The document summarizes Brian Kelly's presentation on identifying and preparing for technological developments. Kelly discusses approaches for identifying technology trends, such as reviewing reports from experts like Gartner and commissioning reports. He also advocates using a collaborative approach like Twitter to minimize biases and gain fresh insights. Kelly summarizes the key findings of the NMC Horizon Report, including short-term technology trends in electronic publishing and affordable software. He outlines the Delphi process used to identify drivers of adoption and challenges. The presentation stresses the importance of considering future implications and preparing institutions for technological changes.
Major Technology Trends that will Impact Library Services?lisbk
Slides for talk on "What are the Major Technology Trends that will Impact Library Services and their Users?" to be given by Brian Kelly, Innovation Advocate, Cetis at the ILI 2014 conference in London on 21-22 October 2014.
See http://ukwebfocus.wordpress.com/events/ili-2014/
UCB i190 Spring 2014 ICT4D in Practice: Lect 2San Ng
This document summarizes the key points from the first lecture of an ICTD course at UC Berkeley. It introduces the instructor and discusses the course goals, structure, assignments and values. The class will cover conceptual frameworks around development as well as practical ICT project management skills. It also describes an activity where students positioned statements about development on a "low tech analog spectrogram" to explore opinions. The summary recapped the main topics that will be covered in upcoming classes, including theories of development and measuring impact.
Seven Traits of Successful Technical CommunicatorsRob Hanna, ECMs
This document summarizes a panel presentation on hiring excellence for technical communicators. The panel discusses seven traits of successful technical communicators: confidence, passion, driven to explore, creative problem solving, continuous learning, technical aptitude, and comfort with chaos. It also covers ethical conduct, important technical skills, hiring trends over time which now focus more on online publishing and content management skills, and the value of certification in increasing salaries and opportunities for technical communicators. The panel aims to provide hiring managers guidance on identifying excellent candidates through resumes, interviews, and assessment of both technical and soft skills.
Predicting and Preparing For Emerging Learning Technologieslisbk
The document summarizes Brian Kelly's presentation on predicting and preparing for emerging learning technologies. It discusses identifying technology trends, drivers, and challenges through the Delphi process used by the NMC Horizon Report. It also provides tools and methods for institutions to plan for future technologies, including scenario planning, acknowledging risks, and engaging with challenges. The presentation aims to help attendees understand limitations of future forecasting and apply similar methodologies to plan locally.
This document provides an overview of TEKTIC, a Canadian university eHealth research collaboration. TEKTIC is a multi-disciplinary group that funds projects exploring how information technologies can accelerate health research translation. It has funded 34 projects across 5 themes. TEKTIC engages in knowledge translation activities like seminars, newsletters, and conferences to share project findings. It is growing its membership and continuing to fund innovative eHealth projects.
UCB i190 Spring 2014 ICTD in Practice_Lect23_final_23apr14San Ng
This document outlines the course structure and content for an ICTD course. It discusses the core values of the course, including open collaboration and sharing resources. It presents the course framework with conceptual, technical, and management components. It provides an overview of topics that will be covered such as development theories, measurement approaches, ICT4D theories, case studies of various ICT applications, and project management best practices. Evaluation methods and purposes are also introduced.
Requirements meet solutions: How to successfully transfer stakeholder needs i...AALForum
Presentation by Markus Garschall, Katja Neureiter, Mona Marill, Christiane Moser and Lex van Velsen during the session 'Requirements meet solutions: How to successfully transfer stakeholder needs in AAL projects' (Markus Garschall) - AAL Forum 2015
Major Technology Trends that will Impact Library Services?lisbk
Slides for talk on "What are the Major Technology Trends that will Impact Library Services and their Users?" to be given by Brian Kelly, Innovation Advocate, Cetis at the ILI 2014 conference in London on 21-22 October 2014.
See http://ukwebfocus.wordpress.com/events/ili-2014/
UCB i190 Spring 2014 ICT4D in Practice: Lect 2San Ng
This document summarizes the key points from the first lecture of an ICTD course at UC Berkeley. It introduces the instructor and discusses the course goals, structure, assignments and values. The class will cover conceptual frameworks around development as well as practical ICT project management skills. It also describes an activity where students positioned statements about development on a "low tech analog spectrogram" to explore opinions. The summary recapped the main topics that will be covered in upcoming classes, including theories of development and measuring impact.
Seven Traits of Successful Technical CommunicatorsRob Hanna, ECMs
This document summarizes a panel presentation on hiring excellence for technical communicators. The panel discusses seven traits of successful technical communicators: confidence, passion, driven to explore, creative problem solving, continuous learning, technical aptitude, and comfort with chaos. It also covers ethical conduct, important technical skills, hiring trends over time which now focus more on online publishing and content management skills, and the value of certification in increasing salaries and opportunities for technical communicators. The panel aims to provide hiring managers guidance on identifying excellent candidates through resumes, interviews, and assessment of both technical and soft skills.
Predicting and Preparing For Emerging Learning Technologieslisbk
The document summarizes Brian Kelly's presentation on predicting and preparing for emerging learning technologies. It discusses identifying technology trends, drivers, and challenges through the Delphi process used by the NMC Horizon Report. It also provides tools and methods for institutions to plan for future technologies, including scenario planning, acknowledging risks, and engaging with challenges. The presentation aims to help attendees understand limitations of future forecasting and apply similar methodologies to plan locally.
This document provides an overview of TEKTIC, a Canadian university eHealth research collaboration. TEKTIC is a multi-disciplinary group that funds projects exploring how information technologies can accelerate health research translation. It has funded 34 projects across 5 themes. TEKTIC engages in knowledge translation activities like seminars, newsletters, and conferences to share project findings. It is growing its membership and continuing to fund innovative eHealth projects.
UCB i190 Spring 2014 ICTD in Practice_Lect23_final_23apr14San Ng
This document outlines the course structure and content for an ICTD course. It discusses the core values of the course, including open collaboration and sharing resources. It presents the course framework with conceptual, technical, and management components. It provides an overview of topics that will be covered such as development theories, measurement approaches, ICT4D theories, case studies of various ICT applications, and project management best practices. Evaluation methods and purposes are also introduced.
Requirements meet solutions: How to successfully transfer stakeholder needs i...AALForum
Presentation by Markus Garschall, Katja Neureiter, Mona Marill, Christiane Moser and Lex van Velsen during the session 'Requirements meet solutions: How to successfully transfer stakeholder needs in AAL projects' (Markus Garschall) - AAL Forum 2015
Slides "D1: The NMC Methodology" for a one-day workshop on "Preparing for the Future: Technological Challenges and Beyond" by Brian Kelly and Tony Hirst at the ILI 2015 conference. Held on Monday 19 October 2015
For further information see
http://ukwebfocus.com/events/ili-2015-preparing-for-the-future
Preparing For The Future: Helping Libraries Respond to Changing Technological...lisbk
Slides for a workshop on "Preparing For The Future: Helping Libraries Respond to Changing Technological, Economic and Political Change" given by Brian Kelly, UKOLN at a staff development workshop at the University of York on 4 July 2013.
See http://www.ukoln.ac.uk/web-focus/events/workshops/york-library-2013/
.
B1 Predicting developments: Future Technologies and Their Applicationslisbk
Slides for a 1-day workshop on "Future Technologies and Their Applications" facilitated by Brian Kelly and Tony Hirst at the ILI 2013 conference on Monday 14 October 2013.
See http://ukwebfocus.wordpress.com/events/ili-2013-workshop/
See http://ukwebfocus.wordpress.com/events/ili-2013-workshop/
A1 Workshop introduction: Future Technologies and Their Applicationslisbk
Slides for a 1-day workshop on "Future Technologies and Their Applications" facilitated by Brian Kelly and Tony Hirst at the ILI 2013 conference on Monday 14 October 2013.
See http://ukwebfocus.wordpress.com/events/ili-2013-workshop/
IWMW 2004: Introduction To JISC And The Web Community (1)IWMW
Slides used in pre-workshop session on "Introduction To JISC And The Web Community" at the IWMW 2004 event held at the University of Birmingham on 27-29 July 2004.
Reflecting on Yesterday, Understanding Today, Planning for Tomorrowlisbk
Slides for a paper on "Reflecting on Yesterday, Understanding Today, Planning for Tomorrow" presented by Brian Kelly at the Umbrella 2013 conference in Manchester on 2 July 2013.
See http://www.ukoln.ac.uk/web-focus/events/conferences/umbrella-2013/
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Slides "C1: Future Technology Detecting Tools & Techniques" for a one-day workshop on "Preparing for the Future: Technological Challenges and Beyond" by Brian Kelly and Tony Hirst at the ILI 2015 conference. Held on Monday 19 October 2015
See http://ukwebfocus.com/events/ili-2015-preparing-for-the-future
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Join us as we continue this series of webinars specifically designed for the community by the community with the goal to share knowledge, spark innovation and further build and link the relationships within our HPCC Systems community.
Episode 12 includes Tech Talks featuring speakers from our community on topics covering exploratory data analysis, geospatial solutions and ECL Tips leveraging the HPCC Systems platform.
1) Itauma Itauma, PhD Candidate, Keiser University - Conducting exploratory data analysis in educational research using HPCC Systems®
2) Ignacio Calvo, LexisNexis Risk Solutions - Big Data and Geospatial with HPCC Systems®
3) Bob Foreman, Senior Software Engineer, HPCC Systems, LexisNexis Risk Solutions - ECL Tip of the Month
Brian Kelly presented a methodology for identifying emerging technologies that may impact organizations. He discusses scanning for weak and strong signals of emerging technologies. The methodology includes gathering evidence from blogs, reports and trends to understand limitations and have informed discussions. Open sense-making is important to get feedback and avoid misinterpretations that could influence decisions. Examples showed applying the methodology to social media usage, open data, and signals around funding changes.
Brian Kelly presented a methodology for identifying emerging technologies that may impact organizations. He discussed scanning for weak and strong signals of future trends, making sense of findings, and obtaining feedback to inform planning. Examples highlighted the importance of mobile technologies, social media, open data and monitoring privatization discussions for early signals of change. The methodology can help organizations understand technological changes and determine how to adapt strategies accordingly.
Slides for a talk on "Spotting Tomorrow's Key Technologies" given by Brian Kelly, UKOLN at the UKSG 2013 conference held in Bournemouth on 8-10 April 2013.
See http://www.ukoln.ac.uk/web-focus/events/conferences/uksg-2013/
Slides for a workshop session on "Preparing for Tomorrow’s World: Helping University Information Services Respond to Technological, Economic and Political Change" facilitated by Brian Kelly at the Information Services 2014 conference held on 24 June 2014 at the University of Brighton.
For further information see
http://ukwebfocus.wordpress.com/events/preparing-for-tomorrows-world/
The document proposes three scalable projects for public libraries:
1) An "Adopt-a-Librarian" program that pairs technology experts with librarians to mentor them on emerging tech trends.
2) Hosting quarterly "Backstage Tours" of the libraries for local tech leaders to educate them about library operations and turn them into advocates.
3) A "Geeks in Residence" program that provides workspace for tech entrepreneurs in exchange for volunteering time to engage with patrons and train staff. The goal is to keep librarians up-to-date on tech and build community partnerships.
Slides for a talk on "Making Sense of the Future" given by Brian Kelly, UKOLN at the ILI 2012 (#ILI2012) conference held at Olympia, London on 30-31 October 2012.
See http://www.ukoln.ac.uk/web-focus/events/conferences/ili-2012/a101/
Contribution of Technical Writers Towards Emerging TechnologiesShikha Saxena
This document discusses the contribution of technical writers towards emerging technologies. It provides a brief history of the technical writing profession from the 1940s to the present. It then outlines 10 emerging technologies identified by Gartner as top strategic trends for 2016, including the device mesh, ambient user experience, 3D printing materials, and the internet of things. The document also discusses trends in technical writing like modular documentation, augmented reality, videos, and social documentation. It identifies various fields technical writers can contribute to, such as information architecture and technical editing. Finally, it proposes strategies for contribution and promises to impart knowledge to communities and pave the way for future technical writers.
D1: Gathering Interests: Future Technologies and Their Applicationslisbk
Slides for a 1-day workshop on "Future Technologies and Their Applications" facilitated by Brian Kelly and Tony Hirst at the ILI 2013 conference on Monday 14 October 2013.
See http://ukwebfocus.wordpress.com/events/ili-2013-workshop/
See http://ukwebfocus.wordpress.com/events/ili-2013-workshop/
User Required? On the Value of User Research in the Digital HumanitiesMaxKemman
This document discusses the value of user research in developing digital tools for humanities research. It describes user research conducted for two tools: PoliMedia, which links Dutch parliamentary debates to media items, and Oral History Today, a search interface for oral histories. The research identified user requirements for both tools, though some requirements were deemed out of scope. Common requirements included searching by time period and names/roles of people. The discussion concludes that while generalizing requirements is difficult, user research helps ensure tools are usable and support researchers' broader workflows.
The document summarizes a panel discussion from the Co-Create Project on promoting creativity and social innovation. It provides an overview of the speakers and agenda. It then discusses various aspects of capitalizing on project results, including scaling up, scaling out, policy learning, and policy impact. The panel discussed defining cultural and creative industries, examples of transnational networks, the role of cluster managers, and networks for disseminating results. The discussion focused on how the Co-Create Project and TALIA partnership can support consolidating results, extending them geographically, facilitating policy learning, and influencing policy transformation.
Alex Fenlon - 'Enabling access to content for transnational educational stude...sherif user group
This document discusses transnational education (TNE) and the challenges of providing library resources to students studying abroad through partnerships between universities. It notes that over 700,000 UK students study through TNE programs in 225 countries. Ensuring equitable access to library resources for these students requires comprehensive licensing reviews and negotiations with publishers as individual licensing agreements vary significantly in their provisions. While licensing all content could provide full access, it requires substantial resources and budget increases that may not be feasible. Effective strategies include early engagement with TNE partners, clarifying access mechanisms, securing dedicated funding, and open communication with all stakeholders.
Steve Carlton - 'Removing barriers: Open Access and "non-traditional" students'sherif user group
This document discusses open access and how it helps non-traditional students. It defines open access as peer-reviewed research that is free to read and reuse online with few restrictions. There are two main routes to open access: gold, where articles are immediately free online, and green, where accepted manuscripts are free after an embargo. While open access is growing, change has been slow. Universities support open access through funding, repositories, advice, and advocacy. Open access removes barriers for non-traditional students by making research easily searchable and accessible regardless of affiliation. However, skills for using scholarly content and accessible summaries still need work.
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Slides for a 1-day workshop on "Future Technologies and Their Applications" facilitated by Brian Kelly and Tony Hirst at the ILI 2013 conference on Monday 14 October 2013.
See http://ukwebfocus.wordpress.com/events/ili-2013-workshop/
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See http://ukwebfocus.wordpress.com/events/ili-2013-workshop/
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See http://www.ukoln.ac.uk/web-focus/events/conferences/umbrella-2013/
The document discusses how libraries can engage users through Web 2.0 technologies. It outlines 21st century literacy skills needed and how an information literate society benefits countries, industries, and individuals. Examples of Web 2.0 applications that could be used in libraries are provided, as well as tips for implementing new technologies like establishing clear objectives and involving stakeholders. The importance of libraries adapting to remain relevant by making the most of tools like social networking, videos and knowledge sharing is emphasized.
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See http://ukwebfocus.com/events/ili-2015-preparing-for-the-future
The Download: Tech Talks by the HPCC Systems Community, Episode 12HPCC Systems
Join us as we continue this series of webinars specifically designed for the community by the community with the goal to share knowledge, spark innovation and further build and link the relationships within our HPCC Systems community.
Episode 12 includes Tech Talks featuring speakers from our community on topics covering exploratory data analysis, geospatial solutions and ECL Tips leveraging the HPCC Systems platform.
1) Itauma Itauma, PhD Candidate, Keiser University - Conducting exploratory data analysis in educational research using HPCC Systems®
2) Ignacio Calvo, LexisNexis Risk Solutions - Big Data and Geospatial with HPCC Systems®
3) Bob Foreman, Senior Software Engineer, HPCC Systems, LexisNexis Risk Solutions - ECL Tip of the Month
Brian Kelly presented a methodology for identifying emerging technologies that may impact organizations. He discusses scanning for weak and strong signals of emerging technologies. The methodology includes gathering evidence from blogs, reports and trends to understand limitations and have informed discussions. Open sense-making is important to get feedback and avoid misinterpretations that could influence decisions. Examples showed applying the methodology to social media usage, open data, and signals around funding changes.
Brian Kelly presented a methodology for identifying emerging technologies that may impact organizations. He discussed scanning for weak and strong signals of future trends, making sense of findings, and obtaining feedback to inform planning. Examples highlighted the importance of mobile technologies, social media, open data and monitoring privatization discussions for early signals of change. The methodology can help organizations understand technological changes and determine how to adapt strategies accordingly.
Slides for a talk on "Spotting Tomorrow's Key Technologies" given by Brian Kelly, UKOLN at the UKSG 2013 conference held in Bournemouth on 8-10 April 2013.
See http://www.ukoln.ac.uk/web-focus/events/conferences/uksg-2013/
Slides for a workshop session on "Preparing for Tomorrow’s World: Helping University Information Services Respond to Technological, Economic and Political Change" facilitated by Brian Kelly at the Information Services 2014 conference held on 24 June 2014 at the University of Brighton.
For further information see
http://ukwebfocus.wordpress.com/events/preparing-for-tomorrows-world/
The document proposes three scalable projects for public libraries:
1) An "Adopt-a-Librarian" program that pairs technology experts with librarians to mentor them on emerging tech trends.
2) Hosting quarterly "Backstage Tours" of the libraries for local tech leaders to educate them about library operations and turn them into advocates.
3) A "Geeks in Residence" program that provides workspace for tech entrepreneurs in exchange for volunteering time to engage with patrons and train staff. The goal is to keep librarians up-to-date on tech and build community partnerships.
Slides for a talk on "Making Sense of the Future" given by Brian Kelly, UKOLN at the ILI 2012 (#ILI2012) conference held at Olympia, London on 30-31 October 2012.
See http://www.ukoln.ac.uk/web-focus/events/conferences/ili-2012/a101/
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This document discusses the contribution of technical writers towards emerging technologies. It provides a brief history of the technical writing profession from the 1940s to the present. It then outlines 10 emerging technologies identified by Gartner as top strategic trends for 2016, including the device mesh, ambient user experience, 3D printing materials, and the internet of things. The document also discusses trends in technical writing like modular documentation, augmented reality, videos, and social documentation. It identifies various fields technical writers can contribute to, such as information architecture and technical editing. Finally, it proposes strategies for contribution and promises to impart knowledge to communities and pave the way for future technical writers.
D1: Gathering Interests: Future Technologies and Their Applicationslisbk
Slides for a 1-day workshop on "Future Technologies and Their Applications" facilitated by Brian Kelly and Tony Hirst at the ILI 2013 conference on Monday 14 October 2013.
See http://ukwebfocus.wordpress.com/events/ili-2013-workshop/
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1. 1
Identifying and Preparing for Technological Developments
Brian Kelly, Innovation Advocate, Cetis
• A presentation for the SAOIM 2014 conference
What approaches does our
enthusiastic librarian take in
identifying technology trends?
2. Identifying and Preparing for
Technological Developments
Brian Kelly
Innovation Advocate
Cetis
University of Bolton
Bolton, UK
Contact Details
Email: ukwebfocus@gmail.com
Twitter: @briankelly
Cetis Web site: http://www.cetis.ac.uk/
Blog: http://ukwebfocus.wordpress.com/
2
Slides and further information available at
https://ukwebfocus.wordpress.com/events/jibs-2015/
A presentation for the JIBS 2015 event on “Technology will not defeat us: offering a
good service in difficult times”, Birmingham on 26 February 2015
Event hashtag: #jibs15
3. Contents
Introduction
• About me
Technology Will Not Defeat Us: Identifying Developments
• The NMC Horizon Report for Libraries & the Delphi process:
What are the major technology trends?
Beyond the technology trends – the drivers accelerating
technology adoption
Beyond the technology trends & drivers – the challenges
impeding technology adoption
• Carrying out your own technology predictions
Technology Will Not Defeat Us: Institutional Planning
• Preparing for the implications
• Conclusions
3
Introduction
4. About Me
Brian Kelly
• Innovative Advocate at Cetis since Oct 2013
• Was UK Web Focus at UKOLN from 1996-2013
• Interests in promoting use of innovative technologies
and practices in higher education
• Independent consultant after 28 February (TBC)!
In 2014:
• Delivered “planning for the future” half-day workshops at
international library conferences in Pretoria & Bath
• Invited expert, NMC Horizon Report, Academic Libraries
In 2013:
• Presented paper on “Reflecting on Yesterday,
Understanding Today, Planning for Tomorrow”
paper at Umbrella 2013 4
Introduction
5. Predicting the Future: The Risks
Risks in attempting to predict the future:
• We get it wrong
– the future didn’t materialise
• We get it wrong
– we were too cautious
• Futorologists have biases
5
Predictions
7. Gartner
Beware vested
interests which
may be
threatened by
implications of
predictions
7
Gartner May Be Too
Scared To Say It, But the
PC Is Dead,
Mark Hachman,
Readwrite Web, 5 April
2013
9. We commission
reports from
experts in the field
9
… is an information professional who has specialized
in the fields of electronic information provision for over
20 years.
In recent years, he has specialized in metadata for
digital libraries, in which capacity he is a member of
the editorial board for the METS (Metadata Encoding
and Transmission Standard) standard for digital library
metadata.
10. A Collaborative Approach
We could use Twitter
10
Tweet your ideas
with event hashtag
I think teleporting could have implications for libraries in the future! #jibs15
58
Teleporting could have implications for libraries as people won’t be put off
from visiting when it’s raining! #jibs15 22
and implications
for libraries
We would therefore need larger physical spaces for the teleporting visitors to
the library #jibs15 41
Discuss alternative
implications …
So maybe the books could be teleported. Would we need a physical library
building? #jibs15 48
10
& issues such as legal
implications, business
models, …
What about the legal implication? Border control? Which VAT rate to use?
Importing banned book? … #jibs15 #wtf 27
Feel free to add
implications for users
…
Open collaborative approaches can help minimise biases, provide fresh
insights, … (but Twitter probably isn’t the best tool for this!)
11. THE Article
Article which summarised the
“6 key trends accelerating
technology adoption in
higher education in 2015”
published in Times Higher
Education on 23 Feb 2014
Based on the NMC Horizon
Report: 2015 Higher
Education Edition
11
12. About the NMC Horizon Library Study
12
NMC Horizon Report, 2014:
Library edition:
• Published in Aug 2014
• Based on ideas from panel
of experts
• Ideas refined using Delphi
process
• Report available under
Creative Commons licence
Your interests:
• What are the technology trends? What are the implications for me?
• What is the ‘Delphi process’? Can I use it?
13. NMC Panel
Panel composed of 47
library and technology
experts from 16
countries on five
continents (including 3
from UK)
13
14. Short-Term Technology Trends
What technology trends did the NMC Horizon panel identify?
14
Seven key categories were identified:
TechnologyTrends
15. Short-Term Technology Trends
Two areas of importance in the short-term (<1 year to
adoption) were identified and prioritised:
15
“electronic publishing is redefining the tools between print and digital,
still image and video, passive and interactive”
Report gives examples of innovative uses e.g. ANU Press, established
in 2003 to explore & enable new modes of scholarly publishing.
“the way we think about software itself is changing, and whole industries
are adjusting to a new world in which sophisticated but simple tools
routinely sell for 99 cents or are completely free”
TechnologyTrends
16. What’s Missing?
Let’s use the Delphi process (abbreviated version!):
• What significant technology trends do you feel will
have an impact in the short term (< 1 year)
• Tweet (or shout) your ideas!
• Session chair will record ideas
This is an example of crowd-sourcing ideas from a group
of experts
16
Vote on two ideas which you feel are most important:
• Area 1
• Area 2
This is an example of how crowd-sourced ideas can be
refined and prioritised
TechnologyTrends
hashtag: #jibs15fut
17. Medium-Term Drivers
What trends driving technology adoption in the medium
term (3-5 years?) did the NMC Horizon panel identify?
17
Trends are sorted into three movement-related
categories: (1) fast-moving trends that will realize their
impact in the next 1-2 years and two categories of
slower-moving trends that will realize their impact within
(2) 3-5 or (3) 5+ years.
After summarising technologies important in short-term,
lets look at medium-term drivers of technology adoption
TechnologyDrivers
18. Medium-Term Drivers
Two drivers of technology adoption in medium term (3-5
years to adoption) were identified and prioritised:
18
“Once limited to print-based journals and monographic series, scholarly
communications now reside in networked environments and can be
accessed through an expansive array of publishing platforms”.
“Academic & research libraries are gradually embracing the movement
toward openness as the Internet has opened the floodgates of
information and scientific knowledge”.
TechnologyDrivers
19. What’s Missing?
Let’s use the Delphi process:
• What significant drivers of technology adoption
do you feel will have an impact in the medium term
(3-5 years)
• Tweet (or shout) your ideas!
• Session chair will record ideas
This is a further example of crowd-sourcing ideas from a
group of experts
19
Vote on two ideas which you feel are most important:
• Area 1
• Area 2
This is a further example of how crowd-sourced ideas can
be refined based on your experiences
TechnologyDrivers
hashtag: # jibs15fut
20. The Challenges
What challenges impeding technology adoption in
academic and research libraries did the NMC Horizon
panel identify?
20
These were classed as:
• Solvable Challenges: those that we
understand and know how to solve
• Difficult Challenges: Those that
we understand but for which
solutions are elusive
• Wicked Challenges: Those that are
complex to even define, much less
address
TheChallenges
21. The Challenges
Two difficult challenges were identified:
21
“It is important for these new digital data sets to be preserved alongside
the research derived from them for future use and in longitudinal
studies, but this presents a perpetual challenge for library acquisition
and archiving practices as formats continue to evolve”.
“.. advents in Internet technology are fostering changes in patron
behavior, challenging libraries to either participate in the online
knowledge exchange or risk becoming obsolete over time. ”.
TheChallenges
22. What’s Missing?
Let’s use the Delphi process:
• What:
Solvable Difficult Wicked
challenges are missing?
• Tweet (or shout) your ideas!
• Session chair will record ideas
22
Choose one idea per category:
• Solvable
• Difficult
• Wicked
This is a further example of how crowd-sourced ideas can
be prioritised based on your personal/institutional context
TheChallenges
hashtag: # jibs15fut
23. Review
NMC Horizon report:
• Provides insights into technological trends,
driver & barriers for library
• Open methodology which caters for experts
highlighting their own particular interests
But:
• It may not be applicable to your specific
context
• It doesn’t address “What do I need to do
next?”
23
Review
24. The Full NMC Horizon Report
NMC Horizon report
for Libraries 2014:
• 50 pages
• 18 topics
6 key trends
6 significant
challenges
6 important
technologies
24
2
1
3
25. Tools for Futurists
Some tools which can help you to predict the future:
• Quick surveys
• Observing recent developments
Not covered in talk (ideas for reinterpreting the present
and providing fresh insights):
• The History Of The Web Backwards, UK Web
Focus blog, 19 Nov 2007
• Reversible, Reverse History and Side-by-Side
Storytelling, OUseful blog, 22 March 2010
25
Tools
26. The Future Is Already Here!
Hands up if you have:
Used a mobile device for work-related purposes in bed
Options: Yes, No or I’m indecisive!
26
“20% of the iPad users spent time with their iPad in bed” 2010
Informal survey
(Twitter & blog post),
March 2012
“The future is already
here - it's just not very
evenly distributed”
What are the implications
of this new ‘platform’?
Tools
27. What Did You Notice Recently?
“What did you notice for the first time today (recently)?”
• Can be important for trend spotting
• May signify that something is becoming mainstream
that you hadn’t appreciated before (WiFi on bus, …)
27
Amazon locker (Feb 2013)
Video on underground
(Dec 2008)
Tools
Thanks to
Tony Hirst
Next
steps
28. Action Brief Statement
Technology Will Not Defeat Us: Next Steps
Having identified future developments of relevance to
the organisation, you will now need to convince senior
management of the potential.
From the Hyperlinked Library MOOC
Planning template from assignment 2:
Action Brief Statement:
Convince ______ that by _______ they will ________
which will ________ because _______.
28Acknowledgements to Michael Stephens and Kyle Jones
This tool was used in a number of Planning for Future workshops
(with voting and prizes)
Planning
29. Risks
The Need to Explicitly Address Risks
From “Risks and Opportunities Framework for
Exploiting the Social Web” by Kelly & Oppenheim:
• Summarise risks
• Summary risks of not adopting
technology
• Summarise strategies for minimising
(or accepting) risks
• Evidence base
• Document biases and prejudices
29
Can you innovate without taking risks?
Planning
30. Do it For Yourself
Do it for yourself!
• Slides, exercises, etc. for half-day workshop
available under a Creative Commons licence
30
Workshop held at SAOIM 2014 (South Africa) & ELAG 2014 (Bath) conferences. See:
• http://ukwebfocus.wordpress.com/events/saoim-2014-lets-predict-the-future-workshop/
• http://ukwebfocus.wordpress.com/events/elag-2014-preparing-for-the-future-workshop/
As described
Institutional planning
Planning
31. Warning From The Past
Tim Berners-Lee didn’t
let evidence of the
popularity of Gopher
hinder development of
the Web
31
In 1993 Gopher was the
safe bet for an important
technological innovation
33. Scenario Planning for Addressing the
Unexpected
33
Commercialisation
Devolved ownership
The niche librarian
Everyone’s an IT
expert
Possible scenarios
for libraries and the
Cloud
Steady as she goes
Outline challenges and opportunities for libraries
based on an expanded version of these scenarios)
Everyone’s a
librarian
Planning
34. Conclusions
We have:
• Seen examples of technology trends, drivers &
challenges as agreed by NMC Library panel
• Learnt about the NMC’s Delphi processes
• Contributed our perspectives
• Voted on the ideas provided
• Heard about follow-up approaches
Next steps:
• Read the NMC Horizon Report and use it to
inform planning processes
• Implement an institutional event to help prepare
your organisation for the future (run it annually?)
• Invite an independent consult to facilitate 34
35. 35
Continue the Discussion
Give your thoughts on a blog
post about this session:
https://ukwebfocus.wordpress
.com/2015/02/25/
37. This presentation, “Identifying and Preparing for Technological
Developments”, by Brian Kelly, Cetis is licensed under the Creative
Commons Attribution 3.0 Unported Licence
Note the licence covers most of the text in this presentation. Quotations
may have other licence conditions.
Images may also have other licence conditions. Where possible links are
provided to the source of images so that licence conditions can be found.
37
Slides and further information available at:
https://ukwebfocus.wordpress.com/events/jibs-2015/
Accompanying blog post at:
https://ukwebfocus.wordpress.com/2015/02/25/identifying-
and-preparing-for-technological-developments/
Licence and Additional Resources