The document discusses trends in hydropower deployment globally and regionally. It notes that Brazil generates 87.2% of its electricity from renewables, mostly hydro at 81.2%. While Brazil has already developed 34% of its hydro potential, it has an estimated remaining potential of 260 GW, mostly in the Amazon basin. Major new hydro projects like Belo Monte aim to develop this clean energy resource while promoting regional development.

1. TRENDS TO HYDROPOWER DEPLOYMENT
FROM GLOBAL TO REGIONAL
November 12, 2012
Regional Rio de Janeiro
Leadership
Forum
advancing sustainable hydropower
in latin america and the caribbean
José Carlos de Miranda Farias
Energy Research Agency - EPE
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2. ELECTRICITY GENERATION BY FUEL
BRAZIL X WORLD
BRAZIL 2010 WORLD 2008
Renewables = 87.2% Renewables = 18.7%
Hydro
81.2%
Nuclear Hydro
13.5% 15.9%
Other (**)
2.8%
Gas
21.3%
Biomass (*) Oil
5.5% Coal/peat
Wind 5.6% 41.0%
0.4%
Gas Oil Coal/peat
Nuclear 1.3%
5.8% 3.1%
2.6% ** Other includes geothermal, solar, wind, combustible renewables and waste, and heat.
* Mainly generated from the co-generation with sugar cane
Sources: EPE [BEN 2011 - Preliminary Results]
and IEA [Key World Energy Statistics - 2010]
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3. GHG EMISSIONS
2005 ELECTRIC SECTOR EMISSIONS (TCO -EQ) 2
0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000
United States 2,733
China 2,668
Rússia 934
India 691
Japan 509
Germany 366
Australia 243
United Kingdom 237
South Korea 220
South Africa 211
Canada 190
Mexico 180
Saudi Arabia 172
Poland 172
Italy 165
Taiwan 154
Ukraine 136
Spain 129
Indonesia
... 125 Brazil’s
ranking
Brazil 26
49º Source: WRI/CAIT
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4. BRAZILIAN POWER SYSTEM: GENERATION
(INTERCONNECTED TRANSMISSION SYSTEM)
Hydropower plants in Brazil
> 6,000 MW
> 2,000 MW
> 1,000 MW
< 1,000 MW
Source: EPE (PDE 2020) (Dec, 2010)
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5. Transmission Lines
2012
More than 100.000 km
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6. BRAZILIAN HYDRO POTENTIAL
China, 13%
Others, 44%
Estimated Brazilian
hydro potential
260 GW
Russia, 12%
1.200 TWh/año
36%
Brazil, 10%
in operation or Canada, 7%
under construction
to be developed USA, 4% Congo, 5%
Índia, 5%
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7. DEVELOPED COUNTRIES HAVE ALREADY USED
MOST OF THEIR HYDRO POTENTIAL
Congo 1
Indonésia 4
% of technical potential
Peru 6
Rússia 11
Colombia 18
India 21
China 34
Brasil 34
Canadá 37
Itália 45
Suécia 55
Estados Unidos 60
Noruega 61
Japão 64
Alemanha 83
França 100
Notes: 0 20 40 60 80 100
1. Based on data from World Energy Council, considering plants in operation and under constructions, at the endd of 1999.
2. In the case of Brazil, based on data from EPE and Atlas de Energia Elétrica do Brasil, published by ANEEL. In the case of
China, based on data from Worldwatch Institute.
3. Selected countries have 2/3 of developed world hydro potential.
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8. MOST OF BRAZILIAN HYDRO POTENTIAL TO BE
DEVELOPED IS IN THE AMAZON BASIN
Hydro potential to be developed
Amazon basin, 59%
Total hydro potential
Amazon basin, 42%
Amazon biome area as
percentage of Brazilian territory
41%
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9. BRAZILIAN AMAZON OCCUPATION
(ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTED AREAS AND INDIGENOUS LANDS)
Existing Indigenous
Power Plants Areas
(0,2%) and 24,0%
Planned
Power Plants
(0,1%)
0,3%
Conservation
Units
27,0% Other (*)
48,7%
(*) Disturbed areas, agriculture and livestock, water masses
and other areas not protected
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10. Belo Monte
Reservoir
Capacity = 11,233 MW
Reservoir = 516 km2
BARRAGEM, VERTEDO
URO E CASA DE FORÇA
COMPLEMENTAR ALTAMIRA
CANAIS DE
DERIVAÇÃO
ÁREA INDÍGENA PAQUIÇAMBA
BARRAGEM
BELA VISTA
USINA BELO MONTE
New Project
First Project
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11. BELO MONTE – REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT
Quite 60% of the area are occupied by pasture and are anthropized
Fuente: CCBM (julio de 2011)
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12. BELO MONTE – REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT
Fuente: Norte Energia
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13. BELO MONTE – REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT
SCHOOLS
Fonte: Norte Energia
Sala de clase en Vitória del Xingu antes y después de la reforma
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14. BELO MONTE – REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT
News Schools
Fonte: Norte Energia
Fonte: Norte Energia
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15. BELO MONTE – REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT
News Hospitals
Fonte: Norte Energia
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16. BELO MONTE – REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT
Sanitation
Fonte: Norte Energia
Fonte: Norte Energia
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17. Developing new hydro power generation with lesser environmental impact -
Technique developed for use in the Amazon Basin Rivers
Waterfalls in the chosen location
Lesser deforestation an works impact
Lesser deforestation and works impact
Forest is recovered
Source:
ELETROBRAS
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18. HYDROPOWER
THE 10-YEAR ENERGY PLAN
32,634 MW
Contracted Expansion (24,064 MW)
6.000
6,000 5,469
Expansion Planned (8,570 MW)
4,893 4,997
5.000
5,000 1,128
4,197
1,012 1,330
4.000
4,000 3,499
MW
3.000
3,000
2,225 2,212
1,797 2,005 4,341
4,197 3,881
2.000
2,000
1,340 3,667 3,499
1,601
1,797 2,005 2,225
1.000
1,000
1,340
611
-
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Source: EPE [PDE 2020]
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19. CONTRACTING POWER FROM NEW PLANTS
LAW 10.848/2002
Forward (3 and 5 years) PPA Auctions
PPA with a term of 15 to 35 years
Action in “Y-3”
Auction in “Y-5”
AHE Xingó – AL/SE
Y-5 Y-4 Y-3 Y-2 Y-1 Y
(start of supply)
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20. PPA WITH ALL (DISCO) BUYERS IN THE
PROPORTION OF THEIR REQUEST.
Belém
São Luís Fortaleza
Natal
Teresina
João Pessoa
Recife
Maceió
Aracajú
Salvador
Cuiabá
Brasília
Goiânia
Belo
Horizonte
Campo Grande
Vitória
Rio de Janeiro
São Paulo
Curitiba AHE Xingó – AL/SE
Florianópolis
Porto Alegre
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21. Paulo Afonso – 1417 MW
São Francisco River
In Operation since 1955
PA I, II, III 1417 MW
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22. Empresa de Pesquisa Energética - EPE
Av. Rio Branco, 1 - 11º floor Centro Rio de Janeiro RJ
CEP 20090-003 Tel.: +55 (21) 3512-3100 www.epe.gov.br miranda.farias@epe.gov.br
Thank you for
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