SlideShare a Scribd company logo
Assembling a Loan Package That Attracts Dollars and Approvals  Presented by: Georgia Ragsdale, Watermark Financial  January 26-29, 2009 The Venetian Resort Hotel Casino/ Sands Expo & Convention Center Las Vegas
Agenda  Assessment of Market Conditions  New Realities in Underwriting Basic Assumptions: APOD (Annual Property Operating Data) Modeling Investment Analysis Tools What is Coming Navigating Change
National Debt Since WWII
Soaring National Debt
Equity Real Estate Prospects: 2008 vs Early 1990s Source: NCREIF; Moody’s Economy.com; Heitman Research 1990 2008 Investor Expectations Double-digit returns, inflation hedge, low volatility Single-digit core returns, inflation hedge if markets in balance, moderate volatility Liquidity Deteriorating and no capital Deteriorating but capital available for some strategies Institutional Underwriting Undisciplined Debt side undisciplined Equity side disciplined Pricing Spread between NCREIF current value cap rate of 6.97% and 10-Year Treasury Yield of 8.68% = -171  Spread between NCREIF current value cap rate of 5.61% and 10-Year  Treasury Yield of 4.26% = +135 Property Market Conditions No link between supply and demand Office vacancy downtown: 14.0% Office vacancy suburban: 21.2% Demand and supply linked Office vacancy downtown: 9.6% Office vacancy suburban: 14.2% Outcome Value decline: 32% Value Decline: 15%-20%
Showing Up in Huge Pull Back in Transactions Source: Real Capital Analytics; HeitmanResearch
Changes in Financing
What This Means To Your Loan Package  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
What This Means To Your Loan Package ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Your Relationship to the Underwriter:
 
Use Accurate and To Date Information  ,[object Object],[object Object]
Cost of Funds Varies by Region ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Leverage of Funds  Varies by Region ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Tools to Analyze Property ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Cap Rate-A STATIC Snapshot  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Where to Get Cap Rate ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Cons of Cap Rate ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Putting Pressure on Cap Rates Source: Real Capital Analytics; Heitman Research
Cap Rates: What Goes Up... ,[object Object],[object Object]
Cap Rate Effect on Value and Loan Amount
DCR
DYNAMIC Evaluation Indicators ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Accurate Property Operating Data Lenders are Scrutinizing and Questioning Every Detail, Often Opting for Most Conservative Numbers
Annual Property Operating Data (APOD)
APOD (part 2)
Average Occupancy Per Region
Occupancy Trends
Income ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Expenses as Related to Income ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Current Trends Summation  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Positive Summation ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
How It Has Been in Self Storage: Pooch
How It Is Now: Coyote
Watermark Financial Georgia Ragsdale, CEO 11150 W. Olympic Blvd. #150 Los Angeles, CA 90046 [email_address] www.watermarkfinancialgroup.com Office: 310-479-1260

More Related Content

What's hot

AFP 2016 - What is your cash forecast costing you
AFP 2016 - What is your cash forecast costing youAFP 2016 - What is your cash forecast costing you
AFP 2016 - What is your cash forecast costing you
Craig Gross, CFA, CTP
 
PPF ECUADOR RESIDENTIAL & COMMERCIAL PROPERTY FUND (ERCP) I-SHARES (ENG) JUNE...
PPF ECUADOR RESIDENTIAL & COMMERCIAL PROPERTY FUND (ERCP) I-SHARES (ENG) JUNE...PPF ECUADOR RESIDENTIAL & COMMERCIAL PROPERTY FUND (ERCP) I-SHARES (ENG) JUNE...
PPF ECUADOR RESIDENTIAL & COMMERCIAL PROPERTY FUND (ERCP) I-SHARES (ENG) JUNE...
Pegasus Property Funds™
 
Slbc100 assignment 1 ratio analysis - collaborate session - tp1 2014 (1)
Slbc100 assignment 1   ratio analysis - collaborate session - tp1 2014 (1)Slbc100 assignment 1   ratio analysis - collaborate session - tp1 2014 (1)
Slbc100 assignment 1 ratio analysis - collaborate session - tp1 2014 (1)
Eddie Zhong
 
Ratio Analysis By- Ravi Thakur From CMD
Ratio Analysis By- Ravi Thakur From CMD Ratio Analysis By- Ravi Thakur From CMD
Ratio Analysis By- Ravi Thakur From CMD
Ravi Thakur
 
Estimating Cost of Capital in the Current Environment
Estimating Cost of Capital in the Current EnvironmentEstimating Cost of Capital in the Current Environment
Estimating Cost of Capital in the Current Environment
Paul Daddio, CFA, ASA
 

What's hot (19)

2017 Q2 Fidelity Investment Outlook
2017 Q2 Fidelity Investment Outlook 2017 Q2 Fidelity Investment Outlook
2017 Q2 Fidelity Investment Outlook
 
AFP 2016 - What is your cash forecast costing you
AFP 2016 - What is your cash forecast costing youAFP 2016 - What is your cash forecast costing you
AFP 2016 - What is your cash forecast costing you
 
Lessons from the Front Lines of GASB 75 Reporting
Lessons from the Front Lines of GASB 75 ReportingLessons from the Front Lines of GASB 75 Reporting
Lessons from the Front Lines of GASB 75 Reporting
 
Time weighted vs-dollar-weighted returns
Time weighted vs-dollar-weighted returnsTime weighted vs-dollar-weighted returns
Time weighted vs-dollar-weighted returns
 
PPF ECUADOR RESIDENTIAL & COMMERCIAL PROPERTY FUND (ERCP) I-SHARES (ENG) JUNE...
PPF ECUADOR RESIDENTIAL & COMMERCIAL PROPERTY FUND (ERCP) I-SHARES (ENG) JUNE...PPF ECUADOR RESIDENTIAL & COMMERCIAL PROPERTY FUND (ERCP) I-SHARES (ENG) JUNE...
PPF ECUADOR RESIDENTIAL & COMMERCIAL PROPERTY FUND (ERCP) I-SHARES (ENG) JUNE...
 
Cheaper prices: WACC- post GFC a revision lower is needed
Cheaper prices: WACC- post GFC a revision lower is neededCheaper prices: WACC- post GFC a revision lower is needed
Cheaper prices: WACC- post GFC a revision lower is needed
 
GIC Investment Ideas: Alternatives
GIC Investment Ideas: AlternativesGIC Investment Ideas: Alternatives
GIC Investment Ideas: Alternatives
 
Sage Fact Sheet Jun 2015
Sage Fact Sheet Jun 2015Sage Fact Sheet Jun 2015
Sage Fact Sheet Jun 2015
 
Slbc100 assignment 1 ratio analysis - collaborate session - tp1 2014 (1)
Slbc100 assignment 1   ratio analysis - collaborate session - tp1 2014 (1)Slbc100 assignment 1   ratio analysis - collaborate session - tp1 2014 (1)
Slbc100 assignment 1 ratio analysis - collaborate session - tp1 2014 (1)
 
Cash management in MNC
Cash management in MNCCash management in MNC
Cash management in MNC
 
Steps to basic_company_financial_analysis
Steps to basic_company_financial_analysisSteps to basic_company_financial_analysis
Steps to basic_company_financial_analysis
 
Ratio Analysis
Ratio AnalysisRatio Analysis
Ratio Analysis
 
Ratio Analysis By- Ravi Thakur From CMD
Ratio Analysis By- Ravi Thakur From CMD Ratio Analysis By- Ravi Thakur From CMD
Ratio Analysis By- Ravi Thakur From CMD
 
Estimating Cost of Capital in the Current Environment
Estimating Cost of Capital in the Current EnvironmentEstimating Cost of Capital in the Current Environment
Estimating Cost of Capital in the Current Environment
 
Risk Analysis Using - Payback Period -Sensitive Analysis
Risk Analysis Using - Payback Period -Sensitive AnalysisRisk Analysis Using - Payback Period -Sensitive Analysis
Risk Analysis Using - Payback Period -Sensitive Analysis
 
Liquidity ratio
Liquidity ratioLiquidity ratio
Liquidity ratio
 
The time value of money
The time value of moneyThe time value of money
The time value of money
 
Ratio Analysis
Ratio AnalysisRatio Analysis
Ratio Analysis
 
Extending Treasurys Reach V.Li
Extending Treasurys Reach V.LiExtending Treasurys Reach V.Li
Extending Treasurys Reach V.Li
 

Viewers also liked

How 'evil' is PowerPoint really?
How 'evil' is PowerPoint really?How 'evil' is PowerPoint really?
How 'evil' is PowerPoint really?
InteractiveScience
 

Viewers also liked (19)

Talis Aspire Marketing Collateral Examples
Talis Aspire Marketing Collateral ExamplesTalis Aspire Marketing Collateral Examples
Talis Aspire Marketing Collateral Examples
 
Nature in Color
Nature in ColorNature in Color
Nature in Color
 
Jens Art
Jens ArtJens Art
Jens Art
 
100 into 2 wont go
100 into 2 wont go100 into 2 wont go
100 into 2 wont go
 
Ppt waterpump matsangoni
Ppt waterpump matsangoniPpt waterpump matsangoni
Ppt waterpump matsangoni
 
Resource Lists and the Ex Libris application suite, By Richard Cross (Notting...
Resource Lists and the Ex Libris application suite, By Richard Cross (Notting...Resource Lists and the Ex Libris application suite, By Richard Cross (Notting...
Resource Lists and the Ex Libris application suite, By Richard Cross (Notting...
 
How 'evil' is PowerPoint really?
How 'evil' is PowerPoint really?How 'evil' is PowerPoint really?
How 'evil' is PowerPoint really?
 
Simple intro-slides-for-talis-aspire
Simple intro-slides-for-talis-aspireSimple intro-slides-for-talis-aspire
Simple intro-slides-for-talis-aspire
 
Talis Aspire - Delivering Success through the Customer Experience
Talis Aspire - Delivering Success through the Customer ExperienceTalis Aspire - Delivering Success through the Customer Experience
Talis Aspire - Delivering Success through the Customer Experience
 
Project Flush shower and go - Pamoja kenia
Project Flush shower and go - Pamoja keniaProject Flush shower and go - Pamoja kenia
Project Flush shower and go - Pamoja kenia
 
The Intrinsic Link Between Performance And Wellbeing
The Intrinsic Link Between Performance And WellbeingThe Intrinsic Link Between Performance And Wellbeing
The Intrinsic Link Between Performance And Wellbeing
 
Talis Aspire Development Approach Overview
Talis Aspire Development Approach OverviewTalis Aspire Development Approach Overview
Talis Aspire Development Approach Overview
 
Minico Gr 3
Minico  Gr 3Minico  Gr 3
Minico Gr 3
 
Primer acid base solving problems
Primer acid base solving problemsPrimer acid base solving problems
Primer acid base solving problems
 
Csharp
CsharpCsharp
Csharp
 
Portsmouth Intro to Talis Aspire
Portsmouth Intro to Talis AspirePortsmouth Intro to Talis Aspire
Portsmouth Intro to Talis Aspire
 
Tri hita-karana-dalam-awig-awig
Tri hita-karana-dalam-awig-awigTri hita-karana-dalam-awig-awig
Tri hita-karana-dalam-awig-awig
 
Introducción a la Medicina perioperatoria
Introducción a la Medicina perioperatoriaIntroducción a la Medicina perioperatoria
Introducción a la Medicina perioperatoria
 
Anatomia Y Fisiologia Tiroidea
Anatomia Y Fisiologia TiroideaAnatomia Y Fisiologia Tiroidea
Anatomia Y Fisiologia Tiroidea
 

Similar to Gr Iss Presentation Final 2009

Manajemen keuangan.lecture 4 min
Manajemen keuangan.lecture 4 minManajemen keuangan.lecture 4 min
Manajemen keuangan.lecture 4 min
stanspmb
 
Preparing Your Company for the Next Level – Obtaining Bank Financing
Preparing Your Company for the Next Level – Obtaining Bank FinancingPreparing Your Company for the Next Level – Obtaining Bank Financing
Preparing Your Company for the Next Level – Obtaining Bank Financing
jpnash
 
FinanceTest ISummer 20191. Using the following data, prepare a .docx
FinanceTest ISummer 20191.  Using the following data, prepare a .docxFinanceTest ISummer 20191.  Using the following data, prepare a .docx
FinanceTest ISummer 20191. Using the following data, prepare a .docx
ericn8
 
Colliers DC YE Report 2014 V11
Colliers DC YE Report 2014 V11Colliers DC YE Report 2014 V11
Colliers DC YE Report 2014 V11
William E. Kaye
 

Similar to Gr Iss Presentation Final 2009 (20)

Manajemen keuangan.lecture 4 min
Manajemen keuangan.lecture 4 minManajemen keuangan.lecture 4 min
Manajemen keuangan.lecture 4 min
 
Preparing Your Company for the Next Level – Obtaining Bank Financing
Preparing Your Company for the Next Level – Obtaining Bank FinancingPreparing Your Company for the Next Level – Obtaining Bank Financing
Preparing Your Company for the Next Level – Obtaining Bank Financing
 
SLAM brochure Dec 2016
SLAM brochure Dec 2016SLAM brochure Dec 2016
SLAM brochure Dec 2016
 
Grow + Sell Your Business Part Three: Practical Tips To Facilitate a Transaction
Grow + Sell Your Business Part Three: Practical Tips To Facilitate a TransactionGrow + Sell Your Business Part Three: Practical Tips To Facilitate a Transaction
Grow + Sell Your Business Part Three: Practical Tips To Facilitate a Transaction
 
2018 Commercial Banking Trends & 2019 Opportunities
2018 Commercial Banking Trends & 2019 Opportunities2018 Commercial Banking Trends & 2019 Opportunities
2018 Commercial Banking Trends & 2019 Opportunities
 
Q2 presentation v3
Q2 presentation v3Q2 presentation v3
Q2 presentation v3
 
Monetary Systems in Current Markets
Monetary Systems in Current MarketsMonetary Systems in Current Markets
Monetary Systems in Current Markets
 
Planning for 2017: What Gets Measured Gets Managed
Planning for 2017: What Gets Measured Gets ManagedPlanning for 2017: What Gets Measured Gets Managed
Planning for 2017: What Gets Measured Gets Managed
 
05 financial concepts
05 financial concepts05 financial concepts
05 financial concepts
 
The Road Ahead For Credit Unions
The Road Ahead For Credit UnionsThe Road Ahead For Credit Unions
The Road Ahead For Credit Unions
 
FinanceTest ISummer 20191. Using the following data, prepare a .docx
FinanceTest ISummer 20191.  Using the following data, prepare a .docxFinanceTest ISummer 20191.  Using the following data, prepare a .docx
FinanceTest ISummer 20191. Using the following data, prepare a .docx
 
Bank Capital Crisis! Oct 2008
Bank Capital Crisis! Oct 2008Bank Capital Crisis! Oct 2008
Bank Capital Crisis! Oct 2008
 
Q2 presentation v5
Q2 presentation v5Q2 presentation v5
Q2 presentation v5
 
Colliers DC YE Report 2014 V11
Colliers DC YE Report 2014 V11Colliers DC YE Report 2014 V11
Colliers DC YE Report 2014 V11
 
Futurum Training : FINANCE FOR REAL ESTATE Professionals
Futurum Training : FINANCE FOR REAL ESTATE ProfessionalsFuturum Training : FINANCE FOR REAL ESTATE Professionals
Futurum Training : FINANCE FOR REAL ESTATE Professionals
 
B6022 Enhance teaching - tutorialrank.com
B6022  Enhance teaching - tutorialrank.comB6022  Enhance teaching - tutorialrank.com
B6022 Enhance teaching - tutorialrank.com
 
Real matters march 2018 presentation
Real matters   march 2018 presentationReal matters   march 2018 presentation
Real matters march 2018 presentation
 
The Last Yield on Earth
The Last Yield on EarthThe Last Yield on Earth
The Last Yield on Earth
 
Math, Math. (And only then, Location)
Math, Math. (And only then, Location)Math, Math. (And only then, Location)
Math, Math. (And only then, Location)
 
Math, Math. (And only then, Location)
Math, Math. (And only then, Location)Math, Math. (And only then, Location)
Math, Math. (And only then, Location)
 

Recently uploaded

Cree_Rey_BrandIdentityKit.PDF_PersonalBd
Cree_Rey_BrandIdentityKit.PDF_PersonalBdCree_Rey_BrandIdentityKit.PDF_PersonalBd
Cree_Rey_BrandIdentityKit.PDF_PersonalBd
creerey
 

Recently uploaded (20)

Lookback Analysis
Lookback AnalysisLookback Analysis
Lookback Analysis
 
Cracking the Change Management Code Main New.pptx
Cracking the Change Management Code Main New.pptxCracking the Change Management Code Main New.pptx
Cracking the Change Management Code Main New.pptx
 
HR and Employment law update: May 2024.
HR and Employment law update:  May 2024.HR and Employment law update:  May 2024.
HR and Employment law update: May 2024.
 
Falcon Invoice Discounting Setup for Small Businesses
Falcon Invoice Discounting Setup for Small BusinessesFalcon Invoice Discounting Setup for Small Businesses
Falcon Invoice Discounting Setup for Small Businesses
 
April 2024 Nostalgia Products Newsletter
April 2024 Nostalgia Products NewsletterApril 2024 Nostalgia Products Newsletter
April 2024 Nostalgia Products Newsletter
 
USA classified ads posting – best classified sites in usa.pdf
USA classified ads posting – best classified sites in usa.pdfUSA classified ads posting – best classified sites in usa.pdf
USA classified ads posting – best classified sites in usa.pdf
 
Byrd & Chen’s Canadian Tax Principles 2023-2024 Edition 1st edition Volumes I...
Byrd & Chen’s Canadian Tax Principles 2023-2024 Edition 1st edition Volumes I...Byrd & Chen’s Canadian Tax Principles 2023-2024 Edition 1st edition Volumes I...
Byrd & Chen’s Canadian Tax Principles 2023-2024 Edition 1st edition Volumes I...
 
TriStar Gold Corporate Presentation May 2024
TriStar Gold Corporate Presentation May 2024TriStar Gold Corporate Presentation May 2024
TriStar Gold Corporate Presentation May 2024
 
State of D2C in India: A Logistics Update
State of D2C in India: A Logistics UpdateState of D2C in India: A Logistics Update
State of D2C in India: A Logistics Update
 
RMD24 | Retail media: hoe zet je dit in als je geen AH of Unilever bent? Heid...
RMD24 | Retail media: hoe zet je dit in als je geen AH of Unilever bent? Heid...RMD24 | Retail media: hoe zet je dit in als je geen AH of Unilever bent? Heid...
RMD24 | Retail media: hoe zet je dit in als je geen AH of Unilever bent? Heid...
 
12 Conversion Rate Optimization Strategies for Ecommerce Websites.pdf
12 Conversion Rate Optimization Strategies for Ecommerce Websites.pdf12 Conversion Rate Optimization Strategies for Ecommerce Websites.pdf
12 Conversion Rate Optimization Strategies for Ecommerce Websites.pdf
 
Cracking the Workplace Discipline Code Main.pptx
Cracking the Workplace Discipline Code Main.pptxCracking the Workplace Discipline Code Main.pptx
Cracking the Workplace Discipline Code Main.pptx
 
LinkedIn Masterclass Techweek 2024 v4.1.pptx
LinkedIn Masterclass Techweek 2024 v4.1.pptxLinkedIn Masterclass Techweek 2024 v4.1.pptx
LinkedIn Masterclass Techweek 2024 v4.1.pptx
 
Special Purpose Vehicle (Purpose, Formation & examples)
Special Purpose Vehicle (Purpose, Formation & examples)Special Purpose Vehicle (Purpose, Formation & examples)
Special Purpose Vehicle (Purpose, Formation & examples)
 
Luxury Artificial Plants Dubai | Plants in KSA, UAE | Shajara
Luxury Artificial Plants Dubai | Plants in KSA, UAE | ShajaraLuxury Artificial Plants Dubai | Plants in KSA, UAE | Shajara
Luxury Artificial Plants Dubai | Plants in KSA, UAE | Shajara
 
Pitch Deck Teardown: RAW Dating App's $3M Angel deck
Pitch Deck Teardown: RAW Dating App's $3M Angel deckPitch Deck Teardown: RAW Dating App's $3M Angel deck
Pitch Deck Teardown: RAW Dating App's $3M Angel deck
 
Taurus Zodiac Sign_ Personality Traits and Sign Dates.pptx
Taurus Zodiac Sign_ Personality Traits and Sign Dates.pptxTaurus Zodiac Sign_ Personality Traits and Sign Dates.pptx
Taurus Zodiac Sign_ Personality Traits and Sign Dates.pptx
 
Easy Way to Download and Set Up Gen TDS Software on Your Computer
Easy Way to Download and Set Up Gen TDS Software on Your ComputerEasy Way to Download and Set Up Gen TDS Software on Your Computer
Easy Way to Download and Set Up Gen TDS Software on Your Computer
 
IPTV Subscription UK: Your Guide to Choosing the Best Service
IPTV Subscription UK: Your Guide to Choosing the Best ServiceIPTV Subscription UK: Your Guide to Choosing the Best Service
IPTV Subscription UK: Your Guide to Choosing the Best Service
 
Cree_Rey_BrandIdentityKit.PDF_PersonalBd
Cree_Rey_BrandIdentityKit.PDF_PersonalBdCree_Rey_BrandIdentityKit.PDF_PersonalBd
Cree_Rey_BrandIdentityKit.PDF_PersonalBd
 

Gr Iss Presentation Final 2009

  • 1. Assembling a Loan Package That Attracts Dollars and Approvals Presented by: Georgia Ragsdale, Watermark Financial January 26-29, 2009 The Venetian Resort Hotel Casino/ Sands Expo & Convention Center Las Vegas
  • 2. Agenda Assessment of Market Conditions New Realities in Underwriting Basic Assumptions: APOD (Annual Property Operating Data) Modeling Investment Analysis Tools What is Coming Navigating Change
  • 5. Equity Real Estate Prospects: 2008 vs Early 1990s Source: NCREIF; Moody’s Economy.com; Heitman Research 1990 2008 Investor Expectations Double-digit returns, inflation hedge, low volatility Single-digit core returns, inflation hedge if markets in balance, moderate volatility Liquidity Deteriorating and no capital Deteriorating but capital available for some strategies Institutional Underwriting Undisciplined Debt side undisciplined Equity side disciplined Pricing Spread between NCREIF current value cap rate of 6.97% and 10-Year Treasury Yield of 8.68% = -171 Spread between NCREIF current value cap rate of 5.61% and 10-Year Treasury Yield of 4.26% = +135 Property Market Conditions No link between supply and demand Office vacancy downtown: 14.0% Office vacancy suburban: 21.2% Demand and supply linked Office vacancy downtown: 9.6% Office vacancy suburban: 14.2% Outcome Value decline: 32% Value Decline: 15%-20%
  • 6. Showing Up in Huge Pull Back in Transactions Source: Real Capital Analytics; HeitmanResearch
  • 8.
  • 9.
  • 10. Your Relationship to the Underwriter:
  • 11.  
  • 12.
  • 13.
  • 14.
  • 15.
  • 16.
  • 17.
  • 18.
  • 19. Putting Pressure on Cap Rates Source: Real Capital Analytics; Heitman Research
  • 20.
  • 21. Cap Rate Effect on Value and Loan Amount
  • 22. DCR
  • 23.
  • 24. Accurate Property Operating Data Lenders are Scrutinizing and Questioning Every Detail, Often Opting for Most Conservative Numbers
  • 29.
  • 30.
  • 31.
  • 32.
  • 33. How It Has Been in Self Storage: Pooch
  • 34. How It Is Now: Coyote
  • 35. Watermark Financial Georgia Ragsdale, CEO 11150 W. Olympic Blvd. #150 Los Angeles, CA 90046 [email_address] www.watermarkfinancialgroup.com Office: 310-479-1260