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Getting over Regrexit
Post Brexit Real Estate
Opportunities
13th July 2016
Bruce Dear
Head of London Real Estate
The World of the Unexpected…
Eversheds LLP | 13/07/2016 |
Eversheds LLP | 13/07/2016 |
Eversheds LLP | 13/07/2016 |
Eversheds LLP | 13/07/2016 |
Eversheds LLP | 13/07/2016 |
Eversheds LLP | 13/07/2016 | REPG Partner Away Day
Eversheds LLP | 13/07/2016 |
Plans!?
"Any plan beats no plan"
Timothy Geithner - 2008
“The prime minister should have had a plan“
Iain Duncan-Smith - 2016
"Any plan beats no plan"
Mark Carney - 2016
Eversheds LLP | 13/07/2016 |
Canaries and Reasons to be Cheerful
− Be thankful for the Great Financial
Crisis of 2008
− Most investors dislike uncertainty
− The canaries are coughing
− Austerity is Posterity!
Eversheds LLP | 13/07/2016 |
Opportunities
PR engagement -
not just with the
obvious suspects
Product Provision
for People
Remaking the
Regulatory,
Business and Legal
Landscape
Eversheds LLP | 13/07/2016 |
Over correction as values decline
Mispricing
REPG Partner Away Day
*
* Not the worst performing Sterling…
Eversheds LLP | 13/07/2016 |
Sterling
Effect on inward investment…
Weak
sterling
Low
interest
rates
Falling
prices
*If they believe the UK story…
Eversheds LLP | 13/07/2016 |
Private equity
• Uncertain economies
bring higher yields
• Higher yields bring
private equity houses
• If they believe the
long-term UK story
Build to Rent
• Vital part of US and
European housing
solutions
• High land prices and
Help to Buy held it
back
• BTR’s big moment?
Patient Capital
• Government may not
be spending
• Patient institutional
capital
• Public sector must
create investible
propositions
• Keynsian Conversion
London market
• Buyers’ market?
• Declining occupier
demand?
• Passporting and
relocation issues
Housing
• Government policy was
to support the market
• Some price correction
likely
Distressed
opportunities
• A more conventional
downturn than 2007/8
• Insolvencies, pre-packs,
loan to own
• Development and
valuation risk
eversheds.com
©2015 Eversheds LLP
Eversheds LLP is a limited liability partnership
Bruce Dear
Head of London Real Estate

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Getting over ‘Regrexit’ - Post Brexit Real Estate Opportunities

  • 1. Getting over Regrexit Post Brexit Real Estate Opportunities 13th July 2016 Bruce Dear Head of London Real Estate
  • 2. The World of the Unexpected…
  • 3. Eversheds LLP | 13/07/2016 |
  • 4. Eversheds LLP | 13/07/2016 |
  • 5. Eversheds LLP | 13/07/2016 |
  • 6. Eversheds LLP | 13/07/2016 |
  • 7. Eversheds LLP | 13/07/2016 |
  • 8. Eversheds LLP | 13/07/2016 | REPG Partner Away Day
  • 9. Eversheds LLP | 13/07/2016 | Plans!? "Any plan beats no plan" Timothy Geithner - 2008 “The prime minister should have had a plan“ Iain Duncan-Smith - 2016 "Any plan beats no plan" Mark Carney - 2016
  • 10. Eversheds LLP | 13/07/2016 | Canaries and Reasons to be Cheerful − Be thankful for the Great Financial Crisis of 2008 − Most investors dislike uncertainty − The canaries are coughing − Austerity is Posterity!
  • 11. Eversheds LLP | 13/07/2016 | Opportunities PR engagement - not just with the obvious suspects Product Provision for People Remaking the Regulatory, Business and Legal Landscape
  • 12. Eversheds LLP | 13/07/2016 | Over correction as values decline Mispricing REPG Partner Away Day * * Not the worst performing Sterling…
  • 13. Eversheds LLP | 13/07/2016 | Sterling Effect on inward investment… Weak sterling Low interest rates Falling prices *If they believe the UK story…
  • 14. Eversheds LLP | 13/07/2016 | Private equity • Uncertain economies bring higher yields • Higher yields bring private equity houses • If they believe the long-term UK story Build to Rent • Vital part of US and European housing solutions • High land prices and Help to Buy held it back • BTR’s big moment? Patient Capital • Government may not be spending • Patient institutional capital • Public sector must create investible propositions • Keynsian Conversion London market • Buyers’ market? • Declining occupier demand? • Passporting and relocation issues Housing • Government policy was to support the market • Some price correction likely Distressed opportunities • A more conventional downturn than 2007/8 • Insolvencies, pre-packs, loan to own • Development and valuation risk
  • 15. eversheds.com ©2015 Eversheds LLP Eversheds LLP is a limited liability partnership Bruce Dear Head of London Real Estate