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Indian Economy
             Opportunities Unlimited
India: Fastest Growing Free Market Democracy   2
India: Among the Top-15 Countries in terms of GDP at constant prices                                                                      3




                         The Indian economy has witnessed an unprecedented growth…. Booming Indian services and
                         industry sector are providing the required impetus to the economic growth
India’s GDP
witnessed high
                                                          India's GDP: 2002-07                    9.4%
growth and was the                                                                  8.4%
                                   700
second fastest
                                                           8.5%          7.5%
growing GDP after                  600                                                                      Fastest GDP growth of 9.4
China                                                                                                       percent in 2006-07, since last 18
                                   500
                                                                                                            years
                                   400
                                  300        4%                                                631
                                                                                   590
                                 USD Billion               484           534
                                  200         424
Indian economy is
the 4th largest in                 100
terms of PPP – USD
4.1 trillion in 2006                 0
                                          2002-03        2003-04        2004-05   2005-06     2006-07
                                                             GDP at Constant Prices

                                                              Contribution
The sound                                                    of Services -
                                                               increased
performance of each                                             from 49
industry segment is                 700                      percent to 55
leading to the overall                                          percent
robust performance                  600
of the Indian                                                                                    168
                                    500                                           155
economy                                                                                                  Growth in sectors (2006-07):
                                    400                                                          117     Industry: 10.9%
                                                  104              109            116
                                                                                                         Services: 11%
                                   300
                                  USD Billion     103              91                                    Agriculture: 2.7%
                                   200
                                                                                  319            347
                                    100           205              223

                                      0
                                                1999-00        2002-03         2005-06         2006-07
                                                      Services     Agriculture     Industry
India: Robust Economic Platform                                                                                                              4




                                   India's Forex Reserves: 2001-07 (Till 22 June 2007)
India’s enhanced        250
economic                                                                                             213
                                                                                          199
performance has         200
been the major                                                                  152
                                                                   141                                         …at present level of Forex
contributor towards     150
                                                      112                                                      reserves, the country has
increased Forex
                                                                                                               adequate cover for 12 months of
reserves                100                 75                                                                 imports
                       USD Billion54
                         50
Steadily increasing
Forex reserves offer      0
adequate security               2001-02   2002-03   2003-04    2004-05     2005-06      2006-07    2007-08
against any possible                                                                                (Till 22
currency crisis or                                                                                   June)
monetary instability
                                                                                                                             India’s Forex
                                                 External Debt-to-GDP Ratio                                                 reserves are in
                         22       21.1                                                                                         excess of
Forex reserves                               20.4                          Falling Dollar inflates                          external debt…
witnessed an                                                               the India’s external debt
increase of 200          19
percent for the                                             17.8
                                                                         17.3
period 1990-2007                                                                                   16.4
                                                                                       15.8
                         16
                        Ratio
Increased
confidence of
                         13                                                                                    …the decreasing external debt to
investors in Indian
                                                                                                               GDP ratio indicates that India has
companies have led
                                                                                                               a sound economic platform
to a surge in cross
border borrowing by      10
the corporate                   2001-02     2002-03     2003-04      2004-05          2005-06     2006-07
houses
India: Surging Exports                                                                                                               5




                                      India's Exports: 2002-07 (till February 2007)
Services sector has                                                                    112.40
                       120                                                 103.42
been a major
contributor to         100                                    83.81
increased exports       80                       63.95
from India              60
                                    52.81                                                          Quality and cost advantage are the two
                        40                                                                         important parameters leveraged by the
                      USD Billion
                        20                                                                         Indian producers to increasingly
Acceptance of             0                                                                        market their products and services
Indian products                2002-03         2003-04       2004-05      2005-06      2006-07
along with the cost                                                                   (upto Feb.
advantage has                                                                            07)
provided an edge to
Indian companies



Indian companies                       India's Import: 2002-07 (till February 2007)
have chalked out
                        180                                                            162.30
extensive plans to      160                                                149.65
increase their          140
presence abroad                                               111.89
                        120
                        100                      78.28
                         80       61.52
                         60
                      USD Billion
                                                                                                   Petroleum products are the major
                         40                                                                        contributors towards India’s growing
Imports of products
by India mainly
                         20                                                                        imports
                          0
includes petroleum
                                2002-03         2003-04       2004-05      2005-06     2006-07
products and
                                                                                      (upto Feb.
minerals
                                                                                         07)
India: Attractive Investment Destination                                                                                                                    6




                         With improved performance on PE ratio and ROE, Indian markets have attracted
India is ranked
second in AT             large investments
Kearney FDI
confidence index                                                                                            FDI Inflow - India: 2001-07
                                                                                    18,000
                                                                                                                                                         15,730
                                                                                    16,000
                                                                                    14,000
                                                                                    12,000                                                 180 percent
Telecom and
                                                                                                                                           Increase
Electronics topped                                                                  10,000
                            Return on the Investments in India (2006 Q1)
the list of inward FDI                                                               8,000
                            Market       PE Ratio       P/B Ratio        RoE (%)                                                               5,546
                                                                                   USD Million4,222
                                                                                     6,000
                                                                                                                                  3,755
                         India           16.1       4.53            22               4,000                  3,134      2,634
                         China           10.62      2.06            17               2,000
FDI inflow for the
                                                                                          0
period 2006-07           Indonesia       10.26      3.09            NA
                                                                                                2001-02    2002-03    2003-04    2004-05      2005-06    2006-07
witnessed a growth
                         Korea           9.85       1.84            16
of 180 percent over
the same period last     Malaysia        13.21      1.82            16
year                                                                                                           Net FII into India: 2001-07
                         Taiwan          12.17      2               11               12
                                                                                                                      10.00      10.20
                         Thailand        9.84       2.32            23                                                                         9.40
                                                                                     10
                         EM Asia         11.19      2.12            15
Mauritius has been                                                                    8
                         Latin America   9.35       2.46            18                                                                                    6.72
the largest
                                                                                      6
contributor towards      EM Europe       10.9       2.39            15
FDI into India…..                                                                  USD Billion
                                                                                     4
                                                                                               1.80
                                                                                      2
                                                                                                           0.60
                                                                                      0
                                                                                              2001-02     2002-03    2003-04    2004-05      2005-06     2006-07
India: Vibrant Capital Market                                                                                                                                                7




                       Sensex – The Bombay stock exchange index has risen 15 times from 1990s to
India is among the     reach 15,000 mark in July 2007
major destinations
across the globe for
inflow of US Dollar
i.e. FIIs                                                                                                                           7/9/2007
                                                                                                                                    Crossed
                                                                                                                                     15,000
                                                                                                                                      mark                    FIIs augmented
                                                                                                                     1/12/2007                                support by infusing
                         16,000                                                                                  Crossed 14,000 mark                          large investments
Sensex risen 15                                                                                                                                               in Indian stock
times in the period                                                                                                                                           market
                         14,000
1990-2007
                                                                                                         2/7/2006
                         12,000                                                                      Crossed 10,000 mark

                         10,000

                             8,000          12/30/1999                                                                                                          Exorbitant
                       INR              Crossed 5,000 mark                                                                                                      industry
Emergence of                                                                                                                                                    performance
                             6,000
industry and
confidence of local
                             4,000
investors along with
the FIIs has led to
                             2,000
increased movement                                                                                                                                            Increased local
of sensex                                                                                                                                                     investors’
                               -                                                                                                                              confidence
                                   7/1/1997   7/1/1998   7/1/1999   7/1/2000   7/1/2001   7/1/2002    7/1/2003    7/1/2004   7/1/2005   7/1/2006   7/1/2007
India: Vibrant Economy Driving M&A Activities                                                                                                    8




                                        Number of Deals and Values                                                       USD                     USD
Growth Drivers:                                                                                  SECTOR                          SECTOR
                                                                     28.2                                                (Mn)                    (Mn)
                          30                                                  900
 Globalisation of
                                                                        782   800                Automotive              518     Manufacturing   933
  competition             25
                                                                              700
 Concentration of        20                         18.3                     600
                                                                                                 Banking and Financial   1,375   Media           630
  companies to                                                                500
                                                        467                                      Chemicals and           1,133   Oil & Gas       384
  achieve                 15           12.3                                                      Plastics
                                                                              400
  economies of            10              306                                 300                Electrical and          896     Pharma &        2,520
  scale                                                                             Number of deals
                                                                                                Electronics                      biotech
                         USD Billion                                          200
 Lower interest           5
                                                                              100                Energy                  1,484   Telecom         2,198
  rates and vibrant        0                                                  0
  global markets                                                                                 FMCG, Food and          1,327   Others          4,006
                                   2004          2005                2006                        Beverages
 Cash Reserves
                                       Deal Values          No. of Deals
  with Corporates                                                                                IT and ITES             2,903   Total           20,305


Trends:                        In 2006, there were a
 Ratio of the Size of
   acquisition to the          total of 480 M&A deals
   size of acquirer            and 302 private equity
   has grown from 10           deals…
   percent in 2004 to
   25 percent in 2006.                                          … Average deal size close
 Cross-border
   deals are growing
                                                                  to USD 36 million…
   faster than
   domestic deals
                                                                                                                  …Contribution of private
 Private Equity (PE)                                                                                              equity deals to total
   houses have                                                                                                     number of deals have
   funded projects as
   well as made a few
                                                                                                                   increased from nearly 9
   acquisitions in                                                                                                 percent in 2004 to 28
   India                                                                                                           percent in 2006
Major M&A Deals Undertaken Abroad by India Inc.                           9




                      Tata Steel buys Corus Plc        USD 12.1 billion




                    Hindalco acquired Novelis Inc.      USD 6 billion




                  Essar Steel acquired Algoma Steel    USD 1.58 billion




                 Suzlon Energy Ltd. acquires REpower   USD 1.6 billion




                 Videocon Industries acquired Daewoo   USD 730 million
                    Electronics Corporation Limited
Major M&A and Investments Announcements in India                                    10




                         Vodafone buys Hutch                     USD 11 billion




             Plans to spend on its development operations        USD 1.7 billion
                    in India over the next four years



             Plans investment in private equity, real estate,    USD 1 billion
                    and private wealth management



             Aditya Birla Group increased its stake in Idea     USD 0.98 billion
              Cellular by acquiring 48.14-percent stake


              Renault, Nissan and Mahindra & Mahindra
              has initiated a Greenfield automobile plant       USD 0.905 billion

              project in Chennai.


             Mylan Laboratories acquired a majority stake       USD 0.74 billion
                       in Matrix Laboratories
India: Pacing Ahead to Emerge as a Major Economy in the World                                                                                                           11




                              2007 Global Retail Development Index (GRDI)                                         2007 Global Services Location Index
India has been          100
ranked superior to                                                                                   India              3.2                     2.3           1.4
other major              80
countries by many                                                                                    China             2.9                   2.3             1.4
prominent surveys…       60                                                                      Malaysia              2.8             1.3            2

                                                                                                 Thailand               3.2               1.2         1.6
                         40
AT Kearney placed       GRDI Score                                                                   Brazil           2.6              1.8            1.5
India among the top      20
three in its FDI                                                                               Indonesia                 3.3                 1.5       1.1
confidence index…         0                                                                          Financial structure                     People and skill availablity
                               India Russia Vietnam Ukraine China      Chile   Latvia                Business environment

… the retail market
along with the
                                                        Projected GDP Growth Rates for Select Upcoming Economies
services sector has      8
been attracting the
interest of major
players
                         6


India is expected to
                         4
outperform its rivals
in the BRIC, in terms
of GDP growth rates,
from 2015                2
                        GDP Growth Rate (%)
onwards…

                         0
                               2005-10        2010-15     2015-20        2020-25           2025-30        2030-35            2035-40            2040-45            2045-50

                                                              Brazil               China                  India                  Russia
India: Astounding Demographics                                                                                                                                  12




                                                                          DEMOGRAPHIC TRANSFORMATION OF INDIA
Growth in the higher
income categories of                                                                                                               Annual Household Income
India’s population                                                                                                                 (in USD)
has created an
                                                            2                                   9                 20               Rich (Above 115,000)
affluent section of     Population (million)
society, which has                                          9                                17                   33               High Income (57,000 – 115,000)
significant level of
purchasing power                                            48                                  74               120               Consuming class (23,000 – 57,000)

                                                            221                              285                 404               Working class (10,200 – 23,000)

                                                            726                              710                 613               Needy (Below 10,200)

                                                      2001-02                            2005-06               2009-10(E)
                                                                                                                                 * In PPP terms




                                                                  Per Capita Income
                                               700                                                    651
Increasing per capita                                                                  583
income and large                               600
                                                                              519                                     Increasing per capita income
population moving                              500                  461                                            coupled with an emerging middle
into middle class                                     393                                                          class has provided the necessary
has led to high level                          400
                                                                                                                   impetus to consumerism in India
of consumerism in                 USD
                                   300
India
                                               200

                                               100

                                                 0
                                                     2002-03      2003-04   2004-05   2005-06        2006-07
India: Increasing Working Population                                                                                                     13




                                                             Growth in Global Working Age Population (15-64)
          Stock Position 2005                                             Addition to Working Age Population by 2010
                                                                                                                                   314
           World     4,168
                                                                     71
            India      691
                                                                64
           Africa      500
                                                         44
          China       934
                                                   33
 South East Asia       362
                                                   31
   Latin America       359
                                              17
  Southern Asia       132
                                         10
           USA        200
                                     0
         Europe       497
                             -3
          Japan        85
                                -5                      45                  95            145                195       245   295         345
                                                                                                In Million




 Countries worldwide are anticipating a shortage of working population in the future. India is expected to emerge as a
 clear winner, and by 2050, it will have the largest working age population.
Growth Expected in India                                                                                                                    14




To sustain the GDP growth of more than 8 percent, India requires an investment of USD 1.5 trillion in the
next five years




                                                                                                                2010
                                                                                                             GDP – USD 900 billion
                                                                                                             GDP growth rate – 9%
                                                           2008                                              Services contribution – 60-65 %
                                                         GDP – USD 750 billion                              FDI limit is expected to be 100
                                                                                                              percent in major industry sectors
                                                         GDP growth rate – 9.5%
                                                                                                              such as Telecom,
        2006                                             Services contribution – 60 %                        Semiconductors, Automobiles,
                                                                                                              etc.
      GDP – USD 590 billion                             FDI limit is expected to be close to
                                                          100 percent in major industry                      Balance of Trade – Should be
      GDP growth rate – 9 %                                                                                  positive with increased level of
                                                          sectors such as Telecom,
      Services contribution – 54 %                       Semiconductors, Automobiles,                        exports as compared with imports
                                                          etc.                                               Investment goal – USD 370 billion
      FDI limit not 100 percent in major
       industry sectors such as Telecom,                 Balance of Trade – Should
       Semiconductors, Automobiles,                       increase with surging exports as
       etc.                                               compared with imports
      Balance of Trade – USD (-)46.2                    Investment goal – USD 305 billion
       billion
      Investment goal – USD 250 billion
Why India? – Quote Unquote                                                                                                            15




                                                            “India has evolved into
          India is among the                                   one of the world's
         three most attractive                                leading technology                              India has among the
        FDI destinations in the                                    centers“.                                    highest returns on
                 world.
                                                                                                               foreign investment.
                                                                                       Craig Barrett
                                                                                       Intel Corporation
  A T Kearney
  FDI Confidence Index 2005                    By 2032, India will be                                                 US Department of
                                                  among the three                                                     Commerce

                                               largest economies in
                                                    the world.


                                                                                                    “The Indian market has two
                                             BRIC Report, Goldman Sachs
                                                                                                       core advantages - an
                                                                                                      increasing presence of
           “We came to India for                                                                   multinationals and an upswing
         the costs, stayed for the                                                                       in the IT exports”.
            quality and are now
         investing for innovation”.                              “India is a developed
                                                                    country as far as                                 Travyn Rhall,
                                                                                                                      ACNielsen
                                                                 intellectual capital is
                                                                      concerned”.
- Dan Scheinman, Cisco System Inc. as told
to Business Week, August 2005

                                                                    Jack Welch
                                                                    General Electric
16




DISCLAIMER

This presentation has been prepared jointly by the India Brand Equity Foundation (“IBEF”) and
Evalueserve.com Pvt. Ltd., EVALUESERVE (“Authors”).

All rights reserved. All copyright in this presentation and related works is owned by IBEF and the Authors. The
same may not be reproduced, wholly or in part in any material form (including photocopying or storing it in any
medium by electronic means and whether or not transiently or incidentally to some other use of this
presentation), modified or in any manner communicated to any third party except with the written approval of
IBEF.

This presentation is for information purposes only. While due care has been taken during the compilation of
this presentation to ensure that the information is accurate to the best of the Author’s and IBEF’s knowledge
and belief, the content is not to be construed in any manner whatsoever as a substitute for professional
advice.

The Author and IBEF neither recommend or endorse any specific products or services that may have been
mentioned in this presentation and nor do they assume any liability or responsibility for the outcome of
decisions taken as a result of any reliance placed in this presentation.

Neither the Author nor IBEF shall be liable for any direct or indirect damages that may arise due to any act or
omission on the part of the user due to any reliance placed or guidance taken from any portion of this
presentation.

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Evs indian economy_opportunities

  • 1. Indian Economy Opportunities Unlimited
  • 2. India: Fastest Growing Free Market Democracy 2
  • 3. India: Among the Top-15 Countries in terms of GDP at constant prices 3 The Indian economy has witnessed an unprecedented growth…. Booming Indian services and industry sector are providing the required impetus to the economic growth India’s GDP witnessed high India's GDP: 2002-07 9.4% growth and was the 8.4% 700 second fastest 8.5% 7.5% growing GDP after 600 Fastest GDP growth of 9.4 China percent in 2006-07, since last 18 500 years 400 300 4% 631 590 USD Billion 484 534 200 424 Indian economy is the 4th largest in 100 terms of PPP – USD 4.1 trillion in 2006 0 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 GDP at Constant Prices Contribution The sound of Services - increased performance of each from 49 industry segment is 700 percent to 55 leading to the overall percent robust performance 600 of the Indian 168 500 155 economy Growth in sectors (2006-07): 400 117 Industry: 10.9% 104 109 116 Services: 11% 300 USD Billion 103 91 Agriculture: 2.7% 200 319 347 100 205 223 0 1999-00 2002-03 2005-06 2006-07 Services Agriculture Industry
  • 4. India: Robust Economic Platform 4 India's Forex Reserves: 2001-07 (Till 22 June 2007) India’s enhanced 250 economic 213 199 performance has 200 been the major 152 141 …at present level of Forex contributor towards 150 112 reserves, the country has increased Forex adequate cover for 12 months of reserves 100 75 imports USD Billion54 50 Steadily increasing Forex reserves offer 0 adequate security 2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 against any possible (Till 22 currency crisis or June) monetary instability India’s Forex External Debt-to-GDP Ratio reserves are in 22 21.1 excess of Forex reserves 20.4 Falling Dollar inflates external debt… witnessed an the India’s external debt increase of 200 19 percent for the 17.8 17.3 period 1990-2007 16.4 15.8 16 Ratio Increased confidence of 13 …the decreasing external debt to investors in Indian GDP ratio indicates that India has companies have led a sound economic platform to a surge in cross border borrowing by 10 the corporate 2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 houses
  • 5. India: Surging Exports 5 India's Exports: 2002-07 (till February 2007) Services sector has 112.40 120 103.42 been a major contributor to 100 83.81 increased exports 80 63.95 from India 60 52.81 Quality and cost advantage are the two 40 important parameters leveraged by the USD Billion 20 Indian producers to increasingly Acceptance of 0 market their products and services Indian products 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 along with the cost (upto Feb. advantage has 07) provided an edge to Indian companies Indian companies India's Import: 2002-07 (till February 2007) have chalked out 180 162.30 extensive plans to 160 149.65 increase their 140 presence abroad 111.89 120 100 78.28 80 61.52 60 USD Billion Petroleum products are the major 40 contributors towards India’s growing Imports of products by India mainly 20 imports 0 includes petroleum 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 products and (upto Feb. minerals 07)
  • 6. India: Attractive Investment Destination 6 With improved performance on PE ratio and ROE, Indian markets have attracted India is ranked second in AT large investments Kearney FDI confidence index FDI Inflow - India: 2001-07 18,000 15,730 16,000 14,000 12,000 180 percent Telecom and Increase Electronics topped 10,000 Return on the Investments in India (2006 Q1) the list of inward FDI 8,000 Market PE Ratio P/B Ratio RoE (%) 5,546 USD Million4,222 6,000 3,755 India 16.1 4.53 22 4,000 3,134 2,634 China 10.62 2.06 17 2,000 FDI inflow for the 0 period 2006-07 Indonesia 10.26 3.09 NA 2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 witnessed a growth Korea 9.85 1.84 16 of 180 percent over the same period last Malaysia 13.21 1.82 16 year Net FII into India: 2001-07 Taiwan 12.17 2 11 12 10.00 10.20 Thailand 9.84 2.32 23 9.40 10 EM Asia 11.19 2.12 15 Mauritius has been 8 Latin America 9.35 2.46 18 6.72 the largest 6 contributor towards EM Europe 10.9 2.39 15 FDI into India….. USD Billion 4 1.80 2 0.60 0 2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07
  • 7. India: Vibrant Capital Market 7 Sensex – The Bombay stock exchange index has risen 15 times from 1990s to India is among the reach 15,000 mark in July 2007 major destinations across the globe for inflow of US Dollar i.e. FIIs 7/9/2007 Crossed 15,000 mark FIIs augmented 1/12/2007 support by infusing 16,000 Crossed 14,000 mark large investments Sensex risen 15 in Indian stock times in the period market 14,000 1990-2007 2/7/2006 12,000 Crossed 10,000 mark 10,000 8,000 12/30/1999 Exorbitant INR Crossed 5,000 mark industry Emergence of performance 6,000 industry and confidence of local 4,000 investors along with the FIIs has led to 2,000 increased movement Increased local of sensex investors’ - confidence 7/1/1997 7/1/1998 7/1/1999 7/1/2000 7/1/2001 7/1/2002 7/1/2003 7/1/2004 7/1/2005 7/1/2006 7/1/2007
  • 8. India: Vibrant Economy Driving M&A Activities 8 Number of Deals and Values USD USD Growth Drivers: SECTOR SECTOR 28.2 (Mn) (Mn) 30 900  Globalisation of 782 800 Automotive 518 Manufacturing 933 competition 25 700  Concentration of 20 18.3 600 Banking and Financial 1,375 Media 630 companies to 500 467 Chemicals and 1,133 Oil & Gas 384 achieve 15 12.3 Plastics 400 economies of 10 306 300 Electrical and 896 Pharma & 2,520 scale Number of deals Electronics biotech USD Billion 200  Lower interest 5 100 Energy 1,484 Telecom 2,198 rates and vibrant 0 0 global markets FMCG, Food and 1,327 Others 4,006 2004 2005 2006 Beverages  Cash Reserves Deal Values No. of Deals with Corporates IT and ITES 2,903 Total 20,305 Trends: In 2006, there were a  Ratio of the Size of acquisition to the total of 480 M&A deals size of acquirer and 302 private equity has grown from 10 deals… percent in 2004 to 25 percent in 2006. … Average deal size close  Cross-border deals are growing to USD 36 million… faster than domestic deals …Contribution of private  Private Equity (PE) equity deals to total houses have number of deals have funded projects as well as made a few increased from nearly 9 acquisitions in percent in 2004 to 28 India percent in 2006
  • 9. Major M&A Deals Undertaken Abroad by India Inc. 9 Tata Steel buys Corus Plc USD 12.1 billion Hindalco acquired Novelis Inc. USD 6 billion Essar Steel acquired Algoma Steel USD 1.58 billion Suzlon Energy Ltd. acquires REpower USD 1.6 billion Videocon Industries acquired Daewoo USD 730 million Electronics Corporation Limited
  • 10. Major M&A and Investments Announcements in India 10 Vodafone buys Hutch USD 11 billion Plans to spend on its development operations USD 1.7 billion in India over the next four years Plans investment in private equity, real estate, USD 1 billion and private wealth management Aditya Birla Group increased its stake in Idea USD 0.98 billion Cellular by acquiring 48.14-percent stake Renault, Nissan and Mahindra & Mahindra has initiated a Greenfield automobile plant USD 0.905 billion project in Chennai. Mylan Laboratories acquired a majority stake USD 0.74 billion in Matrix Laboratories
  • 11. India: Pacing Ahead to Emerge as a Major Economy in the World 11 2007 Global Retail Development Index (GRDI) 2007 Global Services Location Index India has been 100 ranked superior to India 3.2 2.3 1.4 other major 80 countries by many China 2.9 2.3 1.4 prominent surveys… 60 Malaysia 2.8 1.3 2 Thailand 3.2 1.2 1.6 40 AT Kearney placed GRDI Score Brazil 2.6 1.8 1.5 India among the top 20 three in its FDI Indonesia 3.3 1.5 1.1 confidence index… 0 Financial structure People and skill availablity India Russia Vietnam Ukraine China Chile Latvia Business environment … the retail market along with the Projected GDP Growth Rates for Select Upcoming Economies services sector has 8 been attracting the interest of major players 6 India is expected to 4 outperform its rivals in the BRIC, in terms of GDP growth rates, from 2015 2 GDP Growth Rate (%) onwards… 0 2005-10 2010-15 2015-20 2020-25 2025-30 2030-35 2035-40 2040-45 2045-50 Brazil China India Russia
  • 12. India: Astounding Demographics 12 DEMOGRAPHIC TRANSFORMATION OF INDIA Growth in the higher income categories of Annual Household Income India’s population (in USD) has created an 2 9 20 Rich (Above 115,000) affluent section of Population (million) society, which has 9 17 33 High Income (57,000 – 115,000) significant level of purchasing power 48 74 120 Consuming class (23,000 – 57,000) 221 285 404 Working class (10,200 – 23,000) 726 710 613 Needy (Below 10,200) 2001-02 2005-06 2009-10(E) * In PPP terms Per Capita Income 700 651 Increasing per capita 583 income and large 600 519 Increasing per capita income population moving 500 461 coupled with an emerging middle into middle class 393 class has provided the necessary has led to high level 400 impetus to consumerism in India of consumerism in USD 300 India 200 100 0 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07
  • 13. India: Increasing Working Population 13 Growth in Global Working Age Population (15-64) Stock Position 2005 Addition to Working Age Population by 2010 314 World 4,168 71 India 691 64 Africa 500 44 China 934 33 South East Asia 362 31 Latin America 359 17 Southern Asia 132 10 USA 200 0 Europe 497 -3 Japan 85 -5 45 95 145 195 245 295 345 In Million Countries worldwide are anticipating a shortage of working population in the future. India is expected to emerge as a clear winner, and by 2050, it will have the largest working age population.
  • 14. Growth Expected in India 14 To sustain the GDP growth of more than 8 percent, India requires an investment of USD 1.5 trillion in the next five years 2010  GDP – USD 900 billion  GDP growth rate – 9% 2008  Services contribution – 60-65 %  GDP – USD 750 billion  FDI limit is expected to be 100 percent in major industry sectors  GDP growth rate – 9.5% such as Telecom, 2006  Services contribution – 60 % Semiconductors, Automobiles, etc.  GDP – USD 590 billion  FDI limit is expected to be close to 100 percent in major industry  Balance of Trade – Should be  GDP growth rate – 9 % positive with increased level of sectors such as Telecom,  Services contribution – 54 % Semiconductors, Automobiles, exports as compared with imports etc.  Investment goal – USD 370 billion  FDI limit not 100 percent in major industry sectors such as Telecom,  Balance of Trade – Should Semiconductors, Automobiles, increase with surging exports as etc. compared with imports  Balance of Trade – USD (-)46.2  Investment goal – USD 305 billion billion  Investment goal – USD 250 billion
  • 15. Why India? – Quote Unquote 15 “India has evolved into India is among the one of the world's three most attractive leading technology India has among the FDI destinations in the centers“. highest returns on world. foreign investment. Craig Barrett Intel Corporation A T Kearney FDI Confidence Index 2005 By 2032, India will be US Department of among the three Commerce largest economies in the world. “The Indian market has two BRIC Report, Goldman Sachs core advantages - an increasing presence of “We came to India for multinationals and an upswing the costs, stayed for the in the IT exports”. quality and are now investing for innovation”. “India is a developed country as far as Travyn Rhall, ACNielsen intellectual capital is concerned”. - Dan Scheinman, Cisco System Inc. as told to Business Week, August 2005 Jack Welch General Electric
  • 16. 16 DISCLAIMER This presentation has been prepared jointly by the India Brand Equity Foundation (“IBEF”) and Evalueserve.com Pvt. Ltd., EVALUESERVE (“Authors”). All rights reserved. All copyright in this presentation and related works is owned by IBEF and the Authors. The same may not be reproduced, wholly or in part in any material form (including photocopying or storing it in any medium by electronic means and whether or not transiently or incidentally to some other use of this presentation), modified or in any manner communicated to any third party except with the written approval of IBEF. This presentation is for information purposes only. While due care has been taken during the compilation of this presentation to ensure that the information is accurate to the best of the Author’s and IBEF’s knowledge and belief, the content is not to be construed in any manner whatsoever as a substitute for professional advice. The Author and IBEF neither recommend or endorse any specific products or services that may have been mentioned in this presentation and nor do they assume any liability or responsibility for the outcome of decisions taken as a result of any reliance placed in this presentation. Neither the Author nor IBEF shall be liable for any direct or indirect damages that may arise due to any act or omission on the part of the user due to any reliance placed or guidance taken from any portion of this presentation.

Editor's Notes

  1. Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MOSPI) RBI
  2. RBI MOSPI
  3. 1. Director General of Foreign Trade (DGFT)
  4. Department of Industrial Policy and Promotion (DIPP) Business World Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI)
  5. SEBI BSE India
  6. Grant Thornton DealTracker
  7. Business World Hindu Business Line Economic Times Company Websites
  8. Business World Hindu Business Line Economic Times Company Websites
  9. AT Kearney BRIC Report
  10. NCAER RBI
  11. Goldman Sachs DB Research AT Kearney PwC