Journal of Psychosomatic Research 62 (2007) 331 – 340




           Dispositional predictors of placebo responding: A motivational
               interpretation of flower essence and gratitude therapy
                              Michael E. Hyland4, Ben Whalley, Adam W.A. Geraghty
                                   School of Psychology, University of Plymouth, PL48AA Plymouth, United Kingdom
                              Received 26 July 2006; received in revised form 11 October 2006; accepted 11 October 2006




Abstract
    Objectives: The aim of this study was to test a motivational                spirituality, and expectancy). Results: Study 1 confirmed previous
interpretation of placebo responding using two different types of               research: Trait spirituality predicted perceived improvement. This
placebo therapy, one using flower essences and the other a                      improvement was independent of optimism ( Pb.001), cannot be
nonspecific psychological therapy. The motivational concordance                 explained by acquiescence or social desirability, and was inde-
interpretation is that therapeutic rituals that are consistent with self-       pendent of a highly conservative test of expectancy ( P=.02). In
defining or self-actualizing goals have a nonspecific therapeutic               Study 2, trait gratitude predicted perceived sleep improvement
benefit independently of expectancy. Methods: Study 1 was a                     independently of expectancy ( P=.01): Spirituality did not correlate
replication of an earlier flower essence outcome study but with                 with improvement. Conclusions: These data suggest that in
additional outcome and predictor variables: 167 people completed                addition to expectations, degree of engagement in a positive,
questionnaires in return for free flower essence treatment. Predictor           therapeutic ritual determines the extent of the placebo response.
variables consisted of two measures of spirituality, optimism,                  The placebo response depends in part on the interaction (i.e., the
expectancy, and attitudes and beliefs to complementary medicine.                degree of concordance) between the type of therapy and the par-
Outcome was assessed after 3 weeks. In Study 2, 90 people took                  ticipant’s personality: Dispositional predictors vary with the type of
part in bgratitude therapyQ for improved sleep quality over one                 placebo therapy.
night in return for questionnaire completion (trait gratitude,                  D 2007 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.

Keywords: Placebo responder; Disposition; Personality; Motivation; Interaction; Positive psychology




Introduction                                                                    an understanding of the dispositional predictors of placebo
                                                                                responding suggests the existence of a motivational mecha-
   In medicine, the word placebo refers to a biologically                       nism that is a nonspecific feature of all therapeutic rituals.
inactive treatment [1,2], typically a psychological mechanism
having nonspecific effects [3]. The use of the term placebo in
psychology includes the idea that, additionally, the placebo is                 The conventional perspective
an inactive psychological procedure [4]. The psychologists’
use of the term placebo creates problems in psychotherapy                           There is consensus that at least two mechanisms underlie
because many authors believe that nonspecific processes are                     the placebo response [7]. Response expectancy theory
important [5], and, in the case of the contextual model of                      suggests that the body responds in ways that are consistent
psychotherapy, that nonspecific mechanisms are the only                         with (conscious) expectations. Conditioning theory suggests
active processes [6]. The purpose of this paper is to show that                 that active treatments are unconditioned stimuli; the delivery
                                                                                technique of the active treatment becomes a conditioned
  4 Corresponding author. School of Psychology, University of Ply-
                                                                                stimulus after repeated administration, so that the delivery
mouth, PL48AA Plymouth, United Kingdom.                                         technique, or similar techniques, acquires therapeutic proper-
  E-mail address: mhyland@plymouth.ac.uk (M.E. Hyland).                         ties similar to the active treatment. Although conditioning

0022-3999/07/$ – see front matter D 2007 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
doi:10.1016/j.jpsychores.2006.10.006
332                              M.E. Hyland et al. / Journal of Psychosomatic Research 62 (2007) 331–340


can add to expectancy [7], it has been suggested that expec-            and staff were offered free flower essences in return for
tancy is the more important mechanism because placebos                  completed questionnaires and evaluation. Expectancy, absorp-
can occur without any prior conditioning or experience of the           tion, and spirituality were assessed at baseline, and perceived
active treatment, and conditioned placebos have been shown              change was measured after 4 weeks. Expectancy, absorption,
to be mediated by expectancy [8,9].                                     and spirituality all correlated with outcome; spirituality but not
    Although there is consensus over the mechanisms under-              absorption predicted outcome independently of expectancy.
lying the placebo, there is less consensus on the personality           These three studies all suggest that there may be some other
predictors of the placebo response. The majority view is that           mechanism than expectancy underlying the placebo response,
there is no such thing as a placebo-responding personality              particularly in real-life contexts where people are actively
[10,11]; that is, placebo response cannot be predicted from             seeking treatment for their health problems.
dispositional variables. This view is based not on the absence
of correlations—many have been reported—but on reviews
showing that results are often inconsistent. The minority view          Non-expectancy-mediated placebo mechanisms
is that there is sufficient consistency to identify one or more
personality predictors, and two that have been cited are                    Two different, non-expectancy-mediated hypotheses can
acquiescence [12] and optimism [13]. Both acquiescence and              explain placebo effects in therapeutic contexts. An early
optimism fit within an expectancy model of placebo                      placebo hypothesis was based on motivation: The health
responding. People high in acquiescence are more likely to              striving hypothesis suggests that people are more likely to
agree with a suggestion from an external source and so should           get better when they are motivated to get well, compared
be more likely to expect a treatment to be effective when told          with those less motivated to get well. There is some
so; people high in optimism are likely to make an optimistic            evidence that motivation enhances placebo responding [29],
judgment about a treatment and so are more likely to expect             and the health striving hypothesis is also consistent with the
the treatment to have a good effect when told so. Thus,                 finding that compliance in the placebo arm of a randomized
both acquiescence and optimism could be considered mo-                  drug trial is associated with better outcome—presumably
derators of the expectancy mechanism.                                   because people who are more motivated to get better
                                                                        comply more with their treatment [30,31].
                                                                            An alternative motivational hypothesis is derived here
Evidence for non-expectancy-mediated mechanisms                         from a combination of two ideas. First, several well-
                                                                        established motivational theories suggest that failure to
   Complementary and alternative medicine (CAM) com-                    achieve important, high-level, self-actualizing, or self-
prises a diverse group of therapies that fall outside the remit         defining goals has negative mental consequences. By
of conventional medicine and that are widely used by the                contrast, attaining these high-level, self-actualizing, or
general public [14–16]. The underlying mechanisms of                    self-defining goals leads to greater well-being [32–38].
CAM are controversial—which is, in part, why they fall                  Self-actualization refers to the goal to become the bperson
outside conventional medicine. Although the evidence for                you really are,Q rather than achieve socially defined goals, so
specific components is mixed and researchers hold a variety             there is an underlying assumption that what is bgoodQ for
of views, there is general acceptance by all parties that               one person may not be so for another. Specifically, the self-
psychological factors are important.                                    concordance model [35] suggests that people put more
   Meta-analyses of double-blind placebo controlled trials of           effort into, and gain more satisfaction from, the attainment
homeopathy show large placebo effects that add a methodo-               of self-defining goals. Second, we use an idea from the
logical challenge to the demonstration of any additional                contextual model of psychotherapy [6]: A common feature
specific effect [17–19]. However, a large (N=202) double                of all psychotherapies, as well as traditional healing rituals,
blind, randomized, controlled trial of a homeopathic                    is that the patient believes in and engages in a health-
preparation for asthma [20] failed to find any correlation              promoting ritual, although the ritual may be based on a myth
between a surrogate measure of expectancy, attitude to                  that is not btrueQ [39]. The motivational concordance
CAM, and the improvements in physiological or psycho-                   hypothesis combines these two ideas: Engaging in health-
logical outcome [21]. Similarly meta-analyses of sham vs.               promoting rituals that enhance self-defining or self-actualiz-
real acupuncture suggest a large placebo effect [22–24], but a          ing goals provides better outcomes when compared to
large (N=239) open study found that there was a non-                    health-promoting rituals that are not. Or to put it from an
significantly better outcome amongst those who did not                  existential perspective, receiving therapy that is consistent
believe in acupuncture [25].                                            with the breal youQ [40] is associated with therapeutic gain,
   The above two studies did not investigate expectancy                 irrespective of gain mediated via expectancy processes. This
directly. Flower essence therapy is related to homeopathy and           motivational hypothesis differs from the contextual model
the only two double-blind placebo-controlled trials of this             of psychotherapy in suggesting that the therapist is not an
therapy have failed to find a difference between placebo and            essential part of a therapeutic ritual. Taking part in rituals
verum [26,27]. In an open study [28], 116 university students           that are concordant with self-actualizing or self-defining
M.E. Hyland et al. / Journal of Psychosomatic Research 62 (2007) 331–340                           333


goals has a therapeutic effect alongside other mechanisms,               essence in return for questionnaire completion. The adver-
such as response expectancy.                                             tisements informed participants about a commercial Web
    Why do people show a better placebo response to flower               site on flower essences. They were told that the effect of
essences if they are high in spirituality? Edward Bach, the              flower essences was purported to have a therapeutic effect,
inventor of flower essences, was a homeopath who also                    that this claim was controversial, and that the researchers
believed that illness had a spiritual basis and could be cured           were investigating flower essences. Participants were
spiritually [41]. Thus, flower essences, like some other                 neither paid nor received course credit for taking part.
CAMs, appear to have the psychological context of a
spiritually oriented therapy, or at least can be interpreted as          Predictor questionnaire assessments
a spiritually oriented therapy. People who score highly on a                 We used two measures of spirituality. The 22-item
spirituality scale are more likely to use CAM [42]. Since                Spiritual Involvement and Beliefs Scale—Revised (SIBS-
taking flower essences is a ritual, one possible explanation is          R; Hatch, personal communication, 2001) is the revised
that those high in spirituality strive more, and so bdo the              version of an earlier 39-item scale [44] that purports to
ritualQ better, than those low in spirituality. Because the              measure spirituality in contrast to religiosity. Participants
ritual is more congruent with their self-defining goals,                 respond to each item on a 7-point scale, and high scores
spiritual people gain more benefit from flower essence                   indicate greater spirituality. Although there are more
therapy. In more general terms, the motivational concord-                positive than negative items, the authors report that the
ance hypothesis suggests that a good placebo is one that                 scale is uncorrelated with social desirability (Hatch,
matches the context of the therapy to the motivational                   personal communication, 2006). We included this scale
system of the client, so that the behavioral ritual of the               because it had been used in an earlier study [28].
therapy is concordant with the client’s motivations. The                     The second spirituality measure, the 48-item Spiritual
concordance between the ritual and motivation does not just              Connection Questionnaire (SCQ-48), was specially designed
provide expectancies for positive outcome but has an                     for this study, as no other spirituality scale has equal numbers
independent effect on outcome.                                           of positive and negative items. The scale was based on the
                                                                         Hunglemann et al. [45] definition of spirituality as a bsense of
                                                                         interconnectedness between self, others, nature and Ultimate
Study 1                                                                  which exists throughout and beyond time and spaceQ (p. 152).
                                                                         Scale items cover the experience of a bsense of connectionQ in
    Correlations between personality and placebo outcome                 the following domains: with the universe, e.g., bI do not feel
are notoriously fickle. The aim of Study 1 was to replicate              connected to the universe in any spiritual wayQ; with people,
the earlier flower essence study [28], but using a larger                bThere is something of the cosmos that binds all people
sample size and some additional measures.                                togetherQ; with nature, bI never feel any special connection
    First, we used an additional measure of spirituality that has        with a part of nature such as a flowerQ; and with places, bI
equal numbers of positive and negative items. In the earlier             sometimes experience joy just from being in a beautiful
study, the spirituality scale had more positive items, so the            place.Q Thus, the SCQ-48 is a scale measuring the experience
spirituality–outcome correlation could have been due to                  of spirituality that is related to a sense of connection.
acquiescence bias. Second, we measured optimism because                  Participants respond to each item on a 7-point scale, and
optimism has been reported elsewhere as a predictor of                   high scores indicate greater spirituality. Research reported
placebo outcome [43] and because the spirituality–outcome                elsewhere [46] shows the scale to be unidimensional, with the
correlation may be mediated via optimism. Third, we used                 first factor accounting for 48% of the total variance; that the
additional outcome measures, linked to additional measures               scale fails to correlate (r=.03) with the Marlow–Crowne scale
of expectancy. The additional expectancy measures provide a              (social desirability); and that it has high internal consistency
stricter test of the independence of the spirituality–outcome            (a=.97) and retest reliability (r=.99).
link from expectancy. The additional outcome measures                        Optimism was measured using the 10-item Life Ori-
allow us to examine the nonspecific effects of the treatment             entation Test—Revised (LOT-R) [47], which contains six
(i.e., benefits beyond those for which the treatment is taken)           scored items (three positively worded, three negatively
and also allow a check on whether the correlation with                   worded) and four filler items; participants respond to each
spirituality occurs with actual symptom change rather than               item on a 5-point scale, and higher scores indicate greater
perceived change.                                                        optimism. Optimism has been found to predict placebo
                                                                         responding [43] and correlates with neuroticism.
Method                                                                       The 11-item Holistic Complementary and Alternative
                                                                         Medicine Questionnaire (HCAMQ) [48] has two subscales:
Recruitment                                                              Attitudes to Complementary Medicine, and Holistic Health
   Participants were recruited through advertisements                    Beliefs. The two subscales are based on evidence that the
posted throughout the university and at a neighboring art                parent scale has two distinct but correlated factors.
college. The advertisements offered a free bottle of flower              Participants respond on a 7-point scale, and high scores
334                                M.E. Hyland et al. / Journal of Psychosomatic Research 62 (2007) 331–340


indicate greater positivity to CAM and more holistic health               (Expectancysoc) was scored by subtracting the expected
beliefs. Both subscales correlate with expectancy of out-                 BASOC values from the baseline score; higher scores indicate
come with flower essences [28].                                           greater expectancy for improvement in sense of coherence.

Outcome and expectancy measures                                           Compliance
   To measure expectancy for perceived change (Expect-                       After the final assessment, participants were asked to
ancychange) participants were asked: bAt this point in time,              indicate which statement best applied: I took it regularly (4),
do you expect the flower essence to help you?Q Participants               I missed doses 1 or 2 days per week (3), I missed doses 3 or
were asked to bcircle the number that describes your                      4 days per week (2), I missed most of the doses (1), or I did
opinionQ on an 8-point scale ranging from Yes, I definitely               not take the essence (0).
think it will help (8), to I think it very unlikely it will help me
(1). Perceived change was assessed by e-mail. The e-mail                  Procedure
stated, bThank you for taking part in our experiment. You                     On arrival at the advertised drop-in session, participants
chose [name of essence] for [original symptoms].Q Partic-                 gave written informed consent and were presented with
ipants were then asked, bBelow, you will see a perceived                  the list of 38 Bach flower essences and descriptions of the
change scale. Please make a note of the number on the scale               conditions for which each essence can be used. Each of the 38
that you think best illustrates your perceived change.Q                   flower essences purports to benefit particular psychological
Responses were made on a 7-point Likert-type scale                        problems. For example, if you are bcritical and intolerant of
(À3 to +3) where the word worse was positioned near                       othersQ then Beech is recommended; if you bare inflexible,
À3 and better near +3.                                                    setting yourself very high standardsQ then Rock Water should
   Whereas Hyland et al. [28] used only perceived change as               be used; and if bimpatient or easily irritated,Q then Impatiens
an outcome measure, in this study we measured symptoms                    is used. An essence is (typically) made by floating a flower in
before and after treatment. At baseline participants rated the            spring water in a clear glass bowl in bright sunlight for 3
two symptoms for which they had initially selected the flower             hours and preserving this water in a solution of water and
essence, using two, 7-point scales; the end points were                   brandy (40% water, 60% brandy). A few drops of this
labeled no problem (0) and as bad as it could be (6).                     bmother essenceQ are then added to 10-ml bottles of water and
Participants also rated the same symptoms in terms of how                 brandy (again 40% and 60%, respectively) to form bstockQ
they expected the symptom to be after 3 weeks of treatment                essence, which was provided by the manufacturer.
with flower essences (with the first rating in sight). After                  Participants were told they could choose up to two
3 weeks, they were asked, via e-mail, to rate their symptoms              essences. In addition to indicating their choice of essence,
again, but without sight of the original ratings. Baseline and            they completed the questionnaire pack (SQC-48, SIBS-R,
final symptom scores were obtained by adding the values for               LOT-R, and HCAMQ).
the two symptoms at baseline and final assessment, respec-                    Participants were then asked to provide baseline outcome
tively. Expectancies for changes in symptoms (Expect-                     ratings (symptoms, well-being, and sense of coherence), and
ancysymptoms) were obtained by subtracting the two values                 also to provide ratings on the same scales for where they
for expected symptoms from the baseline symptom score;                    expected to be after the flower essence treatment (these were
higher values indicate an expectancy of better outcome.                   used to calculate expectancy scores).
   Advocates of CAM suggest that their treatments have                        Participants were given their chosen essences, made by
effects beyond the symptoms for which patients seek                       placing two drops of stock essence in a 10-ml bottle of
assistance [49]. We therefore included two other outcome                  brandy (60%) and spring water (40%) solution (i.e., no
measures, neither of which was directly related to the                    deception was involved). They were thanked and reminded
intended treatment. Well-being was measured at baseline                   to expect the e-mail follow-up to be sent 3 weeks later. E-
with a 7-point scale of well-being: Participants were asked to            mail data collection has been shown to be valid and
bRate your general feeling of well-being during the last                  equivalent to traditional methods [51]. Participants who
week.Q Responses were taken on a scale that ranged from as                did not reply to the follow-up were sent reminder e-mails
good as it could be (0) to as bad as it could be (6). Participants        one week later (note: a small minority of participants asked
also rated where they expected to be after 3 weeks using                  to give their replies via the telephone). The follow-up and
the same scale. Final well-being was measured (via e-mail)                reminder e-mails asked for ratings of perceived change, the
using the same scale at 3 weeks. Expectancy for well-being                two symptoms, well-being, the three sense of coherence
(Expectancywell-being) was scored by subtracting the expected             items, and a response to the compliance question.
well-being score from the baseline score. Sense of coherence
was assessed with the 3-item version of the Brief Assessment              Results
of Sense of Coherence (BASOC) [50], where each item was
rated on a 5-point scale. Baseline and final BASOC scores                    Two hundred forty-three participants from the university
were the sum of the three scores at baseline and final                    and art college took part in the first part of the study, of whom
assessment, respectively. Expectancy for sense of coherence               167 completed follow-up assessments. One person indicated
M.E. Hyland et al. / Journal of Psychosomatic Research 62 (2007) 331–340                                    335

Table 1                                                                                     those who missed one or two doses scored À.40 (n=80);
Response to treatment by outcome measure (frequencies)
                                                                                            and those who took it regularly scored À.56 (n=43). Negative
                                 Deteriorated,       No change,       Improved,             scores indicate improvement. Using the same test, we found
Outcome measure                  n (%)               n (%)            n (%)
                                                                                            compliance was not significantly related to Expectancychange
Perceived change                  6   (4)            70   (42)         89   (54)            nor to either of the two spirituality scales.
Change in symptoms               10   (6)            18   (11)        138   (83)
                                                                                                Table 2 shows the correlations between the question-
Change in BASOC                  37   (22)           24   (15)        105   (63)
Change in well-being             44   (27)           35   (21)         87   (52)            naires at baseline with the four expectancy measures
                                                                                            (Expectancychange, Expectancysymptoms, Expectancywell-being
                                                                                            and Expectancysoc). The two spirituality scales were highly
that they did not take the essence (because they spilt the
bottle) and was excluded from the analysis. There were no                                   correlated, providing convergent validation for the SCQ-48,
significant differences between completers and noncomp-                                     and both scales correlated with the various expectancy
leters on any of the questionnaire assessments, nor the                                     measures. Optimism also correlated with the spirituality
expectancy measures, nor gender or age. The following                                       scales and the expectancy measures. Correlations between
analysis is based on those 166 people who completed                                         scales are affected by reliability: Chronbach’s alpha
assessments, of whom 2 did not complete the ratings of                                      coefficients from our data are as follows: LOT-R=.83,
expectancy for perceived change and expectancy for                                          SCQ-48=.96, SIBS-R=.92, Attitudes to CAM=.69, Holistic
BASOC, 1 did not complete an expectancy for well-                                           Health Beliefs=.52, showing that in all cases, except for
being rating, and 1 did not complete a rating of perceived                                  Holistic Health Beliefs, there was good reliability.
change. There were 34 men and 132 women and mean age                                            Table 3 shows the correlations between outcome
was 26.4 years (range, 19–58 years). Table 1 shows the                                      measures, and the baseline questionnaires and expectancy
number of participants experiencing improvement, no                                         measures. Optimism (LOT-R) correlated with all baseline
change, or deterioration on each of the outcome measures.                                   outcome measures and many final outcome measures, and
    Participants had volunteered for a study for which there                                this is consistent with a reporting bias mediated via negative
was a suggestion that flower essences were beneficial and                                   affectivity. Negative affectivity can also explain the corre-
for which they received neither money nor course credit.                                    lation between expectancy and baseline outcome measures.
The effect of this suggestion can be tested by examining the                                Expectancy measures correlated with spirituality, optimism,
expectancy scores. For Expectancychange, the mean was .90                                   and attitude to CAM. Both spirituality scales predicted
(S.D.=1.72), and 31% of participants scored below the                                       perceived change, but not baseline symptoms. As the SCQ-
midpoint (i.e., responded 0 or lower). These data show that                                 48 has an equal number of positive and negative items, this
the majority (69%) of participants expected the essence to                                  measure of spirituality was used in tests of the independence
benefit them, but that there was sufficient variation within                                of spirituality from expectancy.
the population to test the effect of expectancy on outcome.                                     We tested whether spirituality, optimism, and expectancy,
    We tested whether compliance was associated with better                                 independently predicted each of the four outcomes (per-
outcome by using a one-way analysis of variance for                                         ceived change, symptoms, well-being, and sense of coher-
perceived change and the interaction term from a repeated                                   ence) by entering spirituality (SCQ-48), optimism (LOT-R),
measures (Compliance  Baseline/Final Outcome) ana-                                         and the outcome-specific expectancy measure (i.e., final
lysis of variance for the other three outcome measures.                                     symptoms paired with Expectancysymptoms, final well-being
Compliance did not predict outcome, except for BASOC                                        paired with Expectancywell-being, etc.) into a simultaneous
where the interaction term was significant: F(3,162)=3.6,                                   multiple regression. The results are shown in Table 4.
P=.01. Participants who missed most of the doses had a mean                                 Spirituality predicted outcome independently of expectancy
BASOC change score (baseline minus final) of .13 (n=15);                                    and optimism only for perceived change. For no outcome
those who missed three or four doses scored À.58 (n=28);                                    variable did expectancy predict outcome independently of

Table 2
Correlations (r) between predictor variables and expectancy measures (N=166)
Variable/measure                                 1                2                3               4           5            6           7            8
1.   SCQ-48                                      –
2.   SIBS-R                                      .8244            –
3.   LOT-R                                       .2544            .3344            –
4.   Attitude to CAM subscale                    .2644            .2044             .10            –
5.   Holistic Health Beliefs subscale            .2644            .2944             .12            .05         –
6.   Expectancychange                            .3944            .3544             .2744          .2644        .09         –
7.   Expectancysymptoms                          .2344            .14              À.06            .194         .154        .27         –
8.   Expectancysoc                               .174             .13              À.164           .174        À.00         .3144       .4244        –
9.   Expectancywell-being                        .194             .2144            À.03            .11          .08         .2144       .5144        .3844
      4 P= b .05; two tailed.
      44 P= b .01; two tailed.
336                                    M.E. Hyland et al. / Journal of Psychosomatic Research 62 (2007) 331–340

Table 3
Correlations (r) between outcome measures and predictors
                                                            Symptoms                         Well-being                       BASOC
Variable                             Perceived change       Baseline     Final (change)      Baseline      Final (change)     Baseline      Final (change)
SCQ-48                                .2644                  .07          À.09   (.14)        .01           .09    (.06)       .06            .04   (À.02)
SIBS-R                                .204                  À.01          À.11   (.09)        .01            .11   (.08)       .12            .14   (.02)
LOT-R                                À.01                   À.204         À.12   (À.04)       .3744        .224    (À.11)      .5244        .3244   (À.2044)
Attitude to CAM subscale              .174                   .254         À.01   (.2044)     À.03           .10    (.10)      À.01            .10   (.11)
Holistic Health Beliefs subscale     À.00                    .09           .08   (.00)       À.03          À.05    (À.02)      .02           À.09   (À.11)
Expectancychange                      .2144                  .05         À.214   (.2344)      .09           .15    (.05)       .05            .10   (.05)
Expectancysymptoms                    .144                   .4944         .02   (.3544)     À.2544        À.08    (.13)      À.174          b.01   (.174)
Expectancysoc                         .3044                  .224         À.10   (.2644)     À.2644        À.01    (.194)     À.4844         À.13   (.3544)
Expectancywell-being                  .15                    .234         b.01   (.1744)     À.6844        À.10    (.4544)    À.2544         À.04   (.2144)
      4 P=b.05; two tailed.
      44 P=b.01; two tailed.


spirituality and optimism. However, for perceived change,                        spirituality on perceived change is independent of expect-
there was a nonsignificant trend ( P=.07) suggesting the                         ancy and related variables, and spirituality does not interact
possibility of an independent effect of expectancy. Coupled                      with expectancy.
with the correlation of .21 between expectancy and
perceived change, we cannot rule out an independent                              Discussion: Study 1
contribution of expectancy on this outcome measure.
   As spirituality predicted only perceived change, we                               We replicated the earlier finding (Hyland et al. [28]) that
carried out a more stringent test on this outcome variable.                      spirituality predicts perceived change of symptoms follow-
All four expectancy measures, plus Attitude to CAM and                           ing flower essence treatment, and, because we used a
Holistic Health Beliefs (i.e., the two HCAMQ subscales)                          spirituality scale with equal number of positive and negative
were entered into the first step of a hierarchical multiple                      items (SCQ-48), these new data suggest that the correlation
regression, R 2(6,156)=.115, P=b.01; with spirituality in the                    is not due to acquiescence bias. The correlation is unlikely
second step, DR 2=.03, P=.02. Thus, spirituality predicted                       to be due to social desirability, as the SCQ-48 is unrelated to
perceived change independently of all the other variables                        social desirability, and is unlikely to be mediated via
(b=.20). We tested whether there was an interaction between                      optimism, as optimism failed to predict change, although
expectancy and spirituality as predictors of perceived                           it did predict baseline symptom and other variables. These
change by entering the product term (Expectancychange                           baseline correlations are to be expected as the LOT-R is
SCQ-48) in a third step of the multiple regression; there was                    highly correlated with trait neuroticism [47], and trait
no evidence of an interaction (b=À.09, P=.77). We tested                         affectivity affects symptom reporting [52]. Although sense
for other possible interactions (e.g., optimism and expect-                      of coherence and well-being increased after the flower
ancy) and none were significant. In sum, the effect of                           essence treatment, they were unrelated to spirituality, as was


Table 4
Simultaneous multiple regressions to test whether outcome is predicted independently by spirituality and expectancy
Dependent variable                         Predictor variables                        B                              S.E.                      b
Perceived change                           Expectancychange                            .04                           .419                      .15 ( P=.07)
                                           LOT-R                                      À.12                           .09                       À.11
                                           SCQ-48                                      .21                           .08                       .234
Symptom final                              Symptom baseline                            .44                           .10                       .364
                                           Expectancysymptoms                         À.14                           .09                       À.15
                                           LOT-R                                      À.04                           .10                       À.03
                                           SCQ-48                                     À.08                           .08                       À.07
Well-being final                           Well-being baseline                         .19                           .12                       .19
                                           Expectancywell-being                        .02                           .13                       .02
                                           LOT-R                                       .23                           .15                       .14
                                           SCQ-48                                      .06                           .11                       .05
BASOC final                                BASOC baseline                              .51                           .09                       .524
                                           Expectancysoc                               .16                           .10                       .13
                                           LOT-R                                       .07                           .07                       .08
                                           SCQ-48                                     À.02                           .05                       .05
For perceived change, R 2(3,159)=.09, P=b.01; for symptom final, R 2(4,161) = .12, P=b.01; for well-being final, R 2(4,160)=.07, P=.01; and for BASOC final,
R 2(4,159)=.26, P=b.01.
    4 P=b .01; two tailed.
M.E. Hyland et al. / Journal of Psychosomatic Research 62 (2007) 331–340                           337


symptom change. There are several possible reasons for this              Therapy to help your sleep?Q Participants were asked to
failure, one of which is that use of before and after measures           bcircle the number that describes your opinionQ on an 8-point
increases the variance, and our study was underpowered in                scale ranging from I think it very unlikely it will help me (1)
that regard. In addition, correlations between outcome and               to Yes, I definitely expect it will help (8).
all predictors are reduced to the extent that outcome is                    The measure of change in perceived sleep quality was
affected by natural variation in symptoms over time.                     based on that used by Geers et al. [53]. The measure
    The problem with the use of a physical therapy, such as              consisted of five items measuring change in sleep quality.
flower essences, is that the psychological nature of therapy             The items included bHow peaceful was your sleep last
is inferred. We have inferred the spirituality of flower                 night?Q and bHow would you rate your quality of sleep last
essences on the basis of the literature, not on the basis of             night?.Q Items were rated on a 7-point scale ranging from
participant report. We have no way of telling from our data              much worse than usual (1) to much the same as usual (4)
how flower essences were interpreted, and this is clearly a              and much better than usual (7). These scores were totaled to
weakness in the interpretation we have provided for our                  create a bperceived sleep changeQ score.
data. An alternative way of testing the therapeutic ritual
hypothesis is to use a psychological therapy, where the                  Procedure
psychological nature of therapy is explicit in the therapy                  On arrival at the advertised drop-in sessions, partic-
itself. For Study 2, we invented a new therapy called                    ipants gave written informed consent and then completed
bgratitude sleep therapy.Q Our therapy was based on Geers                the two questionnaires (GQ-6 and SCQ-48). Then, they
et al.’s [53] bplacebo sleep therapy,Q but we modified the               were given an envelope containing a bgratitude sleep
instructions so that instead of asking participants to write             therapyQ booklet, which contained instructions for the task,
down things that they had done, they were asked to write                 space in which to write things they felt grateful for, and
down things they were grateful for. Previous research has                experimenter contact information. Participants were asked
shown that similar gratitude activities improve perceived                to open the envelope and read the instructions, replace the
well-being [54,55]. If the therapeutic ritual hypothesis is              booklet in the envelope, and then rate how much they
correct, then outcome to gratitude sleep therapy should                  expected the therapy to work. They were then asked to take
correlate with trait gratitude, but it should not correlate with         the envelope home and complete the therapy that evening.
trait spirituality.                                                      In addition, participants were informed that their booklet
                                                                         would not be collected by the experimenter and that their
                                                                         notes would be seen by only them, allowing participants to
Study 2                                                                  express themselves without fear of others seeing their
                                                                         writing. Participants were contacted by e-mail on the
Method                                                                   following day and asked to complete the questions about
                                                                         sleep quality.
Recruitment
   Advertisements were placed around the university                      Results
campus offering those with sleep problems a free psycho-
logical treatment in return for questionnaire completion.                    Ninety-three people attended drop-in sessions, of whom
                                                                         90 (37 men and 53 women) completed the follow-up
Questionnaires and Assessments                                           assessment. Fifty-six percent were aged under 24 years,
   The Gratitude Questionnaire—6 (GQ-6) is a six-item                    25% were between 25 and 34 years. Amongst respondents,
scale developed to measure dispositional gratitude [55]. The             75% reported improvement, 9% reported no change, and 16%
scale features four positive items and two negative items,               got worse. The mean value for Expectancy was 5.15
including bI have so much in my life to be grateful forQ and             (S.D.=1.73); 27.5% scored at or below the midpoint of 4,
bI am grateful to a wide range of people.Q Participants                  indicating that they did not expect the therapy to be effective.
respond to items on a 7-point scale and high scores indicate                 Table 5 shows bivariate correlations for all the variables.
greater gratitude. Internal reliability for the six-item scale           Spirituality (SCQ-48) and gratitude (GQ-6) were correlated,
was a=.72. The GQ-6 correlates with optimism and with                    consistent with previous research [55]. Gratitude and
spiritual transcendence [56], which includes the concept of              expectancy correlated with outcome, but spirituality did
connectivity measured by the SCQ-48.                                     not correlate with outcome. Using perceived sleep change as
   Spirituality was measured by using the SCQ-48, that is,               the dependent variable, we carried out a hierarchical
the scale used in Study 1.                                               multiple regression to test the relative importance of our
   Expectancy was measured by a single-item scale indicat-               predictor variables. In Step 1, we entered Expectancy,
ing the extent to which they believed that their sleep would be          R 2 (1,88)=.05, P=.03. In Step 2, we entered spirituality,
improved by the gratitude therapy. The scale was based on the            which did not improve the model, DR 2=b.01, P=.93. In Step
Expectancychange measure used In Study 1. The question was               3, we entered gratitude, which improved the model,
bAt this point in time, do you expect the Gratitude Sleep                DR 2=.07, P=b.01. Thus, gratitude (b=.28, P=b.01) and
338                                   M.E. Hyland et al. / Journal of Psychosomatic Research 62 (2007) 331–340

Table 5                                                                      pressor task. As these tasks are effective only when
Correlations between variables in Study 2
                                                                             contextualized as pain relievers, this shows that they elicit a
Variable                      1                2                 3           meaning response. Participants’ reported level of absorption
1.   Sleep outcome            –                                              with the task predicted outcome independently of expectancy,
2.   GQ-6                     .2744            –                             leading the authors to conclude that the task produced a non-
3.   Expectancy               .234             .08               –
                                                                             expectancy-mediated effect. In these studies, like ours, there
4.   SCQ-48                   .08              .2744             .4244
                                                                             is evidence that people gain more therapeutic benefit from a
      4 P b.05.
      44 P b.01.
                                                                             ritual to the extent that the ritual is salient, and that this benefit
                                                                             is independent of expectancy.
                                                                                 In addition, the importance of engagement with a ritual is
expectancy (b=.24, P=.03), but not spirituality (b=À.08,                     consistent with a study showing that self-help instructions
P=.48), predict perceived sleep change, with the final                       that are perceived as tailored to the needs of the person are
model, including gratitude and expectancy, accounting for                    more effective in producing change than nonpersonalized
12% of the variance in outcome.                                              instructions [59]. Our interpretation of these data is that the
                                                                             salience of a ritual is increased by its perceived relevance,
                                                                             and personalizing increases perceived relevance.
Overall discussion                                                               Earlier reviews of the literature report inconsistency in the
                                                                             placebo-responding personality or dispositional variables
    How do placebos work in real-life contexts? Our research                 [10,11], and our results explain how this inconsistency can
suggests that two mechanisms are involved. One is the well-                  arise: The motivational context of the therapy affects the
established mechanism of response expectancy. The other is                   personality correlations. Studies 1 and 2 demonstrated the
a motivational mechanism where people gain therapeutic                       context specificity of personality–outcome correlations, but,
benefit by engaging in therapeutic rituals that are concordant               additionally, were designed to rule out alternative explan-
with self-defining or self-actualizing goals. That is, when                  ations for personality–outcome correlations. There is no
people self-actualize as part of therapy, then this produces                 evidence that these correlations are mediated via optimism, or
therapeutic benefit through a motivational, non-expectancy-                  due to attitude towards therapy, or health beliefs. The
mediated pathway.                                                            disposition–outcome correlations are not due to acquiescence
    In Study 1, we replicated an earlier finding that                        or social desirability because we used a spirituality scale that
spirituality predicted perceived change following treatment                  had equal numbers of positive and negative items and was
with flower essences. We reasoned that this occurred                         uncorrelated with social desirability. Finally, although we did
because the flower essences are conceptualized as a spiritual                not have a nontreatment control, it is unlikely that the
therapy and spiritually oriented people bdo the ritualQ better,              correlations with ritual-congruent dimensions would have
in the sense that they are more engaged with the ritual, and                 occurred as part of regression to the mean or natural history,
gain more satisfaction from taking flower essences. In Study                 because of the specificity of spirituality or gratitude to the
2, we found that dispositional gratitude but not spirituality                particular type of therapy. Natural variation and regression
predicted perceived change following gratitude therapy. We                   must occur in both studies, and this variation will reduce the
reasoned that this was because people high in dispositional                  size of correlations between outcome and predictors. This
gratitude bdo the ritualQ better, in the sense that they find it             reduction is exacerbated where the outcome measure is
easier to think about things to be grateful for, and find the                unreliable, and where outcome is based on two (before and
process of doing gratitude more satisfying.                                  after) measures. Therefore, in Study 1 the failure to find
    Our interpretation is not definite at this stage. We do not              independent personality predictors of symptom change, in
know whether motivational concordance leads to a greater                     contrast to perceived change, must be treated with caution.
focusing on positive symptoms, a tendency to ignore a                            Our research was motivated in part by some CAM studies
failure to benefit, or greater positivity, which translates into             showing that expectancy is a poor predictor of outcome. In
therapeutic benefit. Our underlying assumption has been                      both our studies, expectancy was significantly correlated with
that fulfillment of self-actualizing goals, by engaging in the               outcome, and the correlation coefficients were similar
therapeutic ritual, leads to general therapeutic benefit. We                 between the two studies (.21 for Study 1 and .23 for Study
cannot rule out the possibility that the effect is an effect                 2). In Study 2, expectancy predicted outcome independently
only on symptom perception, although this would still be                     of personality, but in Study 1, the equivalent test just failed to
linked to motivation.                                                        reach significance ( P=.07). These results suggest that
    Any motivational explanation for our findings leads to the               expectancy does contribute to outcome, and possibly
corollary prediction that the degree of involvement with a                   independently, in both studies. However, it is clear that
therapeutic ritual contributes to outcome, and this prediction               other mechanisms are involved. Our results do not bdisproveQ
has been confirmed elsewhere. In two earlier studies [57,58],                the response expectancy explanation but instead show
participants were given distraction or imagery tasks that were               that response expectancy is not the only mechanism.
presented as techniques for reducing pain perception in a cold               However, it may be that in the richer context of a CAM
M.E. Hyland et al. / Journal of Psychosomatic Research 62 (2007) 331–340                                        339


treatment, expectancy becomes less important than in                     for Study 1. We thank Ainsworths, Healing Herbs, and the
laboratory analogue studies, so our results may not generalize           Green Man Essence Company for help in providing
to laboratory-based studies where participants take part for             materials used in Study 1 without charge or preconditions.
extrinsic reasons. Previous research has linked optimism with
placebo responding [43]. We found that optimism correlated
with expectancy, but did not predict outcome. It is likely that
in contexts where expectancy is more important,                          References
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Hyland2007 dispositional predictors of placebo responding

  • 1.
    Journal of PsychosomaticResearch 62 (2007) 331 – 340 Dispositional predictors of placebo responding: A motivational interpretation of flower essence and gratitude therapy Michael E. Hyland4, Ben Whalley, Adam W.A. Geraghty School of Psychology, University of Plymouth, PL48AA Plymouth, United Kingdom Received 26 July 2006; received in revised form 11 October 2006; accepted 11 October 2006 Abstract Objectives: The aim of this study was to test a motivational spirituality, and expectancy). Results: Study 1 confirmed previous interpretation of placebo responding using two different types of research: Trait spirituality predicted perceived improvement. This placebo therapy, one using flower essences and the other a improvement was independent of optimism ( Pb.001), cannot be nonspecific psychological therapy. The motivational concordance explained by acquiescence or social desirability, and was inde- interpretation is that therapeutic rituals that are consistent with self- pendent of a highly conservative test of expectancy ( P=.02). In defining or self-actualizing goals have a nonspecific therapeutic Study 2, trait gratitude predicted perceived sleep improvement benefit independently of expectancy. Methods: Study 1 was a independently of expectancy ( P=.01): Spirituality did not correlate replication of an earlier flower essence outcome study but with with improvement. Conclusions: These data suggest that in additional outcome and predictor variables: 167 people completed addition to expectations, degree of engagement in a positive, questionnaires in return for free flower essence treatment. Predictor therapeutic ritual determines the extent of the placebo response. variables consisted of two measures of spirituality, optimism, The placebo response depends in part on the interaction (i.e., the expectancy, and attitudes and beliefs to complementary medicine. degree of concordance) between the type of therapy and the par- Outcome was assessed after 3 weeks. In Study 2, 90 people took ticipant’s personality: Dispositional predictors vary with the type of part in bgratitude therapyQ for improved sleep quality over one placebo therapy. night in return for questionnaire completion (trait gratitude, D 2007 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved. Keywords: Placebo responder; Disposition; Personality; Motivation; Interaction; Positive psychology Introduction an understanding of the dispositional predictors of placebo responding suggests the existence of a motivational mecha- In medicine, the word placebo refers to a biologically nism that is a nonspecific feature of all therapeutic rituals. inactive treatment [1,2], typically a psychological mechanism having nonspecific effects [3]. The use of the term placebo in psychology includes the idea that, additionally, the placebo is The conventional perspective an inactive psychological procedure [4]. The psychologists’ use of the term placebo creates problems in psychotherapy There is consensus that at least two mechanisms underlie because many authors believe that nonspecific processes are the placebo response [7]. Response expectancy theory important [5], and, in the case of the contextual model of suggests that the body responds in ways that are consistent psychotherapy, that nonspecific mechanisms are the only with (conscious) expectations. Conditioning theory suggests active processes [6]. The purpose of this paper is to show that that active treatments are unconditioned stimuli; the delivery technique of the active treatment becomes a conditioned 4 Corresponding author. School of Psychology, University of Ply- stimulus after repeated administration, so that the delivery mouth, PL48AA Plymouth, United Kingdom. technique, or similar techniques, acquires therapeutic proper- E-mail address: mhyland@plymouth.ac.uk (M.E. Hyland). ties similar to the active treatment. Although conditioning 0022-3999/07/$ – see front matter D 2007 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved. doi:10.1016/j.jpsychores.2006.10.006
  • 2.
    332 M.E. Hyland et al. / Journal of Psychosomatic Research 62 (2007) 331–340 can add to expectancy [7], it has been suggested that expec- and staff were offered free flower essences in return for tancy is the more important mechanism because placebos completed questionnaires and evaluation. Expectancy, absorp- can occur without any prior conditioning or experience of the tion, and spirituality were assessed at baseline, and perceived active treatment, and conditioned placebos have been shown change was measured after 4 weeks. Expectancy, absorption, to be mediated by expectancy [8,9]. and spirituality all correlated with outcome; spirituality but not Although there is consensus over the mechanisms under- absorption predicted outcome independently of expectancy. lying the placebo, there is less consensus on the personality These three studies all suggest that there may be some other predictors of the placebo response. The majority view is that mechanism than expectancy underlying the placebo response, there is no such thing as a placebo-responding personality particularly in real-life contexts where people are actively [10,11]; that is, placebo response cannot be predicted from seeking treatment for their health problems. dispositional variables. This view is based not on the absence of correlations—many have been reported—but on reviews showing that results are often inconsistent. The minority view Non-expectancy-mediated placebo mechanisms is that there is sufficient consistency to identify one or more personality predictors, and two that have been cited are Two different, non-expectancy-mediated hypotheses can acquiescence [12] and optimism [13]. Both acquiescence and explain placebo effects in therapeutic contexts. An early optimism fit within an expectancy model of placebo placebo hypothesis was based on motivation: The health responding. People high in acquiescence are more likely to striving hypothesis suggests that people are more likely to agree with a suggestion from an external source and so should get better when they are motivated to get well, compared be more likely to expect a treatment to be effective when told with those less motivated to get well. There is some so; people high in optimism are likely to make an optimistic evidence that motivation enhances placebo responding [29], judgment about a treatment and so are more likely to expect and the health striving hypothesis is also consistent with the the treatment to have a good effect when told so. Thus, finding that compliance in the placebo arm of a randomized both acquiescence and optimism could be considered mo- drug trial is associated with better outcome—presumably derators of the expectancy mechanism. because people who are more motivated to get better comply more with their treatment [30,31]. An alternative motivational hypothesis is derived here Evidence for non-expectancy-mediated mechanisms from a combination of two ideas. First, several well- established motivational theories suggest that failure to Complementary and alternative medicine (CAM) com- achieve important, high-level, self-actualizing, or self- prises a diverse group of therapies that fall outside the remit defining goals has negative mental consequences. By of conventional medicine and that are widely used by the contrast, attaining these high-level, self-actualizing, or general public [14–16]. The underlying mechanisms of self-defining goals leads to greater well-being [32–38]. CAM are controversial—which is, in part, why they fall Self-actualization refers to the goal to become the bperson outside conventional medicine. Although the evidence for you really are,Q rather than achieve socially defined goals, so specific components is mixed and researchers hold a variety there is an underlying assumption that what is bgoodQ for of views, there is general acceptance by all parties that one person may not be so for another. Specifically, the self- psychological factors are important. concordance model [35] suggests that people put more Meta-analyses of double-blind placebo controlled trials of effort into, and gain more satisfaction from, the attainment homeopathy show large placebo effects that add a methodo- of self-defining goals. Second, we use an idea from the logical challenge to the demonstration of any additional contextual model of psychotherapy [6]: A common feature specific effect [17–19]. However, a large (N=202) double of all psychotherapies, as well as traditional healing rituals, blind, randomized, controlled trial of a homeopathic is that the patient believes in and engages in a health- preparation for asthma [20] failed to find any correlation promoting ritual, although the ritual may be based on a myth between a surrogate measure of expectancy, attitude to that is not btrueQ [39]. The motivational concordance CAM, and the improvements in physiological or psycho- hypothesis combines these two ideas: Engaging in health- logical outcome [21]. Similarly meta-analyses of sham vs. promoting rituals that enhance self-defining or self-actualiz- real acupuncture suggest a large placebo effect [22–24], but a ing goals provides better outcomes when compared to large (N=239) open study found that there was a non- health-promoting rituals that are not. Or to put it from an significantly better outcome amongst those who did not existential perspective, receiving therapy that is consistent believe in acupuncture [25]. with the breal youQ [40] is associated with therapeutic gain, The above two studies did not investigate expectancy irrespective of gain mediated via expectancy processes. This directly. Flower essence therapy is related to homeopathy and motivational hypothesis differs from the contextual model the only two double-blind placebo-controlled trials of this of psychotherapy in suggesting that the therapist is not an therapy have failed to find a difference between placebo and essential part of a therapeutic ritual. Taking part in rituals verum [26,27]. In an open study [28], 116 university students that are concordant with self-actualizing or self-defining
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    M.E. Hyland etal. / Journal of Psychosomatic Research 62 (2007) 331–340 333 goals has a therapeutic effect alongside other mechanisms, essence in return for questionnaire completion. The adver- such as response expectancy. tisements informed participants about a commercial Web Why do people show a better placebo response to flower site on flower essences. They were told that the effect of essences if they are high in spirituality? Edward Bach, the flower essences was purported to have a therapeutic effect, inventor of flower essences, was a homeopath who also that this claim was controversial, and that the researchers believed that illness had a spiritual basis and could be cured were investigating flower essences. Participants were spiritually [41]. Thus, flower essences, like some other neither paid nor received course credit for taking part. CAMs, appear to have the psychological context of a spiritually oriented therapy, or at least can be interpreted as Predictor questionnaire assessments a spiritually oriented therapy. People who score highly on a We used two measures of spirituality. The 22-item spirituality scale are more likely to use CAM [42]. Since Spiritual Involvement and Beliefs Scale—Revised (SIBS- taking flower essences is a ritual, one possible explanation is R; Hatch, personal communication, 2001) is the revised that those high in spirituality strive more, and so bdo the version of an earlier 39-item scale [44] that purports to ritualQ better, than those low in spirituality. Because the measure spirituality in contrast to religiosity. Participants ritual is more congruent with their self-defining goals, respond to each item on a 7-point scale, and high scores spiritual people gain more benefit from flower essence indicate greater spirituality. Although there are more therapy. In more general terms, the motivational concord- positive than negative items, the authors report that the ance hypothesis suggests that a good placebo is one that scale is uncorrelated with social desirability (Hatch, matches the context of the therapy to the motivational personal communication, 2006). We included this scale system of the client, so that the behavioral ritual of the because it had been used in an earlier study [28]. therapy is concordant with the client’s motivations. The The second spirituality measure, the 48-item Spiritual concordance between the ritual and motivation does not just Connection Questionnaire (SCQ-48), was specially designed provide expectancies for positive outcome but has an for this study, as no other spirituality scale has equal numbers independent effect on outcome. of positive and negative items. The scale was based on the Hunglemann et al. [45] definition of spirituality as a bsense of interconnectedness between self, others, nature and Ultimate Study 1 which exists throughout and beyond time and spaceQ (p. 152). Scale items cover the experience of a bsense of connectionQ in Correlations between personality and placebo outcome the following domains: with the universe, e.g., bI do not feel are notoriously fickle. The aim of Study 1 was to replicate connected to the universe in any spiritual wayQ; with people, the earlier flower essence study [28], but using a larger bThere is something of the cosmos that binds all people sample size and some additional measures. togetherQ; with nature, bI never feel any special connection First, we used an additional measure of spirituality that has with a part of nature such as a flowerQ; and with places, bI equal numbers of positive and negative items. In the earlier sometimes experience joy just from being in a beautiful study, the spirituality scale had more positive items, so the place.Q Thus, the SCQ-48 is a scale measuring the experience spirituality–outcome correlation could have been due to of spirituality that is related to a sense of connection. acquiescence bias. Second, we measured optimism because Participants respond to each item on a 7-point scale, and optimism has been reported elsewhere as a predictor of high scores indicate greater spirituality. Research reported placebo outcome [43] and because the spirituality–outcome elsewhere [46] shows the scale to be unidimensional, with the correlation may be mediated via optimism. Third, we used first factor accounting for 48% of the total variance; that the additional outcome measures, linked to additional measures scale fails to correlate (r=.03) with the Marlow–Crowne scale of expectancy. The additional expectancy measures provide a (social desirability); and that it has high internal consistency stricter test of the independence of the spirituality–outcome (a=.97) and retest reliability (r=.99). link from expectancy. The additional outcome measures Optimism was measured using the 10-item Life Ori- allow us to examine the nonspecific effects of the treatment entation Test—Revised (LOT-R) [47], which contains six (i.e., benefits beyond those for which the treatment is taken) scored items (three positively worded, three negatively and also allow a check on whether the correlation with worded) and four filler items; participants respond to each spirituality occurs with actual symptom change rather than item on a 5-point scale, and higher scores indicate greater perceived change. optimism. Optimism has been found to predict placebo responding [43] and correlates with neuroticism. Method The 11-item Holistic Complementary and Alternative Medicine Questionnaire (HCAMQ) [48] has two subscales: Recruitment Attitudes to Complementary Medicine, and Holistic Health Participants were recruited through advertisements Beliefs. The two subscales are based on evidence that the posted throughout the university and at a neighboring art parent scale has two distinct but correlated factors. college. The advertisements offered a free bottle of flower Participants respond on a 7-point scale, and high scores
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    334 M.E. Hyland et al. / Journal of Psychosomatic Research 62 (2007) 331–340 indicate greater positivity to CAM and more holistic health (Expectancysoc) was scored by subtracting the expected beliefs. Both subscales correlate with expectancy of out- BASOC values from the baseline score; higher scores indicate come with flower essences [28]. greater expectancy for improvement in sense of coherence. Outcome and expectancy measures Compliance To measure expectancy for perceived change (Expect- After the final assessment, participants were asked to ancychange) participants were asked: bAt this point in time, indicate which statement best applied: I took it regularly (4), do you expect the flower essence to help you?Q Participants I missed doses 1 or 2 days per week (3), I missed doses 3 or were asked to bcircle the number that describes your 4 days per week (2), I missed most of the doses (1), or I did opinionQ on an 8-point scale ranging from Yes, I definitely not take the essence (0). think it will help (8), to I think it very unlikely it will help me (1). Perceived change was assessed by e-mail. The e-mail Procedure stated, bThank you for taking part in our experiment. You On arrival at the advertised drop-in session, participants chose [name of essence] for [original symptoms].Q Partic- gave written informed consent and were presented with ipants were then asked, bBelow, you will see a perceived the list of 38 Bach flower essences and descriptions of the change scale. Please make a note of the number on the scale conditions for which each essence can be used. Each of the 38 that you think best illustrates your perceived change.Q flower essences purports to benefit particular psychological Responses were made on a 7-point Likert-type scale problems. For example, if you are bcritical and intolerant of (À3 to +3) where the word worse was positioned near othersQ then Beech is recommended; if you bare inflexible, À3 and better near +3. setting yourself very high standardsQ then Rock Water should Whereas Hyland et al. [28] used only perceived change as be used; and if bimpatient or easily irritated,Q then Impatiens an outcome measure, in this study we measured symptoms is used. An essence is (typically) made by floating a flower in before and after treatment. At baseline participants rated the spring water in a clear glass bowl in bright sunlight for 3 two symptoms for which they had initially selected the flower hours and preserving this water in a solution of water and essence, using two, 7-point scales; the end points were brandy (40% water, 60% brandy). A few drops of this labeled no problem (0) and as bad as it could be (6). bmother essenceQ are then added to 10-ml bottles of water and Participants also rated the same symptoms in terms of how brandy (again 40% and 60%, respectively) to form bstockQ they expected the symptom to be after 3 weeks of treatment essence, which was provided by the manufacturer. with flower essences (with the first rating in sight). After Participants were told they could choose up to two 3 weeks, they were asked, via e-mail, to rate their symptoms essences. In addition to indicating their choice of essence, again, but without sight of the original ratings. Baseline and they completed the questionnaire pack (SQC-48, SIBS-R, final symptom scores were obtained by adding the values for LOT-R, and HCAMQ). the two symptoms at baseline and final assessment, respec- Participants were then asked to provide baseline outcome tively. Expectancies for changes in symptoms (Expect- ratings (symptoms, well-being, and sense of coherence), and ancysymptoms) were obtained by subtracting the two values also to provide ratings on the same scales for where they for expected symptoms from the baseline symptom score; expected to be after the flower essence treatment (these were higher values indicate an expectancy of better outcome. used to calculate expectancy scores). Advocates of CAM suggest that their treatments have Participants were given their chosen essences, made by effects beyond the symptoms for which patients seek placing two drops of stock essence in a 10-ml bottle of assistance [49]. We therefore included two other outcome brandy (60%) and spring water (40%) solution (i.e., no measures, neither of which was directly related to the deception was involved). They were thanked and reminded intended treatment. Well-being was measured at baseline to expect the e-mail follow-up to be sent 3 weeks later. E- with a 7-point scale of well-being: Participants were asked to mail data collection has been shown to be valid and bRate your general feeling of well-being during the last equivalent to traditional methods [51]. Participants who week.Q Responses were taken on a scale that ranged from as did not reply to the follow-up were sent reminder e-mails good as it could be (0) to as bad as it could be (6). Participants one week later (note: a small minority of participants asked also rated where they expected to be after 3 weeks using to give their replies via the telephone). The follow-up and the same scale. Final well-being was measured (via e-mail) reminder e-mails asked for ratings of perceived change, the using the same scale at 3 weeks. Expectancy for well-being two symptoms, well-being, the three sense of coherence (Expectancywell-being) was scored by subtracting the expected items, and a response to the compliance question. well-being score from the baseline score. Sense of coherence was assessed with the 3-item version of the Brief Assessment Results of Sense of Coherence (BASOC) [50], where each item was rated on a 5-point scale. Baseline and final BASOC scores Two hundred forty-three participants from the university were the sum of the three scores at baseline and final and art college took part in the first part of the study, of whom assessment, respectively. Expectancy for sense of coherence 167 completed follow-up assessments. One person indicated
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    M.E. Hyland etal. / Journal of Psychosomatic Research 62 (2007) 331–340 335 Table 1 those who missed one or two doses scored À.40 (n=80); Response to treatment by outcome measure (frequencies) and those who took it regularly scored À.56 (n=43). Negative Deteriorated, No change, Improved, scores indicate improvement. Using the same test, we found Outcome measure n (%) n (%) n (%) compliance was not significantly related to Expectancychange Perceived change 6 (4) 70 (42) 89 (54) nor to either of the two spirituality scales. Change in symptoms 10 (6) 18 (11) 138 (83) Table 2 shows the correlations between the question- Change in BASOC 37 (22) 24 (15) 105 (63) Change in well-being 44 (27) 35 (21) 87 (52) naires at baseline with the four expectancy measures (Expectancychange, Expectancysymptoms, Expectancywell-being and Expectancysoc). The two spirituality scales were highly that they did not take the essence (because they spilt the bottle) and was excluded from the analysis. There were no correlated, providing convergent validation for the SCQ-48, significant differences between completers and noncomp- and both scales correlated with the various expectancy leters on any of the questionnaire assessments, nor the measures. Optimism also correlated with the spirituality expectancy measures, nor gender or age. The following scales and the expectancy measures. Correlations between analysis is based on those 166 people who completed scales are affected by reliability: Chronbach’s alpha assessments, of whom 2 did not complete the ratings of coefficients from our data are as follows: LOT-R=.83, expectancy for perceived change and expectancy for SCQ-48=.96, SIBS-R=.92, Attitudes to CAM=.69, Holistic BASOC, 1 did not complete an expectancy for well- Health Beliefs=.52, showing that in all cases, except for being rating, and 1 did not complete a rating of perceived Holistic Health Beliefs, there was good reliability. change. There were 34 men and 132 women and mean age Table 3 shows the correlations between outcome was 26.4 years (range, 19–58 years). Table 1 shows the measures, and the baseline questionnaires and expectancy number of participants experiencing improvement, no measures. Optimism (LOT-R) correlated with all baseline change, or deterioration on each of the outcome measures. outcome measures and many final outcome measures, and Participants had volunteered for a study for which there this is consistent with a reporting bias mediated via negative was a suggestion that flower essences were beneficial and affectivity. Negative affectivity can also explain the corre- for which they received neither money nor course credit. lation between expectancy and baseline outcome measures. The effect of this suggestion can be tested by examining the Expectancy measures correlated with spirituality, optimism, expectancy scores. For Expectancychange, the mean was .90 and attitude to CAM. Both spirituality scales predicted (S.D.=1.72), and 31% of participants scored below the perceived change, but not baseline symptoms. As the SCQ- midpoint (i.e., responded 0 or lower). These data show that 48 has an equal number of positive and negative items, this the majority (69%) of participants expected the essence to measure of spirituality was used in tests of the independence benefit them, but that there was sufficient variation within of spirituality from expectancy. the population to test the effect of expectancy on outcome. We tested whether spirituality, optimism, and expectancy, We tested whether compliance was associated with better independently predicted each of the four outcomes (per- outcome by using a one-way analysis of variance for ceived change, symptoms, well-being, and sense of coher- perceived change and the interaction term from a repeated ence) by entering spirituality (SCQ-48), optimism (LOT-R), measures (Compliance  Baseline/Final Outcome) ana- and the outcome-specific expectancy measure (i.e., final lysis of variance for the other three outcome measures. symptoms paired with Expectancysymptoms, final well-being Compliance did not predict outcome, except for BASOC paired with Expectancywell-being, etc.) into a simultaneous where the interaction term was significant: F(3,162)=3.6, multiple regression. The results are shown in Table 4. P=.01. Participants who missed most of the doses had a mean Spirituality predicted outcome independently of expectancy BASOC change score (baseline minus final) of .13 (n=15); and optimism only for perceived change. For no outcome those who missed three or four doses scored À.58 (n=28); variable did expectancy predict outcome independently of Table 2 Correlations (r) between predictor variables and expectancy measures (N=166) Variable/measure 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 1. SCQ-48 – 2. SIBS-R .8244 – 3. LOT-R .2544 .3344 – 4. Attitude to CAM subscale .2644 .2044 .10 – 5. Holistic Health Beliefs subscale .2644 .2944 .12 .05 – 6. Expectancychange .3944 .3544 .2744 .2644 .09 – 7. Expectancysymptoms .2344 .14 À.06 .194 .154 .27 – 8. Expectancysoc .174 .13 À.164 .174 À.00 .3144 .4244 – 9. Expectancywell-being .194 .2144 À.03 .11 .08 .2144 .5144 .3844 4 P= b .05; two tailed. 44 P= b .01; two tailed.
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    336 M.E. Hyland et al. / Journal of Psychosomatic Research 62 (2007) 331–340 Table 3 Correlations (r) between outcome measures and predictors Symptoms Well-being BASOC Variable Perceived change Baseline Final (change) Baseline Final (change) Baseline Final (change) SCQ-48 .2644 .07 À.09 (.14) .01 .09 (.06) .06 .04 (À.02) SIBS-R .204 À.01 À.11 (.09) .01 .11 (.08) .12 .14 (.02) LOT-R À.01 À.204 À.12 (À.04) .3744 .224 (À.11) .5244 .3244 (À.2044) Attitude to CAM subscale .174 .254 À.01 (.2044) À.03 .10 (.10) À.01 .10 (.11) Holistic Health Beliefs subscale À.00 .09 .08 (.00) À.03 À.05 (À.02) .02 À.09 (À.11) Expectancychange .2144 .05 À.214 (.2344) .09 .15 (.05) .05 .10 (.05) Expectancysymptoms .144 .4944 .02 (.3544) À.2544 À.08 (.13) À.174 b.01 (.174) Expectancysoc .3044 .224 À.10 (.2644) À.2644 À.01 (.194) À.4844 À.13 (.3544) Expectancywell-being .15 .234 b.01 (.1744) À.6844 À.10 (.4544) À.2544 À.04 (.2144) 4 P=b.05; two tailed. 44 P=b.01; two tailed. spirituality and optimism. However, for perceived change, spirituality on perceived change is independent of expect- there was a nonsignificant trend ( P=.07) suggesting the ancy and related variables, and spirituality does not interact possibility of an independent effect of expectancy. Coupled with expectancy. with the correlation of .21 between expectancy and perceived change, we cannot rule out an independent Discussion: Study 1 contribution of expectancy on this outcome measure. As spirituality predicted only perceived change, we We replicated the earlier finding (Hyland et al. [28]) that carried out a more stringent test on this outcome variable. spirituality predicts perceived change of symptoms follow- All four expectancy measures, plus Attitude to CAM and ing flower essence treatment, and, because we used a Holistic Health Beliefs (i.e., the two HCAMQ subscales) spirituality scale with equal number of positive and negative were entered into the first step of a hierarchical multiple items (SCQ-48), these new data suggest that the correlation regression, R 2(6,156)=.115, P=b.01; with spirituality in the is not due to acquiescence bias. The correlation is unlikely second step, DR 2=.03, P=.02. Thus, spirituality predicted to be due to social desirability, as the SCQ-48 is unrelated to perceived change independently of all the other variables social desirability, and is unlikely to be mediated via (b=.20). We tested whether there was an interaction between optimism, as optimism failed to predict change, although expectancy and spirituality as predictors of perceived it did predict baseline symptom and other variables. These change by entering the product term (Expectancychange  baseline correlations are to be expected as the LOT-R is SCQ-48) in a third step of the multiple regression; there was highly correlated with trait neuroticism [47], and trait no evidence of an interaction (b=À.09, P=.77). We tested affectivity affects symptom reporting [52]. Although sense for other possible interactions (e.g., optimism and expect- of coherence and well-being increased after the flower ancy) and none were significant. In sum, the effect of essence treatment, they were unrelated to spirituality, as was Table 4 Simultaneous multiple regressions to test whether outcome is predicted independently by spirituality and expectancy Dependent variable Predictor variables B S.E. b Perceived change Expectancychange .04 .419 .15 ( P=.07) LOT-R À.12 .09 À.11 SCQ-48 .21 .08 .234 Symptom final Symptom baseline .44 .10 .364 Expectancysymptoms À.14 .09 À.15 LOT-R À.04 .10 À.03 SCQ-48 À.08 .08 À.07 Well-being final Well-being baseline .19 .12 .19 Expectancywell-being .02 .13 .02 LOT-R .23 .15 .14 SCQ-48 .06 .11 .05 BASOC final BASOC baseline .51 .09 .524 Expectancysoc .16 .10 .13 LOT-R .07 .07 .08 SCQ-48 À.02 .05 .05 For perceived change, R 2(3,159)=.09, P=b.01; for symptom final, R 2(4,161) = .12, P=b.01; for well-being final, R 2(4,160)=.07, P=.01; and for BASOC final, R 2(4,159)=.26, P=b.01. 4 P=b .01; two tailed.
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    M.E. Hyland etal. / Journal of Psychosomatic Research 62 (2007) 331–340 337 symptom change. There are several possible reasons for this Therapy to help your sleep?Q Participants were asked to failure, one of which is that use of before and after measures bcircle the number that describes your opinionQ on an 8-point increases the variance, and our study was underpowered in scale ranging from I think it very unlikely it will help me (1) that regard. In addition, correlations between outcome and to Yes, I definitely expect it will help (8). all predictors are reduced to the extent that outcome is The measure of change in perceived sleep quality was affected by natural variation in symptoms over time. based on that used by Geers et al. [53]. The measure The problem with the use of a physical therapy, such as consisted of five items measuring change in sleep quality. flower essences, is that the psychological nature of therapy The items included bHow peaceful was your sleep last is inferred. We have inferred the spirituality of flower night?Q and bHow would you rate your quality of sleep last essences on the basis of the literature, not on the basis of night?.Q Items were rated on a 7-point scale ranging from participant report. We have no way of telling from our data much worse than usual (1) to much the same as usual (4) how flower essences were interpreted, and this is clearly a and much better than usual (7). These scores were totaled to weakness in the interpretation we have provided for our create a bperceived sleep changeQ score. data. An alternative way of testing the therapeutic ritual hypothesis is to use a psychological therapy, where the Procedure psychological nature of therapy is explicit in the therapy On arrival at the advertised drop-in sessions, partic- itself. For Study 2, we invented a new therapy called ipants gave written informed consent and then completed bgratitude sleep therapy.Q Our therapy was based on Geers the two questionnaires (GQ-6 and SCQ-48). Then, they et al.’s [53] bplacebo sleep therapy,Q but we modified the were given an envelope containing a bgratitude sleep instructions so that instead of asking participants to write therapyQ booklet, which contained instructions for the task, down things that they had done, they were asked to write space in which to write things they felt grateful for, and down things they were grateful for. Previous research has experimenter contact information. Participants were asked shown that similar gratitude activities improve perceived to open the envelope and read the instructions, replace the well-being [54,55]. If the therapeutic ritual hypothesis is booklet in the envelope, and then rate how much they correct, then outcome to gratitude sleep therapy should expected the therapy to work. They were then asked to take correlate with trait gratitude, but it should not correlate with the envelope home and complete the therapy that evening. trait spirituality. In addition, participants were informed that their booklet would not be collected by the experimenter and that their notes would be seen by only them, allowing participants to Study 2 express themselves without fear of others seeing their writing. Participants were contacted by e-mail on the Method following day and asked to complete the questions about sleep quality. Recruitment Advertisements were placed around the university Results campus offering those with sleep problems a free psycho- logical treatment in return for questionnaire completion. Ninety-three people attended drop-in sessions, of whom 90 (37 men and 53 women) completed the follow-up Questionnaires and Assessments assessment. Fifty-six percent were aged under 24 years, The Gratitude Questionnaire—6 (GQ-6) is a six-item 25% were between 25 and 34 years. Amongst respondents, scale developed to measure dispositional gratitude [55]. The 75% reported improvement, 9% reported no change, and 16% scale features four positive items and two negative items, got worse. The mean value for Expectancy was 5.15 including bI have so much in my life to be grateful forQ and (S.D.=1.73); 27.5% scored at or below the midpoint of 4, bI am grateful to a wide range of people.Q Participants indicating that they did not expect the therapy to be effective. respond to items on a 7-point scale and high scores indicate Table 5 shows bivariate correlations for all the variables. greater gratitude. Internal reliability for the six-item scale Spirituality (SCQ-48) and gratitude (GQ-6) were correlated, was a=.72. The GQ-6 correlates with optimism and with consistent with previous research [55]. Gratitude and spiritual transcendence [56], which includes the concept of expectancy correlated with outcome, but spirituality did connectivity measured by the SCQ-48. not correlate with outcome. Using perceived sleep change as Spirituality was measured by using the SCQ-48, that is, the dependent variable, we carried out a hierarchical the scale used in Study 1. multiple regression to test the relative importance of our Expectancy was measured by a single-item scale indicat- predictor variables. In Step 1, we entered Expectancy, ing the extent to which they believed that their sleep would be R 2 (1,88)=.05, P=.03. In Step 2, we entered spirituality, improved by the gratitude therapy. The scale was based on the which did not improve the model, DR 2=b.01, P=.93. In Step Expectancychange measure used In Study 1. The question was 3, we entered gratitude, which improved the model, bAt this point in time, do you expect the Gratitude Sleep DR 2=.07, P=b.01. Thus, gratitude (b=.28, P=b.01) and
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    338 M.E. Hyland et al. / Journal of Psychosomatic Research 62 (2007) 331–340 Table 5 pressor task. As these tasks are effective only when Correlations between variables in Study 2 contextualized as pain relievers, this shows that they elicit a Variable 1 2 3 meaning response. Participants’ reported level of absorption 1. Sleep outcome – with the task predicted outcome independently of expectancy, 2. GQ-6 .2744 – leading the authors to conclude that the task produced a non- 3. Expectancy .234 .08 – expectancy-mediated effect. In these studies, like ours, there 4. SCQ-48 .08 .2744 .4244 is evidence that people gain more therapeutic benefit from a 4 P b.05. 44 P b.01. ritual to the extent that the ritual is salient, and that this benefit is independent of expectancy. In addition, the importance of engagement with a ritual is expectancy (b=.24, P=.03), but not spirituality (b=À.08, consistent with a study showing that self-help instructions P=.48), predict perceived sleep change, with the final that are perceived as tailored to the needs of the person are model, including gratitude and expectancy, accounting for more effective in producing change than nonpersonalized 12% of the variance in outcome. instructions [59]. Our interpretation of these data is that the salience of a ritual is increased by its perceived relevance, and personalizing increases perceived relevance. Overall discussion Earlier reviews of the literature report inconsistency in the placebo-responding personality or dispositional variables How do placebos work in real-life contexts? Our research [10,11], and our results explain how this inconsistency can suggests that two mechanisms are involved. One is the well- arise: The motivational context of the therapy affects the established mechanism of response expectancy. The other is personality correlations. Studies 1 and 2 demonstrated the a motivational mechanism where people gain therapeutic context specificity of personality–outcome correlations, but, benefit by engaging in therapeutic rituals that are concordant additionally, were designed to rule out alternative explan- with self-defining or self-actualizing goals. That is, when ations for personality–outcome correlations. There is no people self-actualize as part of therapy, then this produces evidence that these correlations are mediated via optimism, or therapeutic benefit through a motivational, non-expectancy- due to attitude towards therapy, or health beliefs. The mediated pathway. disposition–outcome correlations are not due to acquiescence In Study 1, we replicated an earlier finding that or social desirability because we used a spirituality scale that spirituality predicted perceived change following treatment had equal numbers of positive and negative items and was with flower essences. We reasoned that this occurred uncorrelated with social desirability. Finally, although we did because the flower essences are conceptualized as a spiritual not have a nontreatment control, it is unlikely that the therapy and spiritually oriented people bdo the ritualQ better, correlations with ritual-congruent dimensions would have in the sense that they are more engaged with the ritual, and occurred as part of regression to the mean or natural history, gain more satisfaction from taking flower essences. In Study because of the specificity of spirituality or gratitude to the 2, we found that dispositional gratitude but not spirituality particular type of therapy. Natural variation and regression predicted perceived change following gratitude therapy. We must occur in both studies, and this variation will reduce the reasoned that this was because people high in dispositional size of correlations between outcome and predictors. This gratitude bdo the ritualQ better, in the sense that they find it reduction is exacerbated where the outcome measure is easier to think about things to be grateful for, and find the unreliable, and where outcome is based on two (before and process of doing gratitude more satisfying. after) measures. Therefore, in Study 1 the failure to find Our interpretation is not definite at this stage. We do not independent personality predictors of symptom change, in know whether motivational concordance leads to a greater contrast to perceived change, must be treated with caution. focusing on positive symptoms, a tendency to ignore a Our research was motivated in part by some CAM studies failure to benefit, or greater positivity, which translates into showing that expectancy is a poor predictor of outcome. In therapeutic benefit. Our underlying assumption has been both our studies, expectancy was significantly correlated with that fulfillment of self-actualizing goals, by engaging in the outcome, and the correlation coefficients were similar therapeutic ritual, leads to general therapeutic benefit. We between the two studies (.21 for Study 1 and .23 for Study cannot rule out the possibility that the effect is an effect 2). In Study 2, expectancy predicted outcome independently only on symptom perception, although this would still be of personality, but in Study 1, the equivalent test just failed to linked to motivation. reach significance ( P=.07). These results suggest that Any motivational explanation for our findings leads to the expectancy does contribute to outcome, and possibly corollary prediction that the degree of involvement with a independently, in both studies. However, it is clear that therapeutic ritual contributes to outcome, and this prediction other mechanisms are involved. Our results do not bdisproveQ has been confirmed elsewhere. In two earlier studies [57,58], the response expectancy explanation but instead show participants were given distraction or imagery tasks that were that response expectancy is not the only mechanism. presented as techniques for reducing pain perception in a cold However, it may be that in the richer context of a CAM
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    M.E. Hyland etal. / Journal of Psychosomatic Research 62 (2007) 331–340 339 treatment, expectancy becomes less important than in for Study 1. We thank Ainsworths, Healing Herbs, and the laboratory analogue studies, so our results may not generalize Green Man Essence Company for help in providing to laboratory-based studies where participants take part for materials used in Study 1 without charge or preconditions. extrinsic reasons. Previous research has linked optimism with placebo responding [43]. We found that optimism correlated with expectancy, but did not predict outcome. It is likely that in contexts where expectancy is more important, References then optimism will correlate with outcome but be mediated [1] Rajagopal S. The placebo effect. Psychiatri Bull 2006;30:185 – 8. via expectancy. [2] Crow R, Gage H, Hampson S, Hart J, Kimber A, Thomas H. 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