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New Zealand
                                ICT
Tertiary Education & Job Series
                          July 2011
                      garry.roberton@wintec.ac.nz
Note:

    Indicates
    new/significant
    change
Insights
οƒ˜ Enrolments & Completions:
   οƒ˜ for the tertiary sector (ITPs, PTEs & Universities)
         οƒ˜ Diploma & degree EFTS enrolments are increasing
         οƒ˜ Diploma completions are increasing
         οƒ˜ Degree completions are decreasing
οƒ˜ Jobs:
   οƒ˜ for the month of July
         οƒ˜ Auckland experienced a 5% increase in Seek ICT job
            adverts
         οƒ˜ Waikato experienced a 14% increase in Seek ICT job
            adverts
         οƒ˜ Overall all NZ ICT jobs advertised on Seek rose 4%
            [Trademe increased just 0.6%]
Tertiary Sector ICT Enrolment Trends
                              [Domestic & International]
                                     2003 to 2009
         14,000


         12,000


         10,000


          8,000
  EFTS




                                                                         Diplomas & Degrees
                                                                         Combined
          6,000


          4,000


          2,000


             0
                  2003      2004   2005   2006   2007   2008      2009
                                          Year

οƒ˜ Tertiary sector ICT EFTS (Equivalent Full Time Student) enrolments:
            οƒ˜ Decreased by 39% between 2003 and 2007
            οƒ˜ Increased by 20% between 2007 and 2009
                  Source:                  (Accessed July 2011)
Institutes of Technology & Polytechnics (ITP)
                                        ICT Enrolment Trends
                               (Certificates, Diplomas & Degree EFTS)
                                             2002 to 2011
                    4,500

                    4,000

                    3,500
                                                                                Increase
                    3,000                                                       of 10% for
                                                                                2011
                    2,500                                                       estimated
             EFTS



                    2,000

                    1,500

                    1,000

                     500

                       0
                            2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011


οƒ˜ ITP/Polytechnic sector ICT EFTS enrolments (Based on data collected by             )

        οƒ˜ Decreased by 49% between 2002 and 2007
        οƒ˜ Increased by 45% between 2007 and *2011 (Still 1000 fewer EFTS
          enrolments in 2011 than in 2002)
            *Based on an estimated increase of 10% for the 2011 year
CRA Taulbee Survey




οƒ˜ Total enrollments among U.S. computer science undergraduates
  increased 10 percent in 2010
οƒ˜ Third straight year of increases in total enrollment
οƒ˜ Indicates that the post β€œdot-com crash” decline in undergraduate
  computing program enrollments is over.
   Source:            – April 2011
Tertiary Sector ICT Diploma Completion Trends
                        [Domestic & International]
                               2004 to 2009


 2009



 2008

                                                                            Total
 2007                                                                       International
                                                                            Domestic

 2006



 2005



 2004


          0     500   1,000     1,500    2,000      2,500   3,000   3,500
                              Students Completing


Between 2007 and 2009 diploma completions more than doubled


Source:                (Accessed July 2011)
Tertiary Sector Completion Trends
                      ICT Bachelor [Domestic & International]
                                    2004 to 2009


           2009



           2008


                                                                     Total
           2007
                                                                     International
                                                                     Domestic
           2006



           2005



           2004


                  0        500          1,000        1,500   2,000
                                 Students Completing

Degree completions:
    οƒ˜ Decreased 36% from 2004 to 2007 (Tracking falling enrolments)
    οƒ˜ Continue to decrease (a further 16% from 2007 to 2009)
       Source:               (Accessed July 2011)
IT Job Advertisements
                      2003 to 2007




IT job vacancies increased by approximately 60% over the same
period [2003 to 2007] that tertiary ICT enrolments declined by
approximately 40%
Seek IT Job Trends NZ
                                    2011



           3500

           3000
                             2662                          2732              3127
                                        2603      2689              3000
           2500

           2000   1712

           1500

           1000                                                                     Last Year

            500

              0
                    Jan    Feb
                   2011          Mar      April
                          2011   2011               May      June
                                          2011      2011              July
                                                             2011     2011




Source:   (Accessed July 2011)
Seek ICT Growth in Job Adverts
                                                    January - July
                                                        2011

                                120%



                                100%



                                 80%
          Percentage Increase




                                 60%



                                 40%



                                 20%



                                  0%
                                        Auckland       Waikato   Wellington   Canterbury   Total NZ




Source:                         (Accessed July 2011)
2007 Peak                                 ICT Job Adverts NZ
before
recession
                                           Seek & Trademe

                      3487
            3500
                                                                                       3127
                                                                              3000
            3000
                                                            2689     2732
                                          2662
                                                   2603

            2500



            2000                                                                              Trademe IT
                               1712                                                           Seek IT
                                                          1462              1474     1484
                    1367              1407                         1391
            1500                                 1353


                             955
            1000



            500



              0
                    Sept      Jan      Feb       Mar      April    May      June     July
                    2007     2011     2011       2011     2011     2011     2011     2011


 Source:           (Accessed July 2011)
Seek ICT Job Adverts NZ
                                     January - July 2011

          Total NZ


                                                                   Total NZ
      Canterbury
                                                                   July 2010

      Wellington



          Waikato



          Auckland


                      0           500    1000      1500         2000       2500     3000         3500

                          Auckland       Waikato      Wellington       Canterbury     Total NZ
             Jul-11         1837             65           891             255          3127
             Jun-11         1751             57           880             229          3000
             May-11         1635             59           785             184          2732
             Apr-11         1516             67           825             188          2689
             Mar-11         1530             68           785             144          2603
             Feb-11         1559             66           800             151          2662
             Jan-11         960              42           532             123          1712


Source:               (Accessed July 2011)
Seek ICT Job Adverts
                                        by Industry Certification
                                               July 2011

              Total NZ


            Canterbury


            Wellington


              Waikato


             Auckland


                         0               200             400            600           800       1000

                             Auckland          Waikato         Wellington     Canterbury    Total NZ
             Microsoft         299               10               138            72           547
             Cisco             174                4               86             27           310
             Linux             556               15               243            64           901



   Wellington has the only significant monthly increase of 7% across all 3 categories


Source:      (Accessed July 2011)
Seek ICT Job Adverts by
                                          Programming Language
                                                 July 2011


            Total NZ



          Canterbury



          Wellington



            Waikato



           Auckland


                        0           100      200       300         400       500      600         700

                            Auckland         Waikato     Wellington      Canterbury    Total NZ
                 PHP          393              12            156            38              608
                 C#           153              5             64             29              257
                 .NET         187              7             89             45              337
                 Java         425              10            169            46              657




Source:     (Accessed July 2011)
Comment on Seek ICT Job Adverts by
            Programming language
οƒ˜ Auckland:
     οƒ˜ Experienced a 25% monthly increase in job adverts filtered on PHP
     οƒ˜ Experienced a 10% monthly increase in job adverts filtered on Java
     οƒ˜ Experienced an increase of 8% for the month across all 4 categories
οƒ˜ Wellington:
     οƒ˜ Experienced an decrease of 5% for the month across all 4
         categories
οƒ˜ Christchurch:
     οƒ˜ Experienced an decrease of 20% for the month across all 4
         categories
                              Seek ICT NZ Job Adverts
                              PHP & Java Comparison
                                     July 2011


                                             608        Java
                             657                        PHP
News Bytes

οƒ˜ Australia: Information Technology Contract and Recruitment Association
    (ITCRA) (May 2011):
        οƒ˜ On the cusp of an employment skills shortage in the ICT sector
        οƒ˜ The group's inaugural Skillsmatch ICT Skills Dashboard revealed;
            οƒ˜ An average of 26.3 days taken to hire a new ICT employee, an
               increase of six days in the past year
            οƒ˜ In the same period, the number of suitable candidates for each
               role has decreased from 7.7 candidates to 6.8 candidates
            οƒ˜ The top five skills employers and recruiters are requesting are;
                οƒ˜ Help desk experience
                οƒ˜ Project management
                οƒ˜ Java
                οƒ˜ SQL
                οƒ˜ Windows
Source:                  (Accessed July 2011)
News Bytes
ComputerWorld: Hiring process lengthening in tighter market
Good quality candidates are getting harder to source, survey finds
[By David Watson | Auckland | Thursday, 23 June, 2011]

                              managing director Josh Comrie;
οƒ˜ β€œThe market today is one that has very much gone back to the one last seen
    in 2007”.................β€œIt is candidate-short.”
οƒ˜ In-demand skill sets include senior network design, infrastructure design
    and software design roles - β€œIt is the architecture roles.”
οƒ˜ C# and Java developers are also in demand and the Flash Flex development
    toolset is also β€œbecoming very popular”
Source:                (Accessed July 2011)
Conclusion:

οƒ˜ CS/ICT undergraduate enrolment trends in NZ mirror those in
  the USA
οƒ˜ NZ ICT jobs advertised on Seek up 32% on this time last year
οƒ˜ The July 2011 Seek ICT job advert figure of 3,127 is only 10%
  below the peak of 3,487 in September 2007 (Prior to the
  recession)
οƒ˜ NZ ICT job numbers advertised on Trademe consistently
  above the September 2007 peak from February 2011
οƒ˜ CS/ICT completion rates in NZ are not keeping pace with job
  vacancies – the skills gap is increasing, once again

οƒ˜ If you have an interest in a specific ICT job category please
  contact

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Ict Education & Job Trends July 2011

  • 1. New Zealand ICT Tertiary Education & Job Series July 2011 garry.roberton@wintec.ac.nz Note: Indicates new/significant change
  • 2. Insights οƒ˜ Enrolments & Completions: οƒ˜ for the tertiary sector (ITPs, PTEs & Universities) οƒ˜ Diploma & degree EFTS enrolments are increasing οƒ˜ Diploma completions are increasing οƒ˜ Degree completions are decreasing οƒ˜ Jobs: οƒ˜ for the month of July οƒ˜ Auckland experienced a 5% increase in Seek ICT job adverts οƒ˜ Waikato experienced a 14% increase in Seek ICT job adverts οƒ˜ Overall all NZ ICT jobs advertised on Seek rose 4% [Trademe increased just 0.6%]
  • 3. Tertiary Sector ICT Enrolment Trends [Domestic & International] 2003 to 2009 14,000 12,000 10,000 8,000 EFTS Diplomas & Degrees Combined 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Year οƒ˜ Tertiary sector ICT EFTS (Equivalent Full Time Student) enrolments: οƒ˜ Decreased by 39% between 2003 and 2007 οƒ˜ Increased by 20% between 2007 and 2009 Source: (Accessed July 2011)
  • 4. Institutes of Technology & Polytechnics (ITP) ICT Enrolment Trends (Certificates, Diplomas & Degree EFTS) 2002 to 2011 4,500 4,000 3,500 Increase 3,000 of 10% for 2011 2,500 estimated EFTS 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 0 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 οƒ˜ ITP/Polytechnic sector ICT EFTS enrolments (Based on data collected by ) οƒ˜ Decreased by 49% between 2002 and 2007 οƒ˜ Increased by 45% between 2007 and *2011 (Still 1000 fewer EFTS enrolments in 2011 than in 2002) *Based on an estimated increase of 10% for the 2011 year
  • 5. CRA Taulbee Survey οƒ˜ Total enrollments among U.S. computer science undergraduates increased 10 percent in 2010 οƒ˜ Third straight year of increases in total enrollment οƒ˜ Indicates that the post β€œdot-com crash” decline in undergraduate computing program enrollments is over. Source: – April 2011
  • 6. Tertiary Sector ICT Diploma Completion Trends [Domestic & International] 2004 to 2009 2009 2008 Total 2007 International Domestic 2006 2005 2004 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 Students Completing Between 2007 and 2009 diploma completions more than doubled Source: (Accessed July 2011)
  • 7. Tertiary Sector Completion Trends ICT Bachelor [Domestic & International] 2004 to 2009 2009 2008 Total 2007 International Domestic 2006 2005 2004 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 Students Completing Degree completions: οƒ˜ Decreased 36% from 2004 to 2007 (Tracking falling enrolments) οƒ˜ Continue to decrease (a further 16% from 2007 to 2009) Source: (Accessed July 2011)
  • 8. IT Job Advertisements 2003 to 2007 IT job vacancies increased by approximately 60% over the same period [2003 to 2007] that tertiary ICT enrolments declined by approximately 40%
  • 9. Seek IT Job Trends NZ 2011 3500 3000 2662 2732 3127 2603 2689 3000 2500 2000 1712 1500 1000 Last Year 500 0 Jan Feb 2011 Mar April 2011 2011 May June 2011 2011 July 2011 2011 Source: (Accessed July 2011)
  • 10. Seek ICT Growth in Job Adverts January - July 2011 120% 100% 80% Percentage Increase 60% 40% 20% 0% Auckland Waikato Wellington Canterbury Total NZ Source: (Accessed July 2011)
  • 11. 2007 Peak ICT Job Adverts NZ before recession Seek & Trademe 3487 3500 3127 3000 3000 2689 2732 2662 2603 2500 2000 Trademe IT 1712 Seek IT 1462 1474 1484 1367 1407 1391 1500 1353 955 1000 500 0 Sept Jan Feb Mar April May June July 2007 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 Source: (Accessed July 2011)
  • 12. Seek ICT Job Adverts NZ January - July 2011 Total NZ Total NZ Canterbury July 2010 Wellington Waikato Auckland 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 Auckland Waikato Wellington Canterbury Total NZ Jul-11 1837 65 891 255 3127 Jun-11 1751 57 880 229 3000 May-11 1635 59 785 184 2732 Apr-11 1516 67 825 188 2689 Mar-11 1530 68 785 144 2603 Feb-11 1559 66 800 151 2662 Jan-11 960 42 532 123 1712 Source: (Accessed July 2011)
  • 13. Seek ICT Job Adverts by Industry Certification July 2011 Total NZ Canterbury Wellington Waikato Auckland 0 200 400 600 800 1000 Auckland Waikato Wellington Canterbury Total NZ Microsoft 299 10 138 72 547 Cisco 174 4 86 27 310 Linux 556 15 243 64 901 Wellington has the only significant monthly increase of 7% across all 3 categories Source: (Accessed July 2011)
  • 14. Seek ICT Job Adverts by Programming Language July 2011 Total NZ Canterbury Wellington Waikato Auckland 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 Auckland Waikato Wellington Canterbury Total NZ PHP 393 12 156 38 608 C# 153 5 64 29 257 .NET 187 7 89 45 337 Java 425 10 169 46 657 Source: (Accessed July 2011)
  • 15. Comment on Seek ICT Job Adverts by Programming language οƒ˜ Auckland: οƒ˜ Experienced a 25% monthly increase in job adverts filtered on PHP οƒ˜ Experienced a 10% monthly increase in job adverts filtered on Java οƒ˜ Experienced an increase of 8% for the month across all 4 categories οƒ˜ Wellington: οƒ˜ Experienced an decrease of 5% for the month across all 4 categories οƒ˜ Christchurch: οƒ˜ Experienced an decrease of 20% for the month across all 4 categories Seek ICT NZ Job Adverts PHP & Java Comparison July 2011 608 Java 657 PHP
  • 16. News Bytes οƒ˜ Australia: Information Technology Contract and Recruitment Association (ITCRA) (May 2011): οƒ˜ On the cusp of an employment skills shortage in the ICT sector οƒ˜ The group's inaugural Skillsmatch ICT Skills Dashboard revealed; οƒ˜ An average of 26.3 days taken to hire a new ICT employee, an increase of six days in the past year οƒ˜ In the same period, the number of suitable candidates for each role has decreased from 7.7 candidates to 6.8 candidates οƒ˜ The top five skills employers and recruiters are requesting are; οƒ˜ Help desk experience οƒ˜ Project management οƒ˜ Java οƒ˜ SQL οƒ˜ Windows Source: (Accessed July 2011)
  • 17. News Bytes ComputerWorld: Hiring process lengthening in tighter market Good quality candidates are getting harder to source, survey finds [By David Watson | Auckland | Thursday, 23 June, 2011] managing director Josh Comrie; οƒ˜ β€œThe market today is one that has very much gone back to the one last seen in 2007”.................β€œIt is candidate-short.” οƒ˜ In-demand skill sets include senior network design, infrastructure design and software design roles - β€œIt is the architecture roles.” οƒ˜ C# and Java developers are also in demand and the Flash Flex development toolset is also β€œbecoming very popular” Source: (Accessed July 2011)
  • 18. Conclusion: οƒ˜ CS/ICT undergraduate enrolment trends in NZ mirror those in the USA οƒ˜ NZ ICT jobs advertised on Seek up 32% on this time last year οƒ˜ The July 2011 Seek ICT job advert figure of 3,127 is only 10% below the peak of 3,487 in September 2007 (Prior to the recession) οƒ˜ NZ ICT job numbers advertised on Trademe consistently above the September 2007 peak from February 2011 οƒ˜ CS/ICT completion rates in NZ are not keeping pace with job vacancies – the skills gap is increasing, once again οƒ˜ If you have an interest in a specific ICT job category please contact