North Carolina Federal Advanced Technologies Symposium
May 9, 2013
Human/Social Sciences/Cultural & Behavioral Dynamics and Advanced Analytics Panel
Hosted by:
Office of Senator Richard Burr
NC Military Business Center
NC Military Foundation
Institute for Defense & Business
University of North Carolina System
Reception Sponsor:
Bronze Sponsor:
© IntePoint LLC. Proprietary
 IntePoint partnered with the Complex Systems Institute (UNCC), Oak
Ridge National Lab, and Georgia Tech on for the ACSES DARPA
project
 We demonstrated the capability to computationally combine
and compare multiple social science theories to provide
robust plausible futures
 The multi-model CAS simulation was incorporated into Vu, an
interdependency consequence analysis capability to extend
the results to include critical infrastructure
 Team is currently authoring a book on complicated CAS
modeling techniques
 The ACSES model has been applied to Mali and Kenya for an ERDC
program
 We continue to drive to a rigorous and actionable modeling
framework that supports more granular, less tightly coupled agent
models
 This unique approach is immediately applicable for training exercises
and JIPOE supporting analysis
 Will require 2 – 3 years of additional development and V&V before
being deployable as a planning and campaign tool.
ACSES project review, ongoing
HSCB capabilities, applicability
1
Bottom Line Up Front
Mark Armstrong, President
IntePoint, LLC.
Cell – 704.502.1655
Mark.Armstrong@IntePoint.com
© IntePoint LLC. Proprietary
For the DARPA ACSES project the team developed a platform that integrated
multiple, alternative social science theories into a unified simulation
framework. Additionally, using existing capabilities, we integrated that CAS
model with an infrastructure analysis for a PMESII/COA analysis.
 Social science theories included citizen allegiance and ideology, behavior of
citizen agents, and social mobilization theories
 Demonstrated quantifiable and realistic effects and identified threshold
events for simulation of nonlinear phenomena including both expected and
unexpected results
 Simulates dynamic networks of repeated feedback systems among agents
 Exposes causal relationships that support analysis and insight for DIME
options
The team leveraged the Vu
interdependency analysis
capability for a DARPA project
that incorporated multiple social
science (CAS/agent) leadership
models to obtain a more robust
understanding of population
responses to events/COAs
2
ACSES HSCB &
Interdependency
Modeling
and Analysis
COA
Result
Summary
Detailed
Temporal
Analysis
Multiple
Logical Views of
Effects of COA
Events
2D/3D Map
and Imagery
of COA
Events
Details of
interaction
s
Plausible outcome of social impact in
Afghanistan
Details of
interaction
s
Details of
interactions
© IntePoint LLC. Proprietary
 IntePoint has teamed with UNC-Charlotte since 2003 to provide the
integrated modeling and simulation capability for a USG program by
translating research into actionable tools.
 IntePoint has experience in net-centric and desktop software
development services in both classified and non-classified environments
 Ideas have been taken from initial concept through research, design,
development, testing, DODIIS accreditation and deployment (TRL 1 – 9)
 IntePoint has a 100% success record in completing all contract deliverables,
within-budget and often ahead of schedule
 The USG invested >$14M in cumulative funding to develop the capability
for interdependency analysis and modeling & simulation capability used
to support functional defeat and system of systems analysis
 By capturing the intellectual property created through these contracts,
IntePoint has independently developed a web-based COTS product (Vu),
obtained three patents, has several pending patents, and 15+ publications
in academic literature
 Our interdependency experience has been applied in multiple DOD
agencies, DHS, and commercially at Wachovia Bank and Wells Fargo
 Recently signed a teaming agreement to leverage Vu to support state of
the art monitoring and analysis for the electric power grid
The IntePoint team has 10+
years of successful collaboration
in transitioning ideas through
research into useful capabilities.
3
Interdependency
Analytics bona fides
© IntePoint LLC. Proprietary
 For a USG program, the team researched, designed, and developed an accredited and
deployed interdependency analysis capability used to support system of systems analysis
 Vu is a domain agnostic analytics capability for integrated modeling and simulation that
helps analysts to better understand multiple complex, interdependent infrastructure
networks (e.g., electrical power, road/rail, petroleum & telecoms, etc.) in context (E.g.,
functional, spatial, temporal, social…)
 Vu helps analysts to visual, understand, and explore:
 Network behaviors
 Network interdependency behaviors
 Cascading effects
 Disruptive and reconstructive events
 Vu supports a broad range of objectives including vulnerability analysis, impact analysis,
training, reconstruction, stability operations
 Visual analytics consist of geospatial, temporal, and logical network graphs
 Extensible platform designed to modularly incorporate external domain models,
relationship modules and data
 Effective in both high and low fidelity data environments
IntePoint is a web enabled
interdependency M&S and
analytics for multiple complex
networks
4
Vu Overview
© IntePoint LLC. Proprietary
 The CSI team has several sets of proven
technologies that apply to the study of the impacts
of changes in commodity flows
 CAS using agent based models
 Vu interdependency analytics
 Fusion integration of multiple agent models The IntePoint/CSI technology suite
has components that have been
proven in previous research and
deployment. The capabilities range
from TRL 1 – 9.
5
Existing Technology
Horizon Performance
Capture the Present…
Shape the Future
What you produce How you work
1. Humans are more
important than
hardware.
2. Quality is better than
quantity.
3. Special Operations
Forces cannot be mass
produced.
4. Competent Special
Operations Forces
cannot be created after
emergencies occur.
5. Most special operations
require non-SOF
assistance.
Talent Management
Performance
Management
Recruiting
Compensation
Development &
Placement
7
DART
Data Architecture Requirements Tool
Power of Simulation for Better Solutions
Support for decisions of critical issues that may be emerging, rapidly changing,
and/or not easily defined.
Automation with best practices to deliver data assessments and planning support
in significantly less time and cost than traditional methods.
Capabilities
Domain Applications
Accessible through a web browser consisting of standard HTML and Javascript
using a PC (laptop), smart phone, or tablet.
Supported by U.S. Patent No. 8,423,498;
• Front End Analysis
• Data Operations
• Analysis
• Data Operations
• Execution Planning
• Program Management
• Front End Analysis
• Program Assessment
• Gap Analysis
• Strategic Planning
• Acquisition Planning
• Media Analysis
• Organizational Analysis
• Survey services
• Facilitation Support
• Language & Culture
8
DARTData Analysis
Trend Analysis
9
DART
Data Table
10
DARTPresentation of Data Analysis
11
DART
HSBC Support
Determine:
• Scenario based issues that are important at different levels of fidelity
• Obtain inputs from worldwide sources
• Real time assessment of selected issues
Provide visualization of quantitative data:
• Determine gaps to be filled
• How the importance and status for critical issues change over-time
Support:
• Online preparing, monitoring, and reporting of Plans
• Track changes and provide historical reviews
• Data downloads, including PDF, CVS, and summary status charts
• Online preparation of next generation plans with linkages to current and
historical plans
Cyber Attacks
Global Instability
Social Media
Kidnapping
International
Travel
The world has changed…
Communications
Vulnerability
Management
Global
Stability
Guardian
Angel
Training
Lines of Operation
TigerSwan Capabilities Brief
Vulnerability
Management
TigerSwan Capabilities Brief
Vulnerability Management
Network
Individuals
Facilities
Electronics
VULNERABILITY
VULNERABILITY
VULNERABILITY
INDIVIDUALS
Surveillance
Counter Surveillance
GPS Beacons
Deep Dive Investigation
Employee Protection
“Guardian Angel”
Workplace Violence
Workers Compensation
EmergencyAction Plans
Threat & Vulnerability Updates,
Training
Policy, Procedure, & Compliance
Assessments
Sarbanes Oxley/Patriot Act
K & R
Emergenc
y Action
Plans
Employee
Security
True
Diligence
Individuals / Electronics
TigerSwan Capabilities Brief
Forensics
TSCM
Social
Media
ELECTRONIC
TSCM
Cellular Communications
Forensics
Push-To-Talk (PTT) Radios
WiFi Hotspots
Applications
Marketing
Service Management
Mergers & Aquisition
Law Enforcement
Counter Terrorism
TigerSwan Capabilities Brief
Questions
TigerSwan, Inc.
3452 Apex Peakway
Apex, NC 27502
info@tigerswan.com
919-439-7007
North Carolina Federal Advanced Technologies Symposium
Raleigh, North Carolina
9 May 2013
19
 Over 700 employees worldwide
 In business since 1995
 More than a language service provider
20
21
Highly Skilled Linguists and Cultural Advisors
Special Operations Skills
Operations in Austere Locations
22

Human/Social Sciences/Cultural & Behavioral Dynamics and Advanced Analytics

  • 1.
    North Carolina FederalAdvanced Technologies Symposium May 9, 2013 Human/Social Sciences/Cultural & Behavioral Dynamics and Advanced Analytics Panel Hosted by: Office of Senator Richard Burr NC Military Business Center NC Military Foundation Institute for Defense & Business University of North Carolina System Reception Sponsor: Bronze Sponsor:
  • 2.
    © IntePoint LLC.Proprietary  IntePoint partnered with the Complex Systems Institute (UNCC), Oak Ridge National Lab, and Georgia Tech on for the ACSES DARPA project  We demonstrated the capability to computationally combine and compare multiple social science theories to provide robust plausible futures  The multi-model CAS simulation was incorporated into Vu, an interdependency consequence analysis capability to extend the results to include critical infrastructure  Team is currently authoring a book on complicated CAS modeling techniques  The ACSES model has been applied to Mali and Kenya for an ERDC program  We continue to drive to a rigorous and actionable modeling framework that supports more granular, less tightly coupled agent models  This unique approach is immediately applicable for training exercises and JIPOE supporting analysis  Will require 2 – 3 years of additional development and V&V before being deployable as a planning and campaign tool. ACSES project review, ongoing HSCB capabilities, applicability 1 Bottom Line Up Front Mark Armstrong, President IntePoint, LLC. Cell – 704.502.1655 Mark.Armstrong@IntePoint.com
  • 3.
    © IntePoint LLC.Proprietary For the DARPA ACSES project the team developed a platform that integrated multiple, alternative social science theories into a unified simulation framework. Additionally, using existing capabilities, we integrated that CAS model with an infrastructure analysis for a PMESII/COA analysis.  Social science theories included citizen allegiance and ideology, behavior of citizen agents, and social mobilization theories  Demonstrated quantifiable and realistic effects and identified threshold events for simulation of nonlinear phenomena including both expected and unexpected results  Simulates dynamic networks of repeated feedback systems among agents  Exposes causal relationships that support analysis and insight for DIME options The team leveraged the Vu interdependency analysis capability for a DARPA project that incorporated multiple social science (CAS/agent) leadership models to obtain a more robust understanding of population responses to events/COAs 2 ACSES HSCB & Interdependency Modeling and Analysis COA Result Summary Detailed Temporal Analysis Multiple Logical Views of Effects of COA Events 2D/3D Map and Imagery of COA Events Details of interaction s Plausible outcome of social impact in Afghanistan Details of interaction s Details of interactions
  • 4.
    © IntePoint LLC.Proprietary  IntePoint has teamed with UNC-Charlotte since 2003 to provide the integrated modeling and simulation capability for a USG program by translating research into actionable tools.  IntePoint has experience in net-centric and desktop software development services in both classified and non-classified environments  Ideas have been taken from initial concept through research, design, development, testing, DODIIS accreditation and deployment (TRL 1 – 9)  IntePoint has a 100% success record in completing all contract deliverables, within-budget and often ahead of schedule  The USG invested >$14M in cumulative funding to develop the capability for interdependency analysis and modeling & simulation capability used to support functional defeat and system of systems analysis  By capturing the intellectual property created through these contracts, IntePoint has independently developed a web-based COTS product (Vu), obtained three patents, has several pending patents, and 15+ publications in academic literature  Our interdependency experience has been applied in multiple DOD agencies, DHS, and commercially at Wachovia Bank and Wells Fargo  Recently signed a teaming agreement to leverage Vu to support state of the art monitoring and analysis for the electric power grid The IntePoint team has 10+ years of successful collaboration in transitioning ideas through research into useful capabilities. 3 Interdependency Analytics bona fides
  • 5.
    © IntePoint LLC.Proprietary  For a USG program, the team researched, designed, and developed an accredited and deployed interdependency analysis capability used to support system of systems analysis  Vu is a domain agnostic analytics capability for integrated modeling and simulation that helps analysts to better understand multiple complex, interdependent infrastructure networks (e.g., electrical power, road/rail, petroleum & telecoms, etc.) in context (E.g., functional, spatial, temporal, social…)  Vu helps analysts to visual, understand, and explore:  Network behaviors  Network interdependency behaviors  Cascading effects  Disruptive and reconstructive events  Vu supports a broad range of objectives including vulnerability analysis, impact analysis, training, reconstruction, stability operations  Visual analytics consist of geospatial, temporal, and logical network graphs  Extensible platform designed to modularly incorporate external domain models, relationship modules and data  Effective in both high and low fidelity data environments IntePoint is a web enabled interdependency M&S and analytics for multiple complex networks 4 Vu Overview
  • 6.
    © IntePoint LLC.Proprietary  The CSI team has several sets of proven technologies that apply to the study of the impacts of changes in commodity flows  CAS using agent based models  Vu interdependency analytics  Fusion integration of multiple agent models The IntePoint/CSI technology suite has components that have been proven in previous research and deployment. The capabilities range from TRL 1 – 9. 5 Existing Technology
  • 7.
    Horizon Performance Capture thePresent… Shape the Future What you produce How you work
  • 8.
    1. Humans aremore important than hardware. 2. Quality is better than quantity. 3. Special Operations Forces cannot be mass produced. 4. Competent Special Operations Forces cannot be created after emergencies occur. 5. Most special operations require non-SOF assistance.
  • 11.
  • 12.
    7 DART Data Architecture RequirementsTool Power of Simulation for Better Solutions Support for decisions of critical issues that may be emerging, rapidly changing, and/or not easily defined. Automation with best practices to deliver data assessments and planning support in significantly less time and cost than traditional methods. Capabilities Domain Applications Accessible through a web browser consisting of standard HTML and Javascript using a PC (laptop), smart phone, or tablet. Supported by U.S. Patent No. 8,423,498; • Front End Analysis • Data Operations • Analysis • Data Operations • Execution Planning • Program Management • Front End Analysis • Program Assessment • Gap Analysis • Strategic Planning • Acquisition Planning • Media Analysis • Organizational Analysis • Survey services • Facilitation Support • Language & Culture
  • 13.
  • 14.
  • 15.
  • 16.
    11 DART HSBC Support Determine: • Scenariobased issues that are important at different levels of fidelity • Obtain inputs from worldwide sources • Real time assessment of selected issues Provide visualization of quantitative data: • Determine gaps to be filled • How the importance and status for critical issues change over-time Support: • Online preparing, monitoring, and reporting of Plans • Track changes and provide historical reviews • Data downloads, including PDF, CVS, and summary status charts • Online preparation of next generation plans with linkages to current and historical plans
  • 17.
    Cyber Attacks Global Instability SocialMedia Kidnapping International Travel The world has changed… Communications
  • 18.
  • 19.
    Vulnerability Management TigerSwan Capabilities Brief VulnerabilityManagement Network Individuals Facilities Electronics VULNERABILITY VULNERABILITY VULNERABILITY
  • 20.
    INDIVIDUALS Surveillance Counter Surveillance GPS Beacons DeepDive Investigation Employee Protection “Guardian Angel” Workplace Violence Workers Compensation EmergencyAction Plans Threat & Vulnerability Updates, Training Policy, Procedure, & Compliance Assessments Sarbanes Oxley/Patriot Act K & R Emergenc y Action Plans Employee Security True Diligence Individuals / Electronics TigerSwan Capabilities Brief Forensics TSCM Social Media ELECTRONIC TSCM Cellular Communications Forensics Push-To-Talk (PTT) Radios WiFi Hotspots
  • 21.
    Applications Marketing Service Management Mergers &Aquisition Law Enforcement Counter Terrorism TigerSwan Capabilities Brief
  • 22.
    Questions TigerSwan, Inc. 3452 ApexPeakway Apex, NC 27502 info@tigerswan.com 919-439-7007
  • 23.
    North Carolina FederalAdvanced Technologies Symposium Raleigh, North Carolina 9 May 2013
  • 24.
    19  Over 700employees worldwide  In business since 1995  More than a language service provider
  • 25.
  • 26.
    21 Highly Skilled Linguistsand Cultural Advisors Special Operations Skills Operations in Austere Locations
  • 27.