The document analyzes whether the recent rise in oil prices constitutes a bubble, noting that demand growth has slowed while speculative investment in oil futures by financial institutions has exploded, with index funds investing in oil futures growing twentyfold in five years, leading the author to conclude that non-supply-demand factors are increasingly determining prices.
The document summarizes economic news and statistics from India in September 2011. It provides interest rates, commodity prices, currency exchange rates, and stock market indices. It also summarizes several news stories, including the Reserve Bank of India raising interest rates for the 12th time, a road construction contract award, and an education company selling a stake to a Dubai-based firm.
Epic Research is one of the best advisory company in Indore Madhya Pradesh. Apply today for the stock market advisor and build your career in stock market trading. Join our team now for job application visit Epic Research.
This document discusses volatility in commodity prices in recent years. It notes that after slumping during the 2008 financial crisis, commodity prices have rebounded strongly since late 2011, with agricultural, energy, and industrial commodity prices surging to pre-crisis or record high levels. There is talk of a sustained commodity price super-cycle driven by rising demand and constrained supply. Brent crude, copper, and UN food prices all reached new highs in early 2012, suggesting commodity prices may remain high and volatile going forward as the global economic recovery continues. However, some uncertainty remains around whether this volatility will persist long-term.
The Reserve Bank of India has released draft guidelines for issuing new private banking licenses, laying out strict eligibility criteria. Applicants must have clean reputations, diversified ownership, and little exposure to real estate or broking. Those approved must first establish a holding company to contain the bank and regulate its activities separately from other promoter businesses. The guidelines aim to carefully select new entrants and restrict their operations to financial services alone. Applications will be screened and sent to a high-level committee for final approval. The new rules pave the way for expanded banking competition while managing risks from corporate promoters.
The document discusses housing market trends in Southwest California. It notes that while sales this year will be lower than last year's record high, it will still be the second best year for home sales in the past decade. Median home prices have remained stable for the past three years across most cities in the region. The document also examines housing demand, inventory levels, and the breakdown of home sales by type (standard sales, bank owned, short sales) in November.
The document discusses the state of the housing market in Southwest California. It notes that while national home prices have fallen to 2002 levels, home prices in Southwest California stabilized over a year ago after bottoming out faster than most of the country. The local housing market is faring better than many other parts of the U.S., with demand remaining steady. However, sales volumes are lower than last year due to the expiration of homebuyer tax credits. The health of the local market in the second half of the year remains uncertain.
The daily forex report provides the following information:
- The rupee hit a 1-month low against the dollar and local stocks fell as global risk aversion increased.
- Traders are advised to sell EUR/INR below certain levels and targets were achieved.
- Market statistics on various commodities are provided showing opening, high, low, close and change.
- Charts of USD/INR and EUR/INR are shown along with analysis of trends and strategies.
- Upcoming economic data releases from various countries are listed.
The document summarizes economic news and statistics from India in September 2011. It provides interest rates, commodity prices, currency exchange rates, and stock market indices. It also summarizes several news stories, including the Reserve Bank of India raising interest rates for the 12th time, a road construction contract award, and an education company selling a stake to a Dubai-based firm.
Epic Research is one of the best advisory company in Indore Madhya Pradesh. Apply today for the stock market advisor and build your career in stock market trading. Join our team now for job application visit Epic Research.
This document discusses volatility in commodity prices in recent years. It notes that after slumping during the 2008 financial crisis, commodity prices have rebounded strongly since late 2011, with agricultural, energy, and industrial commodity prices surging to pre-crisis or record high levels. There is talk of a sustained commodity price super-cycle driven by rising demand and constrained supply. Brent crude, copper, and UN food prices all reached new highs in early 2012, suggesting commodity prices may remain high and volatile going forward as the global economic recovery continues. However, some uncertainty remains around whether this volatility will persist long-term.
The Reserve Bank of India has released draft guidelines for issuing new private banking licenses, laying out strict eligibility criteria. Applicants must have clean reputations, diversified ownership, and little exposure to real estate or broking. Those approved must first establish a holding company to contain the bank and regulate its activities separately from other promoter businesses. The guidelines aim to carefully select new entrants and restrict their operations to financial services alone. Applications will be screened and sent to a high-level committee for final approval. The new rules pave the way for expanded banking competition while managing risks from corporate promoters.
The document discusses housing market trends in Southwest California. It notes that while sales this year will be lower than last year's record high, it will still be the second best year for home sales in the past decade. Median home prices have remained stable for the past three years across most cities in the region. The document also examines housing demand, inventory levels, and the breakdown of home sales by type (standard sales, bank owned, short sales) in November.
The document discusses the state of the housing market in Southwest California. It notes that while national home prices have fallen to 2002 levels, home prices in Southwest California stabilized over a year ago after bottoming out faster than most of the country. The local housing market is faring better than many other parts of the U.S., with demand remaining steady. However, sales volumes are lower than last year due to the expiration of homebuyer tax credits. The health of the local market in the second half of the year remains uncertain.
The daily forex report provides the following information:
- The rupee hit a 1-month low against the dollar and local stocks fell as global risk aversion increased.
- Traders are advised to sell EUR/INR below certain levels and targets were achieved.
- Market statistics on various commodities are provided showing opening, high, low, close and change.
- Charts of USD/INR and EUR/INR are shown along with analysis of trends and strategies.
- Upcoming economic data releases from various countries are listed.
Mercer Capital | Webinar: Outlook for Bank M&A in 2013 | February 12 2013Mercer Capital
This document provides financial metrics and performance ratios for banks and thrifts of different asset sizes. Several charts show trends and comparisons between 1984-2012 for return on assets, return on equity, net interest margin, and other ratios. Transaction activity and pricing multiples from 2012-2013 are also examined. The analysis finds that larger institutions generally achieved higher profitability and returns, while smaller banks traded at higher price-to-book value multiples. The document examines key differences in the operating performance and market valuation of institutions based on their asset size.
Epic Research - Urgent Opening for the Position of Stock market manager, Freshers and Experienced apply today. If you are Graduate/Post graduate so you can drop your CV for more details you can visit Epic Research.
The daily forex report provides the following information:
- The dollar index rose to a 1-month high against a basket of currencies due to gains against the euro and yen.
- Trading tips are given to buy USD/INR above certain levels and targets are provided.
- Daily market statistics on prices of various commodities are presented.
- Charts of USD/INR and EUR/INR are shown and analyzed.
- Upcoming economic data releases from major currencies are listed.
Special report by epic research of 16 aug 2017Epic Research
Epic Research is a leading financial advisory company provides daily share market reports on different segments. it provides daily updates to investors as well as it helps investors to boost their performance in the market.
This document is a preliminary draft of a macroeconomic theory and policy textbook by David Andolfatto of Simon Fraser University. It includes an outline of the contents which covers topics such as gross domestic product, neoclassical theory, fiscal policy, consumption and saving, government spending and finance, capital and investment, and labor market flows and unemployment. It aims to provide students with the basics of macroeconomic theory.
The housing market is facing challenges nationally, with new housing starts, sales, and mortgage applications declining after the expiration of federal tax credits. However, the Southwest California market has seen unit sales increase month-over-month in most areas, with records set in June. Inventory remains low while demand is still strong. Prices have stabilized across the region after steep declines from 2007-2009, though short sales and loan modifications remain challenges. The local job market will be important to sustaining the recovery against negative national trends.
The document provides a daily forex report dated October 16th, 2012. It includes the following:
1) Headlines discussing declining dollar inflows from non-resident Indians as the rupee gains strength, making NRI deposits less attractive.
2) Trading tips to buy EUR/INR and USD/INR.
3) Reference exchange rates from the RBI and past performance on trades.
4) Charts and analysis of the USD/INR and EUR/INR markets.
The Nifty and Sensex indices closed up for the week, gaining 1.04% and 1.05% respectively. Major sectors like realty and oil & gas performed well. Top gainers during the week included HDIL, Unitech, and Cairn India. Technically, the Nifty may see a short-term range-bound movement around 6150-5690 levels this week. Risks to India's macroeconomic stability have increased due to economic slowdown, high inflation, and fiscal and current account deficits.
Fundamental Analysis and Analyst Recommendations - China RailwayBCV
This document provides a fundamental analysis and analyst recommendations for several Chinese railway companies in March 2012. It includes key financial data such as market capitalization, share prices, debt levels, revenue, EBITDA, EPS, growth rates, and valuation metrics for each company compared to peers. Credit ratings from S&P and Moody's are also listed where available. The analysis is intended to help inform investment decisions.
While foreclosure data shows Riverside-San Bernardino has high foreclosure rates, the author argues the media misinterprets the data. Foreclosures are declining in the region as homes actually going to foreclosure are down 68% from last year. Inventory is also down significantly, and median home prices are rising. The housing market, while still showing effects of the crisis, appears to be stabilizing and improving according to the author.
The rupee strengthened to a one-month high against the dollar due to the government allowing higher diesel prices, which could help reduce the fiscal deficit. The euro rose against the pound on concerns about the weak UK economy versus improved sentiment in the eurozone. Traders recommended selling the euro/rupee pair below 72.64 and buying the dollar/rupee pair above 54.85.
Epic Research is a leading financial services provider with presence in Indian and other global capital markets. Provides Stock Tips, Forex Tips, Commodity Tips, MCX Tips, Equity Tips, Tips, Intraday Tips, NSE Tips, BSE Tips, COMEX Tips, PCG Pack and NCDEX Tips. We provide services in equity, commodity and Forex market.
The daily forex report provides analysis of currency movements and trading recommendations. Key points include:
- The US dollar pulled back from recent highs as the yen was supported by Japan approving new leadership at the central bank.
- Trading tips recommend selling USD/INR below 54.19 and EUR/INR below 70.87.
- Charts and analysis indicate bearish trends for USD/INR and EUR/INR, recommending selling on rises in these currency pairs.
Gold and silver prices were higher at the beginning of the day but closed with modest gains and losses, respectively. Crude oil prices were higher and closed with marginal losses. The RSI and stochastic indicators for gold and crude oil signal support for prices, while those for silver signal selling pressure. Commodity markets face resistance and support at various price levels detailed in the report. The Cabinet approved an increase in MSP for copra.
The Indian equity markets ended lower, with the Nifty closing below 5700 points. Metals stocks declined significantly, with MMTC falling 9% after the government announced plans to sell a 9.33% stake in the company. Overall market sentiment was weak, with advancing stocks well below declining stocks. Key indices like the Sensex and Nifty closed down around 0.2-0.4% amid weak global cues.
This document provides an overview of various stock market indices, interest rates, exchange rates, and commodities prices from 2016 back to 2006. It shows that most indices saw negative returns over the past year, with concerns over China's economy being a major factor. Interest rates remain low by historical standards. The US dollar has strengthened against other major currencies in recent years, while oil prices have fallen sharply but gold prices have risen.
Western Areas NL is Australia's class leading nickel producer. The document provides an overview of Western Areas' operations, including its Flying Fox and Spotted Quoll mines which produced a total of 31,000 tonnes of nickel in 2012. It also discusses the company's exploration and growth strategy and notes that Western Areas is well positioned to benefit from an anticipated upswing in the nickel market.
Daily stock market report 1 january 2020 by indira securitiesIndira Securities
Investment starts from a set goal and objective. It’s all about following a dream with a vision. It is about understanding the market and grabbing the nerve at the right time, importantly the gut feel and common sense which shall reap immense profits.
Gold has significantly outperformed other investment avenues in India over the past three years, doubling returns while the stock market has posted losses. Silver is expected to trade between Rs. 58,000 to Rs. 78,000 per kg until Diwali due to increased demand during the festive season and a supportive macroeconomic environment for precious metals. Daily commodity reports show most commodities declining, with gold and silver prices trending downward.
The document appears to be a trading log listing over 100 currency trades of the GBPUSD pair between April 2012 and March 2012. For each trade it includes the open and close dates, trade direction (buy or sell), lot size, take profit and stop loss levels, open price and close price. The summary at the bottom tallies the total pips and profit from all the trades, showing a total profit of 585.3 pips or $533.80 based on the standard pip value of $0.10.
Amit Anand is seeking an internship opportunity where he can utilize his skills and contribute to the organization's development. He has an MBA in Retail Management and BBA and has work experience as a PDI Manager and Workshop Manager. He has technical skills and participated in several extracurricular activities related to social causes. He provides references from a former professor and HR professional.
This document certifies that Amit Anand has passed the Oracle Certified Professional, Java SE 6 Programmer exam with an identification number of 24494019OCPJSE6P as of May 04, 2011.
Mercer Capital | Webinar: Outlook for Bank M&A in 2013 | February 12 2013Mercer Capital
This document provides financial metrics and performance ratios for banks and thrifts of different asset sizes. Several charts show trends and comparisons between 1984-2012 for return on assets, return on equity, net interest margin, and other ratios. Transaction activity and pricing multiples from 2012-2013 are also examined. The analysis finds that larger institutions generally achieved higher profitability and returns, while smaller banks traded at higher price-to-book value multiples. The document examines key differences in the operating performance and market valuation of institutions based on their asset size.
Epic Research - Urgent Opening for the Position of Stock market manager, Freshers and Experienced apply today. If you are Graduate/Post graduate so you can drop your CV for more details you can visit Epic Research.
The daily forex report provides the following information:
- The dollar index rose to a 1-month high against a basket of currencies due to gains against the euro and yen.
- Trading tips are given to buy USD/INR above certain levels and targets are provided.
- Daily market statistics on prices of various commodities are presented.
- Charts of USD/INR and EUR/INR are shown and analyzed.
- Upcoming economic data releases from major currencies are listed.
Special report by epic research of 16 aug 2017Epic Research
Epic Research is a leading financial advisory company provides daily share market reports on different segments. it provides daily updates to investors as well as it helps investors to boost their performance in the market.
This document is a preliminary draft of a macroeconomic theory and policy textbook by David Andolfatto of Simon Fraser University. It includes an outline of the contents which covers topics such as gross domestic product, neoclassical theory, fiscal policy, consumption and saving, government spending and finance, capital and investment, and labor market flows and unemployment. It aims to provide students with the basics of macroeconomic theory.
The housing market is facing challenges nationally, with new housing starts, sales, and mortgage applications declining after the expiration of federal tax credits. However, the Southwest California market has seen unit sales increase month-over-month in most areas, with records set in June. Inventory remains low while demand is still strong. Prices have stabilized across the region after steep declines from 2007-2009, though short sales and loan modifications remain challenges. The local job market will be important to sustaining the recovery against negative national trends.
The document provides a daily forex report dated October 16th, 2012. It includes the following:
1) Headlines discussing declining dollar inflows from non-resident Indians as the rupee gains strength, making NRI deposits less attractive.
2) Trading tips to buy EUR/INR and USD/INR.
3) Reference exchange rates from the RBI and past performance on trades.
4) Charts and analysis of the USD/INR and EUR/INR markets.
The Nifty and Sensex indices closed up for the week, gaining 1.04% and 1.05% respectively. Major sectors like realty and oil & gas performed well. Top gainers during the week included HDIL, Unitech, and Cairn India. Technically, the Nifty may see a short-term range-bound movement around 6150-5690 levels this week. Risks to India's macroeconomic stability have increased due to economic slowdown, high inflation, and fiscal and current account deficits.
Fundamental Analysis and Analyst Recommendations - China RailwayBCV
This document provides a fundamental analysis and analyst recommendations for several Chinese railway companies in March 2012. It includes key financial data such as market capitalization, share prices, debt levels, revenue, EBITDA, EPS, growth rates, and valuation metrics for each company compared to peers. Credit ratings from S&P and Moody's are also listed where available. The analysis is intended to help inform investment decisions.
While foreclosure data shows Riverside-San Bernardino has high foreclosure rates, the author argues the media misinterprets the data. Foreclosures are declining in the region as homes actually going to foreclosure are down 68% from last year. Inventory is also down significantly, and median home prices are rising. The housing market, while still showing effects of the crisis, appears to be stabilizing and improving according to the author.
The rupee strengthened to a one-month high against the dollar due to the government allowing higher diesel prices, which could help reduce the fiscal deficit. The euro rose against the pound on concerns about the weak UK economy versus improved sentiment in the eurozone. Traders recommended selling the euro/rupee pair below 72.64 and buying the dollar/rupee pair above 54.85.
Epic Research is a leading financial services provider with presence in Indian and other global capital markets. Provides Stock Tips, Forex Tips, Commodity Tips, MCX Tips, Equity Tips, Tips, Intraday Tips, NSE Tips, BSE Tips, COMEX Tips, PCG Pack and NCDEX Tips. We provide services in equity, commodity and Forex market.
The daily forex report provides analysis of currency movements and trading recommendations. Key points include:
- The US dollar pulled back from recent highs as the yen was supported by Japan approving new leadership at the central bank.
- Trading tips recommend selling USD/INR below 54.19 and EUR/INR below 70.87.
- Charts and analysis indicate bearish trends for USD/INR and EUR/INR, recommending selling on rises in these currency pairs.
Gold and silver prices were higher at the beginning of the day but closed with modest gains and losses, respectively. Crude oil prices were higher and closed with marginal losses. The RSI and stochastic indicators for gold and crude oil signal support for prices, while those for silver signal selling pressure. Commodity markets face resistance and support at various price levels detailed in the report. The Cabinet approved an increase in MSP for copra.
The Indian equity markets ended lower, with the Nifty closing below 5700 points. Metals stocks declined significantly, with MMTC falling 9% after the government announced plans to sell a 9.33% stake in the company. Overall market sentiment was weak, with advancing stocks well below declining stocks. Key indices like the Sensex and Nifty closed down around 0.2-0.4% amid weak global cues.
This document provides an overview of various stock market indices, interest rates, exchange rates, and commodities prices from 2016 back to 2006. It shows that most indices saw negative returns over the past year, with concerns over China's economy being a major factor. Interest rates remain low by historical standards. The US dollar has strengthened against other major currencies in recent years, while oil prices have fallen sharply but gold prices have risen.
Western Areas NL is Australia's class leading nickel producer. The document provides an overview of Western Areas' operations, including its Flying Fox and Spotted Quoll mines which produced a total of 31,000 tonnes of nickel in 2012. It also discusses the company's exploration and growth strategy and notes that Western Areas is well positioned to benefit from an anticipated upswing in the nickel market.
Daily stock market report 1 january 2020 by indira securitiesIndira Securities
Investment starts from a set goal and objective. It’s all about following a dream with a vision. It is about understanding the market and grabbing the nerve at the right time, importantly the gut feel and common sense which shall reap immense profits.
Gold has significantly outperformed other investment avenues in India over the past three years, doubling returns while the stock market has posted losses. Silver is expected to trade between Rs. 58,000 to Rs. 78,000 per kg until Diwali due to increased demand during the festive season and a supportive macroeconomic environment for precious metals. Daily commodity reports show most commodities declining, with gold and silver prices trending downward.
The document appears to be a trading log listing over 100 currency trades of the GBPUSD pair between April 2012 and March 2012. For each trade it includes the open and close dates, trade direction (buy or sell), lot size, take profit and stop loss levels, open price and close price. The summary at the bottom tallies the total pips and profit from all the trades, showing a total profit of 585.3 pips or $533.80 based on the standard pip value of $0.10.
Amit Anand is seeking an internship opportunity where he can utilize his skills and contribute to the organization's development. He has an MBA in Retail Management and BBA and has work experience as a PDI Manager and Workshop Manager. He has technical skills and participated in several extracurricular activities related to social causes. He provides references from a former professor and HR professional.
This document certifies that Amit Anand has passed the Oracle Certified Professional, Java SE 6 Programmer exam with an identification number of 24494019OCPJSE6P as of May 04, 2011.
Vinnie Lauria gives a presentation to the IBM Think Seminar and covers:
* The Silicon Valley NewTech Meetup (svnewtech)
* What Startups are building
* Cloud Computing
* Software as a Service (Sas) - though I hate that term :P
This document provides an overview of fundraising in Silicon Valley based on the author's experience. Some key points covered include:
- Fundraising is difficult but gets easier with experience and improves the founder's skills.
- Companies should forecast needs for 18 months and raise enough capital to last that long.
- Having a good pitch, practicing the pitch, and improving it are fundamentals of fundraising.
- Silicon Valley has many angel investors and venture capital firms willing to make big bets.
- Companies need traction and superior market knowledge before raising funds in the Valley.
Social Alchemy - How to grow a community from 5 to 5,000Vinnie Lauria
Vinnie Lauria shares his early experiences and advice on how he grew his 4,800 member community from just 5 people over the past 4 years. In addition to organizing the Silicon Valley NewTech Meetup, Vinnie is the co-founder of Lefora.com Forum Hosting.
Improving business results through digital transformation Tm forum live! - ...Amit Anand
Findings from McKinsey's Telecom IT diagnostics which shows how performance and investments in certain areas of IT correlates with profit margin of operators.
Venture capital fundraising activity slowed in the third quarter of 2008, with 55 funds raising $8.1 billion, down 29% in the number of funds and 6% in dollars raised compared to the same period in 2007. Fewer firms are raising larger funds, with many raising over $500 million for industries like life sciences and clean technology. Despite turbulence in the markets, top venture firms continued to successfully raise funds as innovative companies sought funding.
Venture capital fundraising activity slowed in the third quarter of 2007, with 59 firms raising $6 billion, down from the previous quarter. This was the lowest number of firms raising money since 2001 and represented about 79% of the funds raised in the same period of 2006. Most funds raised were for early stage companies. While follow-on funds outnumbered new funds by over 6 to 1, the total raised by new funds was over $500 million, exceeding the amount raised in 5 of the last 12 quarters. The largest funds raised were Battery Ventures VIII at $750 million and Bessemer Venture Partners VII at $625 million.
Venture Capital Fundraising Activity - Q1 2008 mensa25
Venture capital fundraising activity slowed in the first quarter of 2008, with 57 funds raising $6.3 billion, a 31% decrease in the number of funds raised compared to the first quarter of 2007. Follow-on funds dominated fundraising, with 52 follow-on funds raised compared to just 5 new funds. The ratio of follow-on to new funds was approximately 10-to-1 for the quarter, compared to less than 3-to-1 in the first quarter of 2007. The largest funds raised focused on balanced stage investments in life sciences and clean technologies.
The document provides industry allocation recommendations for developed markets based on an analysis of 24 industries. It ranks the industries from 1 to 24 based on their expected return potential, with Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment ranked first. It recommends overweighting the top industries and underweighting the bottom industries relative to benchmark weights. The analysis considers factors like valuation, income generation, growth, profitability, and sentiment to determine the industry rankings.
The document provides industry allocation recommendations for developed markets based on an analysis of 24 industries. It ranks the industries from 1 to 24 based on their expected return potential, with Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment ranked first. It recommends overweighting the top industries and underweighting the bottom industries relative to benchmark weights. The analysis considers factors like valuation, income generation, growth, profitability, and sentiment to determine the industry rankings.
Strong Fund Reserves Diminish Need For Venture Capitalists to Raise Additiona...mensa25
Strong fund reserves have diminished the need for venture capitalists to raise additional capital in 2022. In the first quarter, 44 venture capital funds raised $2.2 billion, a 56% decline from the previous quarter. This is an appropriate level given existing reserves and the investment pace. Limited partners have less appetite for new commitments until there is more liquidity from portfolio company exits. The average venture fund size was $50 million, reflecting downward trends in technology valuations.
Venture capital fundraising strengthened in the second quarter of 2008, with 71 funds raising $9.1 billion, a 3% increase from the same period in 2007. While the number of funds decreased by 14%, the total dollar amount raised was up. Follow-on funds outnumbered new funds by approximately 2 to 1. The top three largest funds raised were Lightspeed Venture Partners VIII ($800 million), Foundation Capital VI ($750 million), and Kleiner Perkins Caufield & Byers XIII ($700 million).
This file is used for implied growth rate calculation of sensex and using the average implied growth rate a sensex value has been calculated which can be used as a correct sensex value (should be, in ideal case).
This document contains stock market data including closing share prices, beta values, earnings per share, and free float for various companies over multiple months. Key metrics like 30-day average closing prices, beta, and EPS are shown for companies from sectors like automotive, banking, cement, energy, fast moving consumer goods, information technology, pharmaceuticals, and telecommunications.
Outlook On M&A Opportunities for Catalist Companies in SingaporeMyron Tay
Market capitalisation of Catalist declined 59% compared to Main Board of 46%.
Average market value of a Catalist company is $23 million compared to average value of
$559 million for a Main Board company. An average Catalist company is only 4% of the
market value of an average Main Board company.
Platts Petrochemicals - Shale gas impact on us petchem production march 2013Platts
The document discusses how increased shale gas production in the US has led to growth in petrochemical production, especially of ethylene and polyethylene. It notes that US/Canada demand growth would need to be around 6% annually to absorb all new polyethylene production through 2019, but has only been around 1-2% recently. As a result, excess polyethylene may be exported, with Mexico potentially absorbing 1.5 million tons by 2023 if its demand grows 4% annually. Central and South America could also absorb nearly 3 million tons by 2023 at 4% annual growth rates. Surpluses are expected in 2018-2019 before markets balance in 2023 if growth rates slow slightly.
The document evaluates monetary and fiscal policy responses to the 2008 financial crisis in real time. It compares actual policies to counterfactual scenarios, such as keeping interest rates slightly positive instead of dropping to zero. Actual monetary policy involved large increases in bank reserves and purchases of mortgage-backed securities, while the counterfactual considers no securities purchases. For fiscal policy, a counterfactual without stimulus packages in 2008-2009 is preliminarily examined by looking at disposable income and consumption without the stimulus. The analysis aims to quickly evaluate policy effectiveness during an ongoing crisis.
This document summarizes housing market data over a two year period from June 2008 to June 2010 in Bucks County, Pennsylvania. It shows that during this period, the average sold home price decreased by 4.0% (a total of $11,258) while the median sold home price decreased by 5.2% (a total of $17,018). It also provides monthly breakdowns of key metrics like the number of homes sold, average and median sold prices, and average days on market.
The global economic crisis heavily impacted venture-backed exits in 2008. IPO activity reached a 30-year low with just 6 exits for the year. M&A activity also slowed with 260 deals for the full year, down from 300+ deals annually since 2003. The inability of strong companies to go public and softening of acquisitions had major effects on the venture investment lifecycle in 2008 and will slow new investments and fundraising in 2009 until exit markets improve.
Kazakhstan has experienced strong economic growth in recent years driven by exports of oil and metals. GDP growth averaged over 9% annually from 2004-2008. However, Kazakhstan's economy, like others, has been impacted by the global economic downturn with GDP growth slowing to 1.2% in 2009. Private consumption, government spending, and investment have all continued to increase but at slower rates. Exports, which had been growing over 35% annually, declined sharply in 2009. ENI has played a major role in Kazakhstan's oil and gas industry through projects like Karachaganak and Kashagan and continues working to develop the country's energy resources.
Kazakhstan faces challenges in developing its economy and leveraging foreign direct investment. Eni, an Italian energy company, has operated in Kazakhstan since 1992 through joint ventures and subsidiaries. It explores for and produces oil and gas, and provides engineering and construction services. Eni produces over 100,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day in Kazakhstan. The country aims to develop its industrial infrastructure and utilize its natural resource wealth to drive economic growth.
David Rubenstein's SuperReturn Presentationdanprimack
The global credit meltdown has significantly changed the private equity industry in several ways:
1) Dealmaking and fundraising have declined dramatically since 2007 as confidence has diminished and focus has shifted to preserving existing portfolio company values.
2) The nature of new investments has changed, with deals now being smaller in size and requiring more equity.
3) Exits have become more difficult, which will lead to lower returns and fewer distributions to investors.
4) The challenges facing the industry include adapting business models to the changed environment, improving communication with governments and investors, and strengthening limited partner relationships and trust.
This document provides an overview of Shield AutoGlass Limited's financial performance from 2008-2011. Key points include:
- Liquidity ratios show the company has faced short-term debt payment challenges in recent years.
- Inventory turnover has fluctuated while debt collection periods have improved, indicating better debt recovery.
- The company has experienced losses each year as operating expenses outweigh profits.
- Recommendations include improving liquidity, reducing costs, and boosting inventory turnover to enhance viability.
Gold prices edged higher in early trade on Friday as dollar held steady but the metal remained on track to post its biggest weekly decline since May 2017. Spot gold rose 0.3 percent at $1,177.38 an ounce.
Similar to Its A Bubble...For Sure (2008.05.27) (20)
The Evolution and Impact of OTT Platforms: A Deep Dive into the Future of Ent...ABHILASH DUTTA
This presentation provides a thorough examination of Over-the-Top (OTT) platforms, focusing on their development and substantial influence on the entertainment industry, with a particular emphasis on the Indian market.We begin with an introduction to OTT platforms, defining them as streaming services that deliver content directly over the internet, bypassing traditional broadcast channels. These platforms offer a variety of content, including movies, TV shows, and original productions, allowing users to access content on-demand across multiple devices.The historical context covers the early days of streaming, starting with Netflix's inception in 1997 as a DVD rental service and its transition to streaming in 2007. The presentation also highlights India's television journey, from the launch of Doordarshan in 1959 to the introduction of Direct-to-Home (DTH) satellite television in 2000, which expanded viewing choices and set the stage for the rise of OTT platforms like Big Flix, Ditto TV, Sony LIV, Hotstar, and Netflix. The business models of OTT platforms are explored in detail. Subscription Video on Demand (SVOD) models, exemplified by Netflix and Amazon Prime Video, offer unlimited content access for a monthly fee. Transactional Video on Demand (TVOD) models, like iTunes and Sky Box Office, allow users to pay for individual pieces of content. Advertising-Based Video on Demand (AVOD) models, such as YouTube and Facebook Watch, provide free content supported by advertisements. Hybrid models combine elements of SVOD and AVOD, offering flexibility to cater to diverse audience preferences.
Content acquisition strategies are also discussed, highlighting the dual approach of purchasing broadcasting rights for existing films and TV shows and investing in original content production. This section underscores the importance of a robust content library in attracting and retaining subscribers.The presentation addresses the challenges faced by OTT platforms, including the unpredictability of content acquisition and audience preferences. It emphasizes the difficulty of balancing content investment with returns in a competitive market, the high costs associated with marketing, and the need for continuous innovation and adaptation to stay relevant.
The impact of OTT platforms on the Bollywood film industry is significant. The competition for viewers has led to a decrease in cinema ticket sales, affecting the revenue of Bollywood films that traditionally rely on theatrical releases. Additionally, OTT platforms now pay less for film rights due to the uncertain success of films in cinemas.
Looking ahead, the future of OTT in India appears promising. The market is expected to grow by 20% annually, reaching a value of ₹1200 billion by the end of the decade. The increasing availability of affordable smartphones and internet access will drive this growth, making OTT platforms a primary source of entertainment for many viewers.
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Its A Bubble...For Sure (2008.05.27)
1. It’s a bubble, for sure…
Amit Anand
Economist
amit.anand@krchoksey.com
91-22-6696 5555 (Ext. 402)
91- 22-
2. Consumption is almost stagnant
Consumption
Total World
Production OECD U.S. Europe China Other Asia Total World
Jan 84.23 48.8 20.56 0.85 7.33 8.74 85.1
Feb 84.31 50.42 21.27 0.85 7.33 8.74 86.53
Mar 84.08 49.32 20.53 0.85 7.33 8.74 84.56
Apr 84.55 47.87 20.58 0.78 7.52 8.83 84.3
May 84.23 47.8 20.63 0.78 7.52 8.83 84.26
Jun 84.33 48.47 20.74 0.78 7.52 8.83 84.9
Jul 84.63 48.53 20.64 0.73 7.59 8.64 85.18
Aug 83.77 48.81 21.05 0.73 7.59 8.64 85.41
Sep 84.61 48.44 20.38 0.73 7.59 8.64 84.62
Oct 85.45 49.43 20.46 0.79 7.87 8.93 86.44
Nov 85.24 50.11 20.71 0.79 7.87 8.93 87.08
2007 Dec 85.76 49.67 20.87 0.79 7.87 8.93 86.47
Jan 85.72 48.84 20.11 0.86 7.72 8.81 86.25
Feb 85.97 49.82 19.78 0.86 7.72 8.81 87.02
Mar 85.89 49.51 20.31 0.86 7.72 8.81 85.8
Apr 85.67 48.32 20.35 0.8 7.93 8.88 86.04
May 86.13 47.37 20.43 0.8 7.93 8.88 85.12
Jun 86.71 48.35 20.67 0.8 7.93 8.88 86.06
Jul 87.16 48.43 20.68 0.75 8.05 8.66 86.31
Aug 87.06 48.66 20.99 0.75 8.05 8.66 86.49
Sep 87.34 48.94 20.45 0.75 8.05 8.66 86.57
Oct 87.04 48.71 20.62 0.81 8.32 8.97 86.99
Nov 87.24 49.51 20.68 0.81 8.32 8.97 87.69
2008 Dec 87.24 50.93 20.95 0.81 8.32 8.97 88.99
3. OPEC supply has infact increased this year
38 3
37
36 2.5
35
34 2
33
32 1.5
31
30 1
29
28 0.5
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Total OP EC Supply OP EC Crude Oil P roduction Capacity OP EC Surplus Capacity (RHS)
4. Is it a bubble then?
• The present oil boom has symptoms of a financial bubble, such as Japan in the
1980s, technology stocks in the 1990s and, most recently, housing and
mortgages in the US.
• There has been no major ‘fundamental changes’ during the past nine months.
• The oil markets didn't suddenly discover China's oil demand nine months ago
so this cannot explain the doubling of prices since last August.
• In fact, China's “insatiable” demand growth has decelerated. In 2004 it was
consuming an extra 0.9 million barrels a day; in 2007 it was consuming just an
extra 0.3 mbd.
• In the same period global demand growth has slowed from 3.6 mbd to 0.7 mbd.
• The increase in global demand growth is now well below last year's increase of
0.8 mbd in non-Opec production.
5. The increase in demand from Index Speculators is almost
equal to the increase in demand from China!
6.
7. Is it a bubble then?
• The Gulf is overcrowded with supertankers chartered by oil-producing
governments to hold the inventories of oil they are pumping but cannot
sell.
• It means that there are few buyers for physical oil cargoes at today's
prices, but interestingly there are plenty of buyers for pieces of paper
linked to the price of oil next month and next year.
• This situation is exactly similar to the bubble in credit markets a year
ago, where nobody wanted to buy sub-prime mortgage bonds, but there
was plenty of demand for “financial derivatives” that allowed investors
to bet on the future value of these bonds.
8. Financial Funds in Energy markets
• Demand shocks are coming from institutional investors like corporate and government
pension funds, university endowments, and sovereign wealth funds. Index speculators
are the primary cause of the recent price spikes in commodities.
• The explosion in the number of financial players in the energy markets has occurred
especially in the past two years, which also happened to be a period of soaring energy
prices.
• There are now 634 energy hedge funds, up from just 180 in October, 2004.
• Of the total funds now, 210 are strictly energy commodity funds trading oil or oil futures
and options, as opposed to the stocks of energy companies such as ExxonMobil and
Chevron.
• Large financial institutions such as Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley have also
stepped up their participation in the energy markets.
• More money has flowed into commodities as a hedge against the falling value of the
dollar and as an investment alternative to a volatile stock market. These fund flows have
influenced oil prices heavily.
9. Apart from crude, the Index
Speculators have raided other
major commodities too. Huge
jump in future prices tell the
real reason behind this “Super
Spike” theory.
10. Financial Funds in Energy markets
• These funds are not traditional speculators but index speculators, or passive
investors who enter the commodities markets as a long-term hedge against
inflation.
• Though, Commodities exchanges limit the number of positions an investor can
take in the market, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission has allowed
unlimited speculation in these markets through a loophole.
• This ‘swaps loophole’ exempts investment banks like Goldman Sachs and Merrill
Lynch from reporting requirements and limits on trading positions that are
required of other investors.
• The loophole allows pension funds, etc. to enter into a swap agreement with an
investment bank, which can then trade unlimited numbers of the contracts in
futures markets.
11.
12.
13. Financial Funds in Energy markets
• Speculative activity in commodity markets has grown dramatically over the last
several years.
• In the past decade, the share of long interests—positions that benefit when
prices rise—held by financial speculators has grown from one-quarter to two-
thirds of the commodity market.
• In only five years, from 2003 to 2008, investment in index funds tied to
commodities has grown twentyfold, from $13 billion to $260 billion.
• Hence, oil's recent rise has been fueled by non-supply-demand factors and
potential inventory misperceptions.
• In fact, new price determinants, dollar's value and interest rates in the oil markets,
are replacing supply and demand.
14.
15. Rajiv Choksey Co-Head Institutional Equities rajiv.choksey@krchoksey.com 91-22-6653 5135
Anuj Choksey Co-Head Institutional Equities anuj.choksey@krchoksey.com 91-22-6696-5500
Alok Agarwal Head Research alok.agarwal@krchoksey.com 91-22-6696-5502
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________
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