2017
Law firm market
overview
October 2017
Global city office markets are preparing to enter a new
phase characterized by greater leverage for firms
Source: JLL Research 2
Tight conditions to ease
Vacancy at the top of the market is slowly
moving upward, although levels remain
below historic norms. New supply and give-
backs upon relocation due to efficiency
have begun to and will continue to result in
rising vacancy.
Rent growth beginning to slow
Rapid rent growth has challenged firms,
particularly in Sydney and San Francisco.
Changing supply-and-demand dynamics
will result in rents stabilizing in 2018 and
even dropping in supply-heavy markets
such as London, New York, Chicago and
DC.
Concessions trending upward
Landlords in top legal services markets
have increased tenant improvement
allowances by 34%. Concessions will rise
even more as new space delivers.
Most large legal markets globally are peaking,
indicating slowing rent growth and impending new
supply
© 2017 Jones Lang LaSalle IP, Inc. All rights reserved. 3
Peaking
phase
Falling
phase
Rising
phase
Bottoming
phase
Beijing, Washington, DC
Chicago, New York
Atlanta, Boston, Philadelphia
Los Angeles, Toronto
Hong Kong, San Francisco, Tokyo
Dallas, Munich, Seattle
Frankfurt
Paris, Sydney
Miami
Singapore
Houston
London
Shanghai
Brexit-related business slowdown and supply influx are
placing London counter to continental markets
Source: JLL Research 4
London (City)
4.3 m.s.f. will deliver beginning in 2018, while prime rents have
stalled at £70 p.s.f. Core City assets are more susceptible to rent
declines than those in fringe submarkets, benefitting firms.
Frankfurt
Rents have begun to flatten out, but will likely see further
increase by the end of 2017. The market is preparing for
inbound demand due to relocations from London.
2017 2018 2019
2017 2018 2019
Paris
Although growth has cooled somewhat, activity remains dynamic.
Vacancy has dropped to a potentially cyclical low of 3.5% in the
CBD, which will translate into upward pressure on rents.
Munich
Robust occupier activity in was well above medium and long term
averages. Vacancy has narrowed down to 4.2% and is likely to
decline further. Rents are likely to trend upward in the short term.
2017 2018 2019
2017 2018 2019
Landlord-favorable Neutral Tenant-favorable
Vacancy to rise incrementally across Asia apart from
Singapore, while Sydney will register rapid rent growth
Source: JLL Research 5
Beijing
Although new supply expected in the CBD will cause downward
pressure on rents, completions will be staggered over several
years.
Tokyo
Vacancy rose for the third consecutive quarter to 2.9% and is
expected to increase further as a wave of new construction
delivers gradually over the next three years.
Shanghai
Both the CBD and the decentralized market are expecting
further deliveries through year-end. The market will need time
to absorb new supply.
Hong Kong
Central rents jumped by 8.3% over the year to $178.80 p.s.f.,
surpassing their record highs set in 2008. Tenants will be
challenged by a lack of new supply in Central.
Singapore
Rents are expected to pick up moderately over the next few
quarters as the leasing market improves. Rents in 2019 and
2020 could expand in further on the back of limited new supply.
Sydney
Supply withdrawals due to residential conversion and
acquisition for new infrastructure will exacerbate constraints
and keep rent growth at or near the top of all global markets.
2017 2018 2019
2017 2018 2019
2017 2018 2019
2017 2018 2019
2017 2018 2019
2017 2018 2019
Landlord-favorable Neutral Tenant-favorable
49,990
156,326
388,449
417,704
603,970
2,604,891
0 500,000 1,000,000 1,500,000 2,000,000 2,500,000 3,000,000
City Southern
City Midtown
City Western
City Central
City Northern
City Eastern
Under construction (s.f.)
London: firms will find the most opportunity for moving
to new supply in City Eastern
Source: JLL Research 6
U.S. legal services employment growth remains below
that of the broader economy amid talent challenges
from tech
Source: JLL Research, Bureau of Labor Statistics 7
-6%
-4%
-2%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
12-month%change
Legal services Total non-farm Tech
+1.4%
Total non-farm
+0.4%
Legal services
12-month % change
+3.5%
Tech
Since 2010, US law firm admissions are down nearly 25% while
tech employment is up nearly 55%
$31.1
$35.1
$38.1
$41.7
$46.0
$50.9
$56.8
$64.5
$67.3
$64.4
$67.4
$71.4
$73.4
$77.4
$80.9
$83.1
$86.7
$0
$10
$20
$30
$40
$50
$60
$70
$80
$90
$100
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Grossrevenue($billions)Gross revenue grew by 4.3% in 2016 to $86.7 billion,
1.6x faster than in 2015
8Source: JLL Research, American Lawyer
$804,651
$820,235
$842,130
$838,775
$871,002
$894,253
$907,765
$740,000
$760,000
$780,000
$800,000
$820,000
$840,000
$860,000
$880,000
$900,000
$920,000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Revenueperlawyer($)Revenue per lawyer growth slowed in 2016 (+1.5%) due
to an uptick in hiring
9Source: JLL Research, American Lawyer
$1,375,747
$1,402,392
$1,463,875 $1,466,809
$1,548,901
$1,613,439
$1,661,772
$1,000,000
$1,100,000
$1,200,000
$1,300,000
$1,400,000
$1,500,000
$1,600,000
$1,700,000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Revenueperlawyer($)Profits per partner rose by 3% in 2016, slower than in
2015 but still at a steady rate
10Source: JLL Research, American Lawyer
60
70
53
39
60 60
88
82
91
85
52
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 YTD 2017
NumberofmergersAs of mid-year, M&A well on track to surpass previous
highs set in 2013 and 2015
11Source: JLL Research, American Lawyer
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Rentgrowthsince2010(%)Rents for quality space in urban cores continue to
register growth double that of the overall market
12Source: JLL Research
+35.7%
CBD Class A
+17.7%
U.S. overall
$30
$35
$40
$45
$50
$55
10%
11%
12%
13%
14%
15%
16%
17%
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
CBDClassAaskingrent($p.s.f.)
CBDClassAtotalvacancy(%)
Total vacancy Asking rent
U.S.: An increasing rate of top-quality new supply has
resulted in slowly rising vacancy as well as rent growth
13Source: JLL Research
-1.6% -1.5%
0.2% 0.4%
0.9%
1.3%
3.8%
7.0%
7.4%
9.3%
11.9%
-4%
-2%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
Houston Washington,
DC
Boston Los Angeles
(Downtown)
San
Francisco
Philadelphia New York
(Midtown)
New York
(Downtown)
Dallas Chicago Los Angeles
(Century City)
AnnualCBDClassArentgrowth(%)U.S.: Century City continues to see fastest rent growth
of any legal services hub, with no tenant relief expected
14Source: JLL Research
$41.17 $40.85
$39.54
$43.74
$52.21
$62.26
4.5
5.0
5.5
6.0
6.5
7.0
7.5
$20
$25
$30
$35
$40
$45
$50
$55
$60
$65
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Freemonths
Tenantimprovementallowance($p.s.f.)
TI allowance Free months
U.S.: Concessions for new space will continue upward
trend as deliveries and competition for tenants increase
Soruce: JLL Research 15
24,058,160
12,977,792
5,000,000
10,000,000
15,000,000
20,000,000
25,000,000
30,000,000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
CBDClassAsubleasevacancy(s.f.)U.S.: Although nearing 13 m.s.f., sublease vacancy is
still half of its recessionary high
16Source: JLL Research
13,945,656
6,004,317
2,652,375
8,249,314 7,867,945
10,485,664
15,645,213
20,598,708
26,470,609
14,843,902
2,036,955
1,050,000
0
5,000,000
10,000,000
15,000,000
20,000,000
25,000,000
30,000,000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 (F) 2018 (F) 2019 (F) 2020 (F) 2021 (F)
CBDClassAcompletions(s.f.)U.S.: 65 m.s.f. of new supply will deliver this cycle,
significantly shifting the market in favor of firms
Source: JLL Research 17
65.0 m.s.f.
2017-2021 completions
974
759
623
1,050
881
663
Historic Current Future
Overall Legal hubs
U.S.: Improved efficiency and relocation to new space,
could yield 24% reductions in costs in top markets
© 2017 Jones Lang LaSalle IP, Inc. All rights reserved. 18
Square feet per attorney
$38,261
$33,620
$27,392
$58,333
$46,633
$35,233
Historic Current Future
Overall Legal hubs
Rent per attorney
U.S.: Vacancy in law firm-heavy submarkets continues
to fall, pushing up rents dramatically
Source: JLL Research 19
12.5%
(-370bp)
CBD Class A vacancy
decrease since 2010
$52.19 p.s.f.
(+35.7%)
CBD Class A asking rent
Growth since 2010
New York: 1.1 m.s.f. in law firm relocations to the West
Side will open up significant opportunity in Midtown
Source: JLL Research – law firm leasing activity > 25,000 s.f. since Q1 2016 20
A
B
55 Hudson Yards 1 Manhattan West
A B
Milbank (257,557 s.f.)
Cooley (131,000 s.f.)
Boies Schiller (83,292 s.f.)
Skadden (550,000 s.f.)
McKool Smith (64,120 s.f.)
Washington, DC: Class A vacancy will rise to 20% as
new supply floods the market and large tenant demand
remains limited until 2020
Source: JLL Research 21
$66
$68 $67
$71 $72
$70
$69
$68 $68
12%
11%
13%
14%
15%
16%
19%
20%
21%
$50
$53
$56
$59
$62
$65
$68
$71
$74
$77
$80
5%
7%
9%
11%
13%
15%
17%
19%
21%
23%
25%
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Asking rent Vacancy
Projected
5%
6%
7%
8%
9%
10%
11%
12%
13%
14%
2014 2015 2016 2017 (YTD)
ClassAtotalvacancy(%)
West Loop Central Loop East Loop
Chicago: traditional law firm submarkets to become
even more tenant-friendly as vacancy spikes
Source: JLL Research 22
150 N Riverside and River Point causing rising vacancy
$54.12
$55.56
$59.40
$65.64
$50
$52
$54
$56
$58
$60
$62
$64
$66
$68
2014 2015 2016 2017 (YTD)
ClassACenturyCityaskingrents($p.s.f.)Los Angeles: dwindling large blocks have caused rents
to surge at double-digit rates
Source: JLL Research 23
$54.42
$64.78
$65.59
$67.83
$69.34
$0 $20 $40 $60 $80
Westwood
Beverly Hills
Century City
Playa Vista
Santa Monica
Class A asking rent ($ p.s.f.)
$64.40
$70.76
$74.23 $74.41
$65.47
$68.50
$75.56 $75.79
$60
$62
$64
$66
$68
$70
$72
$74
$76
$78
2014 2015 2016 2017 (YTD)
ClassAaskingrents($p.s.f.)
North Financial District South Financial District
San Francisco: after years of rapid acceleration, rents
have stabilized within the CBD
Source: JLL Research 24
John Sikaitis
John.Sikaitis@am.jll.com
+1 202 719 5838
Phil Ryan
Phil.Ryan@am.jll.com
+1 212 292 8040
http://www.us.jll.com/united-states/en-us/research/industry/law-firms

2017 Law Firm office market overview

  • 1.
  • 2.
    Global city officemarkets are preparing to enter a new phase characterized by greater leverage for firms Source: JLL Research 2 Tight conditions to ease Vacancy at the top of the market is slowly moving upward, although levels remain below historic norms. New supply and give- backs upon relocation due to efficiency have begun to and will continue to result in rising vacancy. Rent growth beginning to slow Rapid rent growth has challenged firms, particularly in Sydney and San Francisco. Changing supply-and-demand dynamics will result in rents stabilizing in 2018 and even dropping in supply-heavy markets such as London, New York, Chicago and DC. Concessions trending upward Landlords in top legal services markets have increased tenant improvement allowances by 34%. Concessions will rise even more as new space delivers.
  • 3.
    Most large legalmarkets globally are peaking, indicating slowing rent growth and impending new supply © 2017 Jones Lang LaSalle IP, Inc. All rights reserved. 3 Peaking phase Falling phase Rising phase Bottoming phase Beijing, Washington, DC Chicago, New York Atlanta, Boston, Philadelphia Los Angeles, Toronto Hong Kong, San Francisco, Tokyo Dallas, Munich, Seattle Frankfurt Paris, Sydney Miami Singapore Houston London Shanghai
  • 4.
    Brexit-related business slowdownand supply influx are placing London counter to continental markets Source: JLL Research 4 London (City) 4.3 m.s.f. will deliver beginning in 2018, while prime rents have stalled at £70 p.s.f. Core City assets are more susceptible to rent declines than those in fringe submarkets, benefitting firms. Frankfurt Rents have begun to flatten out, but will likely see further increase by the end of 2017. The market is preparing for inbound demand due to relocations from London. 2017 2018 2019 2017 2018 2019 Paris Although growth has cooled somewhat, activity remains dynamic. Vacancy has dropped to a potentially cyclical low of 3.5% in the CBD, which will translate into upward pressure on rents. Munich Robust occupier activity in was well above medium and long term averages. Vacancy has narrowed down to 4.2% and is likely to decline further. Rents are likely to trend upward in the short term. 2017 2018 2019 2017 2018 2019 Landlord-favorable Neutral Tenant-favorable
  • 5.
    Vacancy to riseincrementally across Asia apart from Singapore, while Sydney will register rapid rent growth Source: JLL Research 5 Beijing Although new supply expected in the CBD will cause downward pressure on rents, completions will be staggered over several years. Tokyo Vacancy rose for the third consecutive quarter to 2.9% and is expected to increase further as a wave of new construction delivers gradually over the next three years. Shanghai Both the CBD and the decentralized market are expecting further deliveries through year-end. The market will need time to absorb new supply. Hong Kong Central rents jumped by 8.3% over the year to $178.80 p.s.f., surpassing their record highs set in 2008. Tenants will be challenged by a lack of new supply in Central. Singapore Rents are expected to pick up moderately over the next few quarters as the leasing market improves. Rents in 2019 and 2020 could expand in further on the back of limited new supply. Sydney Supply withdrawals due to residential conversion and acquisition for new infrastructure will exacerbate constraints and keep rent growth at or near the top of all global markets. 2017 2018 2019 2017 2018 2019 2017 2018 2019 2017 2018 2019 2017 2018 2019 2017 2018 2019 Landlord-favorable Neutral Tenant-favorable
  • 6.
    49,990 156,326 388,449 417,704 603,970 2,604,891 0 500,000 1,000,0001,500,000 2,000,000 2,500,000 3,000,000 City Southern City Midtown City Western City Central City Northern City Eastern Under construction (s.f.) London: firms will find the most opportunity for moving to new supply in City Eastern Source: JLL Research 6
  • 7.
    U.S. legal servicesemployment growth remains below that of the broader economy amid talent challenges from tech Source: JLL Research, Bureau of Labor Statistics 7 -6% -4% -2% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 12-month%change Legal services Total non-farm Tech +1.4% Total non-farm +0.4% Legal services 12-month % change +3.5% Tech Since 2010, US law firm admissions are down nearly 25% while tech employment is up nearly 55%
  • 8.
    $31.1 $35.1 $38.1 $41.7 $46.0 $50.9 $56.8 $64.5 $67.3 $64.4 $67.4 $71.4 $73.4 $77.4 $80.9 $83.1 $86.7 $0 $10 $20 $30 $40 $50 $60 $70 $80 $90 $100 2000 2001 20022003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Grossrevenue($billions)Gross revenue grew by 4.3% in 2016 to $86.7 billion, 1.6x faster than in 2015 8Source: JLL Research, American Lawyer
  • 9.
    $804,651 $820,235 $842,130 $838,775 $871,002 $894,253 $907,765 $740,000 $760,000 $780,000 $800,000 $820,000 $840,000 $860,000 $880,000 $900,000 $920,000 2010 2011 20122013 2014 2015 2016 Revenueperlawyer($)Revenue per lawyer growth slowed in 2016 (+1.5%) due to an uptick in hiring 9Source: JLL Research, American Lawyer
  • 10.
    $1,375,747 $1,402,392 $1,463,875 $1,466,809 $1,548,901 $1,613,439 $1,661,772 $1,000,000 $1,100,000 $1,200,000 $1,300,000 $1,400,000 $1,500,000 $1,600,000 $1,700,000 2010 20112012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Revenueperlawyer($)Profits per partner rose by 3% in 2016, slower than in 2015 but still at a steady rate 10Source: JLL Research, American Lawyer
  • 11.
    60 70 53 39 60 60 88 82 91 85 52 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 2007 20082009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 YTD 2017 NumberofmergersAs of mid-year, M&A well on track to surpass previous highs set in 2013 and 2015 11Source: JLL Research, American Lawyer
  • 12.
    -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 2010 2011 20122013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Rentgrowthsince2010(%)Rents for quality space in urban cores continue to register growth double that of the overall market 12Source: JLL Research +35.7% CBD Class A +17.7% U.S. overall
  • 13.
    $30 $35 $40 $45 $50 $55 10% 11% 12% 13% 14% 15% 16% 17% 2010 2011 20122013 2014 2015 2016 2017 CBDClassAaskingrent($p.s.f.) CBDClassAtotalvacancy(%) Total vacancy Asking rent U.S.: An increasing rate of top-quality new supply has resulted in slowly rising vacancy as well as rent growth 13Source: JLL Research
  • 14.
    -1.6% -1.5% 0.2% 0.4% 0.9% 1.3% 3.8% 7.0% 7.4% 9.3% 11.9% -4% -2% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% HoustonWashington, DC Boston Los Angeles (Downtown) San Francisco Philadelphia New York (Midtown) New York (Downtown) Dallas Chicago Los Angeles (Century City) AnnualCBDClassArentgrowth(%)U.S.: Century City continues to see fastest rent growth of any legal services hub, with no tenant relief expected 14Source: JLL Research
  • 15.
    $41.17 $40.85 $39.54 $43.74 $52.21 $62.26 4.5 5.0 5.5 6.0 6.5 7.0 7.5 $20 $25 $30 $35 $40 $45 $50 $55 $60 $65 2012 20132014 2015 2016 2017 Freemonths Tenantimprovementallowance($p.s.f.) TI allowance Free months U.S.: Concessions for new space will continue upward trend as deliveries and competition for tenants increase Soruce: JLL Research 15
  • 16.
    24,058,160 12,977,792 5,000,000 10,000,000 15,000,000 20,000,000 25,000,000 30,000,000 2010 2011 20122013 2014 2015 2016 2017 CBDClassAsubleasevacancy(s.f.)U.S.: Although nearing 13 m.s.f., sublease vacancy is still half of its recessionary high 16Source: JLL Research
  • 17.
    13,945,656 6,004,317 2,652,375 8,249,314 7,867,945 10,485,664 15,645,213 20,598,708 26,470,609 14,843,902 2,036,955 1,050,000 0 5,000,000 10,000,000 15,000,000 20,000,000 25,000,000 30,000,000 2010 20112012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 (F) 2018 (F) 2019 (F) 2020 (F) 2021 (F) CBDClassAcompletions(s.f.)U.S.: 65 m.s.f. of new supply will deliver this cycle, significantly shifting the market in favor of firms Source: JLL Research 17 65.0 m.s.f. 2017-2021 completions
  • 18.
    974 759 623 1,050 881 663 Historic Current Future OverallLegal hubs U.S.: Improved efficiency and relocation to new space, could yield 24% reductions in costs in top markets © 2017 Jones Lang LaSalle IP, Inc. All rights reserved. 18 Square feet per attorney $38,261 $33,620 $27,392 $58,333 $46,633 $35,233 Historic Current Future Overall Legal hubs Rent per attorney
  • 19.
    U.S.: Vacancy inlaw firm-heavy submarkets continues to fall, pushing up rents dramatically Source: JLL Research 19 12.5% (-370bp) CBD Class A vacancy decrease since 2010 $52.19 p.s.f. (+35.7%) CBD Class A asking rent Growth since 2010
  • 20.
    New York: 1.1m.s.f. in law firm relocations to the West Side will open up significant opportunity in Midtown Source: JLL Research – law firm leasing activity > 25,000 s.f. since Q1 2016 20 A B 55 Hudson Yards 1 Manhattan West A B Milbank (257,557 s.f.) Cooley (131,000 s.f.) Boies Schiller (83,292 s.f.) Skadden (550,000 s.f.) McKool Smith (64,120 s.f.)
  • 21.
    Washington, DC: ClassA vacancy will rise to 20% as new supply floods the market and large tenant demand remains limited until 2020 Source: JLL Research 21 $66 $68 $67 $71 $72 $70 $69 $68 $68 12% 11% 13% 14% 15% 16% 19% 20% 21% $50 $53 $56 $59 $62 $65 $68 $71 $74 $77 $80 5% 7% 9% 11% 13% 15% 17% 19% 21% 23% 25% 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Asking rent Vacancy Projected
  • 22.
    5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10% 11% 12% 13% 14% 2014 2015 20162017 (YTD) ClassAtotalvacancy(%) West Loop Central Loop East Loop Chicago: traditional law firm submarkets to become even more tenant-friendly as vacancy spikes Source: JLL Research 22 150 N Riverside and River Point causing rising vacancy
  • 23.
    $54.12 $55.56 $59.40 $65.64 $50 $52 $54 $56 $58 $60 $62 $64 $66 $68 2014 2015 20162017 (YTD) ClassACenturyCityaskingrents($p.s.f.)Los Angeles: dwindling large blocks have caused rents to surge at double-digit rates Source: JLL Research 23 $54.42 $64.78 $65.59 $67.83 $69.34 $0 $20 $40 $60 $80 Westwood Beverly Hills Century City Playa Vista Santa Monica Class A asking rent ($ p.s.f.)
  • 24.
    $64.40 $70.76 $74.23 $74.41 $65.47 $68.50 $75.56 $75.79 $60 $62 $64 $66 $68 $70 $72 $74 $76 $78 20142015 2016 2017 (YTD) ClassAaskingrents($p.s.f.) North Financial District South Financial District San Francisco: after years of rapid acceleration, rents have stabilized within the CBD Source: JLL Research 24
  • 25.
    John Sikaitis John.Sikaitis@am.jll.com +1 202719 5838 Phil Ryan Phil.Ryan@am.jll.com +1 212 292 8040 http://www.us.jll.com/united-states/en-us/research/industry/law-firms