US inflation accelerated to a fresh 40-year high in May, a sign that price pressures are becoming entrenched in the economy. That will likely push the Federal Reserve to extend an aggressive series of interest-rate hikes and adds to political problems for the White House and Democrats.
The consumer price index increased 8.6 per cent from a year earlier in a broad-based advance, Labor Department data showed Friday. The widely followed inflation gauge rose 1 per cent from a month earlier, topping all estimates. Shelter, food and gas were the largest contributors.
The so-called core CPI, which strips out the more volatile food and energy components, rose 0.6 per cent from the prior month and 6 per cent from a year ago, also above forecasts.
Source - https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/u-s-inflation-unexpectedly-accelerates-to-40-year-high-1.1777105
Cost of Living (Inflation) - United States - June 2022 (incl PPI).pptxpaul young cpa, cga
Summary:
Surging prices for gas, food and rent catapulted U.S. inflation to a new four-decade peak in June, further pressuring households and likely sealing the case for another large interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve, with higher borrowing costs to follow.
Consumer prices soared 9.1 per cent compared with a year earlier, the government said Wednesday, the biggest 12-month increase since 1981, and up from an 8.6 per cent jump in May. On a monthly basis, prices rose 1.3 per cent from May to June, another substantial increase, after prices had jumped one per cent from April to May.
The ongoing price increases underscore the brutal impact that inflation has inflicted on many families, with the costs of necessities, in particular, rising much faster than average incomes. Lower-income and Black and Hispanic Americans have been hit especially hard, because a disproportionate share of their income goes toward such essentials as housing, transportation and food.
Source: https://globalnews.ca/news/8986310/us-inflation-june-2022/
Cost of Living (Inflation) - United States - May 2022.pptxpaul young cpa, cga
entrenched in the economy. That will likely push the Federal Reserve to extend an aggressive series of interest-rate hikes and adds to political problems for the White House and Democrats.
The consumer price index increased 8.6 per cent from a year earlier in a broad-based advance, Labor Department data showed Friday. The widely followed inflation gauge rose 1 per cent from a month earlier, topping all estimates. Shelter, food and gas were the largest contributors.
The so-called core CPI, which strips out the more volatile food and energy components, rose 0.6 per cent from the prior month and 6 per cent from a year ago, also above forecasts.
Source - https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/u-s-inflation-unexpectedly-accelerates-to-40-year-high-1.1777105
Inflation (Cost of Living) - United States - September 2022.pptxpaul young cpa, cga
Summary:
US consumer price inflation surprised on the upside once again as rapid increases in housing costs, medical care, food and airline fares offset signs of moderation elsewhere. The Fed has admitted it is prepared to inflict economic pain to get a grip on inflation and today's report will ensure at least another 75bp rate hike in November and 50bp in December
Source - https://think.ing.com/articles/40-year-high-for-us-core-inflation-heaps-pressure-on-the-fed/
Inflation (Cost of Living) - United States - July 2022.pptxpaul young cpa, cga
Summary:
U.S. inflation decelerated in July by more than expected, reflecting lower energy prices, which may take some pressure off the Federal Reserve to continue aggressively hiking interest rates.
The consumer price index increased 8.5 per cent from a year earlier, cooling from the 9.1 per cent June advance that was the largest in four decades, Labor Department data showed Wednesday. Prices were unchanged from the prior month. A decline in gasoline offset increases in food and shelter costs.
So-called core CPI, which strips out the more volatile food and energy components, rose 0.3 per cent from June and 5.9 per cent from a year ago
Source: https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/u-s-inflation-decelerates-more-than-forecast-on-gas-price-drop-1.1803937
Cost of Living| The United States |Inflation| January 2022paul young cpa, cga
Summary:
U.S. consumer prices rose solidly in January, leading to the biggest annual increase in inflation in 40 years, fueling financial markets speculation for a 50 basis points interest rate hike from the Federal Reserve next month.
The broad increase in prices reported by the Labor Department on Thursday was led by soaring costs for rents, electricity and food, and could heap more political pressure on President Joe Biden, whose popularity has been declining amid anxiety over the rising cost of living.
High inflation has overshadowed a strong economy, which grew at its fastest pace in 37 years in 2021 and a labor market that is rapidly churning out jobs.
Source - https://ca.finance.yahoo.com/news/u-consumer-prices-rise-strongly-134042040.html
1. Gasoline prices - https://www.news9.com/story/62053a1ca360bf0725484dd0/gas-prices-hit-their-highest-level-in-8-years--heres-whats-driving-the-surge-
2. Food - https://www.freep.com/story/news/local/michigan/2022/02/10/foods-costs-january-consumer-price-index/6733880001/
3. Housing costs - https://ca.movies.yahoo.com/10-surprisingly-affordable-housing-markets-130020778.html
4. Housing - https://www.gobankingrates.com/investing/real-estate/experts-predict-housing-market-in-2022/
5. Carbon tax - https://www.greencarcongress.com/2022/02/20220210-carbontax.html
6. Zero-emitting trucks - https://www.greencarcongress.com/2022/02/20220210-carbontax.html
7. Average mortgage - https://www.businessinsider.com/personal-finance/average-mortgage-payment
8. Biden - https://www.oliverwyman.com/our-expertise/insights/2022/feb/prepare-for-an-increase-in-corporate-restructuring-in-the-us.html
9. Yellen monetary policies - https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/a-bridge-too-far-bond-market-reels-from-latest-inflation-bomb-1.1721824
10. Interest rates - https://www.pbs.org/newshour/nation/inflation-hits-40-year-high-reinforcing-feds-decision-to-raise-interest-rates
11. Household debt - https://thedeepdive.ca/american-consumers-descend-further-into-debt/
12. Consumer confidence - https://www.usnews.com/news/economy/articles/2022-01-25/consumer-confidence-dips-in-january-but-inflation-concerns-ease-slightly
13. Corporate restructuring - https://www.oliverwyman.com/our-expertise/insights/2022/feb/prepare-for-an-increase-in-corporate-restructuring-in-the-us.html
Cost of Living (Inflation) - United States - April 2022.pptxpaul young cpa, cga
Inflation slowed in April after seven months of relentless gains, a tentative sign that price increases may be peaking while still imposing a financial strain on American households
Consumer prices jumped 8.3 per cent last month from 12 months earlier, the Labor Department said Wednesday. That was below the 8.5 per cent year-over-year surge in March, which was the highest rate since 1981.
https://globalnews.ca/news/8826103/us-inflation-slowing-april/
Cost of Living (Inflation) - United States - June 2022 (incl PPI).pptxpaul young cpa, cga
Summary:
Surging prices for gas, food and rent catapulted U.S. inflation to a new four-decade peak in June, further pressuring households and likely sealing the case for another large interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve, with higher borrowing costs to follow.
Consumer prices soared 9.1 per cent compared with a year earlier, the government said Wednesday, the biggest 12-month increase since 1981, and up from an 8.6 per cent jump in May. On a monthly basis, prices rose 1.3 per cent from May to June, another substantial increase, after prices had jumped one per cent from April to May.
The ongoing price increases underscore the brutal impact that inflation has inflicted on many families, with the costs of necessities, in particular, rising much faster than average incomes. Lower-income and Black and Hispanic Americans have been hit especially hard, because a disproportionate share of their income goes toward such essentials as housing, transportation and food.
Source: https://globalnews.ca/news/8986310/us-inflation-june-2022/
Cost of Living (Inflation) - United States - May 2022.pptxpaul young cpa, cga
entrenched in the economy. That will likely push the Federal Reserve to extend an aggressive series of interest-rate hikes and adds to political problems for the White House and Democrats.
The consumer price index increased 8.6 per cent from a year earlier in a broad-based advance, Labor Department data showed Friday. The widely followed inflation gauge rose 1 per cent from a month earlier, topping all estimates. Shelter, food and gas were the largest contributors.
The so-called core CPI, which strips out the more volatile food and energy components, rose 0.6 per cent from the prior month and 6 per cent from a year ago, also above forecasts.
Source - https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/u-s-inflation-unexpectedly-accelerates-to-40-year-high-1.1777105
Inflation (Cost of Living) - United States - September 2022.pptxpaul young cpa, cga
Summary:
US consumer price inflation surprised on the upside once again as rapid increases in housing costs, medical care, food and airline fares offset signs of moderation elsewhere. The Fed has admitted it is prepared to inflict economic pain to get a grip on inflation and today's report will ensure at least another 75bp rate hike in November and 50bp in December
Source - https://think.ing.com/articles/40-year-high-for-us-core-inflation-heaps-pressure-on-the-fed/
Inflation (Cost of Living) - United States - July 2022.pptxpaul young cpa, cga
Summary:
U.S. inflation decelerated in July by more than expected, reflecting lower energy prices, which may take some pressure off the Federal Reserve to continue aggressively hiking interest rates.
The consumer price index increased 8.5 per cent from a year earlier, cooling from the 9.1 per cent June advance that was the largest in four decades, Labor Department data showed Wednesday. Prices were unchanged from the prior month. A decline in gasoline offset increases in food and shelter costs.
So-called core CPI, which strips out the more volatile food and energy components, rose 0.3 per cent from June and 5.9 per cent from a year ago
Source: https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/u-s-inflation-decelerates-more-than-forecast-on-gas-price-drop-1.1803937
Cost of Living| The United States |Inflation| January 2022paul young cpa, cga
Summary:
U.S. consumer prices rose solidly in January, leading to the biggest annual increase in inflation in 40 years, fueling financial markets speculation for a 50 basis points interest rate hike from the Federal Reserve next month.
The broad increase in prices reported by the Labor Department on Thursday was led by soaring costs for rents, electricity and food, and could heap more political pressure on President Joe Biden, whose popularity has been declining amid anxiety over the rising cost of living.
High inflation has overshadowed a strong economy, which grew at its fastest pace in 37 years in 2021 and a labor market that is rapidly churning out jobs.
Source - https://ca.finance.yahoo.com/news/u-consumer-prices-rise-strongly-134042040.html
1. Gasoline prices - https://www.news9.com/story/62053a1ca360bf0725484dd0/gas-prices-hit-their-highest-level-in-8-years--heres-whats-driving-the-surge-
2. Food - https://www.freep.com/story/news/local/michigan/2022/02/10/foods-costs-january-consumer-price-index/6733880001/
3. Housing costs - https://ca.movies.yahoo.com/10-surprisingly-affordable-housing-markets-130020778.html
4. Housing - https://www.gobankingrates.com/investing/real-estate/experts-predict-housing-market-in-2022/
5. Carbon tax - https://www.greencarcongress.com/2022/02/20220210-carbontax.html
6. Zero-emitting trucks - https://www.greencarcongress.com/2022/02/20220210-carbontax.html
7. Average mortgage - https://www.businessinsider.com/personal-finance/average-mortgage-payment
8. Biden - https://www.oliverwyman.com/our-expertise/insights/2022/feb/prepare-for-an-increase-in-corporate-restructuring-in-the-us.html
9. Yellen monetary policies - https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/a-bridge-too-far-bond-market-reels-from-latest-inflation-bomb-1.1721824
10. Interest rates - https://www.pbs.org/newshour/nation/inflation-hits-40-year-high-reinforcing-feds-decision-to-raise-interest-rates
11. Household debt - https://thedeepdive.ca/american-consumers-descend-further-into-debt/
12. Consumer confidence - https://www.usnews.com/news/economy/articles/2022-01-25/consumer-confidence-dips-in-january-but-inflation-concerns-ease-slightly
13. Corporate restructuring - https://www.oliverwyman.com/our-expertise/insights/2022/feb/prepare-for-an-increase-in-corporate-restructuring-in-the-us.html
Cost of Living (Inflation) - United States - April 2022.pptxpaul young cpa, cga
Inflation slowed in April after seven months of relentless gains, a tentative sign that price increases may be peaking while still imposing a financial strain on American households
Consumer prices jumped 8.3 per cent last month from 12 months earlier, the Labor Department said Wednesday. That was below the 8.5 per cent year-over-year surge in March, which was the highest rate since 1981.
https://globalnews.ca/news/8826103/us-inflation-slowing-april/
Cost of Living (Inflation) - United States - March 2022.pptxpaul young cpa, cga
Inflation is highest since 1981. Carter was the president - https://www.thebalance.com/president-jimmy-carter-s-economic-policies-4586571
Biden was around during those times - https://www.britannica.com/biography/Joe-Biden
Cost of Living (Inflation) - United States - April 2022 (Revised PPI) .pptxpaul young cpa, cga
U.S. producer prices soared 11% in April from a year earlier, a hefty gain that indicates high inflation will remain a burden for consumers and businesses in the months ahead.
The Labor Department said Thursday that its producer price index — which measures inflation before it reaches consumers — climbed 0.5% in April from March. That is a slowdown from the previous month, however, when it jumped 1.6%.
https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/producer-prices and https://www.darientimes.com/news/article/US-producer-prices-surge-11-in-April-on-higher-17167651.php
Geopolitical Risks - Pandemic - Canada and the World - WE May 7 2022.pptxpaul young cpa, cga
Summary:
COVID and other variants will continue to plague the world
Not enough is being done to address issues with the healthcare delivery model
More needs to be done to address the supply chain
More focus on other areas beyond climate change
Governments need to start addressing issues with tax reform, size of government, and productivity as part of address issues facing their tax base and economies.
Cost of Living| The United States |Inflation| November 2021paul young cpa, cga
The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 0.8 percent in November on a seasonally adjusted basis after rising 0.9 percent in October, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, all items index increased 6.8 percent before seasonal adjustment.
The monthly all item’s seasonally adjusted increase was the result of broad increases in most component indexes, like last month. The indexes for gasoline, shelter, food, used cars and trucks, and new vehicles were among the larger contributors. The energy index rose 3.5 percent in November as the gasoline index increased 6.1 percent and the other major energy component indexes also rose. The food index increased 0.7 percent as the index for food at home rose 0.8 percent.
Source - https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm
1. Food costs – https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/2021/12/08/inflation-food-prices-grocery-taxes/8800601002/?gnt-cfr=1
2. Ports - https://ca.movies.yahoo.com/analysis-shipping-costs-another-danger-060610387.html
3. Retail imports - https://chainstoreage.com/retail-imports-show-record-growth-despite-supply-chain-disruption
4. Inflation rate - https://www.cnbc.com/2021/12/10/consumer-price-index-november-2021.html
5. Lumber - https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/commodities/lumber-prices-above-1000-first-time-since-june-housing-commodities-2021-12
6. Housing - https://www.noradarealestate.com/blog/housing-market-predictions/
7. Cement - https://www.thedailystar.net/business/news/construction-costs-burdened-cement-price-rise-2081013
8. Shortages - https://www.canadiancontractor.ca/canadian-contractor/labour-shortages-are-back-with-a-vengeance-cfib/1003290924/
9. Skills gaps - https://hrmasia.com/australia-funds-a10-million-data-tool-to-plug-skills-gap/
10. 3D housing - https://www.lexology.com/library/detail.aspx?g=0d60c5f5-d6ba-4871-9ea5-9fe29b28d390
11. Inflation - https://www.nytimes.com/2021/12/09/business/economy/inflation-price-gains.htmln
Cost of Living (Inflation)| The United States| October 2021paul young cpa, cga
Bottom Line: Inflation is spreading to more items as supply can't keep up with sturdy underlying demand that's stoked by stimulative policies, forcing more companies to pass along rising costs. A combination of low base-year effects, supply-side disruptions, delivery bottlenecks, labour shortages, elevated energy and food costs, and rising residential rents could keep the CPI rate above 6% through the turn of the year, while the core rate will likely take a run at 5%. Chair Powell expects inflation to begin to retreat by the second or third quarter of next year as supply constraints abate and reopening-demand pressures fade. But it will be a long and anxious waiting period (assuming he's still Chair). And, should wage growth rise further or inflation expectations resume an upward drift, the Fed might not be able to wait that long before pulling the tightening trigger.
Source - https://economics.bmo.com/en/publications/detail/86bbbd1a-eb53-42cd-902c-a804528f193e/
1. Food costs - https://ktvz.com/money/cnn-business-consumer/2021/11/05/world-food-prices-are-up-30-in-a-year/
2. OPEC tells Biden to pump the oil himself - https://www.forbes.com/sites/arielcohen/2021/11/09/opec-says-to-biden-if-you-want-more-oil-pump-it-yourself/?sh=11d02fb93efd OPEC told Biden (11/9/2021) to pump more USA oil https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/oil-and-gas-energy-sector-analysis-and-commentary-october-2021-revised
3. Supply chain - https://edtechmagazine.com/higher/k12/article/2021/11/4-ways-avoid-supply-chain-delays-2022
4. Low income - https://ktvz.com/news/2021/11/10/higher-gas-prices-and-heating-costs-will-hurt-low-income-families-the-most-this-winter/
5. Carbon tax - https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/opinion/rising-gas-prices-show-why-a-carbon-tax-is-a-bad-idea
6. Housing - https://www.cnbc.com/2021/11/10/home-prices-are-now-rising-much-faster-than-incomes-studies-show.html
7. Commodity prices - https://blackbullmarkets.com/en/market-reviews/are-commodity-prices-going-up/
8. Interest rates - https://www.cnbc.com/2021/11/10/federal-reserve-james-bullard-expects-two-rate-hikes-next-year.html
9. Green employment - https://www.aei.org/articles/will-green-energy-produce-more-jobs-three-experts-discuss/
10. Job market - https://www.cnbc.com/2021/11/09/switching-jobs-can-lead-to-higher-pay-heres-what-to-know.html
11. China - https://www.cnn.com/2021/11/10/economy/china-cpi-ppi-inflation-intl-hnk/index.html
Bank of Canada - What is next for Monetary Policies - April 2022 (Revised Mar...paul young cpa, cga
Canada inflation rate hit nearly 7% for March 2022. Canada has one of the highest inflation rates in the G7.
Higher interest rates mean less cash for retail sales
Government continues to push their green agenda driving more green inflation
Blog – Cost of Living and Inflation – Canada – March 2022
Inflation continues to run hot in Canada, with consumer prices rising 6.7 per cent year-over-year in March.
Statistics Canada says that's up from 5.7 per cent in February and the largest gain in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) since 1991.
Higher prices were widespread, rising in all eight major components of the index.
Source - https://ca.finance.yahoo.com/news/canadian-inflation-highest-since-1991-124402017.html
What is next for Monetary Policies - Canada - September 2022.pptxpaul young cpa, cga
Blog – What is next for Monetary Policies – Canada – September 2022
Canada has struggled with productivity issues for over 20 years. The liberals have done little address productivity including making changes to tax code related to capital cost allowance, R&D credits, training credits, etc.
Canada lock down strategy and stimulus has led to higher inflation. Liberals never had a plan to pull back on the stimulus through targeted measures that would better support improving supply chain, productivity, skills gap, and innovation
Canadian dollar has hit a two-year low,
Canada housing market was artificially kept high for years. The housing prices continue to fall.
Canada needs to revamp its tax and regulatory policies as part of getting goods out of the ground to market
Geopolitical Risks and Threats - Pandemic and Other Risks - Canada and the Wo...paul young cpa, cga
It is extremely easy to blame Russia for the high inflation. The reality is inflation was rising way before Russia invaded Ukraine.
Inflationary targets tend to be 1.9% to 2.3%. With inflation over 7% for many countries, then it begs to answer the question how policy makers will address the drivers of inflation. Too many progressive governments are looking at ways to further tax individuals and businesses. Little said about the need to reform taxation and regulatory policies as part of addressing issues with productivity, skills gaps, housing costs, and innovation.
Geopolitical Risks - Pandemic - Canada and the World - WE May 21 2022.pptxpaul young cpa, cga
After over 2 ½ years of the pandemic there are still issues with variant mitigation
Healthcare continues to struggle with its delivery model
New hybrid workplace is here to stay
Global GDP forecasts have been halved for 2022
High inflation continues to plague world economies
Food security continues to plague world governments
Summary:
Here are key issues and threats to the stock market:
1. Omicron supply chain issues (domestic and abroad)
2. QE winding down
3. Margin calls
4. Sector rotation
5. Meme stock reversion
6. Valuation
7. History makes its presence felt
Source - https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/12/25/7-reasons-the-stock-market-could-crash-in-january/
1. Stock market - https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/stock-market-outlook-sp500-19000-upside-2029-fundstrat-millennials-2021-12
2. Stock Market - https://ca.finance.yahoo.com/news/toronto-futures-rise-easing-omicron-130408598.html
3. Global Inflation - https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2021/11/24/inflation-has-risen-around-the-world-but-the-u-s-has-seen-one-of-the-biggest-increases/
4. Global inflation - https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2021/12/rising-prices-inflation-ipsos-survey/
5. Geopolitical - https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2021/12/rising-prices-inflation-ipsos-survey/ and https://www.geopoliticalmonitor.com/
6. Australia and New Zealand - https://www.reuters.com/markets/rates-bonds/australia-nz-dollars-extend-rally-hope-best-omicron-2021-12-23/
7. China - https://www.globaltimes.cn/page/202112/1243142.shtml and https://www.globaltimes.cn/page/202112/1243142.shtml
8. ESG - https://www.linkedin.com/posts/randallkurtz_cfos-fall-short-of-meeting-investors-esg-activity-6876924917388980224-6BFv/
9. Commodities - https://www.investing.com/analysis/commodities
10. Housing - https://betterdwelling.com/canadas-gap-between-real-estate-prices-and-incomes-looks-ridiculous-beside-us-data/ and https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-12-21/home-price-surges-bidding-wars-are-roiling-world-s-riskiest-housing-market
Geopolitical Risks and Threats - Pandemic and Other Risks - Canada and the Wo...paul young cpa, cga
Summary:
World continues to face many challenges with a broken healthcare system. More needs to be done to mitigate the future impact of variants and pandemics.
Summary:
Stock markets continue to struggle over the past few weeks due to many factors like rise in COVID19 cases and geopolitical issues with countries like Russia and China.
Commodity Prices continue to rise, especially LNG and coal due to the demands for electricity.
China could see GDP growth of only 5.2% for 2022.
1. Inflation - https://www.ft.com/content/1769e10d-9ff6-4c4b-8c7b-0098d321cd29
2. Indicators - https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/world-economic-indicators-dashboard/
3. Business automation - https://medium.com/geekculture/2022-tech-predictions-5-automation-trends-worth-following-ba6038dc831f
4. Agriculture - https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/small-biz/sme-sector/how-technology-will-drive-the-new-age-agri-revolution-in-india-in-2022/articleshow/88628999.cms?from=mdr
5. Commodities - https://www.agriculture.com/markets/newswire/update-1-lng-coal-lead-2021-commodities-rally-as-markets-eye-covid-19-for-next-move
6. Housing - https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/real-estate/video/we-are-expecting-a-10-decline-in-average-price-of-homes-in-2021-2022-chief-economist~2173206
7. Challenges - https://www.contactcenterpipeline.com/Article/2022-challenges-and-priorities-survey-a-triple-whammy-of-challenges
8. Geopolitical risks - https://theglobalherald.com/news/russia-and-china-rank-as-biggest-global-risks-to-watch-for-in-2022-says-atlantic-groups-kempe/
9. Food Prices - https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/other/food-prices-keep-rising-so-avoid-these-grocery-missteps/ss-AASjsjk
10. GDP - https://www.ft.com/content/1769e10d-9ff6-4c4b-8c7b-0098d321cd29
What is next for the Stock Market for the W/E January 7, 2022paul young cpa, cga
Stock Markets
Markets around the world remain jittery due to many factors like high inflation, increase case counts from omicron, global trade protectionism, and other geopolitical events.
The markets could see slower growth in 2022 in the range of 5-6%. Slower market growth will have an impact on pension funds and other assets holdings.
1. Stock Market - https://www.investors.com/news/economy/jobs-report-soft-hiring-but-unemployment-rate-dives-dow-jones-futures-fall/
2. Geopolitical risks - https://www.ausbiz.com.au/media/the-top-three-geopolitical-risks-for-2022?videoId=18420
3. USA build back better - https://www.economy.com/economicview/analysis/387186
4. Insurance - https://www.canadianunderwriter.ca/insurance/insurance-isnt-enough-governments-need-to-do-better-on-natural-disaster-resilience-1004216098/
5. ESG - https://www.mondaq.com/unitedstates/securities/1148324/paper-debunks-seven-myths-of-esg
6. GDP risk - https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-01-07/india-on-track-to-post-world-beating-growth-amid-virus-risks
7. Inflation - https://www.bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2022-01-07/what-s-happening-in-the-world-economy-the-inflation-shock-may-be-slowing
8. Climate change and viruses - https://blogs.timesofisrael.com/we-will-beat-neither-covid-nor-climate-change-on-our-own/
9. China - https://thehill.com/opinion/international/588783-the-china-tightrope-and-other-trade-developments-that-will-define-2022
10. Commodity Price Risk - https://thehill.com/opinion/international/588783-the-china-tightrope-and-other-trade-developments-that-will-define-2022
Revised - Cost of Living (Purchase Price Index) - Canada - April 2022.pptxpaul young cpa, cga
RBC Canadian Inflation Watch https://thoughtleadership.rbc.com/rbc-inflation-watch/
Hey @AndreaHorwath inflation is out. It is highest since 1991 when Bob Rae was Premier!
Hey @StevenDelDuca are you going to address green inflation?
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/revised-cost-of-living-purchase-price-index-canada-april-2022pptx
@StevenDelDuca can you tell how you will address high cost of gas & inflation? Are you going to ensure eVehicles pay road taxes or are you going to address issue with gas supplies or eliminate the carbon tax or high input cost for farmers/businesses
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/revised-cost-of-living-purchase-price-index-canada-april-2022pptx
The United States runs a record trade deficit for March 2022paul young cpa, cga
The trade deficit jumped more than 22 percent to $109.8 billion, as the double-digit increase in imports to an all-time high of $351.5 billion outstripped the more modest gain in exports, the Commerce Department said.
But US exports also hit a record of $241.7 billion, the data showed.
As the world's largest economy showed a robust recovery from the pandemic disruptions in recent months, businesses have been hampered by global supply chain snarls and shortages that meant relatively modest import gains.
But the data showed a shift in March with a $3.2 billion increase in imports of autos, parts and engines -- including a $2.5 jump in passenger cars alone -- a $1.5 billion rise in computers, and $1.3 billion gain for computer accessories.
Purchases of furniture and household goods jumped $1.3 billion, while toys, games and sporting goods rose by a similar amount, the report said.
A strong American consumer is likely to support continued demand for imports, while slower recoveries among US trading partners could hold down export growth, economists say.
"The prevailing domestic and overseas economic environment could keep the deficit pinned near record levels and impose a significant headwind to US GDP growth," said Mahir Rasheed of Oxford Economics.
The Federal Reserve is raising interest rates as it grapples with accelerating inflation, which could tamp down demand.
In the first three months of the year, the goods and services deficit increased $84.8 billion, or 41.5 percent, from the same period in 2021, the report said.
Source - https://www.rfi.fr/en/us-trade-deficit-hits-highest-on-record-as-imports-soar
Cost of Living (Inflation) - United States - March 2022.pptxpaul young cpa, cga
Inflation is highest since 1981. Carter was the president - https://www.thebalance.com/president-jimmy-carter-s-economic-policies-4586571
Biden was around during those times - https://www.britannica.com/biography/Joe-Biden
Cost of Living (Inflation) - United States - April 2022 (Revised PPI) .pptxpaul young cpa, cga
U.S. producer prices soared 11% in April from a year earlier, a hefty gain that indicates high inflation will remain a burden for consumers and businesses in the months ahead.
The Labor Department said Thursday that its producer price index — which measures inflation before it reaches consumers — climbed 0.5% in April from March. That is a slowdown from the previous month, however, when it jumped 1.6%.
https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/producer-prices and https://www.darientimes.com/news/article/US-producer-prices-surge-11-in-April-on-higher-17167651.php
Geopolitical Risks - Pandemic - Canada and the World - WE May 7 2022.pptxpaul young cpa, cga
Summary:
COVID and other variants will continue to plague the world
Not enough is being done to address issues with the healthcare delivery model
More needs to be done to address the supply chain
More focus on other areas beyond climate change
Governments need to start addressing issues with tax reform, size of government, and productivity as part of address issues facing their tax base and economies.
Cost of Living| The United States |Inflation| November 2021paul young cpa, cga
The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 0.8 percent in November on a seasonally adjusted basis after rising 0.9 percent in October, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, all items index increased 6.8 percent before seasonal adjustment.
The monthly all item’s seasonally adjusted increase was the result of broad increases in most component indexes, like last month. The indexes for gasoline, shelter, food, used cars and trucks, and new vehicles were among the larger contributors. The energy index rose 3.5 percent in November as the gasoline index increased 6.1 percent and the other major energy component indexes also rose. The food index increased 0.7 percent as the index for food at home rose 0.8 percent.
Source - https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm
1. Food costs – https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/2021/12/08/inflation-food-prices-grocery-taxes/8800601002/?gnt-cfr=1
2. Ports - https://ca.movies.yahoo.com/analysis-shipping-costs-another-danger-060610387.html
3. Retail imports - https://chainstoreage.com/retail-imports-show-record-growth-despite-supply-chain-disruption
4. Inflation rate - https://www.cnbc.com/2021/12/10/consumer-price-index-november-2021.html
5. Lumber - https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/commodities/lumber-prices-above-1000-first-time-since-june-housing-commodities-2021-12
6. Housing - https://www.noradarealestate.com/blog/housing-market-predictions/
7. Cement - https://www.thedailystar.net/business/news/construction-costs-burdened-cement-price-rise-2081013
8. Shortages - https://www.canadiancontractor.ca/canadian-contractor/labour-shortages-are-back-with-a-vengeance-cfib/1003290924/
9. Skills gaps - https://hrmasia.com/australia-funds-a10-million-data-tool-to-plug-skills-gap/
10. 3D housing - https://www.lexology.com/library/detail.aspx?g=0d60c5f5-d6ba-4871-9ea5-9fe29b28d390
11. Inflation - https://www.nytimes.com/2021/12/09/business/economy/inflation-price-gains.htmln
Cost of Living (Inflation)| The United States| October 2021paul young cpa, cga
Bottom Line: Inflation is spreading to more items as supply can't keep up with sturdy underlying demand that's stoked by stimulative policies, forcing more companies to pass along rising costs. A combination of low base-year effects, supply-side disruptions, delivery bottlenecks, labour shortages, elevated energy and food costs, and rising residential rents could keep the CPI rate above 6% through the turn of the year, while the core rate will likely take a run at 5%. Chair Powell expects inflation to begin to retreat by the second or third quarter of next year as supply constraints abate and reopening-demand pressures fade. But it will be a long and anxious waiting period (assuming he's still Chair). And, should wage growth rise further or inflation expectations resume an upward drift, the Fed might not be able to wait that long before pulling the tightening trigger.
Source - https://economics.bmo.com/en/publications/detail/86bbbd1a-eb53-42cd-902c-a804528f193e/
1. Food costs - https://ktvz.com/money/cnn-business-consumer/2021/11/05/world-food-prices-are-up-30-in-a-year/
2. OPEC tells Biden to pump the oil himself - https://www.forbes.com/sites/arielcohen/2021/11/09/opec-says-to-biden-if-you-want-more-oil-pump-it-yourself/?sh=11d02fb93efd OPEC told Biden (11/9/2021) to pump more USA oil https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/oil-and-gas-energy-sector-analysis-and-commentary-october-2021-revised
3. Supply chain - https://edtechmagazine.com/higher/k12/article/2021/11/4-ways-avoid-supply-chain-delays-2022
4. Low income - https://ktvz.com/news/2021/11/10/higher-gas-prices-and-heating-costs-will-hurt-low-income-families-the-most-this-winter/
5. Carbon tax - https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/opinion/rising-gas-prices-show-why-a-carbon-tax-is-a-bad-idea
6. Housing - https://www.cnbc.com/2021/11/10/home-prices-are-now-rising-much-faster-than-incomes-studies-show.html
7. Commodity prices - https://blackbullmarkets.com/en/market-reviews/are-commodity-prices-going-up/
8. Interest rates - https://www.cnbc.com/2021/11/10/federal-reserve-james-bullard-expects-two-rate-hikes-next-year.html
9. Green employment - https://www.aei.org/articles/will-green-energy-produce-more-jobs-three-experts-discuss/
10. Job market - https://www.cnbc.com/2021/11/09/switching-jobs-can-lead-to-higher-pay-heres-what-to-know.html
11. China - https://www.cnn.com/2021/11/10/economy/china-cpi-ppi-inflation-intl-hnk/index.html
Bank of Canada - What is next for Monetary Policies - April 2022 (Revised Mar...paul young cpa, cga
Canada inflation rate hit nearly 7% for March 2022. Canada has one of the highest inflation rates in the G7.
Higher interest rates mean less cash for retail sales
Government continues to push their green agenda driving more green inflation
Blog – Cost of Living and Inflation – Canada – March 2022
Inflation continues to run hot in Canada, with consumer prices rising 6.7 per cent year-over-year in March.
Statistics Canada says that's up from 5.7 per cent in February and the largest gain in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) since 1991.
Higher prices were widespread, rising in all eight major components of the index.
Source - https://ca.finance.yahoo.com/news/canadian-inflation-highest-since-1991-124402017.html
What is next for Monetary Policies - Canada - September 2022.pptxpaul young cpa, cga
Blog – What is next for Monetary Policies – Canada – September 2022
Canada has struggled with productivity issues for over 20 years. The liberals have done little address productivity including making changes to tax code related to capital cost allowance, R&D credits, training credits, etc.
Canada lock down strategy and stimulus has led to higher inflation. Liberals never had a plan to pull back on the stimulus through targeted measures that would better support improving supply chain, productivity, skills gap, and innovation
Canadian dollar has hit a two-year low,
Canada housing market was artificially kept high for years. The housing prices continue to fall.
Canada needs to revamp its tax and regulatory policies as part of getting goods out of the ground to market
Geopolitical Risks and Threats - Pandemic and Other Risks - Canada and the Wo...paul young cpa, cga
It is extremely easy to blame Russia for the high inflation. The reality is inflation was rising way before Russia invaded Ukraine.
Inflationary targets tend to be 1.9% to 2.3%. With inflation over 7% for many countries, then it begs to answer the question how policy makers will address the drivers of inflation. Too many progressive governments are looking at ways to further tax individuals and businesses. Little said about the need to reform taxation and regulatory policies as part of addressing issues with productivity, skills gaps, housing costs, and innovation.
Geopolitical Risks - Pandemic - Canada and the World - WE May 21 2022.pptxpaul young cpa, cga
After over 2 ½ years of the pandemic there are still issues with variant mitigation
Healthcare continues to struggle with its delivery model
New hybrid workplace is here to stay
Global GDP forecasts have been halved for 2022
High inflation continues to plague world economies
Food security continues to plague world governments
Summary:
Here are key issues and threats to the stock market:
1. Omicron supply chain issues (domestic and abroad)
2. QE winding down
3. Margin calls
4. Sector rotation
5. Meme stock reversion
6. Valuation
7. History makes its presence felt
Source - https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/12/25/7-reasons-the-stock-market-could-crash-in-january/
1. Stock market - https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/stock-market-outlook-sp500-19000-upside-2029-fundstrat-millennials-2021-12
2. Stock Market - https://ca.finance.yahoo.com/news/toronto-futures-rise-easing-omicron-130408598.html
3. Global Inflation - https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2021/11/24/inflation-has-risen-around-the-world-but-the-u-s-has-seen-one-of-the-biggest-increases/
4. Global inflation - https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2021/12/rising-prices-inflation-ipsos-survey/
5. Geopolitical - https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2021/12/rising-prices-inflation-ipsos-survey/ and https://www.geopoliticalmonitor.com/
6. Australia and New Zealand - https://www.reuters.com/markets/rates-bonds/australia-nz-dollars-extend-rally-hope-best-omicron-2021-12-23/
7. China - https://www.globaltimes.cn/page/202112/1243142.shtml and https://www.globaltimes.cn/page/202112/1243142.shtml
8. ESG - https://www.linkedin.com/posts/randallkurtz_cfos-fall-short-of-meeting-investors-esg-activity-6876924917388980224-6BFv/
9. Commodities - https://www.investing.com/analysis/commodities
10. Housing - https://betterdwelling.com/canadas-gap-between-real-estate-prices-and-incomes-looks-ridiculous-beside-us-data/ and https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-12-21/home-price-surges-bidding-wars-are-roiling-world-s-riskiest-housing-market
Geopolitical Risks and Threats - Pandemic and Other Risks - Canada and the Wo...paul young cpa, cga
Summary:
World continues to face many challenges with a broken healthcare system. More needs to be done to mitigate the future impact of variants and pandemics.
Summary:
Stock markets continue to struggle over the past few weeks due to many factors like rise in COVID19 cases and geopolitical issues with countries like Russia and China.
Commodity Prices continue to rise, especially LNG and coal due to the demands for electricity.
China could see GDP growth of only 5.2% for 2022.
1. Inflation - https://www.ft.com/content/1769e10d-9ff6-4c4b-8c7b-0098d321cd29
2. Indicators - https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/world-economic-indicators-dashboard/
3. Business automation - https://medium.com/geekculture/2022-tech-predictions-5-automation-trends-worth-following-ba6038dc831f
4. Agriculture - https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/small-biz/sme-sector/how-technology-will-drive-the-new-age-agri-revolution-in-india-in-2022/articleshow/88628999.cms?from=mdr
5. Commodities - https://www.agriculture.com/markets/newswire/update-1-lng-coal-lead-2021-commodities-rally-as-markets-eye-covid-19-for-next-move
6. Housing - https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/real-estate/video/we-are-expecting-a-10-decline-in-average-price-of-homes-in-2021-2022-chief-economist~2173206
7. Challenges - https://www.contactcenterpipeline.com/Article/2022-challenges-and-priorities-survey-a-triple-whammy-of-challenges
8. Geopolitical risks - https://theglobalherald.com/news/russia-and-china-rank-as-biggest-global-risks-to-watch-for-in-2022-says-atlantic-groups-kempe/
9. Food Prices - https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/other/food-prices-keep-rising-so-avoid-these-grocery-missteps/ss-AASjsjk
10. GDP - https://www.ft.com/content/1769e10d-9ff6-4c4b-8c7b-0098d321cd29
What is next for the Stock Market for the W/E January 7, 2022paul young cpa, cga
Stock Markets
Markets around the world remain jittery due to many factors like high inflation, increase case counts from omicron, global trade protectionism, and other geopolitical events.
The markets could see slower growth in 2022 in the range of 5-6%. Slower market growth will have an impact on pension funds and other assets holdings.
1. Stock Market - https://www.investors.com/news/economy/jobs-report-soft-hiring-but-unemployment-rate-dives-dow-jones-futures-fall/
2. Geopolitical risks - https://www.ausbiz.com.au/media/the-top-three-geopolitical-risks-for-2022?videoId=18420
3. USA build back better - https://www.economy.com/economicview/analysis/387186
4. Insurance - https://www.canadianunderwriter.ca/insurance/insurance-isnt-enough-governments-need-to-do-better-on-natural-disaster-resilience-1004216098/
5. ESG - https://www.mondaq.com/unitedstates/securities/1148324/paper-debunks-seven-myths-of-esg
6. GDP risk - https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-01-07/india-on-track-to-post-world-beating-growth-amid-virus-risks
7. Inflation - https://www.bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2022-01-07/what-s-happening-in-the-world-economy-the-inflation-shock-may-be-slowing
8. Climate change and viruses - https://blogs.timesofisrael.com/we-will-beat-neither-covid-nor-climate-change-on-our-own/
9. China - https://thehill.com/opinion/international/588783-the-china-tightrope-and-other-trade-developments-that-will-define-2022
10. Commodity Price Risk - https://thehill.com/opinion/international/588783-the-china-tightrope-and-other-trade-developments-that-will-define-2022
Revised - Cost of Living (Purchase Price Index) - Canada - April 2022.pptxpaul young cpa, cga
RBC Canadian Inflation Watch https://thoughtleadership.rbc.com/rbc-inflation-watch/
Hey @AndreaHorwath inflation is out. It is highest since 1991 when Bob Rae was Premier!
Hey @StevenDelDuca are you going to address green inflation?
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/revised-cost-of-living-purchase-price-index-canada-april-2022pptx
@StevenDelDuca can you tell how you will address high cost of gas & inflation? Are you going to ensure eVehicles pay road taxes or are you going to address issue with gas supplies or eliminate the carbon tax or high input cost for farmers/businesses
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/revised-cost-of-living-purchase-price-index-canada-april-2022pptx
The United States runs a record trade deficit for March 2022paul young cpa, cga
The trade deficit jumped more than 22 percent to $109.8 billion, as the double-digit increase in imports to an all-time high of $351.5 billion outstripped the more modest gain in exports, the Commerce Department said.
But US exports also hit a record of $241.7 billion, the data showed.
As the world's largest economy showed a robust recovery from the pandemic disruptions in recent months, businesses have been hampered by global supply chain snarls and shortages that meant relatively modest import gains.
But the data showed a shift in March with a $3.2 billion increase in imports of autos, parts and engines -- including a $2.5 jump in passenger cars alone -- a $1.5 billion rise in computers, and $1.3 billion gain for computer accessories.
Purchases of furniture and household goods jumped $1.3 billion, while toys, games and sporting goods rose by a similar amount, the report said.
A strong American consumer is likely to support continued demand for imports, while slower recoveries among US trading partners could hold down export growth, economists say.
"The prevailing domestic and overseas economic environment could keep the deficit pinned near record levels and impose a significant headwind to US GDP growth," said Mahir Rasheed of Oxford Economics.
The Federal Reserve is raising interest rates as it grapples with accelerating inflation, which could tamp down demand.
In the first three months of the year, the goods and services deficit increased $84.8 billion, or 41.5 percent, from the same period in 2021, the report said.
Source - https://www.rfi.fr/en/us-trade-deficit-hits-highest-on-record-as-imports-soar
Similar to Cost of Living (Inflation) - United States - May 2022 (incl PPI).pptx (20)
Global Housing Market Analysis and Commentary- September 2023.pptxpaul young cpa, cga
Summary:
Homebuilders are walking a fine line when it comes to new projects as high mortgage rates curb demand.
New residential construction, including single-family homes and multifamily, dropped 11.3% month over month in August to 1.283 million units on a seasonally adjusted basis, according to Census Bureau data released Tuesday. That's down 14.8% compared with a year ago and well below the 1.44 million units economists surveyed by Bloomberg projected.
But authorized residential permits — an indicator of potential future activity — rose 6.9% to 1.543 million permits in August from July. That was still down 2.7% from last August. Single-family permits, though, were up 2% from July to 949,000. Multifamily permits came in at 535,000.
The data reflects two opposing forces builders are trying to balance: the ongoing need for new construction to fill in limited inventory and elevated mortgage rates that are hurting their biggest customer right now, the first-time homebuyer.
"High mortgage rates are clearly taking a toll on builder confidence and consumer demand, as a growing number of buyers are electing to defer a home purchase until long-term rates move lower," Robert Dietz, chief economist of the National Association of Home Builders, said Monday in a press release after builder confidence dropped for the second straight month.
Source: https://ca.finance.yahoo.com/news/homebuilders-face-a-tough-balancing-act-on-new-construction-amid-high-mortgage-rates-130744368.html
Blog – What is next for the Mining Sector – September 2023
The mining sector provides critical material that support solar, wind, and lithium-ion batteries as part of the green transition. https://www.iea.org/news/critical-minerals-market-sees-unprecedented-growth-as-clean-energy-demand-drives-strong-increase-in-investment
The mining sector products play a key role with the global GDP - https://www.yicaiglobal.com/news/global-mining-industry-value-was-69-of-world-gdp-last-year-china-says
Mining practices need to be sustainable including following all ESG policies - https://www.linkedin.com/advice/1/how-can-you-monitor-sustainable-mining-practices
Other links and sources –
Lithium Supply and Price - https://zbr.com.mx/en/sin-categoria-es/lithium-prices-fall-44-in-china-due-to-lack-of-demand/138168/
Cobalt - https://www.linkedin.com/posts/mahmut-karada%C5%9F-a2b7a5151_china-exportrestrictions-gallium-activity-7082603182589157376-Zrty/?trk=public_profile_like_view
Nickel https://www.eureporter.co/business/2023/09/15/stanislav-kondrashov-from-telf-ag-nickel-prices-outlook-remains-positive/
Iron-ore - https://www.brecorder.com/news/40263584/sgx-iron-ore-set-for-best-week-in-3-months
TD Bank / Metals - https://www.tdsecurities.com/ca/en/setting-the-stage-for-gold-outlook
Biodiversity / Mining - https://worldcrunch.com/green/lithium-green-energy-argentina-indigenous
ESG - https://iriscarbon.com/the-added-value-of-integrated-esg-reporting-a-threefold-framework/
Blog – Manufacturing Shipments and Orders – The United States – August 2023
Summary:
New orders for manufacturing technology in the United States totaled $353.9 million in July 2023, as per the latest report by AMT – The Association For Manufacturing Technology. This figure marked a 12.4% decline from June 2023 but remained only 10.5% lower than July 2022. Year-to-date orders amounted to $2.83 billion, reflecting a 12.7% decrease compared to the same period the previous year.
Douglas K. Woods, President of AMT, noted that July is typically a slower month for manufacturing technology orders, so a slight drop was expected. However, he pointed out a notable trend: over the last two months, the year-to-date order gap has narrowed during historically slow periods. While job shops have seen decreased orders, other industries that benefited from reshoring or government investments have helped fill the gap.
Among specific sectors, job shops, the largest customer segment, placed their lowest total monthly orders since August 2020. In contrast, metal valve manufacturers recorded their third-highest monthly order value on record, last seen in September 2018, making up nearly 5% of the total manufacturing technology order value for July 2023. Manufacturers of motor vehicle transmissions continued to order machinery at an elevated pace. However, the aerospace industry continued to order below its early 2022 peaks, with hopes that recent projects like the federal government's $1.5 billion investment in communications satellites might reverse this trend.
Source: https://www.sme.org/technologies/articles/2023/september/u.s.-manufacturing-technology-orders-dip-in-july-but-show-resilience-amid-economic-uncertainty
Stock Market Analysis and Commentary for WE September 15 2023.pptxpaul young cpa, cga
Blog – Analysis and Commentary – Stock Market – WE September 15 2023
Summary:
Stocks fell Friday as investors wrap up a volatile week ahead of the Federal Reserve's policy meeting.
The Dow Jones Industrials tumbled 288.87 points to close out Friday and the week at 34,618.24. At its lows, it completely wiped out Thursday's 332-point rally.
The S&P 500 index sank 54.78 points, or 1.2%, to 4,450.32.
The NASDAQ index plunged 217.72 points, or 1.6%, to 13,708.33.
The Dow held onto a winning week. The S&P 500 and NASDAQ both closed out the week with losses.
Information technology was the worst-performing sector in the S&P 500, down nearly 2%. Adobe shares fell more than 4% even after the software firm posted better-than-expected quarterly results. Shares of Arm Holdings were lower one day after its successful public debut.
Auto stocks General Motors and Stellantis N.V. were higher Friday, while Ford Motor was about flat. Thousands of members of the United Auto Workers went on strike after failing to reach a deal with the automakers Thursday night.
Elsewhere, Lennar shares slid 3%. The home construction firm posted third-quarter results that beat on the top and bottom lines.
On the economic front, the University of Michigan's consumer sentiment survey showed one-year inflation expectations dropped to 3.1% in
September, tied for the lowest since January 2021. Also, the five-year outlook fell to 2.7%, matching its lowest since December 2020.
Electricity Analysis - Canada and the OECD - June 2023.pptxpaul young cpa, cga
Summary:
Over three-quarters of the world’s total coal-generated electricity is consumed in just three countries. China is the top user of coal, making up 53.3% of global coal demand, followed by India at 13.6%, and the U.S. at 8.9%.
Burning coal—for electricity, as well as metallurgy and cement production—is the world’s single largest source of CO2 emissions. Nevertheless, its use in electricity generation has actually grown 91.2% since 1997, the year when the first global climate agreement was signed in Kyoto, Japan.
However, even as non-renewables enjoy their time in the sun, their days could be numbered.
In 2022, renewables, such as wind, solar, and geothermal, represented 14.4% of total electricity generation with an extraordinary annual growth rate of 14.7%, driven by big gains in solar and wind. Non-renewables, by contrast, only managed an anemic 0.4%.
The authors of the Statistical Review do not include hydroelectric in their renewable calculations, even though many others, including the International Energy Agency, consider it a “well-established renewable power technology.”
With hydroelectric moved into the renewable column, together they accounted for over 29.3% of all electricity generated in 2022, with an annual growth rate of 7.4%.
Source - https://energynow.ca/2023/09/infographic-what-electricity-sources-power-the-world-see-them-here-visual-capitalist/
Stock Market Analysis and Commentary for WE September 9 2023.pptxpaul young cpa, cga
What did the markets tell us this week?
1. Housing supply and costs continue to plague countries around the world.
2. Gasoline prices are on the rise that puts pressure on central banks ability to hit their core inflation targets.
3. ESG adoption by both the private and public sector is leading to both funding concerns and the overall cost of implementing ESG policies.
4. Adopting technology as part of increasing food production is facing both capital and operational funding concerns.
5. Strike at LNG facility in Australia is leading to concerns around a supply chain disruption of natural gas for EMEA and Asia.
6. The threat of China dumping batteries into markets - https://www.ft.com/content/b6038e51-7b5b-4f97-a5da-9202e71562fc
7. Adoption of generative AI has been facing many challenges related to security, privacy, and ethical issues.
8. Lack of biodiversity planning as part of the overall climate mitigation including sustainable mining, forestry, oil, gas, agriculture, and housing
9. Geopolitical issues continue to impact supply chain.
10. The concerns of recession continue to plague both the private and public sector.
11. Productivity issues continue to plague governments around the world.
Global (Mining Oil and Gas Forestry and Agriculture) Analysis and Commentary ...paul young cpa, cga
The mining, oil, gas, agriculture, forestry, and mining continue to face environmental, social, and governance policy review including reporting of key metrics as part of ESG reporting cycle.
There is more focus on profitability and investment returns as part of the integrated planning and reporting cycle.
Summary:
The global economy faces what at least one forecaster is calling a mild trade recession as shipments from China slump and German factories downshift.
China’s export declines extended into August, though there were signs that the worst of a world trade slowdown may be over for the leading exporter.
Overseas shipments from China fell 8.8% in dollar terms from a year earlier while imports contracted 7.3%, both better than economists’ estimates and significantly less severe than July’s downturn.
Other data have suggested trade may be stabilizing after weakening for most of this year. Exports from South Korea also declined at a more moderate pace in August than the previous month.
Source: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2023-09-07/supply-chain-latest-world-trade-faces-a-shallow-recession?srnd=economics-v2
Additional sources and links:
Lithium - https://source.benchmarkminerals.com/article/falling-lithium-prices-challenge-potential-cost-advantages-of-sodium-batteries
Oil Production - https://www.cnn.com/2023/09/06/business/oil-price-goldman-sachs/index.html
Natural gas - https://www.fxstreet.com/news/natural-gas-holds-up-as-markets-in-limbo-over-strikes-202309070956
Lumber - https://www.fastmarkets.com/insights/sawmill-capacity-closures-reshape-us-lumber-supply
Critical metals - https://www.wasterecyclingmag.ca/feature/how-recycling-could-solve-the-shortage-of-minerals-essential-to-clean-energy/
Agriculture - https://www.morningagclips.com/economists-forecast-positive-end-of-year-crop-outlook-despite-warmer-midwestern-climate/
ESG - https://www.skadden.com/insights/publications/2023/09/the-informed-board/the-eus-new-esg-disclosure-rules
Ports - https://www.marketscreener.com/quote/stock/HAPAG-LLOYD-AG-24857717/news/Hapag-Lloyd-chief-warns-of-rougher-seas-ahead-for-container-shipping-44789017/
Top destination for reshoring - https://www.thenationalnews.com/business/economy/2023/08/29/uae-in-top-10-most-powerful-passports-for-investment-opportunity/
Global Trade - https://phys.org/news/2023-09-opinion-broke-global-climate-finish.html
What is next for the Forestry Sector and Lumber Production - September 2023.pptxpaul young cpa, cga
Lumber production in Canada continues to face many hurdles
Canada forest management practices are some of the bests in the world
Canada planted over 440M in seedlings back in 2018. It is now 2022 which means close 2M seedlings have been planted.
All levels need to put more focus on urban and rural planning solutions
More work including spending on wildfire and forest fire mitigation
Canada and USA need to find a path forward to resolve the softwood lumber dispute
There needs to a better balanced between climate change policies and growing the economy in a sustainable way
3D printing for housing needs to become mainstream
More protection needs to happen with key ecosystems like wetlands, forest, and peatlands.
There is a risk of debt default if interest rates are hike over the next few months
how can i use my minded pi coins I need some funds.DOT TECH
If you are interested in selling your pi coins, i have a verified pi merchant, who buys pi coins and resell them to exchanges looking forward to hold till mainnet launch.
Because the core team has announced that pi network will not be doing any pre-sale. The only way exchanges like huobi, bitmart and hotbit can get pi is by buying from miners.
Now a merchant stands in between these exchanges and the miners. As a link to make transactions smooth. Because right now in the enclosed mainnet you can't sell pi coins your self. You need the help of a merchant,
i will leave the telegram contact of my personal pi merchant below. 👇 I and my friends has traded more than 3000pi coins with him successfully.
@Pi_vendor_247
what is the best method to sell pi coins in 2024DOT TECH
The best way to sell your pi coins safely is trading with an exchange..but since pi is not launched in any exchange, and second option is through a VERIFIED pi merchant.
Who is a pi merchant?
A pi merchant is someone who buys pi coins from miners and pioneers and resell them to Investors looking forward to hold massive amounts before mainnet launch in 2026.
I will leave the telegram contact of my personal pi merchant to trade pi coins with.
@Pi_vendor_247
Poonawalla Fincorp and IndusInd Bank Introduce New Co-Branded Credit Cardnickysharmasucks
The unveiling of the IndusInd Bank Poonawalla Fincorp eLITE RuPay Platinum Credit Card marks a notable milestone in the Indian financial landscape, showcasing a successful partnership between two leading institutions, Poonawalla Fincorp and IndusInd Bank. This co-branded credit card not only offers users a plethora of benefits but also reflects a commitment to innovation and adaptation. With a focus on providing value-driven and customer-centric solutions, this launch represents more than just a new product—it signifies a step towards redefining the banking experience for millions. Promising convenience, rewards, and a touch of luxury in everyday financial transactions, this collaboration aims to cater to the evolving needs of customers and set new standards in the industry.
Resume
• Real GDP growth slowed down due to problems with access to electricity caused by the destruction of manoeuvrable electricity generation by Russian drones and missiles.
• Exports and imports continued growing due to better logistics through the Ukrainian sea corridor and road. Polish farmers and drivers stopped blocking borders at the end of April.
• In April, both the Tax and Customs Services over-executed the revenue plan. Moreover, the NBU transferred twice the planned profit to the budget.
• The European side approved the Ukraine Plan, which the government adopted to determine indicators for the Ukraine Facility. That approval will allow Ukraine to receive a EUR 1.9 bn loan from the EU in May. At the same time, the EU provided Ukraine with a EUR 1.5 bn loan in April, as the government fulfilled five indicators under the Ukraine Plan.
• The USA has finally approved an aid package for Ukraine, which includes USD 7.8 bn of budget support; however, the conditions and timing of the assistance are still unknown.
• As in March, annual consumer inflation amounted to 3.2% yoy in April.
• At the April monetary policy meeting, the NBU again reduced the key policy rate from 14.5% to 13.5% per annum.
• Over the past four weeks, the hryvnia exchange rate has stabilized in the UAH 39-40 per USD range.
how to sell pi coins at high rate quickly.DOT TECH
Where can I sell my pi coins at a high rate.
Pi is not launched yet on any exchange. But one can easily sell his or her pi coins to investors who want to hold pi till mainnet launch.
This means crypto whales want to hold pi. And you can get a good rate for selling pi to them. I will leave the telegram contact of my personal pi vendor below.
A vendor is someone who buys from a miner and resell it to a holder or crypto whale.
Here is the telegram contact of my vendor:
@Pi_vendor_247
USDA Loans in California: A Comprehensive Overview.pptxmarketing367770
USDA Loans in California: A Comprehensive Overview
If you're dreaming of owning a home in California's rural or suburban areas, a USDA loan might be the perfect solution. The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) offers these loans to help low-to-moderate-income individuals and families achieve homeownership.
Key Features of USDA Loans:
Zero Down Payment: USDA loans require no down payment, making homeownership more accessible.
Competitive Interest Rates: These loans often come with lower interest rates compared to conventional loans.
Flexible Credit Requirements: USDA loans have more lenient credit score requirements, helping those with less-than-perfect credit.
Guaranteed Loan Program: The USDA guarantees a portion of the loan, reducing risk for lenders and expanding borrowing options.
Eligibility Criteria:
Location: The property must be located in a USDA-designated rural or suburban area. Many areas in California qualify.
Income Limits: Applicants must meet income guidelines, which vary by region and household size.
Primary Residence: The home must be used as the borrower's primary residence.
Application Process:
Find a USDA-Approved Lender: Not all lenders offer USDA loans, so it's essential to choose one approved by the USDA.
Pre-Qualification: Determine your eligibility and the amount you can borrow.
Property Search: Look for properties in eligible rural or suburban areas.
Loan Application: Submit your application, including financial and personal information.
Processing and Approval: The lender and USDA will review your application. If approved, you can proceed to closing.
USDA loans are an excellent option for those looking to buy a home in California's rural and suburban areas. With no down payment and flexible requirements, these loans make homeownership more attainable for many families. Explore your eligibility today and take the first step toward owning your dream home.
The European Unemployment Puzzle: implications from population agingGRAPE
We study the link between the evolving age structure of the working population and unemployment. We build a large new Keynesian OLG model with a realistic age structure, labor market frictions, sticky prices, and aggregate shocks. Once calibrated to the European economy, we quantify the extent to which demographic changes over the last three decades have contributed to the decline of the unemployment rate. Our findings yield important implications for the future evolution of unemployment given the anticipated further aging of the working population in Europe. We also quantify the implications for optimal monetary policy: lowering inflation volatility becomes less costly in terms of GDP and unemployment volatility, which hints that optimal monetary policy may be more hawkish in an aging society. Finally, our results also propose a partial reversal of the European-US unemployment puzzle due to the fact that the share of young workers is expected to remain robust in the US.
how to swap pi coins to foreign currency withdrawable.DOT TECH
As of my last update, Pi is still in the testing phase and is not tradable on any exchanges.
However, Pi Network has announced plans to launch its Testnet and Mainnet in the future, which may include listing Pi on exchanges.
The current method for selling pi coins involves exchanging them with a pi vendor who purchases pi coins for investment reasons.
If you want to sell your pi coins, reach out to a pi vendor and sell them to anyone looking to sell pi coins from any country around the globe.
Below is the contact information for my personal pi vendor.
Telegram: @Pi_vendor_247
What price will pi network be listed on exchangesDOT TECH
The rate at which pi will be listed is practically unknown. But due to speculations surrounding it the predicted rate is tends to be from 30$ — 50$.
So if you are interested in selling your pi network coins at a high rate tho. Or you can't wait till the mainnet launch in 2026. You can easily trade your pi coins with a merchant.
A merchant is someone who buys pi coins from miners and resell them to Investors looking forward to hold massive quantities till mainnet launch.
I will leave the telegram contact of my personal pi vendor to trade with.
@Pi_vendor_247
What website can I sell pi coins securely.DOT TECH
Currently there are no website or exchange that allow buying or selling of pi coins..
But you can still easily sell pi coins, by reselling it to exchanges/crypto whales interested in holding thousands of pi coins before the mainnet launch.
Who is a pi merchant?
A pi merchant is someone who buys pi coins from miners and resell to these crypto whales and holders of pi..
This is because pi network is not doing any pre-sale. The only way exchanges can get pi is by buying from miners and pi merchants stands in between the miners and the exchanges.
How can I sell my pi coins?
Selling pi coins is really easy, but first you need to migrate to mainnet wallet before you can do that. I will leave the telegram contact of my personal pi merchant to trade with.
Tele-gram.
@Pi_vendor_247
Currently pi network is not tradable on binance or any other exchange because we are still in the enclosed mainnet.
Right now the only way to sell pi coins is by trading with a verified merchant.
What is a pi merchant?
A pi merchant is someone verified by pi network team and allowed to barter pi coins for goods and services.
Since pi network is not doing any pre-sale The only way exchanges like binance/huobi or crypto whales can get pi is by buying from miners. And a merchant stands in between the exchanges and the miners.
I will leave the telegram contact of my personal pi merchant. I and my friends has traded more than 6000pi coins successfully
Tele-gram
@Pi_vendor_247
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The secret way to sell pi coins effortlessly.DOT TECH
Well as we all know pi isn't launched yet. But you can still sell your pi coins effortlessly because some whales in China are interested in holding massive pi coins. And they are willing to pay good money for it. If you are interested in selling I will leave a contact for you. Just telegram this number below. I sold about 3000 pi coins to him and he paid me immediately.
Telegram: @Pi_vendor_247
Cost of Living (Inflation) - United States - May 2022 (incl PPI).pptx
1. COST OF LIVING –
UNITED STATES –
JUNE 11, 2022
Paul Young CPA CGA
June 11, 2022
2. PAUL YOUNG - BIO
• CPA, CGA (1996)
• Academia (PF1, FA4, FN2, MU1. and MS2)
• SME – Customer Success Management
• SME – Risk Management
• SME – Close, Consolidate and Reporting
• SME – Public Policy
• SME – Emerging Technology
• SME – Business Process Change
• SME – Financial Solutions
• SME – Macro/Micro Indicators
• SME – Supply Chain Management
• SME – Data, AI, Security, and Platform
• SME – Internal Controls and Auditing
Contact information email: Paul_Young_CGA@hotmail.com
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/paul-young-055632b/
SlideShare - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga
Twitter: https://twitter.com/paulyoungcpa
Youtube - https://www.youtube.com/user/youngercga1968/videos
3. AGENDA
• CPI Index
• BMO – Consumer Price Index – United States
• Housing Price Index
• Gasoline Prices
• Average housing Price
• Producer Price Index
• Freight Index
• Blog – Cargo
• Blog – Supply Chain Disruption
• Blog – Stimulus and Inflation
4. THE USA – CPI INDEX CPI - Inflation - USA -
May 2022.pdf
5. THE USA – CPI INDEX
CPI - Inflation - USA -
May 2022.pdf
6. THE USA – TARGET
CPI - Inflation - USA -
May 2022.pdf Global Forecast -
May 2022.pdf
• Inflation to hit a target of 1.9% to 2.2% range will require a drastic shift in policies. The USA like
many countries has issues with innovation, skill gaps, productivity, government fiscal gap, and
household debt.
• Inflation new target likely needs to be 3.5% to 4.1% due to shift of both the public and private
sector to ESG reporting and the green economy.
16. CARGO
Blog - Retail Cargo Expected to Set Record in August
“Strong consumer demand has outpaced supply chain operations since late last year and could remain a challenge as the
holidays approach," Gold added. "The continuing lack of labor, equipment and capacity has highlighted systemic issues and the
need to create a truly 21st century supply chain to ensure resiliency against the next major disruption. Passage of infrastructure
legislation currently pending in Congress is a key step in that direction. We need continued focus by the administration to help
address these issues as well.”
Shipping and congestion continue to be a concern. “The strain of the continuing economic expansion is putting considerable
pressure on the logistics supply chain,” Hackett Associates Founder Ben Hackett said in a statement. “We’re seeing a lack of
shipping capacity combined with port congestion as vessels line up to discharge goods from both Asia and Europe. Delays are
stretching to landside as port terminals struggle with space shortages, and labor challenges are affecting ports, railroads and
trucking companies alike. This part of the recovery is not a pretty sight.”
https://www.mhlnews.com/global-supply-chain/article/21171732/retail-cargo-expected-to-set-record-in-
august?utm_source=IY+IW+QM+News&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=CPS210809063&o_eid=7930I4506489J2B&rdx.ident%5Bpull%5
D=omeda%7C7930I4506489J2B&oly_enc_id=7930I4506489J2B
This ties nicely into my work on United States retail sales - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/retail-sales-usa-june-2021
Blog – How to build a resilient Supply Chain using Data and AI
https://ibm.box.com/s/bqy9mr0ktlgi64sbf49o4rg5d9w0rqkn
18. STIMULUS AND INFLATION
COVID inflation is everywhere, but some have more of it than others. Among advanced economies, the U.S. is starting to
look like the outlier.
That’s probably because it did more fiscal stimulus in the pandemic, economists say. The consensus is that high inflation
won’t last long. But even if that’s right, the current elevated level has the potential to cause problems of its own -- for
President Joe Biden’s most ambitious economic plans at home, and for other countries too.
August data due Tuesday is set to show annual growth in U.S. consumer prices stayed above 5 per cent in August for a
third straight month, according to Bloomberg surveys. The median forecast was 5.3 per cent, down from 5.4 per cent the
previous month. Most other developed countries have seen a spike too -- just not nearly as big.
Source - https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/u-s-inflation-is-starting-to-look-like-a-stimulus-led-outlier-1.1651314
My work - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/fiscal-management-public-sector-united-states-250175562
19. WAGES
Blog - Proportion of businesses raising pay hits 48-year high: NFIB
The proportion of small businesses that raised pay in October hit a 48-year high, with a net 44% increasing compensation
and a net 32% planning to do so in the next three months, the National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB) said
Tuesday.
Optimism among owners toward the business outlook during the next six months slumped to the lowest level since
November 2012, NFIB said, citing a survey of 1,431 small businesses. “Owners have grown pessimistic about future
economic conditions,” the federation said, noting that 49% said they could not fill job openings and all but 10% reported
disruption from supply chain bottlenecks.
“One of the biggest problems for small businesses is the lack of workers for unfilled positions and inventory shortages,
which will continue to be a problem during the holiday season,” NFIB Chief Economist Bill Dunkelberg said.
https://www.cfodive.com/news/businesses-raising-pay-hits-48-year-high-
nfib/609756/?utm_source=Sailthru&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=Issue:%202021-11-
10%20CFO%20Dive%20%5Bissue:37915%5D&utm_term=CFO%20Dive
Blog – Employment – United States – October 2021 - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/employment-and-labour-
market-the-united-states-october-2021
20. GREEN INFLATION
Blog - Decarbonization And 'Greenflation'
Accelerating the transition toward low or net-zero carbon emissions is necessary to keep global warming at
theoretically safe levels.
That will likely bring price shocks associated with rising metal prices, energy costs, and carbon taxes – what has
been called “greenflation”.
Greening the economy will also require public spending and redistributive policies.
https://seekingalpha.com/article/4474720-decarbonization-and-greenflation?mail_subject=decarbonization-and-
greenflation&utm_campaign=nl-macro-view&utm_content=link-0&utm_medium=email&utm_source=seeking_alpha
The world including the United States are seeing highest inflation since the 1980s (Source -
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/cost-of-living-the-united-states-inflation-november-2021) and environment
- https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/how-to-mitigate-the-threats-of-climate-change-250803941
Any significant change in tax and environmental policies will lead to changes in input costs for many businesses.
There are better ways to fixed issues with environment through more balance of policies that will not drive up the
inflation rates across the globe!
Additional link - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/how-to-mitigate-the-threats-of-climate-change-250803941
21. SUMMARY
• US inflation accelerated to a fresh 40-year high in May, a sign that price pressures are becoming entrenched in the
economy. That will likely push the Federal Reserve to extend an aggressive series of interest-rate hikes and adds to
political problems for the White House and Democrats.
• The consumer price index increased 8.6 per cent from a year earlier in a broad-based advance, Labor Department data
showed Friday. The widely followed inflation gauge rose 1 per cent from a month earlier, topping all estimates. Shelter,
food and gas were the largest contributors.
• The so-called core CPI, which strips out the more volatile food and energy components, rose 0.6 per cent from the prior
month and 6 per cent from a year ago, also above forecasts.
• Source - https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/u-s-inflation-unexpectedly-accelerates-to-40-year-high-1.1777105
• Biden was around during those times - https://www.britannica.com/biography/Joe-Biden
Blog – Cost of Living – The United States – May 2022
CPI - Inflation - USA -
May 2022.pdf
Global Forecast -
May 2022.pdf
U.S. CPI Higher,
Faster, Broader.pdf
U.S. CPI Higher,
Faster, Broader.pdf
U.S. Inflation At
Highest In Four Decades As Fuel Prices Soar OilPrice.com.pdf
Energy and food
drive US inflation to highest for 40 years.pdf
Housing Market
Predictions 2022 Will Prices Drop In The Third Quarter – Forbes Advisor.pdf
Remote work has
caused housing prices to shoot up study – The Hill.pdf
Home Buyers Are
Relocating to Extreme Drought Regions - Bob Vila.pdf
US Farmer Sentiment
Dives As Ag Input-Costs Skyrocket ZeroHedge.pdf
These products have
had some of the biggest price increases in the last year The Hill.pdf
McDonald's wants
frequent but smaller price increases to manage inflation without hurting customers too much - MarketWatch.pdf
Climate change could
dampen insurers’ quest for profit from Africa Business Insurance.pdf
How Much Does An
Electric Car Actually Cost – Otosection.pdf
The World Is
Scrambling For Lithium Supply OilPrice.com.pdf
10 Reasons Why
Electric Vehicles are (Still) So Expensive.pdf
How inflation could
curb the rise of green energy - Archyde.pdf
Summary:
US inflation accelerated to a fresh 40-year high in May, a sign that price pressures are becoming
entrenched in the economy. That will likely push the Federal Reserve to extend an aggressive
series of interest-rate hikes and adds to political problems for the White House and Democrats.
The consumer price index increased 8.6 per cent from a year earlier in a broad-based advance,
Labor Department data showed Friday. The widely followed inflation gauge rose 1 per cent from
a month earlier, topping all estimates. Shelter, food and gas were the largest contributors.
The so-called core CPI, which strips out the more volatile food and energy components, rose 0.6
per cent from the prior month and 6 per cent from a year ago, also above forecasts.
Source - https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/u-s-inflation-unexpectedly-accelerates-to-40-year-high-
1.1777105
1. Energy Costs - https://oilprice.com/Energy/Energy-General/US-Inflation-At-Highest-In-Four-
Decades-As-Fuel-Prices-Soar.html
2. Food Costs - https://ca.style.yahoo.com/us-inflation-hits-fastest-pace-125901603.html
3. Housing Costs - https://www.forbes.com/advisor/mortgages/housing-market-predictions/
4. Remote working - https://thehill.com/changing-america/sustainability/infrastructure/3518838-
remote-work-has-caused-housing-prices-to-shoot-up-study/
5. Water https://www.bobvila.com/articles/home-buyers-relocate-to-extreme-drought-regions/
6. Farmer input costs - https://www.zerohedge.com/commodities/us-farmer-sentiment-dives-ag-
input-costs-skyrocket
7. Price Increases - https://thehill.com/policy/finance/3519124-these-products-have-had-some-of-
the-biggest-price-increases-in-the-last-year/