This document provides financial metrics and performance ratios for banks and thrifts of different asset sizes. Several charts show trends and comparisons between 1984-2012 for return on assets, return on equity, net interest margin, and other ratios. Transaction activity and pricing multiples from 2012-2013 are also examined. The analysis finds that larger institutions generally achieved higher profitability and returns, while smaller banks traded at higher price-to-book value multiples. The document examines key differences in the operating performance and market valuation of institutions based on their asset size.
14. Bank and Thrift Transactions
2012 to 2/6/2013
40
37
35
30
26 26
25
# of Deals
20
15
12 12 12
10 8
5
5
1
0
0% - 25% 25% - 50% 50% - 75% 75% - 100% 100% - 125% 125% - 150% 150% - 175% 175% - 200% 200% or
Greater
Source: Mercer Capital and SNL Financial, LC Price/Tangible Book Value
15. Bank and Thrift Transactions
2012 to 2/6/2013
30%
20%
10%
ROAE
0%
-10%
-20%
-30%
0.0x 0.5x 1.0x 1.5x 2.0x 2.5x 3.0x
Source: Mercer Capital and SNL Financial, LC Price/Tangible Book Value
16. Bank and Thrift Transactions
2012 to 2/6/2013
(excludes targets with ROAA < 0.5%)
20 19
18
16 15
14
12
12
# of Deals
10
8
6 5 5
4 3 3
2
0
0x - 5x 5x - 10x 10x - 15x 15x - 20x 20x - 25x 25x - 30x 30x or Greater
Source: Mercer Capital and SNL Financial, LC Price/Earnings
22. 20- Year Public Market P/E Relative to 20-Year Average
Median Price/Earnings YE09 YE10 YE11 YE12 13-Feb Average YE09 YE10 YE11 YE12 13-Feb
$100 Million - $1 Billion 14.7x 13.6x 11.8x 11.6x 12.8x 13.6x 108% 100% 87% 85% 94%
$1 Billion - $10 Billion 15.0x 15.1x 12.9x 12.7x 13.4x 14.2x 106% 106% 91% 89% 94%
> $10 Billion 19.1x 17.5x 13.4x 12.9x 13.6x 15.2x 126% 115% 88% 85% 89%
Median Acquisition P/E nm nm nm 33.5x 32.0x
20- Year Public Market P/TBV Relative to 20-Year Average
Median Price/TBV YE09 YE10 YE11 YE12 13-Feb Average YE09 YE10 YE11 YE12 13-Feb
$100 Million - $1 Billion 75% 77% 68% 81% 82% 116% 65% 66% 59% 70% 70%
$1 Billion - $10 Billion 109% 122% 104% 121% 122% 164% 67% 74% 63% 74% 74%
> $10 Billion 153% 155% 132% 139% 142% 218% 70% 71% 61% 64% 65%
Median Acquisition P/TBV 114% 116% 104% 117% 101%
23. Buyer Multiples Seller Multiples
Years to
Announce P/E Fwd Deal Val P/E Fwd Expense Earn Back Credit Buyer's
Date Buyer / Seller P/TBV P/E LTM Est ($M) P/TBV P/E LTM Est Saves TBVPS Dil Mark IRR Shares Comments
In-market deal that provides for
2/6/13 Renasant / First M&F 157% 18.1x 15.4x $146 122% 23.3x 16.1x 25% 2.5 5% 20% flat improved market share in key markets
and expense saves
United Bankshares / > cost of Strategic deal that further shifts center
1/29/13 155% 23.5x 15.5x $495 183% 21.0x 16.8x 25% 3-4 4% -3%
Virginia Commerce capital of gravity to N. Va. from W. Va.
EPS accretion 12% in first full year;
PacWest Bancorp / First
11/6/12 172% 16.4x 11.8x $235 170% 21.1x NA 50% 3.5 4% 18% 20% FCAL to become 8th largest CA-based
California
public bank
Investors disliked TBVPS earn-back,
Columbia Banking / -10% 1st
9/25/12 120% 16.0x 14.0x $509 145% 13.8x 21.4x 25% 7.0 5% >15% but 20/33% EPS accretion for
West Coast Bancorp 6 wks
FY13/14E. Portland/I-5 play
Significant footprint expansion; 6-8%
FirstMerit / Citizens -22% 1st FY14E EPS accretion. Street concern
9/12/12 164% 15.2x 14.2x $1,291 130% 2.6x 4.3x 22% 2.5 7% 18%
Republic 8 wks re: relative size and who FMER had to
out-bid
Street liked the deal due to capital
M&T Bank Corp. / +15% 1st accretion, in-fill in high density
8/27/12 219% 13.7x 11.0x $3,813 84% NM 12.7x 24% Accretive 2% 18%
Hudson City 8 wks markets, low-risk balance sheet and
~8% EPS accretion for FY14E
24. 150%
Pro Forma Bank
140%
+ Net expense saves
130% + P/E Expansion
Price / Tangible Book Value (%)
= Large P/TB
120% Expansion
110% Senior Bank
100%
90% Junior Bank
80%
70%
60%
9.0x 9.5x 10.0x 10.5x 11.0x 11.5x 12.0x 12.5x 13.0x 13.5x 14.0x
Price / Earnings (x) Multiple