Forest Declaration Assessment: are we on track for 2030?
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Visit forestdeclaration.org to download the report, including translations of the Executive Summary into Spanish, French, Portuguese, and Indonesian Bahasa.
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Forest Declaration Assessment: are we on track for 2030?
- 1. FOREST DECLARATION ASSESSMENT Are we on track for 2030? November 11, 2022 Erin Matson Senior Consultant, Climate Focus
- 2. In 2015, the NYDF Assessment started monitoring progress towards the ten goals of the New York Declaration on Forests.
- 3. FACT Roadmap Since 2014, including at COP26 last year, we’ve seen many new forest pledges. Global Forest Finance Pledge Glasgow Leaders’ Declaration on Forests and Land Use Congo Basin Pledge IPLC Forest Tenure Joint Donor Statement Finance sector commitment letter Traders’ Statement New York Declaration on Forests LEAF Coalition MDB Joint Nature Statement Our goal: track progress and enable accountability for all relevant forest pledges.
- 4. Enter: the Forest Declaration Assessment Partners • Independent network of researchers & civil society • We: • Assess progress toward forest goals • Provide recommendations • Answer the question “Are we on track for 2030?”
- 5. We have developed a new Assessment Framework and a new methodology to assess whether we are on track. 2018-2020 baseline Pathway to 2030: 10% reduction per year from 2021 through 2030 to reach zero gross deforestation/ forest degradation by 2030 First assessment: 2021 deforestation and forest degradation data compared to 10% pathway from baseline In future years, we will continue to track progress. For each year we don’t meet the 10% reduction target, it becomes harder to reach the 2030 pathway.
- 6. Global deforestation decreased in 2021, but not fast enough. 2022 FINDINGS Global deforestation rate over the 2010-2021 period, in million hectares, and the pathway to reach the 2030 global gross zero deforestation target • Global deforestation declined by 6% • Humid tropical primary forest loss declined by 3% • Did not meet the 10% target.
- 7. Tropical Asia is the only region on track to meet 2030 goals, based on 2021 data. 2022 FINDINGS Global deforestation rate by region over the 2010-2021 period, in million hectares, and the pathway to reach the 2030 gross zero target from the 2018- 2020 baseline • Indonesia and Malaysia drove most of the progress in Tropical Asia. • On forest degradation: the rate of degradation slightly decreased in 2021.
- 8. 2022 FINDINGS Grey and green public finance, compared against total estimated costs to protect and restore forests, in billion USD per year Strong governance, community involvement, forest finance, and corporate action are all critical to achieving 2030 goals.
- 9. Visit forestdeclaration.org to download the report, including translations of the Executive Summary into Spanish, French, Portuguese, and Indonesian Bahasa.
Editor's Notes
- The NYDF Assessment Partners were formed as an independent civil society-lead initiative in 2015 to monitor progress towards the NYDF’s global goals. The NYDF was a voluntary, non-binding declaration signed 2014. To date, more than 200 entities have endorsed, incl. governments, companies, IPLC groups and civil society.
- In 2022 we expanded our scope beyond the 10 goals of the NYDF, to track all relevant forest goals through the Glasgow Leaders’ Declaration - organized under four themes – they are in the grey boxes across the top.
- Established in 2015 to assess progress toward the New York Declaration on Forests (NYDF) NYDF – a voluntary, non-binding declaration since 2014. To date, more than 200 endorsers – governments, companies, IPLC groups and civil society NYDF Assessment Partners were formed as an independent civil society initiative to monitor progress towards the NYDF’s global goals The Forest Declaration Assessment’s rigorous, evidence-based stock takes enable accountability to voluntary forest commitments and fill a critical credibility gap for pledges without built-in monitoring and reporting.
- Country-level assessments Apply the Assessment Framework at the country level to assess progress made by governments, private sector, financial institutions, and civil society, IPLCs and grassroots actors Relying on the input and validation of experts on each country’s forest context Regional Assessment Engaging with local and regional civil society & researchers Contract local researchers to collect data on progress from the “bottom up” Consult with local stakeholders throughout on assessment approach, findings, and key messages Goals of the new approaches: An effort to collect data on global progress in a systematic, granular way Elevate the voice of local & regional civil society as a key stakeholder in forest decision-making Identify (and help to fill) data gaps at the country and regional levels Provide a basis for targeted, country-level recommendations to drive progress
- Global deforestation decreased modestly by 6.3 percent in 2021, falling short of the reductions required to be on-track to meet the 2030 goal of halting deforestation and limiting climate change to 1.5 degrees. Global gross deforestation amounted to 6.8 million hectares in 2021 — an area comparable in size to the Republic of Ireland — and generated 3.8 GtCO2e of associated GHG emissions. Tropical Asia is the only region currently on track to halt deforestation by 2030, based largely on progress in Indonesia and Malaysia.
- Global deforestation decreased modestly by 6.3 percent in 2021, falling short of the reductions required to be on-track to meet the 2030 goal of halting deforestation and limiting climate change to 1.5 degrees. Global gross deforestation amounted to 6.8 million hectares in 2021 — an area comparable in size to the Republic of Ireland — and generated 3.8 GtCO2e of associated GHG emissions. Tropical Asia is the only region currently on track to halt deforestation by 2030, based largely on progress in Indonesia and Malaysia.
- Finance pledges made in 2021 demonstrate increasing ambition. Yet public funding for forests appears to be declining. Less than half a percent of the estimated finance need to meet the 2030 forest goals in line with the Paris Agreement’s 1.5C ambition has been met.