Companies are taking actions to minimize the impact of potential tax increases resulting from the fiscal cliff negotiations between Congress and the President. These actions include paying special dividends, accelerating acquisitions and capital gains realization, and leveraging overseas cash to fund domestic dividends. The fiscal cliff uncertainty is also impacting the corporate bond market as companies raise funds at current low rates in preparation for potential economic recession. The document then outlines four scenarios for how the fiscal cliff negotiations may play out and the expected economic impacts of each.
Your Taxes 2013 - What will change (and what won't)csawaf
Several tax hikes, some tax breaks. Now that the fiscal cliff deal assembled in Congress is becoming law, it is time to look at some of the tax law changes that will result.
President Donald Trump (USA) will face pressure to cut taxes and eliminate th...paul young cpa, cga
USA is looking at lowering taxes. The issue is that USA is dealing with 400B+ deficit which means that taxation cuts will required spending cuts as part of elimination of the deficit.
Your Taxes 2013 - What will change (and what won't)csawaf
Several tax hikes, some tax breaks. Now that the fiscal cliff deal assembled in Congress is becoming law, it is time to look at some of the tax law changes that will result.
President Donald Trump (USA) will face pressure to cut taxes and eliminate th...paul young cpa, cga
USA is looking at lowering taxes. The issue is that USA is dealing with 400B+ deficit which means that taxation cuts will required spending cuts as part of elimination of the deficit.
This is a PPT that I created for a discussion of the US Federal Budget, the Deficit, and the Debt. Many of the slides are public domain items for Heritage Foundation and Concord Coalition. It led to some very good non-partisan discussions. There is hope!
The 2014 Essential Tax and Wealth Planning Guide discusses opportunities available through the final few months of 2013, and the planning environment beyond as policymakers continue a tax reform debate that could fundamentally change how individual taxpayers compute their taxes.
The tax-related decisions you make today, and at various points in your career, may have a marked effect on how you save for retirement and how much you will have down the road to support your goals. Many tax decisions you make about retirement are one-time choices that can be very costly to change, so it pays to plan.
For more information, visit http://www.deloitte.com/us/taxandwealthguide
While most people think of permanent life insurance as a way to protect the financial security of their families, it can also serve as a powerful retirement tool.
State of the States: An Analysis of the 2015 Governors’ AddressesALEC
State of the States is an in-depth study of governors’ tax, budget and pension reform proposals. The report gives insight into which states proposed economic reform to protect taxpayers and which states took steps toward increasing state revenue. This report also features graphics that reveal regional trends in proposed reforms while also highlighting which states have a newly elected governor.
After the US dollar replaced gold, the US debt became the attention worldwide, thus the demand for the US dollar continued, furthermore the extremely low interest of the dollar. This helped the US government to borrow great amounts of debt as well as kept the creditors pleased. Due to the pandemic, the US economy retrograded because of the tax cut and unproductive rescue spending plan plus surpassing spending of the government. The rising inflation starts to increase to high levels, which certainly the government must cut back spending or its patterns, while this will lead to uncertain consequences for the long future. This paper discusses several different perspectives on the US government's sustainability as its ability to settle the debt in future, the fate of growth burdened with that debt through the neoclassical mode of growth, and also the effect of anxiety of defaults and unfunded obligations. Inversely, it explores the strength of the dollar with a low-interest rate and its sustainability worldwide. We also propose ways helping of strengthen the fiscal government position and solutions to help the economy recover in long term and to easiest the situation. In the synopsis, we propose something that could affect and shake the global market.
What is the "fiscal cliff"? It's the term being used by many to describe the unique combination of tax
increases and spending cuts scheduled to go into effect on January 1, 2013.
This is a PPT that I created for a discussion of the US Federal Budget, the Deficit, and the Debt. Many of the slides are public domain items for Heritage Foundation and Concord Coalition. It led to some very good non-partisan discussions. There is hope!
The 2014 Essential Tax and Wealth Planning Guide discusses opportunities available through the final few months of 2013, and the planning environment beyond as policymakers continue a tax reform debate that could fundamentally change how individual taxpayers compute their taxes.
The tax-related decisions you make today, and at various points in your career, may have a marked effect on how you save for retirement and how much you will have down the road to support your goals. Many tax decisions you make about retirement are one-time choices that can be very costly to change, so it pays to plan.
For more information, visit http://www.deloitte.com/us/taxandwealthguide
While most people think of permanent life insurance as a way to protect the financial security of their families, it can also serve as a powerful retirement tool.
State of the States: An Analysis of the 2015 Governors’ AddressesALEC
State of the States is an in-depth study of governors’ tax, budget and pension reform proposals. The report gives insight into which states proposed economic reform to protect taxpayers and which states took steps toward increasing state revenue. This report also features graphics that reveal regional trends in proposed reforms while also highlighting which states have a newly elected governor.
After the US dollar replaced gold, the US debt became the attention worldwide, thus the demand for the US dollar continued, furthermore the extremely low interest of the dollar. This helped the US government to borrow great amounts of debt as well as kept the creditors pleased. Due to the pandemic, the US economy retrograded because of the tax cut and unproductive rescue spending plan plus surpassing spending of the government. The rising inflation starts to increase to high levels, which certainly the government must cut back spending or its patterns, while this will lead to uncertain consequences for the long future. This paper discusses several different perspectives on the US government's sustainability as its ability to settle the debt in future, the fate of growth burdened with that debt through the neoclassical mode of growth, and also the effect of anxiety of defaults and unfunded obligations. Inversely, it explores the strength of the dollar with a low-interest rate and its sustainability worldwide. We also propose ways helping of strengthen the fiscal government position and solutions to help the economy recover in long term and to easiest the situation. In the synopsis, we propose something that could affect and shake the global market.
What is the "fiscal cliff"? It's the term being used by many to describe the unique combination of tax
increases and spending cuts scheduled to go into effect on January 1, 2013.
The Fiscal Cliff and 10 Moves Every Investor Should Consider Making Now (...B...D.B. Geehan
Originally published Oct 2012 -- White Paper regarding moves every investor should consider making in the run-up to December 31, 2012 and the Fical Cliff.
It is impossible to stay solvent with increasing liabilities and decreasing assets. State and Municipal governments are faced with a crucial problem; how to pay off public sector pension plans which have been left underfunded for years. Adding insult to
injury, the market values of the portfolios used to fund these pensions plans have been crippled in the Great Recession. Even more troubling, these defined pension plans, by law, are guaranteed for nearly 80% of public officials no matter the performance of the underlying assets used to finance them. Legislatures are faced with few options; raise taxes, cut spending elsewhere or default on their GO debt.
The research paper is based on the US Fiscal Cliff deal, a the popular term to describe the expiry of tax breaks and introduction of spending cuts leading to conundrum that the US economy faced at the end of 2012
Highlights of the Final Tax Cuts and Jobs ActSarah Cuddy
The combined tax reform bill includes plans to lower tax rates on individuals and businesses and change many deductions. Those hoping for tax simplification, however, may be disappointed.
Predictive analytics reaps the value from CRM databases aided by customer segmentation, competitive intelligence, and learning from marketing campaigns.
Firewalls have proved to be ineffective for cyber-security. Instead, a new category of security applications has emerged which learn from the criminal behavior of intruders and use data in combination with deception to trap hackers.
The cloud eases the burden of compliance for financial and health services companies but it also extracts valuable data for analytical and decision-making purposes.
The reputational and financial damage from cyber security breaches for banks are so enormous that they cannot any longer afford to be reactive. Big Data Analytics lets them preempt attacks.
Sensors gather minute bits of data that are valuable when aggregated and processed to extract intelligence. A whole new generation of business solutions are emerging from the data gathered from M2M.
A white paper written for Bluepoint Solutions that discusses the context for enterprise content management. Regulatory compliance demands have grown in recent years as a result of Dodd-Frank regulations rendering the old IT systems obsolete.
Labor arbitrage benefits of global outsourcing are often offset by the costs of co-ordinating and managing far-flung operations. The downside can be mitigated by aggregating data on operations and real-time decision.
Multinationals are challenged by changing tax laws, accounting practices, valuation methods and penalties as administrations around the world clamp down on tax avoidance
The winners among vendors will have exceptional capability in implementation of large projects pulling together capabilities in reporting and querying, multidimensional analysis, analytics, data management, visualization and business process management
Real time responses to events will be feasible when enterprises are designed to be maneuverable and their flow of activity is not disrupted by a breakdown in any one component in the chain of business processes that enable the completion of an activity.
As it incorporates a gamut of functions from business activity monitoring to performance management and business planning, business intelligence attracts a growing number of companies who earlier specialized in individual functions
how can i use my minded pi coins I need some funds.DOT TECH
If you are interested in selling your pi coins, i have a verified pi merchant, who buys pi coins and resell them to exchanges looking forward to hold till mainnet launch.
Because the core team has announced that pi network will not be doing any pre-sale. The only way exchanges like huobi, bitmart and hotbit can get pi is by buying from miners.
Now a merchant stands in between these exchanges and the miners. As a link to make transactions smooth. Because right now in the enclosed mainnet you can't sell pi coins your self. You need the help of a merchant,
i will leave the telegram contact of my personal pi merchant below. 👇 I and my friends has traded more than 3000pi coins with him successfully.
@Pi_vendor_247
what is the future of Pi Network currency.DOT TECH
The future of the Pi cryptocurrency is uncertain, and its success will depend on several factors. Pi is a relatively new cryptocurrency that aims to be user-friendly and accessible to a wide audience. Here are a few key considerations for its future:
Message: @Pi_vendor_247 on telegram if u want to sell PI COINS.
1. Mainnet Launch: As of my last knowledge update in January 2022, Pi was still in the testnet phase. Its success will depend on a successful transition to a mainnet, where actual transactions can take place.
2. User Adoption: Pi's success will be closely tied to user adoption. The more users who join the network and actively participate, the stronger the ecosystem can become.
3. Utility and Use Cases: For a cryptocurrency to thrive, it must offer utility and practical use cases. The Pi team has talked about various applications, including peer-to-peer transactions, smart contracts, and more. The development and implementation of these features will be essential.
4. Regulatory Environment: The regulatory environment for cryptocurrencies is evolving globally. How Pi navigates and complies with regulations in various jurisdictions will significantly impact its future.
5. Technology Development: The Pi network must continue to develop and improve its technology, security, and scalability to compete with established cryptocurrencies.
6. Community Engagement: The Pi community plays a critical role in its future. Engaged users can help build trust and grow the network.
7. Monetization and Sustainability: The Pi team's monetization strategy, such as fees, partnerships, or other revenue sources, will affect its long-term sustainability.
It's essential to approach Pi or any new cryptocurrency with caution and conduct due diligence. Cryptocurrency investments involve risks, and potential rewards can be uncertain. The success and future of Pi will depend on the collective efforts of its team, community, and the broader cryptocurrency market dynamics. It's advisable to stay updated on Pi's development and follow any updates from the official Pi Network website or announcements from the team.
Resume
• Real GDP growth slowed down due to problems with access to electricity caused by the destruction of manoeuvrable electricity generation by Russian drones and missiles.
• Exports and imports continued growing due to better logistics through the Ukrainian sea corridor and road. Polish farmers and drivers stopped blocking borders at the end of April.
• In April, both the Tax and Customs Services over-executed the revenue plan. Moreover, the NBU transferred twice the planned profit to the budget.
• The European side approved the Ukraine Plan, which the government adopted to determine indicators for the Ukraine Facility. That approval will allow Ukraine to receive a EUR 1.9 bn loan from the EU in May. At the same time, the EU provided Ukraine with a EUR 1.5 bn loan in April, as the government fulfilled five indicators under the Ukraine Plan.
• The USA has finally approved an aid package for Ukraine, which includes USD 7.8 bn of budget support; however, the conditions and timing of the assistance are still unknown.
• As in March, annual consumer inflation amounted to 3.2% yoy in April.
• At the April monetary policy meeting, the NBU again reduced the key policy rate from 14.5% to 13.5% per annum.
• Over the past four weeks, the hryvnia exchange rate has stabilized in the UAH 39-40 per USD range.
Introduction to Indian Financial System ()Avanish Goel
The financial system of a country is an important tool for economic development of the country, as it helps in creation of wealth by linking savings with investments.
It facilitates the flow of funds form the households (savers) to business firms (investors) to aid in wealth creation and development of both the parties
how to sell pi coins effectively (from 50 - 100k pi)DOT TECH
Anywhere in the world, including Africa, America, and Europe, you can sell Pi Network Coins online and receive cash through online payment options.
Pi has not yet been launched on any exchange because we are currently using the confined Mainnet. The planned launch date for Pi is June 28, 2026.
Reselling to investors who want to hold until the mainnet launch in 2026 is currently the sole way to sell.
Consequently, right now. All you need to do is select the right pi network provider.
Who is a pi merchant?
An individual who buys coins from miners on the pi network and resells them to investors hoping to hang onto them until the mainnet is launched is known as a pi merchant.
debuts.
I'll provide you the Telegram username
@Pi_vendor_247
US Economic Outlook - Being Decided - M Capital Group August 2021.pdfpchutichetpong
The U.S. economy is continuing its impressive recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic and not slowing down despite re-occurring bumps. The U.S. savings rate reached its highest ever recorded level at 34% in April 2020 and Americans seem ready to spend. The sectors that had been hurt the most by the pandemic specifically reduced consumer spending, like retail, leisure, hospitality, and travel, are now experiencing massive growth in revenue and job openings.
Could this growth lead to a “Roaring Twenties”? As quickly as the U.S. economy contracted, experiencing a 9.1% drop in economic output relative to the business cycle in Q2 2020, the largest in recorded history, it has rebounded beyond expectations. This surprising growth seems to be fueled by the U.S. government’s aggressive fiscal and monetary policies, and an increase in consumer spending as mobility restrictions are lifted. Unemployment rates between June 2020 and June 2021 decreased by 5.2%, while the demand for labor is increasing, coupled with increasing wages to incentivize Americans to rejoin the labor force. Schools and businesses are expected to fully reopen soon. In parallel, vaccination rates across the country and the world continue to rise, with full vaccination rates of 50% and 14.8% respectively.
However, it is not completely smooth sailing from here. According to M Capital Group, the main risks that threaten the continued growth of the U.S. economy are inflation, unsettled trade relations, and another wave of Covid-19 mutations that could shut down the world again. Have we learned from the past year of COVID-19 and adapted our economy accordingly?
“In order for the U.S. economy to continue growing, whether there is another wave or not, the U.S. needs to focus on diversifying supply chains, supporting business investment, and maintaining consumer spending,” says Grace Feeley, a research analyst at M Capital Group.
While the economic indicators are positive, the risks are coming closer to manifesting and threatening such growth. The new variants spreading throughout the world, Delta, Lambda, and Gamma, are vaccine-resistant and muddy the predictions made about the economy and health of the country. These variants bring back the feeling of uncertainty that has wreaked havoc not only on the stock market but the mindset of people around the world. MCG provides unique insight on how to mitigate these risks to possibly ensure a bright economic future.
how to sell pi coins in all Africa Countries.DOT TECH
Yes. You can sell your pi network for other cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin, usdt , Ethereum and other currencies And this is done easily with the help from a pi merchant.
What is a pi merchant ?
Since pi is not launched yet in any exchange. The only way you can sell right now is through merchants.
A verified Pi merchant is someone who buys pi network coins from miners and resell them to investors looking forward to hold massive quantities of pi coins before mainnet launch in 2026.
I will leave the telegram contact of my personal pi merchant to trade with.
@Pi_vendor_247
USDA Loans in California: A Comprehensive Overview.pptxmarketing367770
USDA Loans in California: A Comprehensive Overview
If you're dreaming of owning a home in California's rural or suburban areas, a USDA loan might be the perfect solution. The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) offers these loans to help low-to-moderate-income individuals and families achieve homeownership.
Key Features of USDA Loans:
Zero Down Payment: USDA loans require no down payment, making homeownership more accessible.
Competitive Interest Rates: These loans often come with lower interest rates compared to conventional loans.
Flexible Credit Requirements: USDA loans have more lenient credit score requirements, helping those with less-than-perfect credit.
Guaranteed Loan Program: The USDA guarantees a portion of the loan, reducing risk for lenders and expanding borrowing options.
Eligibility Criteria:
Location: The property must be located in a USDA-designated rural or suburban area. Many areas in California qualify.
Income Limits: Applicants must meet income guidelines, which vary by region and household size.
Primary Residence: The home must be used as the borrower's primary residence.
Application Process:
Find a USDA-Approved Lender: Not all lenders offer USDA loans, so it's essential to choose one approved by the USDA.
Pre-Qualification: Determine your eligibility and the amount you can borrow.
Property Search: Look for properties in eligible rural or suburban areas.
Loan Application: Submit your application, including financial and personal information.
Processing and Approval: The lender and USDA will review your application. If approved, you can proceed to closing.
USDA loans are an excellent option for those looking to buy a home in California's rural and suburban areas. With no down payment and flexible requirements, these loans make homeownership more attainable for many families. Explore your eligibility today and take the first step toward owning your dream home.
Latino Buying Power - May 2024 Presentation for Latino CaucusDanay Escanaverino
Unlock the potential of Latino Buying Power with this in-depth SlideShare presentation. Explore how the Latino consumer market is transforming the American economy, driven by their significant buying power, entrepreneurial contributions, and growing influence across various sectors.
**Key Sections Covered:**
1. **Economic Impact:** Understand the profound economic impact of Latino consumers on the U.S. economy. Discover how their increasing purchasing power is fueling growth in key industries and contributing to national economic prosperity.
2. **Buying Power:** Dive into detailed analyses of Latino buying power, including its growth trends, key drivers, and projections for the future. Learn how this influential group’s spending habits are shaping market dynamics and creating opportunities for businesses.
3. **Entrepreneurial Contributions:** Explore the entrepreneurial spirit within the Latino community. Examine how Latino-owned businesses are thriving and contributing to job creation, innovation, and economic diversification.
4. **Workforce Statistics:** Gain insights into the role of Latino workers in the American labor market. Review statistics on employment rates, occupational distribution, and the economic contributions of Latino professionals across various industries.
5. **Media Consumption:** Understand the media consumption habits of Latino audiences. Discover their preferences for digital platforms, television, radio, and social media. Learn how these consumption patterns are influencing advertising strategies and media content.
6. **Education:** Examine the educational achievements and challenges within the Latino community. Review statistics on enrollment, graduation rates, and fields of study. Understand the implications of education on economic mobility and workforce readiness.
7. **Home Ownership:** Explore trends in Latino home ownership. Understand the factors driving home buying decisions, the challenges faced by Latino homeowners, and the impact of home ownership on community stability and economic growth.
This SlideShare provides valuable insights for marketers, business owners, policymakers, and anyone interested in the economic influence of the Latino community. By understanding the various facets of Latino buying power, you can effectively engage with this dynamic and growing market segment.
Equip yourself with the knowledge to leverage Latino buying power, tap into their entrepreneurial spirit, and connect with their unique cultural and consumer preferences. Drive your business success by embracing the economic potential of Latino consumers.
**Keywords:** Latino buying power, economic impact, entrepreneurial contributions, workforce statistics, media consumption, education, home ownership, Latino market, Hispanic buying power, Latino purchasing power.
how to sell pi coins at high rate quickly.DOT TECH
Where can I sell my pi coins at a high rate.
Pi is not launched yet on any exchange. But one can easily sell his or her pi coins to investors who want to hold pi till mainnet launch.
This means crypto whales want to hold pi. And you can get a good rate for selling pi to them. I will leave the telegram contact of my personal pi vendor below.
A vendor is someone who buys from a miner and resell it to a holder or crypto whale.
Here is the telegram contact of my vendor:
@Pi_vendor_247
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The secret way to sell pi coins effortlessly.DOT TECH
Well as we all know pi isn't launched yet. But you can still sell your pi coins effortlessly because some whales in China are interested in holding massive pi coins. And they are willing to pay good money for it. If you are interested in selling I will leave a contact for you. Just telegram this number below. I sold about 3000 pi coins to him and he paid me immediately.
Telegram: @Pi_vendor_247
What website can I sell pi coins securely.DOT TECH
Currently there are no website or exchange that allow buying or selling of pi coins..
But you can still easily sell pi coins, by reselling it to exchanges/crypto whales interested in holding thousands of pi coins before the mainnet launch.
Who is a pi merchant?
A pi merchant is someone who buys pi coins from miners and resell to these crypto whales and holders of pi..
This is because pi network is not doing any pre-sale. The only way exchanges can get pi is by buying from miners and pi merchants stands in between the miners and the exchanges.
How can I sell my pi coins?
Selling pi coins is really easy, but first you need to migrate to mainnet wallet before you can do that. I will leave the telegram contact of my personal pi merchant to trade with.
Tele-gram.
@Pi_vendor_247
how to sell pi coins in South Korea profitably.DOT TECH
Yes. You can sell your pi network coins in South Korea or any other country, by finding a verified pi merchant
What is a verified pi merchant?
Since pi network is not launched yet on any exchange, the only way you can sell pi coins is by selling to a verified pi merchant, and this is because pi network is not launched yet on any exchange and no pre-sale or ico offerings Is done on pi.
Since there is no pre-sale, the only way exchanges can get pi is by buying from miners. So a pi merchant facilitates these transactions by acting as a bridge for both transactions.
How can i find a pi vendor/merchant?
Well for those who haven't traded with a pi merchant or who don't already have one. I will leave the telegram id of my personal pi merchant who i trade pi with.
Tele gram: @Pi_vendor_247
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1. GLIDE PATHS FROM THE FISCAL CLIFF
BY Kishore Jethanandani
The countdown to a descent from the fiscal cliff has already begun. The most pessimistic
companies have chosen their glide paths, even before the President and Congress have
concluded their negotiations, to avoid the risk of falling over. They have taken pre-emptive
measures to minimize their taxes on dividends, capital gains and income.
The capital markets are agog with a Christmas gift called special dividends. Oracle, for
example, is paying out three quarters worth of dividends before the year end. A very
significant number of American corporations are issuing special dividends this year to save on
the higher taxes that are likely to kick in next year. Markit, a financial data firm, reports that 134
U.S. firms will issue special dividends in the fourth quarter of 2012, up from 31 in 2011.
Never mind if there is not enough cash in the USA to pay out the dividends. Much of the
cash-pile of corporations is stashed away overseas to keep it out of the hands of the
taxman. By a sleight of financial engineering, the cash overseas is being leveraged to raise
debt in the USA to pay for the dividends! Costs of debt are low and its does not hurt it all is
charged to lower taxable profits.
Decisions on long pending acquisitions have been hastened as companies look to book
capital gains before the year end. Starbucks’ acquisition of Teavana Holdings Inc happened
faster as the board and the bankers factored the tax savings that would be realized from
completing the deal by the end of the year instead of delaying it till 2013. Monroe Capital, a
financier of merger transactions reports a surge in mergers over September and October
with deal volume up 20% for the year.
Firms are also willing to shorten the lock-in periods for shares issued at the time of IPOs so
that the early investors can realize capital gains before the end of the year. Palo Alto
Networks recently freed some of its shareholders from the lock-in period to let them sell.
Executives are taking recourse to non-qualified deferred compensation to minimize the
impact of higher taxes on post-tax income. Incentive pay, such as bonus, can be deferred
over and above the pre-tax deductions allowed for retirement. Executives close to
2. retirement can ask for accelerated payments before the end of the year. Younger
employees can do the converse by postponing compensation.
The fiscal cliff is also beginning to cast its pall on the prospects of capital issues as
forecasts for growth turn bearish. Stock and debt prices are expected to decline next year
and costs of capital issues are expected to rise as recession sets in. Consequently,
companies are rushing into the corporate bond market to take advantage of the low yields.
General Electric Corporation’s giant $ 5 billion dollar issue in October of 2012 was seen by
market players as a signal that companies are preparing for the worst. Altogether,
companies raised $26 billion in just one week of October.
While some companies expect the worst to happen, several other scenarios are possible.
We will review the scenarios and their likely impact.
SCENARIO 1
Congress and the President are unable to reach a consensus beyond extending the middle-
class tax cuts. Tax rates for income (including carried interest), dividends and capital gains
for higher-income groups rise to Clinton era levels. Payroll holiday ends. Defense and
government expenditures are cut as agreed under the sequester agreement, emergency
unemployment insurance ends and doc fix does not happen. Fiscal cliff happens as the
scheduled cuts of $728 million go into effect. The uncertainty over the resolution of the debt
ceiling looms over the economy. The economy goes into a moderate recession as growth
rates decline by 2%.
SCENARIO 2
Congress and the President reach a consensus. Tax rates for higher income groups rise to
Clinton era levels. Carried interest is treated as ordinary income. Doc fix is allowed.
Emergency unemployment insurance and payroll tax holiday ends. The President concedes
cuts in discretionary expenditures of Government to 2008 levels, the eligibility age for
Medicare is raised by two years, and Cost-of-living adjustments for social security are
lowered. Both parties agree to work on reform of the tax code in the future. Economic
growth rises modestly to 2.5% compared to an average of 2% for the last four years.
SCENARIO 3
3. The President and the Congress maintain the status quo, with some changes, and agree to
work for fiscal reform in the future. The middle-class cuts are extended, and the rich pay tax
rates mid-way between current and Clinton-era levels. Carried interest is treated as ordinary
income. Both parties agree on modest cuts in deductions against taxable income. Doc fix is
allowed. Emergency unemployment insurance ends, government expenditure levels are
frozen at current levels but not reduced to 2008 levels and payroll holiday ends. No
changes are made in the eligibility age for Medicare. COL adjustments for social security
remain at current levels. Expenditure cuts under the sequester agreement don’t happen.
The economy continues to grow at a lower rate of 1.5%.
SCENARIO 4
The President and the Congress are unable to reach a consensus. However, the cuts under
the sequester agreement do not happen. The House concedes Bush-era tax rates for the
middle class but abstains or votes present for tax rates increases for the higher income
groups. The President loses House concessions for lower deductions on income taxes.
Congress retains its control over setting the debt limit. The incumbent government is unable
to propose a budget for another year. Doc fix happens. No changes are made in the
eligibility age for Medicare and COL adjustments for social security are kept intact. Payroll
holiday and emergency unemployment insurance expire. Economic growth declines to
0.5%.
VOTE
The scenarios described above have been rumored to have been proposed or discussed.
The odds of any of the scenarios are hard to estimate. We have, therefore, decided to have
a vote. Our membership is large enough to be a representative sample and the results to be
statistically valid. Please vote to find out.