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Belgium
Deeper insight in
Ageas’s Non-Life
Business

Antonio Cano
CEO AG Insurance

INVESTOR DAY 2012
Non-Life Business at AG Insurance

 AG

# 2 in the Non-Life market with a
comprehensive product portfolio

FY 2011 Non-Life distribution mix AG Insurance

 Strategy


"Full" player: broad product range



Multi-distribution: bank and broker
working together in synergy



Innovation in service and products



B2B
6%

Close to distributors and customers

 Profitability


Bancassurance
15%

under pressure since 2009

Turnaround made in Motor

Challenge in Fire and Workmen's
Italy Compensation


Investor Day 24&25 September 2012 - Andaz Liverpool Street London

Malaysia

Brokers
79%

1
A constantly & moderately growing market
In EUR mio

4,000
Product

2011

CAGR

Motor

3,455

2.4%

Fire

2,450

5.2%

Other

2,362

3.4%

Health Care

1,328

7.5%

Work. Comp.

1,071

-0.1%

3,500
3,000
2,500
2,000
1,500
1,000
500
0
2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

Investor Day 24&25 September 2012 - Andaz Liverpool Street London

2010

2011

2
Brokers still predominant with close to 60% market share

Brokers

Assurfinance

Banks

Agents

Direct

100%



Bancassurers & Direct gradually gained
market share in past decade



20%

90%

Direct channel* mainly driven by Ethias,
next to direct sales in B2B Group Health
Care business.

80%
11%
7%
4%

70%
60%
50%

40%
30%

58%

20%
10%
2010

2009

2008

2007

2006

2005

2004

2003

2002

2001

2000

1999

1998

1997

1996

1995

0%

(*) Direct channel includes B2B, B2C, E-commerce, other direct (affinity
groups, captives & pools), but also mutuals and cooperatives.

Investor Day 24&25 September 2012 - Andaz Liverpool Street London

3
Belgian Non-Life market characteristics

 Non-Life market growth is relatively
predictable (% of GDP)

 Income from both investment and
underwriting

 Skill driven various levers to influence returns
if key capabilities have been developed

 Yearly re-pricing allows to actively manage
risk

Investor Day 24&25 September 2012 - Andaz Liverpool Street London

4
Belgian Non-Life market characteristics

 Cyclicality of earnings due to competitive forces
 Volatility in earnings due to catastrophes in
some product groups

 Possible diversification benefits between
markets

 Diversification benefits between product groups

Investor Day 24&25 September 2012 - Andaz Liverpool Street London

5
Insurance environment
Non-Life Insurance: present challenges

 Low interest rate





environment
Euro crisis
Volatility in financial
markets
No or little economic
growth
CatNat & man made
disaster

 Demographics
 Smaller cars & homes
 Demanding

Economic
environment Customers
Distribution

Regulation
 Solvency II
 Insurance Mediation

 Ageing broker


population
Direct ?

Investor Day 24&25 September 2012 - Andaz Liverpool Street London



Directive
Increasing regulation
limiting room to manoeuvre
& increased administrative
burden
6
Characteristics of AG Insurance’s Non-Life strategy

 Product and service offer
Top Class
Products & Services






Most innovative products and services
Perceived as best –in-class service provider
“Correct” relation price/quality, flexibel pricing
Best-in-class IT tools and processes

 Proximity
Multi Channel &
Close to distributor

 Close to the broker and bank: dedicated operations
and sales teams
 Regular contacts with sales force and management
 Open and transparent communication

Investor Day 24&25 September 2012 - Andaz Liverpool Street London

7
Stable second place and gradually gaining market share
Market Share 2011

Market Share development 2009-2011

0

AXA
20.1%
Others
33.1%

0

20.1%
15.7%

0

10.3%

AG
15.7%
P&V
5.9%
Mercator
6.9%

0

8.0%
6.9%
5.9%

0

KBC
8.0%

Ethias
10.3%

4.8%

4.7%

3.6%
2.7% 1.8%
1.3%

0

2009

Investor Day 24&25 September 2012 - Andaz Liverpool Street London

2010

2011

8
Well balanced product mix
Evolution of Market Share by Product

Gross written premiums: Total book of EUR 1.7 bn
In EUR mio

21%
1,466

1,515

125

130

460

474

447

1,591

1,671
144

135

Product
mix

8.6%

524

31.4%

472

513

541

32.4%

434

17%

487

439

456

462

27.6%

2008

2009

2010

2011

16%
15%

Non-Life Accident &
Total
Health
2008
2009

Motor

2010

Fire

2011

Investor Day 24&25 September 2012 - Andaz Liverpool Street London

Accident & Health

Motor

Fire

Other

9
Technical result & Net profit Non-Life

Technical result (100 %)

Net result (100%)

In EUR mio

In EUR mio

118

91
63

73
56

43

44
15

1
2008

2009

2010

2011

6M 12

Investor Day 24&25 September 2012 - Andaz Liverpool Street London

2008

2009

4

2010

2011

6M 12

10
Gross loss ratios evolution – AG total Non-Life
(excl. Health & Health Care)
Good and consistent run-off
80%
75%
2010
70%
2011
65%

2009
2007

60%

2008

55%

2006

50%
0

1

2

Investor Day 24&25 September 2012 - Andaz Liverpool Street London

3

4

5

11
Combined Ratio
AG Insurance Combined ratio per product line
Motor

Fire

In %

In %

106.6

105

108

107
94

2008

2009

2010

97.3
6M 12

2008

110

96.5

2011

123

2009

2010

2011

103.6

6M 12

Workmen’s Compensation

Total Non-Life
In %

In %

122.0869 121.2614
100.900 100.900 105.100 101.100

2008

2009

2010

2011

99.800

106.6661

6M 12

2008

Investor Day 24&25 September 2012 - Andaz Liverpool Street London

102.2716

98.4486

2009

2010

2011

6M 12
12
Relation between Combined Ratio and Return on Required Capital
Main hypothesis :
 Financial income = 3.0%
 Tax rate = 34%
Fire

Motor

WC

Health
Care

Non-Life
Target

Premium

100

100

100

100

100

Required Capital

32

32

52

32

34

Reserve/premium

80%

134%

648%

73%

189%

Technical results

2.2

0.5

0.7

3.6

1.4

97.6%

99.5%

99.2%

96.4%

98.6%

Investment income*

3.2

4.9

7.9

1.7

4.3

Net Profit

3.5

3.5

5.7

3.5

3.7

Return on Required Capital

11%

11%

11%

11%

11%

In EUR mio

excl fin income

Combined ratio

* investment income includes both allocated and non-allocated financial income but excludes the financial income linked to
capitalisation factor on provisions related to Non-Life annuity business (especially in Workmen’s Comp and to a lower extent
Health care)
Investor Day 24&25 September 2012 - Andaz Liverpool Street London

13
Successful turnaround in Motor…
Premium & Portfolio

New Business & Lapses

887,322

921,220

939,412

946,675

446

472

512

541

2008

2009

2010

2011
Portfolio (#)

Written Premium (€ Mio)

Technical Result & Claim Frequency
7.5%

7.6%

7.7%

7.1%

56
0
2008

5
2009

Technical Result (€ Mio)

-6
2010

2011

Claims Frequency (%)

Investor Day 24&25 September 2012 - Andaz Liverpool Street London

13.2%

13.2%

13.4%

144,953

146,943

145,163

139,746

2008

2009

2010

2011

12%

New Business (#)

Lapses (%)

Comments

 Technical Result improved driven by
tariff increases and changed product
features (e.g. 0% deductible not actively
promoted anymore).

Adapted pruning rules and reviewed
underwriting guidelines
 Claims frequency dropped in 2011
14
… but Fire remains below expectations
Premium & Portfolio

New Business & Lapses

1,381,940

1,384,926

1,397,987

1,413,104

10%

9.6%

9.3%

9.2%

460

474

487

524

131,290

129,825

142,627

138,870

2008

2009

2010

2011

2008

2009

2010

2011

Written Premium (in EUR mio)

Portfolio (#)

Technical Result* & Claim Frequency
7.0%

7.6%

8.7%

7.9%

31
-20

-41

-33

New Business (#)

Lapses (%)

Comments

 Increased claims frequency including
adverse weather events in recent years
 Consecutive tariff increases both on
portfolio and on new business

 Tightening up the underwriting criteria
2008

2009

2010

2011

Technical Result (In EUR mio)
Claims Frequency (%)

 Expansion of the segmentation
 Increased portfolio pruning & risk
(re)inspections

*Technical result includes Multiline Cover

Investor Day 24&25 September 2012 - Andaz Liverpool Street London

15
Fire : evolution bad weather (Storm & Catnat)
In EUR mio

83

57
50
39
29

27

8
3
2001

10

10

2004

2005

2006

0
2002

2003

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

Excluding IBNR – Before reinsurance

Investor Day 24&25 September 2012 - Andaz Liverpool Street London

16
Workmen’s Compensation
Specific business within Belgian Non-Life context

 Underwritten by the private insurance
sector. Is part of social security system.
Supervision by government.
 Compulsory for all private sector
employers (Law of 1971) and civil
servants (1967).
 No fault type. Covers accidents at work
and commute traffic accidents.
 Covers medical costs & guaranteed
income based on degree of disability and
based on a capped reference salary

Investor Day 24&25 September 2012 - Andaz Liverpool Street London

17
Workmen’s Compensation
Actions to restore profitability
Premium & Portfolio
85,691

88,792

90,743

205

199

198

New Business & Lapses
91,624

13.30%

12.80%

12.50%

13,425

12,331

12,406

11,665

2008

2009
New Business (#)

2010

11.90%

2008
2009
2010
Written Premium (In EUR mio)

200

2011
Portfolio (#)

Technical Result

2011
Lapses (%)

Comments / Actions

In EUR mio

 New tariff structure for new business
42

 General tariff increases on portfolio
34
-1

2008

2009

-5

2010

 Evaluation & pruning of non profitable
contracts

2011

Note : Figures include additional cover in Corporate which is fully complementary to Workmen’s Comp. contracts.

Investor Day 24&25 September 2012 - Andaz Liverpool Street London

18
Conclusions

 Strong position

 Multi Channel

 Well diversified product mix

 Good underlying long term profitability

 No low price strategy

 Good progress towards target
performance
Investor Day 24&25 September 2012 - Andaz Liverpool Street London

19
Healthcare Within Ageas
Presence in Portugal, Belgium, Italy and Turkey
FY 2011 numbers
Ageas
Bodily injuries: EUR 88 mio
Guaranteed wages/disability: EUR 94 mio
Health Care: EUR 296 mio

Belgium
Bodily injuries: EUR 48 mio
Guaranteed wages/disability: EUR 94 mio
Health Care: EUR 145 mio

Portugal
Bodily injuries: EUR 14 mio
Health Care: EUR 151 mio

Italy
Bodily injuries: EUR 27 mio

Turkey
Investor Day 24&25 September 2012 - Andaz Liverpool Street London

20
Disclaimer
Certain of the statements contained herein are statements of
future expectations and other forward-looking statements
that are based on management's current views and
assumptions and involve known and unknown risks and
uncertainties that could cause actual results, performance or
events to differ materially from those expressed or implied in
such statements. Future actual results, performance or
events may differ materially from those in such statements
due to, without limitation, (i) general economic conditions,
including in particular economic conditions in Ageas’s core
markets, (ii) performance of financial markets, (iii) the
frequency and severity of insured loss events, (iv) mortality
and morbidity levels and trends, (v) persistency levels, (vi)
interest rate levels, (vii) currency exchange rates, (viii)
increasing levels of competition, (ix) changes in laws and
regulations, including monetary convergence and the
Economic and Monetary Union, (x) changes in the policies of
central banks and/or foreign governments and (xi) general
competitive factors, in each case on a global, regional and/or
national basis. In addition, the financial information
contained in this presentation, including the pro forma
information contained herein, is unaudited and is provided
for illustrative purposes only. It does not purport to be
indicative of what the actual results of operations or financial
condition of Ageas and its subsidiaries would have been had
these events occurred or transactions been consummated
on or as of the dates indicated, nor does it purport to be
indicative of the results of operations or financial condition
that may be achieved in the future.
Investor Day 24&25 September 2012 - Andaz Liverpool Street London

21

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Investor Day 2012 - Ageas's Non-Life Business

  • 1. Belgium Deeper insight in Ageas’s Non-Life Business Antonio Cano CEO AG Insurance INVESTOR DAY 2012
  • 2. Non-Life Business at AG Insurance  AG # 2 in the Non-Life market with a comprehensive product portfolio FY 2011 Non-Life distribution mix AG Insurance  Strategy  "Full" player: broad product range  Multi-distribution: bank and broker working together in synergy  Innovation in service and products  B2B 6% Close to distributors and customers  Profitability  Bancassurance 15% under pressure since 2009 Turnaround made in Motor Challenge in Fire and Workmen's Italy Compensation  Investor Day 24&25 September 2012 - Andaz Liverpool Street London Malaysia Brokers 79% 1
  • 3. A constantly & moderately growing market In EUR mio 4,000 Product 2011 CAGR Motor 3,455 2.4% Fire 2,450 5.2% Other 2,362 3.4% Health Care 1,328 7.5% Work. Comp. 1,071 -0.1% 3,500 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Investor Day 24&25 September 2012 - Andaz Liverpool Street London 2010 2011 2
  • 4. Brokers still predominant with close to 60% market share Brokers Assurfinance Banks Agents Direct 100%  Bancassurers & Direct gradually gained market share in past decade  20% 90% Direct channel* mainly driven by Ethias, next to direct sales in B2B Group Health Care business. 80% 11% 7% 4% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 58% 20% 10% 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 0% (*) Direct channel includes B2B, B2C, E-commerce, other direct (affinity groups, captives & pools), but also mutuals and cooperatives. Investor Day 24&25 September 2012 - Andaz Liverpool Street London 3
  • 5. Belgian Non-Life market characteristics  Non-Life market growth is relatively predictable (% of GDP)  Income from both investment and underwriting  Skill driven various levers to influence returns if key capabilities have been developed  Yearly re-pricing allows to actively manage risk Investor Day 24&25 September 2012 - Andaz Liverpool Street London 4
  • 6. Belgian Non-Life market characteristics  Cyclicality of earnings due to competitive forces  Volatility in earnings due to catastrophes in some product groups  Possible diversification benefits between markets  Diversification benefits between product groups Investor Day 24&25 September 2012 - Andaz Liverpool Street London 5
  • 7. Insurance environment Non-Life Insurance: present challenges  Low interest rate     environment Euro crisis Volatility in financial markets No or little economic growth CatNat & man made disaster  Demographics  Smaller cars & homes  Demanding Economic environment Customers Distribution Regulation  Solvency II  Insurance Mediation  Ageing broker  population Direct ? Investor Day 24&25 September 2012 - Andaz Liverpool Street London  Directive Increasing regulation limiting room to manoeuvre & increased administrative burden 6
  • 8. Characteristics of AG Insurance’s Non-Life strategy  Product and service offer Top Class Products & Services     Most innovative products and services Perceived as best –in-class service provider “Correct” relation price/quality, flexibel pricing Best-in-class IT tools and processes  Proximity Multi Channel & Close to distributor  Close to the broker and bank: dedicated operations and sales teams  Regular contacts with sales force and management  Open and transparent communication Investor Day 24&25 September 2012 - Andaz Liverpool Street London 7
  • 9. Stable second place and gradually gaining market share Market Share 2011 Market Share development 2009-2011 0 AXA 20.1% Others 33.1% 0 20.1% 15.7% 0 10.3% AG 15.7% P&V 5.9% Mercator 6.9% 0 8.0% 6.9% 5.9% 0 KBC 8.0% Ethias 10.3% 4.8% 4.7% 3.6% 2.7% 1.8% 1.3% 0 2009 Investor Day 24&25 September 2012 - Andaz Liverpool Street London 2010 2011 8
  • 10. Well balanced product mix Evolution of Market Share by Product Gross written premiums: Total book of EUR 1.7 bn In EUR mio 21% 1,466 1,515 125 130 460 474 447 1,591 1,671 144 135 Product mix 8.6% 524 31.4% 472 513 541 32.4% 434 17% 487 439 456 462 27.6% 2008 2009 2010 2011 16% 15% Non-Life Accident & Total Health 2008 2009 Motor 2010 Fire 2011 Investor Day 24&25 September 2012 - Andaz Liverpool Street London Accident & Health Motor Fire Other 9
  • 11. Technical result & Net profit Non-Life Technical result (100 %) Net result (100%) In EUR mio In EUR mio 118 91 63 73 56 43 44 15 1 2008 2009 2010 2011 6M 12 Investor Day 24&25 September 2012 - Andaz Liverpool Street London 2008 2009 4 2010 2011 6M 12 10
  • 12. Gross loss ratios evolution – AG total Non-Life (excl. Health & Health Care) Good and consistent run-off 80% 75% 2010 70% 2011 65% 2009 2007 60% 2008 55% 2006 50% 0 1 2 Investor Day 24&25 September 2012 - Andaz Liverpool Street London 3 4 5 11
  • 13. Combined Ratio AG Insurance Combined ratio per product line Motor Fire In % In % 106.6 105 108 107 94 2008 2009 2010 97.3 6M 12 2008 110 96.5 2011 123 2009 2010 2011 103.6 6M 12 Workmen’s Compensation Total Non-Life In % In % 122.0869 121.2614 100.900 100.900 105.100 101.100 2008 2009 2010 2011 99.800 106.6661 6M 12 2008 Investor Day 24&25 September 2012 - Andaz Liverpool Street London 102.2716 98.4486 2009 2010 2011 6M 12 12
  • 14. Relation between Combined Ratio and Return on Required Capital Main hypothesis :  Financial income = 3.0%  Tax rate = 34% Fire Motor WC Health Care Non-Life Target Premium 100 100 100 100 100 Required Capital 32 32 52 32 34 Reserve/premium 80% 134% 648% 73% 189% Technical results 2.2 0.5 0.7 3.6 1.4 97.6% 99.5% 99.2% 96.4% 98.6% Investment income* 3.2 4.9 7.9 1.7 4.3 Net Profit 3.5 3.5 5.7 3.5 3.7 Return on Required Capital 11% 11% 11% 11% 11% In EUR mio excl fin income Combined ratio * investment income includes both allocated and non-allocated financial income but excludes the financial income linked to capitalisation factor on provisions related to Non-Life annuity business (especially in Workmen’s Comp and to a lower extent Health care) Investor Day 24&25 September 2012 - Andaz Liverpool Street London 13
  • 15. Successful turnaround in Motor… Premium & Portfolio New Business & Lapses 887,322 921,220 939,412 946,675 446 472 512 541 2008 2009 2010 2011 Portfolio (#) Written Premium (€ Mio) Technical Result & Claim Frequency 7.5% 7.6% 7.7% 7.1% 56 0 2008 5 2009 Technical Result (€ Mio) -6 2010 2011 Claims Frequency (%) Investor Day 24&25 September 2012 - Andaz Liverpool Street London 13.2% 13.2% 13.4% 144,953 146,943 145,163 139,746 2008 2009 2010 2011 12% New Business (#) Lapses (%) Comments  Technical Result improved driven by tariff increases and changed product features (e.g. 0% deductible not actively promoted anymore). Adapted pruning rules and reviewed underwriting guidelines  Claims frequency dropped in 2011 14
  • 16. … but Fire remains below expectations Premium & Portfolio New Business & Lapses 1,381,940 1,384,926 1,397,987 1,413,104 10% 9.6% 9.3% 9.2% 460 474 487 524 131,290 129,825 142,627 138,870 2008 2009 2010 2011 2008 2009 2010 2011 Written Premium (in EUR mio) Portfolio (#) Technical Result* & Claim Frequency 7.0% 7.6% 8.7% 7.9% 31 -20 -41 -33 New Business (#) Lapses (%) Comments  Increased claims frequency including adverse weather events in recent years  Consecutive tariff increases both on portfolio and on new business  Tightening up the underwriting criteria 2008 2009 2010 2011 Technical Result (In EUR mio) Claims Frequency (%)  Expansion of the segmentation  Increased portfolio pruning & risk (re)inspections *Technical result includes Multiline Cover Investor Day 24&25 September 2012 - Andaz Liverpool Street London 15
  • 17. Fire : evolution bad weather (Storm & Catnat) In EUR mio 83 57 50 39 29 27 8 3 2001 10 10 2004 2005 2006 0 2002 2003 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Excluding IBNR – Before reinsurance Investor Day 24&25 September 2012 - Andaz Liverpool Street London 16
  • 18. Workmen’s Compensation Specific business within Belgian Non-Life context  Underwritten by the private insurance sector. Is part of social security system. Supervision by government.  Compulsory for all private sector employers (Law of 1971) and civil servants (1967).  No fault type. Covers accidents at work and commute traffic accidents.  Covers medical costs & guaranteed income based on degree of disability and based on a capped reference salary Investor Day 24&25 September 2012 - Andaz Liverpool Street London 17
  • 19. Workmen’s Compensation Actions to restore profitability Premium & Portfolio 85,691 88,792 90,743 205 199 198 New Business & Lapses 91,624 13.30% 12.80% 12.50% 13,425 12,331 12,406 11,665 2008 2009 New Business (#) 2010 11.90% 2008 2009 2010 Written Premium (In EUR mio) 200 2011 Portfolio (#) Technical Result 2011 Lapses (%) Comments / Actions In EUR mio  New tariff structure for new business 42  General tariff increases on portfolio 34 -1 2008 2009 -5 2010  Evaluation & pruning of non profitable contracts 2011 Note : Figures include additional cover in Corporate which is fully complementary to Workmen’s Comp. contracts. Investor Day 24&25 September 2012 - Andaz Liverpool Street London 18
  • 20. Conclusions  Strong position  Multi Channel  Well diversified product mix  Good underlying long term profitability  No low price strategy  Good progress towards target performance Investor Day 24&25 September 2012 - Andaz Liverpool Street London 19
  • 21. Healthcare Within Ageas Presence in Portugal, Belgium, Italy and Turkey FY 2011 numbers Ageas Bodily injuries: EUR 88 mio Guaranteed wages/disability: EUR 94 mio Health Care: EUR 296 mio Belgium Bodily injuries: EUR 48 mio Guaranteed wages/disability: EUR 94 mio Health Care: EUR 145 mio Portugal Bodily injuries: EUR 14 mio Health Care: EUR 151 mio Italy Bodily injuries: EUR 27 mio Turkey Investor Day 24&25 September 2012 - Andaz Liverpool Street London 20
  • 22. Disclaimer Certain of the statements contained herein are statements of future expectations and other forward-looking statements that are based on management's current views and assumptions and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results, performance or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied in such statements. Future actual results, performance or events may differ materially from those in such statements due to, without limitation, (i) general economic conditions, including in particular economic conditions in Ageas’s core markets, (ii) performance of financial markets, (iii) the frequency and severity of insured loss events, (iv) mortality and morbidity levels and trends, (v) persistency levels, (vi) interest rate levels, (vii) currency exchange rates, (viii) increasing levels of competition, (ix) changes in laws and regulations, including monetary convergence and the Economic and Monetary Union, (x) changes in the policies of central banks and/or foreign governments and (xi) general competitive factors, in each case on a global, regional and/or national basis. In addition, the financial information contained in this presentation, including the pro forma information contained herein, is unaudited and is provided for illustrative purposes only. It does not purport to be indicative of what the actual results of operations or financial condition of Ageas and its subsidiaries would have been had these events occurred or transactions been consummated on or as of the dates indicated, nor does it purport to be indicative of the results of operations or financial condition that may be achieved in the future. Investor Day 24&25 September 2012 - Andaz Liverpool Street London 21