EuFMDiS Meetings Rome, Italy - FAO HQ 27 - 31/01/2020 Communications\Webinars-photos-visibility-ppts\Presentations\2020\2020 - 01 EuFMDiS Meetings Rome January\

1. EuFMDiS
Progress and Issues
Shankar Yadav
Quantitative Risk Assessor
European Commission for the Control of Foot-and-Mouth Disease
Food and Agriculture Organizations of the United Nations
Rome, Italy

2. Objectives
• To support the decisions of contingency
planning and emergency preparedness at the
Pan-European (multi country) scale.

3. Development of EuFMDiS
In 2014:
• Modelling training workshop in 2014 using AADIS
• EuFMD workplan 2015-2019 (Component 1.2)
• EuFMD proposed a project to adapt the AADIS model to the
European setting using the Funds for Applied Research
• Regional initiative of the Central European countries on
disease spread modelling (formerly known as CroBoDiMo,
2016)
• 2017, Dublin, Ireland – EuFMD 94th Executive Committee meeting
European multi-country FMD spread model (pilot) was endorsed
• 2017, Vienna, Austria – 1st Workshop on EuFMDiS, with 6 pilot
countries

4. Development of EuFMDiS
• In 2017: Seven European countries collaborated in a pilot project
to develop a multi-country European FMD model
• In 2018: Data collection and model development.
1. Austria
2. Bulgaria
3. Croatia
4. Hungary
5. Italy
6. Romania
7. Slovenia

5. Development of EuFMDiS
In 2019, standalone model for Ireland was developed.
1. Austria
2. Bulgaria
3. Croatia
4. Hungary
5. Italy
6. Romania
7. Slovenia
8. Ireland

6. Development of EuFMDiS
In 2019: Data obtained from North Macedonia & Spain
Model building is in progress
1. Austria
2. Bulgaria
3. Croatia
4. Hungary
5. Italy
6. Romania
7. Slovenia
8. Ireland
9. North
Macedonia
10.Spain

7. Development of EuFMDiS
In 2019: Regional models (multi-country) were developed.
1. Hungary+Croatia+Slovenia+Austria
2. Hungary+Romania+Bulgaria
3. Italy+Hungary+Austria+Slovenia

8. Development of EuFMDiS
In 2020: Switzerland and Turkey have agreed to adapt EuFMDiS
1. Austria
2. Bulgaria
3. Croatia
4. Hungary
5. Italy
6. Romania
7. Slovenia
8. Ireland
9. North
Macedonia
10. Spain
11. Switzerland
12. Turkey

9. Development of EuFMDiS
In 2020: Estonia has shown interest in the EuFMDiS
1. Austria
2. Bulgaria
3. Croatia
4. Hungary
5. Italy
6. Romania
7. Slovenia
8. Ireland
9. North
Macedonia
10. Spain
11. Switzerland
12. Turkey
13. Estonia

10. New Model Features
Market/Assembly centres Shared Pasture Post outbreak Mgt
Wildlife component BiosecurityAnimal welfare

11. New (FAST) diseases:
• Classical swine fever
• Lumpy skin disease
New Model Features

12. Workshop/Webinar/Training
• To enable our model users for the efficient use of the model
• To identify any potential issues with the model and outcomes.
• To advocate the model to the potential users and policy makers.

13. Model Uses
Human resource:
• Surveillance
• Culling
• Disposal
• Decontamination
• Vaccination
Through the workshop, webinar and training, we are enabling the users to
conduct exercises and address relevant questions using the EuFMDiS

14. Costs and Economic Impacts
• Provide economic outputs
• Compare costs of different control strategies, which
could be important for decision-makers
• Estimate compensation to be paid
• Estimate trade losses
Model Uses

15. Current Work Plan (2019-2024)
• Develop the model at the pan-European scale, which
could include majority the livestock population, farm
and geography in Europe.
• Adapt this model for other FAST diseases.

16. EuFMDiS Model Issues
• Data:
• Indirect contact parameters
• Parameters requiring expert elicitations
• Animal movement data on Pan-European scale.
• TRACES data
• Under-use of the model: involvement of university/ies
• License agreement
• Model installation

17. Thank you