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Global evidence on relative impacts
of cash and food on child nutrition
outcomes
Harold Alderman
New Delhi | 24 September 2019
By many measures cash transfers have become the
mainstay of social protection
 Cash transfers assist roughly one billion people in low and middle
income countries
 This reflects a trend over the last two decades prompted by:
• Basic economic theory
• Improved technology for delivery and monitoring
• Extensive evidence on impacts
 Nevertheless, food oriented transfers persist, even in countries that
also provide cash.
Is in-kind
assistance
obsolete?
 Cash transfer technology is advancing and has
even been used in emergencies such as the
2004 Indian Ocean tsunami.
 The difference in food consumption between
cash and in-kind are slight although cash
transfers have been shown to promote diet
diversity.
 Advantages of cash transfer:
o Less costly than delivering in-kind support
(i.e. food);
o Cash transfers saved 13-23% in a set of
studies.
o Cash does not lead to increased
consumption of alcohol and tobacco -
review of purchases from 19 studies
On average, impacts of cash and food are similar
 Cash more effective in 48% of the cases, food in 36%
 In one of the best studies in Ecuador vouchers led to greater diet
diversity but fewer calories than in-kind
Source: Gentilini (2016,
2014)
Both forms of transfers have been shown to have
favorable impacts on household budget priorities
 In-kind transfers are generally on quotas and thus serve more or less as
an income transfer.
 In-kind and most cash transfers, even those without conditions, nudge
consumers to increase the share of their additional budget devoted to food.
oFor example, cash transfers in Colombia, Ecuador, Mexico, and
Nicaragua led to more expenditures on food and health compared to
general increases in income.
 Similar findings have been noted in studies of the food stamp program in
the United States.
But, the path from increased resources to improved
nutritional status is not assured
 Neither conditional nor unconditional cash transfers have delivered
improvements in nutrition commensurate with their success in addressing
poverty.
 Meta-analyses of 17 cash transfers programs (mainly from Latin America)
show little impact on height. Newer studies from Pakistan, Peru, and the
Philippines are more positive.
 The core issues is that increased income guarantees neither quality health
services nor improvements in sanitation.
 Knowledge about child care is one of the pillars of good nutrition, but is not
intrinsic to programs designed to transfer income.
Impact of cash
transfers on HAZ
by program type
There are a
range of
reasons for
limited impacts
of transfers on
nutrition
Methodological: looking at impact of transfers on
children who are not severely malnourished. Also,
many studies look at children 0-5 even though
growth velocity is greatest for younger children.
In addition, stunting is cumulative, and a short trial
will bias impacts downward.
Substantive barriers: The most challenging issue
for nutrition-sensitive transfers is the quality of
health care that households are able to obtain.
Growth monitoring is a common conditionality but is
not the same as growth promotion. Face to face
services for growth promotion are often under-
delivered.
6.9
9.1
6.9
23.7
0
5
10
15
20
25
Cash only Food only Cash+Food Cash+BCC
Foodconsumptionscore
North
2.7
4.9 5.3
12.7
0
5
10
15
20
25
Cash only Food only Cash+Food Food+BCC
FOODCONSUMPTIONSCORE
South
Adding behavior change communication to cash
increased diet quality in Bangladesh
There are some advantages of in-kind transfers
 Where markets are not integrated, cash can put pressure on prices as was
noted in very remote Mexican villages.
 In-kind transfers were preferred in Ethiopia in a period of food price
inflation.
 This advantage can be offset with increases in wages for public works
(Ethiopia) or in a monthly cash grant (Brazil). Reverting to original
transfers when food prices recede may be difficult.
 A combination of cash assistance for households and specific
supplements tailored to a child’s needs has proven advantageous in
Mexico’s transfer program
One role that cash transfers cannot fill directly is
micronutrient fortification
 In-kind transfers (including food subsidies) are core elements of many
safety net systems. Both Egypt and India spend US$ billions on such
programs.
 The former ceased fortification of highly subsidized flour in the absence of
WFP support.
 India’s record with iron fortification in the TPDS is also chequered at best.
Pragmatism
often prevails;
many transfer
systems are
mixed
 For example, the Supplemental Nutrition
Assistance Program in the United States
is a voucher based program that covered
14% of the population in 2014. But it has
run in parallel with smaller in-kind programs
such as the Women, Infants, Child
Nutrition Program.
 This reflects nutritional objectives as well as
the origin of this program as part of an
overall agricultural strategy.
 More generally, reforms of in-kind transfers
– as well as related price subsidies – are
often partial given the myriad objectives
such systems try to achieve.
Case Study: Mexico’s PROGRESA
 The transition to PROGRESA and on to Prospera is well known, well
studied, and iconic.
 Less well known is the fact that it was less a quantum leap than an
evolution from generalized price subsidies, to targeted electronic coupons
for a quota on tortillas and on to a piloted debit card before becoming a full
fledged cash transfer.
 But even with a well run cash transfer, the government also spent as much
as 7% of the expanded cash transfer budget on a food support program
(PAL) which continued until 2016.
 Moreover, between a network of retail outlets (Diconsa), milk distribution,
VAT exemptions on food and other generalized price supports, the country
still spends > 1% of GDP on food support.
Egypt India Indonesia Mexico Sri Lanka United States
Program(s)
Ration cards
(RC) and
baladi bread
Targeted
Public
Distribution
system
Raskin (now
Rastra)
PAL
(Programa de
Apoyo
Alimentario)
Samurdhi Food
Stamp Program
SNAP
(“Food Stamp”)
Year of
introduction
1941 1943 1998 2003
1995
(with
antecedents in
1942)
1964
(with origins in a
1939)
Coverage as
% of
population
90%
(Baladi: 82.2
M: RC: 71 M)
67%
(about 800
M people)
24%
(62 M
people)
2.5%
(2.8 M people)
16.8%
(or 3.4 M
people)
14%
(45.8 M people)
Cost as % of
GDP
1.3% ($2.2 B)
(59.8% of SA
budget)
0.4% ($7 B)
(53% of SA
budget)
0.2% ($1.5 B)
(43.1% of SA
budget)
0.03%
(7% of
Prospera
budget)
0.17% ($102.9
M)
0.47% of GDP
($79.9 B)
(13% of budget
for major federal
SA programs)
Reform pathways and system-wide dynamics in
selected food systems

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IFPRI_Alderman global evidence impact of cash 24_sep2019

  • 1. Global evidence on relative impacts of cash and food on child nutrition outcomes Harold Alderman New Delhi | 24 September 2019
  • 2. By many measures cash transfers have become the mainstay of social protection  Cash transfers assist roughly one billion people in low and middle income countries  This reflects a trend over the last two decades prompted by: • Basic economic theory • Improved technology for delivery and monitoring • Extensive evidence on impacts  Nevertheless, food oriented transfers persist, even in countries that also provide cash.
  • 3. Is in-kind assistance obsolete?  Cash transfer technology is advancing and has even been used in emergencies such as the 2004 Indian Ocean tsunami.  The difference in food consumption between cash and in-kind are slight although cash transfers have been shown to promote diet diversity.  Advantages of cash transfer: o Less costly than delivering in-kind support (i.e. food); o Cash transfers saved 13-23% in a set of studies. o Cash does not lead to increased consumption of alcohol and tobacco - review of purchases from 19 studies
  • 4. On average, impacts of cash and food are similar  Cash more effective in 48% of the cases, food in 36%  In one of the best studies in Ecuador vouchers led to greater diet diversity but fewer calories than in-kind Source: Gentilini (2016, 2014)
  • 5. Both forms of transfers have been shown to have favorable impacts on household budget priorities  In-kind transfers are generally on quotas and thus serve more or less as an income transfer.  In-kind and most cash transfers, even those without conditions, nudge consumers to increase the share of their additional budget devoted to food. oFor example, cash transfers in Colombia, Ecuador, Mexico, and Nicaragua led to more expenditures on food and health compared to general increases in income.  Similar findings have been noted in studies of the food stamp program in the United States.
  • 6. But, the path from increased resources to improved nutritional status is not assured  Neither conditional nor unconditional cash transfers have delivered improvements in nutrition commensurate with their success in addressing poverty.  Meta-analyses of 17 cash transfers programs (mainly from Latin America) show little impact on height. Newer studies from Pakistan, Peru, and the Philippines are more positive.  The core issues is that increased income guarantees neither quality health services nor improvements in sanitation.  Knowledge about child care is one of the pillars of good nutrition, but is not intrinsic to programs designed to transfer income.
  • 7. Impact of cash transfers on HAZ by program type
  • 8. There are a range of reasons for limited impacts of transfers on nutrition Methodological: looking at impact of transfers on children who are not severely malnourished. Also, many studies look at children 0-5 even though growth velocity is greatest for younger children. In addition, stunting is cumulative, and a short trial will bias impacts downward. Substantive barriers: The most challenging issue for nutrition-sensitive transfers is the quality of health care that households are able to obtain. Growth monitoring is a common conditionality but is not the same as growth promotion. Face to face services for growth promotion are often under- delivered.
  • 9. 6.9 9.1 6.9 23.7 0 5 10 15 20 25 Cash only Food only Cash+Food Cash+BCC Foodconsumptionscore North 2.7 4.9 5.3 12.7 0 5 10 15 20 25 Cash only Food only Cash+Food Food+BCC FOODCONSUMPTIONSCORE South Adding behavior change communication to cash increased diet quality in Bangladesh
  • 10. There are some advantages of in-kind transfers  Where markets are not integrated, cash can put pressure on prices as was noted in very remote Mexican villages.  In-kind transfers were preferred in Ethiopia in a period of food price inflation.  This advantage can be offset with increases in wages for public works (Ethiopia) or in a monthly cash grant (Brazil). Reverting to original transfers when food prices recede may be difficult.  A combination of cash assistance for households and specific supplements tailored to a child’s needs has proven advantageous in Mexico’s transfer program
  • 11. One role that cash transfers cannot fill directly is micronutrient fortification  In-kind transfers (including food subsidies) are core elements of many safety net systems. Both Egypt and India spend US$ billions on such programs.  The former ceased fortification of highly subsidized flour in the absence of WFP support.  India’s record with iron fortification in the TPDS is also chequered at best.
  • 12. Pragmatism often prevails; many transfer systems are mixed  For example, the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program in the United States is a voucher based program that covered 14% of the population in 2014. But it has run in parallel with smaller in-kind programs such as the Women, Infants, Child Nutrition Program.  This reflects nutritional objectives as well as the origin of this program as part of an overall agricultural strategy.  More generally, reforms of in-kind transfers – as well as related price subsidies – are often partial given the myriad objectives such systems try to achieve.
  • 13. Case Study: Mexico’s PROGRESA  The transition to PROGRESA and on to Prospera is well known, well studied, and iconic.  Less well known is the fact that it was less a quantum leap than an evolution from generalized price subsidies, to targeted electronic coupons for a quota on tortillas and on to a piloted debit card before becoming a full fledged cash transfer.  But even with a well run cash transfer, the government also spent as much as 7% of the expanded cash transfer budget on a food support program (PAL) which continued until 2016.  Moreover, between a network of retail outlets (Diconsa), milk distribution, VAT exemptions on food and other generalized price supports, the country still spends > 1% of GDP on food support.
  • 14. Egypt India Indonesia Mexico Sri Lanka United States Program(s) Ration cards (RC) and baladi bread Targeted Public Distribution system Raskin (now Rastra) PAL (Programa de Apoyo Alimentario) Samurdhi Food Stamp Program SNAP (“Food Stamp”) Year of introduction 1941 1943 1998 2003 1995 (with antecedents in 1942) 1964 (with origins in a 1939) Coverage as % of population 90% (Baladi: 82.2 M: RC: 71 M) 67% (about 800 M people) 24% (62 M people) 2.5% (2.8 M people) 16.8% (or 3.4 M people) 14% (45.8 M people) Cost as % of GDP 1.3% ($2.2 B) (59.8% of SA budget) 0.4% ($7 B) (53% of SA budget) 0.2% ($1.5 B) (43.1% of SA budget) 0.03% (7% of Prospera budget) 0.17% ($102.9 M) 0.47% of GDP ($79.9 B) (13% of budget for major federal SA programs) Reform pathways and system-wide dynamics in selected food systems