Blog – Failure of Trudeaunomics – October 2021
Inflation went from 1% in 2015 to 1.9% in 2019 and now is 4.7% in Oct/21
Public sector jobs continue to outpace the private sector jobs
GDP went from 3.0% in 2017 to 1.6% 2019 (pre-Covid)
Housing prices continue to rise
Welcome to @justinTrudeau ‘s Canada
Many different groups will write paper and/or articles on government from their perspective. It is important for readers to review all sources when it comes to debating various government policies
Justin Trudeau constantly calls out the Harper era like he did in 2015. The problem is Trudeau never discuss details as the details tell a different picture.
Justin Trudeau made many promises back in 2015 including being open, transparent, and accountable. This presentation looks at many areas of policy. The readers of this report can make their own decisions on whether Trudeau has been open, transparent, and accountable to Canadians.
1. Trade protectionism - https://torontosun.com/opinion/editorials/editorial-bidens-buy-american-policies-hurting-canada
2. Climate Change - https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/environment-commissioner-report-failure-to-failure-1.6262523
3. Benefits - https://nationalpost.com/news/politics/some-cerb-recipients-set-to-get-notices-that-they-owe-feds-some-of-the-aid?r
4. Wage growth - https://financialpost.com/news/economy/immigrant-influx-is-stunting-wage-growth-in-canadian-recovery
5. GDP - https://economics.td.com/ca-weekly-bottom-line
6. Housing - https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/it-s-like-gamestop-mortgage-expert-on-risk-of-housing-correction-1.1687056
7. Canada lags many states in oil and gas development - https://www.fraserinstitute.org/studies/canada-us-energy-sector-competitiveness-survey-2021
8. Streaming = https://ca.finance.yahoo.com/news/media-experts-agree-action-needed-110000640.html
9. Skills gaps - https://financialpost.com/sponsored/business-sponsored/building-the-future-of-continuing-education
10. Deficit - https://www.theglobeandmail.com/politics/article-report-says-federal-deficit-stood-at-686b-halfway-through-fiscal-year/ or https://www.advisor.ca/news/economic/federal-deficit-hits-nearly-69b-over-first-half-of-fiscal-year/
The federal government ran a deficit of nearly $69 billion over the first half its fiscal year, almost $130 billion less than the treasury pumped out during the same stretch one year earlier.
The Finance Department’s fiscal monitor says the budgetary deficit between April and September was $68.6 billion, down from the $198.1 billion recorded over the same months in 2020 when Covid-19 first struck.
Source - https://www.advisor.ca/news/economic/federal-deficit-hits-nearly-69b-over-first-half-of-fiscal-year/
1. Deficit / Canada - https://www.reuters.com/markets/rates-bonds/canada-records-c6857-bln-budget-deficit-over-first-six-months-202122-2021-11-26/
2. BOC / qualitative easing - https://www.bankofcanada.ca/2021/11/financial-stability-through-the-pandemic-and-beyond/
3. Inflation - https://financialpost.com/opinion/philip-cross-government-is-driving-inflation
4. Household debt - https://www.consolidatedcreditcanada.ca/financial-news/household-debt/
5. https://twitter.com/EvanLSolomon/status/1464071997286232100 Hey Evan - Sep/19 also seen higher inflation compared to Oct/15 but there was no comment from you back in Sep/19, why? https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/2019-election-cost-of-living-canada-june-2019 There was also no comment how GDP growth went from 3.0% (2017) to 1.6% (2019), right? https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/global-growth-and-the-major-issues-facing-global-gdp
6. Interest rates - https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-10-27/bank-of-canada-accelerates-potential-timing-of-rate-hikes
7. Housing - https://theconversation.com/want-to-solve-the-housing-crisis-address-super-charged-demand-169809
8. Consumer spending - https://thoughtleadership.rbc.com/rbc-consumer-spending-tracker/
9. Infrastructure bank - https://canada.constructconnect.com/dcn/news/projects/2021/11/cib-hits-its-stride-with-20-projects-in-its-portfolio
10. https://globalnews.ca/news/8404028/prime-minister-justin-trudeau-bc-flood-zone/ Is @JustinTrudeau taking his surfboard? Many of us already know it will be lots of word salad and little said about all levels of government failing to safeguard assets! https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/crisis-and-emergency-management-risk-management-how-best-to-manage-risk
Blog - Forestry and Sawmill Production – Canada and the World
Lumber prices have decline but are still very high
There seems to be inconsistent policies when it comes to management of forests around the globe
The world is slow in adopting 3D housing
1. Softwood Lumber - https://www.woodworkingnetwork.com/news/woodworking-industry-news/reduced-tariffs-draws-applause
2. Prices - https://www.barchart.com/story/news/7200218/lumber-up-and-down-and-all-around
3. 3D housing - https://www.mentalfloss.com/article/535220/these-10000-concrete-homes-are-3d-printed-less-24-hours
4. Deforestation - https://www.sustainability-times.com/environmental-protection/the-great-amazon-land-grab-brazils-government-is-turning-public-land-private-driving-deforestation/
5. Wetlands - https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-020-00098-1
6. Housing affordability - https://saportareport.com/understanding-the-housing-affordability-problem/columnists/david/
7. Urban planning - https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2022/02/innovative-global-cities-talent-property/
8. 3D housing - https://www.probuilder.com/3d-printed-technology-offers-solution-affordable-housing
9. Mortgage rates - https://ca.finance.yahoo.com/news/lumber-prices-crash-30-mortgage-120647926.html
10. Household debt - https://www.teamblind.com/post/21t-national-debt-15-trillion-household-debt-in-usa-and-21-trillion-in-annual-gdp--are-we-doomed-rtZ0Dj5Q
11. Housing bubble - https://betterdwelling.com/
12. Insurance - https://ca.news.yahoo.com/extreme-weather-rising-insurance-rates-160054947.html
13. Heating costs - https://carolinapublicpress.org/51169/heating-costs-and-power-grid-stability-create-concerns-in-cold-temperatures/
Many different groups will write paper and/or articles on government from their perspective. It is important for readers to review all sources when it comes to debating various government policies
Justin Trudeau constantly calls out the Harper era like he did in 2015. The problem is Trudeau never discuss details as the details tell a different picture.
Justin Trudeau made many promises back in 2015 including being open, transparent, and accountable. This presentation looks at many areas of policy. The readers of this report can make their own decisions on whether Trudeau has been open, transparent, and accountable to Canadians.
1. Trade protectionism - https://torontosun.com/opinion/editorials/editorial-bidens-buy-american-policies-hurting-canada
2. Climate Change - https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/environment-commissioner-report-failure-to-failure-1.6262523
3. Benefits - https://nationalpost.com/news/politics/some-cerb-recipients-set-to-get-notices-that-they-owe-feds-some-of-the-aid?r
4. Wage growth - https://financialpost.com/news/economy/immigrant-influx-is-stunting-wage-growth-in-canadian-recovery
5. GDP - https://economics.td.com/ca-weekly-bottom-line
6. Housing - https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/it-s-like-gamestop-mortgage-expert-on-risk-of-housing-correction-1.1687056
7. Canada lags many states in oil and gas development - https://www.fraserinstitute.org/studies/canada-us-energy-sector-competitiveness-survey-2021
8. Streaming = https://ca.finance.yahoo.com/news/media-experts-agree-action-needed-110000640.html
9. Skills gaps - https://financialpost.com/sponsored/business-sponsored/building-the-future-of-continuing-education
10. Deficit - https://www.theglobeandmail.com/politics/article-report-says-federal-deficit-stood-at-686b-halfway-through-fiscal-year/ or https://www.advisor.ca/news/economic/federal-deficit-hits-nearly-69b-over-first-half-of-fiscal-year/
The federal government ran a deficit of nearly $69 billion over the first half its fiscal year, almost $130 billion less than the treasury pumped out during the same stretch one year earlier.
The Finance Department’s fiscal monitor says the budgetary deficit between April and September was $68.6 billion, down from the $198.1 billion recorded over the same months in 2020 when Covid-19 first struck.
Source - https://www.advisor.ca/news/economic/federal-deficit-hits-nearly-69b-over-first-half-of-fiscal-year/
1. Deficit / Canada - https://www.reuters.com/markets/rates-bonds/canada-records-c6857-bln-budget-deficit-over-first-six-months-202122-2021-11-26/
2. BOC / qualitative easing - https://www.bankofcanada.ca/2021/11/financial-stability-through-the-pandemic-and-beyond/
3. Inflation - https://financialpost.com/opinion/philip-cross-government-is-driving-inflation
4. Household debt - https://www.consolidatedcreditcanada.ca/financial-news/household-debt/
5. https://twitter.com/EvanLSolomon/status/1464071997286232100 Hey Evan - Sep/19 also seen higher inflation compared to Oct/15 but there was no comment from you back in Sep/19, why? https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/2019-election-cost-of-living-canada-june-2019 There was also no comment how GDP growth went from 3.0% (2017) to 1.6% (2019), right? https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/global-growth-and-the-major-issues-facing-global-gdp
6. Interest rates - https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-10-27/bank-of-canada-accelerates-potential-timing-of-rate-hikes
7. Housing - https://theconversation.com/want-to-solve-the-housing-crisis-address-super-charged-demand-169809
8. Consumer spending - https://thoughtleadership.rbc.com/rbc-consumer-spending-tracker/
9. Infrastructure bank - https://canada.constructconnect.com/dcn/news/projects/2021/11/cib-hits-its-stride-with-20-projects-in-its-portfolio
10. https://globalnews.ca/news/8404028/prime-minister-justin-trudeau-bc-flood-zone/ Is @JustinTrudeau taking his surfboard? Many of us already know it will be lots of word salad and little said about all levels of government failing to safeguard assets! https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/crisis-and-emergency-management-risk-management-how-best-to-manage-risk
Blog - Forestry and Sawmill Production – Canada and the World
Lumber prices have decline but are still very high
There seems to be inconsistent policies when it comes to management of forests around the globe
The world is slow in adopting 3D housing
1. Softwood Lumber - https://www.woodworkingnetwork.com/news/woodworking-industry-news/reduced-tariffs-draws-applause
2. Prices - https://www.barchart.com/story/news/7200218/lumber-up-and-down-and-all-around
3. 3D housing - https://www.mentalfloss.com/article/535220/these-10000-concrete-homes-are-3d-printed-less-24-hours
4. Deforestation - https://www.sustainability-times.com/environmental-protection/the-great-amazon-land-grab-brazils-government-is-turning-public-land-private-driving-deforestation/
5. Wetlands - https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-020-00098-1
6. Housing affordability - https://saportareport.com/understanding-the-housing-affordability-problem/columnists/david/
7. Urban planning - https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2022/02/innovative-global-cities-talent-property/
8. 3D housing - https://www.probuilder.com/3d-printed-technology-offers-solution-affordable-housing
9. Mortgage rates - https://ca.finance.yahoo.com/news/lumber-prices-crash-30-mortgage-120647926.html
10. Household debt - https://www.teamblind.com/post/21t-national-debt-15-trillion-household-debt-in-usa-and-21-trillion-in-annual-gdp--are-we-doomed-rtZ0Dj5Q
11. Housing bubble - https://betterdwelling.com/
12. Insurance - https://ca.news.yahoo.com/extreme-weather-rising-insurance-rates-160054947.html
13. Heating costs - https://carolinapublicpress.org/51169/heating-costs-and-power-grid-stability-create-concerns-in-cold-temperatures/
@justinTrudeau has no clue about inflation - Sep/19 also seen higher inflation compared to Oct/15 but there was no comment from you back in Sep/19, why? https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/2019-election-cost-of-living-canada-june-2019
Inflation was rising way before COVID19, and Trudeau were warned about policies like carbon taxes.
BTW: I love seeing Trudeau getting angry as it shows that he cannot answer questions without the appropriate word salad as a way to say people are picking on him
Employment rose by 154,000 (+0.8%) in November and was 186,000 (+1.0%) higher than its pre-COVID February 2020 level. The unemployment rate fell to 6.0%, within 0.3 percentage points of what it was in February 2020.
Employment increased in both the services-producing and goods-producing sectors in November. Both full-time (+80,000; +0.5%) and part-time (+74,000; +2.1%) work increased, and employment gains were spread across six provinces.
Total hours worked increased 0.7% and returned to the pre-pandemic February 2020 level for the first time. Hours rose across most industries, led by manufacturing, wholesale and retail trade, as well as construction. Despite increasing in November, hours in the goods-producing sector were still below their pre-pandemic level (-3.6%). All of the growth compared with February 2020 was in the services-producing sector (+1.3%), most notably in professional scientific and technical services (+12.5%).
https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-quotidien/211203/dq211203a-eng.htm
1. Quebec spending money on skills - https://www.talentcanada.ca/quebec-announces-details-of-3-9-billion-plan-to-address-labour-shortages/. 3 of 6 are public sector related. There seems to be little focus on the goods-producing sector
2. Manufacturing supply change and skill gap issues - https://www.talentcanada.ca/most-manufacturers-facing-more-acute-labour-shortage-than-last-year-survey/
3. AG sector - https://www.realagriculture.com/2021/12/new-canadians-urban-students-needed-to-fill-labour-gaps-in-agriculture/
4. Minimum wage - https://atlantic.ctvnews.ca/minimum-wage-in-new-brunswick-to-increase-by-largest-percentage-in-40-years-1.5690778
5. PMI index - https://www.theglobeandmail.com/business/economy/article-canadian-manufacturing-activity-expands-at-slightly-slower-pace-in/
6. Provinces - https://royal-bank-of-canada-2124.docs.contently.com/v/provinces-enter-advanced-stages-of-recovery-in-2022-pdf
7. Public sector spending - https://winnipegsun.com/uncategorized/trudeau-to-limit-new-spending-in-fiscal-update-source
8. Automation - https://www.nintex.com/blog/the-process-automation-market-is-booming-its-time-to-adapt/
9. Critical metals - https://www.cgai.ca/building_supply_chain_resiliency_of_critical_minerals
10. What is next - https://www.cdhowe.org/intelligence-memos/don-drummond-upcoming-fall-fiscal-update-must-answer-questions-about-growth
Transforming the Public Sector| The United States| November 2021paul young cpa, cga
In fiscal year 2021, which ended on September 30, the federal budget deficit totaled nearly $2.8 trillion—about $360 billion less than the deficit in 2020, but nearly triple the shortfall incurred in 2019. During the past two years, deficits were much larger than they have been historically because of the economic effects of the coronavirus pandemic and legislation enacted in response.1
In 2021, the deficit was equal to 12.4 percent of the nation’s gross domestic product (GDP), down from 15.0 percent in 2020, but up from 4.7 percent in 2019. The 2021 deficit was the second largest as a percentage of GDP since 1945 (the largest occurred in 2020).
1. Deficit - https://www.reuters.com/world/us/us-budget-gap-narrows-more-than-expected-year-earlier-october-2021-11-10/
2. Taxation https://taxfoundation.org/2022-tax-brackets/
3. Healthcare - https://www.americanactionforum.org/research/key-health-policy-provisions-of-the-build-back-better-act/
4. Infrastructure - https://www.piquenewsmagazine.com/national-business/us-infrastructure-bill-means-more-cash-and-contracts-for-wsp-global-ceo-says-4743343
5. Taxation at state and local government level - https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/ey-cost-study-state-and-local-government-tax-revenue-increases-despite-pandemic-301421351.html
6. Federal reserve - https://www.smh.com.au/business/banking-and-finance/us-inflation-hits-new-record-forcing-the-fed-to-rethink-its-strategy-20211111-p5981q.html
7. Climate change - https://www.ft.com/content/da0ac736-7c38-4f93-baaf-e315a51faf22
8. Housing - https://www.cnbc.com/2021/11/10/home-prices-are-now-rising-much-faster-than-incomes-studies-show.html
9. Corporate tax - https://dividedwefall.com/2021/11/05/global-minimum-corporate-tax/
10. Productivity - https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-economy-productivity-idCAKBN2HP1O6
11. Regulations - https://news.yahoo.com/regulatory-reformers-red-tape-formidable-184826530.html
12. ESG - https://www.pwc.com/gx/en/services/sustainability/publications/cop26/how-much-does-the-public-care-about-esg-pwc-cop26.html or https://ibm.box.com/s/vmyitcackqevvm1hcxv7wke6gudrpnce
13. Energy crisis - https://www.rigzone.com/news/wire/usa_should_have_enough_gas_to_avert_energy_crisis-09-nov-2021-166955-article/
14. Carbon tax - https://www.delawareonline.com/story/opinion/2021/11/05/u-s-must-enact-carbon-tax-its-essential-curb-climate-change/6280393001/
15. Pensions - https://www.pewtrusts.org/en/research-and-analysis/issue-briefs/2021/09/the-state-pension-funding-gap-plans-have-stabilized-in-wake-of-pandemic
16. Unfunded liabilities - https://www.lagrangenews.com/2021/10/16/brown-column-we-must-address-the-national-debt/
17. Policing - https://www.upworthy.com/americas-most-dangerous-city-defunded-its-police-department-7-years-ago-it-was-a-stunning-success or https://www.moneygeek.com/living/state-policing-corrections-spending/
Summary:
Farm incomes continue to be strong.
AG equipment sales had a banner year in 2021.
More and more farmers will continue to adopt expert farming and sustainable practices when it comes to managing their crop yields.
Agriculture subsidies continue to be a focus area as countries look to expand their AG exports.
1. Crop yields – http://geographical.co.uk/people/development/item/4253-adapt-to-survive
2. Crop insurance and Expert farming - https://www.agri-pulse.com/articles/16975-direct-checks-expected-to-ignite-cover-crop-surge-crop-insurance-may-play-role-too
3. Vertical farming - https://www.hortweek.com/pioneers-shaping-future-vertical-farming/fresh-produce/article/1737366
4. Ag subsidies - https://www.oxfordmartin.ox.ac.uk/blog/meat-and-dairy-gobble-up-farming-subsidies/
5. Trade - https://www.wattagnet.com/articles/44271-now-is-the-time-to-pursue-us-africa-agriculture-trade?v=preview
6. Trade - https://www.livemint.com/news/world/india-to-remove-longstanding-barrier-to-agricultural-trade-say-us-officials-11641858901225.html
7. Food costs - https://www.citizen-times.com/story/news/local/2022/01/13/rising-food-costs-2022-groceries-restaurants-farmers-department-agriculture/9184619002/
8. Inflation - https://ca.movies.yahoo.com/december-inflation-sees-fastest-price-152424665.html
9. Farm income - https://katv.com/news/local/farm-incomes-on-the-rise-fryar-center-predicts-trend-to-continue-in-20
10. Outlook - https://upstreamaginsights.substack.com/p/2022-upstream-ag-insights-outlook or https://www.agriculture.com/news/business/2021-was-a-year-unlike-any-other-for-farm-machinery
11. Automation - https://www.gmpresswire.com/agricultural-robots-market-outlook-by-opportunity-and-demand-analysis-forecast-2026/
12. Fertilizer - https://www.realagriculture.com/2017/12/vervaets-slurry-spreader-features-nir-for-precise-nitrogen-application/
2019 Election| Scorecard | Liberal Party of Canada | Prime Minister - Justin ...paul young cpa, cga
Here is a look at key areas of policy as part of assessing the success of Trudeau. Trudeau and his team often tout certain stats as way to show people they are successful. The problem is that many stats are very high level as such never discuss the details.
More op-eds by CBC as an attempt to show @justintrudeau managing of the financing is on par with Harper
• Trudeau has increase overall spending from year over year average was 6.7% as compare to Harper’s 3.8%
• Trudeau took $1B surplus and turned it into $18B deficit
• Trudeau decided to slash the AG performance management audits, why?
• Trudeau has a made a mess of every file including immigration - https://torontosun.com/news/national/illegal-border-processing-costs-alone-to-exceed-1-billion-pbo-report
• Trudeau’s policies are more about votes than sound policies. The tax cut did little when you factor in Trudeau eliminated income tax splitting, boutique tax credits and hiked CPP - https://www.thechronicleherald.ca/news/canada/for-millennials-in-canada-the-middle-class-dream-slips-a-little-further-away-oecd-300708/ or https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/2019-election-middle-class-canada-june-2019
• Trudeau’s policies have made Canada less competitive - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/2019-election-canada-and-global-competitiveness-may-2019
• You cannot not just look at GDP ratios. You also need to look at outcomes along with expense growth year over year in relation to Taxation and GDP growth - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/2019-election-gdp-and-economy-canada
• Trudeau’s policies have support only 10% increase in goods producing sector jobs. Goods producing sector jobs pay on average 40% more than service sector jobs. - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/2019-election-employment-market-canada-may-2019
Blog – GDP – Canada – September 2021
Real gross domestic product (GDP) edged up 0.1% in September, as declines largely concentrated in manufacturing, construction and retail trade were more than offset by broad-based expansions in services-producing industries as well as in mining, quarrying and oil and gas extraction.
Preliminary information indicates that real GDP rebounded in October, up 0.8% with increases in most sectors. Manufacturing led the growth after contracting in September due in part to the effects of the semiconductor shortage. Other notable increases were in public sector, construction, finance and insurance, and transportation and warehousing. Because of its preliminary nature, this estimate will be revised on December 23, with the release of the official GDP data for the October reference month.
Overall, 12 of 20 industrial sectors were up in September, with growth in services-producing industries (+0.4%) more than offsetting a decline in goods-producing industries (-0.6%).
The continued global shortage of semiconductors and other supply chain disruptions markedly affected manufacturing and sales activity at a number of automotive-related industries across different industrial sectors in September.
Source - https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-quotidien/211130/dq211130b-eng.htm
Cost of Living (Inflation)| The United States| October 2021paul young cpa, cga
Bottom Line: Inflation is spreading to more items as supply can't keep up with sturdy underlying demand that's stoked by stimulative policies, forcing more companies to pass along rising costs. A combination of low base-year effects, supply-side disruptions, delivery bottlenecks, labour shortages, elevated energy and food costs, and rising residential rents could keep the CPI rate above 6% through the turn of the year, while the core rate will likely take a run at 5%. Chair Powell expects inflation to begin to retreat by the second or third quarter of next year as supply constraints abate and reopening-demand pressures fade. But it will be a long and anxious waiting period (assuming he's still Chair). And, should wage growth rise further or inflation expectations resume an upward drift, the Fed might not be able to wait that long before pulling the tightening trigger.
Source - https://economics.bmo.com/en/publications/detail/86bbbd1a-eb53-42cd-902c-a804528f193e/
1. Food costs - https://ktvz.com/money/cnn-business-consumer/2021/11/05/world-food-prices-are-up-30-in-a-year/
2. OPEC tells Biden to pump the oil himself - https://www.forbes.com/sites/arielcohen/2021/11/09/opec-says-to-biden-if-you-want-more-oil-pump-it-yourself/?sh=11d02fb93efd OPEC told Biden (11/9/2021) to pump more USA oil https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/oil-and-gas-energy-sector-analysis-and-commentary-october-2021-revised
3. Supply chain - https://edtechmagazine.com/higher/k12/article/2021/11/4-ways-avoid-supply-chain-delays-2022
4. Low income - https://ktvz.com/news/2021/11/10/higher-gas-prices-and-heating-costs-will-hurt-low-income-families-the-most-this-winter/
5. Carbon tax - https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/opinion/rising-gas-prices-show-why-a-carbon-tax-is-a-bad-idea
6. Housing - https://www.cnbc.com/2021/11/10/home-prices-are-now-rising-much-faster-than-incomes-studies-show.html
7. Commodity prices - https://blackbullmarkets.com/en/market-reviews/are-commodity-prices-going-up/
8. Interest rates - https://www.cnbc.com/2021/11/10/federal-reserve-james-bullard-expects-two-rate-hikes-next-year.html
9. Green employment - https://www.aei.org/articles/will-green-energy-produce-more-jobs-three-experts-discuss/
10. Job market - https://www.cnbc.com/2021/11/09/switching-jobs-can-lead-to-higher-pay-heres-what-to-know.html
11. China - https://www.cnn.com/2021/11/10/economy/china-cpi-ppi-inflation-intl-hnk/index.html
People need to review all aspects of the various parties platform including looking at the annual report for government.
There is allot of information that is missing from statements made by various parties. Elections tend to allow parties to mislead the facts.
Many people are confused how money flows from your wallet to social programs. Each level of government has different taxation programs that hit your wallet different ways
It is important to understand there is only one taxpayers and that is you
You cannot tax people to prosperity
Canada does a very good job of wealth distribution
Too many governments do not look at value for money when it comes to delivering program spending.
All politicians will promise the world, but in fact can deliver very little due fiscal restraints
Trudeau came to office in 2015 when GDP growth for 2015 was about 1% (https://www.cbc.ca/news/business/gdp-economy-1.3470453). Trudeau promise small deficits during the 2015 election (https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/canada-election-2015-liberals-infrastructure-deficits-1.3205535.
Trudeau deficits were never small. The budget balance for period close March 2019 was $14B (https://www.canada.ca/en/department-finance/services/publications/annual-financial-report/2019/report.html).
Trudeau’s latest budget runs a higher deficit. Trudeau budget like previous budgets does not deal with productivity issues. Trudeau housing policies have been a colossal failure! https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/budget-2022-path-forward-for-canada-pptx
GDP for 2019 was estimated at 1.6%. https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-quotidien/200228/dq200228a-eng.htm. Liberals will argue that the GDP rate was 50% higher than October 2015. What the Liberals will not discuss is Harper was running 2.3% average growth rate for GDP (Post 2009 Recession) https://www.focus-economics.com/country-indicator/canada/gdp as compared to the Liberals that was running about 2%
Cost of living has hit 40-year high
More and more of the middle class are left out of the housing market
Canada continues to face productivity and innovation challenges
Federal government refuses to review its carbon pricing model
@justinTrudeau has no clue about inflation - Sep/19 also seen higher inflation compared to Oct/15 but there was no comment from you back in Sep/19, why? https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/2019-election-cost-of-living-canada-june-2019
Inflation was rising way before COVID19, and Trudeau were warned about policies like carbon taxes.
BTW: I love seeing Trudeau getting angry as it shows that he cannot answer questions without the appropriate word salad as a way to say people are picking on him
Employment rose by 154,000 (+0.8%) in November and was 186,000 (+1.0%) higher than its pre-COVID February 2020 level. The unemployment rate fell to 6.0%, within 0.3 percentage points of what it was in February 2020.
Employment increased in both the services-producing and goods-producing sectors in November. Both full-time (+80,000; +0.5%) and part-time (+74,000; +2.1%) work increased, and employment gains were spread across six provinces.
Total hours worked increased 0.7% and returned to the pre-pandemic February 2020 level for the first time. Hours rose across most industries, led by manufacturing, wholesale and retail trade, as well as construction. Despite increasing in November, hours in the goods-producing sector were still below their pre-pandemic level (-3.6%). All of the growth compared with February 2020 was in the services-producing sector (+1.3%), most notably in professional scientific and technical services (+12.5%).
https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-quotidien/211203/dq211203a-eng.htm
1. Quebec spending money on skills - https://www.talentcanada.ca/quebec-announces-details-of-3-9-billion-plan-to-address-labour-shortages/. 3 of 6 are public sector related. There seems to be little focus on the goods-producing sector
2. Manufacturing supply change and skill gap issues - https://www.talentcanada.ca/most-manufacturers-facing-more-acute-labour-shortage-than-last-year-survey/
3. AG sector - https://www.realagriculture.com/2021/12/new-canadians-urban-students-needed-to-fill-labour-gaps-in-agriculture/
4. Minimum wage - https://atlantic.ctvnews.ca/minimum-wage-in-new-brunswick-to-increase-by-largest-percentage-in-40-years-1.5690778
5. PMI index - https://www.theglobeandmail.com/business/economy/article-canadian-manufacturing-activity-expands-at-slightly-slower-pace-in/
6. Provinces - https://royal-bank-of-canada-2124.docs.contently.com/v/provinces-enter-advanced-stages-of-recovery-in-2022-pdf
7. Public sector spending - https://winnipegsun.com/uncategorized/trudeau-to-limit-new-spending-in-fiscal-update-source
8. Automation - https://www.nintex.com/blog/the-process-automation-market-is-booming-its-time-to-adapt/
9. Critical metals - https://www.cgai.ca/building_supply_chain_resiliency_of_critical_minerals
10. What is next - https://www.cdhowe.org/intelligence-memos/don-drummond-upcoming-fall-fiscal-update-must-answer-questions-about-growth
Transforming the Public Sector| The United States| November 2021paul young cpa, cga
In fiscal year 2021, which ended on September 30, the federal budget deficit totaled nearly $2.8 trillion—about $360 billion less than the deficit in 2020, but nearly triple the shortfall incurred in 2019. During the past two years, deficits were much larger than they have been historically because of the economic effects of the coronavirus pandemic and legislation enacted in response.1
In 2021, the deficit was equal to 12.4 percent of the nation’s gross domestic product (GDP), down from 15.0 percent in 2020, but up from 4.7 percent in 2019. The 2021 deficit was the second largest as a percentage of GDP since 1945 (the largest occurred in 2020).
1. Deficit - https://www.reuters.com/world/us/us-budget-gap-narrows-more-than-expected-year-earlier-october-2021-11-10/
2. Taxation https://taxfoundation.org/2022-tax-brackets/
3. Healthcare - https://www.americanactionforum.org/research/key-health-policy-provisions-of-the-build-back-better-act/
4. Infrastructure - https://www.piquenewsmagazine.com/national-business/us-infrastructure-bill-means-more-cash-and-contracts-for-wsp-global-ceo-says-4743343
5. Taxation at state and local government level - https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/ey-cost-study-state-and-local-government-tax-revenue-increases-despite-pandemic-301421351.html
6. Federal reserve - https://www.smh.com.au/business/banking-and-finance/us-inflation-hits-new-record-forcing-the-fed-to-rethink-its-strategy-20211111-p5981q.html
7. Climate change - https://www.ft.com/content/da0ac736-7c38-4f93-baaf-e315a51faf22
8. Housing - https://www.cnbc.com/2021/11/10/home-prices-are-now-rising-much-faster-than-incomes-studies-show.html
9. Corporate tax - https://dividedwefall.com/2021/11/05/global-minimum-corporate-tax/
10. Productivity - https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-economy-productivity-idCAKBN2HP1O6
11. Regulations - https://news.yahoo.com/regulatory-reformers-red-tape-formidable-184826530.html
12. ESG - https://www.pwc.com/gx/en/services/sustainability/publications/cop26/how-much-does-the-public-care-about-esg-pwc-cop26.html or https://ibm.box.com/s/vmyitcackqevvm1hcxv7wke6gudrpnce
13. Energy crisis - https://www.rigzone.com/news/wire/usa_should_have_enough_gas_to_avert_energy_crisis-09-nov-2021-166955-article/
14. Carbon tax - https://www.delawareonline.com/story/opinion/2021/11/05/u-s-must-enact-carbon-tax-its-essential-curb-climate-change/6280393001/
15. Pensions - https://www.pewtrusts.org/en/research-and-analysis/issue-briefs/2021/09/the-state-pension-funding-gap-plans-have-stabilized-in-wake-of-pandemic
16. Unfunded liabilities - https://www.lagrangenews.com/2021/10/16/brown-column-we-must-address-the-national-debt/
17. Policing - https://www.upworthy.com/americas-most-dangerous-city-defunded-its-police-department-7-years-ago-it-was-a-stunning-success or https://www.moneygeek.com/living/state-policing-corrections-spending/
Summary:
Farm incomes continue to be strong.
AG equipment sales had a banner year in 2021.
More and more farmers will continue to adopt expert farming and sustainable practices when it comes to managing their crop yields.
Agriculture subsidies continue to be a focus area as countries look to expand their AG exports.
1. Crop yields – http://geographical.co.uk/people/development/item/4253-adapt-to-survive
2. Crop insurance and Expert farming - https://www.agri-pulse.com/articles/16975-direct-checks-expected-to-ignite-cover-crop-surge-crop-insurance-may-play-role-too
3. Vertical farming - https://www.hortweek.com/pioneers-shaping-future-vertical-farming/fresh-produce/article/1737366
4. Ag subsidies - https://www.oxfordmartin.ox.ac.uk/blog/meat-and-dairy-gobble-up-farming-subsidies/
5. Trade - https://www.wattagnet.com/articles/44271-now-is-the-time-to-pursue-us-africa-agriculture-trade?v=preview
6. Trade - https://www.livemint.com/news/world/india-to-remove-longstanding-barrier-to-agricultural-trade-say-us-officials-11641858901225.html
7. Food costs - https://www.citizen-times.com/story/news/local/2022/01/13/rising-food-costs-2022-groceries-restaurants-farmers-department-agriculture/9184619002/
8. Inflation - https://ca.movies.yahoo.com/december-inflation-sees-fastest-price-152424665.html
9. Farm income - https://katv.com/news/local/farm-incomes-on-the-rise-fryar-center-predicts-trend-to-continue-in-20
10. Outlook - https://upstreamaginsights.substack.com/p/2022-upstream-ag-insights-outlook or https://www.agriculture.com/news/business/2021-was-a-year-unlike-any-other-for-farm-machinery
11. Automation - https://www.gmpresswire.com/agricultural-robots-market-outlook-by-opportunity-and-demand-analysis-forecast-2026/
12. Fertilizer - https://www.realagriculture.com/2017/12/vervaets-slurry-spreader-features-nir-for-precise-nitrogen-application/
2019 Election| Scorecard | Liberal Party of Canada | Prime Minister - Justin ...paul young cpa, cga
Here is a look at key areas of policy as part of assessing the success of Trudeau. Trudeau and his team often tout certain stats as way to show people they are successful. The problem is that many stats are very high level as such never discuss the details.
More op-eds by CBC as an attempt to show @justintrudeau managing of the financing is on par with Harper
• Trudeau has increase overall spending from year over year average was 6.7% as compare to Harper’s 3.8%
• Trudeau took $1B surplus and turned it into $18B deficit
• Trudeau decided to slash the AG performance management audits, why?
• Trudeau has a made a mess of every file including immigration - https://torontosun.com/news/national/illegal-border-processing-costs-alone-to-exceed-1-billion-pbo-report
• Trudeau’s policies are more about votes than sound policies. The tax cut did little when you factor in Trudeau eliminated income tax splitting, boutique tax credits and hiked CPP - https://www.thechronicleherald.ca/news/canada/for-millennials-in-canada-the-middle-class-dream-slips-a-little-further-away-oecd-300708/ or https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/2019-election-middle-class-canada-june-2019
• Trudeau’s policies have made Canada less competitive - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/2019-election-canada-and-global-competitiveness-may-2019
• You cannot not just look at GDP ratios. You also need to look at outcomes along with expense growth year over year in relation to Taxation and GDP growth - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/2019-election-gdp-and-economy-canada
• Trudeau’s policies have support only 10% increase in goods producing sector jobs. Goods producing sector jobs pay on average 40% more than service sector jobs. - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/2019-election-employment-market-canada-may-2019
Blog – GDP – Canada – September 2021
Real gross domestic product (GDP) edged up 0.1% in September, as declines largely concentrated in manufacturing, construction and retail trade were more than offset by broad-based expansions in services-producing industries as well as in mining, quarrying and oil and gas extraction.
Preliminary information indicates that real GDP rebounded in October, up 0.8% with increases in most sectors. Manufacturing led the growth after contracting in September due in part to the effects of the semiconductor shortage. Other notable increases were in public sector, construction, finance and insurance, and transportation and warehousing. Because of its preliminary nature, this estimate will be revised on December 23, with the release of the official GDP data for the October reference month.
Overall, 12 of 20 industrial sectors were up in September, with growth in services-producing industries (+0.4%) more than offsetting a decline in goods-producing industries (-0.6%).
The continued global shortage of semiconductors and other supply chain disruptions markedly affected manufacturing and sales activity at a number of automotive-related industries across different industrial sectors in September.
Source - https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-quotidien/211130/dq211130b-eng.htm
Cost of Living (Inflation)| The United States| October 2021paul young cpa, cga
Bottom Line: Inflation is spreading to more items as supply can't keep up with sturdy underlying demand that's stoked by stimulative policies, forcing more companies to pass along rising costs. A combination of low base-year effects, supply-side disruptions, delivery bottlenecks, labour shortages, elevated energy and food costs, and rising residential rents could keep the CPI rate above 6% through the turn of the year, while the core rate will likely take a run at 5%. Chair Powell expects inflation to begin to retreat by the second or third quarter of next year as supply constraints abate and reopening-demand pressures fade. But it will be a long and anxious waiting period (assuming he's still Chair). And, should wage growth rise further or inflation expectations resume an upward drift, the Fed might not be able to wait that long before pulling the tightening trigger.
Source - https://economics.bmo.com/en/publications/detail/86bbbd1a-eb53-42cd-902c-a804528f193e/
1. Food costs - https://ktvz.com/money/cnn-business-consumer/2021/11/05/world-food-prices-are-up-30-in-a-year/
2. OPEC tells Biden to pump the oil himself - https://www.forbes.com/sites/arielcohen/2021/11/09/opec-says-to-biden-if-you-want-more-oil-pump-it-yourself/?sh=11d02fb93efd OPEC told Biden (11/9/2021) to pump more USA oil https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/oil-and-gas-energy-sector-analysis-and-commentary-october-2021-revised
3. Supply chain - https://edtechmagazine.com/higher/k12/article/2021/11/4-ways-avoid-supply-chain-delays-2022
4. Low income - https://ktvz.com/news/2021/11/10/higher-gas-prices-and-heating-costs-will-hurt-low-income-families-the-most-this-winter/
5. Carbon tax - https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/opinion/rising-gas-prices-show-why-a-carbon-tax-is-a-bad-idea
6. Housing - https://www.cnbc.com/2021/11/10/home-prices-are-now-rising-much-faster-than-incomes-studies-show.html
7. Commodity prices - https://blackbullmarkets.com/en/market-reviews/are-commodity-prices-going-up/
8. Interest rates - https://www.cnbc.com/2021/11/10/federal-reserve-james-bullard-expects-two-rate-hikes-next-year.html
9. Green employment - https://www.aei.org/articles/will-green-energy-produce-more-jobs-three-experts-discuss/
10. Job market - https://www.cnbc.com/2021/11/09/switching-jobs-can-lead-to-higher-pay-heres-what-to-know.html
11. China - https://www.cnn.com/2021/11/10/economy/china-cpi-ppi-inflation-intl-hnk/index.html
People need to review all aspects of the various parties platform including looking at the annual report for government.
There is allot of information that is missing from statements made by various parties. Elections tend to allow parties to mislead the facts.
Many people are confused how money flows from your wallet to social programs. Each level of government has different taxation programs that hit your wallet different ways
It is important to understand there is only one taxpayers and that is you
You cannot tax people to prosperity
Canada does a very good job of wealth distribution
Too many governments do not look at value for money when it comes to delivering program spending.
All politicians will promise the world, but in fact can deliver very little due fiscal restraints
Trudeau came to office in 2015 when GDP growth for 2015 was about 1% (https://www.cbc.ca/news/business/gdp-economy-1.3470453). Trudeau promise small deficits during the 2015 election (https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/canada-election-2015-liberals-infrastructure-deficits-1.3205535.
Trudeau deficits were never small. The budget balance for period close March 2019 was $14B (https://www.canada.ca/en/department-finance/services/publications/annual-financial-report/2019/report.html).
Trudeau’s latest budget runs a higher deficit. Trudeau budget like previous budgets does not deal with productivity issues. Trudeau housing policies have been a colossal failure! https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/budget-2022-path-forward-for-canada-pptx
GDP for 2019 was estimated at 1.6%. https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-quotidien/200228/dq200228a-eng.htm. Liberals will argue that the GDP rate was 50% higher than October 2015. What the Liberals will not discuss is Harper was running 2.3% average growth rate for GDP (Post 2009 Recession) https://www.focus-economics.com/country-indicator/canada/gdp as compared to the Liberals that was running about 2%
Cost of living has hit 40-year high
More and more of the middle class are left out of the housing market
Canada continues to face productivity and innovation challenges
Federal government refuses to review its carbon pricing model
Blog – The Failure of Trudeaunomics – April 2022
Trudeau deficits led to nothing but higher taxes and anemic growth
Trudeau did little to help the middle class
Trudeau policies towards the natural resource sector led to less FDI as compared to its peers like Australia
Trudeau’s carbon tax has not been revenue neutral
Trudeau critical metal strategy is relying on innovation that does not current exist when it comes to sourcing lithium from tailing ponds and/or other sources.
Trudeau’s ministers claim the PBO report did not look at all angle is incorrect. Canadians are looking at ways to deal with high inflation including curbing consumer spending
Trudeau never mentioned the fact that Canadians have the highest household debt ever in the history of Canada.
1. Housing affordability – During 2015 election is when Ralph Goodale said Harper had the worse household debt in Canadian history https://nationalpost.com/opinion/ralph-goodale-the-myth-of-the-roaring-canadian-economy . Fast forward to 2022 and now you are seeing household affordability the worse in over 30 years - https://www.macleans.ca/longforms/down-payments-are-less-affordable-than-ever-unless-you-have-generational-wealth/
2. Trudeau’s deficits with neither effective nor small - https://torontosun.com/opinion/columnists/goldstein-lets-stop-pretending-trudeaus-deficit-projections-are-real
3. Trudeau environmental policies had many issues - https://www.theglobeandmail.com/politics/article-contradictory-spending-slow-pace-trouble-trudeau-governments-emissions/
4. Immigration is a concern due to fact there is a job quality issue - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/has-canada-immigration-policies-been-effective
5. GDP was sluggish pre-covid19 and little was said by MSM and Trudeau’s team - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/world-and-slow-economic-growth
6. Supply chain was in bad shape pre-covid19 - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/analysis-of-the-goods-producing-sector-canada-august-2019-and-september-2019
7. Trudeau never brought Canada back on the world scene - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/foreign-affairs-and-policies-is-canada-back-250969830
8. Trudeau promise to help small business and the went on to hiking small businesses taxes as he called small business owners tax cheats. https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/canada-small-business-survival-analysis-and-commentary
9. Trudeau promise to be more open and transparent and has failed - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/justin-trudeau-governance-model-january-15-2022
10. Trudeau policies never address productivity - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/how-to-improve-canada-global-competitiveness-250791285
11. Trudeau’s team has ignored many audit reports. Trudeau has done little to improve outcomes on various programs - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/fiscal-update-for-canada-december-2021
Blog – Failure of Trudeaunomics
Justin Trudeau may key promises in 2015.
a) Making housing more affordable. Housing has grown on average of nearly 10% per year as compared to wage growth of 3.2%
b) Household debt has hit record levels since 2015
c) FDI has gone elsewhere to countries like Australia - https://www.austrade.gov.au/news/economic-analysis/who-invests-in-australia-analysing-2020-s-4-trillion-record-for-foreign-investment
d) Inflation is at an 18-year high - https://www.linkedin.com/posts/malundy_canadian-inflation-hits-30-year-high-as-omicron-activity-6877347398188982272-DjpM/
e) Trudeau’s deficits were neither small nor effective to address issues facing the economy like productivity, innovation, skills gaps, housing costs, etc. - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/how-can-bank-of-canada-achieve-its-2-inflation-target-for-canada
1. Wage growth – https://www.saltwire.com/nova-scotia/news/wage-growth-outpaces-inflation-as-job-vacancies-surge-to-record-100672882/
2. Housing - https://betterdwelling.com/canadas-gap-between-real-estate-prices-and-incomes-looks-ridiculous-beside-us-data/
3. Record household debt - https://www.reuters.com/markets/rates-bonds/canada-q3-household-debt-to-income-ratio-rises-1773-2021-12-10/
4. FDI in decline as compare to Canada’s peers - https://www.cpacanada.ca/en/public-interest/public-policy-government-relations/policy-advocacy/cpa-canada-tax-review-initiative/taxes-and-canadians/stifling-foreign-investment-holding-canada-back
5. Job Quality - https://www.thestar.com/business/2021/12/09/small-businesses-automating-to-deal-with-worker-shortage-survey.html
6. Canadian dollar - https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/canada-fx-debt-canadian-dollar-extends-rebound-as-domestic-economy-grows
7. GDP and slow growth - https://thoughtleadership.rbc.com/the-great-canadian-restart-how-2022-can-spark-an-era-of-greener-more-robust-growth/ and https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/canadian-consumers-power-5-4-annualized-growth-1.1688906
8. Immigration - https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/canada-tops-record-immigration-goal-of-401-000-residents-1.1700063
9. Inflation - https://www.healthing.ca/opinion/opinion-ottawa-gets-an-inflation-dividend-the-rest-of-us-dont/
10. Job vacancies - https://www.ctvnews.ca/business/labour-shortages-continue-as-quarterly-job-vacancies-reach-all-time-high-1.5718167
NDP has an agreement with the Liberals to support Trudeau until 2025. NDP will not support any non-confidence vote but will support any liberal budgets. NDP will be allow to push bills like GIS and other bills related to the NDP free stuff agenda!
2019 Election| Trickle Down Economics| CPC vs LPC | May 2019paul young cpa, cga
There is allot of misunderstanding when it comes to trickle down economics. Too many people think it is all about the rich and that is not true. Trickle down economics is all about the right tax policies that support all income groups. There are taxes that are regressive like consumption and carbon tax that have a bigger impact on low to middle class income than wealthiest. The problem is Trudeau never discusses regressive taxation as he feels that his so called tax credit systems helps equalize things out which is not the case!
This presentation discuss how trickle down economics. There is allot of misunderstanding on how income flows from Government treasury to social programs.
The presentation will discuss pressure facing the middle class including economic growth.
This presentation discuss how trickle down economics. There is allot of misunderstanding on how income flows from Government treasury to social programs.
The presentation will discuss pressure facing the middle class including economic growth.
It is not one government policies, but many that support economic growth.
Wealthiest Income – Analysis and Commentary - Canada - 2017paul young cpa, cga
According to the report, the top 20% of Canadian households in terms of income — those with annual incomes exceeding $186,875 — will earn 49.1% of all income in Canada but pay 55.9% of all taxes, including income, payroll, sales, and property taxes. The top 1% of earners face an even starker discrepancy, earning 10.7% of all income but paying 14.7% of all taxes in 2017 (compared to 11.3% in 1997).
Fiscal and Economic Management| Canada| August 2020| Analysis and Commentarypaul young cpa, cga
The government under their mandate is faced with the election mandate along with facing geopolitical issues that drive both the fiscal management cycle and the economy. This presentation looks at various issues facing Canada including what is required to resolve the various issues
All governments have to follow their fiscal management cycle and that includes internal audit programs. The problem is too many governments put little focus on operational and performance audits as part of managing their fiscal cycle.
Similar to Failure of Trudeaunomics - October 2021 (20)
Global Housing Market Analysis and Commentary- September 2023.pptxpaul young cpa, cga
Summary:
Homebuilders are walking a fine line when it comes to new projects as high mortgage rates curb demand.
New residential construction, including single-family homes and multifamily, dropped 11.3% month over month in August to 1.283 million units on a seasonally adjusted basis, according to Census Bureau data released Tuesday. That's down 14.8% compared with a year ago and well below the 1.44 million units economists surveyed by Bloomberg projected.
But authorized residential permits — an indicator of potential future activity — rose 6.9% to 1.543 million permits in August from July. That was still down 2.7% from last August. Single-family permits, though, were up 2% from July to 949,000. Multifamily permits came in at 535,000.
The data reflects two opposing forces builders are trying to balance: the ongoing need for new construction to fill in limited inventory and elevated mortgage rates that are hurting their biggest customer right now, the first-time homebuyer.
"High mortgage rates are clearly taking a toll on builder confidence and consumer demand, as a growing number of buyers are electing to defer a home purchase until long-term rates move lower," Robert Dietz, chief economist of the National Association of Home Builders, said Monday in a press release after builder confidence dropped for the second straight month.
Source: https://ca.finance.yahoo.com/news/homebuilders-face-a-tough-balancing-act-on-new-construction-amid-high-mortgage-rates-130744368.html
Blog – What is next for the Mining Sector – September 2023
The mining sector provides critical material that support solar, wind, and lithium-ion batteries as part of the green transition. https://www.iea.org/news/critical-minerals-market-sees-unprecedented-growth-as-clean-energy-demand-drives-strong-increase-in-investment
The mining sector products play a key role with the global GDP - https://www.yicaiglobal.com/news/global-mining-industry-value-was-69-of-world-gdp-last-year-china-says
Mining practices need to be sustainable including following all ESG policies - https://www.linkedin.com/advice/1/how-can-you-monitor-sustainable-mining-practices
Other links and sources –
Lithium Supply and Price - https://zbr.com.mx/en/sin-categoria-es/lithium-prices-fall-44-in-china-due-to-lack-of-demand/138168/
Cobalt - https://www.linkedin.com/posts/mahmut-karada%C5%9F-a2b7a5151_china-exportrestrictions-gallium-activity-7082603182589157376-Zrty/?trk=public_profile_like_view
Nickel https://www.eureporter.co/business/2023/09/15/stanislav-kondrashov-from-telf-ag-nickel-prices-outlook-remains-positive/
Iron-ore - https://www.brecorder.com/news/40263584/sgx-iron-ore-set-for-best-week-in-3-months
TD Bank / Metals - https://www.tdsecurities.com/ca/en/setting-the-stage-for-gold-outlook
Biodiversity / Mining - https://worldcrunch.com/green/lithium-green-energy-argentina-indigenous
ESG - https://iriscarbon.com/the-added-value-of-integrated-esg-reporting-a-threefold-framework/
Blog – Manufacturing Shipments and Orders – The United States – August 2023
Summary:
New orders for manufacturing technology in the United States totaled $353.9 million in July 2023, as per the latest report by AMT – The Association For Manufacturing Technology. This figure marked a 12.4% decline from June 2023 but remained only 10.5% lower than July 2022. Year-to-date orders amounted to $2.83 billion, reflecting a 12.7% decrease compared to the same period the previous year.
Douglas K. Woods, President of AMT, noted that July is typically a slower month for manufacturing technology orders, so a slight drop was expected. However, he pointed out a notable trend: over the last two months, the year-to-date order gap has narrowed during historically slow periods. While job shops have seen decreased orders, other industries that benefited from reshoring or government investments have helped fill the gap.
Among specific sectors, job shops, the largest customer segment, placed their lowest total monthly orders since August 2020. In contrast, metal valve manufacturers recorded their third-highest monthly order value on record, last seen in September 2018, making up nearly 5% of the total manufacturing technology order value for July 2023. Manufacturers of motor vehicle transmissions continued to order machinery at an elevated pace. However, the aerospace industry continued to order below its early 2022 peaks, with hopes that recent projects like the federal government's $1.5 billion investment in communications satellites might reverse this trend.
Source: https://www.sme.org/technologies/articles/2023/september/u.s.-manufacturing-technology-orders-dip-in-july-but-show-resilience-amid-economic-uncertainty
Stock Market Analysis and Commentary for WE September 15 2023.pptxpaul young cpa, cga
Blog – Analysis and Commentary – Stock Market – WE September 15 2023
Summary:
Stocks fell Friday as investors wrap up a volatile week ahead of the Federal Reserve's policy meeting.
The Dow Jones Industrials tumbled 288.87 points to close out Friday and the week at 34,618.24. At its lows, it completely wiped out Thursday's 332-point rally.
The S&P 500 index sank 54.78 points, or 1.2%, to 4,450.32.
The NASDAQ index plunged 217.72 points, or 1.6%, to 13,708.33.
The Dow held onto a winning week. The S&P 500 and NASDAQ both closed out the week with losses.
Information technology was the worst-performing sector in the S&P 500, down nearly 2%. Adobe shares fell more than 4% even after the software firm posted better-than-expected quarterly results. Shares of Arm Holdings were lower one day after its successful public debut.
Auto stocks General Motors and Stellantis N.V. were higher Friday, while Ford Motor was about flat. Thousands of members of the United Auto Workers went on strike after failing to reach a deal with the automakers Thursday night.
Elsewhere, Lennar shares slid 3%. The home construction firm posted third-quarter results that beat on the top and bottom lines.
On the economic front, the University of Michigan's consumer sentiment survey showed one-year inflation expectations dropped to 3.1% in
September, tied for the lowest since January 2021. Also, the five-year outlook fell to 2.7%, matching its lowest since December 2020.
Electricity Analysis - Canada and the OECD - June 2023.pptxpaul young cpa, cga
Summary:
Over three-quarters of the world’s total coal-generated electricity is consumed in just three countries. China is the top user of coal, making up 53.3% of global coal demand, followed by India at 13.6%, and the U.S. at 8.9%.
Burning coal—for electricity, as well as metallurgy and cement production—is the world’s single largest source of CO2 emissions. Nevertheless, its use in electricity generation has actually grown 91.2% since 1997, the year when the first global climate agreement was signed in Kyoto, Japan.
However, even as non-renewables enjoy their time in the sun, their days could be numbered.
In 2022, renewables, such as wind, solar, and geothermal, represented 14.4% of total electricity generation with an extraordinary annual growth rate of 14.7%, driven by big gains in solar and wind. Non-renewables, by contrast, only managed an anemic 0.4%.
The authors of the Statistical Review do not include hydroelectric in their renewable calculations, even though many others, including the International Energy Agency, consider it a “well-established renewable power technology.”
With hydroelectric moved into the renewable column, together they accounted for over 29.3% of all electricity generated in 2022, with an annual growth rate of 7.4%.
Source - https://energynow.ca/2023/09/infographic-what-electricity-sources-power-the-world-see-them-here-visual-capitalist/
Stock Market Analysis and Commentary for WE September 9 2023.pptxpaul young cpa, cga
What did the markets tell us this week?
1. Housing supply and costs continue to plague countries around the world.
2. Gasoline prices are on the rise that puts pressure on central banks ability to hit their core inflation targets.
3. ESG adoption by both the private and public sector is leading to both funding concerns and the overall cost of implementing ESG policies.
4. Adopting technology as part of increasing food production is facing both capital and operational funding concerns.
5. Strike at LNG facility in Australia is leading to concerns around a supply chain disruption of natural gas for EMEA and Asia.
6. The threat of China dumping batteries into markets - https://www.ft.com/content/b6038e51-7b5b-4f97-a5da-9202e71562fc
7. Adoption of generative AI has been facing many challenges related to security, privacy, and ethical issues.
8. Lack of biodiversity planning as part of the overall climate mitigation including sustainable mining, forestry, oil, gas, agriculture, and housing
9. Geopolitical issues continue to impact supply chain.
10. The concerns of recession continue to plague both the private and public sector.
11. Productivity issues continue to plague governments around the world.
Global (Mining Oil and Gas Forestry and Agriculture) Analysis and Commentary ...paul young cpa, cga
The mining, oil, gas, agriculture, forestry, and mining continue to face environmental, social, and governance policy review including reporting of key metrics as part of ESG reporting cycle.
There is more focus on profitability and investment returns as part of the integrated planning and reporting cycle.
Summary:
The global economy faces what at least one forecaster is calling a mild trade recession as shipments from China slump and German factories downshift.
China’s export declines extended into August, though there were signs that the worst of a world trade slowdown may be over for the leading exporter.
Overseas shipments from China fell 8.8% in dollar terms from a year earlier while imports contracted 7.3%, both better than economists’ estimates and significantly less severe than July’s downturn.
Other data have suggested trade may be stabilizing after weakening for most of this year. Exports from South Korea also declined at a more moderate pace in August than the previous month.
Source: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2023-09-07/supply-chain-latest-world-trade-faces-a-shallow-recession?srnd=economics-v2
Additional sources and links:
Lithium - https://source.benchmarkminerals.com/article/falling-lithium-prices-challenge-potential-cost-advantages-of-sodium-batteries
Oil Production - https://www.cnn.com/2023/09/06/business/oil-price-goldman-sachs/index.html
Natural gas - https://www.fxstreet.com/news/natural-gas-holds-up-as-markets-in-limbo-over-strikes-202309070956
Lumber - https://www.fastmarkets.com/insights/sawmill-capacity-closures-reshape-us-lumber-supply
Critical metals - https://www.wasterecyclingmag.ca/feature/how-recycling-could-solve-the-shortage-of-minerals-essential-to-clean-energy/
Agriculture - https://www.morningagclips.com/economists-forecast-positive-end-of-year-crop-outlook-despite-warmer-midwestern-climate/
ESG - https://www.skadden.com/insights/publications/2023/09/the-informed-board/the-eus-new-esg-disclosure-rules
Ports - https://www.marketscreener.com/quote/stock/HAPAG-LLOYD-AG-24857717/news/Hapag-Lloyd-chief-warns-of-rougher-seas-ahead-for-container-shipping-44789017/
Top destination for reshoring - https://www.thenationalnews.com/business/economy/2023/08/29/uae-in-top-10-most-powerful-passports-for-investment-opportunity/
Global Trade - https://phys.org/news/2023-09-opinion-broke-global-climate-finish.html
What is next for the Forestry Sector and Lumber Production - September 2023.pptxpaul young cpa, cga
Lumber production in Canada continues to face many hurdles
Canada forest management practices are some of the bests in the world
Canada planted over 440M in seedlings back in 2018. It is now 2022 which means close 2M seedlings have been planted.
All levels need to put more focus on urban and rural planning solutions
More work including spending on wildfire and forest fire mitigation
Canada and USA need to find a path forward to resolve the softwood lumber dispute
There needs to a better balanced between climate change policies and growing the economy in a sustainable way
3D printing for housing needs to become mainstream
More protection needs to happen with key ecosystems like wetlands, forest, and peatlands.
There is a risk of debt default if interest rates are hike over the next few months
what is the best method to sell pi coins in 2024DOT TECH
The best way to sell your pi coins safely is trading with an exchange..but since pi is not launched in any exchange, and second option is through a VERIFIED pi merchant.
Who is a pi merchant?
A pi merchant is someone who buys pi coins from miners and pioneers and resell them to Investors looking forward to hold massive amounts before mainnet launch in 2026.
I will leave the telegram contact of my personal pi merchant to trade pi coins with.
@Pi_vendor_247
when will pi network coin be available on crypto exchange.DOT TECH
There is no set date for when Pi coins will enter the market.
However, the developers are working hard to get them released as soon as possible.
Once they are available, users will be able to exchange other cryptocurrencies for Pi coins on designated exchanges.
But for now the only way to sell your pi coins is through verified pi vendor.
Here is the telegram contact of my personal pi vendor
@Pi_vendor_247
how can i use my minded pi coins I need some funds.DOT TECH
If you are interested in selling your pi coins, i have a verified pi merchant, who buys pi coins and resell them to exchanges looking forward to hold till mainnet launch.
Because the core team has announced that pi network will not be doing any pre-sale. The only way exchanges like huobi, bitmart and hotbit can get pi is by buying from miners.
Now a merchant stands in between these exchanges and the miners. As a link to make transactions smooth. Because right now in the enclosed mainnet you can't sell pi coins your self. You need the help of a merchant,
i will leave the telegram contact of my personal pi merchant below. 👇 I and my friends has traded more than 3000pi coins with him successfully.
@Pi_vendor_247
USDA Loans in California: A Comprehensive Overview.pptxmarketing367770
USDA Loans in California: A Comprehensive Overview
If you're dreaming of owning a home in California's rural or suburban areas, a USDA loan might be the perfect solution. The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) offers these loans to help low-to-moderate-income individuals and families achieve homeownership.
Key Features of USDA Loans:
Zero Down Payment: USDA loans require no down payment, making homeownership more accessible.
Competitive Interest Rates: These loans often come with lower interest rates compared to conventional loans.
Flexible Credit Requirements: USDA loans have more lenient credit score requirements, helping those with less-than-perfect credit.
Guaranteed Loan Program: The USDA guarantees a portion of the loan, reducing risk for lenders and expanding borrowing options.
Eligibility Criteria:
Location: The property must be located in a USDA-designated rural or suburban area. Many areas in California qualify.
Income Limits: Applicants must meet income guidelines, which vary by region and household size.
Primary Residence: The home must be used as the borrower's primary residence.
Application Process:
Find a USDA-Approved Lender: Not all lenders offer USDA loans, so it's essential to choose one approved by the USDA.
Pre-Qualification: Determine your eligibility and the amount you can borrow.
Property Search: Look for properties in eligible rural or suburban areas.
Loan Application: Submit your application, including financial and personal information.
Processing and Approval: The lender and USDA will review your application. If approved, you can proceed to closing.
USDA loans are an excellent option for those looking to buy a home in California's rural and suburban areas. With no down payment and flexible requirements, these loans make homeownership more attainable for many families. Explore your eligibility today and take the first step toward owning your dream home.
how to sell pi coins in all Africa Countries.DOT TECH
Yes. You can sell your pi network for other cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin, usdt , Ethereum and other currencies And this is done easily with the help from a pi merchant.
What is a pi merchant ?
Since pi is not launched yet in any exchange. The only way you can sell right now is through merchants.
A verified Pi merchant is someone who buys pi network coins from miners and resell them to investors looking forward to hold massive quantities of pi coins before mainnet launch in 2026.
I will leave the telegram contact of my personal pi merchant to trade with.
@Pi_vendor_247
What website can I sell pi coins securely.DOT TECH
Currently there are no website or exchange that allow buying or selling of pi coins..
But you can still easily sell pi coins, by reselling it to exchanges/crypto whales interested in holding thousands of pi coins before the mainnet launch.
Who is a pi merchant?
A pi merchant is someone who buys pi coins from miners and resell to these crypto whales and holders of pi..
This is because pi network is not doing any pre-sale. The only way exchanges can get pi is by buying from miners and pi merchants stands in between the miners and the exchanges.
How can I sell my pi coins?
Selling pi coins is really easy, but first you need to migrate to mainnet wallet before you can do that. I will leave the telegram contact of my personal pi merchant to trade with.
Tele-gram.
@Pi_vendor_247
Financial Assets: Debit vs Equity Securities.pptxWrito-Finance
financial assets represent claim for future benefit or cash. Financial assets are formed by establishing contracts between participants. These financial assets are used for collection of huge amounts of money for business purposes.
Two major Types: Debt Securities and Equity Securities.
Debt Securities are Also known as fixed-income securities or instruments. The type of assets is formed by establishing contracts between investor and issuer of the asset.
• The first type of Debit securities is BONDS. Bonds are issued by corporations and government (both local and national government).
• The second important type of Debit security is NOTES. Apart from similarities associated with notes and bonds, notes have shorter term maturity.
• The 3rd important type of Debit security is TRESURY BILLS. These securities have short-term ranging from three months, six months, and one year. Issuer of such securities are governments.
• Above discussed debit securities are mostly issued by governments and corporations. CERTIFICATE OF DEPOSITS CDs are issued by Banks and Financial Institutions. Risk factor associated with CDs gets reduced when issued by reputable institutions or Banks.
Following are the risk attached with debt securities: Credit risk, interest rate risk and currency risk
There are no fixed maturity dates in such securities, and asset’s value is determined by company’s performance. There are two major types of equity securities: common stock and preferred stock.
Common Stock: These are simple equity securities and bear no complexities which the preferred stock bears. Holders of such securities or instrument have the voting rights when it comes to select the company’s board of director or the business decisions to be made.
Preferred Stock: Preferred stocks are sometime referred to as hybrid securities, because it contains elements of both debit security and equity security. Preferred stock confers ownership rights to security holder that is why it is equity instrument
<a href="https://www.writofinance.com/equity-securities-features-types-risk/" >Equity securities </a> as a whole is used for capital funding for companies. Companies have multiple expenses to cover. Potential growth of company is required in competitive market. So, these securities are used for capital generation, and then uses it for company’s growth.
Concluding remarks
Both are employed in business. Businesses are often established through debit securities, then what is the need for equity securities. Companies have to cover multiple expenses and expansion of business. They can also use equity instruments for repayment of debits. So, there are multiple uses for securities. As an investor, you need tools for analysis. Investment decisions are made by carefully analyzing the market. For better analysis of the stock market, investors often employ financial analysis of companies.
How to get verified on Coinbase Account?_.docxBuy bitget
t's important to note that buying verified Coinbase accounts is not recommended and may violate Coinbase's terms of service. Instead of searching to "buy verified Coinbase accounts," follow the proper steps to verify your own account to ensure compliance and security.
how to sell pi coins on Bitmart crypto exchangeDOT TECH
Yes. Pi network coins can be exchanged but not on bitmart exchange. Because pi network is still in the enclosed mainnet. The only way pioneers are able to trade pi coins is by reselling the pi coins to pi verified merchants.
A verified merchant is someone who buys pi network coins and resell it to exchanges looking forward to hold till mainnet launch.
I will leave the telegram contact of my personal pi merchant to trade with.
@Pi_vendor_247
2. Paul Young CPA CGA - Bio
• CPA, CGA
• Academia (PF1, FA4, FN2, MU1. and MS2)
• SME – Risk Management
• SME – Close, Consolidate and Reporting
• SME – Public Policy
• SME – Emerging Technology
• SME – Business Process Change
• SME – Financial Solutions
• SME – Macro/Micro Indicators
• SME – Supply Chain Management
• SME – Data, AI, Security, and Platform
• SME – Internal Controls and Auditing
Contact information email: Paul_Young_CGA@hotmail.com
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/paul-young-055632b/
SlideShare - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga
Twitter: https://twitter.com/paulyoungcpa
Youtube - https://www.youtube.com/user/youngercga1968/videos
3. Agenda
What is Trickle Down Economics?
What is the Tax code/Rules
Explanation of Corporate Taxation
Explanation of Wealth Transfer
Middle Class
Tax Cuts
Blog #1 – Trudeau and Trickle-Down Economics
4. Summary
This presentation discuss how trickle
down economics. There is allot of
misunderstanding on how income flows
from Government treasury to social
programs.
The presentation will discuss pressure
facing the middle class including
economic growth.
It is not one government policies, but
many that support economic growth.
5. What is trickle down economics
• Trickle-down economics, or “trickle-down theory,” argues for
income and capital gains tax breaks or other financial benefits to
large businesses, investors and entrepreneurs in order to
stimulate economic growth. The argument hinges on two
assumptions: all members of society benefit from growth; and
growth is most likely to come from those with the resources and
skills to increase productive output.
6. What is the
tax code
• The tax code
• Provides deductions for expenses a part of earning
income
• Provides rules for taxation, i.e. tax rates, capital
gains, dividend tax credits, etc.
• Each country has their own tax body that sets the
rules for taxation
• Some countries have flat tax rates, but high
consumption taxation (Europe/Asia)
• Some countries have progressive tax rates that
tax the top 1% at about 50%+ of their income
• Corporation report income based on GAAP
(Generally Acceptable Accounting Practices).
There are issues how both income and expenses
are reported when it comes to accounting and
taxable income. The differences are known as
both timing and permanent differences.
• Timing differences is how items are treating
different for accounting than taxation, e.g.
Warranties, Depreciation/Amortization
• Permanent differences are items that are
not allowed for taxation, but are acceptable
for accounting, e.g. only 50% of meals and
entertainment is deductible (Canada)
7. Corporate
Taxation/Planning
• Corporation earned income around the world
depending on how they are organized
• How does income move around the world?
• Companies are looking at ways to expand
their global present. Companies will deploy
FDI as part of looking for returns on
investment that will benefit their
shareholders
(http://www.investopedia.com/terms/f/fd
i.asp)
• Companies may moved R&D/Innovation to
low cost producing countries
• Companies may control the borrowing as
such may lend money to foreign entities via
intercompany loans/interest income
• Companies can re-patriate cash via the
following methods
• Intercompany dividends
• Intercompany interest
• Transfer pricing (shared services)
8. Personal Taxation
• Countries tax income, not wealth
• Countries have different tax systems
• Payroll taxation (Social Security)
• Personal Income Taxation
• The wealthiest people in the world has created wealth through investment
in business, stocks and bonds and real estate
• Income earn from investment is tax based on residency status.
• Some income is tax different, i.e. interest vs- dividends or the sales of
shares/companies/personal use property/listed property/real property
• Top 1% can pay over 50+ of their income to taxation -
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hWarBMfshaA
9. Top Income Earner/Canada
Blog – Tax Fairness and Wealth Taxation – Canada and the World – November 2021
Canada’s natural resources wealth decline in 2020.
The effective tax rate was unchanged from 2018 to 2019 for high income earner.
Dividend income led to rise in total income.
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/wealth-and-taxation-fairness-november-2021
The average total income for all tax filers grew 0.7% to $51,000 in 2019. However, total
income grew at a faster pace for tax filers at the top of the income distribution compared
with those in the middle or at the bottom.
Average total income for the top 1 percent of Canadian tax filers grew 1.8% in 2019,
compared with a 0.8% increase among the bottom 50 percent. Average income was
relatively unchanged for those in the upper middle of the distribution (51st to the 90th
percentiles).
Moreover, the average total income growth for the top 0.1 percent (+5.5%) and the top
0.01 percent (+13.9%) of tax filers greatly outpaced those in the top 1 percent.
The growth in the total income of high-income tax filers was largely driven by dividend
income. For example, while average employment income for tax filers in the top 1
percent increased by half a percentage point in 2019, their average dividend income
grew by 10.5%. The average dividend incomes grew even faster for tax filers in the top
0.1% (+18.9%) and top 0.01% (+34.8%) in 2019
Canadian tax filers spent, on average, 11.8% of their modified total income on federal,
provincial/territorial income taxes and employee contributions to Employment Insurance
and the Canada/Quebec Pension Plan (federal payroll taxes) in 2019, unchanged from
2018.
10. Top Income Earner/Canada
• Combined Provincial/Territories range 47% to 55%
• NB has highest combined Personal Income Tax in Canada
• The small group is a big source of federal revenue, contributing
more than 20 per cent of all income tax collected. Canada’s
rich may be getting a little richer, but their income growth of
1.2 per cent between 2012 and 2013 was in line with the
growth of all other tax filers.
• http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/new-brunswick/higher-
taxes-on-rich-may-miss-revenue-targets-experts-say-1.3031842
or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pICUvNi95AY
11. Redistribution of Income:
Facts:
• Top 1% account for 20%
of the Federal Income
Tax
• Corporate Tax account
for 1/3 of the transfer
payments
• Equalization benefits
come from the have not
promises via royalties as
well as other revenue
sources
Source - https://www.fin.gc.ca/fedprov/mtp-eng.asp
12. GDP / Wealth Flow
Factors in play that impact wealth
distribution
• Companies invest into projects as part of
return on investment for their shareholders
• Pensions Funds like CPP investment in
companies for their return on investment
• Wealth distribution is done through transfers
to provinces to support healthcare.
• Provincial government collect tax dollars to
fund education and healthcare
GDP Growth:
• 2/3 of the economic
growth is driven by
retail Sales
• Exports are about ¼
of GDP. Canada
needs exports
• Canada needs FDI in
order to develop its
resources,
manufactured
goods, build
transportation
systems
16. Blog – Wealth Distribution
• Canada has series of programs that moved income from the federal government which are called the federal
transfers - https://www.fin.gc.ca/access/fedprov-eng.asp. The new transfer agreement ties federal transfers
to GDP - http://evidencenetwork.ca/archives/26746
•
• The new Premier John Horgan who does not support Kinder Morgan is asking the federal government more CST
money for daycare - https://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/british-columbia/bc-ndp-looks-to-federal-
government-to-help-fund-childcare-plan/article37012357/. Kinder Morgan delays are costing $73B of new
exports of oil over the next 20 years or about 3.6B/annual in export revenue for oil companies.
•
• I am all for a good debate on changing transfer policies, but not when it is strictly about give me more money.
The debate should be about how do we grow the economy. It is not by dropping carbon completely out of the
economy. https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/carbon-free-economy-canada-november-2017
•
• Source - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/wealth-distribution-canada-november-2017
17. Daycare
- PQ model has issues
- There are already issues with available sites
- There have been issues with regulating daycare centers
- This is about more govt jobs (ECE)
- Ontario used its FDK as part of managing childcare
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/daycare-and-child-
care-funding-canada
19. Blog – Tax Cuts
Here is more information on Harper:
Harper did not just focus on tax cuts including corporate tax, but also set up innovation funds and sign trade
deals to expand exports. https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/wealth-distribution-canada-corporate-
tax-july-2017. Trudeau was elected and said he will focus on clean technology, right?
https://www.liberal.ca/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/A-new-plan-for-Canadas-environment-and-
economy.pdf The problem is clean technology companies are not making money, right?
http://www.bnn.ca/awash-in-red-ink-canadian-clean-tech-struggling-despite-ottawa-s-green-goals-1.729679
Harper created many innovation funds, sign trade agreements, expanded ports like Montreal, Prince Rupert,
etc. Harper was all about getting goods to market. More could have been done, but pipelines as well as lack
of priorities by governments including Ontario on natural resource development set Harper back -
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/merchandise-trade-canada-july-2017
I see nothing in proving your point that tax cuts do not work. All I see is opinion. So, I suggest provide a
source or shut up. If you realised a couple things about world it is very global now. Canada needs to be
competitive when it comes to attracting foreign capital. If you look at Harper’s policies then you will see he
did not focus on one area, but many areas like innovation, trade, FIPA, capping the growth in payroll taxes,
etc. http://ottawacitizen.com/storyline/head-of-canadas-largest-manufacturing-association-says-tories-have-
supported-the-sector or https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/manufacturing-sector-canada-june-2017
Do you own RRSP? You have CPP deducted, right? Where does pension money go? It goes to profitable
companies, right? http://www.cbc.ca/news/business/cpp-pension-earnings-1.4243308
You treat corporation with other distaste, but I bet you shop at grocery store, drive a car, own a cell phone,
rent/own a house, right? You would not have these luxuries without corporations.
I see you are also talking about the bailout, right? Harper was forced into bail out.
http://www.autonews.com/article/20160907/OEM01/160909877/co-directors-tell-why-they-made-auto-
bailout-documentary
I have explained many times about deficit and debt, but you will never read the links.
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/federal-government-debt-canada-august-2017 or
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/canada-cpc-and-liberals-surplus-debate
Let’s see I defend my position with facts and figures and you expressed opinion. I have even gone the extra mile to
show the flow of taxation which seems to be missing from your point, why? I have novel idea if you are going to
debate me then I suggest you provide backup to your opinion.
21. LPC / Tax Cut
• Liberals eliminated tax
credits
• Liberals plan hikes to CPP
• Liberals are forcing carbon
pricing
• Liberals eliminated income
splitting
Source - https://globalnews.ca/news/3769136/taxes-middle-class-liberals/
Best Middle Class
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QgbHWFgmSfQ
You do not hike CPP, introduce carbon tax, remove tax credits and then say
you are supporting the middle class
https://www.theglobeandmail.com/business/commentary/article-middle-
class-increasingly-feeling-the-squeeze-oecd-report-says/ or
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/middle-class-and-justin-trudeau
https://globalnews.ca/news/1356467/tax-cuts-since-2005-net-canadians-30b-
pbo/
“Another gift to the government in the report was that the PBO found that in
relative terms — lower income Canadians earning between $12,200 and
$23,300 benefited the most, increasing their after-tax income by four per
cent.”
Trudeau never had the answers for the middle class -
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/middle-class-and-justin-trudeau
22. Other information/Comments:
• NDP and Liberal Comments - http://www.torontosun.com/2015/08/15/trudeau-and-mulcair-selling-a-fantasy-to-the-middle-class or
http://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/trudeau-speech-chamber-commerce-1.3513939
• I hear the same comments that Harper has killed the middle class when it is has been bad provincial policies led by various provincial
government that felt social policy at all costs is the solution to run their various budgets. Here are facts/videos on the middle class -
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xqLDHQ-iJU8 (is this a lie? or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yOl37VcG89c (is this a lie? -
http://globalnews.ca/.../tax-cuts-since-2005-net.../ (is this a lie?) or http://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/taxation-policies (are my
slides 8-11 wrong).
• BTW: Hiking the corporation tax to 18-22% range will add 2-8% more to cost of your iPhone, iPad, Clothes, transit passes, food, beer, wine,
etc. http://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/corporation-taxation-canada-44675640.
• How about childcare: http://www.iedm.org/fr/2821-quebecs-failed-child-care-model
• Canada is one of the most admired countries in the world: http://www.ctvnews.ca/canada/canada-ranked-as-most-admired-country-in-the-
world-report-1.2470040
• Canada also has done well compared to its peers across the world - http://www.bmonesbittburns.com/economics/forecast/int/intmodel.pdf
• http://www.theglobeandmail.com/report-on-business/top-business-stories/canadians-scale-the-income-ladder-with-the-best-of-
them/article25533315/?click=sf_globefb
• Remind me again why we should change to either Mulcair or Trudeau government as the facts do not align with their policies!
http://www.torontosun.com/2015/08/15/trudeau-and-mulcair-selling-a-fantasy-to-the-middle-class
• FYI – Canada is still one of the best countries in the world - http://news.nationalpost.com/news/canada/canada-named-the-country-with-
the-best-reputation-by-global-survey-again or https://ca.news.yahoo.com/blogs/dailybrew/canada-tops-the-world-as-most-reputable-
country-021908756.html
• FYI – Taxing the richest - http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/new-brunswick/higher-taxes-on-rich-may-miss-revenue-targets-experts-say-
1.3031842 or https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pICUvNi95AY
• Hydro rates - http://laws-lois.justice.gc.ca/eng/const/page-4.html
23. Are there
issues with
trickle down?
• Some countries like the United States have done a poor job in
terms re-allocation of taxation to support social programs
• You cannot tax people to prosperity
• Government needs to have balance approach to tax policies
and program spending. Program spending needs to be driven
via value for money. If services can be better done by the
private sector then they should be outsourced
• Education has to be aligned to jobs opening as well as future
jobs
• There is no such thing as free ride. Someone else is paying for
your free ride -
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PAGqKhSw5Lg
• Some countries are better than others when it comes to
support social programs – Canada and Scandinavia -
http://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/scandinavia-vs-
canada-comparison-of-social-and-economic-policies
• Canada #1 - Report: American Middle Class No Longer The
World's Richest - America's Newsroom -
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yOl37VcG89c
24. Blog #1 – Trudeau (Trickle Down Economics)
Source - https://vancouversun.com/news/local-news/indigenous-pipeline-protester-
chimes-in-on-prime-ministers-fundraising-speech-in-vancouver
The prime minister told attendees that
Conservatives believe in “trickle down
economics,” or the idea that giving tax breaks
and advantages to the wealthiest will create
growth that will “somehow end up helping
hardworking, ordinary Canadians.”
But he said that idea failed the previous
Conservative government, which didn’t
understand that even though there
was growth in the economy, so many average
Canadians felt it didn’t touch them.
“We got elected with a very different idea for
our economy and for Canadians,” he said.
“The idea that if you want to create growth,
it has to be for everyone, not just for a few,”
he said.
1. Harper reduced income tax rates, moved GST from 7% to 5% and introduced
tax credits. Harper’s policies put more money into taxpayer’s pocketbooks -
https://business.financialpost.com/opinion/william-watson-turns-out-the-
harper-government-was-actually-terrific-for-wage-growth
2. FDI investment in key sectors has left Canada due to Liberal failures -
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/2019-election-fdi-foreign-direct-
investment-canada
3. The Wealthiest pay over 20% of the federal income tax. Liberals policies are
leading to a brain drain – see slide 10
(https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/2019-election-employment-
canada-april-2019)
4. Trudeau has made Canada less competitive today due to his tax and
regulatory policies - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/2019-
election-business-competitiveness-canada-may-2019
5. Trudeau also does not seem to grasp that taxes like carbon taxation or GST
are regressive taxes - https://www.irishtimes.com/opinion/letters/carbon-
taxes-are-regressive-1.3869390. Trudeau does not seem to grasp how
taxation flows through to cost of living -
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/art-of-taxing-pollution-canada-
environment
Harper was not perfect, but he had a better grasp of economics. It should be no
surprised as Harper has education in economics as compare to Trudeau who
education background is drama!
25. Trickle Down Economics and 2019 Election
https://thestarphoenix.com/news/politics/election-2019/john-ivison-scheers-endless-spending-promises-are-giving-the-liberals-an-easy-stick-to-beat-him-with/wcm/c6383a69-bff4-
4d80-8ba3-694b7b0a8c9b?utm_term=Autofeed&utm_medium=Social&utm_source=Facebook&fbclid=IwAR2K9ZdIcLc0sNI5b4sicy1cgzCQk-
4gU8FTI48vr7iplok4dNnX3LS8Pls#Echobox=1569378292
John Ivison: Scheer's endless spending promises are giving the Liberals an easy stick to beat him with
How so, John?
Trudeau said economies grow from the heart, right?
Trudeau said budget balances themselves, right?
Trudeau has miss managed every file - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dyizMrTpHr0 or https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/liberal-
party-of-canada-government-record-2015-to-2019
1. There is already a $14B shortfall due to many failures of Trudeau. Trudeau is not about efficient govt. Scheer will look at w ays to streamline
govt just like Harper did during his time in office - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/2019-election-public-sector-efficiency-canada-
july-2019
2. Scheer is about reducing regulations and eliminating regressive taxes - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/2019-election-who-do-your-
trust-more-when-it-comes-to-tax-fairness
3. Scheer is about making Canada more competitive which would benefit FDI - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/2019-election-gdp-and-
economy-canada-june-2019
FYI – Ivison wrote a book on Trudeau, right? So, what is Ivison game - https://www.penguinrandomhouse.ca/books/600389/trudeau-by-john-
ivison/9780771048951 Could John be promoting his book?
26. Bottomline
• Top 1% pay over 50% of the income to taxation
• Top 1% earned their wealth through investment in stocks, bonds and real
estate
• Top 1% have good accountants and lawyers as such no how to work
within the tax laws to moved income around as part of managing their
taxes
• Top 1% may take their investment elsewhere as part of managing their
wealth - http://www.statcan.gc.ca/daily-
quotidien/161017/dq161017a-eng.htm
• The role of government is set policy to encourage investment. Too much
tax and regulations do not lead to strong economic growth -
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/2019-election-gdp-and-economy-
canada-june-2019
• Government should stop using Keynesian economics unless it is targeted on
measures that will support infrastructure spending and make a country
more competitive - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/keynesian-
economics-july-2017
• Pensions fund by companies as part of managing their returns
• Bad policies hurt the low to middle class worst than the 1%
• Carbon Taxation will force up household spending by $1,200 to $1,500
• Hikes to CPP will impact hiring (Companies may not be able to afford
the hikes)
• Hydro rates impact both business investment as well as household
spending
• Money flows from companies through the following ways
• Dividends payout
• Capital Investment (debt, working capital or stock issuance)
• Share buyback
Editor's Notes
http://globalnews.ca/news/2316192/heres-what-we-know-about-canadas-highest-earning-1/ or https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-quotidien/171115/dq171115a-eng.htm
http://www.statcan.gc.ca/daily-quotidien/160426/dq160426a-eng.htm or https://www.theglobeandmail.com/politics/article-high-income-earners-paid-46-billion-less-in-taxes-in-2016-despite/