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Great Depression of
the 30s Affected the
World Economy
BY
SOUMIK GHOSH
Background
● Severe economic depression which preceded World
War II
● Started in the US on October 29th , 1939 with the
fall of US stock market
● Impacted the major European and Asian economies
of the world
● Lasted till early 1940s - longest , most widespread
and deepest depression of 20th centery
Major Causes
High Tariff
Barrier
Stock
Market
Crash
Over
Production
Inequality
Monetary
Poilicy
High Tariff Barrier
● During initial stages of Great Depression, the
USA’s main goal emerged to protect American jobs
and farmers from forgien competition
● So, the Smooth-Hawley Tariff Act was enacted in
1930
● But it led to worsening of depression by reducing
international trade and causing retaliatory tariffs
in other countries
THE CIRCULAR
FLOW
BUSINESSES HOUSEHOLDS
RESOURCE
MARKET
RESOURCES INPUTS
$ COSTS $ INCOMES
PRODUCT
MARKET
GOODS &
SERVICES
GOODS &
SERVICES
$ CONSUMPTION$ REVENUE
THE CIRCULAR
FLOW
BUSINESSES HOUSEHOLDS
RESOURCE
MARKET
RESOURCES INPUTS
$ COSTS $ INCOMES
PRODUCT
MARKET
GOODS &
SERVICES
GOODS &
SERVICES
$ CONSUMPTION$ REVENUE
GOVERNMENT
Monetary Policy
● Monetary contraction, the consequence of poor
policy-making by the American Federal Reserve System and
continue crisis in the banking system responsible for Great
Depression
● The Federal Reserve, by not acting, allowed the money
supply to shrink by one-third, transforming a normal
recession into Great Depression
● Led to the closure of more than 11000 banks and increased
conservatism in remaining banks in extending credit
Stock Market Crash
● The American stock markets were the most visible symbol of
prosperous American economy in 1920’s
● Stock prices rose steadily in 1920’s and in 1929 Dow peaked
at its highest level of 381 points
● On October 29th, 1929 the stock market plummeted leading
to a loss of $30 billion
● The industries were not performing well and in stock market
there were 2 major problems:
○ Speculation
○ Margin
Inequality : Unequal distribution of
Wealth
● National wealth grew steadily in 1920’s but it was not
distributed evenly
● The income rose to 75% for the top 1% and for the remaining
it was only 9%
● 80% of Americans had no savings at all
● 70% of families had annual earning <$2500
1920s and 30s Salaries
● Bus Driver - $1300 or $0.43/hr
● Teacher - $1227
● Waitress - $520 or $0.20/hr
● Framland - $216 or $0.07/hr
● First minimum wage under FDR - $0..25/hr
● Highest paid production workers in 1920s (Ford Motor
Company) - $5.00/day or $0.48/hr
● Fram Product prices:
○ Potatoes - $0.01/pound
○ Cotton - $0.05/pound
○ Pork - $0.05/pound
Over Production
● Farm:
○ The production rose to very high level to meet the demand during WW-I
but the consumption dropped in 1902’s
○ The prices of the agricultural land and crops fell and the average annual
income of farmers dropped to $273
○ 30% of Americans were dependent on farming
● Industry:
○ Factories were producing products at a higher rate but wages of
workers were not increasing in the same proportion
○ Consumers were buying less than the production and their was
overproduction
What about the people?
● Farmers were already feeling the
effects
○ Prices of crops went down
○ Many farms foreclosed
● People could not afford luxury
○ Factories shut down
○ Businesses went out
● Banks could not pay out money
● People could not pay their taxes
○ School shut down due to lack of
funds
● Many Families become homeless
and had to live in shanties
The Great Dust Bowl
● Over use & Over grazing
○ No crop rotation
● No soil conservation
● No wind breaks
● Loss of natural grass and animals
● Climate changes - The Drought of the 30’s
Why was this Bad?
● Credit System
○ These was a new concept
○ People didn’t really have money they
were spending
○ No money to replenish what was
borrowed
● WWI
○ The US was a major credit loaner to
other nations in need
○ Many of these nations could not pay
them back
EASY MONEY (CREDIT)
• INTEREST RATES ON LOANS WERE TOO LOW =
TOO MUCH BORROWING INTEREST RATES ON
SAVINGS WERE TOO LOW = TOO MUCH
SPENDING (INFLATION) EXCESSIVE REAL
ESTATE CONSTRUCTION = OVERSUPPLY
GHS Rules
The New York Stock Exchange
Black Friday, October 24, 1929
Runs on Banks
● The crisis in confidence frightened depositors
who feared for their money.
● Millions tried to withdraw their money because
they feared the banks losing it.
● 1929- 641 banks Failed
● 1930- 1350 banks Failed
● 1931- 1700 banks Failed
The Business Cycle
● BOOM/PROSPERITY/PEAK
● High Demand = Desire for more Profits = Greater Investment =
More Production = Higher Employment = More Demand =
Higher Prices(Inflation)
The Business Cycle
● CONTRACTION / SLOWDOWN
● Inflation/Overproduction = Less Production = Lays off = Less Spending =
Lower Confidence = Less Investment = Higher Unemployment
● UNTIL SURPLUSES ARE USED UP
Business Cycle Throughs
● RECESSION = Two Successive ¼’s (3 months periods)
of declining GDP ($ of GOVT, Consumer and Business
Spending)
● DEPRESSION = Unemployment greater than 12%
The Business Cycle
● EXPANSION / RECOVERY
● Higher Demand = Surplus Reduction = more production = Recall
of workers = More purchasing = Increase Investments =
Economic Growth
Christmas Day
Breadlines in
New York City,
1931
Police stand
guard outside
the entrance to
New York's
closed World
Exchange Bank,
March 20, 1931
Unemployed
men vying for
jobs at the
American
Legion
Employment
Bureau in Los
Angeles
during the
Great
Depression.
Unemployed
workers in
front of a
shack with
Christmas
tree, East
12th Street,
New York
City.
December
1937
Man in hobo jungle killing
turtle to make soup,
Minneapolis, Minnesota.
Hard Times
Unemployment
· By the early 1930’s,
approximately 25% of the
nation was unemployed.
· Fathers
and some
children left
home to
find work.
Families
in Crisis
· Marriage
and birth
rates
dropped.
Evicted family with
belongings on street,
December 14, 1929.
President Hoover
● Herbert Hoover was
President at the start
● Philosophy : We’ll make it
● What he did : NOTHING
● The poor were looking for
help and no idea on how to
correct or help were coming
· These shacks were
known as Hoovervilles.
Seattle, Washington
Homelessness
· Homeless families
build shacks out of
wooden crates and scrap
metal.
Central Park,
New York City
“Hooverville,"
New York City,
December 8
1930
[Sign on shack
reads:
"House of
Unemployed"]
Hoover Takes Action • At first,
President
Hoover was
against
offering direct
government
relief.
• Instead, he
asked private
charities, such
as the YMCA,
to help.
Many waited in unemployment
lines hoping for a job.
People in cities would wait in line for
bread to bring to their family.
Some families were forced to
relocate because they had no
money.
“Hooverville”• Some families were
forced to live in shanty
towns
– A grouping of shacks and
tents in vacant lots
• They were referred to as
“Hooverville” because
of President Hoover’s
lack of help during the
depression.
A drought in the South lead to
dust storms that destroyed crops.
“The Dust Bowl”
The South Was Buried
• Crops turned to dust=No food to be
sent out
• Homes buried
• Fields blown away
• South in state of emergency
• Dust Bowl the #1 weather crisis of the
20th century
A Farm Foreclosure
Some families tried to make money by
selling useful crafts like baskets.
Different views of causes
➢ There are various approaches for explaining the causes of the
first downturn in 1929:
○ Demand-driven
■ Keynesian
■ Breakdown of international trade
■ Debt deflation
○ Monetarist
○ Inequality
○ Productivity Shock
○ Austrian School
○ New classical approach
Demand-Driven
● Keynesian :
○ Lower aggregate expenditures in the economy contributed to a massive decline in
income and to employment that was well below the average
○ To keep people fully employed, governments have to run deficits when the
economy is slowing
● Debt deflation :
○ Predominant factor leading to the Great Depression was over-indebtedness and
deflation
○ Margin requirements were only 10% - People took the loan to invest in stock
market, but when the market crashed they were unable to repay these loans
leading to default
● Breakdown of international trade :
○ American Smoot-Harley Tariff Act responsible for worsening the situation of the
crisis
○ American exports declined from about $5.2 billion in 1929 to $1.7 billion in 1933
Monetarist
● Monetary contraction, the consequence of poor policy-making
by the American Federal Reserve System and continued crisis in
the banking system responsible for Great Depression
● The Federal Reserve, by non-acting, allowed the money supply to
shrink by one-third, transforming a normal recession into the
Great Depression
● The Federal Reserve Act limited the amount of credit the
Federal Reserve could issue
Inequality
● Root Cause : Global over-investment in heavy
industry capacity compared to wages and earnings
from independent businesses
● Solution : Redistribute purchasing power, maintain
the industrial base, but re-inflate prices and wages to
force as much of the inflationary increase in
purchasing power into consumer spending
Productivity Stock
● The first three decades of 20th century witnessed
rapid growth in productivity and production
capacity
● According to this school of thought “The Great
Depression” was a result of these long term trends
Other Views
● Austrian School :
○ The key cause of the Depression was the expansion of the money supply
in the 1920s that led to an unsustainable credit-driven boom
○ This inflation of the money supply that led to an unsustainable boom in
both asset prices by the late 1920’s and led to economic contraction
● New classical approach :
○ Initial severe decline but rapid recovery in productivity, relatively little
change in the capital stock, and a prolonged depression in the labour
force
○ Focuses on the decline in productivity that caused the initial decline in
output and a prolonged recovery due to policies that affected the labour
market
Effect on the Major Economies of the
World and US
IMPACT
United States Great Britain France Germany
Industrial
Production
-46% -23% -24% -41%
Wholesale
Prices
-32% -33% -34% -29%
Foregin Trade -70% -60% -54% -61%
Unemployment +607% +129% +214% +232%
Franklin Delano Roosevelt
● When he inaugurated
unemployment had increased by 7
million
● Poor section had 50 % of pop
unemployed
● Instated the “New Deal”
● People everywhere were effected by
the Depression till President
Roosevelt took over and tried to put
the economy back together that
people ever saw a glimmer of hope
Recovery Steps New Deal
● In March 1933, the country was virtually leaderless
● The Banking system had collapsed
● He provided dynamic leadership in a time of crisis
● Series of economic programs enacted in USA between 1933 and
1936
● 3R’s - Relief, Recovery and Reforms
○ RELIEF for the unemployed and poor
○ RECOVERY of the economy to normal levels
○ REFORM of the financial system to prevent a repeat depression
Source of New Deal Ideas
● Specialists and experts, mostly college
professor and idea men
● New Economists : Government spending,
deficit spending and public spending,
government should prime economic pump
● Roosevelt Cabinet : included
conservatives, liberals, Democrats,
Republicans, inflationists, anti-inflationists
often conflicting, compromising, blending
ideas
First New Deal(1933-34)
● Primary aim of this deal was to
achieve Economic Recovery
● PHILOSOPHY : Economic nationalism
and economic scarcity(i.e., raise
prices by creating illusion of scarcity)
● OBJECTIVES : higher prices for
agriculture and business
● BENEFICIARIES : big business and
agriculture business
Second New Deal(1934-41)
● Primary Aim : permanent reform
● Philosophy : international economic
cooperation economic abundance
● Objectives : increased purchasing
power and social security for public
● Beneficiaries : small farmers and
labor
The End of Great Depression
● The Great Depression ended when US entered World War II in December 1941
● Massive war spending doubled the GNP
● Military Keynesianism brought Full Employment
● Military Keynesianism : the position that the government should increase military
spending in order to increase economic growth.
● The mobilization of manpower following the outbreak of war in 1939 ended
unemployment
● Spending on the New Deal was far smaller than spending on the war effort, which passed
40% of GDP in 1944
● Massive war spending doubled economic growth rates, either masking the effects of the
Depression or essentially ended the Depression
● Businessmen ignored the mounting national debt and heavy taxes, redoubling their
efforts for greater output to take advantage of generous government contracts.

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Great depression of the 30s affected the world economy (1)

  • 1. Great Depression of the 30s Affected the World Economy BY SOUMIK GHOSH
  • 2.
  • 3. Background ● Severe economic depression which preceded World War II ● Started in the US on October 29th , 1939 with the fall of US stock market ● Impacted the major European and Asian economies of the world ● Lasted till early 1940s - longest , most widespread and deepest depression of 20th centery
  • 5. High Tariff Barrier ● During initial stages of Great Depression, the USA’s main goal emerged to protect American jobs and farmers from forgien competition ● So, the Smooth-Hawley Tariff Act was enacted in 1930 ● But it led to worsening of depression by reducing international trade and causing retaliatory tariffs in other countries
  • 6. THE CIRCULAR FLOW BUSINESSES HOUSEHOLDS RESOURCE MARKET RESOURCES INPUTS $ COSTS $ INCOMES PRODUCT MARKET GOODS & SERVICES GOODS & SERVICES $ CONSUMPTION$ REVENUE
  • 7. THE CIRCULAR FLOW BUSINESSES HOUSEHOLDS RESOURCE MARKET RESOURCES INPUTS $ COSTS $ INCOMES PRODUCT MARKET GOODS & SERVICES GOODS & SERVICES $ CONSUMPTION$ REVENUE GOVERNMENT
  • 8. Monetary Policy ● Monetary contraction, the consequence of poor policy-making by the American Federal Reserve System and continue crisis in the banking system responsible for Great Depression ● The Federal Reserve, by not acting, allowed the money supply to shrink by one-third, transforming a normal recession into Great Depression ● Led to the closure of more than 11000 banks and increased conservatism in remaining banks in extending credit
  • 9. Stock Market Crash ● The American stock markets were the most visible symbol of prosperous American economy in 1920’s ● Stock prices rose steadily in 1920’s and in 1929 Dow peaked at its highest level of 381 points ● On October 29th, 1929 the stock market plummeted leading to a loss of $30 billion ● The industries were not performing well and in stock market there were 2 major problems: ○ Speculation ○ Margin
  • 10. Inequality : Unequal distribution of Wealth ● National wealth grew steadily in 1920’s but it was not distributed evenly ● The income rose to 75% for the top 1% and for the remaining it was only 9% ● 80% of Americans had no savings at all ● 70% of families had annual earning <$2500
  • 11. 1920s and 30s Salaries ● Bus Driver - $1300 or $0.43/hr ● Teacher - $1227 ● Waitress - $520 or $0.20/hr ● Framland - $216 or $0.07/hr ● First minimum wage under FDR - $0..25/hr ● Highest paid production workers in 1920s (Ford Motor Company) - $5.00/day or $0.48/hr ● Fram Product prices: ○ Potatoes - $0.01/pound ○ Cotton - $0.05/pound ○ Pork - $0.05/pound
  • 12. Over Production ● Farm: ○ The production rose to very high level to meet the demand during WW-I but the consumption dropped in 1902’s ○ The prices of the agricultural land and crops fell and the average annual income of farmers dropped to $273 ○ 30% of Americans were dependent on farming ● Industry: ○ Factories were producing products at a higher rate but wages of workers were not increasing in the same proportion ○ Consumers were buying less than the production and their was overproduction
  • 13. What about the people? ● Farmers were already feeling the effects ○ Prices of crops went down ○ Many farms foreclosed ● People could not afford luxury ○ Factories shut down ○ Businesses went out ● Banks could not pay out money ● People could not pay their taxes ○ School shut down due to lack of funds ● Many Families become homeless and had to live in shanties
  • 14. The Great Dust Bowl ● Over use & Over grazing ○ No crop rotation ● No soil conservation ● No wind breaks ● Loss of natural grass and animals ● Climate changes - The Drought of the 30’s
  • 15. Why was this Bad? ● Credit System ○ These was a new concept ○ People didn’t really have money they were spending ○ No money to replenish what was borrowed ● WWI ○ The US was a major credit loaner to other nations in need ○ Many of these nations could not pay them back
  • 16. EASY MONEY (CREDIT) • INTEREST RATES ON LOANS WERE TOO LOW = TOO MUCH BORROWING INTEREST RATES ON SAVINGS WERE TOO LOW = TOO MUCH SPENDING (INFLATION) EXCESSIVE REAL ESTATE CONSTRUCTION = OVERSUPPLY GHS Rules
  • 17.
  • 18. The New York Stock Exchange Black Friday, October 24, 1929
  • 19. Runs on Banks ● The crisis in confidence frightened depositors who feared for their money. ● Millions tried to withdraw their money because they feared the banks losing it. ● 1929- 641 banks Failed ● 1930- 1350 banks Failed ● 1931- 1700 banks Failed
  • 20. The Business Cycle ● BOOM/PROSPERITY/PEAK ● High Demand = Desire for more Profits = Greater Investment = More Production = Higher Employment = More Demand = Higher Prices(Inflation)
  • 21. The Business Cycle ● CONTRACTION / SLOWDOWN ● Inflation/Overproduction = Less Production = Lays off = Less Spending = Lower Confidence = Less Investment = Higher Unemployment ● UNTIL SURPLUSES ARE USED UP
  • 22. Business Cycle Throughs ● RECESSION = Two Successive ¼’s (3 months periods) of declining GDP ($ of GOVT, Consumer and Business Spending) ● DEPRESSION = Unemployment greater than 12%
  • 23. The Business Cycle ● EXPANSION / RECOVERY ● Higher Demand = Surplus Reduction = more production = Recall of workers = More purchasing = Increase Investments = Economic Growth
  • 24.
  • 26. Police stand guard outside the entrance to New York's closed World Exchange Bank, March 20, 1931
  • 27. Unemployed men vying for jobs at the American Legion Employment Bureau in Los Angeles during the Great Depression.
  • 28. Unemployed workers in front of a shack with Christmas tree, East 12th Street, New York City. December 1937
  • 29.
  • 30. Man in hobo jungle killing turtle to make soup, Minneapolis, Minnesota. Hard Times Unemployment · By the early 1930’s, approximately 25% of the nation was unemployed.
  • 31. · Fathers and some children left home to find work. Families in Crisis · Marriage and birth rates dropped.
  • 32. Evicted family with belongings on street, December 14, 1929.
  • 33. President Hoover ● Herbert Hoover was President at the start ● Philosophy : We’ll make it ● What he did : NOTHING ● The poor were looking for help and no idea on how to correct or help were coming
  • 34. · These shacks were known as Hoovervilles. Seattle, Washington Homelessness · Homeless families build shacks out of wooden crates and scrap metal.
  • 36. “Hooverville," New York City, December 8 1930 [Sign on shack reads: "House of Unemployed"]
  • 37. Hoover Takes Action • At first, President Hoover was against offering direct government relief. • Instead, he asked private charities, such as the YMCA, to help.
  • 38. Many waited in unemployment lines hoping for a job.
  • 39. People in cities would wait in line for bread to bring to their family.
  • 40.
  • 41. Some families were forced to relocate because they had no money.
  • 42. “Hooverville”• Some families were forced to live in shanty towns – A grouping of shacks and tents in vacant lots • They were referred to as “Hooverville” because of President Hoover’s lack of help during the depression.
  • 43.
  • 44.
  • 45. A drought in the South lead to dust storms that destroyed crops. “The Dust Bowl”
  • 46. The South Was Buried • Crops turned to dust=No food to be sent out • Homes buried • Fields blown away • South in state of emergency • Dust Bowl the #1 weather crisis of the 20th century
  • 47.
  • 49. Some families tried to make money by selling useful crafts like baskets.
  • 50. Different views of causes ➢ There are various approaches for explaining the causes of the first downturn in 1929: ○ Demand-driven ■ Keynesian ■ Breakdown of international trade ■ Debt deflation ○ Monetarist ○ Inequality ○ Productivity Shock ○ Austrian School ○ New classical approach
  • 51. Demand-Driven ● Keynesian : ○ Lower aggregate expenditures in the economy contributed to a massive decline in income and to employment that was well below the average ○ To keep people fully employed, governments have to run deficits when the economy is slowing ● Debt deflation : ○ Predominant factor leading to the Great Depression was over-indebtedness and deflation ○ Margin requirements were only 10% - People took the loan to invest in stock market, but when the market crashed they were unable to repay these loans leading to default ● Breakdown of international trade : ○ American Smoot-Harley Tariff Act responsible for worsening the situation of the crisis ○ American exports declined from about $5.2 billion in 1929 to $1.7 billion in 1933
  • 52. Monetarist ● Monetary contraction, the consequence of poor policy-making by the American Federal Reserve System and continued crisis in the banking system responsible for Great Depression ● The Federal Reserve, by non-acting, allowed the money supply to shrink by one-third, transforming a normal recession into the Great Depression ● The Federal Reserve Act limited the amount of credit the Federal Reserve could issue
  • 53. Inequality ● Root Cause : Global over-investment in heavy industry capacity compared to wages and earnings from independent businesses ● Solution : Redistribute purchasing power, maintain the industrial base, but re-inflate prices and wages to force as much of the inflationary increase in purchasing power into consumer spending
  • 54. Productivity Stock ● The first three decades of 20th century witnessed rapid growth in productivity and production capacity ● According to this school of thought “The Great Depression” was a result of these long term trends
  • 55. Other Views ● Austrian School : ○ The key cause of the Depression was the expansion of the money supply in the 1920s that led to an unsustainable credit-driven boom ○ This inflation of the money supply that led to an unsustainable boom in both asset prices by the late 1920’s and led to economic contraction ● New classical approach : ○ Initial severe decline but rapid recovery in productivity, relatively little change in the capital stock, and a prolonged depression in the labour force ○ Focuses on the decline in productivity that caused the initial decline in output and a prolonged recovery due to policies that affected the labour market
  • 56. Effect on the Major Economies of the World and US
  • 57. IMPACT United States Great Britain France Germany Industrial Production -46% -23% -24% -41% Wholesale Prices -32% -33% -34% -29% Foregin Trade -70% -60% -54% -61% Unemployment +607% +129% +214% +232%
  • 58. Franklin Delano Roosevelt ● When he inaugurated unemployment had increased by 7 million ● Poor section had 50 % of pop unemployed ● Instated the “New Deal” ● People everywhere were effected by the Depression till President Roosevelt took over and tried to put the economy back together that people ever saw a glimmer of hope
  • 59. Recovery Steps New Deal ● In March 1933, the country was virtually leaderless ● The Banking system had collapsed ● He provided dynamic leadership in a time of crisis ● Series of economic programs enacted in USA between 1933 and 1936 ● 3R’s - Relief, Recovery and Reforms ○ RELIEF for the unemployed and poor ○ RECOVERY of the economy to normal levels ○ REFORM of the financial system to prevent a repeat depression
  • 60. Source of New Deal Ideas ● Specialists and experts, mostly college professor and idea men ● New Economists : Government spending, deficit spending and public spending, government should prime economic pump ● Roosevelt Cabinet : included conservatives, liberals, Democrats, Republicans, inflationists, anti-inflationists often conflicting, compromising, blending ideas
  • 61. First New Deal(1933-34) ● Primary aim of this deal was to achieve Economic Recovery ● PHILOSOPHY : Economic nationalism and economic scarcity(i.e., raise prices by creating illusion of scarcity) ● OBJECTIVES : higher prices for agriculture and business ● BENEFICIARIES : big business and agriculture business
  • 62. Second New Deal(1934-41) ● Primary Aim : permanent reform ● Philosophy : international economic cooperation economic abundance ● Objectives : increased purchasing power and social security for public ● Beneficiaries : small farmers and labor
  • 63.
  • 64.
  • 65. The End of Great Depression ● The Great Depression ended when US entered World War II in December 1941 ● Massive war spending doubled the GNP ● Military Keynesianism brought Full Employment ● Military Keynesianism : the position that the government should increase military spending in order to increase economic growth. ● The mobilization of manpower following the outbreak of war in 1939 ended unemployment ● Spending on the New Deal was far smaller than spending on the war effort, which passed 40% of GDP in 1944 ● Massive war spending doubled economic growth rates, either masking the effects of the Depression or essentially ended the Depression ● Businessmen ignored the mounting national debt and heavy taxes, redoubling their efforts for greater output to take advantage of generous government contracts.