The Value Factory ™




Top ROI for community power




Presented by Dr. Ingo Koenig
Toronto, 29th of January 2010
AGENDA



  !   What is community power (in Europe)?


  !   Why does community power generate superior returns?


  !   Risks?


  !   Lessons for Ontario




                                                            2
Wind energy value chain




                Initiate                         Build                           Operate
              and Develop                    and construct                     and Maintain




" Find suitable land   "   Public "    Financing        "   Construction   "   Run        "   Sell energy
 " Set-up technology       support "   Refund                              "   Maintain
  " Procure relevant                   scheme/
    permits                            buyers


                       Community power makes a difference!

                                                                                                            3
                                           02/02/2010
Wind power is leading new power
  generation capacity in Europe

               New power capacity in Europe 2008
                 18%
                                                          2%
                          10%
     29%
                               6%


                                                    3%
                                                                0%
                   36%




           Wind power    Gas    PV   Oil   Coal   Hydro   Nuclear

                                                                     4
Community power in Europe is....


  Definition: A community wind farm is a consequent financial,
     conceptual and organisational participation of citizens (local
     community) in a wind farm.

                                            Exclusive investment and participation of
                                              people living in the vicinity of the farm
                                            Management is done by local investors
                           Rigid

 Community                                  Investment and participation of people
 wind farms                                   living in the vicinity of the farm, but also
                                              from outside the community with max.
                                              participation (e.g. $50,000)
                         Relaxed            Management is done by local investors
                                              or professional service firms

                                                                                             5
Legal Structure and Taxes



  A German "GmbH & Co. KG" is a limited partnership in which the general
    partner is a GmbH, a private limited company.




            General Partner                        Limited partners
                  (GmbH)                                (Kommanditist)




                   Limited partners can deduct losses whenever they
                     occur in personal tax statement!




                                                                           6
Financing


Debt: Private commercial banks, state owned banks with preferable rates

Equity: At first: Individual investors via closed funds, medium sized investment
   groups, cooperatives; now utilities and larger cooperation, insurance companies

       120%
       100%
        80%                                                State sponsored
        60%                                                loans
                                                           Commercial banks
        40%
        20%                                                Equity

         0%
               Community power        Absantee
                                      investors

                                                                                     7
AGENDA



  !   What is community power (in Europe)?


  !   Why does community power generate superior returns?


  !   Risks?


  !   Lessons for Ontario




                                                            8
Community power in Europe is more
  profitable because...

"   High personal involvement keeps “soft costs” low
    (5-10% of investment compared to 15-40%
    investment)
                                                            300
"   High personal involvement improves information          295
    flow, and peer pressure lead to short repair reaction   290
    times and therefore higher availability and             285
    revenues                                                280
                                                                                  Community
                                                                                  power
                                                            275                   Other farms
"   Lower land leases as everybody is a community
                                                            270
    member (3% vs. 6%)
                                                            265
"   Improved understanding in community leads to            260
    faster permitting process; from push to pull (They      255
    do not have to accept the park, they now want it!)            Total payback


"   Equity is relatively inexpensive, you do not deal
    with professional investors and very expensive due
    diligence processes


                                                                                                9
Community power has other benefits than
  an improved ROI

         Local multiplier effect benefits everyone

         "   Every local dollar invested results in a minimum of 3 times the benefit
             to the local community <--> If an external developer owns and controls
             the project these benefits are lost

         "   Re-Powering of machines becomes much easier in the future

         "   Municipal, provincial taxes stay locally



         Jobs

         "   ~ 110,000 new jobs have been created in Europe

         "   Potential construction jobs and training for local community

         "   Two local positions per project created to administer and maintain the
             project and coordinate owners and finances

         "   Service personnel is regionally based (accountant, lawyers,
             maintenance, etc.)
                                                                                       10
AGENDA



  !   What is community power (in Europe)?


  !   Why does community power generate superior returns?


  !   Risks?


  !   Lessons for Ontario




                                                            11
Community power has risks...



                                     General risks:
                                     !   High investment, but
 Specific risks:
                                          No planning
 !   Limits to financing                   consent/permits

     e.g. for off-shore                   Grid access delayed or
                                           too costly if additional
     projects                              infrastructure is
                                           required
 !   Depending on

                             Risks
                                     !   Unprofitable project,
     number of investors,                because
     decision making can                  Analysis (e.g. wind
                                           forecast) was too
     be difficult and exit
                                           optimistic
     can be even more                     Operations and
     difficult                             maintenance becomes
                                           too expensive




                                                                      12
…that can be mitigated



                  "   Create a network of support and
                      knowledge

                  "   Learn from comparable projects

                  "   Employ experts as required

                  "   Ensure access to sufficient capital

                  "   Make allowances for bad wind years

                  "   Choose your partners carefully

                  "   Make long term maintenance contracts
                      with availability guarantees

                  "   Get as much community involvement as
                      possible (partners and owners)

                                                             13
AGENDA



  !   What is community power (in Europe)?


  !   Why does community power generate superior returns?


  !   Risks?


  !   Lessons for Ontario




                                                            14
Lessons for Ontario...


      !   Make wind power a grass-roots movement by
          including as many Ontarians as possible in the set-up
          of farms, funds, and their future.

      !   The GEA and its Feed-in-tariffs are very strong
          incentives to start the movement.

      !   Educate finance community, it is a profitable low-risk
          investment.

      !   Do it yourself , do not let big developers “shave” the
          profitability by including to many “soft costs”.

            Ontarians become wind power entrepreneurs!!!

                                                                   15
Thank you for your attention!




  www.koenigconsultants.ca




                                16

Top ROI for Community Power

  • 1.
    The Value Factory™ Top ROI for community power Presented by Dr. Ingo Koenig Toronto, 29th of January 2010
  • 2.
    AGENDA ! What is community power (in Europe)? ! Why does community power generate superior returns? ! Risks? ! Lessons for Ontario 2
  • 3.
    Wind energy valuechain Initiate Build Operate and Develop and construct and Maintain " Find suitable land " Public " Financing " Construction " Run " Sell energy " Set-up technology support " Refund " Maintain " Procure relevant scheme/ permits buyers Community power makes a difference! 3 02/02/2010
  • 4.
    Wind power isleading new power generation capacity in Europe New power capacity in Europe 2008 18% 2% 10% 29% 6% 3% 0% 36% Wind power Gas PV Oil Coal Hydro Nuclear 4
  • 5.
    Community power inEurope is.... Definition: A community wind farm is a consequent financial, conceptual and organisational participation of citizens (local community) in a wind farm.  Exclusive investment and participation of people living in the vicinity of the farm  Management is done by local investors Rigid Community  Investment and participation of people wind farms living in the vicinity of the farm, but also from outside the community with max. participation (e.g. $50,000) Relaxed  Management is done by local investors or professional service firms 5
  • 6.
    Legal Structure andTaxes A German "GmbH & Co. KG" is a limited partnership in which the general partner is a GmbH, a private limited company. General Partner Limited partners (GmbH) (Kommanditist)  Limited partners can deduct losses whenever they occur in personal tax statement! 6
  • 7.
    Financing Debt: Private commercialbanks, state owned banks with preferable rates Equity: At first: Individual investors via closed funds, medium sized investment groups, cooperatives; now utilities and larger cooperation, insurance companies 120% 100% 80% State sponsored 60% loans Commercial banks 40% 20% Equity 0% Community power Absantee investors 7
  • 8.
    AGENDA ! What is community power (in Europe)? ! Why does community power generate superior returns? ! Risks? ! Lessons for Ontario 8
  • 9.
    Community power inEurope is more profitable because... " High personal involvement keeps “soft costs” low (5-10% of investment compared to 15-40% investment) 300 " High personal involvement improves information 295 flow, and peer pressure lead to short repair reaction 290 times and therefore higher availability and 285 revenues 280 Community power 275 Other farms " Lower land leases as everybody is a community 270 member (3% vs. 6%) 265 " Improved understanding in community leads to 260 faster permitting process; from push to pull (They 255 do not have to accept the park, they now want it!) Total payback " Equity is relatively inexpensive, you do not deal with professional investors and very expensive due diligence processes 9
  • 10.
    Community power hasother benefits than an improved ROI Local multiplier effect benefits everyone " Every local dollar invested results in a minimum of 3 times the benefit to the local community <--> If an external developer owns and controls the project these benefits are lost " Re-Powering of machines becomes much easier in the future " Municipal, provincial taxes stay locally Jobs " ~ 110,000 new jobs have been created in Europe " Potential construction jobs and training for local community " Two local positions per project created to administer and maintain the project and coordinate owners and finances " Service personnel is regionally based (accountant, lawyers, maintenance, etc.) 10
  • 11.
    AGENDA ! What is community power (in Europe)? ! Why does community power generate superior returns? ! Risks? ! Lessons for Ontario 11
  • 12.
    Community power hasrisks... General risks: ! High investment, but Specific risks:  No planning ! Limits to financing consent/permits e.g. for off-shore  Grid access delayed or too costly if additional projects infrastructure is required ! Depending on Risks ! Unprofitable project, number of investors, because decision making can  Analysis (e.g. wind forecast) was too be difficult and exit optimistic can be even more  Operations and difficult maintenance becomes too expensive 12
  • 13.
    …that can bemitigated " Create a network of support and knowledge " Learn from comparable projects " Employ experts as required " Ensure access to sufficient capital " Make allowances for bad wind years " Choose your partners carefully " Make long term maintenance contracts with availability guarantees " Get as much community involvement as possible (partners and owners) 13
  • 14.
    AGENDA ! What is community power (in Europe)? ! Why does community power generate superior returns? ! Risks? ! Lessons for Ontario 14
  • 15.
    Lessons for Ontario... ! Make wind power a grass-roots movement by including as many Ontarians as possible in the set-up of farms, funds, and their future. ! The GEA and its Feed-in-tariffs are very strong incentives to start the movement. ! Educate finance community, it is a profitable low-risk investment. ! Do it yourself , do not let big developers “shave” the profitability by including to many “soft costs”. Ontarians become wind power entrepreneurs!!! 15
  • 16.
    Thank you foryour attention! www.koenigconsultants.ca 16