@justinTrudeau has no clue about inflation - Sep/19 also seen higher inflation compared to Oct/15 but there was no comment from you back in Sep/19, why? https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/2019-election-cost-of-living-canada-june-2019
Inflation was rising way before COVID19, and Trudeau were warned about policies like carbon taxes.
BTW: I love seeing Trudeau getting angry as it shows that he cannot answer questions without the appropriate word salad as a way to say people are picking on him
Economic and Fiscal Scorecard| The United States| March 2021 and April 2021paul young cpa, cga
Blog – Scorecard – United States – March 2021 and April 2021
1. Inflation at the fastest pace since 2008 - https://www.cnbc.com/2021/05/12/consumer-price-index-april-2021.html
2. Abysmal jobs report - https://www.heritage.org/jobs-and-labor/commentary/abysmal-jobs-report-shows-folly-bidens-big-spending-agenda
3. 8.1 million job vacancies - https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/job-offers
4. Emergency preparedness - https://www.pnas.org/content/118/19/e2106795118. I have written many blogs/presentations on the need to adapt better practices as part of mitigating the impact of geopolitical events - https://ibm.box.com/s/rsp6p9tez8uru9fo0wu5d13bxt7rtrr0
5. Commodity issues - https://www.supplychaindive.com/news/lumber-demand-shortage-price-saw-mill-board-housing-pandemic-labor/600876/
6. Pipelines - https://www.heritage.org/energy-economics/commentary/bidens-hypocrisy-keystone-xl-vs-nord-stream-2-pipelines
7. Foreign policies and affairs - https://foreignpolicy.com/2021/05/26/china-trolling-biden-gaza-palestinians-israel-middle-east-social-media-wolf-warrior-diplomacy/
8. Tax policies - https://kurtzcpa.com/tax-change-coming/
9. Fiscal management - https://www.pbs.org/newshour/amp/economy/biden-budget-to-run-1-8-trillion-deficit-to-finance-spending-plans
10. Funding of police - http://www.xinhuanet.com/english/2021-05/27/c_139973893.htm
Investors have grown accustomed to putting money in the stock market and seeing it grow. But, there are investment risks 2021 poses that may change that. And, the recent Covid-19 mutation in the UK reminds us that nothing is secure in the world of infectious diseases and their effects on the economy. After taking into consideration investment risks 2021 may still be a good year but as bit of foresight might be a good idea.
https://youtu.be/CzjYWBcKjOU
Transforming the Public Sector| The United States| November 2021paul young cpa, cga
In fiscal year 2021, which ended on September 30, the federal budget deficit totaled nearly $2.8 trillion—about $360 billion less than the deficit in 2020, but nearly triple the shortfall incurred in 2019. During the past two years, deficits were much larger than they have been historically because of the economic effects of the coronavirus pandemic and legislation enacted in response.1
In 2021, the deficit was equal to 12.4 percent of the nation’s gross domestic product (GDP), down from 15.0 percent in 2020, but up from 4.7 percent in 2019. The 2021 deficit was the second largest as a percentage of GDP since 1945 (the largest occurred in 2020).
1. Deficit - https://www.reuters.com/world/us/us-budget-gap-narrows-more-than-expected-year-earlier-october-2021-11-10/
2. Taxation https://taxfoundation.org/2022-tax-brackets/
3. Healthcare - https://www.americanactionforum.org/research/key-health-policy-provisions-of-the-build-back-better-act/
4. Infrastructure - https://www.piquenewsmagazine.com/national-business/us-infrastructure-bill-means-more-cash-and-contracts-for-wsp-global-ceo-says-4743343
5. Taxation at state and local government level - https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/ey-cost-study-state-and-local-government-tax-revenue-increases-despite-pandemic-301421351.html
6. Federal reserve - https://www.smh.com.au/business/banking-and-finance/us-inflation-hits-new-record-forcing-the-fed-to-rethink-its-strategy-20211111-p5981q.html
7. Climate change - https://www.ft.com/content/da0ac736-7c38-4f93-baaf-e315a51faf22
8. Housing - https://www.cnbc.com/2021/11/10/home-prices-are-now-rising-much-faster-than-incomes-studies-show.html
9. Corporate tax - https://dividedwefall.com/2021/11/05/global-minimum-corporate-tax/
10. Productivity - https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-economy-productivity-idCAKBN2HP1O6
11. Regulations - https://news.yahoo.com/regulatory-reformers-red-tape-formidable-184826530.html
12. ESG - https://www.pwc.com/gx/en/services/sustainability/publications/cop26/how-much-does-the-public-care-about-esg-pwc-cop26.html or https://ibm.box.com/s/vmyitcackqevvm1hcxv7wke6gudrpnce
13. Energy crisis - https://www.rigzone.com/news/wire/usa_should_have_enough_gas_to_avert_energy_crisis-09-nov-2021-166955-article/
14. Carbon tax - https://www.delawareonline.com/story/opinion/2021/11/05/u-s-must-enact-carbon-tax-its-essential-curb-climate-change/6280393001/
15. Pensions - https://www.pewtrusts.org/en/research-and-analysis/issue-briefs/2021/09/the-state-pension-funding-gap-plans-have-stabilized-in-wake-of-pandemic
16. Unfunded liabilities - https://www.lagrangenews.com/2021/10/16/brown-column-we-must-address-the-national-debt/
17. Policing - https://www.upworthy.com/americas-most-dangerous-city-defunded-its-police-department-7-years-ago-it-was-a-stunning-success or https://www.moneygeek.com/living/state-policing-corrections-spending/
@justinTrudeau has no clue about inflation - Sep/19 also seen higher inflation compared to Oct/15 but there was no comment from you back in Sep/19, why? https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/2019-election-cost-of-living-canada-june-2019
Inflation was rising way before COVID19, and Trudeau were warned about policies like carbon taxes.
BTW: I love seeing Trudeau getting angry as it shows that he cannot answer questions without the appropriate word salad as a way to say people are picking on him
Economic and Fiscal Scorecard| The United States| March 2021 and April 2021paul young cpa, cga
Blog – Scorecard – United States – March 2021 and April 2021
1. Inflation at the fastest pace since 2008 - https://www.cnbc.com/2021/05/12/consumer-price-index-april-2021.html
2. Abysmal jobs report - https://www.heritage.org/jobs-and-labor/commentary/abysmal-jobs-report-shows-folly-bidens-big-spending-agenda
3. 8.1 million job vacancies - https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/job-offers
4. Emergency preparedness - https://www.pnas.org/content/118/19/e2106795118. I have written many blogs/presentations on the need to adapt better practices as part of mitigating the impact of geopolitical events - https://ibm.box.com/s/rsp6p9tez8uru9fo0wu5d13bxt7rtrr0
5. Commodity issues - https://www.supplychaindive.com/news/lumber-demand-shortage-price-saw-mill-board-housing-pandemic-labor/600876/
6. Pipelines - https://www.heritage.org/energy-economics/commentary/bidens-hypocrisy-keystone-xl-vs-nord-stream-2-pipelines
7. Foreign policies and affairs - https://foreignpolicy.com/2021/05/26/china-trolling-biden-gaza-palestinians-israel-middle-east-social-media-wolf-warrior-diplomacy/
8. Tax policies - https://kurtzcpa.com/tax-change-coming/
9. Fiscal management - https://www.pbs.org/newshour/amp/economy/biden-budget-to-run-1-8-trillion-deficit-to-finance-spending-plans
10. Funding of police - http://www.xinhuanet.com/english/2021-05/27/c_139973893.htm
Investors have grown accustomed to putting money in the stock market and seeing it grow. But, there are investment risks 2021 poses that may change that. And, the recent Covid-19 mutation in the UK reminds us that nothing is secure in the world of infectious diseases and their effects on the economy. After taking into consideration investment risks 2021 may still be a good year but as bit of foresight might be a good idea.
https://youtu.be/CzjYWBcKjOU
Transforming the Public Sector| The United States| November 2021paul young cpa, cga
In fiscal year 2021, which ended on September 30, the federal budget deficit totaled nearly $2.8 trillion—about $360 billion less than the deficit in 2020, but nearly triple the shortfall incurred in 2019. During the past two years, deficits were much larger than they have been historically because of the economic effects of the coronavirus pandemic and legislation enacted in response.1
In 2021, the deficit was equal to 12.4 percent of the nation’s gross domestic product (GDP), down from 15.0 percent in 2020, but up from 4.7 percent in 2019. The 2021 deficit was the second largest as a percentage of GDP since 1945 (the largest occurred in 2020).
1. Deficit - https://www.reuters.com/world/us/us-budget-gap-narrows-more-than-expected-year-earlier-october-2021-11-10/
2. Taxation https://taxfoundation.org/2022-tax-brackets/
3. Healthcare - https://www.americanactionforum.org/research/key-health-policy-provisions-of-the-build-back-better-act/
4. Infrastructure - https://www.piquenewsmagazine.com/national-business/us-infrastructure-bill-means-more-cash-and-contracts-for-wsp-global-ceo-says-4743343
5. Taxation at state and local government level - https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/ey-cost-study-state-and-local-government-tax-revenue-increases-despite-pandemic-301421351.html
6. Federal reserve - https://www.smh.com.au/business/banking-and-finance/us-inflation-hits-new-record-forcing-the-fed-to-rethink-its-strategy-20211111-p5981q.html
7. Climate change - https://www.ft.com/content/da0ac736-7c38-4f93-baaf-e315a51faf22
8. Housing - https://www.cnbc.com/2021/11/10/home-prices-are-now-rising-much-faster-than-incomes-studies-show.html
9. Corporate tax - https://dividedwefall.com/2021/11/05/global-minimum-corporate-tax/
10. Productivity - https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-economy-productivity-idCAKBN2HP1O6
11. Regulations - https://news.yahoo.com/regulatory-reformers-red-tape-formidable-184826530.html
12. ESG - https://www.pwc.com/gx/en/services/sustainability/publications/cop26/how-much-does-the-public-care-about-esg-pwc-cop26.html or https://ibm.box.com/s/vmyitcackqevvm1hcxv7wke6gudrpnce
13. Energy crisis - https://www.rigzone.com/news/wire/usa_should_have_enough_gas_to_avert_energy_crisis-09-nov-2021-166955-article/
14. Carbon tax - https://www.delawareonline.com/story/opinion/2021/11/05/u-s-must-enact-carbon-tax-its-essential-curb-climate-change/6280393001/
15. Pensions - https://www.pewtrusts.org/en/research-and-analysis/issue-briefs/2021/09/the-state-pension-funding-gap-plans-have-stabilized-in-wake-of-pandemic
16. Unfunded liabilities - https://www.lagrangenews.com/2021/10/16/brown-column-we-must-address-the-national-debt/
17. Policing - https://www.upworthy.com/americas-most-dangerous-city-defunded-its-police-department-7-years-ago-it-was-a-stunning-success or https://www.moneygeek.com/living/state-policing-corrections-spending/
Blog – What is next for Households – Canada and the World
Household in Canada around the world are facing many pressures like high inflation, job quality, finding affordable daycare, supply chain disruption, threat of automation, finding affordable housing, high taxes, and reduction in government services.
1. Household - https://eppc.org/publication/5-ways-to-make-america-more-family-friendly/
2. Housing bubble - https://realty.economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/industry/european-central-bank-cant-ignore-developing-housing-bubble-isabel-schnabel/87630566
3. Housing prices - https://www.fool.ca/2021/11/10/2-in-3-canadians-believe-home-prices-will-keep-rising-but-will-they/
4. ESG - https://www.pwc.com/ca/en/industries/government-and-public-services/aligning-values-and-value-through-esg.html
5. Wage growth - https://www.cnbc.com/2021/11/10/inflation-has-taken-away-all-the-wage-gains-for-workers-and-then-some.html
6. Global threats and risks - https://globalriskinsights.com/
7. Income taxes - https://torontosun.com/opinion/columnists/opinion-canadas-high-income-taxes-are-making-us-less-competitive
8. Blog – BMO – Stock Market – 20210511 - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/what-is-up-with-stock-marklet-november-5-2021
9. Energy crisis - https://thehill.com/opinion/energy-environment/580843-pavlich-bidens-self-inflicted-energy-crisis
10. Debt - https://www.kfyrtv.com/2021/11/10/household-debt-hit-record-levels-some-experts-say-its-not-all-bad-news/
11. Rent to own - https://storeys.com/liberal-party-rent-to-own-plan/
Bottom Line: A variety of special factors landed on an already tough base effect to produce the highest reading on Canadian inflation in almost two decades in July. It is important to note that even with the gaudy headline readings, the two-year pace—which removes base effects—is still running close to 2% on most major measures. And, we remain comfortable with our forecasts on CPI for this year and next; we had been calling for an average rate of 3% this year and just a snick below in 2022 (2.9% to be precise). Having said all that, it is always notable when the surprises all land on one side of the ledger—the high side—and that has been the case for most the year in North American price readings. Risks remain to the high side on inflation until further notice.
Source – BMO - https://economics.bmo.com/en/publications/detail/bf88c408-2bca-4efa-b4ea-05fc1cc6d2af/
1. Gasoline Prices / Canada - https://globalnews.ca/news/8101013/covid-19-delta-variant-gas-prices-canada/
2. Housing costs - https://www.theglobeandmail.com/business/article-canadas-inflation-rate-jumps-to-37-in-july-on-rising-housing-costs/
3. Housing - https://financialpost.com/executive/posthaste-its-not-just-demand-growth-in-housing-supply-may-have-also-peaked-in-canada-after-a-burst-of-activity
4. Food - https://toronto.citynews.ca/2021/08/18/canadians-groceries-food-costs/
5. Middle class income barely grew in 2019 - https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/t1/tbl1/en/tv.action?pid=1110001201
6. Wealth tax - https://torontosun.com/opinion/columnists/goldstein-make-the-rich-pay-new-reports-show-in-canada-we-already-do
7. Canadian dollar - https://financialpost.com/executive/executive-summary/posthaste-get-ready-for-a-76-cent-loonie-canadian-dollars-virtuous-circle-is-about-to-go-into-reverse-says-bofa
8. Inequality https://globalnews.ca/news/8096250/covid-inequities-ethnocultural-communities-study/
9. Housing prices - https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/real-estate/video/canada-s-housing-prices-aren-t-stacking-up-their-weight-in-gold-goldmoney~1365255
10. Middle class - https://www.resourceworks.com/just-transitions
2019 Election| Availability and Affordability | Canada | May 2019paul young cpa, cga
More is required by all levels of government to deal with the systemic issues facing real estate. This presentations looks at key areas facing housing prices across Canada and the world.
Blog – Failure of Trudeaunomics – October 2021
Inflation went from 1% in 2015 to 1.9% in 2019 and now is 4.7% in Oct/21
Public sector jobs continue to outpace the private sector jobs
GDP went from 3.0% in 2017 to 1.6% 2019 (pre-Covid)
Housing prices continue to rise
Welcome to @justinTrudeau ‘s Canada
Here is a brief look at the real estate market for Canada. The presentation talks about housing starts, average prices as well as systemic issues facing real estate including affordability.
Summary:
Governments around the world need to restore confidence in themselves by removing mandates - https://www.usnews.com/news/health-news/articles/2022-02-09/new-york-joins-growing-list-of-states-removing-mask-mandates-in-new-phase-of-covid-19-pandemic
Eco-terrorism has been on the rise for many years. More and more groups are looking at ways to disrupt the flow commerce through their blockades and other means. The problem is many governments like Justin Trudeau turn a blind eye to blockades unless supports their narrative. https://www.france24.com/en/live-news/20220218-violent-attack-by-protesters-at-canadian-pipeline-worksite
The private sector will continue spend money to protect their various locations. https://www.marketwatch.com/press-release/private-security-services-market-size-2022-by-company-regions-and-applications-development-trends-future-growth-business-share-prospects-with-covid-19-impact-forecast-to-2025-2022-02-04
More needs to be done to protect the environment while growing the economy in a sustainable way - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/how-the-public-and-private-sector-can-better-supoort-the-circular-and-green-economies
1. Top eco-terrorism threats – https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10528525/Trudeau-ignores-violent-terrorism-20-eco-terrorists-axes-surround-Gaslink-pipeline-workers.html
2. Threats - https://globalriskinsights.com/2022/01/top-11-geopolitical-risks-for-2022/
3. Insurance - https://www.insurancejournal.com/magazines/mag-features/2022/02/07/652540.htm
4. Police costs - https://www.sudbury.com/beyond-local/more-than-14-million-spent-on-trucker-convoy-protests-ottawa-police-services-board-5069312
5. Forest fires - https://www.nbclosangeles.com/news/california-wildfires/man-charged-arson-whittier-brush-fire-wildfires/2826275/
6. Supply chain - https://www.macdonaldlaurier.ca/canada-critical-global-supply-chain/
7. Green - https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/india/foreign-secretary-suggests-european-states-to-avoid-debt-traps-build-eco-linkages/articleshow/89046595.cms?from=mdr
8. Funding and protests - https://www.cbc.ca/news/opinion/opinion-climate-activist-terrorist-hero-1.6237005
9. Climate activism - https://www.cbc.ca/news/opinion/opinion-climate-activist-terrorist-hero-1.6237005
10. BC Gas link - https://westernstandardonline.com/2022/02/political-leaders-call-out-trudeau-for-ignoring-eco-terrorism-at-bc-coastal-gaslink-site/
Cost of Living| The United States |Inflation| November 2021paul young cpa, cga
The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 0.8 percent in November on a seasonally adjusted basis after rising 0.9 percent in October, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, all items index increased 6.8 percent before seasonal adjustment.
The monthly all item’s seasonally adjusted increase was the result of broad increases in most component indexes, like last month. The indexes for gasoline, shelter, food, used cars and trucks, and new vehicles were among the larger contributors. The energy index rose 3.5 percent in November as the gasoline index increased 6.1 percent and the other major energy component indexes also rose. The food index increased 0.7 percent as the index for food at home rose 0.8 percent.
Source - https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm
1. Food costs – https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/2021/12/08/inflation-food-prices-grocery-taxes/8800601002/?gnt-cfr=1
2. Ports - https://ca.movies.yahoo.com/analysis-shipping-costs-another-danger-060610387.html
3. Retail imports - https://chainstoreage.com/retail-imports-show-record-growth-despite-supply-chain-disruption
4. Inflation rate - https://www.cnbc.com/2021/12/10/consumer-price-index-november-2021.html
5. Lumber - https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/commodities/lumber-prices-above-1000-first-time-since-june-housing-commodities-2021-12
6. Housing - https://www.noradarealestate.com/blog/housing-market-predictions/
7. Cement - https://www.thedailystar.net/business/news/construction-costs-burdened-cement-price-rise-2081013
8. Shortages - https://www.canadiancontractor.ca/canadian-contractor/labour-shortages-are-back-with-a-vengeance-cfib/1003290924/
9. Skills gaps - https://hrmasia.com/australia-funds-a10-million-data-tool-to-plug-skills-gap/
10. 3D housing - https://www.lexology.com/library/detail.aspx?g=0d60c5f5-d6ba-4871-9ea5-9fe29b28d390
11. Inflation - https://www.nytimes.com/2021/12/09/business/economy/inflation-price-gains.htmln
Justin Trudeau made many promises back in 2015 including being open, transparent, and accountable. This presentation looks at many areas of policy. The readers of this report can make their own decisions on whether Trudeau has been open, transparent, and accountable to Canadians.
1. Trade protectionism - https://torontosun.com/opinion/editorials/editorial-bidens-buy-american-policies-hurting-canada
2. Climate Change - https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/environment-commissioner-report-failure-to-failure-1.6262523
3. Benefits - https://nationalpost.com/news/politics/some-cerb-recipients-set-to-get-notices-that-they-owe-feds-some-of-the-aid?r
4. Wage growth - https://financialpost.com/news/economy/immigrant-influx-is-stunting-wage-growth-in-canadian-recovery
5. GDP - https://economics.td.com/ca-weekly-bottom-line
6. Housing - https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/it-s-like-gamestop-mortgage-expert-on-risk-of-housing-correction-1.1687056
7. Canada lags many states in oil and gas development - https://www.fraserinstitute.org/studies/canada-us-energy-sector-competitiveness-survey-2021
8. Streaming = https://ca.finance.yahoo.com/news/media-experts-agree-action-needed-110000640.html
9. Skills gaps - https://financialpost.com/sponsored/business-sponsored/building-the-future-of-continuing-education
10. Deficit - https://www.theglobeandmail.com/politics/article-report-says-federal-deficit-stood-at-686b-halfway-through-fiscal-year/ or https://www.advisor.ca/news/economic/federal-deficit-hits-nearly-69b-over-first-half-of-fiscal-year/
Many different groups will write paper and/or articles on government from their perspective. It is important for readers to review all sources when it comes to debating various government policies
Justin Trudeau constantly calls out the Harper era like he did in 2015. The problem is Trudeau never discuss details as the details tell a different picture.
What is next for Monetary Policies - Canada - September 2022.pptxpaul young cpa, cga
Blog – What is next for Monetary Policies – Canada – September 2022
Canada has struggled with productivity issues for over 20 years. The liberals have done little address productivity including making changes to tax code related to capital cost allowance, R&D credits, training credits, etc.
Canada lock down strategy and stimulus has led to higher inflation. Liberals never had a plan to pull back on the stimulus through targeted measures that would better support improving supply chain, productivity, skills gap, and innovation
Canadian dollar has hit a two-year low,
Canada housing market was artificially kept high for years. The housing prices continue to fall.
Canada needs to revamp its tax and regulatory policies as part of getting goods out of the ground to market
Blog – What is next for Households – Canada and the World
Household in Canada around the world are facing many pressures like high inflation, job quality, finding affordable daycare, supply chain disruption, threat of automation, finding affordable housing, high taxes, and reduction in government services.
1. Household - https://eppc.org/publication/5-ways-to-make-america-more-family-friendly/
2. Housing bubble - https://realty.economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/industry/european-central-bank-cant-ignore-developing-housing-bubble-isabel-schnabel/87630566
3. Housing prices - https://www.fool.ca/2021/11/10/2-in-3-canadians-believe-home-prices-will-keep-rising-but-will-they/
4. ESG - https://www.pwc.com/ca/en/industries/government-and-public-services/aligning-values-and-value-through-esg.html
5. Wage growth - https://www.cnbc.com/2021/11/10/inflation-has-taken-away-all-the-wage-gains-for-workers-and-then-some.html
6. Global threats and risks - https://globalriskinsights.com/
7. Income taxes - https://torontosun.com/opinion/columnists/opinion-canadas-high-income-taxes-are-making-us-less-competitive
8. Blog – BMO – Stock Market – 20210511 - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/what-is-up-with-stock-marklet-november-5-2021
9. Energy crisis - https://thehill.com/opinion/energy-environment/580843-pavlich-bidens-self-inflicted-energy-crisis
10. Debt - https://www.kfyrtv.com/2021/11/10/household-debt-hit-record-levels-some-experts-say-its-not-all-bad-news/
11. Rent to own - https://storeys.com/liberal-party-rent-to-own-plan/
Bottom Line: A variety of special factors landed on an already tough base effect to produce the highest reading on Canadian inflation in almost two decades in July. It is important to note that even with the gaudy headline readings, the two-year pace—which removes base effects—is still running close to 2% on most major measures. And, we remain comfortable with our forecasts on CPI for this year and next; we had been calling for an average rate of 3% this year and just a snick below in 2022 (2.9% to be precise). Having said all that, it is always notable when the surprises all land on one side of the ledger—the high side—and that has been the case for most the year in North American price readings. Risks remain to the high side on inflation until further notice.
Source – BMO - https://economics.bmo.com/en/publications/detail/bf88c408-2bca-4efa-b4ea-05fc1cc6d2af/
1. Gasoline Prices / Canada - https://globalnews.ca/news/8101013/covid-19-delta-variant-gas-prices-canada/
2. Housing costs - https://www.theglobeandmail.com/business/article-canadas-inflation-rate-jumps-to-37-in-july-on-rising-housing-costs/
3. Housing - https://financialpost.com/executive/posthaste-its-not-just-demand-growth-in-housing-supply-may-have-also-peaked-in-canada-after-a-burst-of-activity
4. Food - https://toronto.citynews.ca/2021/08/18/canadians-groceries-food-costs/
5. Middle class income barely grew in 2019 - https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/t1/tbl1/en/tv.action?pid=1110001201
6. Wealth tax - https://torontosun.com/opinion/columnists/goldstein-make-the-rich-pay-new-reports-show-in-canada-we-already-do
7. Canadian dollar - https://financialpost.com/executive/executive-summary/posthaste-get-ready-for-a-76-cent-loonie-canadian-dollars-virtuous-circle-is-about-to-go-into-reverse-says-bofa
8. Inequality https://globalnews.ca/news/8096250/covid-inequities-ethnocultural-communities-study/
9. Housing prices - https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/real-estate/video/canada-s-housing-prices-aren-t-stacking-up-their-weight-in-gold-goldmoney~1365255
10. Middle class - https://www.resourceworks.com/just-transitions
2019 Election| Availability and Affordability | Canada | May 2019paul young cpa, cga
More is required by all levels of government to deal with the systemic issues facing real estate. This presentations looks at key areas facing housing prices across Canada and the world.
Blog – Failure of Trudeaunomics – October 2021
Inflation went from 1% in 2015 to 1.9% in 2019 and now is 4.7% in Oct/21
Public sector jobs continue to outpace the private sector jobs
GDP went from 3.0% in 2017 to 1.6% 2019 (pre-Covid)
Housing prices continue to rise
Welcome to @justinTrudeau ‘s Canada
Here is a brief look at the real estate market for Canada. The presentation talks about housing starts, average prices as well as systemic issues facing real estate including affordability.
Summary:
Governments around the world need to restore confidence in themselves by removing mandates - https://www.usnews.com/news/health-news/articles/2022-02-09/new-york-joins-growing-list-of-states-removing-mask-mandates-in-new-phase-of-covid-19-pandemic
Eco-terrorism has been on the rise for many years. More and more groups are looking at ways to disrupt the flow commerce through their blockades and other means. The problem is many governments like Justin Trudeau turn a blind eye to blockades unless supports their narrative. https://www.france24.com/en/live-news/20220218-violent-attack-by-protesters-at-canadian-pipeline-worksite
The private sector will continue spend money to protect their various locations. https://www.marketwatch.com/press-release/private-security-services-market-size-2022-by-company-regions-and-applications-development-trends-future-growth-business-share-prospects-with-covid-19-impact-forecast-to-2025-2022-02-04
More needs to be done to protect the environment while growing the economy in a sustainable way - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/how-the-public-and-private-sector-can-better-supoort-the-circular-and-green-economies
1. Top eco-terrorism threats – https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10528525/Trudeau-ignores-violent-terrorism-20-eco-terrorists-axes-surround-Gaslink-pipeline-workers.html
2. Threats - https://globalriskinsights.com/2022/01/top-11-geopolitical-risks-for-2022/
3. Insurance - https://www.insurancejournal.com/magazines/mag-features/2022/02/07/652540.htm
4. Police costs - https://www.sudbury.com/beyond-local/more-than-14-million-spent-on-trucker-convoy-protests-ottawa-police-services-board-5069312
5. Forest fires - https://www.nbclosangeles.com/news/california-wildfires/man-charged-arson-whittier-brush-fire-wildfires/2826275/
6. Supply chain - https://www.macdonaldlaurier.ca/canada-critical-global-supply-chain/
7. Green - https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/india/foreign-secretary-suggests-european-states-to-avoid-debt-traps-build-eco-linkages/articleshow/89046595.cms?from=mdr
8. Funding and protests - https://www.cbc.ca/news/opinion/opinion-climate-activist-terrorist-hero-1.6237005
9. Climate activism - https://www.cbc.ca/news/opinion/opinion-climate-activist-terrorist-hero-1.6237005
10. BC Gas link - https://westernstandardonline.com/2022/02/political-leaders-call-out-trudeau-for-ignoring-eco-terrorism-at-bc-coastal-gaslink-site/
Cost of Living| The United States |Inflation| November 2021paul young cpa, cga
The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 0.8 percent in November on a seasonally adjusted basis after rising 0.9 percent in October, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, all items index increased 6.8 percent before seasonal adjustment.
The monthly all item’s seasonally adjusted increase was the result of broad increases in most component indexes, like last month. The indexes for gasoline, shelter, food, used cars and trucks, and new vehicles were among the larger contributors. The energy index rose 3.5 percent in November as the gasoline index increased 6.1 percent and the other major energy component indexes also rose. The food index increased 0.7 percent as the index for food at home rose 0.8 percent.
Source - https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm
1. Food costs – https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/2021/12/08/inflation-food-prices-grocery-taxes/8800601002/?gnt-cfr=1
2. Ports - https://ca.movies.yahoo.com/analysis-shipping-costs-another-danger-060610387.html
3. Retail imports - https://chainstoreage.com/retail-imports-show-record-growth-despite-supply-chain-disruption
4. Inflation rate - https://www.cnbc.com/2021/12/10/consumer-price-index-november-2021.html
5. Lumber - https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/commodities/lumber-prices-above-1000-first-time-since-june-housing-commodities-2021-12
6. Housing - https://www.noradarealestate.com/blog/housing-market-predictions/
7. Cement - https://www.thedailystar.net/business/news/construction-costs-burdened-cement-price-rise-2081013
8. Shortages - https://www.canadiancontractor.ca/canadian-contractor/labour-shortages-are-back-with-a-vengeance-cfib/1003290924/
9. Skills gaps - https://hrmasia.com/australia-funds-a10-million-data-tool-to-plug-skills-gap/
10. 3D housing - https://www.lexology.com/library/detail.aspx?g=0d60c5f5-d6ba-4871-9ea5-9fe29b28d390
11. Inflation - https://www.nytimes.com/2021/12/09/business/economy/inflation-price-gains.htmln
Justin Trudeau made many promises back in 2015 including being open, transparent, and accountable. This presentation looks at many areas of policy. The readers of this report can make their own decisions on whether Trudeau has been open, transparent, and accountable to Canadians.
1. Trade protectionism - https://torontosun.com/opinion/editorials/editorial-bidens-buy-american-policies-hurting-canada
2. Climate Change - https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/environment-commissioner-report-failure-to-failure-1.6262523
3. Benefits - https://nationalpost.com/news/politics/some-cerb-recipients-set-to-get-notices-that-they-owe-feds-some-of-the-aid?r
4. Wage growth - https://financialpost.com/news/economy/immigrant-influx-is-stunting-wage-growth-in-canadian-recovery
5. GDP - https://economics.td.com/ca-weekly-bottom-line
6. Housing - https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/it-s-like-gamestop-mortgage-expert-on-risk-of-housing-correction-1.1687056
7. Canada lags many states in oil and gas development - https://www.fraserinstitute.org/studies/canada-us-energy-sector-competitiveness-survey-2021
8. Streaming = https://ca.finance.yahoo.com/news/media-experts-agree-action-needed-110000640.html
9. Skills gaps - https://financialpost.com/sponsored/business-sponsored/building-the-future-of-continuing-education
10. Deficit - https://www.theglobeandmail.com/politics/article-report-says-federal-deficit-stood-at-686b-halfway-through-fiscal-year/ or https://www.advisor.ca/news/economic/federal-deficit-hits-nearly-69b-over-first-half-of-fiscal-year/
Many different groups will write paper and/or articles on government from their perspective. It is important for readers to review all sources when it comes to debating various government policies
Justin Trudeau constantly calls out the Harper era like he did in 2015. The problem is Trudeau never discuss details as the details tell a different picture.
What is next for Monetary Policies - Canada - September 2022.pptxpaul young cpa, cga
Blog – What is next for Monetary Policies – Canada – September 2022
Canada has struggled with productivity issues for over 20 years. The liberals have done little address productivity including making changes to tax code related to capital cost allowance, R&D credits, training credits, etc.
Canada lock down strategy and stimulus has led to higher inflation. Liberals never had a plan to pull back on the stimulus through targeted measures that would better support improving supply chain, productivity, skills gap, and innovation
Canadian dollar has hit a two-year low,
Canada housing market was artificially kept high for years. The housing prices continue to fall.
Canada needs to revamp its tax and regulatory policies as part of getting goods out of the ground to market
Cost of Living (Inflation) - United States - May 2022 (incl PPI).pptxpaul young cpa, cga
US inflation accelerated to a fresh 40-year high in May, a sign that price pressures are becoming entrenched in the economy. That will likely push the Federal Reserve to extend an aggressive series of interest-rate hikes and adds to political problems for the White House and Democrats.
The consumer price index increased 8.6 per cent from a year earlier in a broad-based advance, Labor Department data showed Friday. The widely followed inflation gauge rose 1 per cent from a month earlier, topping all estimates. Shelter, food and gas were the largest contributors.
The so-called core CPI, which strips out the more volatile food and energy components, rose 0.6 per cent from the prior month and 6 per cent from a year ago, also above forecasts.
Source - https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/u-s-inflation-unexpectedly-accelerates-to-40-year-high-1.1777105
Bank of Canada - What is next for Monetary Policies - June 2022.pptxpaul young cpa, cga
Last month Deputy Governor Gravelle described the bank’s 1% overnight rate as “too stimulative” and the same could be said of today’s 1.5%. Indeed, the policy statement noted that with the economy in excess demand and inflation well above target and still yet to peak, “interest rates will need to rise further.” It finished by saying the bank is “prepared to act more forcefully if needed”—that’s not new language for the BoC but it’s new to the policy statement.
Source - https://ca.rbcwealthmanagement.com/103.branch/blog/3368558-Bank-of-Canada-hikes-interest-rates-another-50-bps-and-isnt-done-yet
Public Finance| Fiscal Management| The United States| State, Local and Federa...paul young cpa, cga
Blog – United States – Fiscal Management – Federal, State and Local Government
1. Taxation – Tax changes - https://news.bloombergtax.com/daily-tax-report/the-tax-policy-and-controversy-outlook-in-2021
2. New infrastructure - https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-biden-infrastructure-poll-idUSKBN2BP126
3. Medicaid - https://www.kff.org/medicaid/issue-brief/status-of-state-medicaid-expansion-decisions-interactive-map/
4. State - https://www.pewtrusts.org/en/research-and-analysis/articles/2021/03/31/states-forecast-wide-ranging-effects-on-revenue-since-the-pandemics-start
5. Inflation - https://www.foxbusiness.com/politics/obama-economic-adviser-larry-summers-inflation-biden-stimulus
6. Recession - https://www.cbpp.org/research/economy/tracking-the-post-great-recession-economy
7. Wages - https://www.epi.org/publication/swa-wages-2019/
8. Border crisis - https://www.foxbusiness.com/politics/border-crisis-costing-texas-taxpayers-855m
9. Cost of the new green deal - https://www.industryweek.com/the-economy/article/22027167/manufacturing-advocacy-group-says-green-new-deal-could-cost-consumers-244-billion-in-replacement-costs
10. Housing - https://www.wsj.com/articles/u-s-home-price-growth-accelerated-in-january-11617109259
Bank of Canada hikes interest rates to combat High Inflation and High cost of...paul young cpa, cga
Summary:
High inflation is here to stay for awhile due to failed agendas of government.
Mitigating climate change is very important. The mitigation should be done through better policy including how to best support cheap energy costs. The focus should also be on policies and programs that support the green and circular economy.
Canada has lost it ways when it comes to encouraging innovation within the private and public sector. Trudeau policies have been a failure!
Liberals around the world should revisiting their so-called carbon pricing schemes. There is a better approach to protecting the environment while growing the economy in a sustainable way. https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/how-the-public-and-private-sector-can-better-supoort-the-circular-and-green-economies
Housing costs continue to rise! https://www.ctvnews.ca/business/interest-rate-hike-won-t-cool-housing-say-experts-1.5802515
1. Interest rates - https://wowa.ca/bank-of-canada-interest-rate
2. First interest hike since 2018 - https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/bank-of-canada-hikes-rates-for-first-time-since-2018-1.1731177
3. Inflation - https://globalnews.ca/news/8654004/canada-interest-rate-hike-march-2022/
4. Inflation - https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/boc-will-have-to-kill-the-economy-to-crush-inflation-rosenberg-1.1731579
5. UBI - https://www.ubiworks.ca/howtopay
6. Green inflation - https://www.advisor.ca/investments/market-insights/green-energy-low-supply-to-drive-copper-prices/
7. Inflation - https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2022-03-02/biden-state-of-union-proposals-would-do-little-to-curb-inflation
8. Energy - https://www.tester.senate.gov/?p=press_release&id=8934
9. Oil - https://www.jwnenergy.com/article/2022/3/2/mayhem-reigns-in-oil-markets-as-traders-avoid-russ/
10. LNG - https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/threat-to-europe-gas-supply-bolsters-push-on-new-u-s-lng-plants-1.1731478
11. Food security - https://www.newsweek.com/war-ukraine-global-food-security-crisis-opinion-1683791
12. Housing affordability - https://betterdwelling.com/canadian-housing-affordability-hits-the-worst-level-since-the-last-bubble-nbf/
13. Commodities - https://www.bloomberg.com/markets/commodities
Do Canadians have trust with Justin Trudeau Government - December 8, 2022.pptxpaul young cpa, cga
Justin Trudeau inherited economy that was growing at 2.3%. Trudeau deficits did little to address issues with innovation, productivity, supply chain resilient, affordable housing, and closing the skills gap. - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/how-to-address-competitiveness-for-canada-august-2022pptx
Justin Trudeau has refused to pause his tax hikes despite record breaking inflation. Trudeau policies have hurt many classes of people as well as made Canada less competitive than it was in 2015. The United States is now the #1 jurisdiction for FDI.
Justin Trudeau has done little to address issues with the federalism model Trudeau has created more tension with the provinces by pushing his policies down to provincial level - https://www.slideshare.net/secret/cYR8UmvSodeLZr
Justin Trudeau appears to be on cusp on streamlining regulations for critical metals. The sad thing Trudeau isolation policies have done major damaged to key sectors like agriculture and natural resources - https://www.slideshare.net/secret/gqYiOtNDrWTRUg or https://www.slideshare.net/secret/zN72rrpKFrlis9
United States is seeing revival of their manufacturing sector. Justin Trudeau meanwhile has decided to pick and choose winners and loser in terms who gets direct money from the government - https://www.slideshare.net/secret/vPqAWjO1LQC7iv
What is next for Monetary Policies - Canada - October 2022.pptxpaul young cpa, cga
Blog – What is next for Monetary Policies – Canada – October 2022
Inflation especially food costs continue to impact global consumers. Countries like Canada have targeted an inflation rate of 2.1%. The current inflation rate is about 6.9%, or about three times the target rate. Canada is schedule to hike payroll taxes and carbon taxes in 2023 - https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/newfoundland-labrador/ken-mcdonald-carbon-tax-exemption-home-heating-1.6628460
Housing prices continue to fall. Housing affordability continues to be challenge for people around the world - https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/the-daily-chase-looking-ahead-toward-boc-announcement-canopy-looks-to-grow-u-s-footprint-1.1836958
Slower demand has improved port throughput, but there are still issues with lack of capacity to manage exports and imports. https://www.manilatimes.net/2022/10/26/business/maritime/iaph-takes-steps-to-close-port-gaps/1863673
Canada was seeing slow growth back in 2019. The Liberals policies did little to address issues with innovation, skills, productivity, regulations, and tax reforms. Liberals decided to focus on bigger government! https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/201-election-canada-and-world-slow-economic-growth-august-2019
BOC and other reserve banks need to think extremely hard about rising of interest rates. The threat of global recession grows each day. BOC would be better off to pause interest rates and look at other areas of policies as part of managing monetary government. The federal government should be focus on drastic policy changes including pausing all new tax hikes including hikes to CPP, EI, and carbon tax. The focus should be on addressing issues with port capacity, promoting more innovation, productivity improvements, skills gap, housing supply, and streamlining of taxation and regulations as it relates to the goods-producing sector.
Inflation (Cost of Living) - United States - September 2022.pptxpaul young cpa, cga
Summary:
US consumer price inflation surprised on the upside once again as rapid increases in housing costs, medical care, food and airline fares offset signs of moderation elsewhere. The Fed has admitted it is prepared to inflict economic pain to get a grip on inflation and today's report will ensure at least another 75bp rate hike in November and 50bp in December
Source - https://think.ing.com/articles/40-year-high-for-us-core-inflation-heaps-pressure-on-the-fed/
Scorecard - Key Metrics - The United States - July 2022 and August 2022.pptxpaul young cpa, cga
USA GDP has contracted for two consecutive quarters
Business automation spending continues to grow
USA continues to look at ways to expand LNG exports
Farmers continue to face challenges with crop yields
Housing market is facing enormous challenges over eighteen months
Inflation has been declining but more needs to be done to address systemic issues with inflation. Key focus areas should be reeling government spending, tax, and regulatory reforms as part of addressing issues with productivity
Innovation is another area that the private sector needs to do more investing as part of managing their product life cycles.
Cost of Living (Inflation) - United States - April 2022 (Revised PPI) .pptxpaul young cpa, cga
U.S. producer prices soared 11% in April from a year earlier, a hefty gain that indicates high inflation will remain a burden for consumers and businesses in the months ahead.
The Labor Department said Thursday that its producer price index — which measures inflation before it reaches consumers — climbed 0.5% in April from March. That is a slowdown from the previous month, however, when it jumped 1.6%.
https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/producer-prices and https://www.darientimes.com/news/article/US-producer-prices-surge-11-in-April-on-higher-17167651.php
There has been little discussion of a economic road map as part of the managing COVID19. The economy has many parts to it as such govt needs to come up with fiscal and economic road map as part moving Canada through the COVID19 crisis.
Bank of Canada - What is next for Monetary Policies - April 2022 (Revised Mar...paul young cpa, cga
Canada inflation rate hit nearly 7% for March 2022. Canada has one of the highest inflation rates in the G7.
Higher interest rates mean less cash for retail sales
Government continues to push their green agenda driving more green inflation
Cost of Living (Inflation) - United States - March 2022.pptxpaul young cpa, cga
Inflation is highest since 1981. Carter was the president - https://www.thebalance.com/president-jimmy-carter-s-economic-policies-4586571
Biden was around during those times - https://www.britannica.com/biography/Joe-Biden
Similar to Housing Market| United States| Analysis and Commentary (20)
Global Housing Market Analysis and Commentary- September 2023.pptxpaul young cpa, cga
Summary:
Homebuilders are walking a fine line when it comes to new projects as high mortgage rates curb demand.
New residential construction, including single-family homes and multifamily, dropped 11.3% month over month in August to 1.283 million units on a seasonally adjusted basis, according to Census Bureau data released Tuesday. That's down 14.8% compared with a year ago and well below the 1.44 million units economists surveyed by Bloomberg projected.
But authorized residential permits — an indicator of potential future activity — rose 6.9% to 1.543 million permits in August from July. That was still down 2.7% from last August. Single-family permits, though, were up 2% from July to 949,000. Multifamily permits came in at 535,000.
The data reflects two opposing forces builders are trying to balance: the ongoing need for new construction to fill in limited inventory and elevated mortgage rates that are hurting their biggest customer right now, the first-time homebuyer.
"High mortgage rates are clearly taking a toll on builder confidence and consumer demand, as a growing number of buyers are electing to defer a home purchase until long-term rates move lower," Robert Dietz, chief economist of the National Association of Home Builders, said Monday in a press release after builder confidence dropped for the second straight month.
Source: https://ca.finance.yahoo.com/news/homebuilders-face-a-tough-balancing-act-on-new-construction-amid-high-mortgage-rates-130744368.html
Blog – What is next for the Mining Sector – September 2023
The mining sector provides critical material that support solar, wind, and lithium-ion batteries as part of the green transition. https://www.iea.org/news/critical-minerals-market-sees-unprecedented-growth-as-clean-energy-demand-drives-strong-increase-in-investment
The mining sector products play a key role with the global GDP - https://www.yicaiglobal.com/news/global-mining-industry-value-was-69-of-world-gdp-last-year-china-says
Mining practices need to be sustainable including following all ESG policies - https://www.linkedin.com/advice/1/how-can-you-monitor-sustainable-mining-practices
Other links and sources –
Lithium Supply and Price - https://zbr.com.mx/en/sin-categoria-es/lithium-prices-fall-44-in-china-due-to-lack-of-demand/138168/
Cobalt - https://www.linkedin.com/posts/mahmut-karada%C5%9F-a2b7a5151_china-exportrestrictions-gallium-activity-7082603182589157376-Zrty/?trk=public_profile_like_view
Nickel https://www.eureporter.co/business/2023/09/15/stanislav-kondrashov-from-telf-ag-nickel-prices-outlook-remains-positive/
Iron-ore - https://www.brecorder.com/news/40263584/sgx-iron-ore-set-for-best-week-in-3-months
TD Bank / Metals - https://www.tdsecurities.com/ca/en/setting-the-stage-for-gold-outlook
Biodiversity / Mining - https://worldcrunch.com/green/lithium-green-energy-argentina-indigenous
ESG - https://iriscarbon.com/the-added-value-of-integrated-esg-reporting-a-threefold-framework/
Blog – Manufacturing Shipments and Orders – The United States – August 2023
Summary:
New orders for manufacturing technology in the United States totaled $353.9 million in July 2023, as per the latest report by AMT – The Association For Manufacturing Technology. This figure marked a 12.4% decline from June 2023 but remained only 10.5% lower than July 2022. Year-to-date orders amounted to $2.83 billion, reflecting a 12.7% decrease compared to the same period the previous year.
Douglas K. Woods, President of AMT, noted that July is typically a slower month for manufacturing technology orders, so a slight drop was expected. However, he pointed out a notable trend: over the last two months, the year-to-date order gap has narrowed during historically slow periods. While job shops have seen decreased orders, other industries that benefited from reshoring or government investments have helped fill the gap.
Among specific sectors, job shops, the largest customer segment, placed their lowest total monthly orders since August 2020. In contrast, metal valve manufacturers recorded their third-highest monthly order value on record, last seen in September 2018, making up nearly 5% of the total manufacturing technology order value for July 2023. Manufacturers of motor vehicle transmissions continued to order machinery at an elevated pace. However, the aerospace industry continued to order below its early 2022 peaks, with hopes that recent projects like the federal government's $1.5 billion investment in communications satellites might reverse this trend.
Source: https://www.sme.org/technologies/articles/2023/september/u.s.-manufacturing-technology-orders-dip-in-july-but-show-resilience-amid-economic-uncertainty
Stock Market Analysis and Commentary for WE September 15 2023.pptxpaul young cpa, cga
Blog – Analysis and Commentary – Stock Market – WE September 15 2023
Summary:
Stocks fell Friday as investors wrap up a volatile week ahead of the Federal Reserve's policy meeting.
The Dow Jones Industrials tumbled 288.87 points to close out Friday and the week at 34,618.24. At its lows, it completely wiped out Thursday's 332-point rally.
The S&P 500 index sank 54.78 points, or 1.2%, to 4,450.32.
The NASDAQ index plunged 217.72 points, or 1.6%, to 13,708.33.
The Dow held onto a winning week. The S&P 500 and NASDAQ both closed out the week with losses.
Information technology was the worst-performing sector in the S&P 500, down nearly 2%. Adobe shares fell more than 4% even after the software firm posted better-than-expected quarterly results. Shares of Arm Holdings were lower one day after its successful public debut.
Auto stocks General Motors and Stellantis N.V. were higher Friday, while Ford Motor was about flat. Thousands of members of the United Auto Workers went on strike after failing to reach a deal with the automakers Thursday night.
Elsewhere, Lennar shares slid 3%. The home construction firm posted third-quarter results that beat on the top and bottom lines.
On the economic front, the University of Michigan's consumer sentiment survey showed one-year inflation expectations dropped to 3.1% in
September, tied for the lowest since January 2021. Also, the five-year outlook fell to 2.7%, matching its lowest since December 2020.
Electricity Analysis - Canada and the OECD - June 2023.pptxpaul young cpa, cga
Summary:
Over three-quarters of the world’s total coal-generated electricity is consumed in just three countries. China is the top user of coal, making up 53.3% of global coal demand, followed by India at 13.6%, and the U.S. at 8.9%.
Burning coal—for electricity, as well as metallurgy and cement production—is the world’s single largest source of CO2 emissions. Nevertheless, its use in electricity generation has actually grown 91.2% since 1997, the year when the first global climate agreement was signed in Kyoto, Japan.
However, even as non-renewables enjoy their time in the sun, their days could be numbered.
In 2022, renewables, such as wind, solar, and geothermal, represented 14.4% of total electricity generation with an extraordinary annual growth rate of 14.7%, driven by big gains in solar and wind. Non-renewables, by contrast, only managed an anemic 0.4%.
The authors of the Statistical Review do not include hydroelectric in their renewable calculations, even though many others, including the International Energy Agency, consider it a “well-established renewable power technology.”
With hydroelectric moved into the renewable column, together they accounted for over 29.3% of all electricity generated in 2022, with an annual growth rate of 7.4%.
Source - https://energynow.ca/2023/09/infographic-what-electricity-sources-power-the-world-see-them-here-visual-capitalist/
Stock Market Analysis and Commentary for WE September 9 2023.pptxpaul young cpa, cga
What did the markets tell us this week?
1. Housing supply and costs continue to plague countries around the world.
2. Gasoline prices are on the rise that puts pressure on central banks ability to hit their core inflation targets.
3. ESG adoption by both the private and public sector is leading to both funding concerns and the overall cost of implementing ESG policies.
4. Adopting technology as part of increasing food production is facing both capital and operational funding concerns.
5. Strike at LNG facility in Australia is leading to concerns around a supply chain disruption of natural gas for EMEA and Asia.
6. The threat of China dumping batteries into markets - https://www.ft.com/content/b6038e51-7b5b-4f97-a5da-9202e71562fc
7. Adoption of generative AI has been facing many challenges related to security, privacy, and ethical issues.
8. Lack of biodiversity planning as part of the overall climate mitigation including sustainable mining, forestry, oil, gas, agriculture, and housing
9. Geopolitical issues continue to impact supply chain.
10. The concerns of recession continue to plague both the private and public sector.
11. Productivity issues continue to plague governments around the world.
Global (Mining Oil and Gas Forestry and Agriculture) Analysis and Commentary ...paul young cpa, cga
The mining, oil, gas, agriculture, forestry, and mining continue to face environmental, social, and governance policy review including reporting of key metrics as part of ESG reporting cycle.
There is more focus on profitability and investment returns as part of the integrated planning and reporting cycle.
Summary:
The global economy faces what at least one forecaster is calling a mild trade recession as shipments from China slump and German factories downshift.
China’s export declines extended into August, though there were signs that the worst of a world trade slowdown may be over for the leading exporter.
Overseas shipments from China fell 8.8% in dollar terms from a year earlier while imports contracted 7.3%, both better than economists’ estimates and significantly less severe than July’s downturn.
Other data have suggested trade may be stabilizing after weakening for most of this year. Exports from South Korea also declined at a more moderate pace in August than the previous month.
Source: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2023-09-07/supply-chain-latest-world-trade-faces-a-shallow-recession?srnd=economics-v2
Additional sources and links:
Lithium - https://source.benchmarkminerals.com/article/falling-lithium-prices-challenge-potential-cost-advantages-of-sodium-batteries
Oil Production - https://www.cnn.com/2023/09/06/business/oil-price-goldman-sachs/index.html
Natural gas - https://www.fxstreet.com/news/natural-gas-holds-up-as-markets-in-limbo-over-strikes-202309070956
Lumber - https://www.fastmarkets.com/insights/sawmill-capacity-closures-reshape-us-lumber-supply
Critical metals - https://www.wasterecyclingmag.ca/feature/how-recycling-could-solve-the-shortage-of-minerals-essential-to-clean-energy/
Agriculture - https://www.morningagclips.com/economists-forecast-positive-end-of-year-crop-outlook-despite-warmer-midwestern-climate/
ESG - https://www.skadden.com/insights/publications/2023/09/the-informed-board/the-eus-new-esg-disclosure-rules
Ports - https://www.marketscreener.com/quote/stock/HAPAG-LLOYD-AG-24857717/news/Hapag-Lloyd-chief-warns-of-rougher-seas-ahead-for-container-shipping-44789017/
Top destination for reshoring - https://www.thenationalnews.com/business/economy/2023/08/29/uae-in-top-10-most-powerful-passports-for-investment-opportunity/
Global Trade - https://phys.org/news/2023-09-opinion-broke-global-climate-finish.html
What is next for the Forestry Sector and Lumber Production - September 2023.pptxpaul young cpa, cga
Lumber production in Canada continues to face many hurdles
Canada forest management practices are some of the bests in the world
Canada planted over 440M in seedlings back in 2018. It is now 2022 which means close 2M seedlings have been planted.
All levels need to put more focus on urban and rural planning solutions
More work including spending on wildfire and forest fire mitigation
Canada and USA need to find a path forward to resolve the softwood lumber dispute
There needs to a better balanced between climate change policies and growing the economy in a sustainable way
3D printing for housing needs to become mainstream
More protection needs to happen with key ecosystems like wetlands, forest, and peatlands.
There is a risk of debt default if interest rates are hike over the next few months
Empowering the Unbanked: The Vital Role of NBFCs in Promoting Financial Inclu...Vighnesh Shashtri
In India, financial inclusion remains a critical challenge, with a significant portion of the population still unbanked. Non-Banking Financial Companies (NBFCs) have emerged as key players in bridging this gap by providing financial services to those often overlooked by traditional banking institutions. This article delves into how NBFCs are fostering financial inclusion and empowering the unbanked.
how to swap pi coins to foreign currency withdrawable.DOT TECH
As of my last update, Pi is still in the testing phase and is not tradable on any exchanges.
However, Pi Network has announced plans to launch its Testnet and Mainnet in the future, which may include listing Pi on exchanges.
The current method for selling pi coins involves exchanging them with a pi vendor who purchases pi coins for investment reasons.
If you want to sell your pi coins, reach out to a pi vendor and sell them to anyone looking to sell pi coins from any country around the globe.
Below is the contact information for my personal pi vendor.
Telegram: @Pi_vendor_247
Turin Startup Ecosystem 2024 - Ricerca sulle Startup e il Sistema dell'Innov...Quotidiano Piemontese
Turin Startup Ecosystem 2024
Una ricerca de il Club degli Investitori, in collaborazione con ToTeM Torino Tech Map e con il supporto della ESCP Business School e di Growth Capital
how to sell pi coins at high rate quickly.DOT TECH
Where can I sell my pi coins at a high rate.
Pi is not launched yet on any exchange. But one can easily sell his or her pi coins to investors who want to hold pi till mainnet launch.
This means crypto whales want to hold pi. And you can get a good rate for selling pi to them. I will leave the telegram contact of my personal pi vendor below.
A vendor is someone who buys from a miner and resell it to a holder or crypto whale.
Here is the telegram contact of my vendor:
@Pi_vendor_247
Introduction to Indian Financial System ()Avanish Goel
The financial system of a country is an important tool for economic development of the country, as it helps in creation of wealth by linking savings with investments.
It facilitates the flow of funds form the households (savers) to business firms (investors) to aid in wealth creation and development of both the parties
how can I sell pi coins after successfully completing KYCDOT TECH
Pi coins is not launched yet in any exchange 💱 this means it's not swappable, the current pi displaying on coin market cap is the iou version of pi. And you can learn all about that on my previous post.
RIGHT NOW THE ONLY WAY you can sell pi coins is through verified pi merchants. A pi merchant is someone who buys pi coins and resell them to exchanges and crypto whales. Looking forward to hold massive quantities of pi coins before the mainnet launch.
This is because pi network is not doing any pre-sale or ico offerings, the only way to get my coins is from buying from miners. So a merchant facilitates the transactions between the miners and these exchanges holding pi.
I and my friends has sold more than 6000 pi coins successfully with this method. I will be happy to share the contact of my personal pi merchant. The one i trade with, if you have your own merchant you can trade with them. For those who are new.
Message: @Pi_vendor_247 on telegram.
I wouldn't advise you selling all percentage of the pi coins. Leave at least a before so its a win win during open mainnet. Have a nice day pioneers ♥️
#kyc #mainnet #picoins #pi #sellpi #piwallet
#pinetwork
how to sell pi coins on Bitmart crypto exchangeDOT TECH
Yes. Pi network coins can be exchanged but not on bitmart exchange. Because pi network is still in the enclosed mainnet. The only way pioneers are able to trade pi coins is by reselling the pi coins to pi verified merchants.
A verified merchant is someone who buys pi network coins and resell it to exchanges looking forward to hold till mainnet launch.
I will leave the telegram contact of my personal pi merchant to trade with.
@Pi_vendor_247
USDA Loans in California: A Comprehensive Overview.pptxmarketing367770
USDA Loans in California: A Comprehensive Overview
If you're dreaming of owning a home in California's rural or suburban areas, a USDA loan might be the perfect solution. The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) offers these loans to help low-to-moderate-income individuals and families achieve homeownership.
Key Features of USDA Loans:
Zero Down Payment: USDA loans require no down payment, making homeownership more accessible.
Competitive Interest Rates: These loans often come with lower interest rates compared to conventional loans.
Flexible Credit Requirements: USDA loans have more lenient credit score requirements, helping those with less-than-perfect credit.
Guaranteed Loan Program: The USDA guarantees a portion of the loan, reducing risk for lenders and expanding borrowing options.
Eligibility Criteria:
Location: The property must be located in a USDA-designated rural or suburban area. Many areas in California qualify.
Income Limits: Applicants must meet income guidelines, which vary by region and household size.
Primary Residence: The home must be used as the borrower's primary residence.
Application Process:
Find a USDA-Approved Lender: Not all lenders offer USDA loans, so it's essential to choose one approved by the USDA.
Pre-Qualification: Determine your eligibility and the amount you can borrow.
Property Search: Look for properties in eligible rural or suburban areas.
Loan Application: Submit your application, including financial and personal information.
Processing and Approval: The lender and USDA will review your application. If approved, you can proceed to closing.
USDA loans are an excellent option for those looking to buy a home in California's rural and suburban areas. With no down payment and flexible requirements, these loans make homeownership more attainable for many families. Explore your eligibility today and take the first step toward owning your dream home.
US Economic Outlook - Being Decided - M Capital Group August 2021.pdfpchutichetpong
The U.S. economy is continuing its impressive recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic and not slowing down despite re-occurring bumps. The U.S. savings rate reached its highest ever recorded level at 34% in April 2020 and Americans seem ready to spend. The sectors that had been hurt the most by the pandemic specifically reduced consumer spending, like retail, leisure, hospitality, and travel, are now experiencing massive growth in revenue and job openings.
Could this growth lead to a “Roaring Twenties”? As quickly as the U.S. economy contracted, experiencing a 9.1% drop in economic output relative to the business cycle in Q2 2020, the largest in recorded history, it has rebounded beyond expectations. This surprising growth seems to be fueled by the U.S. government’s aggressive fiscal and monetary policies, and an increase in consumer spending as mobility restrictions are lifted. Unemployment rates between June 2020 and June 2021 decreased by 5.2%, while the demand for labor is increasing, coupled with increasing wages to incentivize Americans to rejoin the labor force. Schools and businesses are expected to fully reopen soon. In parallel, vaccination rates across the country and the world continue to rise, with full vaccination rates of 50% and 14.8% respectively.
However, it is not completely smooth sailing from here. According to M Capital Group, the main risks that threaten the continued growth of the U.S. economy are inflation, unsettled trade relations, and another wave of Covid-19 mutations that could shut down the world again. Have we learned from the past year of COVID-19 and adapted our economy accordingly?
“In order for the U.S. economy to continue growing, whether there is another wave or not, the U.S. needs to focus on diversifying supply chains, supporting business investment, and maintaining consumer spending,” says Grace Feeley, a research analyst at M Capital Group.
While the economic indicators are positive, the risks are coming closer to manifesting and threatening such growth. The new variants spreading throughout the world, Delta, Lambda, and Gamma, are vaccine-resistant and muddy the predictions made about the economy and health of the country. These variants bring back the feeling of uncertainty that has wreaked havoc not only on the stock market but the mindset of people around the world. MCG provides unique insight on how to mitigate these risks to possibly ensure a bright economic future.
The European Unemployment Puzzle: implications from population agingGRAPE
We study the link between the evolving age structure of the working population and unemployment. We build a large new Keynesian OLG model with a realistic age structure, labor market frictions, sticky prices, and aggregate shocks. Once calibrated to the European economy, we quantify the extent to which demographic changes over the last three decades have contributed to the decline of the unemployment rate. Our findings yield important implications for the future evolution of unemployment given the anticipated further aging of the working population in Europe. We also quantify the implications for optimal monetary policy: lowering inflation volatility becomes less costly in terms of GDP and unemployment volatility, which hints that optimal monetary policy may be more hawkish in an aging society. Finally, our results also propose a partial reversal of the European-US unemployment puzzle due to the fact that the share of young workers is expected to remain robust in the US.
what is the future of Pi Network currency.DOT TECH
The future of the Pi cryptocurrency is uncertain, and its success will depend on several factors. Pi is a relatively new cryptocurrency that aims to be user-friendly and accessible to a wide audience. Here are a few key considerations for its future:
Message: @Pi_vendor_247 on telegram if u want to sell PI COINS.
1. Mainnet Launch: As of my last knowledge update in January 2022, Pi was still in the testnet phase. Its success will depend on a successful transition to a mainnet, where actual transactions can take place.
2. User Adoption: Pi's success will be closely tied to user adoption. The more users who join the network and actively participate, the stronger the ecosystem can become.
3. Utility and Use Cases: For a cryptocurrency to thrive, it must offer utility and practical use cases. The Pi team has talked about various applications, including peer-to-peer transactions, smart contracts, and more. The development and implementation of these features will be essential.
4. Regulatory Environment: The regulatory environment for cryptocurrencies is evolving globally. How Pi navigates and complies with regulations in various jurisdictions will significantly impact its future.
5. Technology Development: The Pi network must continue to develop and improve its technology, security, and scalability to compete with established cryptocurrencies.
6. Community Engagement: The Pi community plays a critical role in its future. Engaged users can help build trust and grow the network.
7. Monetization and Sustainability: The Pi team's monetization strategy, such as fees, partnerships, or other revenue sources, will affect its long-term sustainability.
It's essential to approach Pi or any new cryptocurrency with caution and conduct due diligence. Cryptocurrency investments involve risks, and potential rewards can be uncertain. The success and future of Pi will depend on the collective efforts of its team, community, and the broader cryptocurrency market dynamics. It's advisable to stay updated on Pi's development and follow any updates from the official Pi Network website or announcements from the team.
2. PAUL YOUNG - BIO
• CPA, CGA
• Academia (PF1, FA4 and MS2)
• SME – Risk Management
• SME – Close, Consolidate and Reporting
• SME – Public Policy
• SME – Emerging Technology
• SME – Financial Solutions
• SME – Business Process Change
• SME – Supply Chain Management
Contact information:
Paul_Young_CGA@Hotmail.com
3. AGENDA
• Housing Starts
• 2009 Financial Crisis
• Household Debt to GDP
• Household Debt to Income Ratio by State
• Household Debt to disposable income
• COVID19 / Household Finances
• Average Housing Prices
• Urban Planning
• Technology
• What’s next
5. 2009
FINANCIAL
CRISIS
• Clinton mortgage reforms – “Affordable housing goals of
Clinton had an influence on 2009 financial meltdown -
https://www.wsj.com/articles/the-clintonera-roots-of-the-
financial-crisis-1376348141
• 2009 Financial Crisis-” The foundation of the global financial
crisis was built on the back of the housing market bubble that
began to form in 2007. Banks and lending institutions offered
low interest rates on mortgages and encouraged many
homeowners to take out loans that they couldn’t afford. With
all the mortgages flooding in, lenders created new financial
instruments called mortgage-backed securities (MBS), which
were essentially mortgages bundled together that could then
be sold as securities with minimal risk load due to the fact that
they were backed by credit default swaps (CDS). Lenders
could then easily pass along the mortgages – and all the risk.
Outdated regulations that weren’t rigorously enforced allowed
lenders to get sloppy with underwriting, meaning the actual
value of the securities couldn’t be established or guaranteed. ”
-
https://corporatefinanceinstitute.com/resources/knowledge/fi
nance/2008-2009-global-financial-crisis/
6. HOUSEHOLD
DEBT TO GDP
Source -
https://www.statista.com/statist
ics/248283/household-debt-
ratio-to-gdp-in-the-united-
states/
10. COVID19
• Disposable income has been impacted by COVID19 - https://www.bea.gov/news/2020/personal-income-and-
outlays-june-2020-and-annual-update
• Credit debt has not risen much during the pandemic - https://www.forbes.com/sites/advisor/2020/07/17/credit-
card-debt-is-down-during-covid-19-heres-why/#340f1cc773a1
12. URBAN
PLANNING
• The problem from the get-go has been with proper
urban planning including rural vs urban strategy!
• It is time for all levels government to look at
innovator solutions when it comes to building
affordable housing
• https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/urban-
and-rural-planning-whats-next
• Building codes need to revamp to deal with 3-D
housing -
https://www.forbes.com/sites/pikeresearch/2019/1
1/20/3d-printed-homes-quietly-gain-
traction/#74899cc763bd
• All levels government need to look at proper land
management -
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/why-do-
politicians-play-games-with-the-environment
13. TECHNOLOGY
AND
HOUSING
• AI and at risk for homelessness -
https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/london/artifici
al-intelligence-london-1.5684788
• AI and cost control -
https://www.enr.com/events/880-ai-how-it-s-
transforming-project-management-for-the-
better
• Smart construction -
https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2020/08/here
-s-how-smart-construction-could-transform-
home-building-after-covid-19/
• AI and housing - https://www.urban.org/urban-
wire/four-ways-technology-addressing-housing-
affordability-crisis
14. WHAT’S
NEXT
• Federal government for the USA along with state and
local government need to work together to reshape
economic policies
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/2020-united-states-
election-policy-analysis
• All levels of government need to revisit policies related to value
for money/program spending and tax fairness
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/fiscal-management-
cycle-public-sector-united-states
• There needs to be better balance between the environment and
the economy including complete review of policies related to
climate and the green economy -
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/green-economy-clean-
technology-whats-next or
https://www.latimes.com/environment/story/2020-08-17/biden-
trump-climate-change-policy
• The work force will be adjusting to the new norm -
https://www.wsj.com/articles/the-work-from-home-shift-
shocked-companiesnow-theyre-learning-its-lessons-
11595649628
15. TRAINING AND DEVELOPMENT
• If you like to learn more
about trade and/or other
subjects as part of your
professional learning and
development then feel
free to review my material
on
https://www.udemy.com/
(search Paul Young CPA
CGA)
• These subjects address
how to fixed issues with
housing and/or systemic
issues related to economy
including government
policies