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GLOBAL ENERGY
SECURITY
CONFERENCE 2016
Global Diplomatic Forum London
Dr Cyril Widdershoven
SVP Research MEA-Risk.com
Founder VEROCY.com
Senior Fellow Hazar Strategy
Mob: +31-6-53819265, Skype: Cyril.widdershoven
Email: cw@mea-risk.com; cyril.widdershoven@verocy.com
Setting the Scene: Turmoil and Instability
• Intro
• Global Market
• MENA region oil and gas
• MENA geopolitics and reality
• Future Scenario
MEA-Risk.com
• MEA Risk LLC performs tracking/alerting activity, risk
rating and analysis specific to the Africa and Middle East.
Tracking and alerting are related to events and incidents
that constitute critical risk factors to countries,
organizations and individuals.
• Events and incidents are captured by teams on the
ground, and summarized, analyzed and immediately
disseminated.
MEA-Risk: Critical Incidents Tracker
Tools Tracker
VEROCY.com
World Oil Markets: Blood on the Wall?
World Oil Demand Growth (OPEC)
Global Demand Growth Slowth
Asian demand still growing
China demand slowing, India still up
Overall Demand Growth Still There!
Global Production Growth Takes Plunge
Non-OPEC Supply Hit Hard 2016
Supply-Demand Balance
Oversupply Threatened, Investments
Deferals Will Cause Deficit (soon?)
CAPEX
Middle East Energy & Turmoil
OPEC Production: Saudi-Iran potential
Middle East Still Centre of Universe?
Underlying issues: Syria-Russia-ISIS
Lines of Conflict and Oil Revenues?
Info
• Dr. Cyril Widdershoven is currently SVP Research of US-based consultancy MEA-Risk.com and co-
founder of Dutch critical risk (defense/security/energy MENA) consultancy VEROCY. He also is Fellow of
IAGS US (www.IAGS.org) and Senior Fellow of Turkish strategic thinktank HAZAR..
• Dr. Widdershoven is a long-time observer of the global energy market with focus on geopolitical risk,
terrorism, fundamentalism and military/defense related issues in the MENA region. Presently, he holds
several advisory positions with international think tanks in the Middle East and energy sectors in the
Netherlands, the United Kingdom, and the United States. In earlier career assignments, he held positions
at Capgemini Consulting, Deloitte Financial Advisory Services, and as Senior Financial Analyst Oil & Gas
Sector FDA, where he managed and advised the oil and gas department on equity and bond markets, with
the main targets being Shell, BP, Total, Eni, BG, Heerema, Fugro, DSM, Dow Chemicals, BASF, Statoil,
Schlumberger, Halliburton, PSG, and Repsol.
• Dr. Widdershoven held several senior publishing positions in leading energy publications such as Afroil,
Middle East Oil and Gas, and North Africa Oil and Gas Magazine Cairo, and he continues to oversee the
Mediterranean Energy Political Risk Consultancy. Dr. Widdershoven worked on M&A operations in Egypt,
Libya, Sudan, and Iran, he studied the pipeline operations in Libya, Algeria, Nigeria and Turkey, and he
assessed risk for institutional investors and banks in Libya, Egypt, Saudi Arabia, Oman and Iraq, all while
advising the Dutch government and international organizations on related issues.
• Dr. Widdershoven has throughout his career lived and worked in numerous Middle East countries, with a
home base in Egypt, where he was Head of Investment and Research at ARTOC Group for Investment and
Development in Cairo. He is also has founded North Africa’s first English language oil and gas monthly
North Africa Oil and Gas Magazine, now called Petroleum Africa, and was one of the founders of the Middle
East Oil Gas Newsletter and Africa Oil Newsletter at Newsbase (UK).
• Dr. Widdershoven earned his post graduate degrees at King’s College, University of London, Department of
War Studies, and an MA in Middle East Studies at the University of Nijmegen, Netherlands.

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Global Energy Security Conference 2016

  • 1. GLOBAL ENERGY SECURITY CONFERENCE 2016 Global Diplomatic Forum London Dr Cyril Widdershoven SVP Research MEA-Risk.com Founder VEROCY.com Senior Fellow Hazar Strategy Mob: +31-6-53819265, Skype: Cyril.widdershoven Email: cw@mea-risk.com; cyril.widdershoven@verocy.com
  • 2. Setting the Scene: Turmoil and Instability • Intro • Global Market • MENA region oil and gas • MENA geopolitics and reality • Future Scenario
  • 3. MEA-Risk.com • MEA Risk LLC performs tracking/alerting activity, risk rating and analysis specific to the Africa and Middle East. Tracking and alerting are related to events and incidents that constitute critical risk factors to countries, organizations and individuals. • Events and incidents are captured by teams on the ground, and summarized, analyzed and immediately disseminated.
  • 7. World Oil Markets: Blood on the Wall?
  • 8. World Oil Demand Growth (OPEC)
  • 10. Asian demand still growing China demand slowing, India still up
  • 11. Overall Demand Growth Still There!
  • 12. Global Production Growth Takes Plunge
  • 13. Non-OPEC Supply Hit Hard 2016
  • 15. Oversupply Threatened, Investments Deferals Will Cause Deficit (soon?)
  • 16. CAPEX
  • 17. Middle East Energy & Turmoil
  • 19. Middle East Still Centre of Universe?
  • 21. Lines of Conflict and Oil Revenues?
  • 22.
  • 23.
  • 24. Info • Dr. Cyril Widdershoven is currently SVP Research of US-based consultancy MEA-Risk.com and co- founder of Dutch critical risk (defense/security/energy MENA) consultancy VEROCY. He also is Fellow of IAGS US (www.IAGS.org) and Senior Fellow of Turkish strategic thinktank HAZAR.. • Dr. Widdershoven is a long-time observer of the global energy market with focus on geopolitical risk, terrorism, fundamentalism and military/defense related issues in the MENA region. Presently, he holds several advisory positions with international think tanks in the Middle East and energy sectors in the Netherlands, the United Kingdom, and the United States. In earlier career assignments, he held positions at Capgemini Consulting, Deloitte Financial Advisory Services, and as Senior Financial Analyst Oil & Gas Sector FDA, where he managed and advised the oil and gas department on equity and bond markets, with the main targets being Shell, BP, Total, Eni, BG, Heerema, Fugro, DSM, Dow Chemicals, BASF, Statoil, Schlumberger, Halliburton, PSG, and Repsol. • Dr. Widdershoven held several senior publishing positions in leading energy publications such as Afroil, Middle East Oil and Gas, and North Africa Oil and Gas Magazine Cairo, and he continues to oversee the Mediterranean Energy Political Risk Consultancy. Dr. Widdershoven worked on M&A operations in Egypt, Libya, Sudan, and Iran, he studied the pipeline operations in Libya, Algeria, Nigeria and Turkey, and he assessed risk for institutional investors and banks in Libya, Egypt, Saudi Arabia, Oman and Iraq, all while advising the Dutch government and international organizations on related issues. • Dr. Widdershoven has throughout his career lived and worked in numerous Middle East countries, with a home base in Egypt, where he was Head of Investment and Research at ARTOC Group for Investment and Development in Cairo. He is also has founded North Africa’s first English language oil and gas monthly North Africa Oil and Gas Magazine, now called Petroleum Africa, and was one of the founders of the Middle East Oil Gas Newsletter and Africa Oil Newsletter at Newsbase (UK). • Dr. Widdershoven earned his post graduate degrees at King’s College, University of London, Department of War Studies, and an MA in Middle East Studies at the University of Nijmegen, Netherlands.