the 2.6% growth nationally. The moderation in hiring is starting to impact leasing. The number of requirements has fallen and more tenants are taking their time before they commit to a lease. Deal volume totaled 4.5 msf in the fourth quarter, a decline of 20.3% from the prior quarter. It will take another quarter of two to see if the recent deceleration is just a pause or if a more protracted contraction is beginning. Leases are also taking longer to complete – often another sign that demand is cooling. Of note, the largest lease this quarter, City National Bank’s two-building lease at 555 S Flower Street and 350 S Grand, included a major space reduction as the bank gave back five floors at 555 S Flower. Continued consolidation among banks, law firms and other professional/business Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 -9.0% -7.0% -5.0% -3.0% -1.0% 1.0% 3.0% 5.0% 0.85 0.90 0.95 1.00 1.05 1.10 Millions L.A. Office Emp. L.A.(% Ann. Change) U.S.(% Ann. Change) Office-Using Employment Trends $40.10 $29.98 $31.37 $24.59 $0 $10 $20 $30 $40 $50 4Q164Q154Q144Q134Q124Q11 ($/sf) Rental Rate Trends Class A Class B & C Asking Rent Trends 17.8% 20.6% 18.1% 19.4% 10% 13% 16% 19% 22% 4Q164Q154Q144Q134Q124Q11 (%) Availability Rate Trends Class A Class B & C Availability Rate Trends
  • 3. savills-studley.com/research 03 Q4 2016 Tenant Sq Feet Address Market Area City National Bank 275,000 555 S Flower St Downtown LA City National Bank 250,000 350 S Grand Ave Downtown LA Kite Pharma 159,310 2400 Broadway Santa Monica Entertainment Partners 150,000 2950 Hollywood Way Burbank Cast & Crew 90,273 2300 W Empire Ave Burbank WeWork 74,740 3900 W Alameda Ave Burbank FAA 73,000 701 S Aviation Blvd South Bay WeWork 64,000 10250 Constellation Blvd Century City Critical Content 50,562 2300 Empire Ave Burbank Cedars-Sinai 46,151 8687 Melrose Ave Beverly Hills/West Hollywood Sum of Top 10 Leases 1,233,036 Sum of 4th Quarter Leasing Activity 4.5 MSF services is likely to become more prominent as tech and creative sectors companies lease space more cautiously. The pullback in IPO markets earlier this year took the wind out of the sails of some area startups. Private investors are scrutinizing the financials of larger companies as well as smaller firms in this environment. The valuation of these companies has come back down to earth, forcing some to delay major expansion plans. Building owners, much like venture capital investors, are being a bit more realistic about the durability of this recovery and sustainability of recent rent growth. As the tech sector experiences volatility more landlords have a renewed appreciation for the familiarity and stability of corporate business services firms. Westside Will Remain Challenging Tenants will once again face the most challenging conditions on the Westside in 2017, with little change in the tough stance adopted by most of landlords. Owners in Santa Monica, Hollywood and the Beverly Hills Triangle have achieved rent levels that are well above their peaks in 2007. Tenants seeking quality space in the Westside will have to start their search early and should consider options in other submarkets. Creative office buildings in emerging locations such as Playa Vista and Downtown’s Arts District are capturing rents – in the $50.00/sf range - that seemed unthinkable for these areas a couple of years ago. That said, tenants requiring creative office space have options in a wider geography than they did a couple of years ago. Conversion projects and a handful of newly constructed boutique buildings continue to pop up in emerging locations such as Downtown’s Arts District. More Opportunities Downtown and in Tri-Cities While landlords on the Westside have reined in concessions, most owners Downtown, as well as in the Tri-Cities and the San Fernando Valley are not in the position to be as inflexible. Downtown ended 2016 with an availability rate of 21.7%, an increase of nearly a full percentage point from year-end 2015. Availability rates in the Airport submarket and South Bay are also hovering around 20.0%. Landlords in these areas have had to extend elevated tenant improvement allowances and make major improvements to the amenities and space layouts in their properties. If not, they face the loss of tenants. Landlords of some of the older c 1980 and 1990 buildings Downtown, and the San Fernando Valley, are dependent on luring new anchor tenants to fund the major enhancements needed to make their buildings competitive. Sales Well Ahead of Last Year Investors remained very active in Los Angeles during 2016. As of November, office sales totaled $10.7 billion a 75.0% spike from the same period during 2015. No other major metro posted as large a jump in sales during the year. These prices rival what investors are paying for trophy assets in Manhattan. Assets in Santa Monica continue to command very high pricing, including two complexes that changed hands in November. Brightstone Capital Partners paid $403.0 million ($835.45/sf) for the Lantana Media Campus. The four-building, 482,377- sf complex was 83% leased at time of sale. Also in Santa Monica, Oracle acquired 2600- 2800 Colorado Avenue for $367.6 million ($1,165/sf). Pricing above $500/sf and sub- 5.0% cap rates will put even more pressure on landlords to achieve aggressive pro forma rent projections. Looking Forward Tenants should be able to find opportunities – even in the tightest submarkets – during 2017. The 10,000 sf to 25,000-sf user, will obviously have an easier path than larger tenants who must commence their search early. Leasing will wind down during 2017 to a pace that is on par with long-term trends. As landlords feel the pullback in demand they will become more concerned about locking in long-term leases. Some owners will be more proactive than others as they make an effort to get ahead of the market. This includes landlords subject to significant lease rollovers or exposure to debt mandates in the short term. The value of larger established corporate tenants will appreciate in the coming quarters, particularly in uncertain market conditions. Availability Rate Comparison Overall Rental Rate Comparison Major Transactions $61.96 $57.12 $56.67 $54.06 $51.76 $49.71 $48.60 $47.29 $42.53 $37.60 $37.30 $32.89 $32.83 $32.78 $32.47 $31.96 $31.55 $31.33 $30.29 $29.21 $28.40 $28.33 $27.72 $27.59 $27.34 $26.58 $26.28 $25.28 $0.00 $36.70 $32.42 $0 $10 $20 $30 $40 $50 $60 $70 Santa Monica Beverly Hills/W.Hollywood Century City Westside Hollywood Fox Hills/Marina Westwood/West LA Miracle Mile Downtown LA Los Angeles Region Burbank Wilshire District Tri-Cities US Index N.Hwd/St.City/Univ. City Central San Fernando Valley Pasadena Glendale Park Mile Santa Clarita Valley San Fernando Valley South Bay South Bay Area Airport West San Fernando Valley Long Beach San Gabriel Valley Mid-Wilshire New Existing Direct Sublet ($/sf) Type 8.8% 12.5% 12.9% 13.0% 13.4% 14.3% 15.0% 15.4% 15.5% 15.9% 16.3% 17.1% 17.5% 17.6% 17.7% 17.7% 17.7% 17.9% 17.9% 18.2% 18.2% 18.9% 19.4% 20.5% 20.6% 21.7% 22.4% 26.8% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% N.Hwd/St.City/Univ. City Century City Long Beach Central San Fernando Valley Westwood/West LA Santa Clarita Valley Burbank San Fernando Valley San Gabriel Valley Glendale Tri-Cities US Index Pasadena West San Fernando Valley Miracle Mile Santa Monica Westside Beverly Hills/W.Hollywood Los Angeles Region South Bay South Bay Area Wilshire District Mid-Wilshire Park Mile Hollywood Downtown LA Airport Fox Hills/Marina (%)
  • 4. Savills Studley Report | Los Angeles 04 Map Submarket Total SF (1000's) Last 12 Months This Quarter % Change from Last Qtr. Year Ago This Quarter pp Change from Last Qtr. (1) Year Ago This Quarter % Change from Last Qtr. Year Ago Downtown LA 34,487 3,670 7,500 6.2% 7,054 21.7% 0.6% 20.9% $42.53 -0.7% $36.01 Downtown LA - Class A 21,903 2,722 4,166 -2.4% 4,324 19.0% -0.5% 19.6% $43.63 0.0% $36.48 Wilshire District 16,520 907 3,121 -10.5% 3,467 18.9% -2.2% 20.7% $32.89 0.3% $30.99 Wilshire District - Class A 12,359 770 2,415 -12.6% 2,776 19.5% -2.8% 22.0% $33.30 -0.2% $32.12 Hollywood 5,220 771 1,076 5.7% 1,336 20.6% 0.6% 19.2% $51.76 -0.6% $43.91 Hollywood - Class A 3,607 575 895 -1.8% 1,141 24.8% -0.4% 24.3% $53.74 -0.8% $44.85 Westside 56,116 6,675 9,951 -0.5% 9,827 17.7% -0.2% 17.3% $54.06 -1.0% $50.97 Westside - Class A 47,118 5,030 8,830 -1.4% 8,561 18.7% -0.3% 18.3% $54.86 -1.5% $50.82 South Bay Area 34,005 2,824 6,202 -1.1% 7,733 18.2% -0.2% 22.2% $27.72 2.5% $26.73 South Bay Area - Class A 21,722 1,802 3,779 -3.8% 4,796 17.4% -0.7% 21.7% $29.11 3.1% $26.14 San Fernando Valley 29,470 2,730 4,532 -3.0% 5,447 15.4% -0.5% 17.7% $28.40 1.2% $26.64 San Fernando Valley - Class A 19,775 1,925 2,969 -5.7% 3,875 15.0% -0.9% 18.4% $30.23 1.3% $27.58 Tri-Cities 22,735 2,361 3,698 -13.1% 4,201 16.3% -2.5% 18.3% $32.83 0.8% $32.09 Tri-Cities - Class A 16,822 1,886 3,037 -9.9% 3,463 18.1% -2.0% 20.2% $34.51 -0.3% $34.14 Santa Clarita Valley 2,601 133 371 16.0% 359 14.3% 2.0% 14.4% $29.21 -1.2% $26.08 Santa Clarita Valley - Class A 1,800 109 247 14.1% 227 13.7% 1.7% 13.5% $29.92 -1.3% $26.89 San Gabriel Valley 11,449 1,109 1,777 11.1% 2,024 15.5% 1.4% 18.0% $26.28 0.6% $25.87 San Gabriel Valley - Class A 3,137 336 328 30.3% 333 10.5% 2.4% 11.4% $28.85 -1.2% $26.99 Greater Los Angeles Total 207,383 20,409 37,152 -1.4% 40,112 17.9% -0.4% 19.1% $37.60 -0.8% $32.56 Greater Los Angeles Total - Class A 144,636 14,580 25,772 -4.2% 28,355 17.8% -0.8% 19.3% $40.10 -0.9% $33.65 8 9 1-9 2 3 4 5 6 7 Leasing Activity Available SF Availability Rate Asking Rents Per SF 1 @SavillsStudleywww.savills-studley.com Please contact us for further information (1) Percentage point change for availability rates. Unless otherwise noted, all rents quoted throughout this report are average asking gross (full service) rents psf. Statistics are calculated using both direct and sublease information. Short-term sublet spaces (terms under two years) were excluded. The information in this report is obtained from sources deemed reliable, but no representation is made as to the accuracy thereof. Statistics compiled with the support of The CoStar Group. Copyright © 2016 Savills Studley Savills Studley Downtown Los Angeles 777 S. Figueroa Street 30th Floor Los Angeles, CA 90017 (213) 553-3800 Director & Regional Manager Mark T. Sullivan - EVP msullivan@savills-studley.com License 00975518 5 101 60 2 6 3 5 2 1 Santa Clarita Valley San Fernando Valley Tri-Cities San Gabriel Valley South B ay A rea Wilshire District Downtown LA Hollywood 4 Westside 7 8 9 Savills Studley West Los Angeles 10960 Wilshire Boulevard Suite 1700 Los Angeles, CA 90024 (310) 444-1000 Branch Manager Mike Catalano - EVP mcatalano@savills-studley.com License 01759030 Branch Manager Joshua D. Gorin - SVP jgorin@savills-studley.com License 01789664