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Patent rating by technical quality opens the door to patent ranking of
companies’ patent portfolios
Frédéric Caillaud M.D., Ph.D.
Executive Director of Innovation
fcaillaud@inpi.fr
IC-SDV 2018 Nice
copyright F.Caillaud
Patent rating by qualityPatent rating by quality
MarketMarket
LegalLegal
Technical
impact
Technical
impact
IP rating methods :
-Financial analysis (NPV, similar deals, costs…)
-Internal non public scoring.
-External scoring : « View from the outside »
Better structured huge IP public databases (18m)
allowing the calculation of predictive parameters (OECD)
Highly difficult and complex during the past 10 years
copyright F.Caillaud
Calculation of Predictive indicatorsCalculation of Predictive indicators
Reference
set of
patents Sample ranking
Value
Portfolio10% 50% IP
High
Low
Two steps process :
- Selection of the sets of patents to be compared
- Select predictive indicators according to final use and calculate them (OCDE)
Comparison
copyright F.Caillaud
Patent qualityPatent quality
• 100 econometric studies/10 years/ 100 indicators
• 3 sets of indicators (technical, legal or market)
• Large set of patents (countries) and not on « a company scale »
• Several ways to calculate each of them
copyright F.Caillaud
Predictive indicators for TechnologyPredictive indicators for Technology
• Forward citations are reflecting the Technical impact of an invention as well
as the economical importance of a patent (OECD)
« If a set of patents is receiving more forward citations from third
parties compared to the average in the sector during the same period
of time, this invention has a better value »
Accurate comparison
5 years post filing.
Other indicators : Citation velocity, Top 10%, Non Patent littérature…
copyright F.Caillaud
Medical Diagnostic fieldMedical Diagnostic field
Predictive indicators for Technology DiversityPredictive indicators for Technology Diversity
Patent
Backward
cites
Forward
cites
OI GI
Prior art New patent
copyright F.Caillaud
Portfolio diversityPortfolio diversity
G1
Highly innovative
sectorial
G1
Highly innovative
sectorial
G3
Best for
monetization
G3
Best for
monetization
G2
Specialzed patents
Blocking patents
sectorial
G2
Specialzed patents
Blocking patents
sectorial
G4
Good for
monetization
G4
Good for
monetization
Originality
Generality
copyright F.Caillaud
Portfolio diversity (same field)Portfolio diversity (same field)
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Gold nuggets
Diversity is evolving with the release of forward citations
Blocking
Niche
Innovation
potential
G1G1
G2G2
G4G4
G3G3
copyright F.Caillaud
Portfolio diversity comparisonPortfolio diversity comparison
P&G
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
Mapping & rating :
A Powerful Strategic advantage
Mapping & rating :
A Powerful Strategic advantage
copyright F.Caillaud
• Patent Portfolio Management and R&D strategies of
companies and PROs are becoming TRANSPARENT
• Ranking patent by quality is accessible to all
• It opens the door to companies comparisons
in the same sector and to loans.
• New challenge to Head of IP &
Top management (annual report and GA)
Companies must prepare themselves to
communicate about the quality of their patent
portfolio as it directly influences their stock value.

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IC-SDV 2018: Frédéric Caillaud (INPI) Rating of the technical quality of patented inventions opens the door to quality ranking of companies’ patent portfolios

  • 1. Patent rating by technical quality opens the door to patent ranking of companies’ patent portfolios Frédéric Caillaud M.D., Ph.D. Executive Director of Innovation fcaillaud@inpi.fr IC-SDV 2018 Nice copyright F.Caillaud
  • 2. Patent rating by qualityPatent rating by quality MarketMarket LegalLegal Technical impact Technical impact IP rating methods : -Financial analysis (NPV, similar deals, costs…) -Internal non public scoring. -External scoring : « View from the outside » Better structured huge IP public databases (18m) allowing the calculation of predictive parameters (OECD) Highly difficult and complex during the past 10 years copyright F.Caillaud
  • 3. Calculation of Predictive indicatorsCalculation of Predictive indicators Reference set of patents Sample ranking Value Portfolio10% 50% IP High Low Two steps process : - Selection of the sets of patents to be compared - Select predictive indicators according to final use and calculate them (OCDE) Comparison copyright F.Caillaud
  • 4. Patent qualityPatent quality • 100 econometric studies/10 years/ 100 indicators • 3 sets of indicators (technical, legal or market) • Large set of patents (countries) and not on « a company scale » • Several ways to calculate each of them copyright F.Caillaud
  • 5. Predictive indicators for TechnologyPredictive indicators for Technology • Forward citations are reflecting the Technical impact of an invention as well as the economical importance of a patent (OECD) « If a set of patents is receiving more forward citations from third parties compared to the average in the sector during the same period of time, this invention has a better value » Accurate comparison 5 years post filing. Other indicators : Citation velocity, Top 10%, Non Patent littérature… copyright F.Caillaud
  • 7. Predictive indicators for Technology DiversityPredictive indicators for Technology Diversity Patent Backward cites Forward cites OI GI Prior art New patent copyright F.Caillaud
  • 8. Portfolio diversityPortfolio diversity G1 Highly innovative sectorial G1 Highly innovative sectorial G3 Best for monetization G3 Best for monetization G2 Specialzed patents Blocking patents sectorial G2 Specialzed patents Blocking patents sectorial G4 Good for monetization G4 Good for monetization Originality Generality copyright F.Caillaud
  • 9. Portfolio diversity (same field)Portfolio diversity (same field) 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Gold nuggets Diversity is evolving with the release of forward citations Blocking Niche Innovation potential G1G1 G2G2 G4G4 G3G3 copyright F.Caillaud
  • 10. Portfolio diversity comparisonPortfolio diversity comparison P&G 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
  • 11. Mapping & rating : A Powerful Strategic advantage Mapping & rating : A Powerful Strategic advantage copyright F.Caillaud • Patent Portfolio Management and R&D strategies of companies and PROs are becoming TRANSPARENT • Ranking patent by quality is accessible to all • It opens the door to companies comparisons in the same sector and to loans. • New challenge to Head of IP & Top management (annual report and GA) Companies must prepare themselves to communicate about the quality of their patent portfolio as it directly influences their stock value.