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Introduction
1
STAT-301 PARS
Teacher Name: Shafaqat Ali
Objectives
• Understand the complexity of Governmental decisions
• Know the need of using quantitative approach to management
decisions
• Appreciate the role of Statistical methods in data analysis.
2
Role of observations ?
The observation play very important role in all field of study such as:
Agriculture, Industry, Transport, Business, Insurance, Banking and
biological sciences etc.
3
Why study statistics?
1. Data are everywhere
2. Statistical techniques are used to make many decisions that affect
our lives
3. No matter what your career, you will make professional decisions
that involve data. An understanding of statistical methods will help
you make these decisions efectively
Statistics is a collection of methods for planning experiments, obtaining
data, and then processing, summarizing, presenting, analyzing,
interpreting, and drawing scientific conclusions based on the data under
uncertain conditions.
Variation and Uncertainty
• Statistics is the subject which deals with the variability. No
two objects in a universe are exactly alike. If they were, there
would have been no statistical problem.
• It also deals with uncertainty as every process of getting
observations whether controlled or uncontrolled, involves
deficiencies or chance variation. That is why we have to talk in
terms of probability since the inferences which are made
about the population on the basis of sample evidence cannot
be absolutely certain.
What is Statistics?
• “Statistics is a way to get information from data”
Data Information
Statistics
Data: Facts,
especially numerical
facts, collected
together for
reference or
information.
Information:
Communicated
concerning some
particular facts.
Decision
making
6
7
STATISTICS
o Statistics may be defined as
a science of collection , representation , analysis
and interpretation of numerical data under
uncertainty conditions.
Population vs Sample
Population
(have Parameters)
Parameters: µ, σ, ρ
Statistical
Inference
Population: A Population
is a group of all
object/elements/items
under investigation.
Sample: A representative
part/subset of the
population.
8
Branches of Statistics
Statistics
Descriptive Inferential
9
Variable Any Characteristic that may vary from Object to Object is known
as Variable. e.g., marks, age, height, sex, sales, etc.
•Height of a tree
•Number of insects on a tree
•Colour of a flower
10
Type of Variable
Variable
Qualitative Quantitative
Discrete Continuous
Characteristic which
varies in quality (not
numerically) e.g.,
•Eye colour,
•Behaviour ,
•Quality,
•Design,
•Performance
•No. of students
•No. of chairs
•No. of deaths
•No. of births in a hospital
•No. of accidents
•Height
•Weight
•Marks
•Time
•Distance
•Temperature11
12
Qualitative Variable
• When the characteristic being studied is
nonnumeric, it is called a qualitative variable or
an attribute.
• For example, gender, religious affiliation, type
of automobile owned, eye colour, etc.
• When the data are qualitative, we are usually
interested in how many or what proportion fall
in each category.
13
Quantitative Variable
When the variable studied can be reported
numerically, the variable is called a quantitative
variable.
For example,balance in your checking account, the
ages of company employees, the life of an
automobile battery (such as 42 months), and the
number of children in a family, etc.
14
Discrete Variable
Discrete variables can assume only certain values, and
there are usually “gaps” between the values.
For example, number of bedrooms in a house (1, 2, 3,
4, etc.)
We count, for example, the number of bedrooms in a
house,Notice that a home can have 3 or 4 bedrooms,
but it cannot have 3.56 bedrooms. Thus, there is a
“gap” between possible values. Typically, discrete
variables result from counting.
15
Continuous Variable
Continuous variable can assume any value within a
specific range, i.e., its domain is an interval with all
possible values without gaps. The continuous
variable flows without a break from one value to the
next with no limit to the number of distinct values.
Examples of continuous variables are the air pressure
in a tire and the weight of a shipment of tomatoes,
height of a student, etc. Typically, continuous
variables result from measuring.
INTRODUCTION TO STATISTICS
➢ Data
The Collection of some related observations is called data. Recording, Picture,
Numerical values.
➢ Classification of data
Data that may have been originally collected and have not undergone any sort
of statistical treatment or statistical method are called Primary data, while the
data that have undergone any sort of statistical treatment at least once are called
Secondary data.
Data may be available from existing sources e.g. records and publications or the
same may have to be collected afresh.
16
INTRODUCTION TO STATISTICS
➢ Collection of primary data
(1) Direct personal investigation / indirect
(2) Personal interview.
(3) Collection through questionnaires.
(4) Collection through enumerators.
(5) Collection through local sources
➢ Collection of Secondary data:
1. Official Publications
❑ Federal/punjab Bureau of Statistics
❑ Population Census(each and every unit of population) of Organization
❑ Ministries of Health, Food, Agriculture, Finance etc. State bank of Pakistan SBP
❑ Provincial Bureaus of Statistics
(2) Semi-official University, Interloop,
17
By the number of variables
Univariate data set have single piece of information recorded for each item.
Weight of students
X = x1, x2 ,x3 ,x4 x5, x6,…………………, Xn
Bivariate data sets have exactly two piece of information recorded for every items.
Dependent or independent
Weight of students, height of students Income and expenditure, Price &
demand, Sale of vehicle and sale of mobile phones , Fertilizer and yield
Multivariate data sets have minimum three piece of information recorded for
every items
Weight of students + height of students + income of person
Fertilizer and environment factor = yield
Measurement scales
▪ Nominal scale
▪ Ordinal scale
▪ Interval scale
▪ Ratio scale
Quality measure: classify into non-
numeric form.
Quantitative measure:
Data obtained Numerically.
Nominal Scale:
The nominal scale of measurement uses numbers merely as a measurement
separating the objects or events into different classes or categories.
For example:
Gender:
Male / Female
Marital Status:
Single/ Married
Eye colour religion Specialization & Nationality
Ordinal Scale:
The ordinal scale of measurement uses numbers merely as a means of
arranging the objects being measured in order. Smallest to highest
“or” largest to lowest.
For example:
Student in a class
“Good and Excellent” Average“ below average”
Medical condition of patient
“Satisfactory ”, “Serious”, “Guarded”, “Critical”
This kind of measurement is obviously of higher type then that used in obtaining a nominal scale since we are
able not only to group individual into separate categories but to order the categories as well.
Interval Scale:
• A variable which measured in an interval scale can be “+”, “-”, “*”
but calculating ratio is not possible.
• Zero point in an interval scale is arbitrary. For example, a
temperature can be below 0-degree Celsius and or negative.
Ratio scale:
• It is a special kind of measurement where the scale of
measurement has a true point as its origin. The ratio scale us used
to measure weight volume, length distance, money, etc.
“The key to differentiating interval and ratio scale is that the zero point
is meaningful for ratio scale.
Some important notations
•Variables are usually denoted by X, Y, Z etc
• Number of values in a data set by n
•Sum of all the values of variable X
•Sum of squared of all values of X
•Deviation of values of X from a (X-a)
•Sum of deviation of X from a
•Sum of squared deviation of X from a
24
Some ingredients of statistics formula
X
2
4
5
6
8
25
X2
4
16
25
36
64
145
25
Some ingredients of statistics formula
X
2
4
5
6
8
25
X-6
-4
-2
-1
0
2
-5
(X-6)2
16
4
1
0
4
25
26
Some ingredients of statistics formula
X
2
4
5
6
8
25
X-5
-3
-1
0
1
3
0
Sum of deviations of values
from mean is always zero
27
Some ingredients of statistics formula
X
2
4
5
6
8
25
(X-5)2
9
1
0
1
9
20
(X-6)2
16
4
1
0
4
25
Sum of squared deviations
of values from mean is
always minimum
28
29
Presentation of data
When the suitable statistical data
have been collected, the next
step is the condensation or
presentation of the data so that
valid inferences can be drawn.
Methods for the presentation of
data
Presentation of Qualitative data
Example 1: Consider the data about Gender of 10 students
• Make a frequency distribution, relative frequency and percentage
frequency.
• Example 2: Suppose we have also collected data of Sections of these 10
students as
• Construct the Cross tabulation of the above data and interpret your
results?
M F M M F M F M M M
M F M M F M F M M M
A A A B B B A B A B
Sex
Sex
Section
30
Sex f r.f % f
Male
Female
Total
Sex Sec A Sec B Total
Male
Female
Total
31
Discrete data – Frequency Distribution
Example:
Following data represent the number of infected plants from a sample
of twenty experimental plots. Your task is to present it in tabular form.
1 2 4 3 0 1 2 3 1 1 0
2 1 0 2 3 0 0 1 3
Range= Xm-X0
Xm= maximum value in the given data set= 4
X0=minimum value in the given data set=0
32
Discrete Frequency Distribution
No. of infected
plants
X
0
1
2
3
4
Total
Relative
Frequency
5/20=0.25
6/20=0.30
4/20=0.20
4/20=0.20
1/20=0.05
1
Frequency
f
5
6
4
4
1
20
Tally
||||
|||| |
||||
||||
|
33
Percent
Frequency
0.25*100=25
0.30*100=30
0.20*100=
20
0.05*100=
5
100
Frequency Table for continuous variable
The following data represents the height of 30 wheat plants taken from the
experimental area. Construct a frequency distribution.
87 91 89 88 89 91 87 92 90 98 95
97 96 100 101 96 98 99 98 100 102 99
101 105 103 107 105 106 107 112
Range= (maximum value in data set)-(minimum value in data set)
34
Following data
represents the plant
height (cm) of a sample
of 30 plants.
87 91 89
88 89 91
87 92 90
98 95 97
96 100 101
96 98 99
98 100 102
99 101 105
103 107 105
106 107 112
Classes Frequency
(f)
86–90 6
91–95 4
96–100 10
101–105 6
106–110 3
111–115 1
Total 30
35
Frequency Distribution
• Tabular arrangement of data in which various items are
arranged into classes or groups and the number of items
falling in each class is stated.
• The number of observations falling in a particular class is
referred to as class frequency "f".
• Data presented in the form of a frequency distribution is also
called grouped data.
36
Some definitions
Class Limits
The class limits are defined as the number or the values of the variables which
are used to separate two classes. Sometimes classes are taken as
20--25, 20 , 21, 24 25, 27
25—30,
30--35 etc In such a case, these class limits means " 20 but less than 25", "25
but less than 30" etc
Class marks or midpoints
The class mark or the midpoint is that value which divides a class into two
equal parts. It is obtained by dividing the sum of lower and upper class limits
or class boundaries of a class by 2.
Class interval The difference between either two successive lower class
limits or two successive upper class limits or two successive midpoints and
denoted by "h".
37
Construction of a frequency distribution
38
Frequency Distribution
Classes
86–90
91–95
96–100
101–105
106–110
111–115
Total
Class Boundaries
85.5–90.5
90.5–95.5
95.5–100.5
100.5–105.5
105.5–110.5
110.5–115.5
Tally Freq (f) c.f. r.f. % freq
Mid-Point
(X)
Class
Interval
(h)
39

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Introduction.pdf

  • 2. Objectives • Understand the complexity of Governmental decisions • Know the need of using quantitative approach to management decisions • Appreciate the role of Statistical methods in data analysis. 2
  • 3. Role of observations ? The observation play very important role in all field of study such as: Agriculture, Industry, Transport, Business, Insurance, Banking and biological sciences etc. 3
  • 4. Why study statistics? 1. Data are everywhere 2. Statistical techniques are used to make many decisions that affect our lives 3. No matter what your career, you will make professional decisions that involve data. An understanding of statistical methods will help you make these decisions efectively Statistics is a collection of methods for planning experiments, obtaining data, and then processing, summarizing, presenting, analyzing, interpreting, and drawing scientific conclusions based on the data under uncertain conditions.
  • 5. Variation and Uncertainty • Statistics is the subject which deals with the variability. No two objects in a universe are exactly alike. If they were, there would have been no statistical problem. • It also deals with uncertainty as every process of getting observations whether controlled or uncontrolled, involves deficiencies or chance variation. That is why we have to talk in terms of probability since the inferences which are made about the population on the basis of sample evidence cannot be absolutely certain.
  • 6. What is Statistics? • “Statistics is a way to get information from data” Data Information Statistics Data: Facts, especially numerical facts, collected together for reference or information. Information: Communicated concerning some particular facts. Decision making 6
  • 7. 7 STATISTICS o Statistics may be defined as a science of collection , representation , analysis and interpretation of numerical data under uncertainty conditions.
  • 8. Population vs Sample Population (have Parameters) Parameters: µ, σ, ρ Statistical Inference Population: A Population is a group of all object/elements/items under investigation. Sample: A representative part/subset of the population. 8
  • 10. Variable Any Characteristic that may vary from Object to Object is known as Variable. e.g., marks, age, height, sex, sales, etc. •Height of a tree •Number of insects on a tree •Colour of a flower 10
  • 11. Type of Variable Variable Qualitative Quantitative Discrete Continuous Characteristic which varies in quality (not numerically) e.g., •Eye colour, •Behaviour , •Quality, •Design, •Performance •No. of students •No. of chairs •No. of deaths •No. of births in a hospital •No. of accidents •Height •Weight •Marks •Time •Distance •Temperature11
  • 12. 12 Qualitative Variable • When the characteristic being studied is nonnumeric, it is called a qualitative variable or an attribute. • For example, gender, religious affiliation, type of automobile owned, eye colour, etc. • When the data are qualitative, we are usually interested in how many or what proportion fall in each category.
  • 13. 13 Quantitative Variable When the variable studied can be reported numerically, the variable is called a quantitative variable. For example,balance in your checking account, the ages of company employees, the life of an automobile battery (such as 42 months), and the number of children in a family, etc.
  • 14. 14 Discrete Variable Discrete variables can assume only certain values, and there are usually “gaps” between the values. For example, number of bedrooms in a house (1, 2, 3, 4, etc.) We count, for example, the number of bedrooms in a house,Notice that a home can have 3 or 4 bedrooms, but it cannot have 3.56 bedrooms. Thus, there is a “gap” between possible values. Typically, discrete variables result from counting.
  • 15. 15 Continuous Variable Continuous variable can assume any value within a specific range, i.e., its domain is an interval with all possible values without gaps. The continuous variable flows without a break from one value to the next with no limit to the number of distinct values. Examples of continuous variables are the air pressure in a tire and the weight of a shipment of tomatoes, height of a student, etc. Typically, continuous variables result from measuring.
  • 16. INTRODUCTION TO STATISTICS ➢ Data The Collection of some related observations is called data. Recording, Picture, Numerical values. ➢ Classification of data Data that may have been originally collected and have not undergone any sort of statistical treatment or statistical method are called Primary data, while the data that have undergone any sort of statistical treatment at least once are called Secondary data. Data may be available from existing sources e.g. records and publications or the same may have to be collected afresh. 16
  • 17. INTRODUCTION TO STATISTICS ➢ Collection of primary data (1) Direct personal investigation / indirect (2) Personal interview. (3) Collection through questionnaires. (4) Collection through enumerators. (5) Collection through local sources ➢ Collection of Secondary data: 1. Official Publications ❑ Federal/punjab Bureau of Statistics ❑ Population Census(each and every unit of population) of Organization ❑ Ministries of Health, Food, Agriculture, Finance etc. State bank of Pakistan SBP ❑ Provincial Bureaus of Statistics (2) Semi-official University, Interloop, 17
  • 18. By the number of variables Univariate data set have single piece of information recorded for each item. Weight of students X = x1, x2 ,x3 ,x4 x5, x6,…………………, Xn Bivariate data sets have exactly two piece of information recorded for every items. Dependent or independent Weight of students, height of students Income and expenditure, Price & demand, Sale of vehicle and sale of mobile phones , Fertilizer and yield Multivariate data sets have minimum three piece of information recorded for every items Weight of students + height of students + income of person Fertilizer and environment factor = yield
  • 19. Measurement scales ▪ Nominal scale ▪ Ordinal scale ▪ Interval scale ▪ Ratio scale Quality measure: classify into non- numeric form. Quantitative measure: Data obtained Numerically.
  • 20. Nominal Scale: The nominal scale of measurement uses numbers merely as a measurement separating the objects or events into different classes or categories. For example: Gender: Male / Female Marital Status: Single/ Married Eye colour religion Specialization & Nationality
  • 21. Ordinal Scale: The ordinal scale of measurement uses numbers merely as a means of arranging the objects being measured in order. Smallest to highest “or” largest to lowest. For example: Student in a class “Good and Excellent” Average“ below average” Medical condition of patient “Satisfactory ”, “Serious”, “Guarded”, “Critical” This kind of measurement is obviously of higher type then that used in obtaining a nominal scale since we are able not only to group individual into separate categories but to order the categories as well.
  • 22. Interval Scale: • A variable which measured in an interval scale can be “+”, “-”, “*” but calculating ratio is not possible. • Zero point in an interval scale is arbitrary. For example, a temperature can be below 0-degree Celsius and or negative.
  • 23. Ratio scale: • It is a special kind of measurement where the scale of measurement has a true point as its origin. The ratio scale us used to measure weight volume, length distance, money, etc. “The key to differentiating interval and ratio scale is that the zero point is meaningful for ratio scale.
  • 24. Some important notations •Variables are usually denoted by X, Y, Z etc • Number of values in a data set by n •Sum of all the values of variable X •Sum of squared of all values of X •Deviation of values of X from a (X-a) •Sum of deviation of X from a •Sum of squared deviation of X from a 24
  • 25. Some ingredients of statistics formula X 2 4 5 6 8 25 X2 4 16 25 36 64 145 25
  • 26. Some ingredients of statistics formula X 2 4 5 6 8 25 X-6 -4 -2 -1 0 2 -5 (X-6)2 16 4 1 0 4 25 26
  • 27. Some ingredients of statistics formula X 2 4 5 6 8 25 X-5 -3 -1 0 1 3 0 Sum of deviations of values from mean is always zero 27
  • 28. Some ingredients of statistics formula X 2 4 5 6 8 25 (X-5)2 9 1 0 1 9 20 (X-6)2 16 4 1 0 4 25 Sum of squared deviations of values from mean is always minimum 28
  • 29. 29 Presentation of data When the suitable statistical data have been collected, the next step is the condensation or presentation of the data so that valid inferences can be drawn. Methods for the presentation of data
  • 30. Presentation of Qualitative data Example 1: Consider the data about Gender of 10 students • Make a frequency distribution, relative frequency and percentage frequency. • Example 2: Suppose we have also collected data of Sections of these 10 students as • Construct the Cross tabulation of the above data and interpret your results? M F M M F M F M M M M F M M F M F M M M A A A B B B A B A B Sex Sex Section 30
  • 31. Sex f r.f % f Male Female Total Sex Sec A Sec B Total Male Female Total 31
  • 32. Discrete data – Frequency Distribution Example: Following data represent the number of infected plants from a sample of twenty experimental plots. Your task is to present it in tabular form. 1 2 4 3 0 1 2 3 1 1 0 2 1 0 2 3 0 0 1 3 Range= Xm-X0 Xm= maximum value in the given data set= 4 X0=minimum value in the given data set=0 32
  • 33. Discrete Frequency Distribution No. of infected plants X 0 1 2 3 4 Total Relative Frequency 5/20=0.25 6/20=0.30 4/20=0.20 4/20=0.20 1/20=0.05 1 Frequency f 5 6 4 4 1 20 Tally |||| |||| | |||| |||| | 33 Percent Frequency 0.25*100=25 0.30*100=30 0.20*100= 20 0.05*100= 5 100
  • 34. Frequency Table for continuous variable The following data represents the height of 30 wheat plants taken from the experimental area. Construct a frequency distribution. 87 91 89 88 89 91 87 92 90 98 95 97 96 100 101 96 98 99 98 100 102 99 101 105 103 107 105 106 107 112 Range= (maximum value in data set)-(minimum value in data set) 34
  • 35. Following data represents the plant height (cm) of a sample of 30 plants. 87 91 89 88 89 91 87 92 90 98 95 97 96 100 101 96 98 99 98 100 102 99 101 105 103 107 105 106 107 112 Classes Frequency (f) 86–90 6 91–95 4 96–100 10 101–105 6 106–110 3 111–115 1 Total 30 35
  • 36. Frequency Distribution • Tabular arrangement of data in which various items are arranged into classes or groups and the number of items falling in each class is stated. • The number of observations falling in a particular class is referred to as class frequency "f". • Data presented in the form of a frequency distribution is also called grouped data. 36
  • 37. Some definitions Class Limits The class limits are defined as the number or the values of the variables which are used to separate two classes. Sometimes classes are taken as 20--25, 20 , 21, 24 25, 27 25—30, 30--35 etc In such a case, these class limits means " 20 but less than 25", "25 but less than 30" etc Class marks or midpoints The class mark or the midpoint is that value which divides a class into two equal parts. It is obtained by dividing the sum of lower and upper class limits or class boundaries of a class by 2. Class interval The difference between either two successive lower class limits or two successive upper class limits or two successive midpoints and denoted by "h". 37
  • 38. Construction of a frequency distribution 38