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FINANCE15 NOVEMBER 2014
AVENUECEO Bart De Smet
Ageas @ Finance Avenue I November 2014 2
Company profile
Active in 12 countries in Europe & Asia
Portugal
Life – 51%: € 946 mio (#1)
Non-Life – 100%: € 201 mio
UK – 100%
Life: € 100 mio
Non-Life: € 1,746 mio (#2)
France - 100%
Life: € 279 mio
Italy - 25%
Non-Life: € 151 mio (#1 bancassurance) India - 26%
Life: € 81 mio
Thailand
Life – 31%: € 1,309 mio (#2)
Non-Life – 15%: € 170 mio (#7)
China - 25%
Life: € 6,221 mio (#6)
Malaysia - 31%
Life: € 412 mio (#2)
Non-Life: € 430 mio
Belgium - 75%
Life € 2,907 mio (#1)
Non-Life: € 1,461 mio (#2)
Hong Kong - 100 %
Life: € 341 mio
Luxembourg- 33%
Life: € 2,250 mio (#1 FOS)
* Inflow included non-consolidated partnerships @ 100%
Turkey - 36%
Non-Life: € 462 mio (#4)
Situation on 30 September 2014
Main messages
Ageas posts strong 9M 14 Insurance results
3
Group net result
General Account
impacted by legacies
 Net profit of EUR 282 mio (-45%) – Q3 EUR 251 mio
 Incl. EUR (124) mio RPN(i) & EUR (130) mio FortisEffect
provision
EUR 130 mio
provision in
accordance with
applicable IFRS
rules
Main elements of
ruling 29/07/14
 Miscommunication in period 29/09/08 – 01/10/08
 Liability retained for indemnifying damages suffered – existence of
damages & amount to be decided upon in further proceedings
 File appeal before the Dutch Supreme Court
 Methods & assumptions commonly used in the market, particularly
settlements in USA & the Netherlands
 Assumptions on
 # shares eligible: only-buyer-but-not seller during concerned period
 different time periods
 Relative Share Performance vs. normal group of peers
 % participation shareholders – not only FortisEffect joiners
Ageas’s position
Ageas @ Finance Avenue I November 2014
Solid Insurance
performance
– Strong Q3 in Life
& Non-Life
 Net profit of EUR 579 mio (+16%) – Q3 EUR 239 mio
 Inflow @ 100% of EUR 19.5 bn (+10%) – Q3 EUR 5.7 bn
 Life Technical Liabilities at EUR 72.7 bn* (+5% vs. FY 13)
Main messages
Ageas posts strong 9M 14 Insurance results
4
* Consolidated entities only
In EUR mio
Belgium
UK
CEU
Asia
Total Ageas
Life Non-Life
Life Non-Life Other
Life Non-Life
Life Non-Life
Life Non-Life Other
Ageas @ Finance Avenue I November 2014
5
6 August 12
Ageas
announces
EUR 200 mio
share buy-back
24 August 11
Ageas
announces
EUR 250 mio
share buy-back
2 August 13
Ageas
announces
EUR 200 mio
share buy-back
6 August 14
Ageas announces
EUR 250 mio
share buy-back
Since 2012
31.341.889 shares cancelled
- around 12% of outstanding -
Shareholders’
equity up
 EUR 9.9 bn or EUR 44.75 per share – UG/L EUR 11.28 per share
 Insurance solvency at 214%, Group solvency at 206%
 Net cash position General Account at EUR 1.5 bn
Main messages
Ageas posts solid 9M 14 Insurance results
As per 1 November 2014
2.195.188 shares bought back
for EUR 56 mio
Ageas @ Finance Avenue I November 2014
6
Vision 2015
Ageas @ Finance Avenue I November 2014
7
Towards preferred business profile
9M 14 at 67/33 (vs. 67/33 FY 12)
Portuguese Non-
Life activities
Italian Non-Life
activities
Sale UK Life
activities
 Ageas acquires 25% of UBI Assicurazioni (now 25%)
for EUR 37.5 mio - expected to close in 2014
 Long-term distribution agreement with UBI Banca; UBIA free to enter
into other distribution agreements – BNP bank network
 Ageas sells Ageas UK Life to AIG for ≈ EUR 228 mio
 Net proceeds after costs & repayment internal loan of around
EUR 33 mio (GBP 26 mio) will be up streamed to General Account
 Subject to regulatory approval - Expected to close in 2014
 Ageas acquires remaining 49% Non-Life for EUR 122.5 mio
 Upstream of EUR 290 mio dividend (Life & Non-Life, @ 100%) – net
cash accretive for Ageas
 Exclusive distribution agreement BCP renewed up to 2029
 Impact on target of around 1.9% based on 9M 14 inflow
Ageas @ Finance Avenue I November 2014
8
Non-Life combined ratio: recovering from weather events
9M 14 at 99.6% (vs. 99.1% FY 12)
 Impact on Ageas combined ratio around 1.3%
 Impact on Ageas net result around EUR 36 mio
 Impact on Ageas combined ratio around 1.8%
 Impact on Ageas net result around EUR 25 mio
 No impact; covered by reinsurance
 Reserve strengthening
 Corrective measures launched – pruning & tariff
increases
Q1: UK floods
Q2: BE hailstorm
Q2: BE Third
Party Liability
(TPL)
Main elements:
 Adjusted combined ratio 9M 14 ≈ 96.2%
Q3: BE floods
Ageas @ Finance Avenue I November 2014
9
Increase avg shareholder’s equity > increase net profit
9M 14 at 9.1% (vs. 8.7% FY 12)
Average
shareholders
equity strongly
up on UG/L
1.50%
2.00%
2.50%
3.00%
3.50%
4.00%
4.50%
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
9,000
Mar-10
Jun-10
Sep-10
Dec-10
Mar-11
Jun-11
Sep-11
Dec-11
Mar-12
Jun-12
Sep-12
Dec-12
Mar-13
Jun-13
Sep-13
Dec-13
Mar-14
Jun-14
Sep-14
Average Insurance Equity (EUR m)
Average Insurance Equity excluding
Unrealized Gains / Losses (EUR m)
Average 10-year Belgian Government
Yields (%)
Average
shareholders equity
excl. UG/L
steadily
increasing in
line with
business
 Unrealized gains up to EUR 2.6 bn at end September 2014
+33%
Ageas @ Finance Avenue I November 2014
10
Increasing importance of emerging markets
9M 14 at 14.9% (vs. 12.1% FY 12)
Positive impact  Investment in China
 Dividend upstream from mature markets
 High unrealized gains in equity in mature markets
 Reaching ≈ 20% of Ageas insurance result
 All activities contributing to increase
Net profit from
emerging markets
increasing
Negative impact
BUT…
Net profit in Asia (non consolidated
partnerships)
Ageas @ Finance Avenue I November 2014
Since 2009 EUR 2.3 bn returned to shareholders
Stable dividend policy & repeated share buy-backs
Dividend policy  Pay out 40%-50% of Insurance result
Dividend
payments in line with
announced policy
11
≈ EUR 1.4 bn
dividends & capital reduction
 ≈ EUR 850 mio dividend 09, 10, 11 & 12
 EUR 222 mio capital reduction in 2013
 ≈ EUR 310 mio dividend over 2013
EUR 900 mio share buy-backs
 EUR 650 mio share buy-backs
finalized early 12, 13 & ‘14
 EUR 250 mio ongoing share
buy-back announced 06/08/14
Return to
shareholders
since 2009
0.80 0.80 0.80
1.20 1.20
1.40
1.00
2009 2010 2011 2012 2012
+ cap
reduction
2013
pay-out ratio 47%
dividend yield 4.5%*
* Based on closing price day before ex-dividend
Ageas @ Finance Avenue I November 2014
Conclusions
12
9M results strong
- healthy inflow growth
- progress in a number of strategic files
- 4th share buy-back launched
Legal legacies
- verdict FortisEffect
- no change in strategy
Vision 2015 targets
- constant progress
- step by step approach
September 2015
- Beyond 2015 strategy
- Solvency II status
Ageas @ Finance Avenue I November 2014
Disclaimer
13
Certain of the statements contained herein are statements of
future expectations and other forward-looking statements that are
based on management's current views and assumptions and
involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could
cause actual results, performance or events to differ materially
from those expressed or implied in such statements. Future
actual results, performance or events may differ materially from
those in such statements due to, without limitation, (i) general
economic conditions, including in particular economic conditions
in Ageas’s core markets, (ii) performance of financial markets,
(iii) the frequency and severity of insured loss events, (iv)
mortality and morbidity levels and trends, (v) persistency levels,
(vi) interest rate levels, (vii) currency exchange rates, (viii)
increasing levels of competition, (ix) changes in laws and
regulations, including monetary convergence and the Economic
and Monetary Union, (x) changes in the policies of central banks
and/or foreign governments and (xi) general competitive factors,
in each case on a global, regional and/or national basis. In
addition, the financial information contained in this presentation,
including the pro forma information contained herein, is
unaudited and is provided for illustrative purposes only. It does
not purport to be indicative of what the actual results of
operations or financial condition of Ageas and its subsidiaries
would have been had these events occurred or transactions
been consummated on or as of the dates indicated, nor does it
purport to be indicative of the results of operations or financial
condition that may be achieved in the future.
Ageas @ Finance Avenue I November 2014

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Finance Avenue 2014

  • 2. Ageas @ Finance Avenue I November 2014 2 Company profile Active in 12 countries in Europe & Asia Portugal Life – 51%: € 946 mio (#1) Non-Life – 100%: € 201 mio UK – 100% Life: € 100 mio Non-Life: € 1,746 mio (#2) France - 100% Life: € 279 mio Italy - 25% Non-Life: € 151 mio (#1 bancassurance) India - 26% Life: € 81 mio Thailand Life – 31%: € 1,309 mio (#2) Non-Life – 15%: € 170 mio (#7) China - 25% Life: € 6,221 mio (#6) Malaysia - 31% Life: € 412 mio (#2) Non-Life: € 430 mio Belgium - 75% Life € 2,907 mio (#1) Non-Life: € 1,461 mio (#2) Hong Kong - 100 % Life: € 341 mio Luxembourg- 33% Life: € 2,250 mio (#1 FOS) * Inflow included non-consolidated partnerships @ 100% Turkey - 36% Non-Life: € 462 mio (#4) Situation on 30 September 2014
  • 3. Main messages Ageas posts strong 9M 14 Insurance results 3 Group net result General Account impacted by legacies  Net profit of EUR 282 mio (-45%) – Q3 EUR 251 mio  Incl. EUR (124) mio RPN(i) & EUR (130) mio FortisEffect provision EUR 130 mio provision in accordance with applicable IFRS rules Main elements of ruling 29/07/14  Miscommunication in period 29/09/08 – 01/10/08  Liability retained for indemnifying damages suffered – existence of damages & amount to be decided upon in further proceedings  File appeal before the Dutch Supreme Court  Methods & assumptions commonly used in the market, particularly settlements in USA & the Netherlands  Assumptions on  # shares eligible: only-buyer-but-not seller during concerned period  different time periods  Relative Share Performance vs. normal group of peers  % participation shareholders – not only FortisEffect joiners Ageas’s position Ageas @ Finance Avenue I November 2014
  • 4. Solid Insurance performance – Strong Q3 in Life & Non-Life  Net profit of EUR 579 mio (+16%) – Q3 EUR 239 mio  Inflow @ 100% of EUR 19.5 bn (+10%) – Q3 EUR 5.7 bn  Life Technical Liabilities at EUR 72.7 bn* (+5% vs. FY 13) Main messages Ageas posts strong 9M 14 Insurance results 4 * Consolidated entities only In EUR mio Belgium UK CEU Asia Total Ageas Life Non-Life Life Non-Life Other Life Non-Life Life Non-Life Life Non-Life Other Ageas @ Finance Avenue I November 2014
  • 5. 5 6 August 12 Ageas announces EUR 200 mio share buy-back 24 August 11 Ageas announces EUR 250 mio share buy-back 2 August 13 Ageas announces EUR 200 mio share buy-back 6 August 14 Ageas announces EUR 250 mio share buy-back Since 2012 31.341.889 shares cancelled - around 12% of outstanding - Shareholders’ equity up  EUR 9.9 bn or EUR 44.75 per share – UG/L EUR 11.28 per share  Insurance solvency at 214%, Group solvency at 206%  Net cash position General Account at EUR 1.5 bn Main messages Ageas posts solid 9M 14 Insurance results As per 1 November 2014 2.195.188 shares bought back for EUR 56 mio Ageas @ Finance Avenue I November 2014
  • 6. 6 Vision 2015 Ageas @ Finance Avenue I November 2014
  • 7. 7 Towards preferred business profile 9M 14 at 67/33 (vs. 67/33 FY 12) Portuguese Non- Life activities Italian Non-Life activities Sale UK Life activities  Ageas acquires 25% of UBI Assicurazioni (now 25%) for EUR 37.5 mio - expected to close in 2014  Long-term distribution agreement with UBI Banca; UBIA free to enter into other distribution agreements – BNP bank network  Ageas sells Ageas UK Life to AIG for ≈ EUR 228 mio  Net proceeds after costs & repayment internal loan of around EUR 33 mio (GBP 26 mio) will be up streamed to General Account  Subject to regulatory approval - Expected to close in 2014  Ageas acquires remaining 49% Non-Life for EUR 122.5 mio  Upstream of EUR 290 mio dividend (Life & Non-Life, @ 100%) – net cash accretive for Ageas  Exclusive distribution agreement BCP renewed up to 2029  Impact on target of around 1.9% based on 9M 14 inflow Ageas @ Finance Avenue I November 2014
  • 8. 8 Non-Life combined ratio: recovering from weather events 9M 14 at 99.6% (vs. 99.1% FY 12)  Impact on Ageas combined ratio around 1.3%  Impact on Ageas net result around EUR 36 mio  Impact on Ageas combined ratio around 1.8%  Impact on Ageas net result around EUR 25 mio  No impact; covered by reinsurance  Reserve strengthening  Corrective measures launched – pruning & tariff increases Q1: UK floods Q2: BE hailstorm Q2: BE Third Party Liability (TPL) Main elements:  Adjusted combined ratio 9M 14 ≈ 96.2% Q3: BE floods Ageas @ Finance Avenue I November 2014
  • 9. 9 Increase avg shareholder’s equity > increase net profit 9M 14 at 9.1% (vs. 8.7% FY 12) Average shareholders equity strongly up on UG/L 1.50% 2.00% 2.50% 3.00% 3.50% 4.00% 4.50% 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000 9,000 Mar-10 Jun-10 Sep-10 Dec-10 Mar-11 Jun-11 Sep-11 Dec-11 Mar-12 Jun-12 Sep-12 Dec-12 Mar-13 Jun-13 Sep-13 Dec-13 Mar-14 Jun-14 Sep-14 Average Insurance Equity (EUR m) Average Insurance Equity excluding Unrealized Gains / Losses (EUR m) Average 10-year Belgian Government Yields (%) Average shareholders equity excl. UG/L steadily increasing in line with business  Unrealized gains up to EUR 2.6 bn at end September 2014 +33% Ageas @ Finance Avenue I November 2014
  • 10. 10 Increasing importance of emerging markets 9M 14 at 14.9% (vs. 12.1% FY 12) Positive impact  Investment in China  Dividend upstream from mature markets  High unrealized gains in equity in mature markets  Reaching ≈ 20% of Ageas insurance result  All activities contributing to increase Net profit from emerging markets increasing Negative impact BUT… Net profit in Asia (non consolidated partnerships) Ageas @ Finance Avenue I November 2014
  • 11. Since 2009 EUR 2.3 bn returned to shareholders Stable dividend policy & repeated share buy-backs Dividend policy  Pay out 40%-50% of Insurance result Dividend payments in line with announced policy 11 ≈ EUR 1.4 bn dividends & capital reduction  ≈ EUR 850 mio dividend 09, 10, 11 & 12  EUR 222 mio capital reduction in 2013  ≈ EUR 310 mio dividend over 2013 EUR 900 mio share buy-backs  EUR 650 mio share buy-backs finalized early 12, 13 & ‘14  EUR 250 mio ongoing share buy-back announced 06/08/14 Return to shareholders since 2009 0.80 0.80 0.80 1.20 1.20 1.40 1.00 2009 2010 2011 2012 2012 + cap reduction 2013 pay-out ratio 47% dividend yield 4.5%* * Based on closing price day before ex-dividend Ageas @ Finance Avenue I November 2014
  • 12. Conclusions 12 9M results strong - healthy inflow growth - progress in a number of strategic files - 4th share buy-back launched Legal legacies - verdict FortisEffect - no change in strategy Vision 2015 targets - constant progress - step by step approach September 2015 - Beyond 2015 strategy - Solvency II status Ageas @ Finance Avenue I November 2014
  • 13. Disclaimer 13 Certain of the statements contained herein are statements of future expectations and other forward-looking statements that are based on management's current views and assumptions and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results, performance or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied in such statements. Future actual results, performance or events may differ materially from those in such statements due to, without limitation, (i) general economic conditions, including in particular economic conditions in Ageas’s core markets, (ii) performance of financial markets, (iii) the frequency and severity of insured loss events, (iv) mortality and morbidity levels and trends, (v) persistency levels, (vi) interest rate levels, (vii) currency exchange rates, (viii) increasing levels of competition, (ix) changes in laws and regulations, including monetary convergence and the Economic and Monetary Union, (x) changes in the policies of central banks and/or foreign governments and (xi) general competitive factors, in each case on a global, regional and/or national basis. In addition, the financial information contained in this presentation, including the pro forma information contained herein, is unaudited and is provided for illustrative purposes only. It does not purport to be indicative of what the actual results of operations or financial condition of Ageas and its subsidiaries would have been had these events occurred or transactions been consummated on or as of the dates indicated, nor does it purport to be indicative of the results of operations or financial condition that may be achieved in the future. Ageas @ Finance Avenue I November 2014