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HOW CAN WE DO MORE WITH LESS?
John Cooper
Christopher Shaw
Introduction

WHY DO WE NEED TO CHANGE?
HOW DO WE NEED TO CHANGE?
Context
Achievements since the foundation of the NHS
• Major building programme started with Enoch Powell’s Hospital Plan
(1962) and has been accelerated in recent years. It affects both the
hospitals and primary health care. Latterly it has been largely financed
not directly by the Treasury, but by the Private Finance Initiative (PFI), or
public-private partnership.
Hospital beds
500 000

1948

1958

1968

450 000

350 000

250 000
200 000
150 000
100 000

1988

1998

Total number of hospital beds

400 000

300 000

1978

Beds in use

2008
Clinical staffing
50 000 1948

1958

1968

1978

1988

1998

2008

40 000

30 000

200 000

150 000

Number of
nurses per 1000

Number of
doctors/dentists
Consultant episodes
1100 000
1000 000
900000
800 000
700 000
600000
500 000
400 000
300000

1948

1958

1968
1988
1978
Number of hospital
FCES/population

1998

2008
NHS reform
1948

1958

1968

1978

1998

1988

2008

Two decades of reform and turmoil
Devolution of the NHS
NHS Constitution
NHS Direct
Foundation Trusts 2004
Francis Report
330 MRIs in the UK
55 CTs in the UK
CQC
390 CT SCANNERS
Commissioning a patient-led
NHS
Arthroscopic surgery

Dialysis widely
available
chemotherapy
DNA discovered

Computing

Fibre optics
Laparoscopic surgery

Salk vaccine
NHS Hospital Plan
1962

Stagnation
and disillusion
1989
internal market

The NHS Reform and Health Care
Professions Act
NHS Plan 2000
Our health, our care,
Health and Social our say
Care Act 2001
Health and Social
Wanless Review
Care Act 2012
GP Contract
Labour invest
heavily

£20bn savings
1998

PFI

1988

ACAD Central Middlesex

Chelsea & Westminster

1978

Nucleus Hospitals

1968

DROC

Oxford Method

1958

Greenwich and Northwick Park

Best Buy

1948

Harness

Hospital procurement
2008
Where next?
90 000 1948
80 000
70 000
60 000

50 000
40 000
30 000
20 000
10 000

1958

1968

1978

1988

1998

2008

District
general
hospital
system
is out of
date
Level of investment
The quality of NHS premises has long lagged behind
those of other western countries.
• Value of DH Estate £48.3bn (Annual Report & Accounts 2011/2)
• Capital expenditure Property, Plan & Equipment £2.23bn (under-spend of
£566m)
Quality and fit of the estate
The problem is NOT capacity
Size of the NHS estate
• Measured by its floor area 28.4 million m2 (DH England only 2009/10
Statistics)

Area of the NHS estate
• Buildings, grounds and gardens 7,462 hectares

Number of Hospitals
• Roughly 2,300 hospitals in the UK (Kings Fund – key statistics 2013)

Cost of the NHS estate
• Direct costs of the NHS estate are £6.6 billion (DH England only 2009/10
Statistics)
Current situation
For Staff
• The system dictates the culture
• Over managed
• A fragmented treatment
conveyor belt
• An investment in capital, not
revenue

For Patients
• Different journey, same
outcome
• Mechanistic processes
• Treatment not care
Current situation
Fear
•
•
•
•
•
•

fear of risk
fear of failure
fear of infection
fear of fire
fear of innovation
fear of abstraction
Lack of self image
Information
Industrial age medicine

Tertiary

Information age medicine

Encouraged

Individual self care

Secondary

Family and friends

Primary

Self help networks
Professional facilitators
Professionals as partners
Discouraged

Professionals as authorities
Where to care?
Major Hospital

Specialist Hospital

+

Elective Hospital Community Hospital

+
20-20 vision

Tertiary
Hospital
District General
Hospital

Community care
Primary care

tertiary care
complex diagnostic
treatment and inpatient care
admission avoidance
step up
step down
chronic disease management
primary and home based care
care
Health &
care centre
New model
Hospital

Primary Care
Centre

Property
development

District General
Hospital

Civic / regional involvement
Health and social care amalgamate
Possibilities of commercial funding

Community hospital

Critical treatment
hospital

Tertiary
Hospital

Health Centre

End of the DGH
Why do we need change?

10 THINGS WRONG WITH THE NHS
ESTATE
1. There is too much estate
Poorly utilised (1,974,983 m2 declared unutilised) and
inefficient
Demands ineffective maintenance
Retained because of lack of planning and inertia
Risk level

Backlog maintenance £ million

Percentage +/-

2008-09

2009-10

High risk

267.9

300.8

+ 12.3

Significant risk

1,175.7

1,107.1

- 5.8

Moderate risk

1,452.8

1,514.1

+ 4.2

Low risk

1,188.3

1,174.4

- 1.2

Total

4,084.7

4,096.4

+ 0.29
1. There is too much estate
The area of the NHS
Estate (England
only) is 7,462
hectares
2. Abysmal carbon and energy performance
Unsustainable and expensive
Anti-social and irresponsible
Poor planning and engineering
2840 million kg CO2 per year = 7500 million kw/h
2. Abysmal carbon and energy performance
The NHS estate
produces 2840
million kg CO2 per
year . Equivalent of
550 Boeing 747’s
crossing the Atlantic
(return) every day of
the year.
3. Inadequate and dysfunctional funding
Distribution of budgets
Relationship between revenue and capital
The demise of the Capital Investment Manual
Absurd VAT arrangements
4. Inflexible and difficult to adapt
PFI not your fixed assets but “fixed”
Hampers efficiency and impedes change
Fosters a “make do and mend” mentality
Leads to a spiral of degradation
5. Poorly imagined public realm
Poorly integrated with surrounding population
Seldom adequately reflected in local or regional planning
Absence of social or civic engagement or opportunity
Lack of brand value and identity
6. Demise of logistics
Reduces efficiency and increases costs
Ties up revenue
Adds risk and frustration
7. Badly signposted
Clutter and meaningless signage
Ill-considered wayfinding
In-accessible (particularly for those with dementia)
Raises stress levels and demands on NHS staff
8. Reactive rather than Strategic Planning
Contingent and often inept development
Unforeseen and negative consequences
Diminished opportunity for adaptation and change
9. Poor Quality of Environment
Lowers expectations
Undesirable workplace for high value staff
Difficult and costly upkeep
Communicates an unprofessional ethos

The NHS estate hard
FM costs,£ 3,811
million. Soft FM
costs £2,832 million
per year
10. Arms length procurement
Obscures design responsibility
Separates the designer and user client
Self-referential performance criteria
Stakeholder “engagement” is NOT change management
How do we need to change?

10 THINGS THAT MUST BE DONE
1. Develop an Infrastructure Plan
There are scores of inadequate tertiary hospitals
Closures and consolidation
Absence of vision or planning
2. Don’t invest in estate that cannot
adapt well
Appraisal of existing assets – expect to be surprised
Mapping of existing fabric to future utilisation
Challenge conservation or move elsewhere
Embrace the short term – don’t imagine it’s a solution
3. Abandon cumbersome PPP Procurement
Look for alternative procedures
Grade investment to meet the required flexibility
• Bond Issues for 99 year hospital site infrastructure
• Equity for 33 year shell and core structure (capacity)
• Debt finance for 9 year departmental fit-out and equipment

Alternative Asset Classes will emerge
4. Redefine relationship between Centre
and Trusts
Some things need central planning
Direction and guidance
Data and norms
Protecting the NHS brand
7. Rebuild the Capital Investment Manual
Decide who approves – NHS England / Monitor
Focus on lifetime value
Flexibility and Adaptability
Reflect public benefit
5. Hospitals return to what they should be
Aggressively reorganise
Trauma and Emergency
72 hour model
Training and academic research
6. Challenge UK assumptions
Clinical models (midwife/obstetrics)!
Benchmark against International Hospitals
Alternative scales & strata
8. Simulation modelling not just 3D visuals
Clinical process simulation
Public flows and staging
Energy and environmental modelling
Planned maintenance and FM
9. BIM is a disruptive tool
M&E design out of step with the rest of the world
Undermines dubious industry “economies”
Your asset register needs a radical rethink
10. Develop the vision of a better future
Patients and carers value a therapeutic setting
Staff require a purposeful and enviable workplace
Public expect hospitals to be civilised
Emerging models
Barrhead Health and Care Centre
•
•
•
•
•

Health and local authorities partnership
Health and social care
Nimble – 5 500m²
Achievable budget - £18 million
Acknowledges its civic and social
responsibilities
Emerging models
Kidderminster Treatment Centre
• Consolidation of LGH to provide planned
care with GP led urgent care
• Acute and Primary Care Services
• Loose fit use of 13,500m²
• Achievable budget - £22 million
• Raises public expectations
Flaring off capital
The NHS has been really rather
poor at redeveloping its estate
and providing a new generation of
health facilities
Legacy of flaring off capital: example one
Challenge
Challenge

mending
tipping point
making do
New Model Hospital
Critical Treatment Hospital
Value of the London NHS Estate - £10bn*

joint ventures
VAT vehicles
property development
*rough estimate 2013

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IHEEM - How can we do more with Less

  • 1. HOW CAN WE DO MORE WITH LESS? John Cooper Christopher Shaw
  • 2. Introduction WHY DO WE NEED TO CHANGE? HOW DO WE NEED TO CHANGE?
  • 3. Context Achievements since the foundation of the NHS • Major building programme started with Enoch Powell’s Hospital Plan (1962) and has been accelerated in recent years. It affects both the hospitals and primary health care. Latterly it has been largely financed not directly by the Treasury, but by the Private Finance Initiative (PFI), or public-private partnership.
  • 4. Hospital beds 500 000 1948 1958 1968 450 000 350 000 250 000 200 000 150 000 100 000 1988 1998 Total number of hospital beds 400 000 300 000 1978 Beds in use 2008
  • 5. Clinical staffing 50 000 1948 1958 1968 1978 1988 1998 2008 40 000 30 000 200 000 150 000 Number of nurses per 1000 Number of doctors/dentists
  • 6. Consultant episodes 1100 000 1000 000 900000 800 000 700 000 600000 500 000 400 000 300000 1948 1958 1968 1988 1978 Number of hospital FCES/population 1998 2008
  • 7. NHS reform 1948 1958 1968 1978 1998 1988 2008 Two decades of reform and turmoil Devolution of the NHS NHS Constitution NHS Direct Foundation Trusts 2004 Francis Report 330 MRIs in the UK 55 CTs in the UK CQC 390 CT SCANNERS Commissioning a patient-led NHS Arthroscopic surgery Dialysis widely available chemotherapy DNA discovered Computing Fibre optics Laparoscopic surgery Salk vaccine NHS Hospital Plan 1962 Stagnation and disillusion 1989 internal market The NHS Reform and Health Care Professions Act NHS Plan 2000 Our health, our care, Health and Social our say Care Act 2001 Health and Social Wanless Review Care Act 2012 GP Contract Labour invest heavily £20bn savings
  • 8. 1998 PFI 1988 ACAD Central Middlesex Chelsea & Westminster 1978 Nucleus Hospitals 1968 DROC Oxford Method 1958 Greenwich and Northwick Park Best Buy 1948 Harness Hospital procurement 2008
  • 9. Where next? 90 000 1948 80 000 70 000 60 000 50 000 40 000 30 000 20 000 10 000 1958 1968 1978 1988 1998 2008 District general hospital system is out of date
  • 10. Level of investment The quality of NHS premises has long lagged behind those of other western countries. • Value of DH Estate £48.3bn (Annual Report & Accounts 2011/2) • Capital expenditure Property, Plan & Equipment £2.23bn (under-spend of £566m)
  • 11. Quality and fit of the estate
  • 12. The problem is NOT capacity Size of the NHS estate • Measured by its floor area 28.4 million m2 (DH England only 2009/10 Statistics) Area of the NHS estate • Buildings, grounds and gardens 7,462 hectares Number of Hospitals • Roughly 2,300 hospitals in the UK (Kings Fund – key statistics 2013) Cost of the NHS estate • Direct costs of the NHS estate are £6.6 billion (DH England only 2009/10 Statistics)
  • 13. Current situation For Staff • The system dictates the culture • Over managed • A fragmented treatment conveyor belt • An investment in capital, not revenue For Patients • Different journey, same outcome • Mechanistic processes • Treatment not care
  • 14. Current situation Fear • • • • • • fear of risk fear of failure fear of infection fear of fire fear of innovation fear of abstraction
  • 15. Lack of self image
  • 16. Information Industrial age medicine Tertiary Information age medicine Encouraged Individual self care Secondary Family and friends Primary Self help networks Professional facilitators Professionals as partners Discouraged Professionals as authorities
  • 17. Where to care? Major Hospital Specialist Hospital + Elective Hospital Community Hospital +
  • 18. 20-20 vision Tertiary Hospital District General Hospital Community care Primary care tertiary care complex diagnostic treatment and inpatient care admission avoidance step up step down chronic disease management primary and home based care care
  • 19. Health & care centre New model Hospital Primary Care Centre Property development District General Hospital Civic / regional involvement Health and social care amalgamate Possibilities of commercial funding Community hospital Critical treatment hospital Tertiary Hospital Health Centre End of the DGH
  • 20. Why do we need change? 10 THINGS WRONG WITH THE NHS ESTATE
  • 21. 1. There is too much estate Poorly utilised (1,974,983 m2 declared unutilised) and inefficient Demands ineffective maintenance Retained because of lack of planning and inertia Risk level Backlog maintenance £ million Percentage +/- 2008-09 2009-10 High risk 267.9 300.8 + 12.3 Significant risk 1,175.7 1,107.1 - 5.8 Moderate risk 1,452.8 1,514.1 + 4.2 Low risk 1,188.3 1,174.4 - 1.2 Total 4,084.7 4,096.4 + 0.29
  • 22. 1. There is too much estate The area of the NHS Estate (England only) is 7,462 hectares
  • 23. 2. Abysmal carbon and energy performance Unsustainable and expensive Anti-social and irresponsible Poor planning and engineering 2840 million kg CO2 per year = 7500 million kw/h
  • 24. 2. Abysmal carbon and energy performance The NHS estate produces 2840 million kg CO2 per year . Equivalent of 550 Boeing 747’s crossing the Atlantic (return) every day of the year.
  • 25. 3. Inadequate and dysfunctional funding Distribution of budgets Relationship between revenue and capital The demise of the Capital Investment Manual Absurd VAT arrangements
  • 26. 4. Inflexible and difficult to adapt PFI not your fixed assets but “fixed” Hampers efficiency and impedes change Fosters a “make do and mend” mentality Leads to a spiral of degradation
  • 27. 5. Poorly imagined public realm Poorly integrated with surrounding population Seldom adequately reflected in local or regional planning Absence of social or civic engagement or opportunity Lack of brand value and identity
  • 28. 6. Demise of logistics Reduces efficiency and increases costs Ties up revenue Adds risk and frustration
  • 29. 7. Badly signposted Clutter and meaningless signage Ill-considered wayfinding In-accessible (particularly for those with dementia) Raises stress levels and demands on NHS staff
  • 30. 8. Reactive rather than Strategic Planning Contingent and often inept development Unforeseen and negative consequences Diminished opportunity for adaptation and change
  • 31. 9. Poor Quality of Environment Lowers expectations Undesirable workplace for high value staff Difficult and costly upkeep Communicates an unprofessional ethos The NHS estate hard FM costs,£ 3,811 million. Soft FM costs £2,832 million per year
  • 32. 10. Arms length procurement Obscures design responsibility Separates the designer and user client Self-referential performance criteria Stakeholder “engagement” is NOT change management
  • 33. How do we need to change? 10 THINGS THAT MUST BE DONE
  • 34. 1. Develop an Infrastructure Plan There are scores of inadequate tertiary hospitals Closures and consolidation Absence of vision or planning
  • 35. 2. Don’t invest in estate that cannot adapt well Appraisal of existing assets – expect to be surprised Mapping of existing fabric to future utilisation Challenge conservation or move elsewhere Embrace the short term – don’t imagine it’s a solution
  • 36. 3. Abandon cumbersome PPP Procurement Look for alternative procedures Grade investment to meet the required flexibility • Bond Issues for 99 year hospital site infrastructure • Equity for 33 year shell and core structure (capacity) • Debt finance for 9 year departmental fit-out and equipment Alternative Asset Classes will emerge
  • 37. 4. Redefine relationship between Centre and Trusts Some things need central planning Direction and guidance Data and norms Protecting the NHS brand
  • 38. 7. Rebuild the Capital Investment Manual Decide who approves – NHS England / Monitor Focus on lifetime value Flexibility and Adaptability Reflect public benefit
  • 39. 5. Hospitals return to what they should be Aggressively reorganise Trauma and Emergency 72 hour model Training and academic research
  • 40. 6. Challenge UK assumptions Clinical models (midwife/obstetrics)! Benchmark against International Hospitals Alternative scales & strata
  • 41. 8. Simulation modelling not just 3D visuals Clinical process simulation Public flows and staging Energy and environmental modelling Planned maintenance and FM
  • 42. 9. BIM is a disruptive tool M&E design out of step with the rest of the world Undermines dubious industry “economies” Your asset register needs a radical rethink
  • 43. 10. Develop the vision of a better future Patients and carers value a therapeutic setting Staff require a purposeful and enviable workplace Public expect hospitals to be civilised
  • 44. Emerging models Barrhead Health and Care Centre • • • • • Health and local authorities partnership Health and social care Nimble – 5 500m² Achievable budget - £18 million Acknowledges its civic and social responsibilities
  • 45. Emerging models Kidderminster Treatment Centre • Consolidation of LGH to provide planned care with GP led urgent care • Acute and Primary Care Services • Loose fit use of 13,500m² • Achievable budget - £22 million • Raises public expectations
  • 46. Flaring off capital The NHS has been really rather poor at redeveloping its estate and providing a new generation of health facilities
  • 47. Legacy of flaring off capital: example one
  • 52. Value of the London NHS Estate - £10bn* joint ventures VAT vehicles property development *rough estimate 2013