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Presenting “Futures”
One of the most exotic terms in
    trading is “Futures”. The
   common man has stopped
  worrying about understanding
 these concepts as he feels it is
not meant for his understanding.
    However let me make an
        attempt to explain
Let’s say there’s is a farmer
   who cultivates wheat
And a bread manufacturer
 who needs wheat as an
 input for making bread
• The farmer thinks that the
  price of wheat which is
  currently trading at Rs. 100
  could fall to Rs. 90 in 3
  months.


• The bread manufacturer on
  the other hand feels that the
  price of wheat on the other
  hand might become Rs. 120
  in 3 months.
• In such a case both get together
  and sign a contract which says that
  at the end of 3 months the farmer
  would sell wheat to the bread
  manufacturer at Rs. 110.


• Thus the farmer is protected
  against possible fall in prices


• And the bread manufacturer is
  protected against the price of his
  input going up beyond Rs. 110
Such a contract is called
   a “Futures” contract
because it is a contract that
  has to be executed at
    some future date
Thus “Futures Trading” is nothing
but having a point of view about the
  direction of the future price of a
    commodity/stocks/currency.

And when two parties have opposite
views about future price movements
  they obviously are open to sign a
   mutually beneficial deal like the
farmer and the bread manufacturer
         did in our example
Now, let’s say that after 3 months
the price of wheat reaches Rs 120

  In this case the farmer will have to
 sell for Rs.110 as per the contract
and undertake a opportunity loss of
Rs. 10 as his call that prices would
      go down was not correct.
The bread manufacturer on the other hand
 would be happy to receive wheat at Rs 110
due to the “Futures Contract” at a time when
   the prevailing market price is Rs 120.

  Thus he clearly makes a profit of Rs 10
because his expectation on price movement
         turned out to be correct.
• However at the end of the period
  both parties achieve their goals of
  protecting their interests.

• While there may be an opportunity
  loss of the farmer but still he lands
  up making a profit of Rs. 10.

• At least he would have been at
  peace for the period of 3 months
  since he remained protected
  against any price fall or loss
• The bread manufacturer on the
  other hand gets wheat at Rs 110
  and makes a clear gain of Rs 10.


• He can now plan his manufacture
  more profitably than his
  competitors who would by in the
  market at the spot price of Rs 120


• Since his call was right about the
  price movement, he landed up
  making the gain of Rs 10 due to
  the futures contract.
Thus in a sense both parties landed up meeting
   their business objectives and the “futures
contract” helped them plan their business well
by protecting their interests against unpleasant
               price fluctuations.
• I hope I have been able to explain to you
the so called exotic product which as you can
see is a very logical protection tool for a
buyer and seller of the “Futures Contract”
having different views about price
movements and both being keen to reduce
their losses.
• Thus at the end one gains more and one
gains less but both are happy that they could
plan their business well
Hope this story succeeded in clarifying the concept
                    of “Futures”


                        Please give us your feedback at
                           professor@tataamc.com

              Disclaimer: The views expressed in this lesson are for information purposes only and do not construe to
              be any investment, legal or taxation advice. The contents are topical in nature and held true at the time of
              creation of the lesson. This is not indicative of future market trends, nor is Tata Asset Management Ltd.
              attempting to predict the same. Reprinting any part of this presentation will be at your own risk. Tata Asset
              Management Ltd. will not be liable for the consequences of such action.


Mutual Fund investments are subject to market risks, read all scheme related documents carefully.

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Futures

  • 2. One of the most exotic terms in trading is “Futures”. The common man has stopped worrying about understanding these concepts as he feels it is not meant for his understanding. However let me make an attempt to explain
  • 3. Let’s say there’s is a farmer who cultivates wheat
  • 4. And a bread manufacturer who needs wheat as an input for making bread
  • 5. • The farmer thinks that the price of wheat which is currently trading at Rs. 100 could fall to Rs. 90 in 3 months. • The bread manufacturer on the other hand feels that the price of wheat on the other hand might become Rs. 120 in 3 months.
  • 6. • In such a case both get together and sign a contract which says that at the end of 3 months the farmer would sell wheat to the bread manufacturer at Rs. 110. • Thus the farmer is protected against possible fall in prices • And the bread manufacturer is protected against the price of his input going up beyond Rs. 110
  • 7. Such a contract is called a “Futures” contract because it is a contract that has to be executed at some future date
  • 8. Thus “Futures Trading” is nothing but having a point of view about the direction of the future price of a commodity/stocks/currency. And when two parties have opposite views about future price movements they obviously are open to sign a mutually beneficial deal like the farmer and the bread manufacturer did in our example
  • 9. Now, let’s say that after 3 months the price of wheat reaches Rs 120 In this case the farmer will have to sell for Rs.110 as per the contract and undertake a opportunity loss of Rs. 10 as his call that prices would go down was not correct.
  • 10. The bread manufacturer on the other hand would be happy to receive wheat at Rs 110 due to the “Futures Contract” at a time when the prevailing market price is Rs 120. Thus he clearly makes a profit of Rs 10 because his expectation on price movement turned out to be correct.
  • 11. • However at the end of the period both parties achieve their goals of protecting their interests. • While there may be an opportunity loss of the farmer but still he lands up making a profit of Rs. 10. • At least he would have been at peace for the period of 3 months since he remained protected against any price fall or loss
  • 12. • The bread manufacturer on the other hand gets wheat at Rs 110 and makes a clear gain of Rs 10. • He can now plan his manufacture more profitably than his competitors who would by in the market at the spot price of Rs 120 • Since his call was right about the price movement, he landed up making the gain of Rs 10 due to the futures contract.
  • 13. Thus in a sense both parties landed up meeting their business objectives and the “futures contract” helped them plan their business well by protecting their interests against unpleasant price fluctuations.
  • 14. • I hope I have been able to explain to you the so called exotic product which as you can see is a very logical protection tool for a buyer and seller of the “Futures Contract” having different views about price movements and both being keen to reduce their losses. • Thus at the end one gains more and one gains less but both are happy that they could plan their business well
  • 15. Hope this story succeeded in clarifying the concept of “Futures” Please give us your feedback at professor@tataamc.com Disclaimer: The views expressed in this lesson are for information purposes only and do not construe to be any investment, legal or taxation advice. The contents are topical in nature and held true at the time of creation of the lesson. This is not indicative of future market trends, nor is Tata Asset Management Ltd. attempting to predict the same. Reprinting any part of this presentation will be at your own risk. Tata Asset Management Ltd. will not be liable for the consequences of such action. Mutual Fund investments are subject to market risks, read all scheme related documents carefully.