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Extensive
Report on
FMCG Sector
Anisha Joshi | MBA 2015-17
Market Size and CAGR
Macro & Micro Factors
Trends in FMCG
 The FMCG
Industry
 Companies
analysed
 Valuation
method and
results
 The FMCG
Industry
 Companies
analysed
 Valuation
method and
results
Rising
incomes
driving
purchases
Growth of
modern
trade
Govt.
reforms to
encorage
FDI and
improve
market
sentiments
Greater
awareness
about
products
and brands
New
Product
launches
Desire to
experiment
with
brands
Evolving
consumer
lifestyles
Growing
rural
market
Strong
distribution
channel
Increasing
consumer
demand
Growth Drivers for FMCG Industry
Govt. Initiatives
Attractive
opportunities
Higher
Investments
Growing demand
Advantages to the Indian FMCG Sector
 The FMCG
Industry
 Companies
analysed
 Valuation
method and
results
India being seen as a bright spot in the global FMCG sector
 The FMCG
Industry
 Companies
analysed
 Valuation
method and
results
ROE has
reduced
(reduction in
leverage, but also
the asset turnover
ratio and profit
margin have not
grown much)
ROE has
reduced
(poor Asset
turnover Ratio,
over the years)
ROE has
increased
(due to better
asset turnover
ratio)
Companies under purview
Assumptions
DuPont
Analysis
 The FMCG
Industry
 Companies
analysed
 Valuation
method and
results
Revenue
Sheet with
BU
Assumption
sheet : common
size statements
P/L
B/S
CF
P/E Multiple
P = EPS * P/E(X)
Valuation Methodology : P/E Multiples method
Ratios and
DuPont
Analysis
Ratios and
DuPont
Analysis
 The FMCG
Industry
 Companies
analysed
 Valuation
method and
results
Valuation Take and Target Price
Buy with upside of 10.22%
• Target Price =7343.33
• P/E(X) = 42
 Low
Capex
 Gross
Margin
, etc.
 Price
V/S
Value
HOLD
• Target Price = 287.72
• P/E(X)= 29.8
HOLD
• Target Price= 913.86
• P/E(X) = 33.5
Source : Financial Model
Extensive
Report on
FMCG Sector
Anisha Joshi | MBA 2015-17
FMCG Industry | Target Price determined for three
firms using P/E(X) method

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Fmcg stock valuation

  • 2. Market Size and CAGR Macro & Micro Factors Trends in FMCG  The FMCG Industry  Companies analysed  Valuation method and results
  • 3.  The FMCG Industry  Companies analysed  Valuation method and results Rising incomes driving purchases Growth of modern trade Govt. reforms to encorage FDI and improve market sentiments Greater awareness about products and brands New Product launches Desire to experiment with brands Evolving consumer lifestyles Growing rural market Strong distribution channel Increasing consumer demand Growth Drivers for FMCG Industry Govt. Initiatives Attractive opportunities Higher Investments Growing demand Advantages to the Indian FMCG Sector
  • 4.  The FMCG Industry  Companies analysed  Valuation method and results India being seen as a bright spot in the global FMCG sector
  • 5.  The FMCG Industry  Companies analysed  Valuation method and results ROE has reduced (reduction in leverage, but also the asset turnover ratio and profit margin have not grown much) ROE has reduced (poor Asset turnover Ratio, over the years) ROE has increased (due to better asset turnover ratio) Companies under purview Assumptions DuPont Analysis
  • 6.  The FMCG Industry  Companies analysed  Valuation method and results Revenue Sheet with BU Assumption sheet : common size statements P/L B/S CF P/E Multiple P = EPS * P/E(X) Valuation Methodology : P/E Multiples method Ratios and DuPont Analysis Ratios and DuPont Analysis
  • 7.  The FMCG Industry  Companies analysed  Valuation method and results Valuation Take and Target Price Buy with upside of 10.22% • Target Price =7343.33 • P/E(X) = 42  Low Capex  Gross Margin , etc.  Price V/S Value HOLD • Target Price = 287.72 • P/E(X)= 29.8 HOLD • Target Price= 913.86 • P/E(X) = 33.5 Source : Financial Model
  • 8. Extensive Report on FMCG Sector Anisha Joshi | MBA 2015-17 FMCG Industry | Target Price determined for three firms using P/E(X) method

Editor's Notes

  1. Decrease in consumer demand, decrease in raw material costs, (MACRO) MICRO – DuPont analysis Trends – Modern trade expected to increase Patanjali has impacted but may not be much of a threat to established FMCG players : Credit Suisse Report FMCG stock no longer a defensive stock due to entry of new players, volatile market