1) The document discusses a study on the effect of fundamental factors (sales growth, sales to current assets, and retained earnings to total assets) on stock prices of manufacturing companies in the consumer goods industry on the Indonesia Stock Exchange from 2012-2014.
2) A literature review is presented on capital markets, stocks, and the three fundamental factors being examined. Conceptual frameworks are developed showing the hypothesized relationships between each fundamental factor and stock price.
3) Hypotheses are presented that each fundamental factor individually, and all three factors together, will have an effect on stock prices. The study uses a sample of 18 consumer goods manufacturing companies to test these hypotheses through multiple linear regression analysis.
Fundamental analysis examines the economic, industry, and company performance to make investment decisions. It has three components: economic analysis, industry analysis, and company analysis. Economic analysis determines if conditions encourage business growth by considering factors like the economy, monetary policy, inflation, interest rates, and fiscal policy. Tools for economic analysis include GDP, monetary policy, inflation, interest rates, and consumer sentiment. Industry analysis examines the overall health and outlook of a specific industry. Company analysis evaluates the individual company's performance and outlook.
Determinants of stock prices in dhaka stock exchange (dse),Alexander Decker
This study aimed to identify the major determinants of stock prices on the Dhaka Stock Exchange in Bangladesh. The researchers analyzed panel data from 2006-2010 for five sectors: Food and Allied, Fuel and Power, Engineering, Pharmaceuticals and Chemicals, and Healthcare. Their results found that dividend, price-earnings ratio, and leverage were significant determinants of share prices across all sectors. Profitability also influenced share prices for the Food and Allied, Engineering, and Healthcare sectors. The researchers used the fully modified ordinary least squares method to account for time series properties in the panel data.
This document discusses an external assessment submitted by Himansh Tiwari and Shivangi Tyagi. It summarizes the key points of an external audit, including identifying trends and events outside an organization's control that present opportunities and threats. The main external forces analyzed are economic, social/demographic, political/legal, technological, and competitive factors. Porter's Five Forces model of industry competition is also explained.
The document provides an overview of fundamental analysis with a focus on economy analysis. It discusses [1] analyzing key macroeconomic indicators like GDP, inflation, interest rates to evaluate the overall economic environment; [2] assessing specific industries based on factors like demand, competition and government policy; and [3] examining individual companies considering internal issues like management and operations. It also outlines several techniques for economic forecasting, including anticipatory surveys, indicator approaches, econometric modeling and opportunistic modeling.
The document provides a framework for analyzing the attractiveness and risks of investing in different countries. It discusses evaluating a country's market and industry opportunities based on factors like market size, growth, and quality of demand. It also discusses assessing country risks, including political, economic, competitive, and operational risks. The frameworks can help companies analyze the potential benefits, risks, and trade-offs of investing in different country markets and industries.
Fundamental analysis examines the economic, industry, and company performance to make investment decisions. It has three components: economic analysis, industry analysis, and company analysis. Economic analysis determines if conditions encourage business growth by considering factors like the economy, monetary policy, inflation, interest rates, and fiscal policy. Tools for economic analysis include GDP, monetary policy, inflation, interest rates, and consumer sentiment. Industry analysis examines the overall health and outlook of a specific industry. Company analysis evaluates the individual company's performance and outlook.
Determinants of stock prices in dhaka stock exchange (dse),Alexander Decker
This study aimed to identify the major determinants of stock prices on the Dhaka Stock Exchange in Bangladesh. The researchers analyzed panel data from 2006-2010 for five sectors: Food and Allied, Fuel and Power, Engineering, Pharmaceuticals and Chemicals, and Healthcare. Their results found that dividend, price-earnings ratio, and leverage were significant determinants of share prices across all sectors. Profitability also influenced share prices for the Food and Allied, Engineering, and Healthcare sectors. The researchers used the fully modified ordinary least squares method to account for time series properties in the panel data.
This document discusses an external assessment submitted by Himansh Tiwari and Shivangi Tyagi. It summarizes the key points of an external audit, including identifying trends and events outside an organization's control that present opportunities and threats. The main external forces analyzed are economic, social/demographic, political/legal, technological, and competitive factors. Porter's Five Forces model of industry competition is also explained.
The document provides an overview of fundamental analysis with a focus on economy analysis. It discusses [1] analyzing key macroeconomic indicators like GDP, inflation, interest rates to evaluate the overall economic environment; [2] assessing specific industries based on factors like demand, competition and government policy; and [3] examining individual companies considering internal issues like management and operations. It also outlines several techniques for economic forecasting, including anticipatory surveys, indicator approaches, econometric modeling and opportunistic modeling.
The document provides a framework for analyzing the attractiveness and risks of investing in different countries. It discusses evaluating a country's market and industry opportunities based on factors like market size, growth, and quality of demand. It also discusses assessing country risks, including political, economic, competitive, and operational risks. The frameworks can help companies analyze the potential benefits, risks, and trade-offs of investing in different country markets and industries.
This study brings to an academia table the discussion on whether investment incentives are a
motivator or a gift and also explores the moderating effects of Investors‟ Perceptions on Stock market
Performance. By use of key word characters the search initially identified 93 published and unpublished research
papers and after a tentative scrutiny, 66 papers were selected in a random sampling manner in order to give the
birth to this discussion paper. Exploratory research design was used. The key objective of this article was to
investigate on the question as to whether incentives are a gift or a motivator. The study findings reveal than
investor perceptions affects stock market performance more than incentives do. The paper concludes that the
availability, adequacy, and timeliness of relevant information about marketable securities are important for both
pricing efficiency and market confidence. Investment incentives work well in an ideal world to promote
investment while investors‟ perceptions are relevant in the real world. Hence, stock market incentives were
concluded as being a gift and not a motivator for investors to make investment decisions at the stock market.
This article seeks to examine the impact of the Bangladesh’s stock market development on its economic growth from the period of 1989-2012. We have used Johansen Cointegration test to estimate the long-run equilibrium relationship between the variables and the Granger causality test was conducted in order to establish causal relationship, while the model was estimated using the error correction model (ECM). Johansen co-integration test results show that the Bangladesh’s stock market development and economic growth are co-integrated. This indicates that a long run relationship exists between stock market development and economic growth in Bangladesh. The causality test results suggest a unidirectional causality from stock market development to the economic growth. On the other hand, there is no “reverse causation” from economic growth to stock market development. The evidence from this study reveals that the activities in the stock market tend to impact positively on the economy. It is recommended therefore that stock market regulatory authority should therefore address policy issues that are capable of boosting the investors’ confidence through improved policy formulation and creation of awareness.
This document discusses different types of fundamental analysis used to evaluate investments including economic analysis, industry analysis, and company analysis. It outlines factors considered in each type of analysis such as macroeconomic factors for economic analysis, the industry life cycle and competitive conditions for industry analysis, and financial and non-financial internal and external factors for company analysis. The goal of fundamental analysis is to evaluate the past and expected future performance of economies, industries, and companies to inform investment decisions.
The document discusses the PESTLE analysis framework used to analyze a company's external macro environment. PESTLE stands for Political, Economic, Socio-cultural, Technological, Legal, and Environmental factors. It provides examples of each type of factor and questions companies should consider like how political stability or new technologies could impact their industry. Demographic factors that affect target markets like age, income, and location are also discussed.
This document discusses fundamental analysis, which involves evaluating financial statements, industry reports, and economic factors to determine a firm's intrinsic value. It contrasts fundamental analysis with technical analysis, which examines supply and demand to predict stock price movements. The document also covers economic analysis including business cycles, monetary and fiscal policy, industry analysis, and techniques for evaluating a firm's financial position and valuing stocks.
Read the complete article, see videos and more studies:
http://ged-project.de/2014/02/07/benefits-transatlantic-free-trade-deal/
Who are the winners and losers in a Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP). What does TTIP mean for employment? How would TTIP affect economic disparities in the EU? Are the effects on the EU single market a threat to European cohesion?
The Causality Relationship between Hnx Index and Stock Trading Volume in Hano...IJAEMSJORNAL
This paper examines the casual relations between the market return and trading volume for the Ha Noi Stock Exchange during the period from May 3th , 2013 to March 2rd, 2016. This paper uses Granger test and the results showed that the change of the volume of transactions that affect the change of HNX-Index. On the basis of this conclusion, we shall determine the degree of influence of the change in trading volume with HNX-Index by means of regression analysis.
The document discusses strategic risk management and analyzing the external environment. It describes evaluating the remote environment using PEST analysis and Porter's Five Forces model to understand industry competition. Industry life cycles are also important to consider to determine strategic implications of external factors and their impact on an organization over time.
noorulhadi Lecturer at Govt College of Management Sciences, noorulhadi99@yahoo.com
i have prepared these slides and still using in mylectures, Reference: Portfolio management by S kevin and onlin
This document provides an environmental threat and opportunity profile (ETOP) for an organization. The ETOP analyzes the organization's environment across different sectors and identifies threats and opportunities. It lists the members who prepared the ETOP and explains why ETOPs are useful for identifying opportunities, threats, and an organization's position relative to its environment. The ETOP then provides matrices to categorize threats and opportunities based on their attractiveness and probability of occurrence. It outlines the process for preparing an ETOP, including dividing the environment into sectors and sub-factors. Finally, it discusses the pros and cons of using ETOPs to analyze an organization's strategic environment.
This document summarizes a research paper that analyzes the influence of banking development, the agriculture sector, and the manufacturing industry on economic growth in Indonesia from 1988 to 2008. The paper uses vector autoregression models to examine the relationships between variables like banking assets, credits, third party funds, GDP growth, agriculture contribution, and manufacturing contribution. The models find that banking development, agriculture, and manufacturing all positively impact economic growth, though their individual contributions are relatively small. Optimal lags in the models range from 7 to 10 quarters, indicating influences occur over 1-2 years. The results support theories that financial development and specific sectors influence economic growth.
This thesis examines the impact of interest rate liberalization in 1989 and a corporate tax rate reduction in 1996 on bank net interest margins in Jordan from 1982 to 2013. It finds that the 1989 liberalization had no significant impact on margins, while the 1996 tax reduction reduced margins, but margins remained relatively high and increased over time. The study analyzes descriptive statistics and uses regression analysis to assess the effects of various bank-specific and macroeconomic factors on net interest margins. The results provide insight into determinants of margins in Jordan's banking sector and lessons for policies aiming to increase competition and efficiency.
Financial executives at U.S. companies expressed more optimism that their businesses will hire employees and see revenue growth in 2011, according to a recent Bank of America Merrill Lynch survey.
Of the 801 executives surveyed in the bank’s annual CFO Outlook, 47% said they expect their companies to hire additional employees next year, up from 28% who forecast hiring last year. Only 6% said they expect layoffs, compared with 9% last year. In addition, 64% of CFOs expect revenue growth in 2011, up from 61% last year.
“Despite the challenging economic climate, many CFOs have growing confidence that their companies have weathered the worst of the storm and are poised for expansion,” said Laura Whitley, Global Commercial Products executive at Bank of America Merrill Lynch, who oversees the delivery of debt, treasury and liquidity solutions to more than 140,000 commercial and institutional clients.
This document provides an overview of doing business in Japan. It discusses Japan's country profile, political and legal system, economic environment, and key factors for success. The document is a lecture presentation on international business in Japan, containing an introduction, 10 sections on various topics, and references. It aims to educate students on business challenges and strategies for the Japanese market.
Impact of macroeconomic variables on stock returnsMuhammad Mansoor
The document discusses the impact of macroeconomic factors on stock returns. It provides background information on financial markets, primary and secondary markets, and stock market returns. It then summarizes several empirical studies that have examined the relationship between macroeconomic variables like interest rates, inflation, GDP, exchange rates, and stock market returns in countries like Pakistan, Japan, Nigeria, and others. The studies found both positive and negative relationships between different macroeconomic factors and stock returns in various markets. The document aims to contribute to this area of research by examining the impact of macroeconomic variables on stock returns in the Pakistani stock market.
The WFE published its annual IOMA Derivatives Report, which shows that overall derivatives contracts traded in 2018 exceeded 30 billion for the first time since the WFE started publishing the report in 2005.
Global financial markets had a turbulent year in 2018. Volatility made a come-back, breaking the spell of stable markets in 2017. The return of volatility was against the backdrop of a global economic slowdown, geopolitical and trade tensions, concerns about tightening monetary policy, currency exchange rate fluctuations, and increased scrutiny of the technology sector among other factors. For stock markets, while the year began on a high note, with domestic market capitalisation scaling record levels in markets across the globe, there were significant declines in market valuations by the end of the year. Meanwhile, overall trading activity was up, with value and volumes of trades in equity markets up 15.4% and 11.5% respectively on 2017.
The report focused on trends in derivatives against this backdrop, and examines how market participants responded to shifts in the underlying market. In this high volatility environment, 2018 saw record high volumes of trading in derivatives. For the first time in the period under review (since 2005), overall volumes exceeded the 30 billion mark, with 30.1 billion contracts traded in 2018. This was a 20.9% increase in volumes on 2017.
Key highlights of the report include:
•The overall increase in volumes was driven by growth across all three regions. The Americas region was up 23.8%, the Asia-Pacific region up 27.1%, and the EMEA region up 5.5%.
•Nearly all the derivatives product categories - namely equity, ETF, currency, interest rate and commodities - recorded increases in volumes on 2017. The one exception was ‘other derivatives’, which consists of ‘other’ options and futures.
•In 2018, equity derivatives volumes exceeded 13.6 billion contracts, the highest in the 14-year period under review. Volumes were up 33.8% on 2017, due to increases across single stock and stock index options and futures.
•Interest rate derivatives volumes were up 14.6% on 2017, with a trading volume of 4.6 billion contracts, a new high for interest rate derivatives.
•Currency derivatives reached a record high of 3.7 billion contracts traded in 2018, a 32.9% increase on 2017.
•Commodity derivatives volumes saw a marginal 0.6% increase on 2017, largely due to declining volumes in the Asia-Pacific region (1.4%), where a major share of global commodity derivatives trading takes place. Agriculture, energy and non-precious metals accounted for the bulk (32%, 31% and 26% respectively) of global commodity derivatives volumes. While volumes of agriculture and energy-based derivatives were up 9.9% and 6.2% respectively, non-precious metals volumes fell 12.6% on 2017.
Assessing the effect of liquidity on profitability of commercial banks in kenyaAlexander Decker
This document discusses factors that affect the profitability of commercial banks in Kenya. It provides background on the banking sector in Kenya and reviews various theories on factors that influence bank profitability, including market power theory, efficiency structure theory, and the Modigliani-Miller theorem. The study aimed to determine the effect of internal factors like liquidity on the profitability of commercial banks in Kenya. It found that liquidity has a statistically significant and positive relationship with bank profitability.
In this power point presentation i am discussing about the fundamental and technical analysis done by an investor before making investment in any company.
Understand the recent trends in reporting mergers and acquisitions and its im...Charm Rammandala
The purpose of this study is to take a look at the mergers and acquisitions taken place over the last decade and how they were reported in various journals and publications. Study will investigate whether there is a pattern in reporting favoring certain industries and regions and manipulating facts to create a favorable opinion among stakeholders and general public
Analysis of Fundamental Factors, Foreign Exchange and Interest Rate on Stock ...inventionjournals
ABSTRACT: This study purpose was to determine the effect of fundamental factors (Long-Term Debt to Equity Ratio, Quick Ratio, Total Assets Turn Over, Return on Equity, Price Earning Ratio) and macroeconomic factors (foreign exchange and interest rate) on stock return at manufacturing companies listed in Indonesia Stock Exchange for 2011-2013 periods. This study uses secondary data. Samples are 13 manufacturing companies listed in Indonesia Stock Exchange. This study results by F test shows that Long-Term Debt to Equity Ratio, Quick Ratio, Total Assets Turn Over, and Return on Equity, Price Earning Ratio, Foreign Exchange and Interest Rates has significant effect on stock returns. T test results show that Long-Term Debt to Equity Ratio, Quick Ratio, and Price Earning Ratio do not have significant effect on stock returns. While Total Asset Turn Over, Return on Equity, Foreign Exchange and Interest Rates have significant effect on stock returns.
This study aims to examine and analyze the influence of internal factors (Net Profit Margin,
Current Ratio, Debt to Equity Ratio, Total Asset Turn Over, and Price Earning Ratio) and macro economic
(Inflation and Interest Rate) on stock return. The object of research is companies from contruction, property
and real estate sector listed on Indonesia Stock Exchange in 2017. The sample selection procedure is purposive
sampling.
This document analyzes the effect of financial performance on stock prices of raw material producing companies listed on the Indonesian Stock Exchange from 2009-2013. It finds that variables like current ratio, debt to equity ratio, return on assets, and total asset turnover have a simultaneous significant effect on stock prices. However, in partial tests only total asset turnover is found to have an individually significant impact, while the other variables do not. The study uses multiple linear regression analysis on financial data from 7 sample companies to analyze the relationships between these financial metrics and stock price movements.
This study brings to an academia table the discussion on whether investment incentives are a
motivator or a gift and also explores the moderating effects of Investors‟ Perceptions on Stock market
Performance. By use of key word characters the search initially identified 93 published and unpublished research
papers and after a tentative scrutiny, 66 papers were selected in a random sampling manner in order to give the
birth to this discussion paper. Exploratory research design was used. The key objective of this article was to
investigate on the question as to whether incentives are a gift or a motivator. The study findings reveal than
investor perceptions affects stock market performance more than incentives do. The paper concludes that the
availability, adequacy, and timeliness of relevant information about marketable securities are important for both
pricing efficiency and market confidence. Investment incentives work well in an ideal world to promote
investment while investors‟ perceptions are relevant in the real world. Hence, stock market incentives were
concluded as being a gift and not a motivator for investors to make investment decisions at the stock market.
This article seeks to examine the impact of the Bangladesh’s stock market development on its economic growth from the period of 1989-2012. We have used Johansen Cointegration test to estimate the long-run equilibrium relationship between the variables and the Granger causality test was conducted in order to establish causal relationship, while the model was estimated using the error correction model (ECM). Johansen co-integration test results show that the Bangladesh’s stock market development and economic growth are co-integrated. This indicates that a long run relationship exists between stock market development and economic growth in Bangladesh. The causality test results suggest a unidirectional causality from stock market development to the economic growth. On the other hand, there is no “reverse causation” from economic growth to stock market development. The evidence from this study reveals that the activities in the stock market tend to impact positively on the economy. It is recommended therefore that stock market regulatory authority should therefore address policy issues that are capable of boosting the investors’ confidence through improved policy formulation and creation of awareness.
This document discusses different types of fundamental analysis used to evaluate investments including economic analysis, industry analysis, and company analysis. It outlines factors considered in each type of analysis such as macroeconomic factors for economic analysis, the industry life cycle and competitive conditions for industry analysis, and financial and non-financial internal and external factors for company analysis. The goal of fundamental analysis is to evaluate the past and expected future performance of economies, industries, and companies to inform investment decisions.
The document discusses the PESTLE analysis framework used to analyze a company's external macro environment. PESTLE stands for Political, Economic, Socio-cultural, Technological, Legal, and Environmental factors. It provides examples of each type of factor and questions companies should consider like how political stability or new technologies could impact their industry. Demographic factors that affect target markets like age, income, and location are also discussed.
This document discusses fundamental analysis, which involves evaluating financial statements, industry reports, and economic factors to determine a firm's intrinsic value. It contrasts fundamental analysis with technical analysis, which examines supply and demand to predict stock price movements. The document also covers economic analysis including business cycles, monetary and fiscal policy, industry analysis, and techniques for evaluating a firm's financial position and valuing stocks.
Read the complete article, see videos and more studies:
http://ged-project.de/2014/02/07/benefits-transatlantic-free-trade-deal/
Who are the winners and losers in a Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP). What does TTIP mean for employment? How would TTIP affect economic disparities in the EU? Are the effects on the EU single market a threat to European cohesion?
The Causality Relationship between Hnx Index and Stock Trading Volume in Hano...IJAEMSJORNAL
This paper examines the casual relations between the market return and trading volume for the Ha Noi Stock Exchange during the period from May 3th , 2013 to March 2rd, 2016. This paper uses Granger test and the results showed that the change of the volume of transactions that affect the change of HNX-Index. On the basis of this conclusion, we shall determine the degree of influence of the change in trading volume with HNX-Index by means of regression analysis.
The document discusses strategic risk management and analyzing the external environment. It describes evaluating the remote environment using PEST analysis and Porter's Five Forces model to understand industry competition. Industry life cycles are also important to consider to determine strategic implications of external factors and their impact on an organization over time.
noorulhadi Lecturer at Govt College of Management Sciences, noorulhadi99@yahoo.com
i have prepared these slides and still using in mylectures, Reference: Portfolio management by S kevin and onlin
This document provides an environmental threat and opportunity profile (ETOP) for an organization. The ETOP analyzes the organization's environment across different sectors and identifies threats and opportunities. It lists the members who prepared the ETOP and explains why ETOPs are useful for identifying opportunities, threats, and an organization's position relative to its environment. The ETOP then provides matrices to categorize threats and opportunities based on their attractiveness and probability of occurrence. It outlines the process for preparing an ETOP, including dividing the environment into sectors and sub-factors. Finally, it discusses the pros and cons of using ETOPs to analyze an organization's strategic environment.
This document summarizes a research paper that analyzes the influence of banking development, the agriculture sector, and the manufacturing industry on economic growth in Indonesia from 1988 to 2008. The paper uses vector autoregression models to examine the relationships between variables like banking assets, credits, third party funds, GDP growth, agriculture contribution, and manufacturing contribution. The models find that banking development, agriculture, and manufacturing all positively impact economic growth, though their individual contributions are relatively small. Optimal lags in the models range from 7 to 10 quarters, indicating influences occur over 1-2 years. The results support theories that financial development and specific sectors influence economic growth.
This thesis examines the impact of interest rate liberalization in 1989 and a corporate tax rate reduction in 1996 on bank net interest margins in Jordan from 1982 to 2013. It finds that the 1989 liberalization had no significant impact on margins, while the 1996 tax reduction reduced margins, but margins remained relatively high and increased over time. The study analyzes descriptive statistics and uses regression analysis to assess the effects of various bank-specific and macroeconomic factors on net interest margins. The results provide insight into determinants of margins in Jordan's banking sector and lessons for policies aiming to increase competition and efficiency.
Financial executives at U.S. companies expressed more optimism that their businesses will hire employees and see revenue growth in 2011, according to a recent Bank of America Merrill Lynch survey.
Of the 801 executives surveyed in the bank’s annual CFO Outlook, 47% said they expect their companies to hire additional employees next year, up from 28% who forecast hiring last year. Only 6% said they expect layoffs, compared with 9% last year. In addition, 64% of CFOs expect revenue growth in 2011, up from 61% last year.
“Despite the challenging economic climate, many CFOs have growing confidence that their companies have weathered the worst of the storm and are poised for expansion,” said Laura Whitley, Global Commercial Products executive at Bank of America Merrill Lynch, who oversees the delivery of debt, treasury and liquidity solutions to more than 140,000 commercial and institutional clients.
This document provides an overview of doing business in Japan. It discusses Japan's country profile, political and legal system, economic environment, and key factors for success. The document is a lecture presentation on international business in Japan, containing an introduction, 10 sections on various topics, and references. It aims to educate students on business challenges and strategies for the Japanese market.
Impact of macroeconomic variables on stock returnsMuhammad Mansoor
The document discusses the impact of macroeconomic factors on stock returns. It provides background information on financial markets, primary and secondary markets, and stock market returns. It then summarizes several empirical studies that have examined the relationship between macroeconomic variables like interest rates, inflation, GDP, exchange rates, and stock market returns in countries like Pakistan, Japan, Nigeria, and others. The studies found both positive and negative relationships between different macroeconomic factors and stock returns in various markets. The document aims to contribute to this area of research by examining the impact of macroeconomic variables on stock returns in the Pakistani stock market.
The WFE published its annual IOMA Derivatives Report, which shows that overall derivatives contracts traded in 2018 exceeded 30 billion for the first time since the WFE started publishing the report in 2005.
Global financial markets had a turbulent year in 2018. Volatility made a come-back, breaking the spell of stable markets in 2017. The return of volatility was against the backdrop of a global economic slowdown, geopolitical and trade tensions, concerns about tightening monetary policy, currency exchange rate fluctuations, and increased scrutiny of the technology sector among other factors. For stock markets, while the year began on a high note, with domestic market capitalisation scaling record levels in markets across the globe, there were significant declines in market valuations by the end of the year. Meanwhile, overall trading activity was up, with value and volumes of trades in equity markets up 15.4% and 11.5% respectively on 2017.
The report focused on trends in derivatives against this backdrop, and examines how market participants responded to shifts in the underlying market. In this high volatility environment, 2018 saw record high volumes of trading in derivatives. For the first time in the period under review (since 2005), overall volumes exceeded the 30 billion mark, with 30.1 billion contracts traded in 2018. This was a 20.9% increase in volumes on 2017.
Key highlights of the report include:
•The overall increase in volumes was driven by growth across all three regions. The Americas region was up 23.8%, the Asia-Pacific region up 27.1%, and the EMEA region up 5.5%.
•Nearly all the derivatives product categories - namely equity, ETF, currency, interest rate and commodities - recorded increases in volumes on 2017. The one exception was ‘other derivatives’, which consists of ‘other’ options and futures.
•In 2018, equity derivatives volumes exceeded 13.6 billion contracts, the highest in the 14-year period under review. Volumes were up 33.8% on 2017, due to increases across single stock and stock index options and futures.
•Interest rate derivatives volumes were up 14.6% on 2017, with a trading volume of 4.6 billion contracts, a new high for interest rate derivatives.
•Currency derivatives reached a record high of 3.7 billion contracts traded in 2018, a 32.9% increase on 2017.
•Commodity derivatives volumes saw a marginal 0.6% increase on 2017, largely due to declining volumes in the Asia-Pacific region (1.4%), where a major share of global commodity derivatives trading takes place. Agriculture, energy and non-precious metals accounted for the bulk (32%, 31% and 26% respectively) of global commodity derivatives volumes. While volumes of agriculture and energy-based derivatives were up 9.9% and 6.2% respectively, non-precious metals volumes fell 12.6% on 2017.
Assessing the effect of liquidity on profitability of commercial banks in kenyaAlexander Decker
This document discusses factors that affect the profitability of commercial banks in Kenya. It provides background on the banking sector in Kenya and reviews various theories on factors that influence bank profitability, including market power theory, efficiency structure theory, and the Modigliani-Miller theorem. The study aimed to determine the effect of internal factors like liquidity on the profitability of commercial banks in Kenya. It found that liquidity has a statistically significant and positive relationship with bank profitability.
In this power point presentation i am discussing about the fundamental and technical analysis done by an investor before making investment in any company.
Understand the recent trends in reporting mergers and acquisitions and its im...Charm Rammandala
The purpose of this study is to take a look at the mergers and acquisitions taken place over the last decade and how they were reported in various journals and publications. Study will investigate whether there is a pattern in reporting favoring certain industries and regions and manipulating facts to create a favorable opinion among stakeholders and general public
Analysis of Fundamental Factors, Foreign Exchange and Interest Rate on Stock ...inventionjournals
ABSTRACT: This study purpose was to determine the effect of fundamental factors (Long-Term Debt to Equity Ratio, Quick Ratio, Total Assets Turn Over, Return on Equity, Price Earning Ratio) and macroeconomic factors (foreign exchange and interest rate) on stock return at manufacturing companies listed in Indonesia Stock Exchange for 2011-2013 periods. This study uses secondary data. Samples are 13 manufacturing companies listed in Indonesia Stock Exchange. This study results by F test shows that Long-Term Debt to Equity Ratio, Quick Ratio, Total Assets Turn Over, and Return on Equity, Price Earning Ratio, Foreign Exchange and Interest Rates has significant effect on stock returns. T test results show that Long-Term Debt to Equity Ratio, Quick Ratio, and Price Earning Ratio do not have significant effect on stock returns. While Total Asset Turn Over, Return on Equity, Foreign Exchange and Interest Rates have significant effect on stock returns.
This study aims to examine and analyze the influence of internal factors (Net Profit Margin,
Current Ratio, Debt to Equity Ratio, Total Asset Turn Over, and Price Earning Ratio) and macro economic
(Inflation and Interest Rate) on stock return. The object of research is companies from contruction, property
and real estate sector listed on Indonesia Stock Exchange in 2017. The sample selection procedure is purposive
sampling.
This document analyzes the effect of financial performance on stock prices of raw material producing companies listed on the Indonesian Stock Exchange from 2009-2013. It finds that variables like current ratio, debt to equity ratio, return on assets, and total asset turnover have a simultaneous significant effect on stock prices. However, in partial tests only total asset turnover is found to have an individually significant impact, while the other variables do not. The study uses multiple linear regression analysis on financial data from 7 sample companies to analyze the relationships between these financial metrics and stock price movements.
IPO underpricing analysis in Indonesia during 2012-2016edwin hutauruk
ANALYSIS OF FACTORS AFFECTING THE UNDERPRICING OF INITIAL PUBLIC OFFERING (IPO) SECTOR SERVICES / NON-MANUFACTURING IN INDONESIA STOCK EXCHANGE PERIOD 2012-2016
This research is a type of quantitative research, to determine the pattern of the relationship between profitability,
macroeconomics, capital structure and company value in manufacturing companies listed on the Stock Exchange for the
2014-2018 period. The unit of analysis in this study is financial reports, while the population is all manufacturing
companies. of this population,
Impact of profitability, bank and macroeconomic factors on the market capital...inventionjournals
Panel data has been collected for 44 Middle Eastern banks that are operated during 2005 to 2014 in different Middle Eastern countries. Secondary data has been collected primarily through the DataStream database. The study is conducted to investigate the impact of profitability, bank and macroeconomic factors on the market capitalization of the Middle Eastern banks. Results of Hausman test have explained that fixed effect model is appropriate for the analysis. The result of multiple regression have shown that market capitalization has positive relationship with ROI while negative relationship with credit risk, inflation, and year dummy for the Middle Eastern banks. Furthermore, no relationship has been observed between market capitalization and the ROA, ROE, growth and exchange rate for the Middle Eastern banks.
A study regarding analyzing recessionary impact on fundamental determinants o...Alexander Decker
This document analyzes the impact of fundamental factors on stock prices in India during normal and recessionary periods. It summarizes previous literature that found variables like earnings per share, price-earnings ratio, dividend per share, and book value significantly impacted stock prices. The study aims to compare how these fundamental factors influence stock prices for BSE 200 companies during normal vs. recession periods using panel data techniques. Preliminary results found earnings per share positively impacted prices during normal periods, while price-earnings ratio and growth negatively impacted prices during the recession. The study seeks to provide insights on investment decisions.
A study regarding analyzing recessionary impact on fundamental determinants o...Alexander Decker
This document analyzes the impact of fundamental factors on stock prices in India during normal and recessionary periods. It finds that during normal periods from 2000-2007, earnings per share had a positive and significant impact on stock prices, while coverage ratio had a negative impact. During the recession from 2007-2009, price-earnings ratio positively and significantly impacted stock prices, while growth had a negative effect. Overall, the study aims to compare the influence of fundamental factors like book value, dividends, earnings, etc. on stock prices during different economic conditions in India.
1) The study examines the effect of return on assets (ROA) and earnings per share (EPS) on stock returns, with exchange rates as a moderating variable, using data from 7 Indonesian manufacturing companies listed on the LQ45 index from 2016-2020.
2) Regression analysis found that ROA has a significant positive effect on stock returns, but EPS does not have a significant effect.
3) Exchange rates were found to not significantly moderate the relationship between either ROA or EPS and stock returns.
Determinants of equity share prices of the listed company in dhaka stock exch...MD. Walid Hossain
This is the finance academic project report.This report prepare by MD. WALID HOSSAIN, Patuakhali science and technology University, Faculty of business administration and management. i think that is helpful for business studies students.
Movement of Share Prices and Sectoral Analysis: A Reflection Through Interact...Waqas Tariq
Interaction in graphs gives the user with an advantage to analyze the data in greater depth. With the help of interactive graphics users can get better insight of the data in comparison to the static graphical tools. This paper introduces an interactive graphical tool consisting of two graphs, a line diagram complemented by a boxplot. The line diagram helps to understand how successive values of a variable are related to time and box plot can help the visual comparison of several such variables. Here the line diagram is used to visualize share prices of a company corresponding to a number of days and the boxplot displays the position of the Share price of all companies in a particular sector. An investor in share market needs to consider a number of factors before making any decision about investment. Some of the factors influencing the decision are the performance of the particular security in recent past, its position in terms of share price in its own sector. The graphical technique used in this software tool shall be helpful while making investment decision.
This document examines the relationship between capital market development and economic growth in Nigeria from 2008 to 2018. It uses market capitalization, interest rate, and inflation rate as proxies for capital market development and GDP as the measure of economic growth. Multiple regression analysis is employed to analyze the data. The results suggest that the stock market has a positive but insignificant effect on economic growth in Nigeria. It is recommended that capital market regulators be more flexible to promote innovation without compromising investor protection. The government should also improve infrastructure to create a better business environment and boost productivity and economic activity.
International Journal of Humanities and Social Science Invention (IJHSSI)inventionjournals
is an international journal intended for professionals and researchers in all fields of Humanities and Social Science. IJHSSI publishes research articles and reviews within the whole field Humanities and Social Science, new teaching methods, assessment, validation and the impact of new technologies and it will continue to provide information on the latest trends and developments in this ever-expanding subject. The publications of papers are selected through double peer reviewed to ensure originality, relevance, and readability. The articles published in our journal can be accessed online.
A project report on construction of balanced portfolio comprising of equity a...Babasab Patil
The document discusses constructing a balanced portfolio of equity and debt securities. It begins by providing background on stock markets and volatility in India. It then describes a project to construct a portfolio with a beta of 1 and higher returns than the market. Various sectors and bonds were analyzed. The portfolio construction found higher returns than the market index with a systematic risk of 1. The document also provides theoretical background on fundamental analysis, industry analysis, company analysis, debt valuation techniques, bond pricing, yield to maturity, duration, and other related concepts to provide context around balanced portfolio construction.
Effect of Stock Market Listing on Financial Performance of Companies Listed i...paperpublications3
Abstract: This study is on the effect of stock market listing on financial performance of companies listed in Nairobi Securities Exchange (NSE). The specific objectives of the study determining how the nature of business industry and size of companies affected their financial performance, how government policy effected through Capital Markets Authority (CMA) influenced financial performance of companies listed in NSE, how management of the companies listed in NSE affected their financial performance, and how availability of information influenced the financial performance of companies listed in NSE. The Population of the study as well as the target population was a census of all 61 listed companies at the Nairobi Securities Exchange (NSE) as at 31st December 2012. This study established that in general stock market listing affects different profitability ratios in different ways. Some improve as a result of stock market listing while others deteriorate.
Keywords: Nairobi Securities Exchange (NSE), Listing, Return on Assets (ROA), Return on Equity (ROE).
Title: Effect of Stock Market Listing on Financial Performance of Companies Listed in Nairobi Securities Exchange
Author: Wilbert Kiplangat Kurgat
ISSN 2349-7807
International Journal of Recent Research in Commerce Economics and Management (IJRRCEM)
Paper Publications
International Journal of Business and Management Invention (IJBMI) is an international journal intended for professionals and researchers in all fields of Business and Management. IJBMI publishes research articles and reviews within the whole field Business and Management, new teaching methods, assessment, validation and the impact of new technologies and it will continue to provide information on the latest trends and developments in this ever-expanding subject. The publications of papers are selected through double peer reviewed to ensure originality, relevance, and readability. The articles published in our journal can be accessed online.
Effect of Changes in Earning on Stock Prices of Listed Healthcare Sector of t...ijtsrd
Nowadays, information on stock price movement has become paramount in making an investment decision and a good knowledge of the factors that determine stock prices and the ability to predict stock prices are added advantages in the developing economies. Therefore, this study seeks to determine the impact of earnings on the stock price of healthcare firms in Nigeria. The study relied on the linear panel modeling approach of fixed effect and random effect while the Hausman test was applied for the model selection. The panel data set used for the study was sourced from the NSE annual fact book for the periods 2011 to 2020. The result of the random effect model estimated revealed that earnings per share EPS , dividend yield DDY and firm size FSZ have no significant impact on the stock price of healthcare firms in Nigeria. The only exception is book value per share BVPS which is positive and had a significant impact on the stock prices of healthcare firms in Nigeria at the 0.01 significant levels. This study, therefore, concludes that BVPS is the perfect predictor of stock price movement in the healthcare sector. As a result, the study recommends among other findings that Book Value per Share should be considered when making investment decisions in the healthcare firms in Nigeria. Aniedozie Obiamaka Mercy | Prof Alphonsus S. Anichebe | Dr. Emeka-Nwokeji, N. A "Effect of Changes in Earning on Stock Prices of Listed Healthcare Sector of the Nigerian Stock Exchange" Published in International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development (ijtsrd), ISSN: 2456-6470, Volume-6 | Issue-4 , June 2022, URL: https://www.ijtsrd.com/papers/ijtsrd50335.pdf Paper URL: https://www.ijtsrd.com/management/accounting-and-finance/50335/effect-of-changes-in-earning-on-stock-prices-of-listed-healthcare-sector-of-the-nigerian-stock-exchange/aniedozie-obiamaka-mercy
Impact of Accounting Information on Stock Price Volatility (A Study of Select...inventionjournals
This document summarizes a research study that examined the impact of accounting information on stock price volatility of selected quoted manufacturing companies in Nigeria from 2005-2014. The study used annual report data from 5 manufacturing companies, including earnings per share, book value per share, price-earnings ratio, and dividend per share. The results of the analysis found that accounting information has a strong positive significant impact on stock price volatility. Therefore, reliable accounting information is important for investors to make informed decisions and for companies to have less volatile stock prices. The study recommends proper regulation of accounting information disclosure to increase transparency.
The document reviews literature on the Indian secondary securities market. It summarizes several studies that have examined topics like the role of foreign institutional investors, disclosure requirements, investor protection, and regulatory reforms. The studies found that periodic and timely disclosure of information is important to protect investors. Foreign investment was found to influence stock returns and attract more investment to companies with better governance and liquidity. Overall the literature suggests that continued reforms are needed to strengthen enforcement and ensure fair and transparent markets.
The effect of earnings announcement on share prices in ghanaAlexander Decker
This study examined the effect of earnings announcements on share prices on the Ghana Stock Exchange from 2010 to 2013. The researchers analyzed abnormal returns for 10 selected companies during a 21-day event window surrounding earnings announcement dates, using the market model and event study methodology. The results found that abnormal returns around earnings announcements were not statistically significant, inconsistent with the efficient market hypothesis. This suggests that the Ghana stock market does not efficiently incorporate earnings information into share prices at the time of announcements or immediately after. In conclusion, earnings announcements did not have a major effect on share prices of the selected companies at the time of the announcements or shortly after.
The Most Inspiring Entrepreneurs to Follow in 2024.pdfthesiliconleaders
In a world where the potential of youth innovation remains vastly untouched, there emerges a guiding light in the form of Norm Goldstein, the Founder and CEO of EduNetwork Partners. His dedication to this cause has earned him recognition as a Congressional Leadership Award recipient.
Discover the Beauty and Functionality of The Expert Remodeling Serviceobriengroupinc04
Unlock your kitchen's true potential with expert remodeling services from O'Brien Group Inc. Transform your space into a functional, modern, and luxurious haven with their experienced professionals. From layout reconfiguration to high-end upgrades, they deliver stunning results tailored to your style and needs. Visit obriengroupinc.com to elevate your kitchen's beauty and functionality today.
Part 2 Deep Dive: Navigating the 2024 Slowdownjeffkluth1
Introduction
The global retail industry has weathered numerous storms, with the financial crisis of 2008 serving as a poignant reminder of the sector's resilience and adaptability. However, as we navigate the complex landscape of 2024, retailers face a unique set of challenges that demand innovative strategies and a fundamental shift in mindset. This white paper contrasts the impact of the 2008 recession on the retail sector with the current headwinds retailers are grappling with, while offering a comprehensive roadmap for success in this new paradigm.
𝐔𝐧𝐯𝐞𝐢𝐥 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐅𝐮𝐭𝐮𝐫𝐞 𝐨𝐟 𝐄𝐧𝐞𝐫𝐠𝐲 𝐄𝐟𝐟𝐢𝐜𝐢𝐞𝐧𝐜𝐲 𝐰𝐢𝐭𝐡 𝐍𝐄𝐖𝐍𝐓𝐈𝐃𝐄’𝐬 𝐋𝐚𝐭𝐞𝐬𝐭 𝐎𝐟𝐟𝐞𝐫𝐢𝐧𝐠𝐬
Explore the details in our newly released product manual, which showcases NEWNTIDE's advanced heat pump technologies. Delve into our energy-efficient and eco-friendly solutions tailored for diverse global markets.
AI Transformation Playbook: Thinking AI-First for Your BusinessArijit Dutta
I dive into how businesses can stay competitive by integrating AI into their core processes. From identifying the right approach to building collaborative teams and recognizing common pitfalls, this guide has got you covered. AI transformation is a journey, and this playbook is here to help you navigate it successfully.
SATTA MATKA SATTA FAST RESULT KALYAN TOP MATKA RESULT KALYAN SATTA MATKA FAST RESULT MILAN RATAN RAJDHANI MAIN BAZAR MATKA FAST TIPS RESULT MATKA CHART JODI CHART PANEL CHART FREE FIX GAME SATTAMATKA ! MATKA MOBI SATTA 143 spboss.in TOP NO1 RESULT FULL RATE MATKA ONLINE GAME PLAY BY APP SPBOSS
[To download this presentation, visit:
https://www.oeconsulting.com.sg/training-presentations]
This presentation is a curated compilation of PowerPoint diagrams and templates designed to illustrate 20 different digital transformation frameworks and models. These frameworks are based on recent industry trends and best practices, ensuring that the content remains relevant and up-to-date.
Key highlights include Microsoft's Digital Transformation Framework, which focuses on driving innovation and efficiency, and McKinsey's Ten Guiding Principles, which provide strategic insights for successful digital transformation. Additionally, Forrester's framework emphasizes enhancing customer experiences and modernizing IT infrastructure, while IDC's MaturityScape helps assess and develop organizational digital maturity. MIT's framework explores cutting-edge strategies for achieving digital success.
These materials are perfect for enhancing your business or classroom presentations, offering visual aids to supplement your insights. Please note that while comprehensive, these slides are intended as supplementary resources and may not be complete for standalone instructional purposes.
Frameworks/Models included:
Microsoft’s Digital Transformation Framework
McKinsey’s Ten Guiding Principles of Digital Transformation
Forrester’s Digital Transformation Framework
IDC’s Digital Transformation MaturityScape
MIT’s Digital Transformation Framework
Gartner’s Digital Transformation Framework
Accenture’s Digital Strategy & Enterprise Frameworks
Deloitte’s Digital Industrial Transformation Framework
Capgemini’s Digital Transformation Framework
PwC’s Digital Transformation Framework
Cisco’s Digital Transformation Framework
Cognizant’s Digital Transformation Framework
DXC Technology’s Digital Transformation Framework
The BCG Strategy Palette
McKinsey’s Digital Transformation Framework
Digital Transformation Compass
Four Levels of Digital Maturity
Design Thinking Framework
Business Model Canvas
Customer Journey Map
Best Competitive Marble Pricing in Dubai - ☎ 9928909666Stone Art Hub
Stone Art Hub offers the best competitive Marble Pricing in Dubai, ensuring affordability without compromising quality. With a wide range of exquisite marble options to choose from, you can enhance your spaces with elegance and sophistication. For inquiries or orders, contact us at ☎ 9928909666. Experience luxury at unbeatable prices.
The Steadfast and Reliable Bull: Taurus Zodiac Signmy Pandit
Explore the steadfast and reliable nature of the Taurus Zodiac Sign. Discover the personality traits, key dates, and horoscope insights that define the determined and practical Taurus, and learn how their grounded nature makes them the anchor of the zodiac.
IMPACT Silver is a pure silver zinc producer with over $260 million in revenue since 2008 and a large 100% owned 210km Mexico land package - 2024 catalysts includes new 14% grade zinc Plomosas mine and 20,000m of fully funded exploration drilling.
Unveiling the Dynamic Personalities, Key Dates, and Horoscope Insights: Gemin...my Pandit
Explore the fascinating world of the Gemini Zodiac Sign. Discover the unique personality traits, key dates, and horoscope insights of Gemini individuals. Learn how their sociable, communicative nature and boundless curiosity make them the dynamic explorers of the zodiac. Dive into the duality of the Gemini sign and understand their intellectual and adventurous spirit.
Unlocking WhatsApp Marketing with HubSpot: Integrating Messaging into Your Ma...Niswey
50 million companies worldwide leverage WhatsApp as a key marketing channel. You may have considered adding it to your marketing mix, or probably already driving impressive conversions with WhatsApp.
But wait. What happens when you fully integrate your WhatsApp campaigns with HubSpot?
That's exactly what we explored in this session.
We take a look at everything that you need to know in order to deploy effective WhatsApp marketing strategies, and integrate it with your buyer journey in HubSpot. From technical requirements to innovative campaign strategies, to advanced campaign reporting - we discuss all that and more, to leverage WhatsApp for maximum impact. Check out more details about the event here https://events.hubspot.com/events/details/hubspot-new-delhi-presents-unlocking-whatsapp-marketing-with-hubspot-integrating-messaging-into-your-marketing-strategy/
1. THE EFFECT OF FUNDAMENTAL FACTORS ON STOCK PRICE
(EMPIRICAL STUDY SHARE SECTOR MANUFACTURING)
Ari Lestari
Email: arilestari79a@yahoo.com
Abstract
The capital market is the appropriate representations to assess the condition
of the company - a company in a country because almost all industries are
represented and one of the effective means to accelerate the development of a
country and the development of capital markets provide a source of investment for
investors. One of the investment activity in companies is by issuing shares. To make
investments in the form of stock analysis is required to measure the value of stocks,
namely fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
This study aimed to analyze the effect on the share price on the factors - the
company's fundamentals that include: growth sales, sales / current assets and
retained earnings / total assets is a variable that is thought to affect stock prices in
consumer goods industry in Indonesia Stock Exchange (BEI). The study used
secondary data obtained from the annual financial statements published by the
Indonesia Stock Exchange (BEI) using a sample of 54 companies manufacturing
consumer goods industry sector over the period 2012-2014.
Results of research by using multiple linear regression test showed that in
partial Growth of sales and sales to current assets has no effect on stock prices,
Retained earnings / total assets effect on stock prices, while simultaneously across
the company's fundamentals: sales growth , sales / current assets and retained
earnings / total assets significantly affects the share price to the level of significance
(0.05).
Keywords: Stock Prices, Sales,Assets and Retained Earnings
2. Introduction
Capital markets have an important role in the economic life of a country
including Indonesia. The important role of the capital market is as a means of capital
formation and the accumulation of funds directed, to increase public participation in
the direction of funds to support the financing of national development (Ahmad,
2004: 17).
According to Harry Su, Head Research of PT. Bahana Securities
(www.kemenperin.go.id) Companies engaged in the consumer goods industry 31
issuers have a weight of 44% of the formation of the manufacturing index, while the
various industries (40 issuers) and basic industries (44 emitents) each 27% and 29%.
The endurance of the manufacturing sector is mainly supported by the consumer
sector which grew by 28%. This increase is the second highest increase of ten
sectors. Consumer sector performance is also higher than the other two sectors,
namely the various industry sectors and basic industries which are also part of the
manufacturing index. The rise in the manufacturing index amid lethargy of negative
sentiment on rising production costs as the drivers of the manufacturing index mostly
came from diversified consumer companies, such as PT Kalbe Farma Tbk (KLBF).
"The availability of raw materials for a number of listed manufacturing companies is
sufficiently maintained that the weakening rupiah exchange rate does not have a
significant impact.If further explored, five of the six largest issuers that recorded an
increase are consumer listed companies so that it can be mentioned that the consumer
sector is the largest contributor by sector. -shares of these issuers will be an option
because they still offer potential increases.He is a producer of basic consumer needs
such as food, beverages, medicine, meat and toiletries products.Probable
manufacturing sector will still grow solidly in line with the increase in population
and purchasing power due to solidnya Economic growth in the range of 6%, which is
still the highest among G20 countries, with the result of a recent survey showing that
Indonesia's consumer confidence index is the highest in the world.
Shares are securities that indicate ownership of the company so that
shareholders have the right of claim on dividends or other distributions made by the
company to other shareholders. According to Husnan (2005: 29), "stock is a piece of
paper indicating the right of the investor (ie the party owning the paper) to obtain
3. part of the prospect or wealth of the organization issuing the securities and the
conditions under which the investor may exercise his right." Stock is one of several
alternatives to choose from to invest.
According Arifin (2001) There are several factors that can trigger the
fluctuation of stock prices either macro or micro. What is meant by micro factors are
those factors whose impacts are felt only on certain types of stocks, whereas macro
factors are the factors whose impact is felt on all stocks as well as the economy as a
whole. Macro information concerning market conditions in the form of political
news, national economic policy and policies related to the capital market. While
micro information is information relating to company conditions such as dividend
payment policy, investment, new product launching. Factors affecting stock
fluctuations include 1) The issuer's fundamental condition directly related to the
performance of the issuer itself; 2) Laws and offers where there is a sale and
purchase of shares that affect stock price fluctuations; 3) Interest rate is the interest
rate applied by Indonesian bank by issuing certification of Bank Indonesia; 4)
Foreign exchange which has a double effect on stock price changes; 5) Foreign funds
in the stock, where the foreign funds have a profound impact on changes in stock
prices; 6) Composite Stock Price Index (CSPI) reflecting the overall stock exchange
transactions that occurred; 7) News and rumors are all the news circulating in the
middle of society that concerns various things both economic, social, political and
security issues.
From the results of varied research and phenomena that occur encourage
further research on the relationship or the influence of fundamental factors (financial
ratios) with stock prices. Although it is realized that the fundamental factors are very
wide the scope includes not only the internal condition of the company but also the
macro economic fundamental conditions that are beyond the control of the company.
Sales growth is a change in sales on annual financial statements, growth
relates to how stability of future sales increases and above average sales growth for a
company is generally based on the expected rapid growth and the industry in which it
operates (Fabozzi, 2000). Brigham and Houston (2001) also said that companies with
relatively stable sales could be safer to get more loans and bear a higher fixed burden
than companies with unstable sales. Companies with relatively stable sales can be
4. safer to get more loans and bear a higher burden than companies with unstable sales
(Horne, 2001).
Sales to Current Assets is a measure of how efficiently a company utilizes its
current assets in generating sales (Tampubolon, 2005). From Asmara (2002)
research, one of the variables used is sales to current assets, showing a positive
influence on financial performance before the monetary crisis in 1998, while for the
period after the crisis in 1998 there was no positive influence on financial
performance. It proves that by using sales to current assets can detect risk will
experience a decrease or even the possibility of bankruptcy of a company. Based on
Table I-4 below, it shows that the Sales / Current Assets (Sales to Current Assets) in
18 manufacturing companies experienced a good level of efficiency, because there is
no negative to sales / asset ratio (sales to current assets). So it can be interpreted that
the value of sales is much larger than current assets. Because the ratio of sales /
current assets is the ratio used to measure how efficiently the use of corporate funds
is spent on current assets in generating a sale (Tampubolon, 2005).
Retained earnings reflect the accumulated benefits that have not been
distributed or losses suffered by a company since the company operates. A relatively
new company may show a low retained earnings / total asset ratio in the absence of
time to increase its cumulative earnings. According Mulyono (Fakrurozie, 2004),
retained earnings / total assets are profitability ratios that can detect a company's
ability to generate profits, in terms of its ability to earn profits compared to its
operating assets turnover as a measure of business efficiency.
From the theory and result of the research above, the researcher see the direct
influence between sales growth to stock price, sales to current assets to share price,
retained earnings to total assets to stock price. Based on the background and previous
research described above, the authors are interested to submit a research entitled
"The influence of fundamental factors on stock prices (Empirical Studies In
Manufacturing Companies)."
5. Review Literatur
Capital Market
According to Tandelilin (2001: 26), the capital market is a meeting between
parties who have excess funds with parties who need funds by way of trading
securities. Thus, the stock market can also be interpreted as a market for trading
securities that generally have more than one year of age, such as stocks and bonds.
From some of the above understanding, it can be concluded that capital market is a
means of meeting between demand and supply of long-term instruments that aims to
provide alternative funding sources for companies other than financial institutions
(banks). Therefore, with the many financial instruments in the capital market,
investors can choose and determine which instruments are more promising to invest
in the future.
Stock
According to BAPEPAM (2003: 9) quoted from (www.bapepam.go.id),
"shares are certificates indicating proof of ownership of a company, and shareholders
have the right of claim on income and assets of the company". According to
Darmadji and Fakhrudin (2006: 6), Stock (share or share) is a sign of participation or
possession of a person or entity within a company or limited liability company.
Fundamental Factors
According to Arifin (2004: 116), the fundamental factor is "the factors that
reflect the issuer's performance that can be seen from the issuer's financial
statements". The better the performance of the issuer the greater the effect on the
stock price increase and vice versa, if the worse the performance of the issuer, the
declining share price will be issued and traded on the company. Because the
performance of the issuer describes the company's ability to generate profits so that it
can foster investor confidence in investing capital.
According to Stoner et al. (1995) in Anastasia (2000), fundamental analysis related
to the assessment of company performance, about the effectiveness and efficiency of
the company to achieve its target.
6. Sales Growth
According to Fabozzi (2000: 881), Sales growth is a change in sales on the financial
statements per year. Growth is related to how the stability of sales increase in the
future. The above-average sales growth for a company is generally based on the
expected rapid growth and the industry in which it operates.
Sales / Current Assets
Sales / Current assets are measuring how efficiently a company utilizes its current
assets in generating sales (Tampubolon, 2005: 35).
Profit / Total Assets Balance
According to Sawir (2005: 23), the ratio of retained earnings / total assets is to
measure the cumulative profitability of the company, because the younger the
company, the less time it has to build cumulative profits. Retained earnings / total
assets, showing growth that has been financed through profits so that the company's
debt does not increase and indicates the extent to which the asset has been paid by
the company's profits.
According to Mulyono (1994) in Fakhrurozie (2007), retained earnings / total assets
are profitability ratios that can detect a company's ability to generate profits, in terms
of its ability to earn profits compared to its operating assets turnover as a measure of
business efficiency.
Conceptual Framework
From the foundation of the theory and some previous research that has been
described above, then prepared a hypothesis that is the flow of thought from
researchers. Then depicted in the theoretical framework compiled as follows:
1. The Influence of Growth Sales (Growth Sales) Against Stock Price
Azis research (2005), with the results showed that simultaneously
Earnings Per Share (EPS) and sales growth affect the stock prices of food and
beverage companies listed on the JSE and partially Earning Per Share (EPS)
significantly influence the stock price , While sales growth did not
significantly influence stock prices at food and beverage companies listed on
the BEJ.
7. The research that has been done by Musriyati (2003), which is related
to the growth of sales to stock price shows that the increasing of sales growth
will have positive effect to stock price. Stefanus (2000), the fundamental
factors affecting stock prices in the food and beverage industry in JSE shows
that the variable of sales growth also has a positive effect on stock price.
Kesuma research (2009), with the results of research indicates that the
growth of sales (growth of sales) and debt ratio significantly influence the
capital structure and profitability ratio (ROA) does not significantly
influence, while the profitability ratio significantly influence stock prices and
sales growth (Growth of sales), asset structure, and capital structure have no
significant effect on stock price.
2. The Influence of Sales / Current Assets (Sales to Current Assets) Against
Stock Price
Fakhrurozie's research (2007), with the result of research indicate that
the value of Z-Score Altman effect on stock price equal to 21,50% while
78,50% influenced by other factor.
Sales to Current Assets is a measure of how efficiently a company
utilizes its current assets in generating sales (Tampubolon, 2005). From
Asmara (2002) research, one of the variables used is the current sales / assets,
showing a positive influence on financial performance before the monetary
crisis in 1998, while for the period after the crisis in 1998 there was no
positive effect on financial performance. It proves that by using sales / assets
smoothly can detect the risk will experience a decrease or even the possibility
of bankruptcy of a company.
3. Effect of Retained Earnings / Total Assets on Share Price
Cahyono's (2013) study, states that retained earnings reflect the
accumulated benefits that have not been distributed or losses suffered by a
company since the company operates. Basically the purpose of the retained
earnings ratio / total assets measures the accumulation as long as the earnings
of the company operates, so the age of the firm also influences this ratio.
8. Retained earnings represent a substantial portion of the equity the company
has received / withholds the profit and does not pay it to the shareholders for
a certain period. The longer the company operates, the more likely it is to
increase the accumulated retained earnings. Retained earnings are the source
of their own capital funds. The greater the yield of this ratio indicates the
greater retained earnings can be used to finance the company's funding needs
and reduce the amount of external funding sources. The ratio of retained
earnings to total assets indicates that every Rp. 1.00 of the Company's assets
are secured by retained earnings.
Handojo's research (2001), with the results of the study showed
simultaneously that independent variables significantly influence stock prices
and partially Working Capital / Total Assets (WC / TA), Retained Earnings /
Total Assets (RE / TA), and Earnings Before Interest And Taxes / Total
Assets (EBIT / TA) have a significant effect on stock prices and other ratios
have no significant effect on stock prices. The results show that WC / TA, RE
/ TA, EBIT / TA, MVE / BVD and S / TA variables have 85% accuracy
while 15% are explained by other variables.
Gambar 1. Kerangka Konseptual
Penjualan/Aktiva Lancar
(Sales to Current Assets)
(X2)
Pertumbuhan Penjualan
(Growth Sales)
(X1)
Saldo Laba/Total Aktiva
(Retained Earnings to Total
Assets) (X3)
Harga Saham
(Y)
9. Hypothesis
Based on the relationship between the theoretical basis to the formulation of
the problem then the hypothesis or suspected transient of the problem of this study
are as follows:
1. Growth Sales (Growth Sales) affect the stock price of manufacturing
companies in the consumer goods industry sector.
2. Sales / Current assets (Sales to Current Assets) affect the stock price of
manufacturing industry sector consumer goods industry.
3. Retained Earnings to Total Assets affects the stock price of manufacturing
companies in the consumer goods industry sector.
Growth sales (sales sales), sales / current assets (sales to current assets) and
retained earnings / total assets (retained earnings to total assets) simultaneously affect
the stock price of manufacturing industry sector consumer goods industry.
Research Methods
Population and Sample
In this study all members of the population became the subject of research.
The population to be studied in this research is Manufacturing companies in
Indonesia Stock Exchange period 2012 to 2014 which amounted to 37 companies.
The sample data used in this study are all manufacturing firms in Indonesia
Stock Exchange as much as 18 manufacturing companies in the consumer goods
industry by selecting companies that publish financial statements and stock price
reports during the period 2012-2014.
Operational Definition and Variable Measurement
In completing this research, there are several operational definitions and
measurements of variables used as follows:
1. Independent Variable (X)
1) Growth Sales (X1)
Growth Sales is a change in sales due to the stability of sales increase from year to
year.
10. 2) Sales to Current Assets (X2)
Sales / Current assets is a measure of how efficiently a company utilizes its
current assets in generating sales.
3) Retained Earnings to Total Assets (X3)
Retained Earnings to Total Assets is a measure of the growth that has been
financed through profits so that the company's debt does not increase and shows
how far the assets have been paid by the company's profits.
.2. Dependent Variable (Y)
Stock price is the price of a company contained in the stock market or stock
exchange whose value is determined by investors (market participants).
3. Variable Measurement
a. Independent Variable (X)
1) Growth Sales (X1)
Growth Sales is measured by comparing the sales of the current year (tn) minus
last year's sales (tn-1) divided by total sales last year (tn - 1). The scale
measurement used is the ratio scale with the percentage unit (%). With the
following formula:
2) Sales to Current Assets (X2)
Sales / Current assets are measured by comparing total sales to total current assets.
The scale used is the ratio scale with the percentage unit (%). Using the following
formula:
3) Retained Earnings to Total Assets (X3)
Retained Earnings to Total Assets is measured by comparing retained earnings
with total assets. The scale used is the ratio scale with the percentage unit (%).
Using the following formula:
11. b. Dependent Variable (Y)
The stock price used is the average closing price on the annual financial statements
issued by the manufacturing sector companies that have been listed on the Indonesia
Stock Exchange (IDX) starting from 2012 until 2014. The scale used is the ratio
scale With a measuring unit of Rupiah (Rp).
Data Analysis Technique
There are several data analysis techniques that are used in this research, that
is:
1. Classic assumption test, in the form of normality test, multicollinearity test,
heteroscedasticity test and autocorrelation test
2. Multiple Linear Regression Analysis
3. Hypothesis Test, in the form of statistical test (T) and statistical test (F)
4. Coefficient of Determination (R2)
Result
Researchers get the average stock price manufacturing companies
manufacturing goods industry komsumsi with data as follows:
Table 1.
Average Stock Price Companies Manufacturing Industry Sector Consumer
Goods
No Perusahaan 2012 2013 2014
1 CEKA (Cahaya Kalbar Tbk) 3608.33 2795.00 3488.33
2 DLTA (Delta Djakarta Tbk) 196958.33 334166.67 370000.00
3
ICBP (Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur
Tbk) 6283.33 10475.00 10847.92
4 INDF (Indofood Sukses Makmur Tbk) 5252.08 6900.00 6937.50
5 MYOR (Mayora Indah Tbk) 20350.05 28820.91 28255.00
6 ROTI (Nippon Indosari Corporindo 4795.83 6032.50 1216.67
12. No Perusahaan 2012 2013 2014
Tbk)
7 SKLT (Sekar Laut Tbk) 160.00 180.00 384.58
8 STTP (Siantar Top Tbk) 751.67 1353.33 2740.42
9
ULTJ (Ultrajaya Milk Industry and
Trading Company Tbk) 1176.67 3686.67 4042.92
10 GGRM (Gudang Garam Tbk) 54541.67 44483.33 53795.83
11
HMSP (Hanjaya Mandala Sampoerna
Tbk) 52737.50 73891.67 69383.33
12 DVLA (Darya Varia Laboratoria Tbk) 1450.00 2361.25 1878.75
13 KLBF (Kalbe Farma Tbk) 3140.00 1302.50 1620.00
14 MERK (Merck Tbk) 146479.17 185708.33 182775.00
15 PYFA (Pyridam Farma Tbk) 173.92 165.58 137.75
16 TSPC (Temp Scan Pasific Tbk) 2918.75 3745.83 2939.58
17 MRAT (Mustika Ratu Tbk) 557.50 511.25 404.83
18 TCID (Mandom Indonesia Tbk) 8975.00 11500.00 15881.25
The Table shows the condition of stock price in manufacturing of consumer
goods industry sector during observation year from 2012-2014 up and down
(fluctuation). The rise of stock prices is expected to occur in many demand of shares
of issuers such as the rise of stock prices on DLTA, ICBP, INDF, SKLT, STTP,
ULTJ and TCID. If high stock prices can be maintained, then investor confidence or
potential investors to the issuer is also higher and this will increase the value of the
issuer. While companies that have a decline in stock prices, is suspected to be caused
by factors such as bad news, where companies are affected by it.
13. For sales growth resulted information as follows:
Table 2.
Sales Growth of Manufacturing Companies in Consumer Goods Industry
Sector
No Perusahaan 2012 2013 2014
1 CEKA (Cahaya Kalbar Tbk) 0.1020 1.0449 0.4621
2 DLTA (Delta Djakarta Tbk) 0.2336 0.1637 0.0551
3
ICBP (Indofood CBP Sukses
Makmur Tbk) 0.1140 0.1631 0.1964
4
INDF (Indofood Sukses Makmur
Tbk) 0.1043 0.1112 0.1433
5 MYOR (Mayora Indah Tbk) 0.1118 0.1434 0.1790
6
ROTI (Nippon Indosari
Corporindo Tbk) 0.4641 0.2643 0.2489
7 SKLT (Sekar Laut Tbk) 0.1663 0.4115 0.2017
8 STTP (Siantar Top Tbk) 0.2492 0.3203 0.2806
9
ULTJ (Ultrajaya Milk Industry
and Trading Company Tbk) 0.3365 0.2315 0.1319
10 GGRM (Gudang Garam Tbk) 0.1706 0.1307 0.1759
11
HMSP (Hanjaya Mandala
Sampoerna Tbk) 0.2605 0.1261 0.0755
12
DVLA (Darya Varia Laboratoria
Tbk) 0.2087 0.0132 0.0019
13 KLBF (Kalbe Farma Tbk) 0.2497 0.1735 0.0854
14 MERK (Merck Tbk) 0.0124 -0.1335 0.0713
15 PYFA (Pyridam Farma Tbk) 0.1697 0.0895 0.1545
16 TSPC (Temp Scan Pasific Tbk) 0.1471 0.0338 0.0959
17 MRAT (Mustika Ratu Tbk) 0.1277 -0.2184 0.2139
18 TCID (Mandom Indonesia Tbk) 0.1187 0.0955 0.1382
Based on the tabulation results obtained information that there is a growth in
sales with an increase in sales growth from year to year such as ICBP, INDF, and
14. MYOR, which means stable sales growth so that will impact on the number of loans
acceptable to the company and able to bear the high burden. From the above data, it
can be analyzed that PT. Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk in 2012 has a sales
growth of 0.1140 which means that every 100% of last year's sales will generate
11.4% of sales in the current year. While in 2013 has a sales growth of 0.1631 which
means that every 100% of sales last year that used will produce 16.31% sales of the
current year. And in 2014, PT. Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk, has a sales
growth of 0.1964. This means that every 100% of last year's sales will produce
19.64% of the year's sales.
For sales to current assets obtained results of data processing as follows:
Table 3.
Sales To Current Asset Manufacturing Company Sector of Consumer Goods
Industry
No Perusahaan 2012 2013 2014
1 CEKA (Cahaya Kalbar Tbk) 2.2100 2.9891 3.5145
2 DLTA (Delta Djakarta Tbk) 2.7241 2.6752 2.4721
3
ICBP (Indofood CBP Sukses
Makmur Tbk) 2.1818 2.2165 2.2070
4
INDF (Indofood Sukses Makmur
Tbk) 1.9104 1.6973 1.5512
5 MYOR (Mayora Indah Tbk) 1.9781 1.8690 2.1769
6
ROTI (Nippon Indosari
Corporindo Tbk) 5.4173 4.1374 4.4734
7 SKLT (Sekar Laut Tbk) 3.1967 3.6746 4.0701
8 STTP (Siantar Top Tbk) 2.2528 2.4770 2.7150
9
ULTJ (Ultrajaya Milk Industry
and Trading Company Tbk) 2.3485 2.2103 2.3852
10 GGRM (Gudang Garam Tbk) 1.6368 1.6020 1.6917
11
HMSP (Hanjaya Mandala
Sampoerna Tbk) 3.1534 3.5310 3.8835
12
DVLA (Darya Varia Laboratoria
Tbk) 1.3159 1.2054 1.1929
15. No Perusahaan 2012 2013 2014
13 KLBF (Kalbe Farma Tbk) 2.1169 2.1344 2.1388
14 MERK (Merck Tbk) 2.0045 1.3698 1.4499
15 PYFA (Pyridam Farma Tbk) 2.5767 2.5683 2.8472
16 TSPC (Temp Scan Pasific Tbk) 1.9538 1.7175 2.0223
17 MRAT (Mustika Ratu Tbk) 1.2984 1.1418 1.1541
18 TCID (Mandom Indonesia Tbk) 2.4084 2.7913 2.6409
In table 3. it can be seen that the level of efficiency of a company is high in
using its assets to generate sales. This can be seen by the increase of sales to current
assets in CEKA, SKLT, STTP, HMSP and KLBF efficient in the use of funds on the
current assets in generating sales. Based on the above data, it can be analyzed that
PT. Cahaya Kalbar Tbk, in 2012 has sales to current assets of 2.2100. This means
that every 100% of current assets used will generate 221% of sales. In 2013, sales to
current assets owned by PT. Cahaya Kalbar Tbk of 2.9891 which means that every
100% of current assets used will produce 298.91% of sales. And in 2014, PT. Cahaya
Kalbar Tbk has sales to current assets of 3,5145, which means that every 100% of
current assets used will produce 351.45% of sales.
As for retained earnings generated information as follows:
Table 4.
Retained Earning to Total Asset Manufacturing Industry Sector of Consumer
Goods Industry
No Perusahaan 2012 2013 2014
1 CEKA (Cahaya Kalbar Tbk) 0.1940 0.2468 0.2139
2 DLTA (Delta Djakarta Tbk) 0.7400 0.7287 0.7277
3
ICBP (Indofood CBP Sukses
Makmur Tbk) 0.2719 0.2804 0.2993
4
INDF (Indofood Sukses Makmur
Tbk) 0.2135 0.1743 0.1876
5 MYOR (Mayora Indah Tbk) 0.3028 0.0343 0.3429
6
ROTI (Nippon Indosari Corporindo
Tbk) 0.3256 0.2815 0.3191
16. No Perusahaan 2012 2013 2014
7 SKLT (Sekar Laut Tbk) 0.1001 0.1146 0.1472
8 STTP (Siantar Top Tbk) 0.3466 0.3725 0.3947
9
ULTJ (Ultrajaya Milk Industry and
Trading Company Tbk) 0.4151 0.4606 0.5208
10 GGRM (Gudang Garam Tbk) 0.6088 0.5527 0.5478
11
HMSP (Hanjaya Mandala
Sampoerna Tbk) 0.4582 0.4703 0.4318
12
DVLA (Darya Varia Laboratoria
Tbk) 0.4399 0.4495 0.4693
13 KLBF (Kalbe Farma Tbk) 0.7617 0.6663 0.7072
14 MERK (Merck Tbk) 0.6617 0.6776 0.7169
15 PYFA (Pyridam Farma Tbk) 0.2292 0.2132 0.2315
16 TSPC (Temp Scan Pasific Tbk) 0.6110 0.5779 0.6017
17 MRAT (Mustika Ratu Tbk) 0.5184 0.4988 0.4544
18 TCID (Mandom Indonesia Tbk) 0.6231 0.5947 0.5243
In table 4. it can be seen that the increase of retained earnings to total assets
every year occurs in ICBP, SKLT, STTP, ULTJ, DVLA and MERK companies. This
means that the condition of the company is in good category. Thus from the results
of retained earnings / total assets (retained earnings to total assets) that no company
is a negative value. It indicates that the company always gets a net profit or earns a
profit. Because with the profit will increase retained earnings which means will
enlarge its own capital, on the contrary the loss suffered will reduce retained earnings
which means will minimize own capital (Riyanto, 2001). Based on the above table
can be analyzed that PT. Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk in 2012 has retained
earnings to total assets of 0.2719 which means that every 100% of total assets used
will produce 27.19% retained earnings. In 2013, PT. Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur
Tbk has retained earnings to total assets of 0.2804 which means that every 100% of
total assets used will produce 28.04% retained earnings. And in 2014, PT. Indofood
CBP Makmur Tbk has retained earnings to total assets of 0.2993, which means that
every 100% of total assets used will produce 29.93% retained earnings.
17. Descriptive Statistics Analysis
Sales Growth
Based on the results obtained tabulation of data processing as follows:
Table 5.
Descriptive Statistics
N Minimum Maximum Mean Std. Deviation
Statistic Statistic Statistic Statistic Statistic
Growth_Sale 54 -.22 1.04 .1745 .17009
PENJUALAN/A
KTIVA
LANCAR
54 1.14 5.42 2.3941 .90410
RETA 54 .03 .76 .4269 .19340
Harga_Saham 54 137.75 3.70E5 3.6761E4 78635.57384
Valid N (listwise) 54
Source: SPSS Processing Result Data
From 18 samples used with the financial statements of 2012-2014, the
average growth of sales (growth sales) manufacturing companies in the consumer
goods industry sector listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange is 0.1745 this means
the average growth of sales (growth sales) owned by the company Manufacturing is
relatively stable. This means that the growth in manufacturing sales of the consumer
goods industry sector is stable (there is an increase) so it can be said that the steady
increase in sales growth tends to increase can affect the profits in the future so have
an indication that stock prices will increase. It can be interpreted that if sales growth
from year to year increase or stable, then investor trust to company and will give
advantage in the future. The growth value of the growth of the manufacturing sector
of the consumer goods industry listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange is the lowest
is -0.22 and the highest sales growth value of 1,004 is seen in table IV-1. Companies
with relatively stable sales can be safer to get more loans and bear a higher burden
than companies with unstable sales.
18. Sales / Current Assets
Sales / Current Assets (Sales to Current Assets) owned by manufacturing
companies of the consumer goods industry sector listed on the Indonesia Stock
Exchange in 2012-2014 have an average of 2,394 which is seen in table 1. and this
value means the average A consumer goods industry manufacturing company listed
on the Indonesia Stock Exchange 2012-2014 does not take advantage of its current
assets in generating sales. In other words the lack of efficient use of corporate funds
issued on current assets in generating a sale which in the end there is an indication of
impairment of the company.
Retained Earnings / Total Assets
The value of retained earnings / total assets owned by manufacturing
companies of the consumer goods industry sector listed on the Indonesia Stock
Exchange 2012-2014 amounted to 0.4269 for the resulting average. The ability of
companies to generate profits, which is viewed from the company's ability to earn
profits compared to the speed of operating assets turnover as a measure of business
efficiency is categorized as small. In 18 companies experienced good condition from
2012-2014 because there is no result ratio which is negative. This is because of the
length of the company is established, because with the longer the company stands
then the more retained earnings in the company, vice versa, except at the beginning
when the company stands to have a very large profit.
Results of Data Testing
Linear Regression
The test used is Multiple Linear Regression to know the influence of sales
growth, sales / current assets and retained earnings / total assets to the stock price of
manufacturing companies listed on the Stock Exchange. So by testing multiple linear
regression will be seen in Table IV.6 as follows:
19. Table 6.
Coefficientsa
Model
Unstandardized
Coefficients
Standardiz
ed
Coefficien
ts
t Sig.
Collinearity Statistics
B Std. Error Beta Tolerance VIF
1 (Constant) -85699.078 39992.128 -2.143 .037
Pertumbuhan -591.963 635.945 -.128 -.931 .356 .745 1.342
Sales_Curren
t
166.372 119.678 .191 1.390 .171 .745 1.343
Retained 2177.381 518.289 .536 4.201 .000 .868 1.153
a. Dependent Variable: Harga_Saham
From the above Coefficienta table it can be seen that from the regression
equation that was formulated previously ie:
Y= a+β1X1+β2X2+β3X3 Then the equation obtained is as follows:
Y= -85699.078 - 591.963X1 + 166.372X2 + 2177.381X3
From the equation above then: Alpha value (a) of -85699.078 shows that if
the variable of sales growth (sales sales), Sales to Current Assets and Retained
Earnings to Total Assets are constant or Fixed, then the stock price level is worth -
85699.078. Each increase in value Sales growth (X1) rises by 1 then Y will decrease
by 591,963 assuming all variables remain. Any increase in the value of Current Sales
/ Assets (X2) rises by 1 then Y will rise by 166,372 assuming all other variables
remain. Each increase in Retained earnings / Total Assets (X3) rises by 1 then Y will
rise by 2177,381 assuming another variable remains.
T Test
Partial test is used to determine the partial influence of variable Sales growth,
Sales to Current Assets and Retained Earnings to Total Assets on Stock Price. Here
the results of the calculation of the value of t arithmetic and significance level α =
0.05, where if the significant value <0.05 then partially independent variables affect
the dependent variable and if significant value> 0.05 then partially independent
variable does not affect the dependent variable .
20. Table 7.
Coefficientsa
Model
Unstandardized
Coefficients
Standardiz
ed
Coefficien
ts
t Sig.
Collinearity Statistics
B Std. Error Beta Tolerance VIF
1 (Constant) -85699.078 39992.128 -2.143 .037
Pertumbuhan -591.963 635.945 -.128 -.931 .356 .745 1.342
Sales_Curren
t
166.372 119.678 .191 1.390 .171 .745 1.343
Retained 2177.381 518.289 .536 4.201 .000 .868 1.153
a. Dependent Variable: Harga_Saham
From Table Coefficienta above for the growth it appears that the value of t
arithmetic for the variable Sales growth (growth sales) of -0.931. The value is
smaller than t table of 1.6735, so it is interpreted that the growth of sales (growth
sales) does not affect the Stock Price. Significantly, if significant <0.05 then Ho is
rejected, if significant> 0.05 then Ho is accepted. Due t test Sales growth> 0.05
(0.356> 0.05) then Ho accepted, meaning that the growth of sales (growth sales)
partially does not affect the stock price.
For sales / current assets (sales to current assets) in the table above shows that
the value of t arithmetic for variable sales / assets smoothly of 1.39. The value is
smaller than t table of 1.6735, so it is interpreted that current sales / assets have no
effect on Stock Price. Significantly, if significant <0.05 then Ho is rejected, if
significant> 0.05 then Ho is accepted. Due t test sales / assets current> 0.05 (1.6735>
0.05) then Ho accepted, meaning that the sale / assets smoothly partially does not
affect the stock price.
For retained earnings / total assets in Table Coefficienta it appears that the
value of t arithmetic for variable retained earnings / total assets of 4.201. The value is
greater than t table of 1.6735, so it is interpreted that the retained earnings / total
assets affect the Stock Price. Significantly, if significant <0.05 then Ho is rejected, if
significant> 0.05 then Ho is accepted. Due to the retained earnings t test / total assets
<0.05 (0,000 <0.05) then Ho is rejected, meaning that the retained earnings / total
assets partially affect the Stock Price.
21. F Test
A simultaneous test is performed to see the effect of independent variables on
the dependent variable simultaneously. Where the proposed statistical hypothesis
significance level α = 0.05, where if siginifikan <0.05 then simultaneously
independent variables affect the dependent variable and if siginifikan> 0.05 then
simultaneously the independent variable has no effect on the dependent variable.
Table 8.
ANOVAb
Model Sum of Squares Df Mean Square F Sig.
1 Regression 9.674E10 3 3.225E10 6.980 .001a
Residual 2.310E11 50 4.620E9
Total 3.277E11 53
a. Predictors: (Constant), Retained, Pertumbuhan, Sales_Current
b. Dependent Variable: Harga_Saham
From table Anova above can be seen that the value of F arithmetic = 6.980
and if seen on Residual 50 and Regression df 3 on F table is 2.79 this means Ho
Rejected and Ha Accepted it can be concluded that together - the growth of sales,
sales / assets smoothly and Retained earnings / total assets affect the stock price.
Determination Coefficient Test
Coefficient of Determination (R2) is used to measure how far the regression
model in explaining the variation of the dependent variable. The coefficient of
determination is between zero and one. The small value of R2 means that the ability
of independent variables is very limited. A value close to one means that independent
variables provide almost all the information needed to predict the variation of the
dependent variable (Ghozali, 2009: 87).
Based on the calculation of SPSS 16.0 to yield the coefficient of
determination is as follows:
22. Tabel 9.
Model Summaryb
Model R R Square
Adjusted R
Square
Std. Error of
the Estimate Durbin-Watson
1 .543a
.295 .253 67968.73999 1.845
a. Predictors: (Constant), Retained, Pertumbuhan, Sales_Current
b. Dependent Variable: Harga_Saham
Source: Data processed SPSS
Based on the output of SPSS Model Summary above, R Square value of
0.295 indicates that the relationship between Growth sales (growth sales), sales /
current assets and retained earnings / total assets to stock price is 29.5% and the rest
of 70.5% influenced by other factors Not included in the research model.
Conclusion
After performing hypothesis analysis and testing of fundamental factors that
affect stock prices at manufacturing companies for the year 2012-2014. Results and
discussion used in accordance with the purpose of hypotheses conducted with
multiple linear regression analysis, it can be drawn conclusion as follows:
a. Partially (individual) sales growth does not affect the stock price.
b. Partially sales / current assets do not significantly influence the stock price.
Current sales / assets are used to measure how efficiently a company takes
advantage of its current assets in generating sales
c. Partially retained earnings / total assets affect the stock price.
d. Simultaneously (together) of the fundamental factors consisting of sales
growth, current sales / assets, and retained earnings / total assets have a
significant effect on stock prices.
23. Daftar Pustaka
Almilia, Luciana Spica dan Emanuel Kristijadi. 2003.”Analisis Rasio Keuangan
Untuk Memprediksi Kondisi Financial Distress Perusahaan Manufaktur
yang Terdaftar di Bursa Efek Jakarta”. Jurnal Akuntansi dan Auditing
Indonesia (JAAI). Vol. 7, No. 2.
Anastasia, Njo, dkk. 2003. “Analisis Faktor Fundamental dan Resiko Sistematik
Terhadap Harga Saham Properti di BEJ”. Jurnal Akuntansi dan Keuangan.
Vol. 5, No. 2, Hal. 123 - 132.
Angelo, De and Stulz, R. 2006. “Dividend Policy and The Earned/Contributed
Capital Mix: A Test of The Life Cycle Theory”. Journal of Financial
Economics 81:277-254
Anoraga, Pandji dan Piji Pakarti. 2006. Pengantar Pasar Modal. Rineka cipta.
Jakarta. Arifin, Ali . 2006. Membaca Saham. Andi. Yogyakarta.
Darmadji, Tjiptono dan Hendy M. Fakhrudin. 2006. Pasar Modal di Indonesia:
Pendekatan Tanya Jawab, Edisi kedua. Salemba Empat. Jakarta.
Fabozzi, J. Frank. 2000. Manajemen Investasi. Buku II. Salemba Empat. Jakarta.
Ghozali, Imam. 2006. Aplikasi Analisis Multivariate dengan Program SPSS, Edisi
keempat. Badan Penerbit Universitas Diponegoro (BPUD). Semarang.
Gunawardana, D Kennedy, et al., 2005. “Logistic Regression Model for Business
Failures Prediction of Technology Industry in Thailand”. Special Issue of
the International Journal of the Computer, the Internet and Management,
Vol. 13, No. SP2.
Halim, Abdul. 2005. Analisis Investasi. Edisi kedua. Salemba empat. Jakarta.
Harahap, Sofyan Safri. 2006. Teori Akuntansi : Laporan keuangan. Edisi
pertama. Bumi Aksara. Jakarta.
Harahap, Zulkifli dan Pasaribu Agusni. 2007. “Pengaruh Faktor Fundamental Dan
Resiko Sistematik Terhadap Harga Saham Pada Perusahaan Manufaktur
yang Terdaftar Di Bursa Efek Jakarta”. Jurnal Mepa Ekonomi.
Harjito, Agus. 2009. Keuangan Perilaku Menganalisis Keputusan Investor. Edisi
pertama. EKONISIA. Yogyakarta.
Hermansyah, Iwan dan Ariesanti, Eva. 2008. “Pengaruh Laba Bersih Terhadap
Harga Saham“ (Sensus Pada Perusahaan Food and Beverage yang Terdaftar
di Bursa Efek Jakarta). Jurnal Akuntansi FE Unsil, Vol. 3, No. 1.
Husnan, Suad. 2005. Dasar-dasar Teori Portofolio dan Analisis Sekuritas. Edisi
Ketiga. AMP YKPN. Yogyakarta.
24. Ismiati, Yuli. 2003. ”Harga Saham-Analisis Faktor Fundamental Yang
Mempengaruhi Saham Manufaktur di Bursa Efek Jakarta”. Research from
JIPTUMM. Dept. of Economic and Development Studies.
Jannah, 2010. “Hubungan Kenaikan Harga Bahan Bakar Minyak (BBM) dan pasar
terhadap profitabilitas industri kerajinan bubut kayu di Blitar. Universitas
Islam Negeri Maulana Malik Ibrahim
Kesuma, Ali. 2009. “Analisis Faktor yang Mempengaruhi Struktur Modal Serta
Pengaruhnya Terhadap Harga Saham Perusahaan Real Estate yang Go
Public di Bursa Efek Indonesia”. Jurnal Manajemen dan Kewirausahaan.
Vol. 11, No. 1, Hal.38 - 45.
Martono dan Agus Harjito. 2007. Manajemen Keuangan. Edisi pertama, cetakan
keenam. EKONISIA. Yogyakarta.
Natarsyah, Syahib. 2000. “Analisis Pengaruh Beberapa Faktor Fundamental dan
Risiko Sistematik terhadap Harga Saham (Kasus Industri Barang Konsumsi
yang Go Publik di Pasar Modal Indonesia)”. Jurnal Ekonomi dan Bisnis
Indonesia, volume 15/3.
Navas, Javier F. 2007. ”Voluntary Liquidations: An Empirical Study”. Revista
Europea de DirecciÓny Economia de la Empresa, Vol. 16, Num. 2, pp.53 -
60.
Orniati, Yuli. 2009. “Laporan Keuangan sebagai Alat untuk Menilai Kinerja
Keuangan”. Jurnal Ekonomi dan Bisnis. No. 3, Hal. 206 – 213.
Pasaribu, Rowland Bismark Fernando. 2008. ”Pengaruh Variabel Fundamental
Terhadap Harga Saham Perusahaan Go Public Di BEI”. Jurnal Ekonomi dan
Bisnis. Vol. 2, No. 2, Hal 101-103.
Samsul, Mohamad. 2006. Pasar Modal dan Manajemen Portofolio. Erlangga. Jakarta.
Sasongko, Noer dan Wulandari, Nila. 2006. “Pengaruh Eva dan Rasio – Rasio
Profitabilitas Terhadap Harga Saham”. Empirika, Vol. 19, No.1, Hal 64 -
80.
Sawir, Agnes. 2005. Kinerja Keuangan dan perencanaan keuangan perusahaan.
Cetakan kelima. PT.Gramedia Pustaka Utama. Jakarta.
Seno, Prasono Dwi Wenjo. 2009. Analisis Pengaruh Earnings Per Share (EPS) dan
Pertumbuhan Penjualan Terhadap Harga Saham Pada Perusahaan Tekstil
dan Garmen yang Terdaftar di Bursa Efek Indonesia. Skripsi FE S-1
Akuntansi Universitas Pembangunan Nasional “Veteran”, Jakarta.
Subiyantoro, Edi dan Fransisca Andreani. 2003. “Analisis Faktor-Faktor yang
Mempengaruhi Harga Saham” (Kasus Perusahaan Jasa Perhotelan yang
25. Terdaftar di Pasar Modal Indonesia). Jurnal Manajemen dan
Kewirausahaan. Vol. 5, No. 2, hal. 171 – 180.
Sunariyah. 2004. Pengetahuan Pasar Modal. UPP AMP YKPN, Jakarta.
Tampubolon, Manahan. 2005. Manajemen Keuangan (Finance
Management), Cetakan pertama, Ghalia Indonesia. Bogor.
Tarigan, Sony Abimanyu dan Hasan Sakti Siregar. 2009. “Analisia Faktor – Faktor
yang Mempengaruhi Struktur Modal Pada Perusahaan Manufaktur yang
Terdaftar Di Bursa Efek Indonesia(BEI) pada tahun 2005 - 2007”. Jurnal
Akuntansi USU.
Tandelilin, Eduardus. 2001. Analisis Investasi dan Manajemen Portofolio. Edisi
pertama. Kanisius (anggota IKAPI). Yogyakarta.
Van Horne, James. C dan Wachowicz, John M. 2005. Dasar - Dasar Manajemen
Keuangan. (Buku 2, Terjemahan). Salemba Empat, Jakarta.
Zeitun, Rami, et al., 2007. ”Default Probability for the Jordanian Companies: A Test
of Cash Flow Theory”. Journal of Finance and Economics. Issue 8.