1. New Zealand
ICT
Tertiary Education & Job Series
July 2011
garry.roberton@wintec.ac.nz
Note:
Indicates
new/significant
change
2. Insights
ο Enrolments & Completions:
ο for the tertiary sector (ITPs, PTEs & Universities)
ο Diploma & degree EFTS enrolments are increasing
ο Diploma completions are increasing
ο Degree completions are decreasing
ο Jobs:
ο for the month of July
ο Auckland experienced a 5% increase in Seek ICT job
adverts
ο Waikato experienced a 14% increase in Seek ICT job
adverts
ο Overall all NZ ICT jobs advertised on Seek rose 4%
[Trademe increased just 0.6%]
3. Tertiary Sector ICT Enrolment Trends
[Domestic & International]
2003 to 2009
14,000
12,000
10,000
8,000
EFTS
Diplomas & Degrees
Combined
6,000
4,000
2,000
0
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Year
ο Tertiary sector ICT EFTS (Equivalent Full Time Student) enrolments:
ο Decreased by 39% between 2003 and 2007
ο Increased by 20% between 2007 and 2009
Source: (Accessed July 2011)
4. Institutes of Technology & Polytechnics (ITP)
ICT Enrolment Trends
(Certificates, Diplomas & Degree EFTS)
2002 to 2011
4,500
4,000
3,500
Increase
3,000 of 10% for
2011
2,500 estimated
EFTS
2,000
1,500
1,000
500
0
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
ο ITP/Polytechnic sector ICT EFTS enrolments (Based on data collected by )
ο Decreased by 49% between 2002 and 2007
ο Increased by 45% between 2007 and *2011 (Still 1000 fewer EFTS
enrolments in 2011 than in 2002)
*Based on an estimated increase of 10% for the 2011 year
5. CRA Taulbee Survey
ο Total enrollments among U.S. computer science undergraduates
increased 10 percent in 2010
ο Third straight year of increases in total enrollment
ο Indicates that the post βdot-com crashβ decline in undergraduate
computing program enrollments is over.
Source: β April 2011
6. Tertiary Sector ICT Diploma Completion Trends
[Domestic & International]
2004 to 2009
2009
2008
Total
2007 International
Domestic
2006
2005
2004
0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500
Students Completing
Between 2007 and 2009 diploma completions more than doubled
Source: (Accessed July 2011)
7. Tertiary Sector Completion Trends
ICT Bachelor [Domestic & International]
2004 to 2009
2009
2008
Total
2007
International
Domestic
2006
2005
2004
0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000
Students Completing
Degree completions:
ο Decreased 36% from 2004 to 2007 (Tracking falling enrolments)
ο Continue to decrease (a further 16% from 2007 to 2009)
Source: (Accessed July 2011)
8. IT Job Advertisements
2003 to 2007
IT job vacancies increased by approximately 60% over the same
period [2003 to 2007] that tertiary ICT enrolments declined by
approximately 40%
9. Seek IT Job Trends NZ
2011
3500
3000
2662 2732 3127
2603 2689 3000
2500
2000 1712
1500
1000 Last Year
500
0
Jan Feb
2011 Mar April
2011 2011 May June
2011 2011 July
2011 2011
Source: (Accessed July 2011)
10. Seek ICT Growth in Job Adverts
January - July
2011
120%
100%
80%
Percentage Increase
60%
40%
20%
0%
Auckland Waikato Wellington Canterbury Total NZ
Source: (Accessed July 2011)
11. 2007 Peak ICT Job Adverts NZ
before
recession
Seek & Trademe
3487
3500
3127
3000
3000
2689 2732
2662
2603
2500
2000 Trademe IT
1712 Seek IT
1462 1474 1484
1367 1407 1391
1500 1353
955
1000
500
0
Sept Jan Feb Mar April May June July
2007 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011
Source: (Accessed July 2011)
13. Seek ICT Job Adverts
by Industry Certification
July 2011
Total NZ
Canterbury
Wellington
Waikato
Auckland
0 200 400 600 800 1000
Auckland Waikato Wellington Canterbury Total NZ
Microsoft 299 10 138 72 547
Cisco 174 4 86 27 310
Linux 556 15 243 64 901
Wellington has the only significant monthly increase of 7% across all 3 categories
Source: (Accessed July 2011)
14. Seek ICT Job Adverts by
Programming Language
July 2011
Total NZ
Canterbury
Wellington
Waikato
Auckland
0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700
Auckland Waikato Wellington Canterbury Total NZ
PHP 393 12 156 38 608
C# 153 5 64 29 257
.NET 187 7 89 45 337
Java 425 10 169 46 657
Source: (Accessed July 2011)
15. Comment on Seek ICT Job Adverts by
Programming language
ο Auckland:
ο Experienced a 25% monthly increase in job adverts filtered on PHP
ο Experienced a 10% monthly increase in job adverts filtered on Java
ο Experienced an increase of 8% for the month across all 4 categories
ο Wellington:
ο Experienced an decrease of 5% for the month across all 4
categories
ο Christchurch:
ο Experienced an decrease of 20% for the month across all 4
categories
Seek ICT NZ Job Adverts
PHP & Java Comparison
July 2011
608 Java
657 PHP
16. News Bytes
ο Australia: Information Technology Contract and Recruitment Association
(ITCRA) (May 2011):
ο On the cusp of an employment skills shortage in the ICT sector
ο The group's inaugural Skillsmatch ICT Skills Dashboard revealed;
ο An average of 26.3 days taken to hire a new ICT employee, an
increase of six days in the past year
ο In the same period, the number of suitable candidates for each
role has decreased from 7.7 candidates to 6.8 candidates
ο The top five skills employers and recruiters are requesting are;
ο Help desk experience
ο Project management
ο Java
ο SQL
ο Windows
Source: (Accessed July 2011)
17. News Bytes
ComputerWorld: Hiring process lengthening in tighter market
Good quality candidates are getting harder to source, survey finds
[By David Watson | Auckland | Thursday, 23 June, 2011]
managing director Josh Comrie;
ο βThe market today is one that has very much gone back to the one last seen
in 2007β.................βIt is candidate-short.β
ο In-demand skill sets include senior network design, infrastructure design
and software design roles - βIt is the architecture roles.β
ο C# and Java developers are also in demand and the Flash Flex development
toolset is also βbecoming very popularβ
Source: (Accessed July 2011)
18. Conclusion:
ο CS/ICT undergraduate enrolment trends in NZ mirror those in
the USA
ο NZ ICT jobs advertised on Seek up 32% on this time last year
ο The July 2011 Seek ICT job advert figure of 3,127 is only 10%
below the peak of 3,487 in September 2007 (Prior to the
recession)
ο NZ ICT job numbers advertised on Trademe consistently
above the September 2007 peak from February 2011
ο CS/ICT completion rates in NZ are not keeping pace with job
vacancies β the skills gap is increasing, once again
ο If you have an interest in a specific ICT job category please
contact